Randwick-Kensington Racing Tips: Wednesday, August 4th

Race 1 Sky Racing Mdn Hcp (1550m) 12:50pm (AEDT)
1. Raging Bull (4) J: Unknown (59kg) T: David Payne
2. Spitfire (3) J: Joshua Parr (57.5kg) T: G Portelli	2.1	2.1	2.05	2.1	2.25	2
3. Caboteur (5) J: Keagan Latham (57kg) T: David Payne	9.5	9.5	10	10	7.9	9.5
4. Semeco (6) J: Sam Clipperton (57kg) T: David Payne	41	41	41	51	21	41
5. Military Men (2) J: James Mcdonald (56.5kg) T: C J Waller	6.5	6.5	7	7	4.65	7
6. Estreet (8) J: Kerrin Mcevoy (56kg) T: C J Waller	8.5	8	8.5	9	8	8
7. Maralago (1) J: Tommy Berry (56kg) T: A J Cummings	15	14	16	16	10.6	14
8. Bay Of Kiel (7) J: Jay Ford (54.5kg) T: G Ryan & S Alexiou	4.6	4.8	4.6	4.8	4.1	4.6

Odds Last Updated: August 4, 2021, 12:51pm (AEDT)

(5) Military Men will be much improved getting back on top of the ground I think. Just hasn’t been able to find a dry track recently and I expect him to enjoy this setup much more today. Should only be improved with the debut run under his belt and the booking for Jmac is always a positive. 

(2) Spitfire was close up on debut, running 2nd over 1200m. Should enjoy rising in trip here and expect he’ll make natural improvement today. 

(3) Caboteur has two races to his name and ran better than his SP suggested last start, showing good improvement from his debut. Was only nailed late there and will be in this for a long way.

Tip: (5) Military Men - $4.60 at Sportsbet

Betting Strategy: 1 unit WIN Military Men

Race 2 Astern @ Darley Mdn Plate (1100m) 1:25pm (AEDT)
1. Air Command (3) J: Glen Boss (57kg) T: A J Cummings	34	31	34	41	35	31
2. Devil's Throat (8) J: James Mcdonald (57kg) T: P & P Snowden	4.6	4.6	4.4	4.8	4.55	4.4
3. Flying Crazy (9) J: Jay Ford (57kg) T: G Ryan & S Alexiou	9.5	9.5	10	10	15	9.5
4. Hamaki (11) J: Hugh Bowman (57kg) T: P & P Snowden	10	10	10	10	9.3	10
5. Retiro (10) J: Unknown (57kg) T: G Portelli
6. Sir Crackle (4) J: Jason Collett (57kg) T: Bjorn Baker	4.4	4.4	4.4	4.4	3.45	4.2
7. Unwritten (6) J: Tommy Berry (57kg) T: G D Hickman	9	9.5	10	10	5.6	9.5
8. Vindication (2) J: Regan Bayliss (57kg) T: M, W & J Hawkes	9	9	9.5	10	12.8	9
9. Flower Moon (5) J: Ms Rachel King (55kg) T: C Maher & D Eustace	9	9.5	9	9	17.2	9.5
10. Missayter (1) J: Ms Ellen Hennessy (55kg) T: Jacqueline Greentree	151	201	301	301	151	251
11. Naples (12) J: Kerrin Mcevoy (55kg) T: James Cummings	7.5	7.5	8	7.5	6.7	7.5
12. Vesuvio (7) J: Sam Clipperton (55kg) T: R J Quinton	26	26	26	26	20	26

Odds Last Updated: August 4, 2021, 1:26pm (AEDT)

I’m going to give (6) Sir Crackle one more chance following two fails since impressing at the trials. Hoping he has been searching for a good track and his two previous runs just look too bad to be true. 

(2) Devil’s Throat will be a big improver following a solid run on debut. Showed plenty of talent at the trials over shorter trips so I think it’s a positive to see him drop back slightly in distance here.

(8) Vindication looks the value in the race. Wasn’t bad on debut at Wyong, and was well supported in the market that day. 

