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Rosehill Racing Tips: Saturday, November 6th

Tim geers previews the 10-race card at Rosehill, headlined by the $1million Golden Gift and Group 2 Hot Danish.

RosehillRaceCourse

All eyes will be on the final day of the Flemington carnival in Melbourne, but there’s still 10 winners to be found at Rosehill on Sydney on Saturday.

Racing today is on a Soft 6, which should improve with very little rain around, and the rail is in the 3m position for the entire circuit.

The meeting is headlined by the $1million Golden Gift for the two-year-olds, and the Group 2 Hot Danish Stakes for fillies and mares.

Tim Geers has previewed all 10 races on the card, so check out his Rosehill racing tips below!

Best Bet: Race 4 – (4) Seleque

Best Value: Race 9 – (2) El Mo

TAB Play Central

201878

Race 1

Xxxx (Bm78) (2400m)
12:55pm (AEDT)

Race 1

Xxxx (Bm78) (2400m)
12:55pm (AEDT)

1. Herman Hesse (9) J: Jason Collett (60.5kg) T: C Maher & D Eustace
3.73.83.83.93.83.8
2. Fortified (2) J: Lee Magorrian (55.5kg) T: C J Waller
98.587.58.28.5
3. Our Bambino (8) J: Tim Clark (54kg) T: R & L Price
1818191919.219
4. Suppression (6) J: Tommy Berry (54kg) T: C J Waller
3.93.83.843.853.6
5. Terwilliker (1) J: Robbie Dolan (52.5kg) T: A J Cummings
10109.5109.610
6. Merlinite (5) J: Ms Alysha Collett (52kg) T: Bjorn Baker
66666.26
7. Arabolini (7) J: Tyler Schiller (52kg) T: J D Cooper
7.587.57.58.18
8. Olympic Gaze (3) J: Ms Jenny Duggan (52kg) T: P M Perry
1516171716.417
9. Red Hot Chillypins (4) J: Ms Winona Costin (52kg) T: James Ponsonby
616771717371

Odds Last Updated: November 6, 2021, 12:59pm (AEDT)

Not exactly a great start to the card this, a 2400m BM78.

Going to side with the two Chris Waller runners here. (2) Fortified was a horse I was keen to back last week but he was saved for this week instead. He was unlucky in his latest run at Canterbury, held up at a crucial stage of the straight. Should have finished closer and looks to be coming back into form.

(4) Suppression comes off a Class 1 win in Victoria, which doesn’t look the strongest form, but he should only improve with the step up in distance. Tommy Berry is booked for the ride so you would think it could be Waller’s top seed.

Happy to play small on both but not getting too heavily involved.

Tip: (2) Fortified $6.50 Sportsbet

Also Backing: (4) Suppression $4.40 Sportsbet

Betting Strategy: 0.5 units WIN Fortified, 0.5 units WIN Suppression

201878

Race 2

Vale Chris Kearns Highway (C3) (1500m)
1:35pm (AEDT)

Race 2

Vale Chris Kearns Highway (C3) (1500m)
1:35pm (AEDT)

1. Point Counterpoint (12) J: Ms Jenny Duggan (59kg) T: Stirling Osland
313134343534
2. Chase My Crown (14) J: Jay Ford (57kg) T: Joel & Wayne Wilkes
1716151517.215
3. Chestnut Scaffa (6) J: Ms Alysha Collett (57kg) T: S I Singleton
1617171716.417
4. Statesville (7) J: Ms Winona Costin (57kg) T: James Ponsonby
171718171618
5. Sky Diamonds (4) J: Lee Magorrian (56kg) T: Brett Thompson
414134343941
6. Sizzling Cat (11) J: Tyler Schiller (56kg) T: G J Colvin
5.55.55.55.55.55.5
7. So Say You (9) J: Tommy Berry (55kg) T: T J Robinson
556.56.55.85
8. Mikado (5) J: Jon Grisedale (55kg) T: Ms J Hardy
7.57.58.57.58.18
9. Shelby Sixtysix (13) J: Andrew Adkins (55kg) T: D A Williams
10. Lucky Banner (8) J: Robbie Dolan (54.5kg) T: R P Northam
212121212223
11. Andorra La Vella (3) J: Tim Clark (54.5kg) T: S C Jones
11101010910
12. Schiller's Myst (10) J: Jason Collett (54kg) T: B F Cavanough
3.63.73.63.73.63.7
13. Deep Mirror (2) J: Ashley Morgan (54kg) T: Stirling Osland
14. Apache Red (15) J: Ms Kathy O'hara (54kg) T: Ben Lees
466141714141
15. Post Free (1) J: Jean Van Overmeire (54kg) T: D A Williams
201151151126141251

