Racing Tips

Warwick Farm Racing Tips: Wednesday, January 26th

Billy Bestford previews every race on a cracking Public Holday card at Warwick Farm.

by
Billy Bestford
25 January 2022

It’s Australia Day which means we are treated to a cracking day of racing at Warwick Farm this Wednesday. There’s eight races on the card highlighted by the Australia Day Cup in race 7.

The track is currently rated a Soft 6 with the rail in the true position.

Billy Bestford previews every race on the card.

Best Bet: Race 1 – (2) Mars Mission

Best Value: Race 6 – (12) Nishikori

Race 1

Xxxx Mdn Plate (1100m)
1:40pm (AEDT)

Race 1 Xxxx Mdn Plate (1100m) 1:40pm (AEDT)
1. Baranof (2) J: Nash Rawiller (57kg) T: John Thompson	6	9	7.8
2. Mars Mission (8) J: Tommy Berry (57kg) T: M, W & J Hawkes	1.85	2.1	2.1
3. Solvere (10) J: Jason Collett (57kg) T: Anthony Cummings
4. Amathuba (11) J: Keagan Latham (55kg) T: R & M Freedman
5. Beau Monde (1) J: Jay Ford (55kg) T: Lee & Cherie Curtis	21	51	32
6. Diamond Blush (3) J: Glyn Schofield (55kg) T: A J Cummings	26	21	21.5
7. Have Mercy (7) J: James Mcdonald (55kg) T: Edward Cummings	9.5	16	17.2
8. Mad Darcey (6) J: Sam Clipperton (55kg) T: M J Dunn	21	41	30
9. My Eloise (5) J: Ms Rachel King (55kg) T: Joseph Pride	7	6.5	6.5
10. Shades Of Rose (4) J: Tim Clark (55kg) T: Bjorn Baker
11. Tapis Magique (9) J: Tom Sherry (55kg) T: David Payne	11	21	18.2

The trials of (2) Mars Mission leading into this have been as good as you’ll see and I’m looking forward to seeing him back at the track. Having first run in Sydney following a debut in Melbourne when running 3rd and should be ready to break through this prep.

(10) Shades Of Rose has won two recent trials leading into this debut run and has bolted in both of them. Tim Clark takes over from a nice low draw and expecting this horse won’t remain a maiden for long.

(4) Amathuba has some decent form around her first prep and looks the next best.

Tip: (2) Mars Mission - $2.25 at TAB

Betting Strategy: 2u WIN Mars Mission

Race 2

Drinkwise Mdn Plate (1400m)
2:15pm (AEDT)

Race 2 Drinkwise Mdn Plate (1400m) 2:15pm (AEDT)
1. Stormy Legend (10) J: Kerrin Mcevoy (59kg) T: L J Bridge	14	14	11.4
2. Aton Of Delight (1) J: Hugh Bowman (57.5kg) T: C J Waller	6.5	10	9.8
3. Balzando (3) J: Chad Schofield (57.5kg) T: M, W & J Hawkes	7.5	7	6.2
4. I Am Good At This (9) J: Regan Bayliss (57.5kg) T: M J Dunn	31	21	21.5
5. My Turn Astern (11) J: Ms Rachel King (57.5kg) T: Annabel Neasham
6. Packer (8) J: Tyler Schiller (57.5kg) T: G D Hickman	16	26	18.4
7. Russian Ruble (5) J: Sam Clipperton (57.5kg) T: R J Quinton	2.7	2.5	2.5
8. Edgewise (6) J: Nash Rawiller (55.5kg) T: M J Dunn	8.5	6.5	6.6
9. Flying Shamus (7) J: Grant Buckley (55.5kg) T: Peter D Green	61	51	53
10. Galactic Angel (4) J: Jason Collett (55.5kg) T: A J Cummings	12	15	17.2
11. Soprano (2) J: Tommy Berry (55.5kg) T: G Ryan & S Alexiou	7	6	6.1

(7) Russian Ruble has been so good this prep without breaking through but today looks his day. Was extremely impressive behind Publicist last start when taking huge ground off that horse late to just miss. Would expect him to be primed and hard fit while barrier 5 gives him the opportunity to be a little closer in running. With even luck he looks hard to beat.

(11) Soprano looks ready to peak now 3rd up with a senior jockey booked for the ride. Was a bit unsuited how the race panned out last start but the fresh run was encouraging and I think she is ready to bounce back.

Same goes for (8) Edgewise who has been building nicely with two runs this prep. She maps for a nice run here and will be right in this.

