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Warwick Farm Racing Tips: Wednesday, January 12th

Billy Bestford previews every race on the card today at Warwick Farm.

WarwickFarmRacecourse

Midweek racing once again heads to Warwick Farm for a good seven race card.

The track is currently rated a heavy 8 with the rail in the following position: +5m 1000m-W/Post; +3m Remainder. There is a bit of rain forecast so I doubt we are racing on a dry track today.

Billy Bestford is back to preview every race today with his best bet coming up in Race 3.

TAB Sky Racing

206922

Race 1

Harry Angel 1St Yearlings Mdn (1400m)
2:20pm (AEDT)

Race 1

Harry Angel 1St Yearlings Mdn (1400m)
2:20pm (AEDT)

1. Bandolero (8) J: Jean Van Overmeire (59kg) T: T & P Vigouroux
415153
2. Disorderly (7) J: Jason Collett (59kg) T: C J Waller
191820.5
3. Publicist (9) J: Tim Clark (59kg) T: G Waterhouse & A Bott
1.61.61.64
4. Indifference (10) J: Ms Rachel King (58.5kg) T: James Cummings
7.57.56.7
5. My Turn Astern (11) J: Ms Kathy O'hara (58kg) T: Annabel Neasham
6. Russian Ruble (4) J: Sam Clipperton (58kg) T: R J Quinton
66.55.4
7. Tidal Creek (6) J: Lee Magorrian (58kg) T: C J Waller
8. Densaur (5) J: Brock Ryan (57kg) T: Ms T Bateup
151516.2
9. Montenegro (2) J: Kerrin Mcevoy (57kg) T: C J Waller
141314.8
10. Lo Lo Lonhro (3) J: Tom Sherry (56.5kg) T: C J Waller
262630
11. West Elk (1) J: Tyler Schiller (55.5kg) T: Mick Attard
615163

Odds Last Updated: January 12, 2022, 2:22pm (AEDT)

(3) Publicist was solid when resuming having his first start since being gelded. Should take a stack of improvement out of that and no doubt he’ll enjoy getting out to 1400m for the first time.

(7) Tidal Creek was okay on debut when finishing 6th. That was off the back of a solid trial and while this is tougher, he will only improve here having 2nd start today.

(6) Russian Ruble has been up for a while this prep but is building nicely and a win looks very close. Beaten less than a length in two of his last three and should be forward in the run.

(4) Indifference next best and will be a better horse with the debut under the belt.

Tip: (3) Publicist - $2.40 at Neds

Betting Strategy: 1u WIN Publicist

206922

Race 2

Vinery Mdn Hcp (1400m)
2:55pm (AEDT)

Race 2

Vinery Mdn Hcp (1400m)
2:55pm (AEDT)

1. Chenin (2) J: Joshua Parr (59kg) T: Mark Newnham
7.57.57
2. Pretes (5) J: Lee Magorrian (59kg) T: C J Waller
10109.9
3. Pierro Calling (1) J: Brock Ryan (58.5kg) T: Joseph Pride
262625
4. Soprano (3) J: Tyler Schiller (58.5kg) T: G Ryan & S Alexiou
4.855.1
5. Bonloe (6) J: Jean Van Overmeire (58kg) T: T & P Vigouroux
126101121
6. Our Belle Fille (7) J: Jay Ford (58kg) T: Peter Robl
9.51010.2
7. Scat's Surfer Girl (8) J: Jason Collett (57.5kg) T: C J Waller
4.64.84.5
8. Decisive Move (11) J: Tim Clark (56.5kg) T: G Waterhouse & A Bott
4.64.44.2
9. Edgewise (10) J: Sam Clipperton (56.5kg) T: M J Dunn
181919.2
10. In De Summertime (9) J: Ms Rachel King (55.5kg) T: Keith Dryden
11. Starstruck Barbie (4) J: Tom Sherry (54.5kg) T: M C Conners
888.4

Odds Last Updated: January 12, 2022, 2:58pm (AEDT)

(6) Our Belle Fille was impressive resuming behind a smart winner. Ran well above the market expectation there and that was first run for four months. Added fitness now and the rise to 1400m will suit.

(1) Chenin has had six trials throughout this year and finally debuts today. They’ve thrown the blinkers on straight away and some of her work has looked handy enough to think she can win here.

(4) Soprano ran on well from the back first up and will take benefit from that run. Gets in nice and light compared to a few of these after the 3kg claim and expect he will be running on again.

