Connect with us

Racing Tips

Ascot Racing Tips: Wednesday, April 21st

Tim Geers provides his preview and betting tips for the nine-race card at Ascot in Perth on Wednesday afternoon.

ascot-racecourse

Midweek racing in Perth continues at Ascot this week, where we have a nine-race card set to kick off at 11.54am local time (AWST).

The track is rated a Good 4 for today’s racing and the rail is out in the 16m position with a cutaway in the straight.

Tim Geers has previewed every race on the card with his tips and betting strategy below!

Best Bet: Race 9 – (1) Lord Lonsdale

Best Value: Race 7 – (5) Reguardless

PlayUp

0

Race 1

Tabtouch Better Your Bet-Rs0ly (1200m)
1:54pm (AEDT)

Race 1

Tabtouch Better Your Bet-Rs0ly (1200m)
1:54pm (AEDT)

1. Dark Assault (6) J: Brad Rawiller (61kg) T: Roy Rogers
9.59.59.59.510.210
2. Son Son (3) J: Mitchell Pateman (60.5kg) T: A G Durrant
66.5666.46.5
3. First Law (2) J: William Pike (60kg) T: Simon Miller
2.72.72.52.452.152.6
4. Sheza Chalmer (1) J: Patrick Carbery (58.5kg) T: B A Miller
2.72.72.72.82.82.7
5. Critical Altitude (4) J: Brad Parnham (55.5kg) T: N D Parnham
55.56656
6. Justhandy (5) J: Ms Kyra Yuill (54kg) T: R C Mcpherson
313431313534

Going with the Simon Miller/William Pike combination here in the first. (3) First Law is a stakes-placed gelding who ran 2nd to Kissonallforcheeks before finishing 3rd in the Fairetha Stakes. Has trialled well ahead of his first up run today and Pike going on tells you plenty.

(4) Shezachalmer is a horse I love and it hurts me to take her on today. She was ultra-impressive two starts ago in a Class 1 at Bunbury before she started even money in town against the likes of First Law, who she meets again today. She was a bit flat that day so it was no surprise she was tipped out for a break. She resumes today and may well just be better than them, but I’m leaning the other way.

(2) Son Son is another with plenty of talent. He’s got two wins and two placings from his four starts. All of his runs have been over 1400m+ so first up at 1200m against a couple of sharp types may be the query, but he does get blinkers on for the first time.

Tip: (3) First Law $2.70 Ladbrokes

Betting Strategy: 1.5 units WIN First Law

0

Race 2

Amelia Park Lodge Mdn (1100m)
2:34pm (AEDT)

Race 2

Amelia Park Lodge Mdn (1100m)
2:34pm (AEDT)

1. Amelia's Belief (1) J: Craig Staples (57kg) T: Brian Rogers
2321212123.523
2. Rommel's Command (7) J: Mitchell Pateman (57kg) T: Martin Allan
2.42.52.452.452.52.5
3. Bigdayonit (10) J: Alan Kennedy (57kg) T: A W Maley
717171718381
4. Cheddar Bob (4) J: Laqdar Ramoly (57kg) T: N D Parnham
212121211523
5. Northern Ruler (6) J: Ms Kyra Yuill (57kg) T: Ms J Erkelens
554.44.44.14.8
6. Time To Burn (8) J: Jordan Turner (57kg) T: Martin Allan
2018191913.619
7. Written Exceed (3) J: Brad Rawiller (57kg) T: T M Andrews
6.56.56.575.26.5
8. Electric Rose (9) J: Brad Parnham (55kg) T: N D Parnham
5555.55.55
9. Silver Bugg (2) J: Ms Lucy Warwick (55kg) T: Ms S Bakranich
6.566.56.56.66.5
10. Wise Words (5) J: Joseph Azzopardi (55kg) T: D & B Pearce

Happy to sit out of this one.

Three of the top fancies all come out of the same trial, those being (2) Rommel’s Command, (5) Northern Ruler and (7) Written Exceed. Rommel’s Command narrowly won that but I wouldn’t be jumping into the $2.45 off that trial. Northern Ruler would probably be the one I’d want to be on out of the trial but there’s no real urge to be backing any of them.

(8) Electric Rose is the interesting one, on the quick back-up from last week where she was very ordinary. Prior to that she was very good on debut. Maybe it was the three weeks between runs that saw her race poorly, or maybe she’s not as good as I expected. We’ll see what today brings.

