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Newcastle Racing Tips: Saturday, November 13th

Billy Bestford previews Newcastle’s feature meeting with The $1m Hunter taking centre stage in race 8.

Newcastle Racing Tips

We head up the highway today for Newcastle’s feature race meeting of the year. It’s a monster 10 race card up there while the day is highlighted by the $1m The Hunter which will see a quality field of sprinters go head to head. 

The track is currently rated a soft 5 which is incredible considering the amount of rain they’ve copped in the area. Fine and sunny conditions are expected on race day.

Billy Bestford previews every race on the card today as we look to find plenty of winners to kick off the weekend!

Best Bet: Race 5 – (1) Love Tap

Best Value: Race 7 – (8) Loch Eagle

For a different way to bet today, then why not check out Tournament Betting at SportChamps? Instead od betting against a bookie, you’re competing against other punters for big prize pools! Today’s SportChamps special will see you receive a free entry into the Ascot tournament when you enter the Newcastle tournament. Great value!

SportChamps

202417

Race 1

Nzb Airfreight M Lees Classic (900m)
12:20pm (AEDT)

Race 1

Nzb Airfreight M Lees Classic (900m)
12:20pm (AEDT)

1. Forbidden Water (5) J: Jason Collett (56.5kg) T: S C Jones
313131312931
2. Last Bid Liam (2) J: Ms Jenny Duggan (56.5kg) T: Amanda Davis
88888.18
3. Lord Of The Hunter (8) J: James Mcdonald (56.5kg) T: Nathan Doyle
77.57.57.56.77.5
4. Vancouver's Crown (4) J: Ms Kathy O'hara (56.5kg) T: J C Coyle
4.64.54.44.64.654.4
5. Excursion (1) J: Kerrin Mcevoy (54.5kg) T: James Cummings
8.599989
6. Mandalong Missile (3) J: Tyler Schiller (54.5kg) T: G R Nickson
818171815971
7. Matisse's Comet (9) J: Ms Rachel King (54.5kg) T: G R Nickson
98.588.59.18
8. Russian Conquest (7) J: Tommy Berry (54.5kg) T: P & P Snowden
554.854.754.8
9. Uncorked (6) J: Tim Clark (54.5kg) T: G Waterhouse & A Bott
44444.054

Odds Last Updated: November 13, 2021, 5:50am (AEDT)

A lot of unknowns here with many of these 2yo’s making their debuts. 

I’ll put (9) Uncorked on top who looked smart at a recent trial, sitting off the speed and putting them away well. I wouldn’t be surprised to see them press further forward today and with Tim Clark on board you’d expect him to give her every chance in front. 

(4) Vancouver’s Crown was very green at her only trial, doing plenty wrong but still managed to win quite easily. If she can put it all together for race day she will be in the finish. 

(3) Lord Of The Hunter was rolled as a short priced fav on debut following an impressive 4L trial win. He’ll be much better for that run and can hit back today. 

(8) Russian Conquest next best.

Tip: (9) Uncorked - $3.60 at Bet365

Betting Strategy: No Bet

202417

Race 2

Te Akau Nz-Aust-Singapore-Bm78 (1600m)
12:55pm (AEDT)

Race 2

Te Akau Nz-Aust-Singapore-Bm78 (1600m)
12:55pm (AEDT)

1. Cisco Bay (1) J: Brock Ryan (60.5kg) T: G Ryan & S Alexiou
6.56.56.56.56.57
2. Ma And Pa (7) J: Nash Rawiller (60kg) T: C J Waller
2.92.92.82.92.952.8
3. Prince Of Arragon (9) J: Hugh Bowman (58.5kg) T: John Thompson
109.59.59.58.49.5
4. Zegalo (5) J: Tim Clark (58.5kg) T: C J Waller
101111119.312
5. Huetor (4) J: Kerrin Mcevoy (57kg) T: P & P Snowden
262626312523
6. Charmmebaby (2) J: Grant Buckley (56kg) T: R R Milligan
1414141712.213
7. Pippali (3) J: Unknown (55kg) T: J C Coyle
8. Plonka (10) J: Joshua Parr (55kg) T: W J Gavenlock
191919191919
9. Karmazone (8) J: Reece Jones (54.5kg) T: Daniel Robinson
2626212623.523
10. Sacred Command (6) J: Tommy Berry (53.5kg) T: C J Waller
3.73.83.73.63.953.9
11. Cryptogram (11) J: Tyler Schiller (53kg) T: A J Cummings
181818181518

