Randwick-Kensington Racing Tips: Wednesday, September 29th

Race 1 Justify @ Coolmore Aust. Mdn (1400m) 2:00pm (AEDT)
1. Akhtar (3) J: Jason Collett (57kg) T: Annabel Neasham	19	19	19	21	17	21
2. Dufresne (1) J: Kerrin Mcevoy (57kg) T: A J Cummings	8.5	8	8.5	9.5	8.5	8.5
3. Huriwai (8) J: Hugh Bowman (57kg) T: C J Waller	10	10	9.5	10	8.9	10
4. Montenegro (5) J: Nash Rawiller (57kg) T: C J Waller	6.5	6.5	7	7.5	7.1	7
5. Vyner (7) J: Tim Clark (57kg) T: Mark Newnham	17	16	16	18	15.6	17
6. California Surreal (6) J: James Mcdonald (55kg) T: P & P Snowden	1.95	1.95	2	2	2.05	1.9
7. Giulia (4) J: Sam Clipperton (55kg) T: R J Quinton
8. Wolves (2) J: Brock Ryan (55kg) T: Anthony Mountney	5.5	5	5.5	5	5.4	5

Odds Last Updated: September 29, 2021, 2:01pm (AEDT)

(6) California Surreal looks ready to win now 3rd up and came with a nose of breaking her maiden last start behind the smart Kooled. She arguably should have won there but did a bit wrong in the straight and Jmac now jump aboard as she gets out to this trip for the first time. Winkers have been added to aid her cause and I think with natural improvement she should just be winning. 

(8) Wolves drops to from a Group 2 to a maiden here after contesting the Furious Stakes last start at Randwick. Was obviously outclassed there but this is a huge drop in class and he’ll be right in the finish. 

(4) Montenegro wears blinkers first time and has trialled well since failing on debut. He started $3.80 there so he could be one to watch out for. 

Tip: (6) California Surreal - $2.20 at Bet365

Betting Strategy: 1.5u WIN California Surreal

Race 2 Admire Mars At Arrowfield Mdn (1250m) 2:35pm (AEDT)
1. Able Willie (2) J: Nash Rawiller (58kg) T: C J Waller	2.15	2.15	2.1	2.2	2.15	2.1
2. Gracilistyla (9) J: Hugh Bowman (58kg) T: C J Waller	7	7	7.5	7	6.7	7
3. Podium (11) J: Glen Boss (58kg) T: C J Waller
4. Riviera Blue (13) J: Ms Rachel King (58kg) T: G K White	19	19	20	21	19.8	19
5. Strombus (5) J: Sam Clipperton (58kg) T: J A O'shea
6. Vanburg (12) J: Jason Collett (58kg) T: M J Dunn	26	26	31	34	25.5	26
7. Yagoona (1) J: Tim Clark (58kg) T: M, W & J Hawkes	15	15	15	15	15	16
8. Arranmore (3) J: Kerrin Mcevoy (56kg) T: C J Waller	7	7	6.5	7	6.9	7
9. Diamond Blush (10) J: Glyn Schofield (56kg) T: A J Cummings	17	18	19	19	16.4	18
10. Lady Piaf (6) J: James Mcdonald (56kg) T: C J Waller	8	8	8	8	7.8	8
11. Sword Point (7) J: Unknown (57.5kg) T: C J Waller	13	14	15	14	12.2	13
12. Bella Rouge (8) J: Unknown (55.5kg) T: C J Waller
13. Wasserman (14) J: Unknown (56kg) T: C J Waller
14. Charlemagne (4) J: Jean Van Overmeire (55kg) T: Jean Dubois	31	31	34	34	34	34

Odds Last Updated: September 29, 2021, 2:36pm (AEDT)

Plenty of unknowns here and stack of debutants and we could rename this ‘The Chris Waller Maiden’ as he’ll have eight (!) go around.

I’ll be having something small on two horses. One of those is (10) Lady Piaf who makes her debut today following a stack of trials. The most recent of those was one of her best and I think she looks ready to make an impact on debut. Jmac takes the ride for Waller and she’s drawn well. 