Tip: (6) Sir Crackle - $4.20 at Sportsbet

Betting Strategy: 1 unit WIN Sir Crackle

Race 3 Heineken Mdn Plate (1100m) 2:00pm (AEDT)
1. All England (9) J: Sam Clipperton (57kg) T: P & P Snowden	26	26	31	34	24	26
2. Kipsbay (10) J: Kerrin Mcevoy (57kg) T: C J Waller	20	19	20	21	21	19
3. Otelo (3) J: Keagan Latham (57kg) T: David Payne	21	21	21	21	24	21
4. Rogue Algorithm (11) J: Grant Buckley (57kg) T: C E Conners
5. Flying Squad (2) J: Regan Bayliss (55kg) T: Ms G Markwell	27	26	31	34	32	26
6. Hot Press (1) J: Andrew Adkins (55kg) T: P & P Snowden	126	126	151	101	73	126
7. Lovemetender (5) J: Glen Boss (55kg) T: A J Cummings	15	15	15	16	10.2	14
8. Miss Glenn (6) J: Tommy Berry (55kg) T: R & M Freedman
9. Ringarosa (4) J: Jason Collett (55kg) T: G Portelli	4	4	3.8	4	3.75	3.8
10. Trifaccia (8) J: James Mcdonald (55kg) T: James Cummings	2	2	2.25	2.1	1.96	2
11. Why Doubt (7) J: Ms Rachel King (55kg) T: Mark Newnham	6	5.5	5.5	5.5	10	5.5

Odds Last Updated: August 4, 2021, 2:01pm (AEDT)

(10) Trifaccia resumes to racing today and her form stands out in this sort of field. Was last seen finishing down the track in the Percy Sykes behind Jamaea. Was a nice trial recently with JMac on board and the fact he takes a rare ride for Godolphin today tells me this horse is flying. 

I think (7) Lovemetender can run well and have always had a bit of an opinion for this horse. Finished 3rd less than 2L behind Najmaty and Sonnet Star first up last prep and that form looks handy enough. 

(9) Ringarosa was close to breaking through on debut and should take natural improvement from that. He’ll be right in the finish.

Tip: (10) Trifaccia - $1.80 at Bet365

Betting Strategy: 3 unit WIN Trifaccia

Race 4 The Agency Real Estate (Bm72) (1800m) 2:35pm (AEDT)
1. Major Artie (8) J: Nash Rawiller (61kg) T: G Waterhouse & A Bott	5.5	5.5	5.5	5.5	3.8	5.5
2. Kutayha (7) J: James Mcdonald (60kg) T: C J Waller	1.8	1.75	1.9	1.85	2.95	1.8
3. Navy Cross (1) J: Regan Bayliss (60kg) T: G Waterhouse & A Bott	7.5	7.5	7	7	6.7	7.5
4. Time Raid (4) J: Hugh Bowman (58.5kg) T: J C Deamer
5. Yukon (2) J: Tommy Berry (58kg) T: M, W & J Hawkes	4.8	5	4.6	5	4.2	4.6
6. Mcgeehan (9) J: Ms Kathy O'hara (56.5kg) T: W P Cave
7. Man Of Sinn (5) J: Kerrin Mcevoy (54.5kg) T: C J Waller
8. Nicochet (3) J: Ms Rachel King (54kg) T: J C Coyle	18	18	18	18	27.5	19
9. Never Been Another (6) J: Jay Ford (54kg) T: Glen Thompson	251	301	201	151	131	201

Odds Last Updated: August 4, 2021, 2:36pm (AEDT)

(2) Kutayha could not have been more impressive when resuming at this track two weeks ago. He was ridden quietly and went straight past his rivals in a very good win. That was 5 weeks between runs and he will only be better getting out to this trip now. 

(5) Yukon has a 1.5kg weight swing to make up on Kutayha for a 1.3L length defeat. He’ll appreciate this rise in trip and has been a winner 4th up previously. Expecting a peak performance from him.

Tip: (2) Kutayha - $2.90 at Ladbrokes

Betting Strategy: 2 unit WIN Kutayha

Race 5 Bowermans Furniture (Bm72) (1550m) 3:10pm (AEDT)
1. Off Shaw (4) J: Joshua Parr (60.5kg) T: Bjorn Baker	5.5	5	5.5	5	4.3	4.8
2. Yiyi (5) J: James Mcdonald (60kg) T: C J Waller	1.5	1.5	1.5	1.55	1.42	1.55
3. East Indiaman (2) J: Glen Boss (57.5kg) T: James Ponsonby	17	19	19	21	15.2	17
4. Canyonero (8) J: Sam Clipperton (55kg) T: Richard Litt	19	20	20	21	15.8	19
5. Salsonic (1) J: Tommy Berry (55kg) T: J C Coyle	9	8.5	8	9	9.1	8
6. Crazy Wolf (6) J: Regan Bayliss (54kg) T: M, W & J Hawkes	14	17	12	16	9.3	12
7. Eden Vale (7) J: Jay Ford (54kg) T: Mark De Montfort	71	71	71	81	49	61
8. Elon (3) J: Ms Kathy O'hara (54kg) T: G R Nickson	151	151	201	201	111	151

Odds Last Updated: August 4, 2021, 3:11pm (AEDT)

Obviously the promising (2) Yiyi will be all the rage here after two dominant performances. The most recent was an emphatic 3L win in a stronger race than this and I can’t see any reason why he won’t be winning again. With that being said he’s too short to suggest as a bet. 

