Randwick-Kensington Racing Tips: Wednesday, July 7th

Race 1 Bowermans Furniture Mdn (1150m) 12:50pm (AEDT)
1. Barrichello (4) J: Kerrin Mcevoy (57kg) T: C J Waller	6	6	6.5	6	6	6
2. Cat D'oro (6) J: Brenton Avdulla (57kg) T: C J Waller	2.8	2.9	2.9	2.8	2.65	2.7
3. Mentalism (8) J: Joshua Parr (57kg) T: Ms G Markwell	19	19	19	21	19.2	19
4. Silly Point (5) J: Tommy Berry (57kg) T: M, W & J Hawkes	2.7	2.7	2.5	2.8	2.85	2.5
5. Who Fancies You (3) J: Ms Louise Day (57kg) T: G W Moore	61	67	81	71	63	71
6. Borsalina (9) J: Unknown (55kg) T: Mick Attard
7. Mystic Rebel (2) J: Ms Rachel King (55kg) T: Mark Newnham	6.5	6.5	7.5	7	6.2	7.5
8. Thrillology (7) J: Jason Collett (55kg) T: Bryce Heys	41	41	51	51	33	41
9. Zattastar (1) J: Jean Van Overmeire (55kg) T: Lee & Cherie Curtis	41	41	51	51	43	41

Odds Last Updated: July 7, 2021, 12:51pm (AEDT)

(2) Cat D’Oro has always shown ability, but he’s lived up to his name a bit in that he’s had the tendency to turn it up. Has four placings from his five career starts and he returns as a gelding today, which could be the big difference.

(1) Barichello has placed in his past two starts and has only gone down by narrow margins on both occasions. Should be right in the finish again.

(4) Silly Point comes out of the same race as Barichello last start and finished just ahead of him in 2nd. The horse that beat them both then came out and ran 3rd at Rosehill on the weekend, so the form isn’t bad.

(7) Mystic Rebel has won his past couple of trials leading into his debut today and Mark Newnham runners always go well here on the Kenso. The stable hasa  27% strike rate here this season.

Tip: (2) Cat D'Oro $2.70 Ladbrokes

Value: (7) Mystic Rebel $9.00 TopSport

Betting Strategy: 1 unit WIN Cat D'Oro, 0.5 units WIN Mystic Rebel

Race 2 Harry Angel @ Darley Mdn Plate (1150m) 1:25pm (AEDT)
1. Aircraftman (6) J: Ms Rachel King (57kg) T: John Thompson	46	61	61	51	41	61
2. Brynner (3) J: Ms Kathy O'hara (57kg) T: J C Coyle
3. Construct (14) J: Unknown (57kg) T: P & P Snowden
4. King Of Sparta (5) J: Regan Bayliss (57kg) T: P & P Snowden	2.9	2.8	3.3	3	2.85	2.6
5. Lucky Sun (1) J: Joshua Parr (57kg) T: Mark Newnham	6	6	6	6	6.3	6
6. Military Expert (13) J: Tommy Berry (57kg) T: Annabel Neasham	2.8	2.8	2.7	2.8	2.65	2.8
7. Rhineland (15) J: Jason Collett (57kg) T: K A Lees	27	31	31	31	29.5	31
8. Starman (11) J: Unknown (57kg) T: C J Waller
9. Sword Point (7) J: Kerrin Mcevoy (57kg) T: C J Waller	18	18	19	18	17.6	19
10. Marooniyah (10) J: Brenton Avdulla (55kg) T: M, W & J Hawkes	16	17	19	18	18	17
11. Mikasa (4) J: Nash Rawiller (55kg) T: John Thompson	13	13	13	13	12.8	13
12. Whispering Cate (9) J: Ms Louise Day (55kg) T: Cheryl Roberts	81	101	151	126	99	126
13. Monster Bisque (12) J: Keagan Latham (57kg) T: G W Moore
14. Never Cry (2) J: Unknown (57kg) T: Brad Widdup	31	41	41	41	41	34
15. Marishiten (8) J: Ms Rachel King (55kg) T: John Thompson	101	126	201	151	101	151

