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Randwick Racing Tips: Saturday, April 17th

It’s Day 2 of The Championships at Royal Randwick, with another four Group 1s to look forward to! Find our preview and betting tips below.

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It’s Day 2 of The Championships at Royal Randwick on Saturday, April 17th, featuring four huge Group 1s on the card.

The Queen Elizabeth Stakes headlines the meeting, with the Australian Oaks, Sydney Cup and Queen Of The Turf also on the card.

The track is rated a Good 4 with the rail out 3m.

Tim Geers has previewed every race on the card at Randwick below!

Best Bet: Race 5 – (3) Hungry Heart (also backing (2) Amarelinha)

 

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Race 1

The Agency Real Estate Mile (1600m)
11:30am (AEDT)

Race 1

The Agency Real Estate Mile (1600m)
11:30am (AEDT)

1. Converge (5) J: Tim Clark (58kg) T: G Waterhouse & A Bott
3.53.43.33.43.43.3
2. Alegron (2) J: Tommy Berry (56.5kg) T: James Cummings
65.55.55.55.85.5
3. Arnaqueur (7) J: Tom Marquand (56kg) T: Jean Dubois
6666.56.16
4. Maurice's Medad (8) J: Ms Rachel King (56kg) T: Bjorn Baker
3.73.73.73.83.73.7
5. Gundec (6) J: Jay Ford (55kg) T: A M Boyle
2021212119.423
6. Akahata (1) J: Craig Williams (54kg) T: Bjorn Baker
5.55.5665.56
7. Last Not Least (3) J: Brenton Avdulla (54kg) T: J G Sargent
354141514941
8. Wolfburn (4) J: Jason Collett (54kg) T: Bjorn Baker

Happy to stay out of the first in what looks a tough betting race to be confident in. Four of the seven runners are yet to win a race and with a few different form lines to consider, it’s not worth getting involved in this early in the day.

Betting Strategy: No bet

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Race 2

Bisley Workwear South Pacific (1400m)
12:05pm (AEDT)

Race 2

Bisley Workwear South Pacific (1400m)
12:05pm (AEDT)

1. Holyfield (8) J: Tommy Berry (59kg) T: Annabel Neasham
121110101111
2. Private Eye (9) J: Regan Bayliss (57.5kg) T: Joseph Pride
65.5666.15.5
3. Sweet Reply (6) J: Ms Kathy O'hara (53kg) T: R & M Freedman
343131313234
4. Kukeracha (2) J: Kerrin Mcevoy (53kg) T: C J Waller
999.59.58.79.5
5. Acrophobic (4) J: Tom Marquand (54kg) T: J A O'shea
101110101010
6. Yardstick (7) J: Ms Rachel King (53kg) T: G Waterhouse & A Bott
9.51010109.110
7. Military Parade (11) J: Brenton Avdulla (54kg) T: M, W & J Hawkes
616167616971
8. Ellsberg (3) J: Tim Clark (53kg) T: G Ryan & S Alexiou
2.932.93.13.12.9
9. Sagacious (5) J: Robbie Dolan (53kg) T: M J Dunn
151516161615
10. Atonement (1) J: Craig Williams (53kg) T: Matthew Smith
126126151126141126
11. Rainbow Connection (10) J: Jason Collett (53kg) T: M J Dunn
7.58887.68

Pretty keen on (8) Ellsberg here. He’s had five races for two wins and three placings, which includes running 3rd in the Spring Stakes at Newcastle before bolting in by more than four lengths at Rosehill. First up over 1400m today with two trials under the belt and this looks a winnable race.

(11) Rainbow Connection is the value at $7.50. He bolted in on debut at the midweeks before finishing off solidly behind the very impressive Salina Dreaming last start. Drawn a bit awkward but can measure up here.