Odds Last Updated: November 13, 2021, 5:50am (AEDT)

(10) Sacred Command looks the winner here for mine. He’s been extremely unlucky in both his last two starts and arguably should have won them. He draws towards the outside today which might help Berry keep him out of trouble. Drops a stack in weight on previous two runs and should be going very close. 

Can’t knock the form of (2) Ma And Pa who will be chasing a fifth straight win here. Was very good last start in this grade, leading all the way and giving a good kick under pressure. Rises 3kg on that performance however. 

(3) Prince Of Arragon can be the improver 2nd up out to the mile now. Ran on well fresh over a trip short of his best and will be much better for that run. 

Tip: (10) Sacred Command - $3.60 at Boombet

Betting Strategy: 1.5u WIN Sacred Command

202417

Race 3

Tab Highway Hcp (C3) (1300m)
1:30pm (AEDT)

Race 3

Tab Highway Hcp (C3) (1300m)
1:30pm (AEDT)

1. Baileys (12) J: Tyler Schiller (59kg) T: G L Payne
1019181815981
2. Ceasefire (6) J: Dylan Gibbons (58.5kg) T: Paul Messara
5.54.84.84.84.65
3. Oh Say (4) J: Tommy Berry (57.5kg) T: R N Godbolt
1816161616.216
4. Blow Dart (14) J: Ashley Morgan (57.5kg) T: Brett Thompson
161515151315
5. Casino Kid (7) J: Reece Jones (57.5kg) T: Ms J Bowen
766676
6. Hit The Rim (1) J: Grant Buckley (57kg) T: C Lundholm
312626263226
7. Private Agent (13) J: Joshua Parr (57kg) T: Kurt Goldman
191716161317
8. Raoul (3) J: Hugh Bowman (57kg) T: Cameron Crockett
65.556.55.64.6
9. Street Power (8) J: Jason Collett (57kg) T: B F Cavanough
109.510108.110
10. Don'tforgetmonica (17) J: Kerrin Mcevoy (56.5kg) T: Cameron Crockett
3121212116.821
11. Bean Hot (15) J: Robbie Dolan (55kg) T: Brett Robb
191717171917
12. Cloud Factory (10) J: Ms Kathy O'hara (55kg) T: Stephen Edwards
413434343334
13. Shelby Sixtysix (2) J: James Mcdonald (55kg) T: D A Williams
1313131310.214
14. Austeja (16) J: Jay Ford (54.5kg) T: Joel & Wayne Wilkes
2118171717.818
15. Satin Ruby (18) J: Ms Jenny Duggan (54kg) T: Cody Morgan
212121211623
16. The Snooperstar (19) J: Unknown (54.5kg) T: Mark Schmetzer
126126919169101
17. Costas (20) J: Unknown (54.5kg) T: Brett Thompson
201151101101111151
18. Testator Silens (5) J: Jean Van Overmeire (54.5kg) T: Luke Clarke
109999.19.5
19. Clearly Regal (11) J: Lee Magorrian (54.5kg) T: A P Ball
353131312631
20. Canexcell (9) J: Unknown (54.5kg) T: A Parramore
513431313634

Odds Last Updated: November 13, 2021, 5:50am (AEDT)

Hoping (9) Street Power can handle the stretch out to 1300m here and if so, looks a good winning chance. Was only narrowly beaten in a similar race to this last start where he didn’t have many favours in the run. Drawn perfectly today he can go one better. 

