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Ascot Racing Tips: Wednesday, February 24th

Midweek racing in the West takes place at Ascot on Wednesday and Tim Geers previews all eight races below.

ascot-racecourse

Midweek racing in WA takes place at Ascot on Wednesday afternoon, with eight races on the card.

The rail moves all the way out to the 14m mark and the track is rated a Good 4.

We’ll be looking to be conservative early with a couple of short-priced favourites to open the meeting, but there does look to be a few good bets in the middle races on the card.

Best bet comes up in Race 4 on the card, with our best value immediately before that in Race 3.

Best Bet: Race 4 – (6) Born To Try

Best Value: Race 3 – (8) Shackleton

0

Race 1

Amelia Park Lodge Mdn (1200m)
4:09pm (AEDT)

Race 1

Amelia Park Lodge Mdn (1200m)
4:09pm (AEDT)

1. Jono (1) J: Steven Parnham (58kg) T: N D Parnham
5.55.55.55.55.65.5
2. Centenary Road (7) J: Troy Turner (58kg) T: Jayce Buckley
617167676571
3. Parabolic (4) J: Jason Whiting (58kg) T: Ms J Mitchell
161514161614
4. Mine Detector (6) J: Brad Parnham (57kg) T: N D Parnham
666.56.55.56.5
5. North Lane (3) J: Ms Beaux Banovic-Edwards (57kg) T: F R Kersley
718181916181
6. Renegade Ruler (9) J: Ms Jade Mcnaught (57kg) T: Kieran Mcdonagh
101151101151101126
7. Looksnoteverything (5) J: Ms Kristy Bennett (56kg) T: Ms C Godden
6.565.56.56.65.5
8. Real Charisma (2) J: Chris Parnham (55kg) T: G & A Williams
1.651.651.61.61.661.65
9. Ambers Chant (8) J: Laqdar Ramoly (55kg) T: N D Parnham
232121261823

Odds Last Updated: February 25, 2021, 11:21am (AEDT)

The obvious selection here is (8) Real Charisma, who comes into this off consecutive placings behind Hot Zed and Hell’s Belle, where she ran the fastest final 400m of the entire meeting despite sitting a touch wide throughout. You can leave me out of backing her at $1.65 though.

Tip: (8) Real Charisma $1.60 Sportsbet

Betting Strategy: No bet

0

Race 2

Tabtouch Better Your Bet Mdn (1400m)
4:44pm (AEDT)

Race 2

Tabtouch Better Your Bet Mdn (1400m)
4:44pm (AEDT)

1. Surveillance (9) J: Jason Brown (57kg) T: J P Taylor
33.13.13.13.13
2. Red Hot Hope (5) J: Steven Parnham (57kg) T: N D Parnham
3. Redhead Ritchie (10) J: Ms Kristy Bennett (57kg) T: Kallie Monaghan
1018151819961
4. Elafella (8) J: Ms Carleen Hefel (57kg) T: L Smith
5. Barantian (4) J: Clint Johnston-Porter (57kg) T: J F Miller
3131312627.531
6. Etomorp (6) J: Paul Harvey (57kg) T: Steele Casey
1111121111.412
7. True Moon (1) J: Peter Knuckey (57kg) T: S & J Casey
8. Antique Jewel (3) J: Chris Parnham (55kg) T: G & A Williams
1.71.71.71.71.661.6
9. Playing Up (7) J: Ryan Hill (55kg) T: Fenella Martin
312631262826
10. Bondonna (2) J: Jason Whiting (55kg) T: T M Andrews
1817191517.219

Odds Last Updated: February 25, 2021, 11:21am (AEDT)

Another shortie in the cerise and white here with (8) Antique Jewel who has placed in her past three starts at $2.50, $1.95 and $1.80. I thought she was only plain last start when pipped late along the inside. She had every conceivable chance to get there but didn’t show much turn of foot. With that in mind, I’m actually keen to be against her here.

(1) Surveillance has had nine starts for six placings. He drops big time in grade today from the Magic Millions 3YO Trophy (won by Gemma’s Son) to a midweek maiden. He’s run 2nd in both second up runs of his career and from barrier 9 I suspect they’ll be coming across in search of the lead. IOf he can kick at the top of the straight with the rail out 14m, he might be tricky to run down.