Odds Last Updated: November 6, 2021, 1:39pm (AEDT)

(12) Schiller’s Myst is the least experienced and least exposed horse in the field, having had just four starts. She ran home strongly into 4th first up, before winning last start over the mile. The drop back in distance here is a slight query but she appears hard to beat.

(7) So Say You is always around the mark in these sorts of races but just struggles to get her head in front. She did win one of these five starts ago and hasn’t been beaten far in every run since then. Tommy Berry goes on board today in a positive jockey change.

(3) Chestnut Scaffa has won three of its last four starts and this stable are astute with bringing their runners to Highway Handicaps.

(6) Sizzling Cat next best.

Tip: (12) Schiller's Myst $5.00 Ladbrokes

Betting Strategy: No bet

201878

Race 3

Mates In Construction (Bm78) (1800m)
2:15pm (AEDT)

Race 3

Mates In Construction (Bm78) (1800m)
2:15pm (AEDT)

1. Mayfair Spirit (7) J: Tim Clark (59.5kg) T: C Maher & D Eustace
66665.96.5
2. Prompt Prodigy (8) J: Ms Jenny Duggan (59kg) T: Edward Cummings
1516181717.218
3. Jazzland (5) J: Joshua Parr (58kg) T: Ms K Buchanan
3.63.63.73.63.653.6
4. Shibli (2) J: Tommy Berry (57.5kg) T: C J Waller
332.93.22.852.8
5. Ladylovestogamble (6) J: Jason Collett (56.5kg) T: Bjorn Baker
9.59.5101010.49.5
6. Another One (4) J: Tyler Schiller (56kg) T: G J Colvin
9.59999.69
7. Avion Fury (3) J: Robbie Dolan (55.5kg) T: I B Finn
2326212623.526
8. Chase My Crown (9) J: Jay Ford (54kg) T: Joel & Wayne Wilkes
9. Viren (1) J: Andrew Adkins (53kg) T: David Payne
1213121312.613

Odds Last Updated: November 6, 2021, 2:19pm (AEDT)

(1) Mayfair Spirit won two starts ago over this distance and then ran 2nd to Ruby Tuesday when dropping back to the mile last start. Ruby Tuesday went to Melbourne and was competitive, and the step back up to 1800m will suit Mayfair Spirit today.

(3) Jazzland ran 2nd to Shibli first up at Gosford and meets that horse 4kg better off at the weights for a 0.4L defeat, so can turn the tables today. It’s been a long time between drinks though, 69 weeks in fact.

(4) Shibli just gets the gun run from barrier 2 and had excuses when pulling up with a slow recovery after failing as favourite last start.

Tip: (1) Mayfair Spirit $4.60 Bet365

Betting Strategy: 1 unit WIN Mayfair Spirit

201878

Race 4

Petaluma (Bm78) (1100m)
2:55pm (AEDT)

Race 4

Petaluma (Bm78) (1100m)
2:55pm (AEDT)

1. Selburose (8) J: Unknown (60kg) T: C J Waller
2. Undeniable (2) J: Ms Jenny Duggan (59.5kg) T: Matthew Smith
7787.57.46.5
3. Amiche (3) J: Joshua Parr (57kg) T: Edward Cummings
3.73.83.73.53.43.8
4. Seleque (5) J: Tommy Berry (57kg) T: C J Waller
2.62.62.82.72.72.5
5. Oh Please Dianna (6) J: Jason Collett (57kg) T: Annabel Neasham
99.59108.69.5
6. Frozen In Time (7) J: Unknown (55.5kg) T: K A Lees
7. Russbuss (4) J: Ms Alysha Collett (55kg) T: Bjorn Baker
2626262621.526
8. Parachuter (9) J: Tyler Schiller (54.5kg) T: Joseph Pride
6.5665.566
9. Designer Maid (1) J: Ms Kathy O'hara (52kg) T: Blake Fitzpatrick
273134313534