(11) Bean Hot started favourite in one of these Highways last start – He’s now $20 here? It obviously wasn’t a great run but could easily make excuses for him after copping plenty of bumps in traffic. Worth forgiving there on the back of his SP and just solely on a price basis I’ll be having something on. 

(2) Ceasefire lined up in the Kosci two back and was very good last start. Gets a good 3kg claim for Gibbons and will be right in this yet again. 

(5) Casino Kid is extremely honest and should be better for the two runs back this prep. Been flying home in those two runs and he’ll enjoy getting out to 1300m. 

Another very open highway and I’ll be playing a few here for a result.

Tip: (9) Street Power - $9.00 at Bet365

Also Backing: (5) Casino Kid - $7.00 at Sportsbet

Value: (11) Bean Hot - $20 at Sportsbet

Betting Strategy: 0.5u WIN Street Power, 0.5u WIN Casino Kid, 0.25u WIN Bean Hot

202417

Race 4

Sage Painting Midway (Bm72) (1600m)
2:05pm (AEDT)

Race 4

Sage Painting Midway (Bm72) (1600m)
2:05pm (AEDT)

1. Above And Beyond (7) J: Ms Jenny Duggan (62kg) T: G Portelli
1413131314.213
2. Reformist (9) J: Reece Jones (60kg) T: Edward Cummings
2121202016.821
3. High Court (5) J: Grant Buckley (59kg) T: J N Englebrecht
313126262731
4. Tampering (2) J: Hugh Bowman (58.5kg) T: K J Parker
6.56.56.56.56.46.5
5. Highly Desired (13) J: Dylan Gibbons (58kg) T: Claire Lever
77776.37
6. Karmazone (3) J: Jason Collett (57.5kg) T: Daniel Robinson
7. Caesars Palace (10) J: Tommy Berry (57kg) T: A J Cummings
131211111011
8. Cream Rises (8) J: Nash Rawiller (56kg) T: Ms K Gavenlock
5.55.55.55.55.65.5
9. Prospero (6) J: Ashley Morgan (55.5kg) T: Nathan Doyle
463451513251
10. Too Good To Be Tru (14) J: Unknown (55.5kg) T: D Lane
151514141515
11. Ladies' Gem (4) J: Ms Laura Lafferty (54.5kg) T: J & G Lee
9.511121311.812
12. Miss Scalini (11) J: Tyler Schiller (54kg) T: Nathan Doyle
353431312634
13. Harvey's Way (1) J: Kerrin Mcevoy (53kg) T: D I Atkins
4444.64.13.8
14. Segrill (12) J: Brock Ryan (52.5kg) T: C E Conners
1820212118.221

Odds Last Updated: November 13, 2021, 5:50am (AEDT)

(13) Harvey’s Way looks an exciting horse for connection. He’s won two from three and has still done plenty wrong in those runs to date. Was a very good run last start and will have to rise in grade once again but he gets in nice and light and loves racing here at Newy. 

(4) Tampering brings the strongest exposed form with a 5th in the Four Pillars. Carried 60kg there so gets a little weight relief today and should be hard to run down from the front. 

Not sure what to make of (8) Cream Rises this prep. His last start was a bit better than earlier runs and he might have just turned the corner? His best is good enough. 