Tip: (8) Ellsberg $3.20 Ladbrokes

Value: (11) Rainbow Connection $7.50 TAB

Betting Strategy: 1.5 units WIN Ellsberg, 0.5 units WIN Rainbow Connection

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Race 3

Polytrack Prov Champs Final (1400m)
12:40pm (AEDT)

Race 3

Polytrack Prov Champs Final (1400m)
12:40pm (AEDT)

1. Pandano (6) J: James Mcdonald (57.5kg) T: P M Perry
2.352.352.32.52.42.3
2. Animate (7) J: Brenton Avdulla (57.5kg) T: K A Lees
1313131311.813
3. Prince Aurelius (9) J: Robbie Brewer (57.5kg) T: T Coyle
1414151514.215
4. Cristal Breeze (15) J: Hugh Bowman (56kg) T: K A Lees
6.56.56.56.55.76.5
5. Darleb (1) J: Jason Collett (56kg) T: K A Lees
2321212622.523
6. Loch Lomond (2) J: Tom Marquand (56kg) T: K A Lees
232626212523
7. Great News (16) J: Tommy Berry (55.5kg) T: Ms K Waugh
8. Gemmahra (4) J: Glen Boss (55.5kg) T: Ms G Markwell
1213131213.213
9. Electric Girl (5) J: Jay Ford (54kg) T: Nathan Doyle
10109.51010.410
10. Game Of Thorns (14) J: Kerrin Mcevoy (54kg) T: K A Lees
191920212021
11. La Jolie Fille (8) J: Ms Jess Taylor (54kg) T: P M Perry
464141344341
12. Zeftabrook (3) J: Tim Clark (54kg) T: K A Lees
515161415361
13. Grace Bay (10) J: Ms Kathy O'hara (54kg) T: Claire Lever
676167615961
14. Liveinthefastlane (12) J: Craig Williams (54kg) T: R & L Price
343131263534
15. Diva Bella (17) J: Ms Rachel King (54kg) T: Claire Lever
151151201151161151
16. High Court (18) J: Tommy Berry (57.5kg) T: J N Englebrecht
464134514041
17. Sequana (13) J: Unknown (54kg) T: K A Lees
18. Budhwar (11) J: Unknown (56kg) T: D Lane

At set weights, (1) Pandano looks very hard to beat here. He comes into this on the back of dominant wins here at Randwick and then Newcastle, where he took out the Provincial Championships Qualifier easily. Draws well, JMac on, goes on any surface and brings the best form.

(14) Liveinthefastlane might be one at value, currently priced at $26. Wasn’t far off first up at Warwick Farm and then ran 3rd despite sitting four-wide the trip last start. Has been competitive in town previously so isn’t hopeless at blowout odds.

Tip: (1) Pandano $2.30 TAB

Value: (12) Liveinthefastlane $26 TAB

Betting Strategy: 2 units WIN Pandano, 0.25 units WIN Liveinthefastlane

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Race 4

Heineken Percy Sykes Stakes (1200m)
1:15pm (AEDT)

Race 4

Heineken Percy Sykes Stakes (1200m)
1:15pm (AEDT)

1. Arcaded (7) J: Hugh Bowman (57kg) T: James Cummings
2. Najmaty (4) J: James Mcdonald (55kg) T: P & P Snowden
2.82.82.92.92.852.7
3. Robodira (8) J: Tom Marquand (54kg) T: J A O'shea
4. Jamaea (11) J: Tommy Berry (54kg) T: R & L Price
1617181817.617
5. Crystal Bound (10) J: Jason Collett (54kg) T: C Maher & D Eustace
332.932.83.1
6. Testimonial (6) J: Glen Boss (54kg) T: James Cummings
354161413941
7. Trifaccia (9) J: Ms Rachel King (54kg) T: James Cummings
665.55.55.85.5
8. Centro Storico (2) J: Craig Williams (54kg) T: Richard Litt
354151344941
9. Joyous Legend (3) J: Kerrin Mcevoy (54kg) T: G Ryan & S Alexiou
313131313434
10. A Very Fine Red (5) J: Tim Clark (54kg) T: Mark Newnham
1921212118.421
11. Yearning (1) J: Brenton Avdulla (54kg) T: M, W & J Hawkes
1212131212.812

Good little race here. Going to stick with the favourite (2) Najmaty who can’t have been more impressive in her two starts to date. She was very good on the Kenso on debut and then charged home again to win at Caulfield last start. The form out of that race has proved strong so from the decent draw with JMac on, she goes on top.

