Racing Tips

Pakenham Racing Tips: Thursday, March 25th

Racing at Pakenham tonight and Trent Crebbin has two best bets on the card, including one at double figures.

by
Trent Crebbin
24 March 2021

Racing at Pakenham tonight and Trent Crebbin has two best bets on the card, including a home tracker at $10.00 in Race 6.

The rail is out 2m from the 1000-400m and true for the remainder, and the track is rated a soft 7 which could see them get off the fence.

Race 1

Watch Live On Sportsbet Mdn (1200m)
6:00pm (AEDT)

Race 1 Watch Live On Sportsbet Mdn (1200m) 6:00pm (AEDT)
1. Amegdul (6) J: Damien Oliver (58kg) T: James Cummings	4.2	4.2	4.2	4.6	4.05	4.2
2. Centre Of Gravity (7) J: Ben Allen (58kg) T: C Maher & D Eustace	14	14	14	15	14.8	14
3. Dollar Chaser (3) J: Damian Lane (58kg) T: Bill Papazaharoudakis	21	21	21	20	25	23
4. Edge Of Reward (2) J: Michael Walker (58kg) T: Ms C Alderson	6.5	6.5	6.5	7	6.3	6
5. Kick (5) J: Mark Zahra (58kg) T: A & S Freedman	5	5	4.6	4.6	5.1	5
6. Laterally (10) J: Jamie Mott (58kg) T: Richard Laming	18	19	18	19	18.8	21
7. Morecoruba (11) J: Ms Carleen Hefel (58kg) T: J R Welsh	21	21	21	26	24.5	23
8. Patton (1) J: Craig Williams (58kg) T: M, W & J Hawkes	2.8	2.9	2.8	3	2.65	2.8
9. Victory Bay (13) J: Brian Higgins (58kg) T: P G Moody
10. Audrey Girl (8) J: Daniel Moor (56kg) T: T Busuttin & N Young
11. Realised (4) J: Jye Mcneil (56kg) T: C Maher & D Eustace	11	11	10	12	13.2	10
12. Tagomago (12) J: Joe Bowditch (56kg) T: Lloyd Kennewell
13. Give Me Reward (9) J: Unknown (56kg) T: M Croston & G Gilmour

Odds Last Updated: March 25, 2021, 6:01pm (AEDT)

Race 2

Obrien Real Estate Mdn (1200m)
6:30pm (AEDT)

Race 2 Obrien Real Estate Mdn (1200m) 6:30pm (AEDT)
1. Arctic Stone (4) J: Jake Noonan (57kg) T: M D Moroney	9	8.5	9	9.5	9.5	8.5
2. Beautox (8) J: Ben Allen (57kg) T: C Maher & D Eustace
3. Cornucopia (1) J: Jamie Mott (57kg) T: R Griffiths & M De Kock	4.8	5.5	4.6	5	4.4	5.5
4. De Be Eleven (12) J: Daniel Stackhouse (57kg) T: M D Moroney
5. Evening Out (10) J: Ms Alexandra Bryan (57kg) T: R J Besanko	61	51	61	61	59	51
6. Gidee Up Gal (5) J: Zac Spain (57kg) T: C W Mcdonald	23	21	26	21	23.5	21
7. I'm Still Standing (6) J: Damien Thornton (57kg) T: G A Thornton
8. Merlin's Charm (13) J: Unknown (57kg) T: Ms W Kelly
9. More Secrets (2) J: Craig Williams (57kg) T: M, W & J Hawkes	1.95	1.85	1.9	2	1.9	1.85
10. Stornoway Lass (11) J: Beau Mertens (57kg) T: J Leek Jnr	51	51	61	61	63	41
11. Tarantello (3) J: Jye Mcneil (57kg) T: Ms C Alderson	3.6	3.4	3.3	3.7	3.6	3.3
12. Velvet Harmony (9) J: Jack Martin (57kg) T: P G Carey	71	61	61	61	69	51
13. Aliesha (7) J: Unknown (57kg) T: Chris Meagher

Odds Last Updated: March 25, 2021, 6:31pm (AEDT)

(11) Tarantello looks a fair price and worthy of a play. The soft ground is some query given she was beaten out of sight in her first two career runs which were on rain affected tracks, but she’s had 2 spells since then and may be a different horse. Her form last prep definitely reads well enough for this and she maps well.

