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Sha Tin Racing Tips: Sunday, March 20th

Tim Geers highlights his best bets on the card at Sha Tin for Hong Kong Derby day!

Sha Tin

It’s Hong Kong Derby day at Sha Tin!

The HKD$24,000,000 Derby is the race all Hong Kong owners want to win and is the pinnacle of the four-year-old series.

The Derby headlines the 10-race card on the A-course and Tim Geers has picked out his best bets on the program below.

He has selections running in Race 4 and Race 6, before taking a look at the Derby in Race 8.

Find his Sha Tin racing tips for Hong Kong Derby day below!

Moneyball

212168

Race 1

Ping Hai Star Hcp (C4) (1200m)
4:00pm (AEDT)

Race 1

Ping Hai Star Hcp (C4) (1200m)
4:00pm (AEDT)

1. Prosecco (6) J: A Badel (60.5kg) T: W Y So
11
2. Eligere (10) J: K Teetan (59.5kg) T: Y S Tsui
6
3. Aurora Hero (12) J: B Shinn (57kg) T: P D O'sullivan
67
4. Erimo (3) J: J Moreira (57kg) T: J J Size
4.2
5. Eternal Bloom (1) J: C Ho (57kg) T: P Yiu
7
6. Rattan Kingdom (11) J: R Maia (57kg) T: Richard Gibson
41
7. Starry Night (9) J: Z Purton (57kg) T: D A Hayes
8
8. Circuit Splendor (8) J: H Mo (56kg) T: T P Yung
61
9. Fortune Carrier (5) J: D Moor (56kg) T: C S Shum
7.5
10. Super Highway (7) J: H Bentley (56kg) T: F C Lor
12
11. Iron King (2) J: L Hewitson (55.5kg) T: C H Yip
16
12. Super Hornet (14) J: M Poon (55.5kg) T: D Whyte
21
13. The Good Deal (13) J: M Yeung (55.5kg) T: C W Chang
61
14. Island Surprise (4) J: M Chadwick (53kg) T: K L Man
8

Odds Last Updated: March 20, 2022, 4:04pm (AEDT)

212168

Race 2

Super Satin Hcp (C4) (1000m)
4:30pm (AEDT)

Race 2

Super Satin Hcp (C4) (1000m)
4:30pm (AEDT)

1. Run Run Cool (1) J: Z Purton (60.5kg) T: F C Lor
4.2
2. Good News (9) J: K Leung (60kg) T: W Y So
10
3. Kowloon East Star (2) J: R Maia (57.5kg) T: K H Ting
11
4. Lucky Gor (5) J: J Moreira (57kg) T: C Fownes
2.6
5. Brilliant Eight (12) J: C Ho (56.5kg) T: Y S Tsui
21
6. Diamond Soars (8) J: C Chau (56.5kg) T: A T Millard
31
7. Felix The King (13) J: M Yeung (56.5kg) T: C W Chang
26
8. Glenealy Generals (6) J: H Bentley (56.5kg) T: C H Yip
9
9. Happy Trio (3) J: L Hewitson (56.5kg) T: D Whyte
61
10. Le Plus Vite (11) J: B Shinn (56.5kg) T: D A Hayes
19
11. Miracles (14) J: A Badel (56.5kg) T: K L Man
26
12. Sweet Diamond (4) J: M Poon (56.5kg) T: P Yiu
7.5
13. Medic Elite (7) J: M Chadwick (55kg) T: P D O'sullivan
67
14. Fortune Marbo (10) J: H Mo (54kg) T: T P Yung
67

Odds Last Updated: March 20, 2022, 4:34pm (AEDT)

212168

Race 3

Helene Mascot Hcp (C4) (1600m)
5:00pm (AEDT)

Race 3

Helene Mascot Hcp (C4) (1600m)
5:00pm (AEDT)

1. Amazing Teens (7) J: Z Purton (60kg) T: J J Size
9.5
2. Beauty Spirit (9) J: A Badel (58.5kg) T: A S Cruz
7.5
3. City Legend (6) J: C Chau (57.5kg) T: T P Yung
13
4. Joyful Heart (8) J: K Leung (57.5kg) T: F C Lor
20
5. Star Contact (3) J: B Shinn (56kg) T: D A Hayes
2.9
6. Bright Kid (2) J: H Lai (56kg) T: W Y So
17
7. Toycoon (13) J: J Moreira (55.5kg) T: P Yiu
10
8. Embarked (1) J: C Ho (54.5kg) T: C Fownes
31
9. Nicholson Returns (12) J: M Poon (54kg) T: D J Hall
61
10. Sunny Delight (14) J: K Teetan (54kg) T: C S Shum
20
11. Cordyceps Two (10) J: V Borges (53.5kg) T: C H Yip
7
12. Great Treasure (4) J: H Mo (53.5kg) T: Y S Tsui
31
13. Strathmoretoo (5) J: L Hewitson (53.5kg) T: A T Millard
31
14. Vukan (11) J: M Chadwick (53.5kg) T: P D O'sullivan
9

