Newcastle Racing Tips: Wednesday, January 19th

Race 1 Charlestown Square Mdn Plate (900m) 2:20pm (AEDT)
1. Barney Rabble (11) J: Grant Buckley (58.5kg) T: Allan Kehoe		2.7		2.5	2.75
2. Little Be Known (8) J: Robbie Brewer (58.5kg) T: John Higgins		67		67	65
3. Meerut (5) J: Reece Jones (58.5kg) T: T J Drayton		12		12	11
4. New Republic (7) J: Ms Mikayla Weir (58.5kg) T: M S Minervini		7		7	6.8
5. November Rhythm (2) J: Jeff Penza (58.5kg) T: T P Croft		2.8		2.8	2.85
6. Hatsuko (4) J: Tim Clark (56.5kg) T: Ms K Gavenlock		13		14	11.6
7. Berry Berry Good (3) J: James Innes Jnr (56kg) T: Jean Dubois		34		34	35
8. Dream Sunrise (6) J: Unknown (55kg) T: D Lane		14		14	12.4
9. Isledon (10) J: Ms Brooke Stower (55kg) T: P M Perry		41		51	34
10. Jubilant (9) J: Serg Lisnyy (55kg) T: P M Perry		41		51	34
11. Pair Of Hearts (1) J: Ms Ellen Hennessy (55kg) T: P M Perry		10		11	9.5

Odds Last Updated: January 19, 2022, 10:17am (AEDT)

(5) November Rhythm did well to finish as close as he did on debut. Was caught wide there but kept finding to the line and should take great benefit from that experience. Will see much better run today from barrier 2 and should be right up on the speed.

(1) Barney Rabble showed big improvement first up to run 2nd on a heavy track. That was fresh off a 6 month break with no trials and you’d expect him to improve off that.

(11) Pair Of Hearts has looked okay at the trials and debuts today at her home track. She looks the best roughie to knock off the favourites.

Tip: (5) November Rhythm - $2.90 at Bet365

Betting Strategy: No Bet

Race 2 Oas Technology Mdn Plate (1250m) 2:55pm (AEDT)
1. Be My Romeo (9) J: Grant Buckley (59kg) T: Ben Blay		81		81	65
2. Buckin' Rippa (8) J: Unknown (59kg) T: D Lane		15		15	14.4
3. Gorshin (2) J: Blake Spriggs (59kg) T: A J Cummings		6		6	5.3
4. Kamikaze Kid (3) J: Ms Mikayla Weir (59kg) T: Ben Blay		11		11	12.2
5. Rapid Reload (5) J: Jeff Penza (59kg) T: P & M Cave		4.8		4.8	4.35
6. Sharp Dressed Man (4) J: Rory Hutchings (59kg) T: Wayne Austin		34		34	34
7. Adulting (1) J: Joshua Parr (57kg) T: G Ryan & S Alexiou		1.9		1.9	1.96
8. Silica Sand (7) J: Ms Ellen Hennessy (57kg) T: D Wagstaff		11		11	11.4
9. Smart Sophia (6) J: Serg Lisnyy (57kg) T: Terry Evans		11		11	12.2

Odds Last Updated: January 19, 2022, 10:17am (AEDT)

Taking a chance that (5) Rapid Reload can knock off the fav here and run well first up off a long break. Looked reasonably good on debut back in October 2020 and has since trialled up okay last month. At the price I’m happy to have something on him.

No doubt (7) Adulting will be very hard to beat here and is another resuming off quite a long spell. Was well in the market in a strong maiden on debut and has since trialled well leading into this.

(9) Smart Sophia will enjoy stretching out to this trip following a solid debut 3rd.

Tip: (5) Rapid Reload - $5.00 at Sportsbet

Betting Strategy: 0.5u WIN Rapid Reload

Race 3 Reward Hospitality Mdn Hcp (1400m) 3:30pm (AEDT)
1. Blue Jager (6) J: Regan Bayliss (59.5kg) T: Matthew Smith		4.8		4.6	5.1
2. Tinnie Winnie (2) J: Lee Magorrian (59kg) T: C J Waller		21		26	18.2
3. Aquarius (13) J: Unknown (57.5kg) T: M J Dunn		6.5		7	7
4. Ellenmac (12) J: Ms Kathy O'hara (57.5kg) T: Matthew Smith		11		12	10.4
5. Jawaani (4) J: Tommy Berry (57.5kg) T: C J Waller		3.9		4	4.05
6. Empress Daisy (9) J: Sam Clipperton (57kg) T: M J Dunn		20		20	20.5
7. Heavenly Prophet (5) J: Jay Ford (57kg) T: M, W & J Hawkes		26		26	21
8. Perfect Sapphire (11) J: Grant Buckley (56.5kg) T: M J Dunn		14		14	14.2
9. Great Mystery (8) J: Tom Sherry (55.5kg) T: C E Conners		21		21	18
10. Starstruck Barbie (10) J: (55.5kg) T: Marc Conners
11. Khulan (1) J: Liam Blanch (55kg) T: M S Minervini		41		41	41
12. Nullify (7) J: Mitchell Bell (55kg) T: P & P Snowden		4		3.8	3.8
13. Rothrock (3) J: Ms Ellen Hennessy (55kg) T: P M Perry		21		21	21.5

Odds Last Updated: January 19, 2022, 10:17am (AEDT)

(5) Jawaani has been in and out of work for a while but finally debuts today and looks a good winning chance. Trials have been good without being outstanding but I don’t think she will have to be a superstar to be winning this.

