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Warrnambool Racing Tips: Thursday, December 31st

New Year’s Eve racing comes to Warrnambool with the feature the Woodford Cup. The Horse has previewed four of the key races below.

Warrnambool Racing Tips

New Year’s Eve racing comes to Warrnambool with the feature the Woodford Cup (bm84) over 1700 metres.

The Horse has taken a look at Race 3, Race 4, Race 5 and Race 8.

Race 1

Dj Bowman Racing Mdn Plate (1700m)
2:20pm (AEDT)

Race 1

Dj Bowman Racing Mdn Plate (1700m)
2:20pm (AEDT)

1. Chromium (9) J: Will Price (59.5kg) T: Stephen Lenehan 6161678151140
2. Divided Loyalty (2) J: Ms Laura Lafferty (59.5kg) T: K & G Mayberry
3. Garrigue (7) J: Dean Holland (59.5kg) T: Adam Chambers 515157714195
4. Magicain (5) J: Melissa Julius (59.5kg) T: M W Greig 1019116115181370
5. Red Santa (1) J: John Allen (58kg) T: C Maher & D Eustace 1.751.751.761.71.751.89
6. Swift Sure (6) J: Dean Yendall (58kg) T: M Price & M Kent Jnr 3.73.93.43.73.84.2
7. Double Delight (4) J: Fred W Kersley (57.5kg) T: Matthew Cumani 999.19911
8. Halo's Quest (8) J: Declan Bates (57.5kg) T: Vanessa Hutchinson 263126.5262636
9. Magnetic Jewel (3) J: Jordan Childs (57.5kg) T: P W Mckenna 7.57.57.6879.4

Odds Last Updated: January 1, 2021, 12:52am (AEDT)

Race 2

Midfield Group Mdn Plate (2000m)
2:55pm (AEDT)

Race 2

Midfield Group Mdn Plate (2000m)
2:55pm (AEDT)

1. Atypical (10) J: Jordan Childs (59.5kg) T: C W Mcdonald
2. Breaking Loose (6) J: John Allen (59.5kg) T: N A Blackiston 88.57.688.59.2
3. Delightful Tycoon (7) J: Jack Hill (59.5kg) T: J S Bull 121412.2121415
4. Equine Philosopher (1) J: Craig Newitt (58kg) T: M Price & M Kent Jnr 877.586.59.2
5. Chaparral Belle (4) J: Daniel Moor (57.5kg) T: Aaron Purcell 192118.2181826
6. Christine's Legacy (11) J: Ms Lucinda Boyd (57.5kg) T: Damien Hunter
7. Down Under Dancer (8) J: Michael Poy (57.5kg) T: C W Little 65.55.965.57
8. Golovanova (9) J: Ms Laura Lafferty (57.5kg) T: P D Graesser 9110183101126230
9. Dreambound (3) J: Dean Yendall (56kg) T: M Price & M Kent Jnr 3.33.33.453.33.53.7
10. Peace Process (5) J: Declan Bates (56kg) T: Archie Alexander 6.566.56.56.57.4
11. Russian By (2) J: Fred W Kersley (56kg) T: R Griffiths & M De Kock 66.55.16.567.2

Odds Last Updated: January 1, 2021, 12:52am (AEDT)

Race 3

M Lucas Accounting Vale Mdn (1400m)
3:30pm (AEDT)

Race 3

M Lucas Accounting Vale Mdn (1400m)
3:30pm (AEDT)