(5) Crystal Bound is another that can’t have been more impressive in her only start, bolting in by more than 6L at Moonee Valley on debut. She sat outside the leader on that occasion and beat He’s Xceptional, who ran 2nd to Hunnam at his next start. Hunnam was 3rd behind Najmaty prior to that so he’s the horse to tie in to both Najmaty and Crystal Bound.

Shapes as a great race.

Tip: (2) Najmaty $2.40 Bet365

Betting Strategy: 1.5 units WIN Najmaty

0

Race 5

The Star Australian Oaks (2400m)
1:50pm (AEDT)

Race 5

The Star Australian Oaks (2400m)
1:50pm (AEDT)

1. Montefilia (8) J: Jason Collett (56kg) T: David Payne
6665.56.16
2. Amarelinha (7) J: Opie Bosson (56kg) T: J W Richards
3.93.93.93.73.93.8
3. Hungry Heart (3) J: Kerrin Mcevoy (56kg) T: C J Waller
4.84.84.84.64.754.8
4. Harmony Rose (5) J: Joshua Parr (56kg) T: Mark Newnham
3.83.33.93.53.84
5. Impecunious (9) J: Damien Oliver (56kg) T: T Busuttin & N Young
1815171717.617
6. Duais (10) J: Hugh Bowman (56kg) T: Edward Cummings
1314131310.812
7. Bargain (1) J: James Mcdonald (56kg) T: Mark Newnham
1212121212.813
8. Land Ahoy (4) J: Ms Alysha Collett (56kg) T: J G Sargent
677191676981
9. Signora Nera (6) J: Brenton Avdulla (56kg) T: C J Waller
2621313127.531
10. Sassysav (2) J: Craig Williams (56kg) T: C Maher & D Eustace
8112681818571

The first Group 1 of the day is the Australian Oaks for the three-year-old fillies. I’ll stick with (3) Hungry Heart who has hit her straps in her past two starts. I’ve been on her in both, those being the Phar Lap Stakes and the Vinery Stud Stakes. She steps up to 2400m now, which is the obvious query, but her win in the Vinery last start was probably the run of the day, coming from nearly last on a day where it was very hard to make ground.

(2) Amarelinha is the other I’ll be on in the race. She’s a last-start New Zealand Oaks winner, which took her record to five wins and two 2nds from seven starts. NZ Oaks winners have won two of the last five Oaks’, so it’s a form reference that has proven successful.

$4.80 and $4.20 for those two horses respectively.

Tip: (3) Hungry Heart $4.80 Sportsbet

Also Backing: (2) Amarelinha $4.20 Sportsbet

Betting Strategy: 2 units WIN Hungry Heart, 1.5 units WIN Amarelinha

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Race 6

Arrowfield 3Yo Sprint (1200m)
2:25pm (AEDT)

Race 6

Arrowfield 3Yo Sprint (1200m)
2:25pm (AEDT)

