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Rosehill Racing Tips: Saturday, April 3rd

Group 1 racing continues with Tancred Stakes day at Rosehill on Easter Saturday and Tim Geers previews the card below!

Group 1 racing continues at Rosehill in Sydney on Easter Saturday, with the nine-race card headlined by the Vinery Stud Stakes and the Tancred Stakes.

The features are supported by a further six black-type races on the card: two Group 2s and four Group 3s.

The track is rated in the Good (4) range after fine weather in the lead up to Saturday, which is a nice change after being hammered by rain in previous weeks. The rail is out 6m for the entire circuit.

Tim Geers has previewed every race below with his tips and best bets.

Best Bet: Race 8 – (4) Rock

Best Value: Race 7 – (13) Toffee Tongue

BetDeluxe

0

Race 1

Schweppervescence (1400m)
12:45pm (AEDT)

Race 1

Schweppervescence (1400m)
12:45pm (AEDT)

1. Readily Availabull (2) J: Andrew Adkins (58kg) T: J G Sargent
1213131312.813
2. Saif (1) J: Craig Williams (58kg) T: M, W & J Hawkes
6.56.56.56.56.26
3. Converge (5) J: Tim Clark (57kg) T: G Waterhouse & A Bott
87.57.57.57.57.5
4. With Your Blessing (9) J: Glen Boss (57kg) T: John Thompson
7.57.57.57.577.5
5. Coastwatch (7) J: James Mcdonald (56.5kg) T: C J Waller
2120202120.519
6. Conrad (12) J: Tom Marquand (56.5kg) T: Ms K Waugh
3.53.53.53.53.53.6
7. Mr Mozart (17) J: Kerrin Mcevoy (56.5kg) T: M, W & J Hawkes
141415151115
8. Tea Leaves (14) J: Brenton Avdulla (56.5kg) T: G Waterhouse & A Bott
2626212121.526
9. Wizard Of Oz (8) J: Hugh Bowman (56.5kg) T: C J Waller
313431343034
10. Akihiro (16) J: Unknown (56kg) T: G Portelli
11. Testimonial (4) J: Ms Rachel King (56kg) T: James Cummings
1212121211.212
12. Flying Witness (6) J: Jason Collett (54kg) T: Annabel Neasham
1617181817.218
13. Gin Martini (18) J: Regan Bayliss (54kg) T: J G Sargent
465161513551
14. Forgot You (10) J: Robbie Dolan (55.5kg) T: T Busuttin & N Young
313431343034
15. Last Not Least (15) J: Unknown (55.5kg) T: J G Sargent
16. Poetic Impact (11) J: Unknown (54kg) T: P M Perry
17. Tristate (13) J: Unknown (55kg) T: A J Cummings
18. Maurice's Medad (3) J: Unknown (54.5kg) T: Bjorn Baker

Odds Last Updated: April 3, 2021, 12:46pm (AEDT)

Interesting to note the boys have dominated this race in recent years. You have to go back to 2012 to find the last filly that won this, and that was the only filly in the past 17 years to do so.

Could be made to eat my hat early in the day but I think (6) Conrad is one of the lays of the day at $3.70. He comes into this on the back of a 3.7L maiden win at Wyong where he started $1.45, and now suddenly he is favourite for a G3 with barrier 12?

(3) Converge goes on top for me. He had no luck in the Pago Pago, caught three-wide the trip. He stuck on well to be beaten 1.3L and he should be able to go forward and get a better run from barrier 5 today. With the rail out 6m, it could pay to be on speed early so I’m happy with the $7.50 available for the GaiBott runner.

(2) Saif won on debut and then ran 2nd in the Sires’ Produce at Flemington. Craig Williams keeps the ride and he draws barrier 1 so we could see him more forward in the run here.

(4) With Your Blessing also comes out of the Pago Pago, where he finished 0.5L ahead of Converge. He came from back in the field and hit the line well to be beaten less than a length so the step up to 1400m should suit.

