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Ascot Racing Tips: Saturday, April 3rd

Tim Geers provides his best bets for Karrakatta Plate day at Ascot.

ascot-racecourse

It’s Karrakatta Stakes day at Ascot, with the $500,000 Group 3 for two-year-olds headlining a nine-race card.

Tim Geers has previewed five races on the card, including the day’s feature. His best bets come up in Race 1, Race 3, Race 6 and Race 7, before the Karrakatta in Race 8.

The track is rated a Good 4 with the rail out 2m from yesterday’s Good Friday meeting.

Find his preview and betting tips below!

0

Race 1

Tabtouch-Westspeed (Rs0mw) (1000m)
3:23pm (AEDT)

Race 1

Tabtouch-Westspeed (Rs0mw) (1000m)
3:23pm (AEDT)

1. Scooter's Machine (2) J: Ms Kristy Bennett (60.5kg) T: Ms C Gilbert
77.588.58.57.5
2. Dew West (1) J: William Pike (59kg) T: J N Pateman
55.55.55.55.35
3. Pink 'N' Gray (10) J: Chris Graham (58kg) T: G P Evans
262126212019
4. Requisition (3) J: Brad Rawiller (57.5kg) T: Brett Pope
2.32.32.32.352.252.2
5. Round The Point (7) J: Shaun Mcgruddy (57kg) T: S J Wolfe
1111121111.211
6. City Circle (9) J: Chris Parnham (56.5kg) T: N D Parnham
76.566.55.66.5
7. Tinto Belle (8) J: Troy Turner (56kg) T: B V Watkins
8. Bosnipp (5) J: Ms Lucy Warwick (55kg) T: J T Warwick
121112101111
9. It's Tiff's (4) J: Ms Kyra Yuill (54kg) T: T N Pike
414151344941
10. The Finest (6) J: Ryan Hill (54kg) T: R C Mcpherson
343126262931

Odds Last Updated: April 3, 2021, 3:26pm (AEDT)

It’s always trappy betting in these Westspeed races but (4) Requisition really looks a good bet here. He’s placed in his past five starts, including a win at Pinjarra three starts back, and his past two efforts have been behind Amasenus and Miss Conteki. That’s very good form for this race so with the good draw he looks very hard to beat.

(6) City Circle is the other horse in the race I’ll be backing. She’s been around the mark with no luck recently, caught three-wide the trip in both her past two starts. She draws awkward again today but at $7.00 I’ll be following my money.

Tip: (4) Requisition $2.35 Bet365

Also Backing: (6) City Circle $7.00 Bet365

Betting Strategy: 2 units WIN Requisition, 1 unit WIN City Circle

0

Race 2

Schweppes (Bm62+) (1100m)
3:59pm (AEDT)

Race 2

Schweppes (Bm62+) (1100m)
3:59pm (AEDT)

1. Sassy Trader (6) J: Laqdar Ramoly (59kg) T: S & J Casey
4.24.24.24.44.34.2
2. Iseered Iseered (2) J: Mitchell Pateman (58.5kg) T: Luke Fernie
3.63.63.43.53.33.4
3. Island Charm (7) J: Ms Lucy Warwick (58kg) T: Roy Rogers
111010910.89.5
4. Mercanto (3) J: Clint Johnston-Porter (56kg) T: C & M Gangemi
1414151511.612
5. Strathmore Rose (5) J: Jason Whiting (54.5kg) T: Roy Rogers
98.57.57.58.67.5
6. Giancana (8) J: William Pike (54kg) T: Simon Miller
5.55.5555.55.5
7. Hell's Belle (4) J: Chris Parnham (54kg) T: Rhys Radford
1617171717.217
8. Spiced Delight (1) J: Ms Jade Mcnaught (54kg) T: Martin Allan
777.57.57.47

Odds Last Updated: April 3, 2021, 4:01pm (AEDT)

0

Race 3

Byron Bay Premium Lager-Bm62+ (1400m)
4:39pm (AEDT)

Race 3

Byron Bay Premium Lager-Bm62+ (1400m)
4:39pm (AEDT)

1. Billy Ain't Silly (2) J: Laqdar Ramoly (60kg) T: C H Webster
3.13.22.93.33.253.1
2. Indigo Blue (8) J: Clint Johnston-Porter (60kg) T: A G Durrant
88.58.58.588.5
3. Nobel Laurence (5) J: Ms Lucy Warwick (60kg) T: J N Pateman
6.56.57766.5
4. Chiclett (9) J: Ms Kristy Bennett (59.5kg) T: D & B Pearce
191816151915
5. Special View (7) J: Mitchell Pateman (59kg) T: Hayden Ballantyne
131210911.611
6. Alpha And Omega (6) J: Shaun Mcgruddy (58kg) T: S J Wolfe
1414121114.812
7. Standout Rose (1) J: Jason Whiting (58kg) T: B V Watkins
5.55.54.44.85.35
8. Astro Warrior (10) J: Ms Kyra Yuill (57.5kg) T: Summer Dickson
3131312628.534
9. Chili Is Hot (11) J: Brad Rawiller (57kg) T: G C Ballantyne
343426263131
10. Purple Pearl (4) J: William Pike (56.5kg) T: W J Bradshaw
1616171615.616
11. Stellar Vista (3) J: Chris Parnham (55.5kg) T: Simon Miller
1313131311.212

Odds Last Updated: April 3, 2021, 4:41pm (AEDT)

Keen to bet here.

