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Randwick Racing Tips: Saturday, July 31st

Tim Geers previews the 10-race card at Randwick on Saturday as the 2020/21 season comes to a close.

randwick-racing

The final day of the 2020/21 Australian racing season takes place at Randwick on Saturday, with a 10-race card at headquarters.

The track is set to be in the Good range for the first time in weeks, a welcome change from the bog tracks in recent meetings. The rail is out 12m from the 900m-winning post, 10m the remainder.

Tim Geers has previewed every race on the card, with his best bet coming up in the day’s opening event.

Find his tips, best bets and betting strategy below.

Best Bet: Race 1 – (9) Skedaddle

Best Value: Race 8 – (3) Nikohli Beagle & (8) Miss Dior

BetDeluxe

193889

Race 1

Atc Thanks Stable Staff (Bm72) (1300m)
11:20am (AEDT)

Race 1

Atc Thanks Stable Staff (Bm72) (1300m)
11:20am (AEDT)

1. Vreneli (8) J: Jean Van Overmeire (61.5kg) T: G Waterhouse & A Bott
777.577.37
2. Rustic Steel (11) J: Tom Sherry (61kg) T: K A Lees
3. Joviality (9) J: Nash Rawiller (59kg) T: C J Waller
4. Seleque (1) J: Tommy Berry (58.5kg) T: C J Waller
4.44.24.24.64.64.2
5. Magic Ruler (4) J: Jason Collett (58.5kg) T: M J Dunn
7.57.56.577.67.5
6. Super Effort (3) J: Jay Ford (57.5kg) T: G Ryan & S Alexiou
7. Tamerlane (12) J: Hugh Bowman (57.5kg) T: James Cummings
9.5989.59.28.5
8. Selburose (7) J: Tim Clark (56.5kg) T: C J Waller
141414131414
9. Skedaddle (5) J: Brock Ryan (56.5kg) T: L J Bridge
2.252.252.252.32.22.25
10. Zoumist (10) J: Sam Clipperton (56.5kg) T: G Ryan & S Alexiou
11. Pensato (6) J: Kerrin Mcevoy (55kg) T: James Cummings
2626263123.526
12. Sunrise Ruby (2) J: Unknown (54kg) T: Mitchell Beer

Odds Last Updated: July 31, 2021, 11:21am (AEDT)

I’m really keen to get stuck in early here.

(9) Skedaddle is my best bet of the day. She had no luck first up and her win last start was super; she never looked like winning until exploding through along the rail in the final 100m. Les Bridge post-race noted that she was a mare destined to win a good race and I think she’s up to making the step up in grade here. On her home deck, looks clearly the horse to beat. Looking to take Betfair SP.

(6) Super Effort went into the horses to follow file after his run last start. First up he bolted in at Newcastle, and he then came from last on the rails to finish hard for 2nd last time out. He didn’t get much luck in that race and should have finished closer. Think he rates as the danger to Skedaddle.

Tip: (9) Skedaddle $2.25 TAB (take Betfair SP)

Betting Strategy: 2.5 units WIN Skedaddle

193889

Race 2

Tab Highway Hcp (C3) (1200m)
11:55am (AEDT)

Race 2

Tab Highway Hcp (C3) (1200m)
11:55am (AEDT)