(1) Readily Availabull ran 5th in the Sires’ Produce after settling back and hitting the line hard, while (12) Flying Witness looks the best of the fillies to my eye.

Tip: (3) Converge $7.50 Ladbrokes

Betting Strategy: 0.5 units WIN Converge

0

Race 2

Xxxx Neville Sellwood Stks (2000m)
1:20pm (AEDT)

Race 2

Xxxx Neville Sellwood Stks (2000m)
1:20pm (AEDT)

1. Master Of Wine (4) J: Kerrin Mcevoy (55.5kg) T: M, W & J Hawkes
2.32.32.32.32.452.25
2. Entente (3) J: Tim Clark (55.5kg) T: G Waterhouse & A Bott
4.54.44.44.64.054.4
3. Shared Ambition (8) J: James Mcdonald (55kg) T: C J Waller
3.9444.23.854.2
4. Mr Satchmo (10) J: Tom Marquand (55kg) T: C J Waller
91919191101101
5. Looks Like Elvis (2) J: Jason Collett (55kg) T: J M Austin
1313141413.414
6. Paths Of Glory (9) J: Ms Rachel King (55kg) T: R & M Freedman
313426342534
7. Avion Fury (6) J: Sam Clipperton (55kg) T: Glen Thompson
101101151101131101
8. Aliferous (7) J: Craig Williams (53.5kg) T: K A Lees
1717191916.817
9. Girl Tuesday (1) J: Glen Boss (53kg) T: C E Conners
2121212624.523
10. Joigny (5) J: Andrew Adkins (53kg) T: T J Bartley
1019110112611181

Odds Last Updated: April 3, 2021, 1:21pm (AEDT)

This race is such a trap.

At his best, (1) Master Of Wine would absolutely walk in here. His only start in this grade was a 3.5L win and since that, he’s had eight starts all at Group 1 level. He now drops from weight-for-age Group 1s to a Group 3 at set weights and penalties, where he carries just 55.5kg! Third up last prep he was beaten less than a length by Verry Elleegant on a firm track over this distance. So, while all of that sounds very good, the question is whether he’s going well enough to win. I personally don’t think he’s going well enough for me to dive in at $2.50, so I’m against him.

(3) Shared Ambition resumed this prep with a win over Mount Popa, who then came out and won his next two easily. He was then beaten less than a length in Melbourne, before being well beaten in the Australian Cup last start. Master Of Wine really should beat him but I’m going to stick with the Waller horse.

(2) Entente won the Albury Cup last start but this is a big step up in class.

No surprise to see something at odds cause a boilover here. (5) Looks Like Elvis and (8) Aliferous would be the most likely, but neither like winning very much.

Tip: (3) Shared Ambition $3.40 Bet365

Betting Strategy: 1 unit WIN Shared Ambition

0

Race 3

Signace Tulloch Stks (2000m)
1:55pm (AEDT)

Race 3

Signace Tulloch Stks (2000m)
1:55pm (AEDT)

1. Cherry Tortoni (11) J: Kerrin Mcevoy (56kg) T: Patrick Payne
3.53.53.53.73.73.4
2. The Frontman (1) J: Hugh Bowman (56kg) T: M Baker & A Forsman
5.55.55.55.55.55.5
3. Young Werther (4) J: Tom Marquand (56kg) T: D T O'brien
7.57776.76.5
4. Yaletown (10) J: Tim Clark (56kg) T: G Waterhouse & A Bott
4.64.84.84.84.65
5. Fields Of Honour (6) J: Joshua Parr (56kg) T: Bjorn Baker
1718171715.819
6. Favreau (12) J: James Mcdonald (56kg) T: J G Sargent
5555.55.15
7. Just A Jedi (8) J: Regan Bayliss (56kg) T: G Ryan & S Alexiou
465141415961
8. Prompt Prodigy (5) J: Ms Rachel King (56kg) T: Edward Cummings
343431343034
9. Rondino (7) J: Brenton Avdulla (56kg) T: G D Hickman
273126262931
10. Bob (9) J: Robbie Dolan (56kg) T: Mark Newnham
11. Bahamut (2) J: Jay Ford (56kg) T: D Chujo
12. Zakspeed (3) J: Andrew Adkins (56kg) T: Ms W Roche
126126101101161151