There’s been a little whisper around for (1) Billy Ain’t Silly but I thought he was short enough at $3.30. They threw the blinkers on last start and he won well enough, but he didn’t exactly bolt in. I thought he faced a pretty deep race here so was happy to oppose him.

(3) Nobel Laurence is a horse I really like and he was dominant over this track and distance last start.  Prior to that he ran 2nd to Hot Zed, which went on to win a couple more. I think he’s the clear value here and happy to back him to roll this favourite.

(7) Standout Rose should have won last start and should be undefeated this prep. She needs to jump better than she did last start but she’s going well and can win.

(11) Stellar Vista was a good winner on debut and the horse it beat then came out and won its next start. The stable is absolutely flying at the moment so $11 looks a decent price.

(5) Special View has returned in super form with two wins from as many starts. Finds a deep race but no knock on current form.

Tip: (3) Nobel Laurence $6.00 Sportsbet

Value: (11) Stellar Vista $11 Bet365

Saver: (7) Standout Rose $6.50 Bet365

Betting Strategy: 1 unit WIN Nobel Laurence, 0.5 units WIN Standout Rose, 0.5 units WIN Stellar Vista

0

Race 4

Amelia Park Lamb (Rs1mw) (1200m)
5:18pm (AEDT)

Race 4

Amelia Park Lamb (Rs1mw) (1200m)
5:18pm (AEDT)

1. Cuballing (5) J: Ms Victoria Corver (61kg) T: T R Harvey
4.44.43.94.44.24.2
2. Annihilator (3) J: Brad Parnham (59kg) T: N D Parnham
2326212122.526
3. Amelia's Contraire (9) J: William Pike (58kg) T: Simon Miller
2.72.72.82.82.92.7
4. Prevailing Winds (6) J: Mitchell Pateman (58kg) T: C & M Gangemi
5.55.54.854.85.5
5. Denim Pack (1) J: Laqdar Ramoly (57.5kg) T: M Santich
8888.58.28.5
6. Prized Nemesis (8) J: Alan Kennedy (57.5kg) T: Ms A King
7. Glasgow Girl (4) J: Ryan Hill (55.5kg) T: B P Graham
1010991010
8. Petite La Femme (10) J: Ms Jade Mcnaught (54kg) T: C G Willis
262118182421
9. Smile For Me (7) J: Ms Beaux Banovic-Edwards (54kg) T: V A Brockman
465141415751
10. Wednesday (2) J: Steven Parnham (54kg) T: C R Green
1212121313.211

Odds Last Updated: April 3, 2021, 5:21pm (AEDT)

0

Race 5

Amelia Park Lodge (Bm78+) (1100m)
5:54pm (AEDT)

Race 5

Amelia Park Lodge (Bm78+) (1100m)
5:54pm (AEDT)

1. Plutocracy (1) J: Patrick Carbery (60kg) T: Simon Miller
2326262623.523
2. Ziebell (2) J: Ms Jade Mcnaught (59kg) T: Luke Fernie
2019211918.819
3. Charleton Eddie (8) J: Jordan Turner (58kg) T: S & J Casey
4. Chix Pic (7) J: Joseph Azzopardi (57.5kg) T: D R Harrison
718171618581
5. Platinum Bullet (3) J: William Pike (57.5kg) T: Simon Miller
76.576.56.46.5
6. Clairvoyance (5) J: Chris Parnham (57kg) T: D T Mcauliffe
1.351.31.351.41.391.3
7. Echo Effect (4) J: Mitchell Pateman (57kg) T: Roy Rogers
7181676110181
8. River Beau (6) J: Jason Whiting (57kg) T: B V Watkins
5.55.555.55.45.5

Odds Last Updated: April 3, 2021, 5:56pm (AEDT)

0

Race 6

Amelia Park Beef (Bm66+) (1500m)
6:30pm (AEDT)

Race 6

Amelia Park Beef (Bm66+) (1500m)
6:30pm (AEDT)