1. I Am Capitan (7) J: Brock Ryan (61kg) T: D R Mirfin
141313151413
2. Mr Hussill (2) J: Kerrin Mcevoy (58kg) T: Cameron Crockett
2.72.82.93.132.7
3. Distillate (9) J: Tim Clark (57kg) T: Matthew Dale
4. Perfect Pitch (10) J: Nash Rawiller (57kg) T: K R Dryden
1616161614.616
5. Anubis (16) J: Unknown (56.5kg) T: Ms S Grills
6. Philipsburg (4) J: Joshua Parr (56.5kg) T: James Ponsonby
999.598.29
7. A Fortunate Lass (11) J: Sam Clipperton (55kg) T: Mark Schmetzer
262621212326
8. Commando Hunt (8) J: Ms Kathy O'hara (55kg) T: Cameron Crockett
99999.19
9. Knight Driver (14) J: Jason Collett (54.5kg) T: C Lundholm
1414151414.214
10. Moetta (1) J: Ms Rachel King (54.5kg) T: R P Northam
1313121113.214
11. Sunrise Ruby (12) J: Glen Boss (54.5kg) T: Mitchell Beer
9.59.5999.89.5
12. Very Sharp (13) J: Grant Buckley (54.5kg) T: R P Northam
2121212017.623
13. Danzadel (6) J: Tommy Berry (54kg) T: T J Robinson
88887.78
14. Eurosay (15) J: Unknown (54kg) T: Todd Smart
15. Rubick's Command (3) J: Unknown (54kg) T: J A Sylvester
16. Sportsman (5) J: Unknown (54kg) T: J A Sylvester

Odds Last Updated: July 31, 2021, 11:56am (AEDT)

(2) Mr Hussil was very impressive winning first up from a 93-week spell in a similar race to this last start. You’d think he would improve off that so that would make him the horse to beat again.

(8) Commando Hunt is the stablemate of Mr Hussil and Cam Crockett does very well in these races. Is first up with four trials under the belt so should be forward enough to be competitive.

(9) Knight Driver went close in a similar race last start and was in winning form prior to that.

(11) Sunrise Ruby was impressive winning last start carrying top weight. She now has three wins from four races and has to be thought of highly.

(13) Danzadel ran 2nd to Mr Hussil last time out.

Tip: (2) Mr Hussil $3.60 TopSport

Betting Strategy: No bet

193889

Race 3

Thanks Frontline Workers-Bm78 (1800m)
12:30pm (AEDT)

Race 3

Thanks Frontline Workers-Bm78 (1800m)
12:30pm (AEDT)

1. Zing (10) J: Brock Ryan (62kg) T: C J Waller
88887.77.5
2. La Chevalee (3) J: Tom Sherry (60.5kg) T: C Maher & D Eustace
2.82.92.82.82.852.9
3. So Wicked (1) J: James Mcdonald (60.5kg) T: C J Waller
5.55.55.55.55.65.5
4. Bring The Ransom (7) J: Jason Collett (60kg) T: Bjorn Baker
8.588.587.38
5. Oakfield Missile (6) J: Grant Buckley (59.5kg) T: D Lane
2321212123.521
6. Savigne (11) J: Hugh Bowman (59kg) T: C J Waller
1112121312.612
7. Margie Bee (2) J: Ms Rachel King (58kg) T: Ms K Buchanan
2121202021.521
8. Mother's Mercy (5) J: Jean Van Overmeire (57kg) T: Paul Messara
2120181721.519
9. Rules Don't Apply (4) J: Kerrin Mcevoy (56kg) T: C J Waller
414134343834
10. My Demetra (8) J: Sam Clipperton (54kg) T: P & P Snowden
7777.57.17
11. Raccolto (9) J: Tommy Berry (54kg) T: M, W & J Hawkes

Odds Last Updated: July 31, 2021, 12:31pm (AEDT)

(2) La Chevalee broke through for a deserved win last time out and can back that up with any sort of decent ride here. The only concern is the jockey switch from JMac to Tom Sherry.

(3) So Wicked should appreciate getting back onto firmer footing. Gets a gun run from the inside gate and JMac goes on so she should be very competitive.

Not really a race I’m too interested in getting involved in.

