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Happy Valley Racing Tips: Wednesday, March 10th

Wednesday nights are reserved for Hong Kong horse racing at Happy Valley, and Tim Geers is keen to bet into four races on tonight’s card.

Happy Valley Racing Tips

Wednesday nights are reserved for Hong Kong horse racing at Happy Valley, and we have another nine races to sink our teeth into tonight!

Tonight’s meeting is on the B course and the first is set to jump at 6.45pm local time (9.45pm AEDT).

Tim Geers is keen to bet into four races on the card, those being Race 3, Race 5, Race 7 and Race 9.

Find his preview, tips, analysis and betting strategy below!

Best Bet: Race 5 – (1) Stock Legend

0

Race 1

Po Loi Hcp (C4) (1650m)
9:45pm (AEDT)

Race 1

Po Loi Hcp (C4) (1650m)
9:45pm (AEDT)

1. Charge On (8) J: Z Purton (60.5kg) T: D J Hall
4.44.44.24.24.3
2. Regency Master (6) J: M F Poon (59.5kg) T: C S Shum
1514131313.6
3. More Than Enough (9) J: N Callan (57.5kg) T: A S Cruz
5.55555
4. Rainbow Light (4) J: K Teetan (55.5kg) T: D Whyte
8.5910108.8
5. Cigary (2) J: Alex Lai (54.5kg) T: Y S Tsui
919110110187
6. Super Hong Kong (7) J: R Maia (54.5kg) T: A T Millard
6151515149
7. Thunder Stomp (5) J: J Moreira (53.5kg) T: Y S Tsui
2.82.82.92.92.7
8. Amazing Luck (3) J: M Chadwick (52.5kg) T: P D O'sullivan
2321212120.5
9. Stay Chill (1) J: C Y Ho (52.5kg) T: W Y So
4.84.8554.75

Odds Last Updated: March 10, 2021, 9:46pm (AEDT)

0

Race 2

Po Loi Hcp (C4) (1650m)
10:15pm (AEDT)

Race 2

Po Loi Hcp (C4) (1650m)
10:15pm (AEDT)

1. Tangmere (2) J: B Shinn (60.5kg) T: C Fownes
7.577.577
2. Dream Warriors (9) J: K Teetan (58.5kg) T: A S Cruz
87.57.57.57.4
3. All You Know (1) J: K C Leung (57.5kg) T: Richard Gibson
109.5999.5
4. Happy Win Win (5) J: A Hamelin (56.5kg) T: C H Yip
1514141414.4
5. Circuit Hero (8) J: N Callan (56kg) T: P Yiu
919110110191
6. Triumphant Horse (6) J: R Maia (56kg) T: K H Ting
7. Red Brick Fighter (3) J: M F Poon (55kg) T: D J Hall
4.64.84.44.44.7
8. Copartner Era (4) J: C Y Ho (53kg) T: W Y So
4.64.64.84.84.65
9. Shanghai Grace (7) J: J Moreira (52kg) T: Y S Tsui
2.933.13.13

Odds Last Updated: March 10, 2021, 10:16pm (AEDT)

0

Race 3

Wuhu Hcp (C5) (1200m)
10:45pm (AEDT)

Race 3

Wuhu Hcp (C5) (1200m)
10:45pm (AEDT)

1. Jade Theatre (9) J: N Callan (60.5kg) T: K L Man
1110101010
2. Smart Charade (6) J: K Teetan (60.5kg) T: W Y So
4.64.64.84.84.5
3. After Me (2) J: Alex Lai (60kg) T: D Ferraris
1212141412
4. Ka Fortune (1) J: K C Leung (60kg) T: P D O'sullivan
4.84.84.84.84.8
5. Universal Crown (4) J: M L Yeung (60kg) T: D Whyte
1516171715.2
6. Fantastic Fabio (8) J: Z Purton (59kg) T: C H Yip
87.56.56.57.5
7. Prawn Yeah Yeah (11) J: C Y Ho (58kg) T: Richard Gibson
5151344151
8. Shanghai Power (5) J: M F Poon (56kg) T: Y S Tsui
9.59998.9
9. Vega Rhythm (10) J: M Chadwick (55kg) T: L Ho
4631414140
10. Tigerlad (12) J: A Hamelin (54.5kg) T: A T Millard
2020181819.8
11. Lucky Victor (3) J: H N Wong (53kg) T: K H Ting
3534413435
12. Wonder Brahma (7) J: J Moreira (53kg) T: C Fownes
4.84.8554.8