Tip: (7) Russian Ruble - $2.70 at Sportsbet

Betting Strategy: 1u WIN Russian Ruble

Race 3

Harry Angel 1St Yearlings-Bm64 (1600m)
2:50pm (AEDT)

Race 3 Harry Angel 1St Yearlings-Bm64 (1600m) 2:50pm (AEDT)
1. Mihocek (7) J: Tyler Schiller (61kg) T: G Ryan & S Alexiou	8	7	6.5
2. Tuhinga (2) J: James Mcdonald (60kg) T: C J Waller	3.6	3.5	3.4
3. Bon Vivant (6) J: Hugh Bowman (59kg) T: James Cummings	5.5	6	5.8
4. Danish Prince (4) J: Joshua Parr (58.5kg) T: M C Conners	8.5	8.5	9.1
5. Decisive Move (5) J: Tim Clark (58.5kg) T: G Waterhouse & A Bott	4.8	4.8	4.55
6. Ausbred Flirt (3) J: Ms Alysha Collett (56.5kg) T: Brad Widdup
7. Scat's Surfer Girl (1) J: Tommy Berry (55kg) T: C J Waller	4.2	5.5	5.4
8. Wilderness Star (8) J: Sam Clipperton (54.5kg) T: Jay Hopkins

(3) Bon Vivant was good last start when being beaten less than a length on a wet Wyong rack. That was off an eight week break so he will take plenty out of that run and will be suited getting onto dry ground. Rise to the mile is a tick and he’s ready to win.

(5) Decisive Move was well backed last start before finding the front and never looking in much danger of losing. No doubt they’ll look to do the same here again and just needs to run a strong mile.

(2) Tuhinga is only lightly raced and looked very impressive win maiden last start. Capable of running some quick late sectionals and no doubt Jmac will give him a gun ride from gate 2.

Tip: (3) Bon Vivant - $6.00 at TopSport

Betting Strategy: 0.5u WIN Bon Vivant

Race 4

Vinery (Bm72) (1000m)
3:25pm (AEDT)

Race 4 Vinery (Bm72) (1000m) 3:25pm (AEDT)
1. Sixgun (6) J: Tom Sherry (60kg) T: Mark Newnham	4.4	3.7	3.4
2. Duchess (2) J: Tim Clark (58.5kg) T: R & M Freedman
3. Star Cherie (1) J: Tyler Schiller (58kg) T: G Ryan & S Alexiou	4.5	4.8	4.85
4. The Unknown Factor (7) J: (57kg) T: Gratz Vella
5. Look Only (5) J: Ms Jenny Duggan (56kg) T: F Azzopardi	15	13	13.2
6. Esteemed Lady (8) J: Keagan Latham (55kg) T: Ms G Markwell	14	14	12.6
7. Fire (3) J: Tommy Berry (54.5kg) T: M, W & J Hawkes
8. Pindarra's Dream (4) J: Ms Jess Taylor (54kg) T: Ms T Bateup	18	21	20.5

Good little race this with a few key chances.

I’m leaning towards (3) Star Cherie and going to give her another chance following the first up flop as favourite. She was a trial star leading into that run and I got sucked in by that however she did have excuses first up. This is probably a bit easier and back to 1000m is her go.

(7) Fire has some handy form around him and looks a progressive sort of horse. He’ll be forward from barrier 3 and could take the next step this prep. 1000m maybe too sharp?

It was nice return from (1) Sixgun who let down well to finish nicely behind De Grawin first up. Good claim here and we know on best for he is good enough to win this.

(5) Look Only looks a decent roughie chance and ran well above her price last start when 2nd to Forzanini. Gets right down in the weights and can run a hole.

Tip: (3) Star Cherie - $4.85 at BoomBet

Value: (5) Look Only - $13 at Sportsbet

Betting Strategy: 1u WIN Star Cherie, 0.25u WIN Look Only

Race 5

Buy Better At Inglis (Bm72) (1400m)
4:00pm (AEDT)

