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Sha Tin Racing Tips: Wednesday, November 4th

Hong Kong racing takes place on the all-weather track at Sha Tin this Wednesday evening, with eight races under lights on the dirt. Tim Geers has highlighted three races he’s keen to bet in below.

ShaTin-AWT

Hong Kong racing takes place on the all-weather track at Sha Tin this Wednesday evening, with eight races under lights on the dirt.

Tim Geers is keen to play in three races: Race 2, Race 3 and Race 8.

Find his analysis and betting suggestions below!

0

Race 1

Tsim Mei Fung Hcp (C5) (1200m)
10:15pm (AEDT)

Race 1

Tsim Mei Fung Hcp (C5) (1200m)
10:15pm (AEDT)

1. Demons Rock (2) J: C Chau (60.5kg) T: D J Hall
444.25
2. Viva Council (7) J: H Mo (60.5kg) T: L Ho
111412
3. Well Dragon (9) J: T Piccone (60.5kg) T: W Y So
161917.8
4. Adonis (6) J: A Badel (60kg) T: D Whyte
8.5108.5
5. Tailor Made (4) J: Z Purton (60kg) T: C W Chang
787.4
6. Who's Horse (10) J: V Borges (58.5kg) T: A S Cruz
212121
7. Ever Strong (11) J: C Ho (58kg) T: K L Man
131212.2
8. Ready Conqueror (5) J: M Poon (58kg) T: Y S Tsui
141313.2
9. Socket Elite (1) J: B Shinn (56kg) T: C H Yip
616163
10. Corre Rapido (8) J: K Teetan (52.5kg) T: Richard Gibson
5.54.85
11. Spicy Really (3) J: M Chadwick (52kg) T: F C Lor
171917
12. Fairy Floss (12) J: K Leung (51.5kg) T: P D O'sullivan
131312

Odds Last Updated: November 5, 2020, 12:51am (AEDT)

0

Race 2

Wa Mei Shan Hcp (C5) (1650m)
10:45pm (AEDT)

Race 2

Wa Mei Shan Hcp (C5) (1650m)
10:45pm (AEDT)

1. Go Ballistic (14) J: C Chau (60.5kg) T: D Ferraris
8.588
2. Dragon Commander (12) J: N Callan (60kg) T: Y S Tsui
151615.8
3. Break Record (4) J: B Shinn (58.5kg) T: L Ho
817181
4. Smart Thinker (8) J: Z Purton (58.5kg) T: C H Yip
3.64.23.8
5. Sweetly Baby (1) J: C Ho (58.5kg) T: C Fownes
998.9
6. Shinealot (6) J: K Teetan (57.5kg) T: P D O'sullivan
43.73.95
7. Joyful Cheers (13) J: A Badel (57kg) T: C S Shum
9110193
8. Sacred Timing (10) J: M Poon (56.5kg) T: D A Hayes
414141
9. Turf Brilliant (5) J: T Piccone (56.5kg) T: W Y So
88.57.9
10. Joy Avenue (3) J: K Leung (55kg) T: C H Yip
313432
11. Charitydream (11) J: M Chadwick (54kg) T: C W Chang
98.59.1
12. The Joy Of Giving (9) J: V Borges (54kg) T: C W Chang
101101101
13. Proud Sky (7) J: H Mo (51.5kg) T: L Ho
313132
14. Fortune Buddy (2) J: M Yeung (51.5kg) T: T P Yung
617161

Odds Last Updated: November 5, 2020, 12:51am (AEDT)

(4) Smart Thinker looks well-placed to break through tonight. He comes into this having run 3rd in his first two starts this prep and the horse that won the race last start then came out and ran 2nd again which is a good sign for the form. He’s drawn a bit better in barrier 8 tonight compared to 12 last start. This is his second start on the all-weather track – his first time on the surface he failed on badly but he was a 100/1 pop that night. He has trialled well on this surface in the past so I’ll give him his chance tonight to prove he can handle it.

(6) Shinealot does look the danger – he comes out of the same race as Smart Thinker last start and was back in 7th, but his SP wasn’t much longer than Smart Thinker’s and unlike the other horse, he has run well on the AWT in the past, finishing 2nd at his only attempt.

Top pick: (4) Smart Thinker $3.30 Unibet

Betting strategy: 1 unit WIN Smart Thinker

0

Race 3

Shek Uk Shan Hcp (C3) (1800m)
11:15pm (AEDT)

Race 3

Shek Uk Shan Hcp (C3) (1800m)
11:15pm (AEDT)

1. Bear Slam (6) J: C Chau (60.5kg) T: D Ferraris
5.56.55.7
2. Right Choice (7) J: Z Purton (60.5kg) T: F C Lor
887.9
3. Naboo Star (1) J: B Shinn (59kg) T: C Fownes
6.55.56.4
4. Elite Patch (4) J: M Poon (58kg) T: K W Lui
7.557
5. Clear Choice (5) J: C Ho (57kg) T: C S Shum
5.55.55.6
6. Peach Blossoms (3) J: M Chadwick (54kg) T: D J Hall
416149
7. More Than A Horse (2) J: K Teetan (52.5kg) T: D Whyte
101411
8. Red Elysees (9) J: K Leung (52.5kg) T: K L Man
66.55.9
9. Brave King (8) J: A Badel (51.5kg) T: D Whyte
111411.8
10. Deal Maker (10) J: V Borges (51.5kg) T: K H Ting
616161

Odds Last Updated: November 5, 2020, 12:51am (AEDT)

This is a really competitive race but there’s two at good odds I’m keen to have something small on here. (2) Right Choice drops back into Class 3 and goes from apprentice Alfred Chan to Zac Purton. He’s won one of his two starts on the all-weather track and he also steps up to 1800m. The signs are there to suggest he can return to form tonight at double figure odds.