(9) More Secrets the obvious threat for Willo and team Hawkes on debut, but I think Tarantello has the runs on the board.

Tip: (11) Tarantello- $4.20 at Sportsbet

Betting Strategy: 1 unit WIN Tarantello

Race 3

Lia Spencer Sge Mdn Plate (1400m)
7:00pm (AEDT)

Race 3 Lia Spencer Sge Mdn Plate (1400m) 7:00pm (AEDT)
1. Beau Rock (3) J: Daniel Moor (58kg) T: M Ellerton & S Zahra
2. Bunchan (9) J: Jake Noonan (58kg) T: M D Hinton	71	71	81	71	73	71
3. Doctor Rick (5) J: Patrick Moloney (58kg) T: P G Carey	51	61	41	61	63	41
4. Lionel (8) J: Ben Allen (58kg) T: P Stokes	10	10	10	12	10.2	10
5. Santadeal (2) J: Craig Williams (58kg) T: M, W & J Hawkes	4.2	4.2	4.2	4.6	4.35	4
6. Silver Mayne (10) J: Damien Thornton (58kg) T: G A Thornton	31	41	31	31	41	31
7. Stats (11) J: Jamie Mott (58kg) T: G Eurell
8. The Ronin Dreams (1) J: Jye Mcneil (58kg) T: Lisa Jones	27	26	26	26	32	26
9. Vintage Icon (7) J: Beau Mertens (58kg) T: R J Besanko	91	101	101	126	131	101
10. Americain Angel (4) J: Damian Lane (56kg) T: D T O'brien	1.4	1.45	1.45	1.5	1.44	1.45
11. Oceanarium (6) J: Damien Oliver (56kg) T: D T O'brien	9	9	10	11	8.5	9

Odds Last Updated: March 25, 2021, 7:01pm (AEDT)

Race 4

Battery Zone Mdn Plate (1400m)
7:30pm (AEDT)

Race 4 Battery Zone Mdn Plate (1400m) 7:30pm (AEDT)
1. Jim Bob (10) J: Damien Thornton (59.5kg) T: T Rogers
2. Piercings (8) J: Jason Benbow (59.5kg) T: Tara Taggart	71	91	101	101	111	101
3. Silkihim (2) J: Jamie Mott (59.5kg) T: Jamie Edwards	11	11	12	12	9.5	12
4. Stratum's Reward (13) J: Ben Allen (59.5kg) T: A R Mcgregor	35	41	41	41	49	41
5. White Hart Express (9) J: Arron Lynch (59.5kg) T: David & Coral Feek	51	61	61	61	40	61
6. Dane Spirit (5) J: Unknown (57.5kg) T: Ebony Tucker
7. Feminine Mystique (6) J: Damien Oliver (57.5kg) T: Richard Laming	2.9	3	2.8	2.9	2.9	2.8
8. Needlework (11) J: Brian Higgins (57.5kg) T: S C Bottomley	8.5	8	8	8.5	8	8
9. Our Ginger Ninja (1) J: Joe Bowditch (57.5kg) T: P C Bartlett	8	8	7.5	8.5	8.6	7
10. Our Little Ripper (3) J: Damian Lane (57.5kg) T: Ms L Tolson & Ms L Proctor	2.3	2.3	2.4	2.45	2.25	2.4
11. Realism (7) J: Ms Rhonda Mangan (57.5kg) T: Ms R Mangan	51	51	51	61	83	51
12. She's Original (12) J: Zac Spain (57.5kg) T: Peter Smith	34	31	26	26	33	34
13. Rocket Owen (4) J: Beau Mertens (59.5kg) T: D A Bourke	41	41	34	34	40	34

Odds Last Updated: March 25, 2021, 7:31pm (AEDT)

Race 5

Erin Howlett Sge (Bm64) (1400m)
8:00pm (AEDT)