1. All Ova Nova (9) J: Craig Newitt (59.5kg) T: Ms J Smith 71151111101101140
2. Anewdaydawning (5) J: Lewis German (59.5kg) T: M A Townsend 516781715190
3. Wine O'clock (6) J: Billy Egan (59.5kg) T: Patrick Payne 3.23.23.23.23.33.6
4. Bondi Beau (14) J: Dean Yendall (58kg) T: M Price & M Kent Jnr 3.53.23.23.53.24
5. Come Along Jeffrey (17) J: Will Price (58kg) T: Dean Larsson
6. Fightingforjustice (7) J: Jarrod Lorensini (58kg) T: C Maher & D Eustace 161716.2161620
7. Handshake (11) J: Dean Holland (58kg) T: P A Preusker 414151514170
8. Setanta (10) J: John Allen (58kg) T: C Maher & D Eustace 3.13.13.0533.23.4
9. Shultzy (3) J: Michael Poy (58kg) T: Pat Cannon 71101111101101100
10. Ask Isla (19) J: Ms Laura Lafferty (57.5kg) T: Q J Scott 71151101101101130
11. Robyn's Folly (15) J: Dean Holland (57.5kg) T: Daniel Bowman 464139413460
12. Miss Construed (8) J: Declan Bates (56kg) T: L Smith 202120.5182323
13. Sidewalk Sinner (4) J: Melissa Julius (56kg) T: Daniel Bowman 466155615155
14. Zerette (18) J: Jordan Childs (56kg) T: Archie Alexander
15. Hailey's Diva (2) J: Daniel Moor (57.5kg) T: Jamie Edwards 6171838181100
16. Mitchells Falls (1) J: Jordan Childs (59.5kg) T: C W Mcdonald
17. Dominion Dancer (16) J: Unknown (56kg) T: M J Williams
18. Tintreach (20) J: Unknown (59.5kg) T: S R Fisher 618175818195
19. Only Right (12) J: Unknown (56kg) T: R K Carnes
20. Champagne Witness (13) J: Unknown (56kg) T: M J Williams

Odds Last Updated: January 1, 2021, 12:52am (AEDT)

The unraced (3) Wine O’clock from the Patrick Payne stable comes in with two trial wins. The most recent at Moe over 1000 metres was solid enough to expect a showing here. Of course being unseen on race-day, there are still plenty of unknowns – therefore we’re looking towards those with race fitness and experience.

(8) Setanta for Maher’/Eustace has not shown a lot in his previous starts but has had some early support coming in from $4.50 to $3.50. He has had 2 starts on Soft conditions with no places.

(4) Bondi Beau is fourth up for the Price/Kent yard and comes here after an improved showing last start placing second at this track over the 1200 metres. That day he closed well to get the silver medal after sitting seventh in running. The outside draw is not ideal, but he should be at peak fitness now, and with Yendall staying on board, happy to make him the top selection.

Tip: (4) Bondi Beau $3.00 (Sportsbet)

Race 4

Westvic Waste & Recycling Mdn (1100m)
4:10pm (AEDT)

Race 4

Westvic Waste & Recycling Mdn (1100m)
4:10pm (AEDT)

1. As I Please (11) J: Melissa Julius (59.5kg) T: Symon Wilde 998.58.58.510
2. Bitaequi (6) J: Lewis German (59.5kg) T: R J Besanko 343135342646
3. Tarakan (7) J: Dean Yendall (59.5kg) T: M J Mckenzie 212626.5262130
4. Artie Parelli (10) J: Daniel Moor (58kg) T: J Warren & D Krongold 202020.5182327
5. Master Bartholdi (3) J: Craig Newitt (58kg) T: M Price & M Kent Jnr 3.43.23.153.53.23.75
6. Rubiland (9) J: Damien Thornton (58kg) T: Daniel Bowman 9.5109.991011
7. Catch The Drift (8) J: Dean Holland (57.5kg) T: Ms J Smith 514153514180
8. Five Spins (15) J: Jordan Childs (57.5kg) T: C W Mcdonald
9. Shiny Penny (2) J: Will Price (57.5kg) T: Q J Scott 343143413155
10. Silkstream (1) J: Jack Hill (57.5kg) T: Neville Wilson 91101131101126170
11. Anrushka (5) J: Jeffrey Maund (56kg) T: R V Nicholson 6.577.5777.8
12. Laranjo (12) J: Ms Tatum Bull (56kg) T: P A Preusker
13. Laststrikeyourout (4) J: Michael Poy (56kg) T: P A Banks 81101121101126140
14. Respect The Wind (14) J: Declan Bates (56kg) T: L Smith 3.13.32.9533.23.5
15. Mookatomique (13) J: Unknown (57.5kg) T: M Woodhouse 251151321301151930

Odds Last Updated: January 1, 2021, 12:52am (AEDT)

Pretty keen to bank on a race-to-race double here for the Price/Kent yard with (5) Master Bartholdi. We’ve had him on top a couple times now for place results, and he is starting to get costly, but his overall form simply looks good enough to be winning. His last 3 starts has netted 3 place results. Craig Newitt stays in the saddle – and from a nice inside gate, he should jump and either lead or sit behind one of the outside runners placing him one-back along the fence. Outside the top selection it is a dart job with some pretty good prices on offer.

(3) Tarakan can continue to improve while (11) Anrushka has shown a little in the jump outs.

(2) Bitaequi is the one at the odds.