Odds Last Updated: April 3, 2021, 1:56pm (AEDT)

Absolutely love the price for (2) The Frontman here. The Murray Baker and Andrew Forsman stable bring a horse over to Australia every year to contest this before the ATC Derby and it’s always a horse with this sort of profile. They won this race in 2017, ran 3rd and 4th in 2018, ran 2nd in 2019, and won it again last year. He ran 2nd over 2100m two starts back before running 3rd in the G1 New Zealand Derby last time out. The query is the firm ground as all four starts have been on a soft track, but Hugh Bowman is booked, he draws barrier 1 and $6.00 is a good each way bet.

(1) Cherry Tortoni was enormous in defeat in the Australian Guineas and just had plenty go against him again last start when the leader won by 6L. How far back does he get from barrier 11?

(6) Favreau bumped into Wheelhouse first up over an unsuitable trip but has since won his next two. It seems the longer the better for him and JMac goes on, so he looks a big chance.

Happy to back The Frontman each way here.

Tip: (2) The Frontman $6.00/$1.95 TopSport

Betting Strategy: 1 unit E/W The Frontman

0

Race 4

Canadian Club Emancipation (1500m)
2:35pm (AEDT)

Race 4

Canadian Club Emancipation (1500m)
2:35pm (AEDT)

1. Krone (2) J: Tim Clark (58kg) T: T J Gollan
3.83.944.44.054
2. Greysful Glamour (5) J: James Mcdonald (56kg) T: Mark Newnham
5.56665.96
3. Oceanex (8) J: Mark Zahra (56kg) T: M Price & M Kent Jnr
4. Quantum Mechanic (4) J: Joshua Parr (56kg) T: M Price & M Kent Jnr
2321201823.519
5. Sweet Deal (6) J: Hugh Bowman (55.5kg) T: John Thompson
998.5989.5
6. Rich Hips (10) J: Damien Oliver (55.5kg) T: T Busuttin & N Young
1414121214.614
7. Irithea (7) J: Tom Marquand (55.5kg) T: J A O'shea
354126414141
8. All Saints' Eve (3) J: Brenton Avdulla (55kg) T: J A O'shea
8.588.58.58.37
9. Icebath (11) J: Kerrin Mcevoy (54kg) T: Brad Widdup
999.59.59.19.5
10. Nimalee (1) J: Ms Rachel King (54kg) T: Matthew Smith
4.44.44.24.24.44.4
11. Amica (9) J: Jay Ford (54kg) T: G Ryan & S Alexiou
101101101101101101

Odds Last Updated: April 3, 2021, 2:36pm (AEDT)

(1) Krone has hardly done anything to suggest she can’t make it four straight wins here? She was dominant in the Guy Walter Stakes two starts ago and just when everyone thought a firm track was a worry, she blitzed them in the G1 Coolmore Classic on a Good 3 here at Rosehill last start. She carries top weight here but this is a weaker race than what she won, and she meets the likes of All Saints’ Eve at essentially the same weights as she did last start. With even luck she looks the winner to me.

I really think (10) Nimalee is her only danger. She was terrific winning first up and they’ve kept her fresh coming into this, with six weeks between runs and a trial to tick her legs over. She draws barrier 1, gets 4kg off Krone, brings a different form line to the race and is the only other one I can make a case for.

(9) Icebath was only 2L off Krone last start and does meet her 3kg better at the weights, so she isn’t hopeless but I think she’s better in the wet.

(4) Quantum Mechanic comes for Melbourne and is in good form. Not without a hope from the good draw and is potentially some value at $18.

(5) Sweet Deal at her best would probably be favourite for this but she’s not going well enough this prep.