1. Wild Ruler (10) J: James Mcdonald (56.5kg) T: P & P Snowden
7777.55.87
2. Prague (7) J: Tom Marquand (56.5kg) T: Annabel Neasham
11119.59.510.810
3. Rocketing By (8) J: Kerrin Mcevoy (56.5kg) T: David Pfieffer
1212121213.211
4. Aim (4) J: Mark Zahra (56.5kg) T: P & P Snowden
201731312423
5. Wisdom Of Water (6) J: Jason Collett (56.5kg) T: Annabel Neasham
212120201921
6. Amish Boy (5) J: Hugh Bowman (56.5kg) T: C Maher & D Eustace
2019191918.819
7. The Face (9) J: James Innes Jnr (56.5kg) T: G Ryan & S Alexiou
1919192116.619
8. September Run (1) J: Craig Williams (54.5kg) T: C J Waller
3.333.33.33.453.4
9. Isotope (3) J: Ryan Maloney (54.5kg) T: T J Gollan
3.53.63.43.53.53.6
10. Dame Giselle (2) J: Tommy Berry (54.5kg) T: P & P Snowden
11109.5108.69.5

(9) Isotope did a good job to win at her first run back since the Gold Coast Magic Millions. She was held up in the straight and was still able to run down a good horse in Odeum. Drawn well again and I see no reason why she can’t win again today.

(8) September Run drops in grade after running in Group 1 company all prep. She now drops into a Group 2 and returns to Sydney. She’s failed three times here at Randwick but that was a long time ago, so it will be interesting to see how she handles the track from barrier 1.

(3) Rocketing By, (5) Wisdom Of Water and (7) The Face can go well at bigger odds.

Tip: (9) Isotope $3.60 Ladbrokes

Betting Strategy: 1 unit WIN Isotope

0

Race 7

Schweppes Sydney Cup (3200m)
3:05pm (AEDT)

Race 7

Schweppes Sydney Cup (3200m)
3:05pm (AEDT)

1. The Chosen One (16) J: Hugh Bowman (56kg) T: M Baker & A Forsman
1313131412.412
2. Southern France (5) J: James Mcdonald (55kg) T: C Maher & D Eustace
88.5999.19
3. Sound (12) J: Brenton Avdulla (54kg) T: M D Moroney
414141414134
4. Quick Thinker (14) J: Jason Collett (53kg) T: M Baker & A Forsman
5. Chapada (6) J: Glen Boss (52kg) T: M D Moroney
262626262326
6. Shraaoh (11) J: Jay Ford (52kg) T: C J Waller
7. Miami Bound (10) J: Craig Williams (51.5kg) T: D T O'brien
1010101010.210
8. Spirit Ridge (2) J: Robbie Dolan (51.5kg) T: Mark Newnham
1010999.710
9. Hush Writer (15) J: Tim Clark (51.5kg) T: G Waterhouse & A Bott
414141412941
10. Favorite Moon (3) J: Kerrin Mcevoy (51kg) T: W J Haggas
6.576.56.55.87
11. Rondinella (7) J: Andrew Adkins (50kg) T: J A O'shea
141414141214
12. She's Ideel (4) J: Ms Rachel King (50kg) T: Bjorn Baker
5.55.5555.65.5
13. Realm Of Flowers (8) J: Damien Thornton (50kg) T: A & S Freedman
66666.16
14. Sacramento (9) J: Ms Kathy O'hara (50kg) T: G Waterhouse & A Bott
2121212019.623
15. Good Idea (1) J: Ben Thompson (50kg) T: P Stokes
2121212119.423
16. Selino (13) J: Ron Stewart (50kg) T: C J Waller
2121262619.423

Backing three horses in the Sydney Cup.

(7) Miami Bound would probably appreciate it a bit wetter but I thought her run last start was terrific in the Tancred. She arguably should have finished closer to She’s Ideel but she was badly held up at a crucial stage of the straight. Gets in light and can give this a shake at double figure odds.

(10) Favourite Moon won on Australian debut in the Manion Cup. Should be fitter for that run given he was first up from a 24-week spell over 2400m. Won second up last prep over 2800m so should be competitive, as the Europeans normally are in this race.

(12) She’s Ideel ran a huge race at her first go at WFA Group 1 level last start. Should have won two starts ago, loves this track, gets in light, draws well and just has to handle the step up to 3200m.