Tip: (5) Master Bartholdi $3.00 (TAB)

Race 5

Sungold Milk Vale Hammond-Bm70 (1100m)
4:50pm (AEDT)

Race 5

Sungold Milk Vale Hammond-Bm70 (1100m)
4:50pm (AEDT)

1. Humzz (5) J: Jordan Childs (62kg) T: Jamie Edwards 7.588.187.59.2
2. Seven Castles (2) J: Ms Laura Lafferty (62kg) T: L Smith 4.84.854.85.55.7
3. Irish Butterfly (6) J: Damien Thornton (58kg) T: Henry Dwyer 3.43.43.43.43.53.7
4. Glass Ceiling (1) J: Billy Egan (57.5kg) T: Patrick Payne 111411.8121214.5
5. Substantial (3) J: Craig Newitt (57.5kg) T: Aaron Purcell 131313.4131116.5
6. Lowanna Magic (8) J: Declan Bates (56.5kg) T: P A Preusker 54.84.74.655.8
7. The Wild One (4) J: Jacob Opperman (56.5kg) T: G A Thornton 5.565.9667
8. Emperor's Chariot (7) J: Michael Poy (56kg) T: R J Besanko 81101111101101150
9. Deforce (9) J: Jeffrey Maund (56kg) T: R V Nicholson 151151161151126280

Odds Last Updated: January 1, 2021, 12:52am (AEDT)

The bm70 over 1100 metres brings together a few quality horses. (1) Humzz has been racing above this grade and placed sixth behind Sword Of Mercy last start in a bm78 race. Has some second-up form, likes this distance range, and goes well on Soft conditions. He draws outside of the leaders so will need to drop back in behind and look for the outside lanes.

(2) Seven Castles is the main one in contention after 13 starts for 4 wins and 3 places. Has already won in this grade – he is a consistent galloper who has the services of Laura Lafferty (including a claim). From the inside draw he should be able to lead them around, and look for Laura to make every post a winner. If they’re not winning from the front, than reassess his chances.

Tip: (2) Seven Castles $3.30 (Sportsbet)

Also backing: (1) Humzz $6.00 (Sportsbet)

Race 6

Cassign (Bm64) (1700m)
5:30pm (AEDT)

Race 6

Cassign (Bm64) (1700m)
5:30pm (AEDT)

1. Sailors Falls (8) J: Unknown (61.5kg) T: N A Blackiston
2. Court Deep (10) J: John Allen (60.5kg) T: C Maher & D Eustace
3. Dyagilev (9) J: Jeffrey Maund (60kg) T: R V Nicholson 171716.8171722
4. Capital Zous (2) J: Declan Bates (59kg) T: L Smith 3.743.8543.84.3
5. Aurora's Symphony (7) J: Dean Holland (58.5kg) T: Symon Wilde 43.73.743.54.7
6. Timor Gold (3) J: Melissa Julius (57.5kg) T: Ms J Baker
7. Bossy Britches (6) J: Jacob Opperman (56.5kg) T: M A O'leary 161918171620
8. Horse For Higher (4) J: Michael Poy (56kg) T: Dan O'sullivan 76.57.1778
9. Trenchant (5) J: Jordan Childs (56kg) T: G Withers 3.23.33.33.23.43.55
10. Solaazem (1) J: Dean Yendall (56kg) T: Robert Schultz 141314.6141316.5

Odds Last Updated: January 1, 2021, 12:52am (AEDT)

Race 7

Macs Hotel Woodford Cup-Bm84 (1700m)
6:05pm (AEDT)

Race 7

Macs Hotel Woodford Cup-Bm84 (1700m)
6:05pm (AEDT)

1. Black Sail (12) J: John Allen (61kg) T: C Maher & D Eustace 3.743.73.83.84.2
2. Double Bluff (10) J: Will Price (57.5kg) T: Aaron Purcell 126101201201101440
3. Salon Du Cheval (1) J: Ms Laura Lafferty (57.5kg) T: L Smith 9.51110.291011
4. Mr Reckless (8) J: Jack Hill (57kg) T: R D Daniel
5. Fanciful Toff (2) J: Michael Poy (56.5kg) T: C Maher & D Eustace 7.57.57.6888.6
6. Connery (6) J: Jordan Childs (56kg) T: Archie Alexander 131112.2121114.5
7. Rudimental (3) J: Damien Thornton (56kg) T: M Ellerton & S Zahra 161516.4151618.5
8. Buena Veloz (4) J: Dean Holland (56kg) T: Archie Alexander 273130313136
9. Patch Adams (9) J: Craig Newitt (56kg) T: Aaron Purcell 161816.2171820
10. Miss Damita (5) J: Dean Yendall (56kg) T: M Price & M Kent Jnr 2.92.82.9532.93.35
11. Hostar (11) J: Declan Bates (56kg) T: P A Chow 131211.8131215.5
12. Into Rio (7) J: Daniel Moor (56kg) T: M Ellerton & S Zahra