Tip: (1) Krone $3.10 TopSport

Saver: (10) Nimalee $5.00 TopSport

Betting Strategy: 2 units WIN Krone, 0.5 units WIN Nimalee

0

Race 5

E Group Security Star Kingdom (1200m)
3:15pm (AEDT)

Race 5

E Group Security Star Kingdom (1200m)
3:15pm (AEDT)

1. Coruscate (6) J: Hugh Bowman (59kg) T: James Cummings
2726262123.521
2. Deprive (11) J: Ms Rachel King (58kg) T: James Cummings
343131263226
3. Roheryn (2) J: Damien Oliver (58kg) T: James Cummings
10101010109.5
4. Brandenburg (10) J: Regan Bayliss (57.5kg) T: J G Sargent
192121202223
5. Easy Eddie (3) J: Robbie Dolan (57.5kg) T: Joseph Pride
1111111110.411
6. California Zimbol (5) J: Mark Zahra (55.5kg) T: P & P Snowden
4.54.44.44.64.654.2
7. Outback Barbie (12) J: Tim Clark (55.5kg) T: T J Gollan
262621262626
8. Signore Fox (1) J: James Mcdonald (55.5kg) T: P & P Snowden
6.56.56.576.17
9. Peltzer (8) J: Jay Ford (54.5kg) T: G Ryan & S Alexiou
121311131212
10. Prime Candidate (4) J: Craig Williams (54.5kg) T: Bjorn Baker
6.56.56.576.87
11. Pandemic (9) J: Kerrin Mcevoy (54kg) T: James Cummings
888.587.88.5
12. Wisdom Of Water (7) J: Jason Collett (54kg) T: Annabel Neasham
1111111210.611

Odds Last Updated: April 3, 2021, 3:16pm (AEDT)

Could make a case for most of these!

(6) California Zimbol was good when winning first up over 1100m here at Rosehill. She was always going to improve off that run so the fact she won is a big positive. She’s won three of her four starts when second up from a spell and she’s also undefeated from two starts at the track. Drawn well, should be very hard to beat. Interesting to note Kerrin McEvoy has jumped off though.

(10) Prime Candidate comes out of the same race as California Zimbol first up and he had no luck at all, sitting four-wide without cover on speed for half the race. He’s got a very good second up record with two wins and a 2nd from three starts. He started $6.00 last start and was firm, so the market obviously expected him to run well. I expect him to bounce back today and $8.50 is currently over the odds.

(8) Signore Fox can pull out a run fresh and has JMac booked to ride after three trials leading into this, so no surprise to see her run well. He has a 35% strike rate for the stable.

(5) Easy Eddie has three wins from four starts when third up and did finish within a nose of California Zimbol first up.

(4) Brandenburg resumes as a gelding so watch the market.

Tip: (6) California Zimbol $4.60 Bet365

Value: (10) Prime Candidate $8.50 Bet365

Betting Strategy: 1.5 units WIN California Zimbol, 0.5 units WIN Prime Candidate

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Race 6

Vinery Stud Stks (2000m)
3:55pm (AEDT)

Race 6

Vinery Stud Stks (2000m)
3:55pm (AEDT)

1. Personal (10) J: James Mcdonald (56kg) T: T Dabernig & B Hayes
5.55.555.55.15
2. Harmony Rose (1) J: Joshua Parr (56kg) T: Mark Newnham
2.452.52.452.42.52.5
3. Hungry Heart (5) J: Kerrin Mcevoy (56kg) T: C J Waller
665.55.555.5
4. Starelle (7) J: Craig Williams (56kg) T: D T O'brien
1718162117.218
5. Elizabeel (8) J: Tom Marquand (56kg) T: J G Sargent
2726262127.523
6. Miravalle (6) J: Hugh Bowman (56kg) T: Mark Newnham
151515141515
7. Force Of Will (3) J: Glen Boss (56kg) T: L O'sullivan & A Scott
1816161616.215
8. Impecunious (9) J: Damien Oliver (56kg) T: T Busuttin & N Young
1111111111.211
9. Love Sensation (4) J: Mark Zahra (56kg) T: K L Corstens
515161615761
10. Princess Rhaenys (2) J: Luke Nolen (56kg) T: P G Moody
232621212423

Odds Last Updated: April 3, 2021, 3:56pm (AEDT)

The Phar Lap Stakes and the Kembla Grange Classic have both been good races to follow for the Vinery in recent years and that’s the way I’m heading.