The other is (10) Deal Maker who carries bottom weight of 51.5kg and is a $21 chance. He resumes from a long spell after having surgery to repair a fracture, but it’s notable that he goes to the 1800m straight away rather than a shorter trip. He won by 2.8L first up last prep on this track and then had a 10-week break before winning again by 3.5L. They were both over 1650m on the all-weather surface so the 1800m shouldn’t be a problem if he’s right. He’s in Class 3 tonight but he’s run well in this class before. He might well be cooked after that injury but we’re getting $21 to find out.

Vincent Ho jumps off another horse to keep the ride on (5) Clear Choice who went well first up, so that’s a positive sign and he can be right in the finish again, while (1) Bear Slam drops in class and they put the 4.5kg claimer on to drop him to a very winnable mark. He’s won two out of three when third up so expect a much more positive ride tonight and don’t be surprised to see him well backed.

Tip: (2) Right Choice $10 Bet365

Value: (10) Deal Maker $21 Bet365

Betting strategy: 0.25 units WIN Right Choice, 0.25 units WIN Deal Maker

0

Race 4

Tin Ha Shan Hcp (C4) (1200m)
11:45pm (AEDT)

Race 4

Tin Ha Shan Hcp (C4) (1200m)
11:45pm (AEDT)

1. Gunnar (11) J: C Chau (60.5kg) T: C Fownes
2. Handsome Rebel (10) J: C Ho (59.5kg) T: Y S Tsui
3. Coby Oppa (4) J: M Poon (58kg) T: D J Hall
4. Gold Comet (9) J: C Schofield (56.5kg) T: A T Millard
5. Smart Hunter (1) J: B Shinn (56kg) T: D Whyte
6. Dollar Reward (2) J: A Hamelin (55.5kg) T: C S Shum
7. Apolar Warrior (5) J: V Borges (54.5kg) T: P Yiu
8. Hey Pal (12) J: M Chadwick (54.5kg) T: J J Size
9. So Happy (6) J: H Lai (54.5kg) T: K L Man
10. Impeccable Fellow (3) J: M Yeung (53kg) T: Richard Gibson
11. Star Superior (7) J: K Teetan (53kg) T: C W Chang
12. Wayfoong Charmer (8) J: A Badel (52.5kg) T: P D O'sullivan

Odds Last Updated: November 5, 2020, 12:51am (AEDT)

0

Race 5

Tin Ha Shan Hcp (C4) (1200m)
12:15am (AEDT)

Race 5

Tin Ha Shan Hcp (C4) (1200m)
12:15am (AEDT)

1. Golfman Star (8) J: K Leung (60.5kg) T: F C Lor
513149
2. Hercules (9) J: C Chau (60kg) T: C H Yip
887.9
3. Goldie Flanker (5) J: T Piccone (58.5kg) T: K L Man
181918
4. Victory In Hand (12) J: C Ho (58kg) T: K W Lui
119.510
5. Super Alliances (6) J: M Chadwick (57.5kg) T: J J Size
4.84.64.6
6. Resolute (7) J: K Teetan (57kg) T: A T Millard
1.951.81.92
7. Cruciatus (2) J: B Shinn (56.5kg) T: C W Chang
151151141
8. Speed To Exceed (11) J: M Poon (56kg) T: D J Hall
818179
9. Winning Strikes (1) J: M Yeung (54.5kg) T: P D O'sullivan
8.598.5
10. Lucky Turbo (3) J: V Borges (53kg) T: A S Cruz
232123
11. Viva Mama (4) J: H Mo (52.5kg) T: L Ho
717169
12. Sky Treasure (10) J: H Wong (52kg) T: Y S Tsui
262125

Odds Last Updated: November 5, 2020, 12:51am (AEDT)

0

Race 6

Tiu Yue Yung Hcp (C4) (1650m)
12:45am (AEDT)

Race 6

Tiu Yue Yung Hcp (C4) (1650m)
12:45am (AEDT)