(12) Bella Rouge is the other horse who looks a bit of value. She was smashed last start in betting over 1100m and run well but just peaked late. The extra trip will suit here and she has the benefit of race experience on her side. 

(1) Able Willie could be anything and is another Waller debutant who has looked smart in the lead up to this debut run. Nash from an inside means your gonna get a positive ride and she could just blow them away.

Tip: (10) Lady Piaf - $8.50 at Sportsbet

Value: (12) Bella Rouge - $12 at Sportsbet

Betting Strategy: 0.5u WIN Lady Piaf, 0.25u WIN Bella Rouge

Race 3 Tab (Bm72) (1300m) 3:10pm (AEDT)
1. Ladylovestogamble (1) J: Jason Collett (60.5kg) T: Bjorn Baker	6	5.5	5.5	6	6.2	5.5
2. Parachuter (4) J: Tim Clark (58kg) T: Joseph Pride	6	6.5	6.5	6.5	6.2	6.5
3. Rock My Wand (2) J: Hugh Bowman (58kg) T: Matthew Smith
4. My Delight (6) J: Kerrin Mcevoy (57.5kg) T: C J Waller	15	15	16	18	13.4	16
5. Lisdoonvarna (7) J: Jean Van Overmeire (57kg) T: Ms A Turner	16	17	19	18	18.2	18
6. Rathvilly Miss (8) J: Ms Rachel King (57kg) T: G D Hickman	5	4.8	4.8	4.8	5	4.8
7. Stolen Glance (5) J: Glen Boss (57kg) T: Ms G Markwell	15	17	17	19	19	17
8. Molly Nails (3) J: Sam Clipperton (56.5kg) T: Matthew Dale
9. Beep Test (9) J: James Mcdonald (56kg) T: J A O'shea	2.25	2.25	2.15	2.3	2.15	2.2

Odds Last Updated: September 29, 2021, 3:11pm (AEDT)

Think (9) Beep Test can handle the step up in grade today as he goes in search of his third straight win. Looks to have found his straps this prep and comes into this off the back off two dominant front-running wins. There looks to be a heap of pace on in this race so I’m hoping McDonald can slot in just behind those leaders and peel off them in the straight and be too strong. The forecast of rain will do his chances no harm either. 

(6) Rathvilly Miss just doesn’t know how to put in a poor run and she once again ran better than the market expected her to last start. She was only a length of Promise Of Success with a big gap to third. Is clearly flying and deserves a win. 

(2) Parachuter won well 2nd up at Goulburn and will probably lead the field up from barrier 4. Has a heap of speed and Tim Clark will get the best out of him. 

(1) Ladylovestogamble looks to have come back in terrific order, running a good 2nd behind Miss Fox, narrowly being beaten. She’ll be fitter for that run and might get the run of the race in behind the hot speed. 

Tip: (9) Beep Test - $3.40 at Bet365

Saver: (6) Rathvilly Miss - $8.00 at Ladbrokes

Betting Strategy: 1u WIN Beep Test, 0.25u WIN Rathvilly Miss

Race 4 Heineken (Bm72) (2400m) 3:45pm (AEDT)
1. Chains Of Honour (1) J: James Mcdonald (61kg) T: C Maher & D Eustace	7	6.5	6.5	6.5	7.1	6.5
2. Daysan (6) J: Hugh Bowman (59.5kg) T: K A Lees	3.9	3.9	3.9	4.2	4.25	3.5
3. Savvy Valentino (8) J: Ms Rachel King (59kg) T: Bjorn Baker	23	26	26	26	23.5	26
4. Austrata (3) J: Kerrin Mcevoy (58kg) T: C J Waller	16	17	18	18	14.4	18
5. Deadly Impact (2) J: Nash Rawiller (58kg) T: M J Dunn	5.5	5.5	5.5	5.5	5.7	6
6. Our Bambino (10) J: Brock Ryan (58kg) T: R & L Price
7. Land Ahoy (9) J: Tim Clark (57kg) T: J G Sargent	7.5	7.5	7.5	7	6.6	7.5
8. Merlinite (7) J: Jason Collett (56.5kg) T: Bjorn Baker	8.5	9	8	9.5	7.9	9
9. Arabolini (4) J: Glen Boss (56kg) T: J D Cooper	7	7	6	7	7.1	7
10. Little Kitten (5) J: Ms Kathy O'hara (54kg) T: William Freedman	10	9.5	9.5	10	9.8	10