1. Bunker Buster (6) J: Peter Hall (61kg) T: Coreen Maynard
151126101101151126
2. Gunnago (4) J: Mitchell Pateman (59.5kg) T: J N Pateman
2726312629.526
3. Majinika (1) J: Alan Kennedy (59.5kg) T: A W Maley
413431313834
4. Tinsnip (5) J: Clint Johnston-Porter (57.5kg) T: A G Durrant
3.63.63.43.33.63.6
5. Thrilled (3) J: Brad Rawiller (57kg) T: Brock Lewthwaite
1414141312.814
6. Bruce Almighty (7) J: Chris Parnham (56.5kg) T: N D Parnham
6666.55.56
7. Cockyjoy (10) J: Ms Lucy Warwick (56kg) T: J E Grieve
9.5109.5109.510
8. My Greek Boy (9) J: Peter Knuckey (56kg) T: S J Wolfe
514141414541
9. Pletto (2) J: William Pike (56kg) T: D & B Pearce
2.22.22.152.152.22.25
10. Yadreamin' (8) J: Steven Parnham (54kg) T: C R Green
616761717371

Odds Last Updated: April 3, 2021, 6:32pm (AEDT)

(6) Pletto got a deserved win last start after running well all prep. She really should have won two starts ago at Bunbury but found trouble wherever she went in the straight. Pike jumps on today so from barrier 2, expect her to get the run of the race and she comes off a fast winning time over a similar distance here at Ascot last prep.

(7) Cockyjoy beat Pletto two starts ago and while Pletto should have won, I don’t think there should be such a discrepancy in the prices here.

(4) Tinsnip should have won last start but was held up literally the entire straight. Won’t have that issue from barrier 5 today.

Tip: (6) Pletto $2.40 TAB

Also Backing: (7) Cockyjoy $8.00 TAB

Betting Strategy: 2 units WIN Pletto, 0.5 units WIN Cockyjoy

0

Race 7

Amelia Park Wines (Bm66+) (1800m)
7:05pm (AEDT)

Race 7

Amelia Park Wines (Bm66+) (1800m)
7:05pm (AEDT)

1. Bonneville Black (12) J: Ms Beaux Banovic-Edwards (59kg) T: F R Kersley
1313121312.812
2. Big Bada Boom (1) J: Mitchell Pateman (57.5kg) T: Roy Rogers
2.82.82.82.82.852.9
3. No Apology (11) J: Laqdar Ramoly (57.5kg) T: S J Miller
44.24444
4. Mosseratti (8) J: Steven Parnham (57kg) T: C R Green
1412151714.615
5. Secret Pearl (6) J: William Pike (56kg) T: Ricky Moss
101091110.89
6. Trump This (9) J: Ms Jade Mcnaught (55.5kg) T: Tiarnna Robertson
141311131412
7. Black Shadow (5) J: Jason Brown (55kg) T: J P Taylor
273131312731
8. Black Comet (7) J: Joseph Azzopardi (54kg) T: Luke Fernie
2626262622.531
9. Kerman Rock (4) J: Ms Lucy Warwick (54kg) T: C G Willis
665.55.55.56.5
10. Reverend John (2) J: Chris Graham (54kg) T: D M Luciani
101126101101101126
11. Scintillating (3) J: Brad Parnham (54kg) T: N D Parnham
465141413851
12. Upward Others (10) J: Patrick Carbery (54kg) T: H S Mclaren

Odds Last Updated: April 3, 2021, 7:06pm (AEDT)

(2) Big Bada Boom looks the horse to beat on the back of five consecutive wins. He’ll kick through from barrier 1 and lead, which is what he did over this track and distance last start. Hard to knock winning form.

There are a couple at value outside him though. (5) Secret Pearl gets Pike booked to ride, which really catches the eye. Might be going off one run too early here but she’s getting up to a distance she can be competitive at and Pike going on signals she might be ready.

(6) Trump This had to come from an impossible position in running. That’s how she races but there was no physical chance of her winning from where she was. She made up a good amount of ground even though the form guide says she finished 8th. Senior rider goes on today and she’s not hopeless at double figure odds.

Tip: (5) Secret Pearl $9.50 Sportsbet

Also Backing: (6) Trump This $10 Sportsbet

Saver: (2) Big Bada Boom $2.40 Sportsbet

Betting Strategy: 1 unit WIN Big Bada Boom, 0.5 units WIN Secret Pearl, 0.5 units WIN Trump This

0

Race 8

Amelia Park-Karrakatta Plate (1200m)
7:40pm (AEDT)

Race 8

Amelia Park-Karrakatta Plate (1200m)
7:40pm (AEDT)