Odds Last Updated: January 1, 2021, 12:52am (AEDT)

Race 8

Neds Same Race Multi (Bm64) (1400m)
6:40pm (AEDT)

Race 8

Neds Same Race Multi (Bm64) (1400m)
6:40pm (AEDT)

1. Forgotten Jewel (13) J: Ms Laura Lafferty (63kg) T: L Smith 8.588.68.58.59.6
2. Upswing (2) J: Billy Egan (62kg) T: Patrick Payne 151616.2151617
3. Fabian's Spirit (1) J: Jack Hill (61.5kg) T: D F Daffy 353435343450
4. Rebellious Lord (17) J: Melissa Julius (61kg) T: M J O'donnell 232022231930
5. El Guerrouj (10) J: Daniel Moor (59.5kg) T: T Busuttin & N Young 272123262132
6. St Joeys (8) J: Dean Yendall (59.5kg) T: M J Williams 65.55.365.56.8
7. Tea Tales (12) J: Dean Holland (59.5kg) T: P W Mckenna 161918.2151819
8. Foxy's Star (15) J: Jacob Opperman (59kg) T: M J Williams 464145515170
9. Glassey Miss (7) J: Damien Thornton (59kg) T: Symon Wilde 3.43.63.63.53.73.65
10. Aeecee Diamond (5) J: John Allen (58.5kg) T: L Smith 6.56.56.66.56.57.4
11. Star Jan (11) J: Declan Bates (58.5kg) T: Archie Alexander 211921.5211928
12. Regal Riffle (4) J: Craig Newitt (58kg) T: M Price & M Kent Jnr 263130312634
13. The Mood I'm In (14) J: Lewis German (58kg) T: V L Malady 191918.8181923
14. Predicated (19) J: Michael Poy (57.5kg) T: Peter Lafferty 161814.6171719.5
15. Stoney Vista (9) J: Jordan Childs (57kg) T: C W Mcdonald
16. Numerate (16) J: Unknown (56kg) T: Ms M Harry
17. Kednelly (18) J: Unknown (56kg) T: Simon Ryan
18. Wolf Whistle (3) J: Unknown (56kg) T: P A Preusker
19. Category Five (6) J: Unknown (62.5kg) T: C Maher & D Eustace

Odds Last Updated: January 1, 2021, 12:52am (AEDT)

This is an open race with some good odds on offer. I am unconvinced of the two joint favorites currently in the market, (6) St Joeys and (9) Glassey Miss. St Joeys looks to be unders despite 1 win from 1 start at this track. He had been racing in this grade last preparation with little success. Can’t understand why he is competing for favouritism. Glassey Miss admittedly looks more likely, with 3 wins from 9 starts overall. All three wins have been on Soft conditions and she has already won in this grade. This is a slight drop back from how she finished last preparation. Coming from the Wilde stable we can expect a little bit of polish.

One of the runners at odds is (2) Upswing who also has 3 wins – and also 3 places from 11 starts overall. The Patrick Payne runner gets Billy Eagan’s services (predictably) and from this inside gate should fund a cozy spot behind the leaders two pairs back. First-up he is 2 from 4, and all 3 wins have been on Soft conditions. Last preparation he started his campaign in a bm78 grade race before competing (and placing) in bm70 races. This is a drop down in class and considering you’re getting $19.00 he looks like a great each-way play.

The chances do not end there – (10) Aeecee Diamond can run well.

Tip: (2) Upswing $19.00 each-way (Sportsbet)

Also backing: (9) Glassey Miss $4.60 (TAB)

The Horse found the thought of placing bets and drinking beers much more appealing once he was married, and that led to an interest in the many intricacies of The Great Game. He enjoys the challenge of predicting what will happen in any given race, but also loves horses themselves, none more so than the mighty mudlark Jungle Edge. His focus lies on metropolitan racing in Victoria and NSW, however isn’t afraid to find one out wide. Away from racing, The Horse is an avid drummer – quite a difficult task with a set of hooves.

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