I was with (3) Hungry Heart in the Phar Lap and she made it six wins in the past seven years for trainer Chris Waller in the race. I’m not sure exactly what it was, but probably a combination of being third up, back on a good track, up in distance and down in grade did the trick. Her firm track form is actually quite good, with five top-two finishes from six starts. She gets up to 2000m now and I’m more confident after last start that she’ll run the trip. JMac interestingly jumps off to ride for Dabernig and Hayes, leaving Kerrin McEvoy to pick up the ride.

The two that ran the quinella in the Kembla Grange Classic were (5) Elizabeel and (6) Miravalle, in the opposite order to what I’ve just listed. Miravalle actually started $5.50 in last year’s Kennedy Oaks in Melbourne, and Elizabeel ran 3rd in the Surround Stakes before that run at Kembla. Both are live chances here and at $14-$15, I’ll be having something small on each of them.

(2) Harmony Rose is favourite here and brings a different form reference, having run 3rd in the Randwick Guineas to Lion’s Roar and Mo’unga. We saw that form franked with Mo’unga then winning the Rosehill Guineas. No real knock on her.

(1) Personal won last year’s Oaks in Melbourne and has been close up in both starts this prep. Has to be respected with McDonald going on.

Tip: (3) Hungry Heart $6.00 Sportsbet

Value: (5) Elizabeel $15 & (6) Miravalle $14

Betting Strategy: 1 unit WIN Hungry Heart, 0.5 units WIN Elizabeel, 0.5 units WIN Miravalle

0

Race 7

Kia Tancred Stks (2400m)
4:35pm (AEDT)

Race 7

Kia Tancred Stks (2400m)
4:35pm (AEDT)

1. Sir Dragonet (1) J: Glen Boss (59kg) T: C Maher & D Eustace
4.54.44.44.64.454.4
2. Mirage Dancer (4) J: Damien Oliver (59kg) T: T Busuttin & N Young
109999.59
3. The Chosen One (14) J: Hugh Bowman (59kg) T: M Baker & A Forsman
151515161414
4. Southern France (9) J: Mark Zahra (59kg) T: C Maher & D Eustace
2626202127.531
5. Sound (8) J: Craig Williams (59kg) T: M D Moroney
312626263026
6. Spirit Ridge (6) J: Robbie Dolan (59kg) T: Mark Newnham
1314141514.813
7. Chapada (7) J: Tim Clark (59kg) T: M D Moroney
2626262124.526
8. Nickajack Cave (11) J: Luke Nolen (59kg) T: P G Moody
1515171615.616
9. Angel Of Truth (5) J: Kerrin Mcevoy (59kg) T: M, W & J Hawkes
6.56.566.55.76.5
10. Shraaoh (3) J: Brenton Avdulla (59kg) T: C J Waller
414141413741
11. Melody Belle (12) J: James Mcdonald (57kg) T: J W Richards
77777.17
12. She's Ideel (10) J: Jason Collett (57kg) T: Bjorn Baker
1716151818.214
13. Toffee Tongue (2) J: Tom Marquand (56.5kg) T: C J Waller
1111111211.211
14. Miami Bound (13) J: Ms Rachel King (56.5kg) T: D T O'brien
354141413941

Odds Last Updated: April 3, 2021, 4:36pm (AEDT)

Interesting line up for the Tancred Stakes.

Plenty of attention will be on (11) Melody Belle, who is a 14-time Group 1 winner. She steps up to 2400m for the first time in her career as a six-year-old mare. That’s a query as her breeding certainly doesn’t suggest she is a stayer, along with a firming track (both wins this prep have been on soft ground) which also worries me. Have to let her go around, an amazing thing to say about a mare with her record in a race which appears fairly weak.