Race 5 Erin Howlett Sge (Bm64) (1400m) 8:00pm (AEDT)
1. Falls (6) J: Damian Lane (61.5kg) T: M C Kent
2. Stardayz (1) J: Ms Laura Lafferty (61.5kg) T: C Maher & D Eustace	2.45	2.5	2.45	2.6	2.65	2.5
3. Black Toff Affair (10) J: Craig Williams (61kg) T: M Price & M Kent Jnr
4. Vladivostok (9) J: Jamie Mott (61kg) T: John Mcardle	2.9	2.8	2.9	3	2.85	3
5. Jenkins (5) J: Jye Mcneil (60.5kg) T: Matthew Cumani
6. No Change (11) J: Unknown (59.5kg) T: Shane Stockdale
7. Chavuma (2) J: Joe Bowditch (58kg) T: B J Mccarthy	15	15	15	16	14.4	14
8. Empire Liberty (4) J: Beau Mertens (58kg) T: Michael Trotter	14	13	14	15	13.2	12
9. Raffine (7) J: Damien Thornton (58kg) T: Archie Alexander
10. Meltdown (8) J: Ben Allen (56.5kg) T: P Stokes	4.5	4.5	4.6	4.4	4.3	4.6
11. Be Miss Luchy (3) J: Daniel Moor (55kg) T: K J Fythe	12	11	10	12	11.6	10

Odds Last Updated: March 25, 2021, 8:01pm (AEDT)

Race 6

Mathew Boore On Sportsbet (C1) (1400m)
8:30pm (AEDT)

Race 6 Mathew Boore On Sportsbet (C1) (1400m) 8:30pm (AEDT)
1. Miletus (6) J: Jamie Mott (60kg) T: Jamie Edwards	13	13	15	16	12	13
2. Mister Yu Shu (7) J: Damien Oliver (60kg) T: J T Conlan	2.1	2.1	2.15	2.2	2.1	2.25
3. Volatore (2) J: Jye Mcneil (60kg) T: C Maher & D Eustace
4. Casa Del Sol (5) J: Daniel Moor (59.5kg) T: Archie Alexander
5. Make It Quick (9) J: Damien Thornton (59.5kg) T: D R Brideoake
6. Singleton Park (12) J: Michael Poy (59.5kg) T: P Stokes	13	13	13	12	14.2	14
7. Galaxy Turf (10) J: Joe Bowditch (59kg) T: B J Mccarthy	34	31	21	21	29.5	34
8. Magnus A Go Go (8) J: Jack Martin (58kg) T: P G Carey	12	12	13	13	13	13
9. Vancouver Lad (1) J: Damian Lane (57.5kg) T: R Griffiths & M De Kock	7	7	7.5	7	6.7	7.5
10. Changing Tracks (3) J: Beau Mertens (56.5kg) T: Paul & Tracey Templeton	8.5	8	9	9	8.4	9
11. Plucky Pirouette (11) J: Craig Williams (56.5kg) T: Caroline Jennings	4.2	4	4.2	3.9	4.2	4.2
12. So Awesome (4) J: Michael Dee (55kg) T: B J Mccarthy	151	151	101	101	141	126

Odds Last Updated: March 25, 2021, 8:31pm (AEDT)

I think (6) Singleton Park is the best betting proposition of the night, with the classic Stokes fresh at Pakenham method hopefully coming to the fore. I really liked his debut run last prep where he got back, was tight for room but ran the fastest 600/400/200m of the race. He didn’t handle a very heavy 10 at Sale after that behind Shelby Cobra, but bounced out of it to win his maiden stylishly. The camp are going at 26% for their last 50 runners, Poy has a 12.7% POT for the stable, and they strike at 63% POT at Pakenham. That’s enough for me to have something on at double figures.

(2) Mister Yu Shu will be hard to beat and has raced well in better class than this.

