Racing Tips

Pakenham Racing Tips: Thursday, March 11th

Racing at Pakenham on Thursday night and Trent Crebbin has three bets across the card.

by
Trent Crebbin
11 March 2021

Racing at Pakenham tonight with an eight race card set to take place under lights.

Trent Crebbin got his best bet and best value home yesterday, and his best of the night comes up in Race 7.

The track is rated a good 4 and the rail is out 9 metres.

Race 1

John Duff & Co Mdn Plate (1000m)
6:00pm (AEDT)

Race 1 John Duff & Co Mdn Plate (1000m) 6:00pm (AEDT)
1. Tycoon Jack (7) J: Ms Celine Gaudray (59.5kg) T: G T Jolly	91	81	71	151	95	71
2. Liberalized (1) J: Lachlan King (59kg) T: Ben Brisbourne	3.7	4	4	4	4.05	3.9
3. Lyrical Lad (6) J: Ben Allen (59kg) T: P Stokes	1.7	1.7	1.65	1.75	1.76	1.7
4. Reward The Bold (5) J: Jason Maskiell (59kg) T: Kelvin Southey	6	5.5	5.5	6	6	5
5. Wanted Spark (4) J: Damien Thornton (59kg) T: S Fliedner	12	9.5	11	12	10.2	13
6. Run Dance Fly (2) J: Miss Samantha Noble (57.5kg) T: S G Noble	26	26	31	26	26.5	26
7. Unanchored (3) J: Damian Lane (57.5kg) T: Bill Papazaharoudakis	21	19	11	14	13.8	18
8. Request (8) J: Jye Mcneil (57kg) T: R Griffiths & M De Kock

Odds Last Updated: March 11, 2021, 6:01pm (AEDT)

Happy to be with the Stokes debutant in (3) Lyrical Lad who has jumped out well on his home track and can get away with a fairly weak maiden. So often we see Stokes’ runners on debut at Pakenham very hard to beat and I think that’ll be the case again.

(2) Liberalized resumes having run 2^nd at both starts last time in and a similar level of performance makes him an obvious chance.

Tip: (3) Lyrical Lad- $2.10 at Sportsbet

Betting Strategy: 1.5 units WIN Lyrical Lad

Race 2

Watch Live On Sportsbet Mdn (1200m)
6:30pm (AEDT)

Race 2 Watch Live On Sportsbet Mdn (1200m) 6:30pm (AEDT)
1. Magnetic (7) J: Lachlan King (58kg) T: L & T Corstens
2. O'lucky (2) J: Jamie Mott (58kg) T: G Eurell	10	10	9.5	11	8.6	10
3. Vintage Icon (1) J: Jason Maskiell (58kg) T: R J Besanko	201	151	151	201	181	151
4. Americain Angel (4) J: Damian Lane (56kg) T: D T O'brien	1.8	1.8	1.75	1.75	1.76	1.8
5. Blue Angel (5) J: Daniel Moor (56kg) T: T Busuttin & N Young
6. Designs (10) J: Ms Jamie Kah (56kg) T: A & S Freedman	3.4	3.6	3.6	4	3.7	4
7. Kaboom (3) J: Zac Spain (56kg) T: M Price & M Kent Jnr	14	15	14	16	16.2	16
8. Malted Missile (8) J: Damien Thornton (56kg) T: R Griffiths & M De Kock	35	34	34	51	49	34
9. Miss Ostentatious (9) J: Jason Benbow (56kg) T: Charlotte Littlefield	201	201	151	201	221	151
10. The Motley Fool (6) J: Michael Walker (56kg) T: M Price & M Kent Jnr	6	6.5	5.5	7	6.6	6

Odds Last Updated: March 11, 2021, 6:32pm (AEDT)

Race 3

Equine Train Tomorrow Mdn (1400m)
7:00pm (AEDT)

Race 3 Equine Train Tomorrow Mdn (1400m) 7:00pm (AEDT)
1. Crafty Eyes (1) J: Damien Thornton (59.5kg) T: B J Mccarthy	101	91	101	151	141	81
2. Embrace The Force (8) J: Liam Riordan (59.5kg) T: Ms C Boyd	126	101	81	101	111	81
3. Jack's Honour (5) J: Randy Tan (59.5kg) T: R J Besanko	21	26	21	21	23	26
4. Beau Jasper (3) J: Zac Spain (59kg) T: M Price & M Kent Jnr	4.8	4.8	4.8	5	4.55	4.8
5. Kermy (12) J: Michael Poy (59kg) T: P Stokes
6. Dane Spirit (6) J: Brian Higgins (57.5kg) T: Ebony Tucker	151	126	101	151	151	101
7. Georgie's Princess (9) J: Jamie Mott (57.5kg) T: Alexander Rae	5	4.8	4.8	5	5	4.8
8. Our Little Ripper (4) J: Matthew Cartwright (57.5kg) T: Ms L Tolson & Ms L Proctor	11	11	11	14	12.6	10
9. Crystal Dynasty (10) J: Jye Mcneil (57kg) T: C Maher & D Eustace	7	7	7	7.5	6.9	7
10. French Boss (7) J: Daniel Stackhouse (57kg) T: S P Nichols	17	19	19	19	16	21
11. La Marsa (2) J: Michael Dee (57kg) T: T Busuttin & N Young	2.7	2.7	2.7	2.8	2.8	2.7
12. Oh So Far (11) J: Damian Lane (57kg) T: M C Kent	8.5	8	8.5	8.5	7.5	8.5