Tip: (13) Harvey's Way - $3.30 at TopSport

Also Backing: 1u WIN Harvey's Way

Betting Strategy: 1u WIN Harvey's Way

202417

Race 5

Alf Kneebone Trans Tasman-Bm88 (1850m)
2:40pm (AEDT)

Race 5

Alf Kneebone Trans Tasman-Bm88 (1850m)
2:40pm (AEDT)

1. Love Tap (2) J: Nash Rawiller (61.5kg) T: R & M Freedman
3.94443.854.2
2. Milk Man (5) J: Ms Jenny Duggan (58.5kg) T: Matthew Smith
888.58.59.19
3. Mightybeel (6) J: James Mcdonald (55.5kg) T: C J Waller
3.73.73.63.53.33.8
4. Lord Ardmore (12) J: Lee Magorrian (55kg) T: C J Waller
5.55.55.55.55.65.5
5. Ma And Pa (9) J: Jason Collett (55kg) T: C J Waller
6. Shibli (10) J: Tommy Berry (55kg) T: C J Waller
555555
7. Master Shuhood (4) J: Unknown (54kg) T: Richard Litt
616151514551
8. Avion Fury (1) J: Unknown (54kg) T: I B Finn
9. Ambitious Prince (3) J: Unknown (54kg) T: W J Gavenlock
10. Solar Apex (11) J: Kerrin Mcevoy (53kg) T: C J Waller
7.57.57.57.57.27.5
11. Notabadidea (8) J: Grant Buckley (53kg) T: C Lundholm
919181919381
12. Reposition (7) J: Tyler Schiller (52kg) T: G J Preston
201201151151201151

Odds Last Updated: November 13, 2021, 5:50am (AEDT)

(1) Love Tap is my best bet on the card today and he looks very hard to beat on recent form. Comes through the Golden Eagle where he more than held his won, finish 4L off I’m Thunderstruck. Nash should go forward from the low draw and like he always does, he’ll get everything out of him. Won the Gloaming over this trip and if he can bring his best form, he’ll be winning this. 

(3) Mightybeel is honest and rarely puts in a poor one. Was beaten as a short favourite in a weaker race leading into this but will be given every opportunity by Jmac. Can’t knock but looks short enough. 

(2) Milk Man has all of a sudden found some form and has won two on the trot. This looks tougher but is airborne.

Tip: (1) Love Tap - $4.00 at TopSport

Betting Strategy: 2.5u WIN Love Tap

202417

Race 6

Visit Karaka 2022 The Beauford (2300m)
3:20pm (AEDT)

Race 6

Visit Karaka 2022 The Beauford (2300m)
3:20pm (AEDT)

1. Shared Ambition (9) J: Dylan Gibbons (59kg) T: C J Waller
3.23.33.33.63.253.1
2. Yonkers (8) J: Glyn Schofield (58.5kg) T: C J Waller
1513121213.612
3. Kiss The Bride (5) J: Ms Rachel King (55kg) T: Bjorn Baker
55555.15
4. King's Charisma (4) J: Tommy Berry (53.5kg) T: C Maher & D Eustace
4.44.44.44.63.954.4
5. Sweet Thomas (2) J: Ms Kathy O'hara (52.5kg) T: Matthew Smith
515141513641
6. Torrens (10) J: Ms Jenny Duggan (52.5kg) T: Lauri Parker
888888.5
7. Hush Writer (3) J: James Innes Jnr (52kg) T: G Waterhouse & A Bott
7.57.57.586.67.5
8. He Runs Away (6) J: Brock Ryan (52kg) T: C J Waller
88878.39.5
9. Ambitious Prince (7) J: Andrew Adkins (52kg) T: W J Gavenlock
151151101101151151
10. Olympic Gaze (1) J: Ms Mikayla Weir (52kg) T: P M Perry
818171716581

Odds Last Updated: November 13, 2021, 5:50am (AEDT)

(6) Kiss The Bride has been running very well all prep, and finished a good 3rd behind Think It Over last start. She looks ready to step out to this trip now and will be full of fitness and give you a good sight just off the speed. 

Admit (1) Shared Ambition looks pretty hard to beat and gets a massive 3kg claim for Dylan Gibbons. This is the easiest race he’s contested this prep, finishing behind the likes of Think It Over and Zaaki. Should be forward in the run and might be too tough to catch. 

(4) King’s Charisma looks ready to peak 4th up and can be an improver out in trip.