Odds Last Updated: July 7, 2021, 1:26pm (AEDT)

(4) King Of Sparta resumes from a short spell today and should be very hard to beat based on what he’s done leading into this. He ran 2nd to Hilal on debut here at Randwick-Kensington, which obviously looks very good form. Went on to run into the likes of Stay Inside, Home Affairs and Paulele. Recent trials have been good, he returns as a gelding and looks the clear horse to beat.

(6) Military Expert looks the biggest danger to the favourite. He’s on debut for Annabel Neasham and Tommy Berry, coming off a good trial win at Wyong. Draws awkwardly in barrier 13 but no surprise to see him win this and will be saving on him.

(11) Mikasa trialled OK recently and can be included at double figure odds.

Will be trying to back King Of Sparta and saving on Military Expert. Take Betfair SP.

Tip: (4) King Of Sparta $2.20 Betfair

Saver: (6) Military Expert $4.20 PlayUp

Betting Strategy: 2 units WIN King Of Sparta, 1 units WIN Military Expert (Betfair SP)

Race 3 Heineken (Bm72) (1300m) 2:00pm (AEDT)
1. Lunar Tramp (6) J: Ms Louise Day (61kg) T: J C Coyle	19	20	21	21	19.6	21
2. Stormy Mountain (4) J: Joshua Parr (60kg) T: Gabrielle Ellis	27	31	41	34	36	34
3. Selburose (7) J: Brenton Avdulla (59.5kg) T: C J Waller	11	11	11	10	10.4	11
4. My Demetra (5) J: Andrew Adkins (58kg) T: P & P Snowden	7	6.5	7	7	6.7	7
5. Promise Of Success (3) J: Tommy Berry (57kg) T: J A O'shea	2.35	2.3	2.3	2.3	2.45	2.2
6. Rosa Moyessi (1) J: Tyler Schiller (57kg) T: Mark Newnham	3.6	3.6	3.6	3.6	3.6	3.6
7. Saas Fee (2) J: Jay Ford (57kg) T: G Ryan & S Alexiou	8.5	8.5	8.5	9	7.9	8

Odds Last Updated: July 7, 2021, 2:01pm (AEDT)

Could make a case for most of these.

(6) Rosa Moyessi goes on top. Won at Goulburn two starts ago and brought that form to town last start, losing by a pimple after sitting three-wide the trip. Draws the inside today so won’t have that problem and probably kicks up to lead. Stable goes very well here so should be hard to run down.

(5) Promise Of Success won well first up at Warwick Farm in maiden grade, but couldn’t win again when stepping up to this grade last start. Ran 3rd and wasn’t beaten far so with natural improvement will be right in the finish, but short enough at the price.

(1) Lunar Tramp drops in grade again and can be competitive.

Chances don’t end there.

Tip: (6) Rosa Moyessi $3.60 Sportsbet

Betting Strategy: 1 unit WIN Rosa Moyessi

Race 4 The Agency Real Estate (Bm72) (1400m) 2:35pm (AEDT)
1. Lucicello (4) J: Tommy Berry (60.5kg) T: C J Waller	4.8	4.6	4.4	4.8	4.5	4.4
2. Juventus (3) J: Joshua Parr (60kg) T: K A Lees	7.5	7.5	7.5	8	7.6	7.5
3. Lando Bay (5) J: Nash Rawiller (60kg) T: John Thompson	12	13	13	12	12	12
4. Bold And Wild (2) J: Tyler Schiller (59.5kg) T: D A Williams	13	14	15	15	14	14
5. Bring The Ransom (1) J: Jason Collett (59kg) T: Bjorn Baker	3.2	3.2	3.2	3.3	3.35	3.1
6. Yukon (7) J: Brenton Avdulla (58kg) T: M, W & J Hawkes	4	4.2	4.2	4.2	4.2	4
7. Salsonic (8) J: Kerrin Mcevoy (56.5kg) T: J C Coyle	13	13	14	13	11.4	13
8. Eden Vale (6) J: Jay Ford (54kg) T: Mark De Montfort	41	34	41	34	29.5	41