(8) Perfect Sapphire will enjoy getting out to 1400m now following a solid return over a shorter trip last start. Debuted in an extremely strong form race and should be ready to peak now having 3rd start.

(1) Blue Jager ran well fresh and was a touch unlucky – probably should have finished much better than 7th. Will come on from that and showed last prep that she is good enough to be winning this.

Tip: (5) Jawaani - $4.05 at BoomBet

Betting Strategy: 1u WIN Jawaani

Race 4 Nhn Group Mdn Hcp (1400m) 4:05pm (AEDT)
1. Celtic Harp (9) J: Tommy Berry (59kg) T: C J Waller		5.5		5.5	5
2. Hundred Proof (12) J: Keagan Latham (59kg) T: C Maher & D Eustace		12		12	9.9
3. Big Short (11) J: Rory Hutchings (58.5kg) T: C J Waller		4.4		4.2	3.9
4. Dresden (14) J: (58kg) T: Chris Waller
5. Gulf Of Saros (3) J: Tim Clark (58kg) T: G Waterhouse & A Bott		12		12	11.4
6. Marcher (16) J: Joshua Parr (58kg) T: C J Waller		20		21	18.4
7. Mediaro (1) J: Jay Ford (58kg) T: Matthew Smith		14		17	17.2
8. Paternal (10) J: Jeff Penza (58kg) T: C J Waller		4.5		4.6	4.85
9. The Replicant (2) J: Regan Bayliss (58kg) T: Joseph Pride		9		9	9.5
10. Amber One (7) J: Ms Alysha Collett (57.5kg) T: A J Cummings		41		41	38
11. Star Of Adelaide (13) J: Tom Sherry (57.5kg) T: Mark Newnham		11		11	10
12. Taborca (15) J: Lee Magorrian (57.5kg) T: C J Waller		34		34	26
13. Rhineland (8) J: Sam Clipperton (57kg) T: K A Lees		20		20	18.6
14. Orton Park (5) J: Mitchell Bell (56.5kg) T: Joseph Pride		34		34	26
15. Iremia (4) J: Unknown (55.5kg) T: T J Bartley		81		81	83
16. Nayziair (6) J: Unknown (55.5kg) T: D Lane		12		13	13.2

Odds Last Updated: January 19, 2022, 10:17am (AEDT)

(1) Celtic Harp has plenty of race experience and should be nearing peak fitness now 3rd up and rising to 1400 looks ideal for him. The stable have booked Berry on him over a couple of the stablemates which might be a good lead and he looks ready to win now.

(9) The Replicant debuted in a good maiden and will take plenty of improvement out of that performance. The rise to 1400m will suit and from barrier 2 he can lob in a nice position in running.

Liked the first trial of (8) Paternal showing enough there to think he can run very well here. Will likely get back from the wide draw but there looks a genuine enough speed in this for him to be launching late.

(3) Big Short looks to have some upside and will be a better horse following the benefit of that first prep under his belt.

Tip: (1) Celtic Harp - $5.50 at Sportsbet

Betting Strategy: 0.5u WIN Celtic Harp

Race 5 Newmarket Day 4Th March (Bm68) (1300m) 4:40pm (AEDT)
1. Capri Lane (7) J: Lee Magorrian (61.5kg) T: D G Hodge		10		11	11.2
2. The Crimson Idol (11) J: Grant Buckley (57.5kg) T: J N Englebrecht		20		20	17.2
3. Byron (6) J: Rory Hutchings (57kg) T: Lee & Cherie Curtis		8		8	6.9
4. Don'tforgetmonica (9) J: Regan Bayliss (57kg) T: Cameron Crockett		4.8		5.5	5.4
5. Herzegovina (12) J: Matthew Palmer (57kg) T: S C Jones		13		13	12
6. Windsweep (10) J: Tommy Berry (57kg) T: P & P Snowden		7.5		6	6.4
7. Lady River (3) J: Jay Ford (56kg) T: S I Singleton		8.5		9	9.1
8. Nothing Too Hard (13) J: Ms Mikayla Weir (56kg) T: P M Perry		21		20	19.8
9. Confessed (5) J: Tim Clark (55kg) T: K A Lees		3.1		2.9	3.15
10. Dream Eclipse (1) J: Ms Kathy O'hara (55kg) T: Brooke Somers		19		18	20
11. Into The Oblivion (4) J: Serg Lisnyy (55kg) T: P M Perry		126		101	89
12. Buzz 'N' Joe (8) J: Ms Ellen Hennessy (55kg) T: Lauri Parker		34		34	26.5
13. Mercury (2) J: Ms Alysha Collett (55kg) T: Richard Litt		34		34	26.5

Odds Last Updated: January 19, 2022, 10:17am (AEDT)

(3) Byron will improve off the fresh run where he probably didn’t enjoy the heavy going. His form last prep was very good and he has plenty of upside still about him. If the track isn’t too wet he looks a big winning hope.

