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Sha Tin Racing Tips: Sunday, February 20th

Tim Geers previews the card at Sha Tin on Sunday afternoon, featuring two Group 1s!

Sha Tin

Group 1 racing returns to Sha Tin in Hong Kong on Sunday afternoon, with The Queen’s Silver Jubilee Cup and the Citi Hong Kong Gold Cup headlining a 10-race card!

Can Waikuku make it back-to-back Group 1 victories after toppling Golden Sixty last start? And can Golden Sixty atone for his shock defeat as he steps up to 2000m again?

Tim Geers has previewed the two feature races below, along with his best bets on the card.

Find his analysis for Race 3, Race 5, Race 6, Race 7, Race 8 and Race 10 below!

Best Bet: Race 7 – (2) Five Elements

BetDeluxe

210014

Race 1

Ambitious Dragon Hcp (C2) (2000m)
4:00pm (AEDT)

Race 1

Ambitious Dragon Hcp (C2) (2000m)
4:00pm (AEDT)

1. Charity Go (7) J: M Poon (56kg) T: C S Shum
6.5
2. Delightful Laos (3) J: K Teetan (56kg) T: A S Cruz
18
3. Super Football (5) J: A Hamelin (56kg) T: K H Ting
21
4. Berlin Tango (1) J: Z Purton (55.5kg) T: A S Cruz
2.7
5. Enjoying (4) J: A Badel (55.5kg) T: W Y So
6.5
6. Tianchi Monster (6) J: K Leung (54kg) T: W Y So
13
7. Looking Great (2) J: M Chadwick (53.5kg) T: F C Lor
3.1
210014

Race 2

Gold-Fun Hcp (C4) (1200m)
4:30pm (AEDT)

Race 2

Gold-Fun Hcp (C4) (1200m)
4:30pm (AEDT)

1. My Ecstatic (8) J: C Ho (60.5kg) T: F C Lor
7.5
2. Street Scream (12) J: H Bentley (57.5kg) T: A S Cruz
15
3. Sparkling Dolphin (14) J: K Leung (57kg) T: Y S Tsui
41
4. Amazing Victory (7) J: K Teetan (56.5kg) T: L Ho
6
5. Cheery (10) J: D Moor (56.5kg) T: P Yiu
21
6. Packing Treadmill (2) J: Z Purton (56.5kg) T: K W Lui
8
7. Rattan Kingdom (11) J: R Maia (56.5kg) T: Richard Gibson
14
8. Fun N Glory (1) J: A Badel (56kg) T: W Y So
4.8
9. Whiskey Neat (13) J: L Ferraris (55kg) T: C Fownes
14
10. El Jefe (6) J: M Chadwick (54.5kg) T: C H Yip
7
11. Judy's Star (3) J: L Hewitson (54.5kg) T: P D O'sullivan
31
12. Melbourne Hall (4) J: M Poon (53.5kg) T: D J Hall
15
13. Give Way Please (9) J: M Yeung (52kg) T: D A Hayes
20
14. Island Surprise (5) J: V Borges (51.5kg) T: K L Man
61
210014

Race 3

The Queens Silver Jubilee Cup (1400m)
5:00pm (AEDT)

Race 3

The Queens Silver Jubilee Cup (1400m)
5:00pm (AEDT)

1. Waikuku (3) J: Z Purton (57kg) T: J J Size
2.15
2. Ka Ying Star (8) J: M Chadwick (57kg) T: A S Cruz
20
3. Sky Field (7) J: B Shinn (57kg) T: C Fownes
3.1
4. Wellington (1) J: A Badel (57kg) T: Richard Gibson
4.8
5. Mighty Giant (5) J: K Leung (57kg) T: P Yiu
26
6. Healthy Happy (4) J: H Bentley (57kg) T: F C Lor
21
7. Lucky Express (6) J: A Hamelin (57kg) T: J J Size
21
8. Californiadeepshot (2) J: K Teetan (57kg) T: A S Cruz
21

The first Group 1 of the day is The Queen’s Silver Jubilee Cup.

(1) Waikuku comes into this as the short-priced favourite having caused a major upset in the G1 The Stewards’ Cup last start, toppling Golden Sixty. Drops back to 1400m today which is always a slight query, but he has four wins from five starts at the track and distance so should be able to handle it. Purton on again, drawn well in 3, looks the horse to beat if he reproduces that last run.

(3) Sky Field is the horse that adds intrigue, stepping up to 1400m after winning the Hong Kong Sprint before finishing 2nd by a nose in the Centenary Sprint Cup, both over 1200m. He’s been successful over this track and distance before and I suspect from barrier 7 they ride him cold with the purpose of finishing off.