Odds Last Updated: July 7, 2021, 2:36pm (AEDT)

I know (6) Yukon sat wide without cover the entire race first up, but he dropped out and finished a long last. He drops in grade today and gets Avdulla taking over from Andrew Adkins, so plenty of positives, but would have liked to have seen a little bit more from him first up.

For that reason I’ll be with (5) Bring The Ransom who has had two nice lead up runs to get ready for today. Both have been in Saturday grade and the horse that beat her last start then came out and won again on the weekend. Draws barrier 1 so needs some luck but should be very competitive.

Tip: (5) Bring The Ransom $3.30 Bet365

Saver: (6) Yukon $3.40 Bet365

Betting Strategy: 1.25 units WIN Bring The Ransom, 0.5 units WIN Yukon

Race 5 Admire Mars At Arrowfield-Bm64 (1300m) 3:10pm (AEDT)
1. Hot Spring Gold (8) J: Tommy Berry (60.5kg) T: C J Waller	4.2	4.2	4.2	4.2	4.1	4.4
2. Sian (6) J: Grant Buckley (60kg) T: Mark Cross
3. Nikau (7) J: Kerrin Mcevoy (59kg) T: James Cummings	8	8	10	8.5	7.8	7.5
4. Rosa Moyessi (3) J: Tyler Schiller (59kg) T: Mark Newnham
5. Skedaddle (1) J: Brock Ryan (59kg) T: L J Bridge	2.05	2.05	2.1	2.1	2.15	1.95
6. Lucky To Win (5) J: Keagan Latham (58.5kg) T: G W Moore	21	19	31	21	17.8	19
7. Son Of Sampson (2) J: Ms Kathy O'hara (58.5kg) T: P M Perry	6	6	7.5	6.5	5.9	5.5
8. Dawn Flight (4) J: Andrew Adkins (57kg) T: J M Austin	16	17	18	18	16.6	18
9. Heart Of Siena (9) J: Jay Ford (56.5kg) T: Lee & Cherie Curtis	35	41	41	41	35	41

Odds Last Updated: July 7, 2021, 3:11pm (AEDT)

(5) Skedaddle won here on debut and then started $1.95 first up when he sat three-wide the trip on speed. He fought on bravely to be beaten 2.15L. Draws the inside here so should be able to kick up and lead. Looks the one they all have to beat.

(3) Nikau won back-to-back races to start the prep and then ran 3rd last start at Warwick Farm on heavy ground. Can be competitive.

(9) Heart Of Siena is a blowout chance at huge odds. Didn’t get much luck first up.

(1) Hot Spring Gold next best.

Tip: (5) Skedaddle $2.10 TopSport

Betting Strategy: 2 units WIN Skedaddle

Race 6 Vinery Stud (Bm72) (1150m) 3:45pm (AEDT)
1. Americana Magic (3) J: Jean Van Overmeire (61kg) T: Grant Allard	23	26	26	26	26.5	26
2. He's A Hotshot (8) J: Joshua Parr (61kg) T: Bjorn Baker	23	26	26	21	22	23
3. Ranges (2) J: Tyler Schiller (60kg) T: P & P Snowden	16	17	19	18	17.6	16
4. Rustic Steel (1) J: Brenton Avdulla (60kg) T: K A Lees	3.6	3.6	4.2	3.8	3.8	3.5
5. Escaped (12) J: Nash Rawiller (59kg) T: J C Deamer	7	6.5	6.5	6.5	6.4	6.5
6. Ghostly (7) J: Kerrin Mcevoy (59kg) T: M J Dunn	16	17	18	18	17.4	17
7. El Cohete (11) J: Jason Collett (58.5kg) T: Joseph Pride	11	11	9.5	11	9.4	10
8. Tamerlane (9) J: Tommy Berry (58.5kg) T: James Cummings	12	11	14	13	12	11
9. Turnstyle (4) J: Keagan Latham (58.5kg) T: Bjorn Baker	11	12	13	12	12.2	12
10. Miss Jay Fox (10) J: Ms Rachel King (56.5kg) T: Bjorn Baker	13	12	13	13	11.4	12
11. Yangarra Rose (5) J: Regan Bayliss (56kg) T: P & P Snowden	8.5	8.5	10	10	8.6	8
12. Embeller (6) J: Brock Ryan (54.5kg) T: John Thompson	12	11	10	9.5	10.4	12