Odds Last Updated: November 6, 2021, 2:59pm (AEDT)

Pretty keen on (4) Seleque first up here. She has a good fresh record with two wins and a 2nd from three starts, and I was going to back her last weekend but she was scratched in favour of this week. Handles all track conditions, gets Tommy Berry on and finds a nice race to kick off in.

(3) Amiche is a bit of an unknown here. All her form has been in Queensland and now she resumes in Sydney for new trainer Edward Cummings, having formerly been trained by David Vandyke. She has four wins and four placings from nine starts so she’s going to run a good race, I just don’t quite know how good she is.

(2) Undeniable is racing in great form, with two wins and a 2nd from her past three starts. Probably bumps into a couple of smart ones here but she is race fit and in form.

Tip: (4) Seleque $3.00 TAB

Betting Strategy: 2 units WIN Seleque

201878

Race 5

Drinkwise Country Classic (2000m)
3:35pm (AEDT)

Race 5

Drinkwise Country Classic (2000m)
3:35pm (AEDT)

1. Real Time Warrior (11) J: Ms Laura Lafferty (58.5kg) T: Ms J Hardy
101101101101111126
2. Dream Runner (1) J: Robbie Dolan (57.5kg) T: K R Dryden
3.33.33.33.43.253.2
3. Kitzbuhel (21) J: Tim Clark (57.5kg) T: T P Donnelly
7.57.57.57.57.67.5
4. Aesop's Fable (9) J: Ashley Morgan (57kg) T: Peter G Sinclair
343131313531
5. Notabadidea (15) J: Brodie Loy (57kg) T: C Lundholm
343131313034
6. Invincible Dash (7) J: Unknown (57kg) T: N J Olive
1516161615.617
7. Party Host (13) J: Jay Ford (57kg) T: Joel & Wayne Wilkes
8. Defy (2) J: Jean Van Overmeire (57kg) T: E & L Longmire
676761616971
9. Nemingah (14) J: Ms Alysha Collett (55.5kg) T: Edward O'rourke
1718181716.818
10. Five Kingdom (16) J: Tyler Schiller (55.5kg) T: Matthew Dale
5.5555.55.25
11. Zakeriz (10) J: Ms Nyssa Burrells (55.5kg) T: C V Hardy
1717181915.818
12. This Is So (22) J: Ms Jenny Duggan (55.5kg) T: Chloe Thomas
272621263034
13. Wichita Warrior (6) J: Lee Magorrian (55.5kg) T: K R Dryden
2626212128.531
14. Group Think (5) J: Joshua Parr (55.5kg) T: Edward O'rourke
1718161815.618
15. Mahsinger (17) J: Andrew Adkins (55kg) T: G J Colvin
126126101126161151
16. Birdonawinningpost (4) J: Ms Kathy O'hara (53.5kg) T: William Freedman
343131312731
17. Kermatin (23) J: Jason Collett (53.5kg) T: K R Dryden
8.58.58.58.58.28.5
18. Proven Class (20) J: Ms Winona Costin (53.5kg) T: James Ponsonby
91101101101111101
19. Rockamo (19) J: James Innes Jnr (54kg) T: Aleacia Bennett
716761516781
20. Lord Desanimaux (3) J: Tommy Berry (56kg) T: T J Robinson
21. Freedom Square (12) J: Unknown (54kg) T: Paul Messara
22. Laughing Or Crying (18) J: Jay Ford (55.5kg) T: Richard Butler
23. Barellan Bandit (8) J: Unknown (54kg) T: John W Ramsey

Odds Last Updated: November 6, 2021, 3:39pm (AEDT)

No idea with this race, the Country Classic.

(10) Five Kingdom ran 3rd first up and hasn’t had much luck in its past two starts. Drawn awkwardly in barrier 16 with the 3kg apprentice on board but the form behind Ruby Tuesday reads well.