Odds Last Updated: March 10, 2021, 10:46pm (AEDT)

Think it’s worth having something (4) Ka Fortune here at $5.50. He could either firm or completely blow out in betting, not sure which way it will go. He’s first up for a new stable tonight and has had two trials leading in. He ran second last in the first of those and last in the most recent one. However, he wasn’t put under any pressure at all and was only 3L off the winner in a small field. I actually thought he moved quite well. He ran 2nd at Sha Tin first up last prep, and then 2nd again second up here at The Valley. If he has improved at all for the new trainer, he should be very competitive, and barrier 1 is a big advantage over the 1200m here.

Tip: (4) Ka Fortune $5.50 TopSport

Betting Strategy: 1 unit WIN Ka Fortune

0

Race 4

Gillies Hcp (C4) (1200m)
11:15pm (AEDT)

Race 4

Gillies Hcp (C4) (1200m)
11:15pm (AEDT)

1. Colonel (12) J: A K Chan (60.5kg) T: P Yiu
6151414155
2. Prance Dragon (8) J: C Y Ho (59kg) T: T P Yung
98.5888.5
3. Seven Heavens (5) J: B Shinn (59kg) T: C Fownes
3.63.73.83.83.7
4. Goodmanship (7) J: K Teetan (56.5kg) T: D Whyte
88887.8
5. Lucky Treasure (10) J: N Callan (56.5kg) T: K H Ting
6151414149
6. Travel Glory (3) J: A Hamelin (56.5kg) T: C W Chang
1113161613
7. Oriental Amigo (11) J: R Maia (56kg) T: Y S Tsui
6161515161
8. Star Of Wuyi (4) J: J Moreira (55kg) T: K W Lui
3.13.33.33.33.2
9. Hot Chili Pepper (9) J: M Chadwick (54kg) T: C S Shum
1212111111.6
10. Hero Star (1) J: K C Leung (52.5kg) T: K L Man
4.84.8554.55
11. Winner's Heart (6) J: M F Poon (52kg) T: F C Lor
8181818177
12. Kelmimi Wins (2) J: Alex Lai (51.5kg) T: D Ferraris
151151201201141

Odds Last Updated: March 10, 2021, 11:16pm (AEDT)

0

Race 5

Gillies Hcp (C4) (1200m)
11:45pm (AEDT)

Race 5

Gillies Hcp (C4) (1200m)
11:45pm (AEDT)

1. Stock Legend (2) J: J Moreira (60.5kg) T: K W Lui
2.052.152.12.12.05
2. Whiskey Neat (3) J: A K Chan (59kg) T: C Fownes
8.58.5888.4
3. Everyone's Victory (6) J: K Teetan (56.5kg) T: F C Lor
788.58.57.8
4. Exuberant (4) J: A Hamelin (56.5kg) T: C S Shum
7171717169
5. Lotus Favorites (11) J: M F Poon (56.5kg) T: D J Hall
201201201201181
6. Romantic Trove (10) J: Z Purton (56.5kg) T: W Y So
3.23.23.33.33.15
7. Sam's Love (5) J: N Callan (56kg) T: C H Yip
1818191918.2
8. Lucky Maryknoll (1) J: B Shinn (55kg) T: D A Hayes
7171717169
9. Happily Friends (8) J: C Y Ho (53.5kg) T: K H Ting
1716151516
10. Joyful Moments (12) J: H N Wong (52kg) T: C W Chang
251201201201201
11. Vector (9) J: M L Yeung (52kg) T: A S Cruz
4141515140
12. Carry The Diamond (7) J: M Chadwick (51.5kg) T: Richard Gibson
1717161616.6

Odds Last Updated: March 10, 2021, 11:46pm (AEDT)

Happy to forgive (1) Stock Legend for last start and I’ll be buttering up again on him tonight. He drew barrier 12 last time out and had to do plenty of work to get outside the leader. That work took away from his big finish and he was only plain in the straight. He draws much better in barrier 2 tonight so he won’t have to work and he probably doesn’t have to lead either. Moreira sticks with him and he looks very hard to beat.