Odds Last Updated: March 20, 2022, 5:04pm (AEDT)

212168

Race 4

Fay Fay Hcp (C4) (1400m)
5:30pm (AEDT)

Race 4

Fay Fay Hcp (C4) (1400m)
5:30pm (AEDT)

1. Lifeline Vision (3) J: C Ho (60.5kg) T: D A Hayes
7
2. Star Of Yuen Long (14) J: B Shinn (60.5kg) T: K L Man
15
3. Angels Hunter (1) J: R Maia (60kg) T: P D O'sullivan
26
4. Country Boy (12) J: Z Purton (59.5kg) T: J J Size
5
5. Speed Fay Fay (4) J: C Chau (57kg) T: T P Yung
9.5
6. Cheery (10) J: J Moreira (56.5kg) T: P Yiu
4.2
7. Fantasy (2) J: A Hamelin (56.5kg) T: C W Chang
34
8. Amazing Victory (11) J: K Teetan (56kg) T: L Ho
13
9. Best For You (13) J: K Leung (54.5kg) T: Y S Tsui
34
10. Maximize Heart (7) J: M Chadwick (54.5kg) T: C H Yip
16
11. Circuit Elite (8) J: H Mo (54kg) T: A S Cruz
67
12. Durham Star (9) J: A Badel (54kg) T: D Whyte
5
13. Red Brick Fighter (5) J: M Poon (52kg) T: D J Hall
15
14. Jiangxi Stamina (6) J: V Borges (51.5kg) T: W Y So
41

Odds Last Updated: March 20, 2022, 5:34pm (AEDT)

(1) Lifeline Vision has run 2nd in two of his past three starts since dropping back down into Class 4 company, and all of those have been at this track and distance. The one race he didn’t place in he sat three-wide the trip so had obvious excuses, but still wasn’t beaten all that far. He ran 2nd to Running Glory three back, who I’m keen on later in the card, and the horse that ran 3rd behind him last start (Free Foal) has since come out and won.

(4) Country Boy has discovered form in his past handful of starts. He won over 1200m five starts ago where he beat Eason, who is a good horse. Country Boy then ran consecutive placings before saluting two starts ago over this track and distance. Forgive him for his run last start when caught three-wide the trip. He drops a kilogram in the weights from that effort and Zac Purton takes over the ride for John Size today. Just needs a good steer but with the rail in the A position, it should allow horses their chance from wide gates.

Tip: (4) Country Boy $5.00 Moneyball

Also Backing: (1) Lifeline Vision $8.00 Sportsbet

Betting Strategy: 0.5 units WIN Country Boy, 0.5 units WIN Lifeline Vision

212168

Race 5

Akeed Mofeed Hcp (C3) (2000m)
6:00pm (AEDT)

Race 5

Akeed Mofeed Hcp (C3) (2000m)
6:00pm (AEDT)

1. Above (10) J: R Maia (60.5kg) T: A T Millard
19
2. Superbella (6) J: B Shinn (58kg) T: F C Lor
17
3. Rise Brethren (1) J: Z Purton (57.5kg) T: C S Shum
3.7
4. Copartner Elites (7) J: C Ho (57kg) T: C S Shum
11
5. Five G Patch (12) J: K Teetan (56kg) T: A S Cruz
17
6. Happy Angel (14) J: H Lai (56kg) T: D A Hayes
81
7. Boom Alliance (8) J: J Moreira (55.5kg) T: D Whyte
3.2
8. Flying Turbo (3) J: L Hewitson (55.5kg) T: D Whyte
26
9. Enzemble (2) J: M Poon (55kg) T: K L Man
26
10. Helene Allibor (9) J: D Moor (54.5kg) T: D A Hayes
11
11. Vincy (4) J: H Bentley (54kg) T: C H Yip
26
12. Blastoise (13) J: L Ferraris (53.5kg) T: A T Millard
18
13. Ensured (11) J: A Badel (53.5kg) T: D J Hall
9.5
14. Champion Pal (5) J: M Chadwick (52.5kg) T: P D O'sullivan
14

Odds Last Updated: March 20, 2022, 6:05pm (AEDT)

212168

Race 6

Designs On Rome Hcp (C3) (1600m)
6:35pm (AEDT)

Race 6

Designs On Rome Hcp (C3) (1600m)
6:35pm (AEDT)