Tip: (6) Our Belle Fille - $6.00 at Sportsbet

Betting Strategy: No Bet

206922

Race 3

Stud&Stable Staff Awards-Bm72 (1000m)
3:30pm (AEDT)

Race 3

Stud&Stable Staff Awards-Bm72 (1000m)
3:30pm (AEDT)

1. De Grawin (4) J: Ms Rachel King (61.5kg) T: Joseph Pride
3.13.13.1
2. Sixgun (5) J: Tom Sherry (60kg) T: Mark Newnham
6.56.55.6
3. Duchess (3) J: Tyler Schiller (58.5kg) T: R & M Freedman
776.5
4. Invincible Kiss (6) J: Reece Jones (58.5kg) T: Wayne Seelin
212121.5
5. Rupertaar (1) J: Ms Jenny Duggan (57kg) T: Bjorn Baker
3.133.1
6. Pindarra's Dream (2) J: Brock Ryan (54kg) T: Ms T Bateup
201720.5
7. Retiro (9) J: Ms Alysha Collett (54kg) T: G Portelli
161815.2
8. Amungee (8) J: Ms Kathy O'hara (54kg) T: M J Dunn
171819.2
9. Miss Anticipation (7) J: Jean Van Overmeire (54kg) T: R T Leemon
918195

Odds Last Updated: January 12, 2022, 3:32pm (AEDT)

(1) De Grawin went very close to beating the smart Dragonstone first up off a long break, when that horse ran her down in the shadows of the post. She’s much better suited with rain affected ground and her 2nd up record is good. Back in grade for this and a repeat of the first up run would see her extremely hard to beat.

(2) Sixgun is resuming and goes very well first up. Enjoys the sting out of the ground and has been competitive in much better races than this.

(5) Rupertaar looks the X factor in the race, having just had the four starts for three wins. Won two on the bounce in very impressive fashion and this looks the next logical step up in grade.

(3) Duchess has trialled nicely leading into this fresh run, gets a nice claim and has a very good record over this 1000m dash.

Tip: (1) De Grawin - $3.40 at Bet365

Betting Strategy: 1.5u WIN De Grawin

206922

Race 4

Keeneland (Bm72) (1600m)
4:05pm (AEDT)

Race 4

Keeneland (Bm72) (1600m)
4:05pm (AEDT)

1. Fleetwood Maca (9) J: Reece Jones (60kg) T: Annabel Neasham
2. Travest (6) J: Tyler Schiller (60kg) T: G D Hickman
3.63.73.6
3. Prince Of Arragon (8) J: Keagan Latham (59.5kg) T: John Thompson
9.51111
4. So Sneeky (1) J: Ms Kathy O'hara (59kg) T: Ms A Turner
4.854.55
5. Snitzonfire (4) J: Tim Clark (58.5kg) T: G Waterhouse & A Bott
6. Majella (7) J: Kerrin Mcevoy (58kg) T: Matthew Smith
7. Jungle Book (5) J: Jason Collett (57.5kg) T: Clare Cunningham
3.94.24.1
8. White Boots (10) J: Tom Sherry (56.5kg) T: Ms K Waugh
10109.7
9. Real Peace (3) J: Brock Ryan (56kg) T: C E Conners
998.4
10. Sonic Tycoon (2) J: Ms Rachel King (56kg) T: Brad Widdup
87.57.9
11. Spaltet (11) J: Ms Alysha Collett (56kg) T: Annabel Neasham

Odds Last Updated: January 12, 2022, 4:07pm (AEDT)

(7) Jungle Book will appreciate getting back to his favoured Warwick Farm track and looks ready to peak now 3rd up. Likes it wet and should see a really nice run from barrier 5.

(2) Travest had a few excuses last start in a tougher race than this and will carry the same weight today following a claim. Forgive last start and on best form he looks a massive winning chance.

(4) So Sneeky is 3/3 over the mile and looked impressive winning last start at Goulburn. Gets a crack in stronger grade now but looks to have come back in good order.

 

Tip: (7) Jungle Book - $7.00 at TAB

Betting Strategy: 0.5u WIN Jungle Book

206922

Race 5

Bowermans (Bm72) (1400m)
4:40pm (AEDT)

Race 5

Bowermans (Bm72) (1400m)
4:40pm (AEDT)

1. Trajection (10) J: Tyler Schiller (62kg) T: Ms K Waugh
343435
2. Icecrusher (6) J: Ms Alysha Collett (59.5kg) T: Brad Widdup
101010.2
3. Nikau (2) J: Kerrin Mcevoy (59kg) T: James Cummings
4.24.64.35
4. Bowery Breeze (9) J: Ms Kathy O'hara (58.5kg) T: P & M Cave
5. Bright Rubick (1) J: Reece Jones (58kg) T: John W Ramsey
6. Zoumist (3) J: Keagan Latham (58kg) T: R & M Freedman
7. O'tartan Lass (11) J: Ms Jenny Duggan (57.5kg) T: Bjorn Baker
111112.2
8. Girls Are Ready (5) J: Christian Reith (57kg) T: J M Cleary
7.57.58.1
9. Atlantic Seas (7) J: Jason Collett (55.5kg) T: C J Waller
3.23.23.05
10. Borsalina (4) J: Brock Ryan (55.5kg) T: Mick Attard
181819.2
11. Mystic Rebel (8) J: Tom Sherry (55.5kg) T: Mark Newnham
4.243.85

Odds Last Updated: January 12, 2022, 4:42pm (AEDT)

(8) Girls Are Ready is a swimmer and was a winner at this track last prep. She was okay first up off a decent break but will take plenty of improvement from that and looks to get a nice setup today. If it’s a proper bog then she will be hard to beat.