Tip: (1) Stock Legend $2.10 Ladbrokes

Betting Strategy: 3 units WIN Stock Legend

0

Race 6

Chatham Hcp (C4) (1000m)
12:15am (AEDT)

Race 6

Chatham Hcp (C4) (1000m)
12:15am (AEDT)

1. Jolly Good Heart (5) J: A K Chan (60.5kg) T: T P Yung
87.57.57.57.3
2. Telecom Puma (11) J: J Moreira (59.5kg) T: C Fownes
4.84.84.24.24.6
3. Victory In Hand (9) J: C Y Ho (58.5kg) T: K W Lui
98.58.58.58.2
4. Joyful Win (12) J: K C Leung (58kg) T: P Yiu
998.58.58.6
5. Flaming Passion (10) J: K Teetan (57kg) T: F C Lor
3.543.943.8
6. Legend Goes (3) J: B Shinn (57kg) T: P D O'sullivan
7171677169
7. Magic Bonus (4) J: M L Yeung (57kg) T: D A Hayes
101126101101101
8. Spicy So Good (8) J: Z Purton (57kg) T: C S Shum
8.587.56.57.6
9. Pichu (7) J: N Callan (56kg) T: K H Ting
9110110110195
10. U W Brother (2) J: A Hamelin (54kg) T: Y S Tsui
1313131312.4
11. Travel Datuk (6) J: M F Poon (53.5kg) T: Richard Gibson
7.577.57.56.8
12. Valiant Elegance (1) J: M Chadwick (52kg) T: D Whyte
1312101011.2

Odds Last Updated: March 11, 2021, 10:02am (AEDT)

0

Race 7

Bulkeley Hcp (C3) (1800m)
12:45am (AEDT)

Race 7

Bulkeley Hcp (C3) (1800m)
12:45am (AEDT)

1. Alpha Hedge (1) J: A Hamelin (60.5kg) T: K W Lui
3131313131
2. Golden Spectrum (6) J: R Maia (60kg) T: A S Cruz
6.566.56.56.1
3. Namjong Plus (10) J: M F Poon (59kg) T: Y S Tsui
2321262622.5
4. World Famous (3) J: K C Leung (57.5kg) T: P Yiu
4.85554.95
5. Turin Redstar (9) J: N Callan (57kg) T: C H Yip
3131313131
6. Helene Wisdom Star (11) J: Z Purton (56.5kg) T: A S Cruz
3.83.73.93.93.75
7. Casimiro (8) J: M Chadwick (55kg) T: P D O'sullivan
1919202019
8. Murray's Partners (5) J: A K Chan (54.5kg) T: C H Yip
2121212121
9. Clement Legend (2) J: C Y Ho (53.5kg) T: C S Shum
1413131313
10. Fast Pace (4) J: J Moreira (52.5kg) T: C Fownes
3.943.73.73.9
11. Xiang Bai Qi (7) J: K Teetan (52.5kg) T: D Ferraris
10119.59.510.8

Odds Last Updated: March 11, 2021, 10:02am (AEDT)

Think Moreira has another good chance here, teaming up with Casper Fownes. These two strike at close to 30%. (10) Fast Pace just continues to run well, placing in his past four starts, and he’s been no further than a long neck off the winner in any of those. He now steps up from Class 4 to Class 3 and drops 8kg in the weights as a result of that class rise. Draws well in barrier 4 and with even luck he should be right in the finish.

Tip: (10) Fast Pace $4.20 Bet365

Betting Strategy: 1 unit WIN Fast Pace

0

Race 8

Baker Hcp (C3) (1200m)
1:15am (AEDT)

Race 8

Baker Hcp (C3) (1200m)
1:15am (AEDT)