(6) Healthy Happy can be thrown in at 25/1. Goes well at the distance and is undefeated third up, while the step up to 1400m may see (4) Wellington improve?

Tip: (1) Waikuku $2.25 Bet365

Betting Strategy: No bet

210014

Race 4

Happy Zero Hcp (C4) (1200m)
5:30pm (AEDT)

Race 4

Happy Zero Hcp (C4) (1200m)
5:30pm (AEDT)

1. Voyage Bubble (12) J: Z Purton (59kg) T: P Yiu
1.85
2. King Of The Court (3) J: K Teetan (58.5kg) T: W Y So
5
3. Brave Dreams (7) J: M Chadwick (58kg) T: A S Cruz
16
4. Fiery Flying (11) J: K Leung (58kg) T: A T Millard
34
5. Gallant Hero (1) J: M Poon (58kg) T: D J Hall
21
6. Spicy Skewer (2) J: R Maia (58kg) T: K L Man
26
7. Gold Gold Baby (8) J: C Ho (57.5kg) T: K W Lui
8. Vitralite (4) J: B Shinn (57.5kg) T: P D O'sullivan
16
9. Fortune Carrier (13) J: D Moor (57kg) T: C S Shum
19
10. Noir Rider (10) J: H Mo (56kg) T: T P Yung
41
11. Royal Agility (6) J: L Hewitson (55kg) T: Y S Tsui
34
12. Dragon Baby (9) J: A Badel (53.5kg) T: J J Size
7.5
13. Inestimable (5) J: V Borges (53.5kg) T: D A Hayes
31
210014

Race 5

Beauty Flash Hcp (C4) (1400m)
6:00pm (AEDT)

Race 5

Beauty Flash Hcp (C4) (1400m)
6:00pm (AEDT)

1. Lifeline Vision (3) J: C Ho (60.5kg) T: D A Hayes
12
2. Science Patch (1) J: K Teetan (58.5kg) T: P D O'sullivan
8
3. Super Win Dragon (14) J: A Badel (58.5kg) T: W Y So
7.5
4. Young Passion (4) J: L Ferraris (58.5kg) T: D J Hall
51
5. Love Me More (13) J: R Maia (58kg) T: P Yiu
26
6. Millennium Falcon (2) J: H Bentley (57.5kg) T: T P Yung
4.8
7. Moeraki (12) J: B Shinn (56.5kg) T: C W Chang
17
8. Noble Steed (6) J: D Moor (56.5kg) T: K W Lui
15
9. Fantastic Show (11) J: K Leung (56kg) T: Y S Tsui
18
10. Free Foal (10) J: Z Purton (55kg) T: F C Lor
5
11. Pride Of Dragon (9) J: K Chan (54.5kg) T: C H Yip
11
12. Salutation (8) J: V Borges (54.5kg) T: J J Size
8.5
13. Lady First (7) J: M Poon (53.5kg) T: A S Cruz
15
14. Noble Boyz (5) J: M Yeung (51.5kg) T: D Whyte
21

Zac Purton comes into this race having ridden three of these runners at their most recent starts, but chooses to jump off all of them in favour of (10) Free Foal. This horse comes off a last-start 3rd over the mile and now drops back to 1400m. Zac’s ridden this horse once before when it ran 2nd and given he’s elected to ride him for Frankie Lor, I’d be very surprised if he wasn’t fighting out the finish. Each way odds available.

Tip: (10) Free Foal $5.50/$2.40 Bet365

Betting Strategy: 1 unit E/W Free Foal

210014

Race 6

Time Warp Hcp (C4) (1600m)
6:35pm (AEDT)

Race 6

Time Warp Hcp (C4) (1600m)
6:35pm (AEDT)

1. Beauty Spirit (2) J: K Chan (60.5kg) T: A S Cruz
9
2. Light Of Wanshi (3) J: Z Purton (60.5kg) T: W Y So
3.3
3. Leading Fortune (8) J: A Badel (60kg) T: J J Size
7
4. City Legend (4) J: H Bentley (59.5kg) T: T P Yung
15
5. Joyful Heart (11) J: K Leung (58.5kg) T: F C Lor
20
6. Mission Bravo (12) J: A Hamelin (57.5kg) T: K H Ting
51
7. Right As Rain (13) J: K Teetan (57kg) T: C W Chang
6.5
8. Embarked (6) J: C Ho (56kg) T: C Fownes
10
9. Red Elysees (9) J: M Chadwick (56kg) T: K L Man
12
10. Turquoise Alpha (10) J: B Shinn (56kg) T: P D O'sullivan
13
11. Dragon Commander (1) J: H Mo (55kg) T: Y S Tsui
41
12. Cordyceps Two (14) J: V Borges (54.5kg) T: C H Yip
9
13. Lotus Favorites (7) J: L Hewitson (53kg) T: D J Hall
61
14. Moonluck (5) J: D Moor (53kg) T: K W Lui
26