(5) Herzegovina will need a bit of luck but has a very strong record 2nd up. The first up performance was encouraging in a reasonably strong race and the winner there looks above average. Can bounce back here.

(1) Capri Lane was in form towards the end of last prep and is having first start for the new stable here. Will likely lead and looked good winning a recent trial.

Tip: (3) Byron - $4.80 at Sportsbet

Also Backing: (5) Herzegovina - $8.00 at TopSport

Betting Strategy: 0.5u WIN Byron, 0.5u WIN Herzegovina

Race 6 Karaka Online Catalogue (Bm64) (1500m) 5:15pm (AEDT)
1. Mihocek (9) J: Matthew Palmer (59.5kg) T: G Ryan & S Alexiou		5		5.5	4.7
2. Catapult (7) J: Ms Alysha Collett (59kg) T: Richard Litt		5		5	5
3. Mydeel (8) J: Sam Clipperton (59kg) T: Paul Messara		6.5		7	6.1
4. Toomai (3) J: Bailey Wheeler (58.5kg) T: K A Lees		5		5.5	5.3
5. Akatino (6) J: Tommy Berry (58kg) T: Matthew Smith		14		11	11.6
6. Just Tozza (5) J: Regan Bayliss (58kg) T: J C Coyle		5.5		5.5	5.6
7. Underboss (1) J: Serg Lisnyy (57.5kg) T: Ms K Waugh		19		18	20
8. Roseirro (4) J: Brock Ryan (56.5kg) T: T J Robinson		12		12	12.2
9. Danish Prince (2) J: Tim Clark (55kg) T: M C Conners		6		5.5	6.6
10. Buzz 'N' Joe (10) J: Unknown (55kg) T: Lauri Parker

Odds Last Updated: January 19, 2022, 10:17am (AEDT)

(4) Toomai looks well placed getting a good drop weight following a last start win over this trip. This only looks slightly tougher and she’ll carry 1.5kg less than she did there. Wheeler sticks for the ride and she draws well here today.

(2) Catapult drops in grade for this and will be the easiest race he’s contested for a while. Looks much more suited and up to 1500m finally will be appreciated.

(3) Mydeel is lightly raced and has more upside than a lot of these. Won well fresh and should be up on speed again today.

(1) Mihocek won well last start on the heavy and looks suited rising to the 1500m now. Still only the eight starts to his name and you’d expect him to keep improving. Think he looks ready for the trip and will be hard to hold out.

Tip: (4) Toomai - $5.50 at TopSport

Betting Strategy: No Bet

Race 7 Tab Long May We Play (Bm64) (1500m) 5:50pm (AEDT)
1. Carlisle Bay (6) J: Joshua Parr (59.5kg) T: M & D Kearney		5		5	5.6
2. Aerobatic Warrior (5) J: Koby Jennings (59kg) T: J G Sargent		16		16	16.2
3. Lennon (9) J: Chris Williams (59kg) T: L J Bridge		7		7	7
4. Rejoiced (8) J: Brodie Loy (59kg) T: Annabel Neasham		4		4	4.05
5. Yuralla Boy (7) J: Ms Mikayla Weir (58.5kg) T: T S Howlett		41		41	36
6. Mo The Great (1) J: Serg Lisnyy (58kg) T: Ms K Waugh		13		13	14.2
7. Tycoon Hallie (10) J: Mitchell Bell (58kg) T: Brad Widdup		2.6		2.7	2.5
8. Nicochet (11) J: Regan Bayliss (56.5kg) T: J C Coyle		15		16	12.6
9. Bobby Sox (4) J: Jeff Penza (55kg) T: P & M Cave		34		34	27
10. The Borough (2) J: Ms Ellen Hennessy (55kg) T: P M Perry		19		21	19.8
11. Chief Kidder (3) J: Jay Ford (55kg) T: Mark De Montfort		71		71	53

Odds Last Updated: January 19, 2022, 10:17am (AEDT)

If the rain doesn’t hit too hard, (7) Tycoon Hallie looks the best on a tough card. She took some winding up in the straight fresh but ran on very well and was strong through the line which tells me she will eat up this trip now. Will get back anyway so wide gate isn’t a concern and she looks ready to win – providing the track isn’t too wet.

(1) Carlisle Bay will be much more suited dropping back to this grade following a good run in a much stronger race last start. He maps to be just off the speed and will handle all conditions. If it’s heavy I probably want to be on her.

(8) Nicochet next best and loves it wet.

Tip: (7) Tycoon Hallie - $2.45 at TopSport

Betting Strategy: 2u WIN Tycoon Hallie