1. Owners' Star (11) J: A Badel (60.5kg) T: C S Shum
272627.5
2. Party Everyday (1) J: K Teetan (60.5kg) T: A S Cruz
3.43.53.35
3. Skyey Supreme (2) J: C Chau (60.5kg) T: K W Lui
2.932.9
4. Urban Dancer (8) J: Z Purton (60kg) T: D A Hayes
111011
5. Wealthy Employee (5) J: M Yeung (60kg) T: K H Ting
212121
6. Unite Spirit (7) J: C Schofield (59.5kg) T: D Ferraris
131313
7. London Luckystar (6) J: N Callan (59kg) T: D Ferraris
171617.2
8. Chung Wah Spirit (10) J: M Chadwick (58.5kg) T: C H Yip
7.587.5
9. Chairman Lo (12) J: T Piccone (57.5kg) T: J J Size
515151
10. Party Genius (4) J: A Hamelin (55.5kg) T: D Whyte
312631
11. Double Take (3) J: C Ho (53.5kg) T: C Fownes
88.58.4
12. Jolly Forever (9) J: K Leung (53kg) T: C Fownes
718179

Odds Last Updated: November 5, 2020, 12:51am (AEDT)

0

Race 7

Pyramid Hill Hcp (C3) (1200m)
1:15am (AEDT)

Race 7

Pyramid Hill Hcp (C3) (1200m)
1:15am (AEDT)

1. Silver Fig (3) J: A Hamelin (60.5kg) T: A T Millard
4.54.84.5
2. Star Of Yuen Long (6) J: C Chau (60.5kg) T: K L Man
4.854.95
3. Hongkong Great (10) J: M Chadwick (58kg) T: C S Shum
131413.8
4. Czarson (7) J: K Teetan (57kg) T: P Yiu
3.33.43.3
5. Happy Qiji (2) J: C Schofield (56.5kg) T: W Y So
717171
6. Lucky Patch (5) J: M Poon (55.5kg) T: K W Lui
131413.8
7. Eight Trigrams (4) J: H Wong (54kg) T: D J Hall
181918.8
8. Enshrined (11) J: C Ho (54kg) T: C Fownes
181818.2
9. Blotting Paper (12) J: A Badel (53kg) T: Richard Gibson
8.58.58.5
10. Wisdom Patch (8) J: M Yeung (53kg) T: C W Chang
616765
11. Prance Dragon (1) J: V Borges (52kg) T: T P Yung
98.59
12. Superb Daddy (9) J: H Lai (51.5kg) T: D Ferraris
313131

Odds Last Updated: November 5, 2020, 12:51am (AEDT)

0

Race 8

Hebe Hill Hcp (C2) (1650m)
1:50am (AEDT)

Race 8

Hebe Hill Hcp (C2) (1650m)
1:50am (AEDT)

1. Elusive State (2) J: A Badel (60.5kg) T: A T Millard
3.13.23.1
2. Helene Leadingstar (3) J: K Teetan (60.5kg) T: A S Cruz
151615
3. Kings Shield (10) J: Z Purton (58.5kg) T: F C Lor
2.452.452.45
4. Beauty Legacy (6) J: C Schofield (57.5kg) T: J J Size
161716
5. Assimilate (9) J: A Hamelin (55kg) T: K H Ting
312631
6. Righteous Doctrine (7) J: C Ho (54kg) T: C W Chang
7.57.57.5
7. Alpha Hedge (4) J: H Wong (53.5kg) T: K W Lui
515151
8. Glorious Artist (11) J: K Leung (52.5kg) T: F C Lor
313131
9. Enrichment (8) J: M Poon (51.5kg) T: J J Size
414141
10. Arrogant (12) J: M Yeung (51.5kg) T: C Fownes
101101101
11. Star Performance (5) J: M Chadwick (51.5kg) T: A S Cruz
151515
12. Touch Of Luck (1) J: V Borges (51.5kg) T: D Whyte
9.59.59.5

Odds Last Updated: November 5, 2020, 12:51am (AEDT)

This is the race of the night. (3) Kings Shield returns to his favoured surface tonight, the all-weather track. He actually ran on it last start when he finished 7th but that was over 1200m and he gets back up to his pet distance of 1650m tonight. He’s had three starts at the track and distance for two wins and a 2nd. Purton replaces Derek Leung tonight and it’s the first time Zac has ridden him since he won on him four starts ago. He will be going forward from barrier 10, ideally to lead, and he should take a power of beating.

(12) Touch Of Luck the bottom weight is a chance at odds. He’s been well beaten in his past two starts but he returns to the AWT tonight, which he goes much better on. He’s had 11 starts on the surface for three wins and four placings. His past five starts on the track have resulted in three wins and a 2nd. Up in class a bit but he’s got no weight, draws barrier 1 so expect to see him much further forward than what he has been in recent starts.

(1) Elusive State looks the obvious danger, dropping out of Group company and back to his pet track and distance, where he’s won six times.

Top pick: (3) Kings Shield $2.70 Bet365

Value: (12) Touch Of Luck $9.50 Bet365

Betting strategy: 1.5 units WIN Kings Shield, 0.5 units WIN Touch Of Luck

A trip to Hong Kong quickly had Tim hooked to the racing caper, maintaining the best place anywhere in the world on a Wednesday night is Happy Valley. He holds a strong interest in the Hong Kong form, along with the metropolitan racing in Sydney and Melbourne. He’s a fan of dry tracks, Zac Purton and takes particular interest in identifying patterns in the form. Tim wears many hats, juggling the roles of form analyst, jockey manager and racehorse owner.

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