Tip: (5) Northern Ruler $5.00 Sportsbet

Betting Strategy: No Bet

0

Race 3

Crown Perth Mdn (1600m)
3:14pm (AEDT)

Race 3

Crown Perth Mdn (1600m)
3:14pm (AEDT)

1. Rag 'N' Boneman (3) J: Ms Jade Mcnaught (58kg) T: A F Beckett
818171716181
2. Dynamite Alf (2) J: Patrick Carbery (58kg) T: A D Mathews
10119.58.51111
3. Powerful Force (7) J: William Pike (57.5kg) T: G & A Williams
2.252.252.22.22.052.25
4. Mine Detector (8) J: Brad Parnham (57.5kg) T: N D Parnham
1515141412.815
5. Gee Force (9) J: Mitchell Pateman (57.5kg) T: J F Miller
88.58.59.57.28.5
6. Renegade Ruler (5) J: Ms Lucy Warwick (57.5kg) T: Kieran Mcdonagh
121111131011
7. Hezapro (1) J: Keshaw Dhurun (57.5kg) T: M Santich
201201151151221251
8. Denzoe (4) J: Jordan Turner (55.5kg) T: A W Maley
2121212123.523
9. Piccola Signora (11) J: Laqdar Ramoly (55.5kg) T: N D Parnham
5555.54.75
10. Coralita (6) J: Ms Beaux Banovic-Edwards (55.5kg) T: F R Kersley
5.55.55.566.15.5
11. Mia Nobile (10) J: Ryan Hill (55.5kg) T: G N Davies
414141413541

What a low race this is.

(3) Powerful Force almost goes on top by default, because there’s just nothing else. he’s placed in his past three starts and was reasonable behind Allmamoney last start, which would be good enough to win this, but he’s had his chances. He hasn’t exactly looked to be bursting to win a race, so you’d be a brave man to be jumping into $2.25.

(5) Gee Force and (9) Piccola Signora come out of the same race, where they ran 2nd and 3rd. Piccola was the better run but will be coming from a long way back again today.

(10) Coralita ran 3rd on debut in a small field at Pinjarra. It was a terrible race so hard to be confident in that form.

Tip: (3) Powerful Force $2.25 Bet365

Betting Strategy: No Bet

0

Race 4

Events At Ascot Hcp (C3) (1000m)
3:49pm (AEDT)

Race 4

Events At Ascot Hcp (C3) (1000m)
3:49pm (AEDT)

1. Noble Reflection (6) J: Patrick Carbery (60kg) T: Simon Miller
5.55554.85
2. Nurhaci (5) J: Keshaw Dhurun (60kg) T: A G Durrant
3. Island Charm (7) J: Brad Rawiller (59.5kg) T: Roy Rogers
2.932.92.93.053
4. Sunnysilk (4) J: William Pike (59kg) T: D R Harrison
2.42.42.42.42.42.4
5. Classic Chant (2) J: Chris Nicoll (58.5kg) T: Gavin Foster
262626262126
6. Jag The Joker (3) J: Alan Kennedy (57.5kg) T: A W Maley
9.59.59.59.58.79.5
7. Smart Princess (8) J: Laqdar Ramoly (57.5kg) T: J P Taylor
1313131310.213
8. Solarize (1) J: Ms Beaux Banovic-Edwards (57kg) T: Brett Drury
121212128.812

Always hard to know how a horse first up from a 34-week spell without a public trial is going to go, but pretty keen on (4) Sunnysilk here. If she turns up in her best form, she should be going very close to winning this, and she finds a very suitable race. She’s only missed a place once from her seven starts. Pike goes on for trainer David Harrison today which is obviously a positive sign.

(3) Island Charm would give this a big shake if he produced the form that saw him beat the likes of Iseered Iseered and Gemma’s Son, but he’s struggled in his past few starts now.

(1) Noble Reflection has placed in both starts this prep and drops back to 1000m now.

(5) Classic Chant can race well fresh so is a smokey at big odds.

Tip: (4) Sunnysilk $2.50 Bet365

Betting Strategy: 2 units WIN Sunnysilk

0

Race 5

Furphy Hcp (C3) (1800m)
4:24pm (AEDT)

Race 5

Furphy Hcp (C3) (1800m)
4:24pm (AEDT)

1. Gifted Warrior (4) J: Ms Jade Mcnaught (60kg) T: D M Luciani
99887.19
2. Completed (6) J: Patrick Carbery (58.5kg) T: J G Pike
2121212626.523
3. Treat Yo Self (5) J: William Pike (58.5kg) T: A G Durrant
2.252.252.22.252.22.2
4. Designer Prince (7) J: Ms Kyra Yuill (57kg) T: B Monteleone
99.59.59.59.69.5
5. Reciting (3) J: Jordan Turner (57kg) T: C H Webster
3.73.73.43.33.753.7
6. Altamont (8) J: Keshaw Dhurun (56kg) T: N D Parnham
1717182017.818
7. Artie's Jewels (1) J: Joseph Azzopardi (56kg) T: Ms K Kersley
151515171215
8. Reveuse (2) J: Brad Parnham (56kg) T: S V Vahala
77776.77

(3) Treat Yo Self goes on top after a very narrow defeat first up at Bunbury, where she just got outbobbed. She’s now run 2nd in her past four starts, which is some cause for concern but she gets absolutely every chance again today to win another one. Pike sticks on, she’ll relish the extra 1000m and should strip fitter.