Tip: (6) Kiss The Bride - $5.00 at Sportsbet

Betting Strategy: 1u WIN Kiss The Bride

202417

Race 7

N.Z Bloodstock Njc Spring Stks (1600m)
4:00pm (AEDT)

Race 7

N.Z Bloodstock Njc Spring Stks (1600m)
4:00pm (AEDT)

1. Dufresne (12) J: Jason Collett (56.5kg) T: A J Cummings
66675.36
2. Lease (5) J: Nash Rawiller (56.5kg) T: A J Cummings
887.57.58.18
3. Holstein (8) J: Andrew Adkins (56.5kg) T: M J Dunn
1313121313.212
4. Arnaqueur (11) J: Tommy Berry (56.5kg) T: Jean Dubois
7.576.567.37.5
5. War Eternal (2) J: Joshua Parr (56.5kg) T: Bjorn Baker
121212121013
6. Contributingfactor (6) J: Tim Clark (56.5kg) T: D I Atkins
98.58.59.57.78
7. Kokoro (10) J: Hugh Bowman (56.5kg) T: J A O'shea
6.5777.56.57
8. Loch Eagle (4) J: James Mcdonald (56.5kg) T: K A Lees
1011111110.211
9. Moon Stories (7) J: Brock Ryan (56.5kg) T: Ms T Bateup
677167674971
10. Festival Dancer (9) J: Dylan Gibbons (54.5kg) T: Matthew Smith
4.54.64.655.14.4
11. Red Boulevard (3) J: Robbie Dolan (54.5kg) T: Paul Messara
676761617371
12. Ironic Miss (1) J: Kerrin Mcevoy (54.5kg) T: R E Ollerton
1011019191111101

Odds Last Updated: November 13, 2021, 5:50am (AEDT)

(1) Dufresne has been flying this prep and comes into this with a good 2nd in the Four Pillars. Ran well in the Bondi Stakes before that and this is probably the easiest race he’s contested for a while. Rises in weight obviously but he’s super honest up on speed and will give a good sight. 

(8) Loch Eagle is still a maiden but I think he’s good enough to win this. Keen to see him up in trip and I think he’s building towards a peak run. The stable clearly have an opinion of him throwing him in the deep end here. 

(7) Kokoro looked extremely good winning last start at Goulburn. Looks to have a heap of upside and stable are flying. 

(10) Festival Dancer is flying and goes in search of a fourth straight win. Can’t knock but has been up for a while now.

Tip: (1) Dufresne - $7.00 at TopSport

Value: (8) Loch Eagle - $12 at TAB

Betting Strategy: 0.5u WIN Dufresne, 0.25u WIN Loch Eagle

202417

Race 8

The Hunter (1300m)
4:40pm (AEDT)

Race 8

The Hunter (1300m)
4:40pm (AEDT)

1. Lost And Running (17) J: Hugh Bowman (59kg) T: J A O'shea
332.92.93.153
2. Top Ranked (7) J: James Mcdonald (58kg) T: Annabel Neasham
4.64.64.64.84.854.6
3. Gem Song (1) J: Nash Rawiller (57.5kg) T: K A Lees
231917181617
4. Kementari (13) J: Joshua Parr (57.5kg) T: James Cummings
262121211921
5. Bandersnatch (8) J: Tommy Berry (57kg) T: M, W & J Hawkes
7777.56.77
6. Signore Fox (19) J: Brodie Loy (56.5kg) T: P & P Snowden
343126312526
7. Standout (5) J: Kerrin Mcevoy (56kg) T: G Ryan & S Alexiou
2119171816.217
8. Dawn Passage (6) J: Tim Clark (55kg) T: G Waterhouse & A Bott
1412161812.415
9. Roheryn (15) J: Jason Collett (55kg) T: James Cummings
4134343429.534
10. Sweet Deal (16) J: Brock Ryan (54kg) T: John Thompson
413426342526
11. Prime Candidate (3) J: Robbie Dolan (54kg) T: Bjorn Baker
1414151613.415
12. Special Reward (2) J: Glyn Schofield (54kg) T: K A Lees
513426343326
13. Stockman (11) J: Jay Ford (53kg) T: Joseph Pride
616134514351
14. Countofmontecristo (12) J: Ron Stewart (52kg) T: K A Lees
676151516761
15. Wandabaa (14) J: Andrew Adkins (52kg) T: K A Lees
2726262627.526
16. Criaderas (9) J: Ms Rachel King (52kg) T: James Cummings
1919192116.819
17. Brutality (4) J: Ms Kathy O'hara (52kg) T: Joseph Pride
817161614961
18. Never Talk (10) J: Dylan Gibbons (52kg) T: K A Lees
515151513951
19. Pandano (18) J: Unknown (54kg) T: P M Perry
15112610110183101