1. Stanley Park (7) J: B Shinn (60.5kg) T: D Ferraris
1615161615.4
2. Wind N Grass (9) J: K Teetan (60.5kg) T: J J Size
6.57.56.56.56.5
3. California Concord (8) J: N Callan (59.5kg) T: A S Cruz
5151616151
4. Capital Star (6) J: J Moreira (59kg) T: C Fownes
1.61.551.651.651.56
5. Beauty Amigo (1) J: M F Poon (57.5kg) T: D A Hayes
3541414139
6. Kinda Cool (10) J: Z Purton (57.5kg) T: F C Lor
78.5887.9
7. Alcari (12) J: R Maia (56kg) T: P Yiu
2121212120.5
8. Meridian Genius (4) J: K C Leung (55.5kg) T: A T Millard
3541414139
9. First Responder (2) J: A Hamelin (52.5kg) T: D Whyte
1212141411.8
10. What A Legend (5) J: C Y Ho (52.5kg) T: K H Ting
1820191918.6
11. Super Power Man (3) J: M Chadwick (52kg) T: K L Man
91101919191
12. Starz Hero (11) J: H T Mo (51.5kg) T: Y S Tsui
3134343433

Odds Last Updated: March 11, 2021, 10:02am (AEDT)

0

Race 9

Baker Hcp (C3) (1200m)
1:50am (AEDT)

Race 9

Baker Hcp (C3) (1200m)
1:50am (AEDT)

1. Ka Ying Master (2) J: Z Purton (60.5kg) T: T P Yung
2.52.62.62.62.6
2. Young Legend (3) J: H N Wong (60kg) T: C S Shum
3131313131
3. Equaletta Blitz (11) J: K C Leung (58.5kg) T: K H Ting
1515141415
4. Utopia Life (7) J: A K Chan (57kg) T: K L Man
7167717169
5. Circuit Seven (4) J: R Maia (55kg) T: A S Cruz
6161676761
6. High Rise Soldier (6) J: C Y Ho (55kg) T: K W Lui
6.56.56.56.56.5
7. Strive For Glory (1) J: A Hamelin (55kg) T: F C Lor
88888
8. Shouson (8) J: M F Poon (53.5kg) T: A T Millard
9.58.5998.9
9. Aurora Pegasus (9) J: J Moreira (53kg) T: C Fownes
4.54.44.44.44.4
10. Harrier Jet (10) J: M L Yeung (52kg) T: P D O'sullivan
4651414145
11. Hercules (12) J: M Chadwick (52kg) T: C H Yip
2731313130
12. Nordic Warrior (5) J: K Teetan (51.5kg) T: Richard Gibson
98.5998.6

Odds Last Updated: March 11, 2021, 10:02am (AEDT)

Really nice race to finish things off and I think it comes down to three main chances.

(1) Ka Ying Master won over track and distance two starts ago, then went down by a neck last start carrying a similar weight. He started from barrier 2 that night and gets the identical draw tonight, so with Purton sticking, there is no reason he shouldn’t be right in the thick of things again.

(9) Aurora Pegasus was first up from a 10-week break last start. He got back in the field and finished off well, which was encouraging because his form had tapered off. When he’s right, he’s very good and that run showed that he might be coming back into form. Moreira sticks with him, he’s lightly weighted and despite having a tricky draw, I expect him to go close.

The other horse is right at the bottom of the weights, (12) Nordic Warrior. He won over track and distance in Class 4 last start and then stepped up to Class 3 last start. His run was very good. He settled back in the field, ran into traffic and then finished off strongly into 4th. That was on the same night as Aurora Pegasus and he finished off in a much better final 400m than Aurora Pegasus the race earlier, despite only going fractionally slower early. Stays with 51.5kg, draws well in barrier 5 and also gets a positive jockey change with Karis Teetan going on. $8.00 is a good price.

I’ll be backing Ka Ying Master and Nordic Warrior, with a saver on Aurora Pegasus (see betting strategy below).

Tip: (1) Ka Ying Master $2.80 Bet365

Also Backing: (12) Nordic Warrior $8.00 Sportsbet

Saver: (9) Aurora Pegasus $6.00 Bet365

Betting Strategy: 2 units WIN Ka Ying Master, 0.75 units WIN Nordic Warrior, 0.5 units WIN Aurora Pegasus

A trip to Hong Kong quickly had Tim hooked to the racing caper, maintaining the best place anywhere in the world on a Wednesday night is Happy Valley. He holds a strong interest in the Hong Kong form, along with the metropolitan racing in Sydney and Melbourne. He’s a fan of dry tracks, Zac Purton and takes particular interest in identifying patterns in the form. Tim wears many hats, juggling the roles of form analyst, jockey manager and racehorse owner.

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