(3) Nikau looked impressive 2nd up when winning at Newcastle. Might be the win she needed to get her going again and she could go on with it now this prep.

(9) Atlantic Seas has the most upside here but I’m just not sure how she’ll handle a wet track. Winner on debut on synthetic and beaten a long way in a strong race first up.

(11) Mystic Rebel looks the big improver.

Tip: (8) Girls Are Ready - $7.00 at Bet365

Also Backing: (3) Nikau - $4.40 at Sportsbet

Betting Strategy: 0.5u WIN Girls Are Ready, 0.5u Win Nikau

206922

Race 6

Xxxx (Bm72) (1400m)
5:15pm (AEDT)

Race 6

Xxxx (Bm72) (1400m)
5:15pm (AEDT)

1. Bergen (11) J: Jason Collett (61kg) T: G W Moore
2. Zell (5) J: Tyler Schiller (61kg) T: G Ryan & S Alexiou
8.598.3
3. Juventus (2) J: Joshua Parr (60.5kg) T: K A Lees
776.9
4. Naval Warfare (6) J: Ms Jenny Duggan (60.5kg) T: R T Leemon
91101101
5. Montserrat (1) J: Tom Sherry (60kg) T: Mark Newnham
8.598.8
6. Savoury (10) J: Reece Jones (60kg) T: Bjorn Baker
443.75
7. Fortified (8) J: Kerrin Mcevoy (59.5kg) T: C J Waller
111312.2
8. Americana Magic (9) J: Mitchell Bell (59kg) T: Grant Allard
181819.2
9. Absolute Trust (12) J: Christian Reith (55.5kg) T: Tim Mcintosh
10. Marnix (3) J: Ms Rachel King (55kg) T: Richard Litt
4.854.6
11. Nishikori (4) J: Sam Clipperton (55kg) T: M J Dunn
54.85.1
12. Eden Vale (7) J: Jay Ford (54kg) T: Mark De Montfort
101101131

Odds Last Updated: January 12, 2022, 5:17pm (AEDT)

(2) Zell will obviously need to improve but usually races best 3rd up and should be hard fit now. This is an easier race than the two he’s gone around in this prep and gets a big weight drop from his last start.

(11) Nishikori is a smart horse and has flashed talent in his short career. Thinking he may need the run first up but on his best form he can win this.

(10) Marnix will enjoy getting out to this trip now when running on well behind a couple of smart horses. Gets through the wet and should be right in the finish.

Tip: (2) Zell - $8.50 at Bet365

Betting Strategy: 0.25u WIN Zell

206922

Race 7

Tab (Bm72) (1200m)
5:50pm (AEDT)

Race 7

Tab (Bm72) (1200m)
5:50pm (AEDT)

1. I Am Vinnie (9) J: Rory Hutchings (63kg) T: David & Coral Feek
2. Off Shaw (7) J: Reece Jones (62.5kg) T: Bjorn Baker
3.643.7
3. Silent Agenda (3) J: Tyler Schiller (62kg) T: Joseph Pride
101210.8
4. Conceited (6) J: Ms Alysha Collett (60kg) T: Richard Litt
6.58.57.5
5. Rhythmic Pulse (2) J: Mitchell Bell (58.5kg) T: Grant Allard
6. Lepreezy (10) J: Kerrin Mcevoy (58kg) T: Annabel Neasham
7. In Lighten Me (5) J: Keagan Latham (57.5kg) T: G Ryan & S Alexiou
6.576.4
8. Zouologist (8) J: Jean Van Overmeire (57.5kg) T: T & P Vigouroux
777
9. Ocean Emperor (4) J: Jason Collett (57kg) T: Bjorn Baker
10. General Dubai (1) J: Sam Clipperton (56.5kg) T: Peter Robl
5.555.2
11. Pick The Score (12) J: Brock Ryan (55.5kg) T: C E Conners
655.4
12. Any Wish (11) J: Jay Ford (54kg) T: Lee & Cherie Curtis
312630

Odds Last Updated: January 12, 2022, 5:52pm (AEDT)

(6) Lepreezy looks ready to win now 4th up and having 3rd start down in Sydney for the new stable. Beat home some smart horses last start and I think she only needs to take natural improvement from that to be competitive here. Will be forward in running and has a good fitness edge on a few key rivals here.

(4) Conceited is having first start for new stable since leaving Godolphin and has shown glimpses of ability. Only career win came first up and has trialled nicely leading into this.

(2) Off Shaw loves the sting out and is a good fresh horse. Might want further but could get away with this.

Tip: (6) Lepreezy - $5.00 at Ladbrokes

Betting Strategy: 1u WIN Lepreezy

Billy has been an avid racing fan ever since he and a few mates started a punters club once they turned 18. Following the initial punters clubs, he was properly hooked after landing a nice collect on Admire Rakti in the 2014 Caulfield Cup and has had a soft spot for Japanese horses ever since. Is a massive fan of 'blinkers first time' and has been known to enjoy a 'Hail Mary' multi. Loves punting across metro Sydney and Melbourne every Saturday but isn't scared to venture West late in the day to find a Pikey special.

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