Tip: (6) Singleton Park- $10.00 at Sportsbet

Betting Strategy: 0.5 units WIN Singleton Park

Race 7

Obrien Real Estate (Bm58) (1200m)
9:00pm (AEDT)

Race 7 Obrien Real Estate (Bm58) (1200m) 9:00pm (AEDT)
1. Power Station (10) J: Thomas Stockdale (63.5kg) T: T Dabernig & B Hayes
2. Riverdance Lad (9) J: Matthew Allen (63kg) T: R Griffiths & M De Kock	10	10	11	12	10.6	10
3. Swift Hit (7) J: Zac Spain (63kg) T: Peter Smith	81	67	61	71	81	51
4. Count Of Carford (2) J: Damien Thornton (62.5kg) T: B J Mccarthy	7.5	8	8	8	7.1	8.5
5. Stradari (13) J: Jye Mcneil (62.5kg) T: K L Corstens	31	31	26	26	26	31
6. Unique Bambino (1) J: Arron Lynch (62.5kg) T: F Stockdale	13	13	13	12	11.8	13
7. Industrial (16) J: Jack Hill (62kg) T: P & P Snowden
8. The Great Bratski (8) J: Harry Grace (62kg) T: Christine Sexton
9. Four Of A Kind (4) J: Ms Alexandra Bryan (61.5kg) T: P Stokes	7.5	7.5	8.5	8	7.4	8
10. Kichierro (14) J: Michael Poy (61.5kg) T: P Stokes	7	6.5	7	6	7.6	6.5
11. Bella Royale (11) J: Joe Bowditch (61kg) T: Lloyd Kennewell	2.1	2.15	2.1	2.1	2.2	2.25
12. Spangirl (12) J: Michael Dee (60.5kg) T: M Price & M Kent Jnr	14	14	15	15	15.6	16
13. Golden Esprit (6) J: Unknown (61.5kg) T: Mark C Webb	21	21	26	21	23.5	23
14. Sir Dana (3) J: Ben Allen (61kg) T: J Leek Jnr	61	81	81	81	75	81
15. Cyclone Tim (5) J: Beau Mertens (61kg) T: Michael Trotter
16. Ultimate Shock (15) J: Ms Jade Darose (60.5kg) T: Simone Walker

Odds Last Updated: March 25, 2021, 9:01pm (AEDT)

Race 8

Direct Connect (Bm64) (1600m)
9:30pm (AEDT)

Race 8 Direct Connect (Bm64) (1600m) 9:30pm (AEDT)
1. Scarlett Heart (2) J: Ben Allen (60.5kg) T: C Maher & D Eustace	7.5	8	6.5	7.5	8.1	7.5
2. Cake Walker (8) J: Ms Laura Lafferty (59.5kg) T: C Maher & D Eustace
3. Off Shores Pearl (5) J: Brian Park (59.5kg) T: S Georgios	11	12	10	11	13.2	10
4. Groovy Kinda Love (11) J: Damian Lane (59kg) T: M C Kent	1.4	1.45	1.45	1.5	1.37	1.45
5. Angel Rock (10) J: Michael Dee (58.5kg) T: T Dabernig & B Hayes	9.5	9.5	9	10	10	9.5
6. Lady Devereaux (1) J: Jye Mcneil (58.5kg) T: C W Mcdonald	12	12	13	12	13.2	12
7. Millie The Missile (3) J: Daniel Moor (58kg) T: Luke Oliver
8. Music Of The Night (7) J: Patrick Moloney (58kg) T: P G Carey	13	14	12	12	14.2	14
9. Whatarap (4) J: Jason Benbow (58kg) T: D C Harrison
10. Entrez Boo (6) J: Beau Mertens (56.5kg) T: Julius Sandhu
11. Delightful Hustler (12) J: Unknown (56kg) T: N J Harnett
12. Cut The Mustard (9) J: Miss Samantha Noble (55kg) T: S G Noble	81	71	41	61	83	51

Odds Last Updated: March 25, 2021, 9:31pm (AEDT)

Trent Crebbin

Trent’s interest in the thoroughbred started out as a spark with Black Caviar, became a flame with Winx, and has now intensified into a burning obsession with Arcadia Queen. He started out throwing loose change on random trifectas at the pub, but it wasn’t long before he was watching replays and looking at sectionals, weights and markets. Trent specializes in Victorian racing and hopes his first winner as an owner is just around the corner.