(1) Sir Dragonet is another that commands attention. He was an improved runner in last week’s Ranvet Stakes behind Verry Elleegant and Addeybb, and now steps up to 2400m on the one-week back up. He did get a wet track last week though and now faces a firm one, which he’s yet to win on.

My bet in the race, and my best value bet of the day, will be (13) Toffee Tongue. She returned to form in the Sky High Stakes last start, running down Spirit Ridge. It was potentially a combination of factors, including being third up from a spell, a good track and a step up in distance. She now steps up again to 2400m and although this is probably a harder race, I think she’s well suited. Drawn well, firm ground again, she’ll run the trip and a few ahead of her in the market have some questions to answer. She also meets the horse she beat 3kg better at the weights.

(6) Spirit Ridge was brave in defeat behind Toffee Tongue last start, which was his first run for nine weeks, so we can probably expect some improvement from him here. I had him as a horse to follow out of that meeting and I think he’s a live chance here stepping up to 2400m. He probably prefers a soft track but he’s certainly no hack on firm ground.

(2) Mirage Dancer steps up to his pet distance third up from a spell – he was a G1 winner in Sydney at this stage last preparation. He was good behind Toffee Tongue last start and looks a good chance.

(10) Shraaoh and even (12) She’s Ideel aren’t hopeless in an open race.

Tip: (13) Toffee Tongue $9.50 Sportsbet

Betting Strategy: 1 unit WIN Toffee Tongue

0

Race 8

Acy Securities Doncaster Prel. (1500m)
5:15pm (AEDT)

Race 8

Acy Securities Doncaster Prel. (1500m)
5:15pm (AEDT)

1. So Si Bon (7) J: Mark Zahra (60kg) T: T Dabernig & B Hayes
2626212126.521
2. Mister Sea Wolf (9) J: Joshua Parr (59.5kg) T: C J Waller
515151514351
3. Dawn Passage (14) J: Sam Clipperton (57.5kg) T: G Waterhouse & A Bott
1817191818.218
4. Rock (5) J: Brenton Avdulla (57kg) T: M, W & J Hawkes
4.64.54.44.44.454.6
5. Buffalo River (10) J: James Mcdonald (56.5kg) T: M D Moroney
9.598.598.98
6. Carif (4) J: Regan Bayliss (56.5kg) T: P & P Snowden
201201151101221201
7. Archedemus (15) J: Jay Ford (56kg) T: M, W & J Hawkes
515151514951
8. Purple Sector (6) J: Hugh Bowman (56kg) T: John Thompson
101010119.611
9. Grey Lion (8) J: Tom Marquand (55kg) T: Matthew Smith
151151151101161151
10. Handle The Truth (11) J: Glen Boss (54kg) T: K R Dryden
312621263223
11. Bottega (16) J: Kerrin Mcevoy (53.5kg) T: G Ryan & S Alexiou
1413131312.414
12. Criaderas (1) J: Ms Rachel King (53kg) T: James Cummings
13. Yao Dash (2) J: Craig Williams (53kg) T: G Waterhouse & A Bott
3.63.63.63.83.63.8
14. Just Thinkin' (12) J: Tim Clark (53kg) T: G Waterhouse & A Bott
616161515561
15. Subedar (13) J: Jason Collett (53kg) T: James Cummings
5.55.55.55.55.85.5
16. Thy Kingdom Come (3) J: Unknown (53kg) T: John Thompson

Odds Last Updated: April 3, 2021, 5:16pm (AEDT)

Very keen on the chances of (4) Rock here. I made him the horse to follow out of the meeting after his first up run in the Ajax Stakes, where he finished 3rd. Ahead of him that day was Think It Over, who then came out last weekend and won the G1 George Ryder Stakes. Rock is undefeated third up from a spell with three wins from as many starts, he’s won twice at this distance and has also won twice at this level. Draws well and with even luck I think he goes mighty close here.

(15) Subedar is flying with back-to-back wins leading into this. The blinkers come off, potentially a move to let him settle and see out the 1500m, and he gets in light with 53kg.