Tip: (2) La Chevalee $2.60 Ladbrokes

Betting Strategy: No bet

193889

Race 4

The Agency Real Estate (Bm78) (1800m)
1:05pm (AEDT)

Race 4

The Agency Real Estate (Bm78) (1800m)
1:05pm (AEDT)

1. Criminal Code (11) J: Brock Ryan (62kg) T: C J Waller
5.55.55.55.55.65
2. Morton's Fork (10) J: Tom Sherry (62kg) T: Richard Litt
616767616571
3. Badoosh (4) J: Hugh Bowman (58.5kg) T: M J Dunn
4.54.54.44.64.454.4
4. O'mudgee (6) J: Joshua Parr (58kg) T: Bjorn Baker
8.59998.59.5
5. Mr Gee (2) J: Tommy Berry (57.5kg) T: J A O'shea
4444.44.254
6. Torrens (7) J: Jay Ford (57.5kg) T: Lauri Parker
201201201151161151
7. Spanish Point (12) J: Jason Collett (56.5kg) T: K A Lees
8. Bethencourt (9) J: Tim Clark (55kg) T: Ms K Waugh
66665.56.5
9. Savvy Legend (8) J: Kerrin Mcevoy (54.5kg) T: L J Bridge
99.599.58.39.5
10. Silent Agenda (5) J: Ms Rachel King (52kg) T: Joseph Pride
1718181817.418
11. Cognac (1) J: Jean Van Overmeire (58.5kg) T: R & M Freedman
12. Nyami (3) J: James Mcdonald (58.5kg) T: C J Waller
1414161511.215

Odds Last Updated: July 31, 2021, 1:06pm (AEDT)

(5) Mr Gee has hit form with the application of blinkers and he can win again here. He bolted in last start and the return to firm ground won’t bother him here. Tommy Berry booked, looks hard to beat again.

(1) Criminal Code had excuses two back but bounced back to win well last start. The worry today is the apprentice booked from the wide gate.

(3) Badoosh gets a good draw and Bowman. Comes off a good run last start and he’s another who won’t be bothered by the firmer ground.

(8) Bethencourt and (9) Savvy Legend next best.

Tip: (5) Mr Gee $4.20 Sportsbet

Also Backing: (3) Badoosh $4.80 TopSport

Betting Strategy: 1.5 units WIN Mr Gee, 0.5 units WIN Badoosh

193889

Race 5

Midway (Bm72) (1300m)
1:40pm (AEDT)

Race 5

Midway (Bm72) (1300m)
1:40pm (AEDT)

1. Ashman (14) J: Brock Ryan (61.5kg) T: Ms K Waugh
1516161615.818
2. Catapult (7) J: Hugh Bowman (61kg) T: Richard Litt
4.64.565.55.44.6
3. Lord Zoulander (12) J: Ms Ellen Hennessy (59.5kg) T: G Portelli
111011109.411
4. Foxborough (11) J: Tom Sherry (59kg) T: J G Sargent
1919181718.821
5. Epic Dan (13) J: Nash Rawiller (58.5kg) T: G D Hickman
2321201919.221
6. Zorocat (1) J: Jason Collett (57.5kg) T: D Lane
3.63.53.53.73.553.4
7. Oakfield Captain (6) J: Grant Buckley (57.5kg) T: D Lane
2626262623.526
8. Metro Legend (8) J: Kerrin Mcevoy (57kg) T: Annabel Neasham
101111119.911
9. Serena (10) J: Tim Clark (56.5kg) T: R L Pearse
262621212626
10. Rock My Wand (5) J: Tommy Berry (55.5kg) T: Matthew Smith
5.5555.55.35
11. Lisdoonvarna (4) J: Ms Kathy O'hara (55.5kg) T: Ms A Turner
12. Wild Chap (3) J: Unknown (56.5kg) T: B M Lazzarini
1314131212.814
13. Real Key (9) J: Sam Clipperton (55kg) T: Ms T Bateup
14. Hard Lady (2) J: Unknown (54kg) T: B M Lazzarini

Odds Last Updated: July 31, 2021, 1:41pm (AEDT)

Pretty keen on (2) Catapult here with Bowman going aboard. He was good first up without a lot of luck and he just got too far back last start. Back onto firm ground should really suit, he’s run 2nd in all three starts when second up from a spell and should be very competitive in a race like this.

(6) Zorocat bolted in last start and has a good record on firm ground so should be competitive again from barrier 1.

(1) Ashman can improve second up from a spell.