Odds Last Updated: September 29, 2021, 3:46pm (AEDT)

(1) Chains Of Honour has had a little freshen up since changing stables to Maher/Eustace. This stable has a reputation for getting the best out of horses over this longer trip and I think that’s exactly what this horse needs. Jmac has been booked and the horse is a proven performer in this grade. 

(2) Daysan is clearly loving life in Aus, having won two of his three starts since arriving. This is his toughest test to date but looks like he will only be better as he step further out in trip. 

I think (10) Little Kitten can be an improver dropping down in the weights for this. Was only a length off Daysan and Arabolini last start and meets them better at the weights here. Can roll forward and might be able to fill a hole.

Tip: (1) Chains Of Honour - $4.20 at Sportsbet

Betting Strategy: 1u WIN Chains Of Honour

Race 5 Bowermans Furniture (Bm72) (1400m) 4:20pm (AEDT)
1. Snitzify (7) J: Brock Ryan (61.5kg) T: P & P Snowden	10	9.5	11	10	9.7	10
2. Peyton Place (9) J: Unknown (61kg) T: Greg Stephens
3. Darleb (3) J: Regan Bayliss (60.5kg) T: K A Lees	16	14	16	15	13.4	14
4. Lord Heron (4) J: Unknown (59.5kg) T: Allan Kehoe
5. Promise Of Success (5) J: Hugh Bowman (59kg) T: J A O'shea	1.7	1.7	1.7	1.75	1.72	1.7
6. Splendiferous (6) J: Tim Clark (59kg) T: G Waterhouse & A Bott	7	6.5	7	6.5	6.7	7
7. Head Legislator (1) J: Nash Rawiller (56.5kg) T: M J Dunn	8	8.5	8	8	8.7	8
8. Green Flash (2) J: Kerrin Mcevoy (55kg) T: C J Waller	7.5	7.5	7.5	7.5	6.9	7.5
9. Lisdoonvarna (10) J: Ms Kathy O'hara (55kg) T: Ms A Turner
10. Salsonic (8) J: Robbie Dolan (54kg) T: J C Coyle	61	61	61	71	47	61

Odds Last Updated: September 29, 2021, 4:21pm (AEDT)

Can’t see any reason why (5) Promise Of Success won’t be winning again after an impressive win last start. She got back and let rip down the outside for an impressive win and only rises 1kg from that. Will enjoy give in the track and I think the rise to 1400m will do her no harm. Looks progressive. With that being said she’s short enough in the market here.

(6) Splendiforous should take a heap of benefit from that first up run where she went well over a trip short of her best. Has been a winner 2nd up and loves 1400. Stable/jockey airborne.

(7) Head Legislator got a much deserved win on the board last start following an incredible string of 2nd placings. He bolted in there and might be the confidence builder that he needed to go on with it.

Tip: (5) Promise Of Success - $1.70 at Bet365

Betting Strategy: No bet

Race 6 Vinery (Bm72) (1250m) 4:55pm (AEDT)
1. Peyton Place (1) J: Ms Rachel King (61kg) T: Greg Stephens	16	15	16	17	15.2	16
2. Another One (8) J: Brock Ryan (60.5kg) T: G J Colvin	8.5	8.5	8.5	9	9.1	8.5
3. I Say Hello (4) J: Kerrin Mcevoy (60.5kg) T: K A Lees	15	15	16	17	16.2	15
4. Much Much Better (5) J: Tim Clark (59.5kg) T: G W Moore	10	10	11	11	10.2	10
5. Super (2) J: Regan Bayliss (59.5kg) T: M S Minervini	23	21	20	19	23.5	23
6. Ocean Emperor (9) J: Jason Collett (59kg) T: Bjorn Baker
7. Blesk (10) J: Hugh Bowman (58kg) T: J A O'shea	2.8	2.8	2.5	2.7	2.7	2.7
8. Super Contender (3) J: James Mcdonald (58kg) T: C J Waller	7.5	7	7	7.5	6.4	7
9. Torun (6) J: Nash Rawiller (58kg) T: Joseph Pride	3.3	3.2	3.3	3.5	3.05	3.3
10. Fox Fighter (7) J: Sam Clipperton (54.5kg) T: David Payne