Tip: (12) She's Ideel $5.50 TAB

Also Backing: (10) Favourite Moon $6.50 TAB

Value: (7) Miami Bound $10 TAB

Betting Strategy: 1.5 units WIN She's Ideel, 1 unit WIN Favourite Moon, 1 unit WIN Miami Bound

0

Race 8

Longines Queen Elizabeth Stks (2000m)
3:50pm (AEDT)

Race 8

Longines Queen Elizabeth Stks (2000m)
3:50pm (AEDT)

1. Addeybb (3) J: Tom Marquand (59kg) T: W J Haggas
3.53.53.53.53.053.6
2. Sir Dragonet (2) J: Glen Boss (59kg) T: C Maher & D Eustace
66.56.56.56.66
3. Mugatoo (1) J: Hugh Bowman (59kg) T: K A Lees
7.57.56.56.57.27
4. Think It Over (5) J: Brenton Avdulla (59kg) T: K J Parker
1920201921.519
5. Samadoubt (6) J: Tim Clark (59kg) T: Bjorn Baker
6. Dalasan (8) J: Kerrin Mcevoy (59kg) T: L Macdonald & A Gluyas
343441343734
7. Verry Elleegant (4) J: James Mcdonald (57kg) T: C J Waller
2.252.22.32.32.352.2
8. Mo'unga (7) J: Tommy Berry (55.5kg) T: Annabel Neasham
2020202016.619

Round 4 of the Addeybb vs Verry Elleegant match up here in the Queen Elizabeth Stakes.

(7) Verry Elleegant got the better of (1) Addeybb in the Ranvet Stakes first up, with a length separating them. I thought it was a great effort from Addeybb given he went into that race with a lameness issue and was first up, while Verry Elleegant was third up. Addeybb has five wins from six starts when second up from a spell and he also gets the notable gear change of blinkers on first time. The concern for him would be the firm track as he’s significantly better on wet ground, but he still might be good enough to turn the tables.

(2) Sir Dragonet bounced back to form in dominant style last start, but the drop back to 2000m is the concern for him.

(4) Think It Over is the blowout chance at 20/1.

Tip: (1) Addeybb $3.60 TAB

Betting Strategy: No bet

0

Race 9

Moet/Chandon Queen Of The Turf (1600m)
4:30pm (AEDT)

Race 9

Moet/Chandon Queen Of The Turf (1600m)
4:30pm (AEDT)

1. Probabeel (6) J: Kerrin Mcevoy (57kg) T: J W Richards
2.42.42.42.42.52.4
2. Colette (12) J: James Mcdonald (57kg) T: James Cummings
87.57.57.57.37.5
3. Greysful Glamour (11) J: Joshua Parr (57kg) T: Mark Newnham
1819181814.619
4. Nimalee (9) J: Ms Rachel King (57kg) T: Matthew Smith
1415141413.815
5. Nettoyer (7) J: Tommy Berry (57kg) T: Ms W Roche
262631263026
6. Quantum Mechanic (3) J: Glen Boss (57kg) T: M Price & M Kent Jnr
1717181818.217
7. Vanna Girl (1) J: Damien Oliver (57kg) T: A J & T Edmonds
171717171718
8. Rich Hips (10) J: Hugh Bowman (57kg) T: T Busuttin & N Young
2626262626.526
9. All Saints' Eve (13) J: Tom Marquand (57kg) T: J A O'shea
414141413041
10. Missybeel (5) J: Jay Ford (57kg) T: Bjorn Baker
616161614951
11. Odeum (4) J: Michael Walker (54.5kg) T: M Price & M Kent Jnr
66666.16
12. Vangelic (2) J: Tim Clark (54.5kg) T: G Waterhouse & A Bott
1615151511.815
13. Starelle (8) J: Craig Williams (54.5kg) T: D T O'brien
2326212122.526

You would think if (1) Probabeel turned up, this would be all over. She drops back to a set weights race against her own sex, and she’s a far better horse than anything in this race. If she can bounce back from her disappointing showing in the All-Star Mile, she’d be very hard to beat.