Tip: (2) Catapult $5.50/$2.15 Bet365

Betting Strategy: 0.75 units E/W Catapult

193889

Race 6

Atc Thank You Owners (Bm78) (1500m)
2:15pm (AEDT)

Race 6

Atc Thank You Owners (Bm78) (1500m)
2:15pm (AEDT)

1. Mr Tipla (3) J: Tom Sherry (62kg) T: T Busuttin & N Young
99.5999.49.5
2. Canasta (9) J: Joshua Parr (61kg) T: Bjorn Baker
2.72.72.72.72.652.6
3. Dick Whittington (12) J: Kerrin Mcevoy (60kg) T: Matthew Smith
1516161717.216
4. Betcha Flying (1) J: Hugh Bowman (59.5kg) T: C J Waller
5. Monegal (7) J: Brock Ryan (58.5kg) T: Ms T Bateup
9.59.59.59.510.210
6. Cognac (4) J: Jean Van Overmeire (58.5kg) T: R & M Freedman
1718161816.219
7. Nyami (11) J: Nash Rawiller (58.5kg) T: C J Waller
8. Cafe Royal (10) J: Tommy Berry (57.5kg) T: Nathan Doyle
1111111111.611
9. California Longbow (6) J: Sam Clipperton (57.5kg) T: P & P Snowden
313131312831
10. Think Free (8) J: Jason Collett (57kg) T: K A Lees
109.591110.29
11. Wairere Falls (5) J: James Mcdonald (56kg) T: C J Waller
4.24.24.44.44.054.2
12. Salsonic (2) J: Ms Ellen Hennessy (54kg) T: J C Coyle

Odds Last Updated: July 31, 2021, 2:16pm (AEDT)

(2) Canasta lands on top almost by default here. He’s run well all prep without winning but the return to a good track today could make the difference. Four of his five career wins have been on good ground and he has a good record at the distance so he’ll be tough to beat.

(1) Mr Tipla comes to Sydney from Melbourne and this stable can produce a horse to win when they bring them across the border. Respect at double figure odds.

(5) Monegal was enormous first up but his first up record is far superior than his second up record which is the concern.

(10) Think Free is racing well but the firmer ground is the concern.

Tip: (2) Canasta $2.90 Bet365

Betting Strategy: 1 unit WIN Canasta

193889

Race 7

Moet & Chandon (Bm88) (1400m)
2:50pm (AEDT)

Race 7

Moet & Chandon (Bm88) (1400m)
2:50pm (AEDT)

1. New Arrangement (10) J: James Mcdonald (59kg) T: C J Waller
55554.755
2. Surf Dancer (6) J: Tim Clark (59kg) T: G Waterhouse & A Bott
4.84.85.54.84.95
3. Mr Tipla (8) J: Hugh Bowman (57kg) T: T Busuttin & N Young
4. Dream Circle (3) J: Jean Van Overmeire (56.5kg) T: David Payne
1111101110.810
5. Mirra Vision (5) J: Sam Clipperton (56kg) T: P & P Snowden
101110109.310
6. Le Gai Soleil (1) J: Jason Collett (55.5kg) T: J A O'shea
65.56.565.65.5
7. Vitesse (4) J: Ms Kathy O'hara (55.5kg) T: C J Waller
109.5111110.89.5
8. Blondeau (9) J: Tommy Berry (55.5kg) T: C J Waller
9. Madam Legend (7) J: Kerrin Mcevoy (55kg) T: L J Bridge
4444.44.454
10. Not Feint Hearted (2) J: Ms Ellen Hennessy (54kg) T: G Portelli
1515161613.616

Odds Last Updated: July 31, 2021, 2:51pm (AEDT)

(6) Le Gai Soleil was badly beaten last start, which is uncharacteristic of her. She gets blinkers for the first time, an inside draw and a return to good ground. There’s already been market support for her so expect her to improve significantly.

(9) Madam Legend won well first up and can make the step up in grade on her home deck. The race she won has stood up as a form reference with two subsequent winners and she tends to handle all surfaces.

(8) Blondeau has two versions and the market could well tell the story before the race as to which one turns up.