1. Ex Sport Man (1) J: Shaun Mcgruddy (56.5kg) T: S J Wolfe
1615151516.216
2. He's Gold (4) J: Mitchell Pateman (56.5kg) T: E A Martinovich
111011101010
3. Storm Whisper (5) J: Steven Parnham (56.5kg) T: N D Parnham
9.510101010.69.5
4. Spin The Knife (8) J: Jason Brown (56.5kg) T: Luke Fernie
1112131110.812
5. Diamond Blue (13) J: Ms Jade Mcnaught (56.5kg) T: E A Martinovich
616761616361
6. Policiere (14) J: Joseph Azzopardi (54.5kg) T: D & B Pearce
1212121011.812
7. Heavenly Waters (6) J: Ms Lucy Warwick (54.5kg) T: Roy Rogers
273126213231
8. Hoi An (17) J: Clint Johnston-Porter (54.5kg) T: Roy Rogers
88888.18
9. Fatale Femme (11) J: Jordan Turner (54.5kg) T: S & J Casey
516161516561
10. Liwa (9) J: Patrick Carbery (54.5kg) T: Simon Miller
1212121212.213
11. Flying Missile (12) J: Chris Parnham (54.5kg) T: N D Parnham
776.5776.5
12. Ultimate Command (7) J: Brad Parnham (54.5kg) T: N D Parnham
1819202117.221
13. Michelada (16) J: William Pike (54.5kg) T: Simon Miller
1718171717.817
14. Six Carat (10) J: Craig Staples (54.5kg) T: P H Jordan
7181816711181
15. Pat's Got Sass (2) J: Jason Whiting (54.5kg) T: D R Harrison
65.55.55.55.45.5
16. Sneaky Chance (15) J: Peter Knuckey (54.5kg) T: T M Andrews
313126313534
17. Be Optimistic (3) J: Unknown (54.5kg) T: Luke Fernie
18. Featherweight (18) J: Unknown (56.5kg) T: D L Morton

Odds Last Updated: April 3, 2021, 7:41pm (AEDT)

Going to stick with (15) Pat’s Got Sass here. David Harrison doesn’t have a good record in this race but this is a very talented filly and her run in the Gimcrack Stakes last start was enormous. She sat three-wide the trip working on speed and still battled on to run 3rd. She draws much better in barrier 2 today but it’s an interesting one, as she’s a huge filly with a big stride. Jason Whiting replaces Kyra Yuill today and you never quite know what he’s going to dish up.

(13) Michelada was a debut winner for Simon Miller and William Pike before failing at her second start when she led. They reported she was unsuited leading on that occasion so from the wide gate, they’ll definitely ride her cold. Stable flying, best jockey, double figure odds appeals.

(8) Hoi An draws wide but hasn’t done much wrong in four career starts.

Wide open race, could make a case for plenty of others.

Tip: (15) Pat's Got Sass $6.00 Unibet

Value: (13) Michelada $14

Betting Strategy: 1 unit WIN Pat's Got Sass, 0.5 units WIN Michelada

0

Race 9

Crown Perth (Bm78+) (1400m)
8:15pm (AEDT)

Race 9

Crown Perth (Bm78+) (1400m)
8:15pm (AEDT)

1. Wrinkly (10) J: Brad Parnham (61.5kg) T: N D Parnham
3131343129.534
2. Luke's Gold (7) J: Chris Nicoll (57.5kg) T: Roy Rogers
1111121112.211
3. Watch Me Dance (5) J: Shaun Mcgruddy (56.5kg) T: S J Wolfe
55.55.55.55.65
4. Mrs Brown's Boy (6) J: Ryan Hill (56kg) T: Ms A King
465151514951
5. Jericho Missile (9) J: William Pike (55.5kg) T: D R Harrison
4.44.44.44.44.14.2
6. Tycoon Storm (1) J: Joseph Azzopardi (55.5kg) T: L Smith
332.82.93.153.1
7. Not To Be Mist (8) J: Clint Johnston-Porter (55kg) T: A G Durrant
8.58878.98.5
8. Position Of Power (2) J: Ms Kyra Yuill (55kg) T: D R Harrison
2018201816.818
9. Mankind (4) J: Ms Lucy Warwick (54kg) T: Hayden Ballantyne
1920212117.621
10. Rockon Tommy (11) J: Jason Whiting (54kg) T: J A Popescu
516767718361
11. War God (3) J: Ms Jade Mcnaught (54kg) T: N D Parnham
181920191719

Odds Last Updated: April 3, 2021, 8:16pm (AEDT)

A trip to Hong Kong quickly had Tim hooked to the racing caper, maintaining the best place anywhere in the world on a Wednesday night is Happy Valley. He holds a strong interest in the Hong Kong form, along with the metropolitan racing in Sydney and Melbourne. He’s a fan of dry tracks, Zac Purton and takes particular interest in identifying patterns in the form. Tim wears many hats, juggling the roles of form analyst, jockey manager and racehorse owner.

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