1. Congratulation (10) J: C Chau (60.5kg) T: D A Hayes
31
2. Cobhfield (13) J: R Maia (60kg) T: A T Millard
18
3. Charity Grace (6) J: K Teetan (58.5kg) T: C S Shum
5.5
4. Prime Minister (14) J: K Leung (58kg) T: P Yiu
12
5. Entrusted (3) J: B Shinn (57.5kg) T: W Y So
51
6. Majestic Victory (11) J: L Ferraris (57.5kg) T: A S Cruz
11
7. Running Glory (12) J: J Moreira (56kg) T: J J Size
2.9
8. Super Winner (5) J: C Wong (56kg) T: C H Yip
21
9. Zoom Boom (7) J: A Badel (55kg) T: D Whyte
8
10. A La King (9) J: H Bentley (54.5kg) T: K H Ting
41
11. Nothing Impossible (4) J: Z Purton (54kg) T: K W Lui
7.5
12. Perfect To Great (8) J: C Ho (53.5kg) T: C Fownes
19
13. Let's Do It (2) J: L Hewitson (53kg) T: D J Hall
26
14. Looking Cool (1) J: M Poon (52.5kg) T: F C Lor
26

Odds Last Updated: March 20, 2022, 6:39pm (AEDT)

Buttering up on (7) Running Glory today after he was beaten as the short-priced favourite last start. He had to get a long way back from his wide gate on that occasion and was just left with too much to do, but I thought his effort was still good. Prior to that he won two races in succession in smart style, and even his first two career starts were very good with excuses. Draws off the track again today in barrier 12 but hopefully the rail in the A position allows horses from wide gates the chance to get home over the top. Needs a good steer, but think he’s a good horse.

Tip: (7) Running Glory $2.80 Ladbrokes

Betting Strategy: 2 units WIN Running Glory

212168

Race 7

Luger Hcp (C3) (1200m)
7:05pm (AEDT)

Race 7

Luger Hcp (C3) (1200m)
7:05pm (AEDT)

1. Moonlight Vista (7) J: M Poon (59kg) T: C S Shum
51
2. The Hulk (3) J: B Shinn (58kg) T: C Fownes
31
3. Here Comes Ted (1) J: L Ferraris (57kg) T: D J Hall
8.5
4. Ready To Win (2) J: K Leung (56.5kg) T: F C Lor
7
5. Pins Prince (10) J: J Moreira (55kg) T: J J Size
11
6. Voyage Bubble (5) J: Z Purton (54.5kg) T: P Yiu
1.65
7. Buzzinga (4) J: K Teetan (53.5kg) T: A S Cruz
6
8. River Views (6) J: L Hewitson (53.5kg) T: T P Yung
61
9. Trust Me (9) J: V Borges (53.5kg) T: C H Yip
13
10. We Are Hero (8) J: M Chadwick (53.5kg) T: K L Man
61

Odds Last Updated: March 20, 2022, 7:09pm (AEDT)

212168

Race 8

The Bmw Hong Kong Derby 2022 (2000m)
7:40pm (AEDT)

Race 8

The Bmw Hong Kong Derby 2022 (2000m)
7:40pm (AEDT)

1. California Spangle (10) J: Z Purton (57kg) T: A S Cruz
4
2. Romantic Warrior (8) J: K Teetan (57kg) T: C S Shum
3.6
3. The Irishman (13) J: B Shinn (57kg) T: K W Lui
9
4. Turin Redsun (6) J: A Badel (57kg) T: D Whyte
5.5
5. Ima Single Man (7) J: M Poon (57kg) T: A S Cruz
41
6. Senor Toba (3) J: J Moreira (57kg) T: C Fownes
5
7. Fa Fa (4) J: H Bentley (57kg) T: F C Lor
41
8. Money Catcher (9) J: K Leung (57kg) T: F C Lor
13
9. Rocket Spade (5) J: C Ho (57kg) T: C Fownes
15
10. S J Tourbillon (12) J: R Maia (57kg) T: P Yiu
91
11. Champion Dragon (2) J: M Chadwick (57kg) T: A S Cruz
51
12. Mr Ascendency (11) J: L Ferraris (57kg) T: P Yiu
67
13. Crossford (1) J: V Borges (57kg) T: J J Size
91
14. Nordic Sky (14) J: A Hamelin (57kg) T: A T Millard
101

Odds Last Updated: March 20, 2022, 7:40pm (AEDT)

The Hong Kong Derby is a terrific contest as usual, with Hong Kong’s best four-year-olds lining up over 2000m in the most prestigious race in the land.

I’m of the firm opinion that the result of today’s race will be completely dependent on the tempo. I’m predicting we’ll see one or two horses put a little bit of pressure on (1) California Spangle up the top, after he got things all his own way in the Classic Cup. The son of Starspangledbanner has six wins and two 2nds from eight starts and if Zac Purton can find the front from barrier 10 without using too much petrol, he’ll obviously be hard to beat again. The mid-stages are where the story is really going to be told though; if he gets one or two cheap sectionals leading into the straight, he’s going to be awfully hard to run down.