Odds Last Updated: November 13, 2021, 5:50am (AEDT)

The big one. The $1m The Hunter takes place here and it’s a high quality field of sprinters who go in search of the big prize. 

(1) Lost And Running is the best horse here and his 4th in the Everest tells you that. He then came out and finished 2nd to Eduardo who is the best sprinter outside Nature Strip in the country. Horse is clearly airborne and this has been a target race for a while. Barrier is wide but he’s speedy enough to cross and the drying track only enhances his chance. Looks very hard to beat. 

(2) Top Ranked is the massive query runner in the field. He brings elite UK formlines here for Neesham and has jumped out nicely since arriving in Aus. If he’s wound up enough to compete over 1300m then he will be a big challenger. 

(6) Signore Fox looks an enormous price for mine. We could be racing on a good 4 by this stage of the day and he’s been very good this prep. He’s been compeittive in Group 1’s and I think he looks ready to peak now 3rd up. Any sort of luck from the barrier will see him run a hole I think.

(11) Prime Candidate looks the best roughie for mine. Blinkers go on and he’s been a model of consistency this prep. Will be up near the speed and could get away with this with the lightweight. 

(3) Gem Song flies fresh and maps for a nice run midfield on the rail. If the gaps come he can be in the finish.

Tip: (1) Lost And Running - $3.00 at Ladbrokes

Value: (6) Signore Fox - $31/$7 at Sportsbet

Betting Strategy: 2u WIN Lost And Running, 0.25u/0.5u Signore Fox

202417

Race 9

Pfd Food Services (Bm78) (1400m)
5:20pm (AEDT)

Race 9

Pfd Food Services (Bm78) (1400m)
5:20pm (AEDT)

1. Maid Of Ore (10) J: Tommy Berry (61kg) T: N J Olive
414141414141
2. Amica (5) J: Tyler Schiller (60kg) T: G Ryan & S Alexiou
616151514361
3. Fashchanel (4) J: Ms Laura Lafferty (60kg) T: J A O'shea
5555.55.65
4. Barossa Rosa (7) J: Kerrin Mcevoy (59kg) T: T J Bartley
13108.58.510.49.5
5. Tinker Mcphee (9) J: James Mcdonald (59kg) T: C J Waller
7.57.57.58.57.67.5
6. Miss Einstein (8) J: Dylan Gibbons (58kg) T: Bjorn Baker
9.510109.5911
7. Grande Rumore (1) J: Hugh Bowman (57.5kg) T: K A Lees
7.57.57.57.57.67.5
8. Pippali (2) J: Jason Collett (57kg) T: J C Coyle
1414141511.614
9. Cecilia (11) J: Ms Mikayla Weir (55kg) T: Aleacia Bennett
262621212026
10. Zou De Moon (3) J: Ms Rachel King (55kg) T: J C Deamer
998.597.58.5
11. Norwegian Bliss (6) J: Andrew Adkins (54.5kg) T: Nathan Doyle
3.33.33.33.33.253.3

Odds Last Updated: November 13, 2021, 5:50am (AEDT)

It’s her toughest test to date but (11) Norwegian Bliss looks an exciting horse for connections. She’s handled all before her so far, winning three on the bounce and I think she looks a good chance to make it four. Will put herself up on speed with the lightweight and I think she will enjoy rising to 1400m. 