(3) Leading Fortune has been a model of consistency lately, with a deserved last-start win following three consecutive placings, beaten 0.6L, 0.5L and 0.1L. Joao Moreira has ridden him in all of those races but is suspended today so Alexis Badel picks up the ride. Not an ideal replacement but the horse is flying and despite copping a 3.5kg rise in the weights, I’d be surprised if he wasn’t in the finish again at each way odds.

Tip: (3) Leading Fortune $7.00/$2.60 Ladbrokes

Betting Strategy: 0.5 units E/W Leading Fortune

210014

Race 7

Lucky Nine Hcp (C3) (1200m)
7:05pm (AEDT)

Race 7

Lucky Nine Hcp (C3) (1200m)
7:05pm (AEDT)

1. Sparkling Dragon (7) J: D Moor (60.5kg) T: A T Millard
34
2. Five Elements (4) J: Z Purton (58kg) T: F C Lor
3.9
3. Our Lucky Glory (2) J: L Ferraris (56kg) T: D Whyte
61
4. Ready To Win (11) J: K Leung (56kg) T: F C Lor
5.5
5. Gallant Express (5) J: A Hamelin (54.5kg) T: J J Size
6
6. Copartner Fionn (9) J: V Borges (54kg) T: W Y So
71
7. Mighty Valor (12) J: R Maia (54kg) T: P Yiu
34
8. River Views (13) J: L Hewitson (53.5kg) T: T P Yung
71
9. Kumasi (8) J: C Ho (53kg) T: K W Lui
7
10. Quadruple Double (6) J: M Poon (53kg) T: D J Hall
15
11. Reve Parisien (3) J: M Chadwick (53kg) T: P D O'sullivan
20
12. Super Fortune (1) J: K Teetan (52kg) T: A S Cruz
3.7
13. Harmony N Home (10) J: A Badel (51.5kg) T: C S Shum
26

Purton once again combines with Frankie Lor here on (2) Five Elements. Notably, he jumps off the John Size-trained Gallant Express to do so. He wouldn’t be jumping off one of Size’s if the one he was jumping on wasn’t a serious winning chance. The horse comes into this first up; he was beaten a nose first up last preparation. Lor’s team is flying, he’s drawn well in barrier 4 and is undefeated from two starts on rain-affected ground. Keen.

Tip: (2) Five Elements $3.90 TopSport

Betting Strategy: 2 units WIN Five Elements

210014

Race 8

The Citi Hong Kong Gold Cup (2000m)
7:35pm (AEDT)

Race 8

The Citi Hong Kong Gold Cup (2000m)
7:35pm (AEDT)

1. Golden Sixty (10) J: C Ho (57kg) T: K W Lui
1.5
2. More Than This (2) J: Z Purton (57kg) T: C S Shum
6
3. Panfield (7) J: K Leung (57kg) T: A T Millard
34
4. Russian Emperor (9) J: B Shinn (57kg) T: D Whyte
5.5
5. Sky Darci (4) J: K Teetan (57kg) T: C Fownes
26
6. Tourbillon Diamond (6) J: A Badel (57kg) T: C S Shum
26
7. Columbus County (8) J: D Moor (57kg) T: C Fownes
0
8. Reliable Team (1) J: H Bentley (57kg) T: F C Lor
41
9. Savvy Nine (3) J: M Chadwick (57kg) T: D Whyte
41
10. Zebrowski (5) J: M Poon (57kg) T: C Fownes
16

The second Group 1 of the day is the Citi Hong Kong Gold Cup over 2000m, where we now get $1.55 for Golden Sixty after his shock last-start defeat in The Stewards’ Cup. That was over the mile and instead of dropping back to 1400m, they pull the trigger on going to 2000m. Of course, he’s had two starts at the distance for two wins so it’s not uncharted territory, and perhaps now he’s racing more like a 2000m horse than a 1400m-1600m horse. Barrier 11 makes things interesting, no doubt he’ll be taken back, but I suspect Vincent Ho will be very keen to have him within striking distance this time around and not with several lengths to make up. In any case, I think he’ll atone for that last-start defeat and if you’re a punter that’s keen to load up on shorties, I would suggest the $1.55 is backable.