Odds Last Updated: September 29, 2021, 4:56pm (AEDT)

I think that (7) Blesk can make a winning return to the track and looks ready to fire fresh following some good work at the trials. This horse absolutely flies first up and handles all conditions. Will be spotting them a start from gate 10 but there will be speed on and hoping Bowman can just finish over the top of them. 

(9) Torun looks hardest to beat and has race fitness on his side. Two runs in this prep have been good and he arguably should’ve gone closer on both occasions. Ready to peak 3rd up now and draws well for Nash. 

(8) Super Contender goes well 3rd up and can probably find the rail in running from barrier 3. Has been racing well this prep and looks suited dropping back to this trip after not handled the 1400m last start.

Tip: (7) Blesk - $3.80 at TopSport

Betting Strategy: 1.5u WIN Blesk

Race 7 Buy @ Irish Sales Online-Bm72 (1800m) 5:30pm (AEDT)
1. Kingsheir (3) J: Glyn Schofield (62kg) T: M, W & J Hawkes	4.6	4.4	4.6	4.8	4.55	4.2
2. Mayfair Spirit (2) J: James Mcdonald (61kg) T: C Maher & D Eustace	5	5	5	5	4.9	5.5
3. New World Tapestry (1) J: Brock Ryan (60.5kg) T: Bjorn Baker
4. Stuck With You (8) J: Kerrin Mcevoy (60.5kg) T: M J Dunn	21	20	21	20	21.5	21
5. Jojo Was A Man (7) J: Hugh Bowman (59.5kg) T: John Thompson	4.6	4.6	4.8	4.6	4.35	4.6
6. Ita (5) J: Jason Collett (59kg) T: Bjorn Baker	4	4	3.9	4	4.05	4
7. So Sneeky (11) J: Ms Kathy O'hara (57.5kg) T: Ms A Turner	19	19	21	21	21.5	21
8. Chateaux Park (4) J: Robbie Dolan (56kg) T: J C Coyle	9.5	9.5	8.5	9	10.2	9.5
9. Dinado (9) J: Tim Clark (55.5kg) T: R & M Freedman	19	20	21	21	19.8	21
10. Khaalis (10) J: Glen Boss (55kg) T: C J Waller	20	17	18	19	18.4	17
11. Tycoon Hallie (12) J: Sam Clipperton (54kg) T: Brad Widdup
12. Kypreos (6) J: Ms Rachel King (54kg) T: J A O'shea

Odds Last Updated: September 29, 2021, 5:31pm (AEDT)

Pretty hot race this with a few last start winners and Saturday-grade horses dropping back to this level. 

I think they might’ve worked out how to ride (5) Jojo Was A Man following his last start win over 1500m. Went straight to the front and gave nothing else a chance for Bowman. He beat Different Strokes that day who has since come out and bolted in and I think he’s going to eat up 1800m now 4th up and rock hard fit. 

(1) Kingsheir drops back to midweek grade today and will be looking to find some improvement after disappointing performances in stronger grade. He might be looking for this trip now and can bounce back. 

(6) Ita is absolutely flying, winning three on the bounce in good style. Her record now reads 10:4-4-0 so she’s extremely hard to knock. This is her toughest test to date. 

(2) Mayfair Spirit went down a pimple last start over 1900m. Still has plenty of improvement to come at just his 4th start in Aus. 

Tip: (5) Jojo Was A Man - $7.00 at TopSport

Betting Strategy: 1u WIN Jojo Was A Man