(11) Bottega was run down in the final stride in the G3 Newcastle Newmarket first up and can go close here. Query is he’s had four starts at Rosehill for just the one minor placing.

(12) Criaderas was a huge run first up behind subsequent G1 winner Think It Over, but was very disappointing last start. He started $2.40 in the Ajax, which Rock ran 3rd in, and suddenly he’s $11. Have to back him again at those odds, surely.

Tip: (4) Rock $4.60 TopSport

Value: (12) Criaderas $11 TopSport

Betting Strategy: 3 units WIN Rock, 0.5 units WIN Criaderas

0

Race 9

Cleanaway (Bm88) (1400m)
5:50pm (AEDT)

Race 9

Cleanaway (Bm88) (1400m)
5:50pm (AEDT)

1. Royal Celebration (2) J: Andrew Adkins (62.5kg) T: R J Quinton
1616161815.816
2. Thy Kingdom Come (8) J: Hugh Bowman (60.5kg) T: John Thompson
1111111110.210
3. Milk Man (19) J: Tom Marquand (59kg) T: Matthew Smith
4. Something Fast (6) J: Jason Collett (59kg) T: A J Cummings
465141414051
5. Starspangled Rodeo (3) J: Joshua Parr (59kg) T: Bjorn Baker
3.23.33.33.33.33.3
6. Academy (11) J: Robbie Dolan (58.5kg) T: Mark Newnham
10109.5109.910
7. Cliff's Art (18) J: Kerrin Mcevoy (57kg) T: Matthew Smith
8. Zeyrek (12) J: Craig Williams (57kg) T: M, W & J Hawkes
161516181815
9. Nudge (17) J: James Mcdonald (56.5kg) T: C J Waller
101010108.910
10. Segalas (5) J: Ms Rachel King (56.5kg) T: James Cummings
1313141311.613
11. My Gold Bracelet (14) J: Tim Clark (56kg) T: M Price & M Kent Jnr
273126213234
12. Great News (13) J: Jay Ford (55.5kg) T: Ms K Waugh
4.44.44.24.24.454.4
13. Into The Abyss (1) J: Brenton Avdulla (55.5kg) T: John Thompson
262626262526
14. Flat Heaven (16) J: Unknown (57kg) T: Bjorn Baker
81911019187101
15. Akari (4) J: Regan Bayliss (55kg) T: Brad Widdup
353431343741
16. Lina's Hero (9) J: Brenton Avdulla (57kg) T: C J Waller
17. Bound To Win (10) J: Robbie Dolan (54kg) T: P & P Snowden
18. Accession (15) J: Jason Collett (56kg) T: C J Waller
19. Luncies (7) J: Tom Marquand (55kg) T: K A Lees

Odds Last Updated: April 3, 2021, 5:51pm (AEDT)

(5) Starspangled Rodeo hasn’t done much wrong leading into this. He won by 3L over this track and distance three starts back, then ran 2nd to Yao Dash and then a luckless 2nd in the Muswellbrook Cup last start. From barrier 3, we should see him settle much further forward today, provided he jumps a bit cleaner.

(9) Nudge could get a very long way back from barrier 17 but she ran well first up and can improve second up. Looks the value in the race at double figure odds.

(2) Thy Kingdom Come continues to run well and can do so again. He’s now placed in his nine of his past 10 starts.

(10) Segalas ran well behind the in-form Subedar first up and won second up last prep.

Tip: (5) Starspangled Rodeo $4.60 Ladbrokes

Value: (9) Nudge $10 Bet365

Betting Strategy: 1 unit WIN Starspangled Rodeo, 0.5 units WIN Nudge

A trip to Hong Kong quickly had Tim hooked to the racing caper, maintaining the best place anywhere in the world on a Wednesday night is Happy Valley. He holds a strong interest in the Hong Kong form, along with the metropolitan racing in Sydney and Melbourne. He’s a fan of dry tracks, Zac Purton and takes particular interest in identifying patterns in the form. Tim wears many hats, juggling the roles of form analyst, jockey manager and racehorse owner.

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