Tip: (6) Le Gai Soleil $6.50 Bet365

Also Backing: (9) Madam Legend 4.60 Unibet

Betting Strategy: 0.5 units WIN Le Gai Soleil, 0.5 units WIN Madam Legend

193889

Race 8

Precise Air (Bm72) (1000m)
3:30pm (AEDT)

Race 8

Precise Air (Bm72) (1000m)
3:30pm (AEDT)

1. Van Giz (1) J: Kerrin Mcevoy (60kg) T: Bjorn Baker
1313131313.212
2. De Grawin (2) J: Brock Ryan (59.5kg) T: Joseph Pride
8.58.588.58.78
3. Nikohli Beagle (15) J: Nash Rawiller (58.5kg) T: J M Austin
99.59.599.910
4. Remlaps Gem (4) J: Jay Ford (58.5kg) T: S I Singleton
888.58.587.5
5. Mr Polar (10) J: Jean Van Overmeire (58kg) T: C P Porter
676761616171
6. Centrefire (12) J: Unknown (57.5kg) T: Chris Munce
7. The Neon Knight (5) J: Grant Buckley (56.5kg) T: J N Englebrecht
1919202020.519
8. Miss Dior (3) J: Ms Rachel King (56.5kg) T: P & P Snowden
888.58.58.17.5
9. Sixgun (11) J: Tom Sherry (56.5kg) T: Mark Newnham
2.62.62.62.52.42.6
10. Duchess (9) J: Tim Clark (55kg) T: R & M Freedman
191718212016
11. Zelify (6) J: Tommy Berry (54.5kg) T: C J Waller
12. Brazenpine (7) J: Sam Clipperton (54.5kg) T: P & P Snowden
202018181921
13. Nicci's Song (14) J: Unknown (54kg) T: G W Murray
14. Battleground (8) J: Jason Collett (55.5kg) T: Matthew Dale
1616171716.218
15. Perlant (16) J: Unknown (54kg) T: Annabel Neasham
16. Advance Party (13) J: Ms Kathy O'hara (52kg) T: Bryce Heys

Odds Last Updated: July 31, 2021, 3:31pm (AEDT)

(3) Nikohli Beagle won well first up at Warwick Farm on good ground before failing in two subsequent starts on heavy ground. Back onto firmer footing today can see him return to form.

(8) Miss Dior ran in the same race as Nikohli Beagle last start, where she ran 2nd behind Our Bellagio Miss. Looks to get a good draw once again and if she improves at all from the first up outing, she should be in the finish again.

Tip: (8) Miss Dior $6.50 Ladbrokes

Also Backing: (3) Nikohli Beagle $8.00 Bet365

Betting Strategy: 0.5 units WIN Nikohli Beagle, 0.5 units WIN Miss Dior

193889

Race 9

Fujitsu General (Bm88) (1100m)
4:10pm (AEDT)

Race 9

Fujitsu General (Bm88) (1100m)
4:10pm (AEDT)

1. Spaceboy (8) J: Ms Ellen Hennessy (59kg) T: G Portelli
55555.45
2. I Am Power (2) J: Tom Sherry (58kg) T: Mark Newnham
65.55.565.55.5
3. Outback Diva (13) J: Jean Van Overmeire (56.5kg) T: R & M Freedman
273126262934
4. Perigord (11) J: Brock Ryan (56kg) T: G Ryan & S Alexiou
202020201621
5. Best Stone (3) J: James Mcdonald (55kg) T: John Thompson
55554.75
6. Our Bellagio Miss (1) J: Tommy Berry (55kg) T: G D Hickman
8.587.58.58.67.5
7. Valaquenta (5) J: Kerrin Mcevoy (54.5kg) T: James Cummings
77.57.57.56.97.5
8. Hulk (12) J: Tim Clark (54kg) T: C J Waller
9. Liberty Sun (6) J: Ms Kathy O'hara (54kg) T: G Mcfarlane
273126262734
10. Broken Arrows (7) J: Jason Collett (54kg) T: M J Dunn
998.599.68.5
11. Enfleurage (9) J: Ms Rachel King (53kg) T: James Cummings
12. Just Field (4) J: Grant Buckley (52kg) T: D Lane
109.58.59.5109.5
13. Accelerato (10) J: Jay Ford (52kg) T: Joseph Pride
354134343341

Odds Last Updated: July 31, 2021, 4:11pm (AEDT)

Anything could win this but I’ll be against (6) Our Bellagio Miss who has been very good to us in winning her past two starts. She’s a deadest wet tracker though, and she won’t get that here so I’ll be taking her on and expecting her to drift.