Race 5 Buy Better At Inglis (Bm72) (1400m) 4:00pm (AEDT)
1. Miss Redoble (10) J: Ms Madi Derrick (59.5kg) T: T J Bartley	31	31	22
2. In Lighten Me (2) J: Keagan Latham (59kg) T: G Ryan & S Alexiou	26	21	16.8
3. Molly Nails (7) J: Jason Collett (58.5kg) T: Matthew Dale	2.3	3.2	3
4. Bright Rubick (5) J: Reece Jones (58kg) T: John W Ramsey	8	12	10
5. Crackalacka (3) J: Ms Jess Taylor (58kg) T: Ms T Bateup	13	9	9.1
6. Duchess Adele (9) J: Sam Clipperton (57.5kg) T: M J Dunn	31	20	17.8
7. O'tartan Lass (4) J: Nash Rawiller (57kg) T: Bjorn Baker	18	11	10.6
8. Zoo Station (11) J: Anthony Cavallo (57kg) T: Ms G Williams	7.5	4.8	5.1
9. Confessed (6) J: Hugh Bowman (56.5kg) T: K A Lees	4.6	4.2	4.4
10. Any Wish (8) J: Jay Ford (55.5kg) T: Lee & Cherie Curtis	31	21	18.6
11. Decisive Move (1) J: Tim Clark (55kg) T: G Waterhouse & A Bott
12. The Long Run (12) J: Ms Ashleigh Stanley (54kg) T: Peter W Stanley	67	34	36

(3) Molly Nails returned to the track with a narrow win however she and the 2nd horse absolutely gapped the rest of them – both horses broke the track record. It was a tough effort considering she was coming off a decent break and should only improve with that run under her belt. She’s building a very handy record and knows how to find the line while her 2nd up record is very good. Has been a winner over 1400m and she’s on the up.

(5) Crackalacka gets her chance in town following three straight wins at the provinicials. She’s clearly flying and looks ready to rise to 1400m now following three runs over 1200.

(9) Confessed is another who is airborne this prep and charged through late to win well last start. Has been a winner 3rd up previously and maps for every favour today.

Tip: (3) Molly Nails - $3.30 at Neds

Betting Strategy: 1u WIN Molly Nails

Race 6

Tab (Bm72) (1400m)
4:40pm (AEDT)

Race 6 Tab (Bm72) (1400m) 4:40pm (AEDT)
1. Off Shaw (12) J: Reece Jones (62.5kg) T: Bjorn Baker	5	4.4	4.65
2. Silent Agenda (11) J: Tyler Schiller (62.5kg) T: Joseph Pride	12	11	9.8
3. Zell (1) J: Tom Sherry (61kg) T: G Ryan & S Alexiou	11	11	10
4. Naval Warfare (2) J: Ms Jenny Duggan (60.5kg) T: R T Leemon	126	67	65
5. Jailbreak (9) J: (60kg) T: Gayna Williams
6. Mccormack (4) J: Patrick Scorse (60kg) T: T J Bartley	12	14	14.2
7. Atlantic King (7) J: Nash Rawiller (58kg) T: M J Dunn	11	12	10.8
8. Metro Legend (8) J: Kerrin Mcevoy (58kg) T: Annabel Neasham
9. Overlord (3) J: Hugh Bowman (58kg) T: C J Waller	6.5	7	6.6
10. Marnix (5) J: Ms Rachel King (57.5kg) T: Richard Litt	3.7	4.8	4.85
11. Born A Warrior (10) J: Jean Van Overmeire (55kg) T: R J Quinton	6.5	16	12.4
12. Nishikori (6) J: Regan Bayliss (55kg) T: M J Dunn	21	12	12.2

(12) Nishikori was a tad disappointing first up but he started well in the market there and I’ve always thought he had a bit of ability. At double figures here I’m happy to take a chance he can improve in an open race and 2nd up is when he has done his best racing.

(8) Metro Legend was good first up and this looks no tougher. Will take improvement out of that run and is sure to be right in this.

(1) Off Shaw was very impressive first up and thought he was worth following off that. Out to 1400m now is ideal and he gets a good claim for Reece Jones.

(9) Overlord looks ready to do something now 3rd up.

Tip: (12) Nishikori - $12/$3.80 at Sportsbet

Betting Strategy: 0.25u/0.5u Nishikori

Race 7

Inglis Australia Day Cup (2400m)
5:20pm (AEDT)