(2) Dream Runner has four consecutive placings leading into this and soft ground will help. Will need some luck at a crucial stage.

The form here is foreign to me so will be sitting out.

Tip: (10) Five Kingdom $8.50 PlayUp

Betting Strategy: No bet

201878

Race 6

Midway (Bm72) (1300m)
4:10pm (AEDT)

Race 6

Midway (Bm72) (1300m)
4:10pm (AEDT)

1. Travest (13) J: Tommy Berry (60kg) T: G D Hickman
8.5999.58.69
2. Air To Air (7) J: Unknown (58.5kg) T: J C Coyle
3. Saquon (4) J: Joshua Parr (58kg) T: P M Perry
4.64.64.44.84.854.8
4. Pandora Blue (10) J: Jason Collett (57.5kg) T: Ms K Buchanan
3.63.63.94.243.6
5. Calgary Queen (6) J: Unknown (57kg) T: Brad Widdup
6. Budhwar (9) J: Tim Clark (57kg) T: D Lane
777.577.37
7. Bowery Breeze (2) J: Ms Kathy O'hara (56.5kg) T: P & M Cave
6.56.5565.77
8. Nictock (11) J: Unknown (56.5kg) T: M C Conners
9. Diva Bella (5) J: Ms Winona Costin (55.5kg) T: Claire Lever
10. Champagne Vega (8) J: Ms Alysha Collett (55kg) T: Joseph Ible
343434343434
11. Ghostwriter (12) J: Brodie Loy (54.5kg) T: Annabel Neasham
1616141614.417
12. Departing Bullet (1) J: Jean Van Overmeire (53kg) T: P Niceforo
353434313434
13. Tympanist (3) J: Tyler Schiller (52kg) T: David Payne
6.56.55.5666.5
14. Toostar (14) J: James Innes Jnr (52kg) T: J G Sargent
616761615771

Odds Last Updated: November 6, 2021, 4:14pm (AEDT)

(4) Pandora Blueis in flying form, with four wins from six career starts. Comes off a win in a similar race to this and if she can get across from the gate without using too much fuel, she’ll be tough to run down again.

(1) Travest has talent on his day and his best form would be very competitive but first up with 60kg from barrier 13 makes things tough.

(2) Saquon gets his favoured soft track conditions here but I’m just not convinced he’s going as well this preparation as he was last time in.

Tip: (4) Pandora Blue $3.00 Bet365

Betting Strategy: No bet

201878

Race 7

Inglis Property Golden Gift (1100m)
4:50pm (AEDT)

Race 7

Inglis Property Golden Gift (1100m)
4:50pm (AEDT)

1. Sejardan (12) J: Jason Collett (56.5kg) T: G Portelli
4.84.84.854.554.6
2. Nobel (8) J: Tommy Berry (56.5kg) T: Annabel Neasham
98.57.578.98.5
3. Contemporary (9) J: Joshua Parr (56.5kg) T: James Cummings
161616141717
4. Shirvo (6) J: James Innes Jnr (56.5kg) T: G Ryan & S Alexiou
1111111211.212
5. Shalatin (5) J: Jay Ford (56.5kg) T: Joseph Pride
4.44.54.24.44.64.6
6. Cannonball (4) J: Jean Van Overmeire (56.5kg) T: A & S Freedman
2121192121.521
7. Mount Brilliant (10) J: Tim Clark (56.5kg) T: G Waterhouse & A Bott
10109.59.59.710
8. Ojai (3) J: Ms Jenny Duggan (54.5kg) T: James Cummings
55555.15
9. Queen Of The Ball (7) J: Ms Alysha Collett (54.5kg) T: R & M Freedman
10. Snitcat (2) J: Ms Kathy O'hara (54.5kg) T: G Portelli
1817161617.818
11. Ebhaar (11) J: Robbie Dolan (54.5kg) T: P & P Snowden
12. Birdonawing (1) J: Brodie Loy (54.5kg) T: Annabel Neasham
151515161315

Odds Last Updated: November 6, 2021, 4:54pm (AEDT)

(1) Sejardan won the Breeders’ Plate impressively on debut, and that was after being examined by the vet behind the gates. The wide draw is a bit tricky but he won from barrier 10 on debut and showed a blistering turn of foot to do so. Think he’s the horse to beat again.