(1) Spaceboy does what Spaceboy does first up in Melbourne, running admirably but ultimately coming up short. He’s placed in five of his six starts when second up from a spell, but is yet to win one, so he’ll be right in the finish once again. Might just find one too good again.

(2) I Am Power looks better suited on firm ground than wet ground so can improve on his last effort.

(5) Best Stone trialled well leading into her first up run today and the booking of James McDonald really catches the eye. He’s only had four rides for John Thompson in the past 12 months, resulting in one win and one second. She’s yet to win first up but she finds a race she can go very close in here at each way odds.

(4) Perigord next best.

Tip: (5) Best Stone E/W $7.00 Ladbrokes

Betting Strategy: 0.5 units E/W Best Stone

193889

Race 10

Atc Thank You Trainers (Bm78) (1300m)
4:50pm (AEDT)

Race 10

Atc Thank You Trainers (Bm78) (1300m)
4:50pm (AEDT)

1. Kordia (9) J: James Mcdonald (59.5kg) T: James Cummings
4.24.244.24.054.2
2. Yabadabadoo (6) J: Jason Collett (59.5kg) T: K A Lees
818181518381
3. Cuban Royale (10) J: Brock Ryan (58.5kg) T: R & L Price
65.56.566.66.5
4. Radipole (1) J: Nash Rawiller (58kg) T: Matthew Smith
616161615151
5. Snitzify (2) J: Hugh Bowman (58kg) T: P & P Snowden
6.56.576.56.37
6. Night Of Power (8) J: Joshua Parr (57.5kg) T: Bjorn Baker
98.599.58.58.5
7. He's A Hotshot (5) J: Ms Rachel King (57kg) T: Bjorn Baker
55.55.555.15.5
8. Ranges (12) J: Tommy Berry (57kg) T: P & P Snowden
6.56576.25
9. Charretera (13) J: Tom Sherry (56kg) T: P & P Snowden
10. Balansa (3) J: Ms Ellen Hennessy (55kg) T: K R Dryden
717181616771
11. Escaped (4) J: Tim Clark (54.5kg) T: J C Deamer
7.57.57.57.57.67.5
12. Think Free (7) J: Unknown (57kg) T: K A Lees
13. Vitesse (11) J: Ms Kathy O'hara (60.5kg) T: C J Waller

Odds Last Updated: July 31, 2021, 4:51pm (AEDT)

Anyone’s guess who takes out the last here.

(6) Night Of Power ran very well first up and has had six weeks off leading into this. Back onto firm ground is a plus and he has a good second up record. The query is whether he’s had an issue since that first up run. Market likely to tell the story.

(11) Escaped was well backed on stable debut last start but had no luck at all in the run. Drawn well in barrier 4 here so don’t be surprised to see him run a good race.

(1) Kordia gets JMac on which is a good sign she can return to her best form.

(3) Cuban Royale won well last start, while the three Snowden runners all have claims.

Tip: (6) Night Of Power $8.50 Sportsbet

Betting Strategy: No bet

A trip to Hong Kong quickly had Tim hooked to the racing caper, maintaining the best place anywhere in the world on a Wednesday night is Happy Valley. He holds a strong interest in the Hong Kong form, along with the metropolitan racing in Sydney and Melbourne. He’s a fan of dry tracks, Zac Purton and takes particular interest in identifying patterns in the form. Tim wears many hats, juggling the roles of form analyst, jockey manager and racehorse owner.

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