I’m happy to speck (3) East Indiaman who looks a big price as he comes into this 4th up and ready to peak. Maps for the perfect trail from gate 2 and he’s yet to miss the quinella in four 4th up performances. 

(6) Crazy Wolf is the other horse I’ll be having something on. Looks progressive enough and keen to see him out to this trip. Last start win was good.

Tip: (6) Crazy Wolf - $11 at Ladbrokes

Value: (3) East Indiaman - $15/$2.50 at Sportsbet

Saver: 0.5 units WIN Crazy Wolf, 0.25 units WIN East indiaman

Race 6 Tab (Bm72) (1550m) 3:45pm (AEDT)
1. Icecrusher (4) J: Hugh Bowman (59.5kg) T: Shayne Cahill	9.5	8.5	8.5	10	5.1	8
2. Arctic Thunder (5) J: Tommy Berry (59kg) T: G Portelli	5.5	6	6.5	5.5	5.1	6
3. Centimental (2) J: Kerrin Mcevoy (59kg) T: C J Waller	6	6.5	6	6.5	4.45	5.5
4. Alumna (7) J: Tim Clark (57kg) T: G Waterhouse & A Bott	19	18	18	19	12.6	18
5. Celtic Love (3) J: Jason Collett (56.5kg) T: M C Conners	61	61	67	61	73	61
6. Buba (8) J: James Mcdonald (56kg) T: G Ryan & S Alexiou	3.8	4	3.8	4	4.35	4
7. Mystic Rebel (1) J: Ms Rachel King (56kg) T: Mark Newnham	3.3	3.2	3.4	3.4	3.45	3.1
8. Twice On Sunday (6) J: Joshua Parr (56kg) T: Bjorn Baker	11	11	11	12	13.4	11

Odds Last Updated: August 4, 2021, 3:46pm (AEDT)

(7) Mystic Rebel looks a very promising type for Mark Newnham and looks a good chance to progress through her grades here. Put the writing on the wall with at this track on debut before a dominant win in maiden grade over 1400m. This is clearly a tough ask jumping straight to bm72 but if you can trust the placement of the stable, she looks good enough for this.

(3) Centimental was a strong winner in this grade and is on the quick backup from last week. Can’t knock her form at the moment and can win again. 

(2) Arctic Thunder might be looking for a dry track now and maps for the run of the race for Berry from gate 5. This is arguably an easier race than she contested last start and looks very close to a win. 

Tip: (7) Mystic Rebel - $3.40 at Sportsbet

Betting Strategy: 2 unit WIN Mystic Rebel

Race 7 Vinery Stud (Bm72) (1100m) 4:20pm (AEDT)
1. Buckin' Beauty (7) J: Regan Bayliss (59.5kg) T: D Lane	46	51	67	61	41	51
2. Wander (6) J: Nash Rawiller (59.5kg) T: Richard Litt	27	31	26	26	24.5	26
3. Dubai Star (8) J: Ms Ellen Hennessy (57.5kg) T: Annabel Neasham	23	26	21	21	21.5	23
4. Koonunga (2) J: Kerrin Mcevoy (57.5kg) T: Matthew Smith	81	81	91	91	37	81
5. Nags To Riches (4) J: James Mcdonald (57kg) T: Brad Widdup	2.45	2.5	2.6	2.5	2	2.5
6. Parksville (10) J: Joshua Parr (57kg) T: B J Dodson	3.2	3.1	3.1	3.2	3.75	3.1
7. Piping Roller (5) J: Ms Rachel King (57kg) T: Claire Lever	13	13	14	14	10.2	13
8. Coco Cuber (1) J: Sam Clipperton (56.5kg) T: P & P Snowden	23	21	20	26	11.2	19
9. Zelify (3) J: Tommy Berry (56kg) T: C J Waller	8.5	8.5	9	10	8.5	8.5
10. Escape Artist (9) J: Tim Clark (55.5kg) T: Mark Newnham	9.5	9	8.5	9.5	8	8.5

Odds Last Updated: August 4, 2021, 4:21pm (AEDT)

(6) Parksville is an interesting runner as he makes his city debut following an incredible first prep, winning three straight after finishing 3rd on debut. Is front-running and has a likeable race pattern while the most recent trial was very good.

(5) Nags To Riches is still lightly raced and has been given a freshen up since running 7th in a strong Saturday race. Her previous form proved this horse has ability and wouldn’t surprise to see her bounce back here.

(10) Escape Artist continues to mix her form but has flashed enough talent to think she’ll bounce back today. The dry track might be what she’s looking for.

Tip: (6) Parksville - $4.20 at Bet365

Betting Strategy: 1 unit WIN Parksville