The run of (2) Romantic Warrior in defeat in the Classic Cup was huge, sitting three-wide the trip and still running home in the fourth-fastest final 400m to run 4th beaten 2.5L. That was his first career defeat in six starts, having previously rolled California Spangle in the Classic Mile. He draws better in barrier 8 today and if he can slot in midfield with cover, I think he can turn the tables.

(6) Senor Toba is a real stayer and comes here second up after finishing 5th in the Classic Cup. He ran 2nd in the Queensland Derby and was obviously purchased with one goal in mind – the Hong Kong Derby. No doubt he whole HK career to date has been tailored around having him ready to peak today. I think we’ll see his stablemate Rocket Spade ridden much more aggressively with blinkers on today to inject some pace into the race and therefore bring Senor Toba into it. He gets the gun draw with Joao Moreira on and we know he will be there at the end of 2000m. If it turns into a sit-sprint, he might struggle to have the turn of foot required to run them down, but that’s why I think they’ll be using Rocket Spade to make this a genuinely run 2000m.

Tip: (2) Romantic Warrior $3.40 Moneyball

Saver: (6) Senor Toba $5.00 Sportsbet

Betting Strategy: 1 unit WIN Romantic Warrior, 0.25 units WIN Senor Toba

212168

Race 9

Collection Hcp (C3) (1400m)
8:15pm (AEDT)

Race 9

Collection Hcp (C3) (1400m)
8:15pm (AEDT)

1. Sauvestre (14) J: Z Purton (60.5kg) T: F C Lor
5.5
2. Simply Fluke (4) J: A Badel (59.5kg) T: D Whyte
26
3. Heza Beauty (5) J: J Moreira (59kg) T: J J Size
15
4. Mr Valiant (8) J: L Hewitson (58.5kg) T: A T Millard
15
5. Royal Bomb (9) J: B Shinn (57.5kg) T: C Fownes
17
6. Texas Moon (2) J: D Moor (57kg) T: T P Yung
4.8
7. Racing Fighter (3) J: A Hamelin (56kg) T: C H Yip
41
8. Compassion Spirit (6) J: M Chadwick (56kg) T: K L Man
14
9. California Sky (7) J: K Teetan (55kg) T: A S Cruz
4.8
10. God Of Dragon (12) J: L Ferraris (54kg) T: D Whyte
41
11. Golden Empire (11) J: R Maia (54kg) T: K W Lui
6
12. Massive Action (10) J: K Leung (54kg) T: F C Lor
10
13. Fast Pace (1) J: K Chan (53.5kg) T: C Fownes
26
14. Kowloon Great (13) J: M Yeung (53.5kg) T: C S Shum
26

Odds Last Updated: March 20, 2022, 8:20pm (AEDT)

212168

Race 10

Rapper Dragon Hcp (C2) (1200m)
8:50pm (AEDT)

Race 10

Rapper Dragon Hcp (C2) (1200m)
8:50pm (AEDT)

1. Winning Dreamer (13) J: C Ho (60.5kg) T: F C Lor
34
2. Blaze Warrior (2) J: J Moreira (56.5kg) T: J J Size
3.2
3. Highly Proactive (6) J: H Lai (56.5kg) T: C W Chang
26
4. California Rad (11) J: H Bentley (56kg) T: A S Cruz
15
5. Stoltz (7) J: Z Purton (56kg) T: K W Lui
8
6. Hong Kong Win (1) J: V Borges (55.5kg) T: J J Size
26
7. Keep You Warm (9) J: A Badel (55.5kg) T: K W Lui
21
8. Classic Unicorn (4) J: K Chan (55kg) T: W Y So
101
9. Good Luck Friend (10) J: K Leung (54.5kg) T: P Yiu
15
10. Harmony N Blessed (8) J: C Chau (54kg) T: D A Hayes
51
11. Lucky With You (12) J: K Teetan (53.5kg) T: D A Hayes
3.7
12. Navas Two (14) J: R Maia (53.5kg) T: Richard Gibson
9
13. Winner Method (5) J: M Chadwick (53kg) T: C S Shum
14
14. Astrologer (3) J: M Yeung (52.5kg) T: D Whyte
15

Odds Last Updated: March 20, 2022, 8:55pm (AEDT)

A trip to Hong Kong quickly had Tim hooked to the racing caper, maintaining the best place anywhere in the world on a Wednesday night is Happy Valley. He holds a strong interest in the Hong Kong form, along with the metropolitan racing in Sydney and Melbourne. He’s a fan of dry tracks, Zac Purton and takes particular interest in identifying patterns in the form. Tim wears many hats, juggling the roles of form analyst, jockey manager and racehorse owner.

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