Race 7 Inglis Australia Day Cup (2400m) 5:20pm (AEDT)
1. Attorney (1) J: Tom Sherry (59kg) T: Matthew Smith	8	8	7.3
2. Parry Sound (9) J: James Mcdonald (57.5kg) T: Bjorn Baker	4.2	3.9	3.8
3. South Pacific (4) J: Robbie Dolan (55kg) T: Richard Litt	21	31	22.5
4. Mubariz (6) J: Tommy Berry (54.5kg) T: C J Waller	4	3.4	3.3
5. Fun Fact (3) J: Kerrin Mcevoy (54kg) T: Bjorn Baker	4	9	7.8
6. Navy Cross (5) J: Tim Clark (54kg) T: G Waterhouse & A Bott	10	4.4	5.3
7. Skymax (8) J: Ms Rachel King (54kg) T: Mark Newnham	31	31	25.5
8. Kaapfever (10) J: Ms Alysha Collett (54kg) T: Joseph Pride	12	10	10
9. Not Negotiating (11) J: Ms Ashleigh Stanley (54kg) T: Peter W Stanley	151	67	73
10. Barellan Bandit (2) J: Grant Buckley (54kg) T: John W Ramsey	26	26	23.5
11. Power Of Attorney (7) J: Jay Ford (54kg) T: Peter Robl
12. Reposition (12) J: Reece Jones (54kg) T: G J Preston	151	101	111

(4) Mubariz looks ready to win now following a very good run over 2000m last start. Keen to see him get out to this trip for the first time and he is well overdue for another win. Absolutely gapped the 3rd horse in that last race and I think he sets up really well for this today.

No doubt (2) Parry Sound looks the main danger and will be right in the thick of things once again here. Has been racing well this prep and was tough all the way to the line last start up on the Gold Coast. You know he will run the trip.

(6) Navy Cross will lead them up as he usually does and no doubt will take some running down. He won that race Parry Sound comes out of and remains at the same weight for this.

I’d be shocked if the winner comes outside these three but (10) Barellan Bandit brings a differing sort of form line and is flying at the moment. Could sneak a placing.

Tip: (4) Mubariz - $3.80 at TAB

Betting Strategy: 1u WIN Mubariz

Race 8

Stud And Stable Awards (Bm72) (1200m)
6:00pm (AEDT)

Race 8 Stud And Stable Awards (Bm72) (1200m) 6:00pm (AEDT)
1. Dajraan (1) J: James Mcdonald (61kg) T: G Waterhouse & A Bott	1.6	3
2. Jailbreak (8) J: Anthony Cavallo (60kg) T: Ms G Williams	26	13.8
3. He's Super Lucky (3) J: Ms Cejay Graham (59.5kg) T: Ms A Turner	13	11.2
4. Head Legislator (10) J: Kerrin Mcevoy (59.5kg) T: M J Dunn	8.5	5.1
5. Miracle Day (6) J: Hugh Bowman (59.5kg) T: K A Lees	10	5.1
6. Able Willie (11) J: Nash Rawiller (59kg) T: Chris Waller
7. General Dubai (12) J: Sam Clipperton (58.5kg) T: Peter Robl	17	7.4
8. Land Of Valens (2) J: Tyler Schiller (57kg) T: G Ryan & S Alexiou
9. Embeller (4) J: Reece Jones (56.5kg) T: John Thompson	8	9.4
10. Unrelenting (5) J: Ms Kathy O'hara (56.5kg) T: G Portelli	34	11
11. Retiro (9) J: Ms Alysha Collett (54kg) T: G Portelli
12. Sifu (7) J: Ms Jess Taylor (54kg) T: Natalie Jarvis	91	25

(1) Dajraan creates a fair bit of interest here having first start in Australia since joing Gaibott from the UK. He’s won a trial and run 2nd to Silent Impact in another and has looked pretty smart doing so. Jmac has ridden him in both and sticks for the ride today. His form in the UK was pretty good and he will take some beating from the inside draw.

(9) Embeller can run well here at a price and looks to very close to another win. Won well fresh before bumping into a handy one last start. Gets a nice weight drop here and I think she maps for a lovely run.

(5) Miracle Day will appreciate getting back to 1200m where his record is very good. Is flying this prep and will be in the finish again.

(4) Head Legislator next best.

Tip: (1) Dajraan - $2.65 at BoomBet

Value: (9) Embeller - $14 at Sportsbet

Betting Strategy: 1.5u WIN Dajraan, 0.5u WIN Embeller

Billy Bestford

Billy has been an avid racing fan ever since he and a few mates started a punters club once they turned 18. Following the initial punters clubs, he was properly hooked after landing a nice collect on Admire Rakti in the 2014 Caulfield Cup and has had a soft spot for Japanese horses ever since. Is a massive fan of 'blinkers first time' and has been known to enjoy a 'Hail Mary' multi. Loves punting across metro Sydney and Melbourne every Saturday but isn't scared to venture West late in the day to find a Pikey special.