(8) Pippali can run well here and is rarely far away. Will be the one charging through late if they overdo it up front. 

(10) Zou De Moon goes in search of a hattrick of wins and will also be up on speed. Looks another horse on the up. 

Tip: (11) Norwegian Bliss - $3.30 at Sportsbet

Betting Strategy: 1u WIN Norwegin Bliss

202417

Race 10

Hunter Valley Prem. Meats-Bm88 (1300m)
6:00pm (AEDT)

Race 10

Hunter Valley Prem. Meats-Bm88 (1300m)
6:00pm (AEDT)

1. Brutality (6) J: Ms Kathy O'hara (60.5kg) T: Joseph Pride
3534343426.534
2. Grand Piano (2) J: Nash Rawiller (60kg) T: John Thompson
2621212122.523
3. Acquitted (8) J: Hugh Bowman (58kg) T: K A Lees
9.511111313.211
4. Surreal Step (4) J: Jason Collett (58kg) T: M, W & J Hawkes
343126262226
5. Never Talk (14) J: Dylan Gibbons (57.5kg) T: K A Lees
111212121212
6. Gravina (3) J: James Mcdonald (57kg) T: James Cummings
2.62.72.62.72.52.6
7. Pandano (11) J: Ms Jenny Duggan (57kg) T: P M Perry
2121212118.621
8. Edit (10) J: Kerrin Mcevoy (56.5kg) T: Cody Morgan
9. Canasta (1) J: Ms Rachel King (55kg) T: Bjorn Baker
10. Irish Songs (13) J: Tim Clark (55kg) T: Kurt Goldman
2326262626.526
11. On The Lead (9) J: Joshua Parr (55kg) T: R & M Freedman
1919191918.219
12. Katalin (7) J: Tommy Berry (54.5kg) T: James Cummings
4.23.93.63.53.753.9
13. Standing Bear (12) J: Lee Magorrian (54kg) T: A P Ball
126126101101121126
14. Much Much Better (15) J: Brock Ryan (53kg) T: G W Moore
101010101111
15. Kinloch (16) J: Jay Ford (52kg) T: K A Lees
2326262620.526
16. Super (5) J: Jean Van Overmeire (53kg) T: M S Minervini
818181817581

Odds Last Updated: November 13, 2021, 5:50am (AEDT)

This looks a match race for Godolphin with (6) Gravina lining up as favourite ahead of (12) Katalin. 

I’ll have something on (12) Katalin here who was an impressive winner fresh. She ran the fastest L200 of the entire meeting there and should only improve off the back of that. Has been a winner 2nd up in the past and while also has a win here at Newy. Maps perfectly for Berry and looks a massive chance.

(6) Gravina has been very costly to punters and has been going around in the ‘get out’ stakes each week. Once again lines up here in the last at a short price and on paper, he should be winning. Just doesn’t help himself with his pattern and I think he looks short enough. 

(5) Never Talk has been going around in tougher races than this. Needs to improve but on best form she can get away with this.

Tip: (12) Katalin - $3.60 at Sportsbet

Betting Strategy: 1u WIN Katalin

Billy has been an avid racing fan ever since he and a few mates started a punters club once they turned 18. Following the initial punters clubs, he was properly hooked after landing a nice collect on Admire Rakti in the 2014 Caulfield Cup and has had a soft spot for Japanese horses ever since. Is a massive fan of 'blinkers first time' and has been known to enjoy a 'Hail Mary' multi. Loves punting across metro Sydney and Melbourne every Saturday but isn't scared to venture West late in the day to find a Pikey special.

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