I think Purton will try and pinch a break on (2) More Than This, to really try and make Golden Sixty chase.

(4) Russian Emperor is drawn inside Golden Sixty and they’ll be making their runs together. He ran 3rd in that Stewards’ Cup last start, and prior to that was beaten less than a length over this distance by Loves Only You in the Hong Kong Cup.

(11) Zebrowski gets his chance at a Group 1 in Hong Kong having recorded back-to-back Group 3 wins leading into this. Smokey.

Tip: (1) Golden Sixty $1.55 Bet365

Betting Strategy: No bet

210014

Race 9

Werther Hcp (C3) (1600m)
8:10pm (AEDT)

Race 9

Werther Hcp (C3) (1600m)
8:10pm (AEDT)

1. Captain Win (8) J: Z Purton (60.5kg) T: D J Hall
2.7
2. Pegasus General (13) J: H Bentley (59.5kg) T: K H Ting
15
3. Crossford (14) J: V Borges (58kg) T: J J Size
12
4. Entrusted (3) J: A Badel (58kg) T: W Y So
10
5. Prime Minister (2) J: K Leung (57kg) T: P Yiu
6
6. Fabulousio (6) J: M Chadwick (56kg) T: C H Yip
51
7. Infinite Power (12) J: M Poon (56kg) T: F C Lor
14
8. Helene Allibor (1) J: D Moor (55.5kg) T: D A Hayes
26
9. Majestic Victory (4) J: L Ferraris (54.5kg) T: A S Cruz
21
10. Chevalier Prince (10) J: C Ho (53kg) T: F C Lor
10
11. Ezra (7) J: R Maia (53kg) T: A T Millard
13
12. Zoom Boom (5) J: L Hewitson (53kg) T: D Whyte
26
13. Royal Pride (9) J: K Teetan (52.5kg) T: C Fownes
13
14. Kowloon Great (11) J: M Yeung (51.5kg) T: C S Shum
51
210014

Race 10

California Memory Hcp (C3) (1400m)
8:45pm (AEDT)

Race 10

California Memory Hcp (C3) (1400m)
8:45pm (AEDT)

1. Congratulation (6) J: K Leung (60.5kg) T: D A Hayes
41
2. The Hulk (2) J: K Teetan (57.5kg) T: C Fownes
10
3. Copartner Ambition (11) J: Z Purton (56kg) T: A S Cruz
2.6
4. Super Ten (5) J: B Shinn (56kg) T: D Whyte
11
5. Super Dynamite (12) J: A Badel (56kg) T: P Yiu
13
6. Dragon Fortune (1) J: H Bentley (55kg) T: F C Lor
14
7. Beauty Nova (8) J: V Borges (54.5kg) T: J J Size
34
8. Charity Grace (14) J: M Poon (54kg) T: C S Shum
8.5
9. Stoicism (9) J: L Ferraris (54kg) T: Richard Gibson
26
10. Lucky Gold (3) J: D Moor (53.5kg) T: K W Lui
34
11. Kasi Farasi (4) J: A Hamelin (52.5kg) T: C H Yip
34
12. Nowitzki (7) J: H Mo (52.5kg) T: T P Yung
61
13. Oscar Glory (13) J: M Chadwick (52.5kg) T: F C Lor
4
14. Circuit Mighty (10) J: M Yeung (51.5kg) T: K L Man
26

(3) Copartner Ambition was beaten 0.5L first up and now gets Purton booked second up for Tony Cruz. Won at this stage last preparation and with any sort of luck from barrier 11, looks the horse to beat.

Also out of that race was (2) The Hulk, who actually finished off very well from the back of the field. Prior to that he won over 1200m and from the better draw today, can settle much closer than he did last start. Racing well and doesn’t deserve to be an $11 chance.

Tip: (3) Copartner Ambition $2.60 PlayUp

Value: (2) The Hulk $11 Sportsbet

Betting Strategy: 1 unit WIN Copartner Ambition, 0.5 units WIN The Hulk

A trip to Hong Kong quickly had Tim hooked to the racing caper, maintaining the best place anywhere in the world on a Wednesday night is Happy Valley. He holds a strong interest in the Hong Kong form, along with the metropolitan racing in Sydney and Melbourne. He’s a fan of dry tracks, Zac Purton and takes particular interest in identifying patterns in the form. Tim wears many hats, juggling the roles of form analyst, jockey manager and racehorse owner.

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