Odds Last Updated: July 7, 2021, 3:46pm (AEDT)

(2) He’s A Hotshot probably wants a firm track but he’s got a very good third up record so at $20 isn’t the worst shot.

(4) Rustic Steel returns from a spell and did show ability last prep. Has been gelded in his time off and draws the inside here. Both career wins have come at this distance.

(11) Yangarra Rose went close first up here, then pulled up lame second up before bolting in at Kembla last start. Harder race here but is a decent chance at each way odd.

Tip: (11) Yangarra Rose $7.50 Sportsbet

Value: (2) He's A Hotshot $20 TopSport

Saver: (4) Rustic Steel $3.80 PlayUp

Betting Strategy: 1 unit WIN Yangarra Rose, 0.5 units WIN Rustic Steel, 0.25 units WIN He's A Hotshot

Race 7 Tab (Bm72) (1550m) 4:20pm (AEDT)
1. Navy Cross (11) J: Nash Rawiller (61.5kg) T: G Waterhouse & A Bott	18	19	26	21	18	19
2. Shuffle Up (5) J: Jean Van Overmeire (60.5kg) T: R & M Freedman	20	21	21	21	20.5	23
3. O'mudgee (6) J: Kerrin Mcevoy (60kg) T: Bjorn Baker	3.5	3.5	4	3.8	3.6	3.4
4. White Boots (12) J: Joshua Parr (59.5kg) T: Ms K Waugh	11	10	11	11	9.5	10
5. Jungle Book (9) J: Jason Collett (58.5kg) T: Clare Cunningham	17	16	21	19	17.2	16
6. Vigorous Flow (3) J: Tommy Berry (58.5kg) T: P & P Snowden
7. Dundee Lee (1) J: Brenton Avdulla (57.5kg) T: K A Lees	5.5	5.5	6	5.5	6.3	5.5
8. Maccomo (10) J: Tyler Schiller (56.5kg) T: Joseph Pride	3.1	3.3	3.1	3.2	3.3	3.3
9. Remus (4) J: Unknown (55.5kg) T: J M Austin
10. Squanto (13) J: Unknown (54.5kg) T: G Portelli	11	10	11	11	9.2	10
11. Riverstock (8) J: Brock Ryan (54kg) T: Joseph Ible	31	31	41	34	34	31
12. Greenspan (2) J: Andrew Adkins (54kg) T: K J Parker
13. Call Me Mo (7) J: Jay Ford (54kg) T: P M Perry	46	51	51	41	40	51

Odds Last Updated: July 7, 2021, 4:21pm (AEDT)

Will finish off the day with (7) Dundee Lee here. She has terrific stats for this race: three wins from five starts at the distance, one from one at the track and distance, four starts when third up for two wins and two 2nds, and five career wins on soft ground. Needs to step up in class here but gets the inside and finds a good race.

(3) O’mudgee looks the danger, coming off a placing behind Papal Warrior, who won again on the wekeend.

(8) Maccomo next best.

Tip: (7) Dundee Lee $4.50 Bet365

Betting Strategy: 1.5 units WIN Dundee Lee