Who knows what we’ll see from (5) Reciting. She bolted in when stepping up to the mile two starts ago, putting 5L on her rivals. They then put her straight up to 2400m for the Oaks, where she ran 7th. Has had three weeks since that run and drops back to 1800m. It’s an odd prep but she could come out and win easily, or she could race flat off that Oaks run. Hard to know.

(2) Completed is one to throw in at big odds. He was only beaten just over a length last start and comes into this third up from a spell, which is when he won his only race.

Tip: (3) Treat Yo Self $2.25 Bluebet

Betting Strategy: 1.5 units WIN Treat Yo Self, 0.25 units WIN Completed

0

Race 6

Western Racepix Hcp (C1) (1400m)
4:59pm (AEDT)

Race 6

Western Racepix Hcp (C1) (1400m)
4:59pm (AEDT)

1. Hinchinmose (4) J: Ms Kristy Bennett (60kg) T: C G Willis
465141415351
2. Scorpion Stormz (5) J: Laqdar Ramoly (60kg) T: Joshua Krispyn
6.56.56.577.16.5
3. Tradem' In (2) J: Ms Kyra Yuill (59.5kg) T: T R Harvey
2.72.72.62.62.552.7
4. New Amsterdam (6) J: Brad Rawiller (59kg) T: A G Durrant
665.566.15.5
5. Doowahdiddy (8) J: Mitchell Pateman (58.5kg) T: Martin Allan
5.55.54.84.84.85
6. Black Lightning (3) J: William Pike (58kg) T: D & B Pearce
7.57.57.57.57.47.5
7. Rock This Country (1) J: Ms Jade Mcnaught (58kg) T: Robyn Cottman
5.55.55.55.54.455.5
8. Brekky With A Bang (7) J: Ms Simone Altieri (57.5kg) T: L P Luciani
9. Merivale Magic (9) J: Ms Madi Derrick (54kg) T: B H Hyde
2120192121.519

Backing two with confidence here.

(3) Tradem’ In was a good run first up at Bunbury when coming from back in the field on the rail to hit the line well in 3rd, beaten a length. It’s not easy to make ground at Bunbury, so her run was full of merit. Back on her home deck today, she looks very hard to beat in this field.

(7) Rock This Country has been super in two runs back this prep. He worked home strongly first up over 1400m and looked the winner at the 200m last start before just peaking slightly on his run. Barrier 1 might be a bit tricky as he tends to get back in the field, but he’s going really well and can win.

Tip: (3) Tradem' In $2.80 Bet365

Also Backing: (7) Rock This Country $5.50 TAB

Betting Strategy: 2.5 units WIN Tradem' In, 1 unit WIN Rock This Country

0

Race 7

Mumm Champagne Hcp (C1) (1200m)
5:39pm (AEDT)

Race 7

Mumm Champagne Hcp (C1) (1200m)
5:39pm (AEDT)

1. Captain Burglar (7) J: Laqdar Ramoly (60kg) T: N D Parnham
5.55.5555.65.5
2. My Hidden Journey (6) J: Ms Lucy Warwick (60kg) T: John Doyle
2121212117.621
3. Giancana (2) J: Patrick Carbery (57.5kg) T: Simon Miller
2.52.52.52.62.62.5
4. Yankee Lima (4) J: Ms Lisa Staples (57.5kg) T: Rhys Radford
1313121212.613
5. Reguardless (10) J: Ms Jade Mcnaught (57kg) T: Ms P Kenney
88887.38
6. Michelle Ma Belle (8) J: William Pike (56.5kg) T: Ms W Miller
554.64.64.35
7. Ninetyone Dwyer (5) J: Craig Staples (56.5kg) T: Michael Hackett
8. Paris Girl (1) J: Ms Beaux Banovic-Edwards (56.5kg) T: F R Kersley
4.64.655.54.854.8
9. Miss Aligned (3) J: Ms Kyra Yuill (55kg) T: B R Larsson
262626311826
10. Taxi (9) J: Ms Victoria Corver (54kg) T: R C Mcpherson
15115110110171126

Something on a couple at decent prices here.

(8) Paris Girl was very good first up over 1000m here, recording the fastest final 400m of the entire meeting. She finished 4th on that occasion after settling last. Interesting to see where they try and settle from barrier 1 today. There is a cutaway in place and if she’s able to get clear running in time, she should finish off hard with the step up to 1200m.

(5) Reguardless won first up last prep and then went on to run a good 2nd to Dash Doll, which is reasonably good form for a race like this. Fresh for a new stable today, can go well.