Odds Last Updated: March 11, 2021, 7:03pm (AEDT)

Race 4

Gg Engineering Mdn Plate (1600m)
7:30pm (AEDT)

Race 4 Gg Engineering Mdn Plate (1600m) 7:30pm (AEDT)
1. Kyiv Prince (8) J: Patrick Moloney (59.5kg) T: Saab Hasan	126	126	101	101	161	126
2. Rebuttal (1) J: Michael Poy (59.5kg) T: Dean Grass	151	101	91	101	161	81
3. Mongolian (10) J: Jason Benbow (59kg) T: D C Harrison	81	81	91	101	111	81
4. Newzeel Deal (11) J: Jamie Mott (59kg) T: Ms C Alderson	3.6	3.7	3.8	3.8	3.9	4
5. Politicalinfluence (6) J: Daniel Stackhouse (59kg) T: S P Nichols
6. Pulitzer Prize (9) J: Michael Dee (59kg) T: M Price & M Kent Jnr	15	14	15	14	14.4	14
7. Groovy Kinda Love (3) J: Damian Lane (57.5kg) T: M C Kent	2.3	2.3	2.25	2.3	2.15	2.4
8. Shakhani (4) J: Jason Maskiell (57.5kg) T: Rachael Cunningham
9. Aeecee Dame (7) J: Damien Thornton (57kg) T: C J Waller	5	6	6.5	6	5.8	6
10. And She Was (2) J: Jye Mcneil (57kg) T: K & K Keys	12	12	11	10	11.6	11
11. Glamdam (5) J: Daniel Moor (57kg) T: T Busuttin & N Young	6	6	6.5	6.5	6.6	6

Odds Last Updated: March 11, 2021, 7:31pm (AEDT)

I liked the way (9) Aeecee Dame finished off on debut, running the best closing splits of the race behind Captain Spud who is a handy horse. The step up to 1600m is ideal and the $5 is a fair price.

(7) Groovy Kinda Love is the horse to beat coming off a 2^nd to Derive. She’s taken on some strong maidens and been very competitive, including one at this T/D.

Tip: (9) Aeecee Dame- $5.00 at Sportsbet

Betting Strategy: 1 unit WIN Aeecee Dame

Race 5

Iron Jack Aust. Lagers (Bm70) (1600m)
8:00pm (AEDT)

Race 5 Iron Jack Aust. Lagers (Bm70) (1600m) 8:00pm (AEDT)
1. She's On Time (5) J: Jamie Mott (61kg) T: Ms C Alderson	5.5	5.5	5.5	5.5	5.5	5.5
2. Pelonomena (2) J: Luke Nolen (60.5kg) T: M C Kent	15	14	13	11	12.6	14
3. Ruby Street (3) J: Ben Allen (58.5kg) T: K L Corstens	1.65	1.75	1.75	1.8	1.78	1.7
4. Red Light Roxanne (6) J: Daniel Moor (57.5kg) T: Shawn Mathrick	15	16	16	16	14.4	16
5. Starlight Scope (4) J: Patrick Moloney (55.5kg) T: P G Carey
6. Livvy Lass (1) J: Jye Mcneil (55kg) T: M D Moroney	3.6	3.7	3.6	3.7	3.3	3.8

Odds Last Updated: March 11, 2021, 8:01pm (AEDT)

Race 6

Red Gem Packers & Growers (C1) (1400m)
8:30pm (AEDT)

Race 6 Red Gem Packers & Growers (C1) (1400m) 8:30pm (AEDT)
1. Flickitova (1) J: Jye Mcneil (58.5kg) T: C Maher & D Eustace	11	10	11	11	11.2	11
2. Galaxy Turf (8) J: Jamie Mott (58kg) T: B J Mccarthy	12	12	12	12	13	13
3. Gunner Get It Dunn (2) J: Liam Riordan (58kg) T: Nathan Dunn	26	26	21	21	23.5	26
4. Hinto Blue (9) J: Daniel Stackhouse (58kg) T: T Dabernig & B Hayes	5	5	5	5	4.65	5.5
5. Born To Succeed (4) J: Michael Poy (57.5kg) T: Saab Hasan	41	34	41	41	33	41
6. Royal Gun Salute (13) J: Luke Nolen (57kg) T: P Stokes	3.2	3.2	2.8	3.2	3.05	3.1
7. Queen Of Rocks (6) J: Damian Lane (56.5kg) T: T Dabernig & B Hayes	3.4	3.4	3.4	3.6	3.5	3.4
8. Vancouver Lad (11) J: Matthew Allen (56.5kg) T: R Griffiths & M De Kock
9. Whatarap (3) J: Jason Benbow (56.5kg) T: D C Harrison	17	17	16	15	21.5	21
10. No Puzzle (5) J: Jack Hill (56kg) T: Charlotte Littlefield	9	10	6.5	10	8.4	11
11. Jacin Talee (10) J: Damien Thornton (55kg) T: Shane Stockdale	34	41	34	34	38	41
12. So Awesome (7) J: Patrick Moloney (55kg) T: B J Mccarthy	151	126	101	101	141	151
13. Madame Boitier (12) J: Daniel Moor (58kg) T: S Morrish