(4) Nimalee did get everything in her favour last start when she box seated from barrier 1 on a track that favoured those on the rails and on speed. She’s still returned in good order and shouldn’t be underestimated.

(6) Quantum Mechanic is another that came out of that race behind Nimalee. Her effort was good to finish 3rd and she can be included at double figure odds.

(11) Odeum was only run down late by Isotope last start. My query is the step up from 1200m to 1600m.

Tip: (1) Probabeel $2.40 Ladbrokes

Value: (4) Nimalee $15 Ladbrokes

Betting Strategy: 2 units WIN Probabeel, 0.5 units WIN Nimalee

0

Race 10

Tab Sapphire Stakes (1200m)
5:10pm (AEDT)

Race 10

Tab Sapphire Stakes (1200m)
5:10pm (AEDT)

1. Tofane (15) J: Mark Zahra (58kg) T: M D Moroney
998.58.57.59
2. Sweet Deal (5) J: Glen Boss (55.5kg) T: John Thompson
2020171716.221
3. Entriviere (16) J: James Mcdonald (55.5kg) T: J W Richards
4.84.84.64.84.84.6
4. Fiesta (6) J: Hugh Bowman (55.5kg) T: C J Waller
7.588.58.58.68
5. California Zimbol (11) J: Tommy Berry (55.5kg) T: P & P Snowden
999.58.59.39
6. Fasika (10) J: Brenton Avdulla (55kg) T: Joseph Pride
1010109.58.210
7. Seasons (1) J: Kerrin Mcevoy (55kg) T: L J Bridge
5.55.555.55.65.5
8. Tricky Gal (9) J: Craig Williams (54kg) T: Matthew Smith
1313131312.613
9. Bavella (2) J: Tim Clark (54kg) T: L R Noble
515167515141
10. Evalina (14) J: Jay Ford (54kg) T: K A Lees
11. Wandabaa (4) J: Jason Collett (54kg) T: K A Lees
777.577.67
12. Adelong (8) J: Andrew Adkins (54kg) T: Brad Widdup
414141314341
13. Emanate (7) J: Ms Rachel King (54kg) T: James Cummings
14. Jen Rules (13) J: Sam Clipperton (54kg) T: P & P Snowden
515151413351
15. Alison Of Tuffy (3) J: Ron Stewart (54kg) T: Peter Robl
81811018111171
16. Air To Air (12) J: Robbie Dolan (54kg) T: J C Coyle
414141414341

Sticking with (7) Seasons here, who I’ve been on both times this prep. She ran well at big odds first up and then saluted impressively last start at Rosehill, once again at a decent price. She comes back to her home track today, draws barrier 1 and should be spot on third up from a spell, so I see no reason to jump off.

(11) Wandabaa has run well in both starts this prep, she just hasn’t been suited by race shapes or track patterns. Draws better today than she did last start so may be able to sit a touch closer and she’s got a good record at this track and distance, so she should be competitive.

(4) Fiesta had no luck at all last start and that followed a good run first up. She should be spot on today and $8.50 isn’t a bad price.

(3) Entriviere has won five of her six starts in New Zealand, and lost by a nose at the only one she lost. Has to be respected.

Tip: (7) Seasons $5.50 BlueBet

Also Backing: (11) Wandabaa $7.00 BlueBet

Value: (4) Fiesta $8.50 BlueBet

Betting Strategy: 1 unit WIN Seasons, 0.5 units WIN Wandabaa, 0.5 units WIN Fiesta

A trip to Hong Kong quickly had Tim hooked to the racing caper, maintaining the best place anywhere in the world on a Wednesday night is Happy Valley. He holds a strong interest in the Hong Kong form, along with the metropolitan racing in Sydney and Melbourne. He’s a fan of dry tracks, Zac Purton and takes particular interest in identifying patterns in the form. Tim wears many hats, juggling the roles of form analyst, jockey manager and racehorse owner.

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