(2) Nobel was luckless on debut at Moonee Valley in the Inglis Banner. He settled back in the field and ran into traffic. Hard to know how that form holds up here but he’s clearly got some ability.

(5) Shalatin was terrific on debut in the Kirkham Plate. He went back from barrier 12 and flew home between runners in the straight, all while racing a bit greenly. If he can settle closer from the gate today, he’ll take some beating.

Tip: (1) Sejardan $4.40 Bet365

Value: (2) Nobel $7.00 BlueBet

Betting Strategy: No bet

201878

Race 8

Hyland Race Colours Hot Danish (1400m)
5:25pm (AEDT)

Race 8

Hyland Race Colours Hot Danish (1400m)
5:25pm (AEDT)

1. Rocha Clock (6) J: Tim Clark (57kg) T: J A O'shea
3.43.33.83.83.73.2
2. Polly Grey (9) J: Lee Magorrian (57kg) T: C J Waller
272131262126
3. Nudge (8) J: Tommy Berry (57kg) T: C J Waller
555555
4. Madam Rouge (5) J: Jason Collett (57kg) T: C J Waller
66.55.565.56.5
5. Yamazaki (7) J: Joshua Parr (57kg) T: M J Dunn
1010111010.610
6. Tricky Gal (3) J: Ms Alysha Collett (57kg) T: Matthew Smith
5.55.555.55.65.5
7. Wandabaa (1) J: Andrew Adkins (57kg) T: K A Lees
1718202018.621
8. Spiranac (2) J: Robbie Dolan (57kg) T: R P Northam
312631313231
9. Electric Girl (4) J: Jay Ford (57kg) T: M, W & J Hawkes
109.510108.89
10. Fashchanel (10) J: Jean Van Overmeire (57kg) T: J A O'shea
716161516571

Odds Last Updated: November 6, 2021, 5:29pm (AEDT)

(1) Rocha Clock should be ready now third up from a spell. She didn’t get much luck first up in The Nivison and then ran 2nd in The Invitation last start. Has never finished outside the top two from four starts when third up from a spell and should be hard to beat.

(6) Tricky Gal was huge first up when flashing home behind Minhaaj in The Nivison. Didn’t get clear running at all in The Invitation last start so forgive her for that. I think her best runs are normally when she’s first up which is the concern but she has a terrific record on soft tracks and can win with even luck.

(10) Faschanel is a complete blowout chance here. They rode her cold first up rather than send her forward.

(2) Polly Grey and (3) Nudge chances.

Tip: (1) Rocha Clock $4.20 Bet365

Saver: (6) Tricky Gal $6.50 Bet365

Betting Strategy: 1 unit WIN Rocha Clock, 0.5 units WIN Tricky Gal

201878

Race 9

Bisley Workwear (Bm78) (1200m)
6:10pm (AEDT)

Race 9

Bisley Workwear (Bm78) (1200m)
6:10pm (AEDT)

1. Flat Heaven (6) J: Tyler Schiller (62kg) T: Bjorn Baker
6.566.56.56.46
2. El Mo (3) J: Ms Jenny Duggan (58.5kg) T: Ms G Williams
514141414341
3. Undeniable (9) J: Tyler Schiller (57.5kg) T: Matthew Smith
4. Blaze A Trail (2) J: Tommy Berry (57kg) T: C Maher & D Eustace
3.73.83.73.83.73.8
5. Kinloch (8) J: Joshua Parr (56.5kg) T: K A Lees
7.57.57.587.27
6. Oh Please Dianna (10) J: Jason Collett (55kg) T: Annabel Neasham
7. Depth That Varies (4) J: Robbie Dolan (54.5kg) T: N Dixon
2621212122.523
8. Fox Fighter (11) J: Tim Clark (54kg) T: David Payne
2.82.82.82.82.752.8
9. Calgary Queen (1) J: Andrew Adkins (54kg) T: Brad Widdup
7.58887.58
10. Branders Rule (5) J: Ms Alysha Collett (54kg) T: Mitchell Beer
272631313231
11. Nictock (7) J: Ms Kathy O'hara (54kg) T: M C Conners
2726312626.526

Odds Last Updated: November 6, 2021, 6:14pm (AEDT)

(2) El Mo started big odds first up and ran last, but that was after sitting wide, overracing and pulling up 2/5 lame. He’s unbeaten second up from a spell with three wins from as many starts. May be cooked but he’s a big price to find out.