Odds Last Updated: March 11, 2021, 8:31pm (AEDT)

Race 7

Kennards Hire Pakenham (Bm64) (1400m)
9:00pm (AEDT)

Race 7 Kennards Hire Pakenham (Bm64) (1400m) 9:00pm (AEDT)
1. Falls (11) J: Daniel Stackhouse (61.5kg) T: M C Kent	9	9.5	9	10	7.8	11
2. Indernile (9) J: Patrick Moloney (61.5kg) T: G M Moloney	5.5	5.5	5.5	5.5	4.95	5.5
3. Fiorente's Girl (7) J: Damian Lane (60.5kg) T: Scott Cameron	9	8.5	9	9	9.1	8.5
4. Antarctic Ocean (12) J: Jarrod Fry (60kg) T: Smiley Chan	21	20	20	18	20.5	23
5. No Change (1) J: Jamie Mott (60kg) T: Shane Stockdale	15	15	16	16	14	15
6. Heljami (4) J: Ben Allen (59.5kg) T: C Maher & D Eustace	12	11	11	12	12	11
7. Cuban State (10) J: Jye Mcneil (59kg) T: T & C Mcevoy
8. Count Of Carford (8) J: Jason Maskiell (57.5kg) T: B J Mccarthy	14	14	14	15	13.4	14
9. All Too Terrific (6) J: Lachlan King (56.5kg) T: L & T Corstens	35	41	51	41	40	41
10. Scream Dream (2) J: Zac Spain (56.5kg) T: Lloyd Kennewell	2	2	2.1	2.1	2.1	2.25
11. Surin Beach (5) J: Damien Thornton (56.5kg) T: S Fliedner
12. Changing Tracks (3) J: Jason Benbow (55.5kg) T: Paul & Tracey Templeton	19	18	18	18	19.2	19

Odds Last Updated: March 11, 2021, 9:01pm (AEDT)

Surely lightning can’t strike twice with (10) Scream Dream. She should’ve won last start after drawing barrier one and getting badly held up, flashing late. Hopefully barrier 2 is a touch kinder and I’d expect Spain to make amends and get off the fence wherever possible. On talent she’s got a couple of lengths on these and should be winning.

(3) Fiorente’s Girl can improve lengths 2^nd up after a solid run first up in bm70 grade. Her 2^nd up record is good and Lane sticks.

Tip: (10) Scream Dream- $2.05 at Sportsbetting

Betting Strategy: 2.5 units WIN Scream Dream

Race 8

Sportsbet Same Race Multi-Bm64 (1200m)
9:30pm (AEDT)

Race 8 Sportsbet Same Race Multi-Bm64 (1200m) 9:30pm (AEDT)
1. Rock My Frock (11) J: Ms Celine Gaudray (60.5kg) T: J Warren & D Krongold
2. The Great Bratski (12) J: Arron Lynch (60kg) T: Christine Sexton	23	26	26	26	23.5	31
3. Montia (10) J: Luke Nolen (59.5kg) T: T Dabernig & B Hayes	9	9	9	10	9.5	9
4. Cardice (2) J: Patrick Moloney (59kg) T: C W Little	11	10	10	12	12.2	10
5. Over There (1) J: Jamie Mott (59kg) T: Shane Stockdale	4.6	4.6	4.6	4.6	4.4	4.8
6. Wide Awake (5) J: Damian Lane (59kg) T: T Dabernig & B Hayes	5	5	5	5	4.8	5
7. Leggero (8) J: Dylan Dunn (58.5kg) T: P L Caboche	21	20	16	19	18.4	19
8. Promada (4) J: Jake Noonan (58.5kg) T: A W Noonan
9. Arlark Mofeed (3) J: Daniel Stackhouse (58kg) T: P Stokes	6	5.5	5.5	5.5	5.3	5.5
10. Bailarin (7) J: Damien Thornton (58kg) T: J Warren & D Krongold	31	31	34	41	38	31
11. Yosemite (9) J: Jye Mcneil (58kg) T: R Griffiths & M De Kock	3.2	3.3	3.4	3.4	3.3	3.6
12. The Sisters (6) J: Jack Martin (57.5kg) T: P G Carey

Odds Last Updated: March 11, 2021, 9:31pm (AEDT)

Trent Crebbin

Trent’s interest in the thoroughbred started out as a spark with Black Caviar, became a flame with Winx, and has now intensified into a burning obsession with Arcadia Queen. He started out throwing loose change on random trifectas at the pub, but it wasn’t long before he was watching replays and looking at sectionals, weights and markets. Trent specializes in Victorian racing and hopes his first winner as an owner is just around the corner.