(6) Michelle Ma Belle gets Pike on which catches the eye, especially as he jumps off the Simon Miller-trained favourite.

(1) Captain Burglar gets a big drop in class.

Tip: (8) Paris Girl $4.80 Bluebet

Also Backing: (5) Reguardless $8.50 Bet365

Betting Strategy: 1 unit WIN Paris Girl, 1 unit WIN Reguardless

0

Race 8

Schweppes Hcp (C1) (1200m)
6:16pm (AEDT)

Race 8

Schweppes Hcp (C1) (1200m)
6:16pm (AEDT)

1. Beau Zoom (11) J: Brad Parnham (60kg) T: N D Parnham
7.576.576.56.5
2. Ginger Knight (7) J: Patrick Carbery (60kg) T: J G Pike
1415141315.616
3. Mercanto (3) J: Laqdar Ramoly (60kg) T: C & M Gangemi
1.81.851.751.751.781.85
4. Prize Pursuit (8) J: William Pike (59.5kg) T: J F Miller
443.843.253.8
5. Imprudent (9) J: Ms Kyra Yuill (58.5kg) T: B R Larsson
202119191621
6. Contessa Medici (5) J: Joseph Azzopardi (58kg) T: L Smith
8.59999.19
7. Blazing Passion (2) J: Ms Lisa Staples (57.5kg) T: P H Jordan
2626262626.526
8. Marlini (4) J: Ms Kristy Bennett (57kg) T: Ms D Baillie
151151101101161151
9. The Finest (1) J: Ryan Hill (56.5kg) T: R C Mcpherson
354141414341
10. Amber Mamba (6) J: Craig Staples (54kg) T: Bill Spencer
617171677981
11. Little Miss Pro (10) J: Keshaw Dhurun (54kg) T: M Santich
151201151151151201

(3) Mercanto is the horse to beat after a good run behind Iseered Iseered first up, but I couldn’t take $1.85.

I think at the prices, I’d rather be on the Pike runner (4) Prize Pursuit at $4.00. He was luckless in defeat at his second start at Pinjarra, and made up for it with a dominant win at his third start. He went straight for a spell and resumes today with pike on board. At the prices, I’d rather be on him than the favourite.

(1) Beau Zoom drops heavily in grade and should take some catching in Class 1 company.

Tip: (4) Prize Pursuit $4.00 Bet365

Betting Strategy: 1 unit WIN Prize Pursuit

0

Race 9

Flying Colours (Rs0ly) (1500m)
6:54pm (AEDT)

Race 9

Flying Colours (Rs0ly) (1500m)
6:54pm (AEDT)

1. Lord Lonsdale (9) J: William Pike (60kg) T: Kieran Mcdonagh
1.81.851.851.91.681.85
2. Worth A Risk (3) J: Joseph Azzopardi (60kg) T: D & B Pearce
3. Pearls From Heaven (7) J: Jordan Turner (58.5kg) T: C H Webster
1111111311.811
4. Celtic Diva (2) J: Patrick Carbery (58kg) T: A D Mathews
1413121214.213
5. Great Charade (6) J: Brad Rawiller (58kg) T: T M Andrews
4.24.23.93.93.94
6. Heart Of Coeur (1) J: Ms Madi Derrick (58kg) T: Steven Burton
8.58.58.5988.5
7. King Of Judah (8) J: Brad Parnham (58kg) T: Summer Dickson
2626263123.526
8. Midnight Banquet (4) J: Alan Kennedy (58kg) T: O J Cocking
1717171915.417
9. Chasing Chaos (10) J: Ryan Hill (57kg) T: S J Wolfe
1717161514.619
10. Carolina Reaper (5) J: Ms Kristy Bennett (56kg) T: Leanne Howlett
2021202021.521

Looks a lovely race for the favourite to end the day here. (1) Lord Lonsdale sat three-wide the trip first up over 1200m for apprentice Kristy Bennett and was still only beaten 2.8L. Up to 1500m today and Pike goes on, so he gets a significant jockey change as well as a suitable step up in distance. Looks his race to lose, as the market suggests.

Tip: (1) Lord Lonsdale $1.90 Ladbrokes

Betting Strategy: 3 units WIN Lord Lonsdale

A trip to Hong Kong quickly had Tim hooked to the racing caper, maintaining the best place anywhere in the world on a Wednesday night is Happy Valley. He holds a strong interest in the Hong Kong form, along with the metropolitan racing in Sydney and Melbourne. He’s a fan of dry tracks, Zac Purton and takes particular interest in identifying patterns in the form. Tim wears many hats, juggling the roles of form analyst, jockey manager and racehorse owner.

Advertisement Moneyball
Advertisement WinnersBet
Advertisement BetDeluxe

More in Racing Tips