(4) Blaze A Trail was stretched out to 2000m last preparation but resumes over the sprinting journey first up here. Has looked sharp in two trials and Tommy Berry is booked, so he ticks boxes.

(8) Fox Fighter didn’t get much luck last weekend and now comes here on the quick back up. Key jockey change with Tim Clark replacing Andrew Adkins. If the track remains in the soft range it’s a big query for this horse though.

Tip: (2) El Mo E/W $31/$7.00 Sportsbet

Betting Strategy: 0.25 units E/W El Mo

201878

Race 10

Chandon Garden Spritz (Bm78) (1400m)
6:45pm (AEDT)

Race 10

Chandon Garden Spritz (Bm78) (1400m)
6:45pm (AEDT)

1. Zoushack (6) J: Tyler Schiller (61kg) T: Joseph Pride
3.53.53.53.53.53.5
2. Bergen (11) J: Tim Clark (60kg) T: G W Moore
1010101010.210
3. Suave (9) J: Joshua Parr (59kg) T: James Cummings
5.55.55.55.55.35
4. Snowfire (5) J: Jay Ford (58.5kg) T: M, W & J Hawkes
343141343134
5. Fashchanel (13) J: Ms Laura Lafferty (58kg) T: J A O'shea
6. Welsh Legend (10) J: Jason Collett (58kg) T: C J Waller
313134262834
7. Blesk (8) J: Tommy Berry (57kg) T: J A O'shea
4444.23.94
8. Media Starguest (14) J: Andrew Adkins (56kg) T: R J Quinton
1413151513.813
9. Air To Air (7) J: Ms Alysha Collett (55.5kg) T: J C Coyle
1212131212.612
10. Francesco Guardi (2) J: Lee Magorrian (55kg) T: C J Waller
2026212118.623
11. Lando Bay (3) J: Robbie Dolan (55kg) T: John Thompson
126151151101161151
12. Bowery Breeze (1) J: Ms Kathy O'hara (54kg) T: P & M Cave
13. Diva Bella (4) J: Ms Winona Costin (52.5kg) T: Claire Lever
272631263031
14. War Eternal (12) J: Ms Jenny Duggan (52kg) T: Bjorn Baker
2019191819.419

Odds Last Updated: November 6, 2021, 6:49pm (AEDT)

(3) Suave won two starts ago and then bumped into the smart Promise Of Success last start. That horse was due to start a popular favourite in Melbourne before being withdrawn before the race. Suave has had barrier 1 in its past two starts so will have to do it a bit harder from barrier 9 today, but comes into this in good form and did go close at this stage last prep.

(8) Media Starguest was a big run first up after sitting wide throughout. That was on firm ground which he’s yet to win on, and he’s likely to get a little bit of cut in the ground today.

(7) Blesk is favourite but comes off two runs on the Kenso and Rosehill is slightly trickier to win at if coming from back in the field. The horse did win over 1500m last start but interestingly has never won at the mile from six attempts.

(1) Zoushack and (2) Bergen obvious chances.

Tip: (3) Suave $5.50 TopSport

Value: (8) Media Starguest $11 TopSport

Betting Strategy: 0.5 units WIN Suave, 0.5 units WIN Media Starguest

A trip to Hong Kong quickly had Tim hooked to the racing caper, maintaining the best place anywhere in the world on a Wednesday night is Happy Valley. He holds a strong interest in the Hong Kong form, along with the metropolitan racing in Sydney and Melbourne. He’s a fan of dry tracks, Zac Purton and takes particular interest in identifying patterns in the form. Tim wears many hats, juggling the roles of form analyst, jockey manager and racehorse owner.

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