Tip: (1) Suveillance $3.80 Bet365

Betting Strategy: 1 unit WIN Surveillance

0

Race 3

Crown Perth Hcp (C3) (1000m)
5:19pm (AEDT)

Race 3

Crown Perth Hcp (C3) (1000m)
5:19pm (AEDT)

1. Grand Design (7) J: Ms Kristy Bennett (60kg) T: D R Harrison
2.82.82.82.92.82.8
2. Kennedy (6) J: Mitchell Pateman (60kg) T: D R Pateman
2626212125.523
3. Tovarich (3) J: Ms Carleen Hefel (59.5kg) T: Ms R Lockwood
9.59.5109.5910
4. She's Enchanted (9) J: Ms Jade Mcnaught (59kg) T: Brett Pope
4.44.64.84.84.554.8
5. Excelestial (4) J: Patrick Carbery (57.5kg) T: H S Mclaren
10119.5109.710
6. Bosnipp (1) J: Ms Lucy Warwick (56.5kg) T: J T Warwick
54.84.64.854.4
7. Looks Like Magic (5) J: Ms Madi Derrick (56.5kg) T: Tracey Diederich
313121212926
8. Shackleton (8) J: Joseph Azzopardi (56.5kg) T: D R Pateman
1314121313.613
9. Regal Dividend (2) J: Laqdar Ramoly (55kg) T: N D Parnham
2321202622.519

Odds Last Updated: February 25, 2021, 11:21am (AEDT)

(4) She’s Enchanted started odds on first up but was given absolutely no hope. She had 3kg apprentice Madi Derrick on board and she just got caught in traffic back in the field. I’d be forgiving her off that and respecting her starting price against horses like Grand Design, who she meets again today. She’s Enchanted started $1.95 while grand Design started $10, yet today they are $3.60 and $3.50 respectively. Senior jockey goes on today and we’re getting a better price, so happy to play.

(8) Shackleton was absolutely legless before improving significantly at his first start for the new stable last time out. The form out of that meeting is very trappy because the track was an absolute bog, but it was a good effort by the horse given he’d never done anything from five previous starts on rain-affected ground. His record over the track and distance is good and if he is able to reproduce a similar performance at his second start for this trainer, he’ll give this a good shake at double figure odds.

(6) Bosnipp should kick through to get a good run from the inside gate. Was only run down late by Vane Tempest last start, which is a very good form line for this.

(5) Excelestial is capable, while (2) Kennedy has his first run for the new stable (same stable as Shackleton) and could improve, but there might not have been enough time between runs for that to happen yet.

Tip: (4) She’s Enchanted $3.60 Ladbrokes

Value: (8) Shackleton $11 Ladbrokes

Betting Strategy: 1.5 units WIN She's Enchanted, 0.5 units WIN Shackleton

0

Race 4

Quayclean Hcp (C3) (1600m)
5:54pm (AEDT)

Race 4

Quayclean Hcp (C3) (1600m)
5:54pm (AEDT)

1. Sheikh It (1) J: Mitchell Pateman (60kg) T: D T Mcauliffe
3.83.93.93.73.83.9
2. Rosso Tempesta (2) J: Paul Harvey (59.5kg) T: T R Harvey
9.599.59.58.78.5
3. Hip Wiggle (5) J: Ms Madi Derrick (59kg) T: D L Morton
665.566.15.5
4. Artie's Jewels (9) J: Patrick Carbery (58.5kg) T: Ms K Kersley
202126262526
5. Bombardment (6) J: Brad Parnham (58.5kg) T: N D Parnham
1919191617.219
6. Born To Try (8) J: Chris Parnham (58.5kg) T: L Smith
2.452.452.452.52.452.5
7. Al Magico (3) J: Laqdar Ramoly (58kg) T: J M Bowtell
2326262625.526
8. Scintillating (7) J: Steven Parnham (57.5kg) T: N D Parnham
262626312621
9. Simonelly (4) J: Ms Jade Mcnaught (56kg) T: E A Martinovich
1917161616.614

Odds Last Updated: February 25, 2021, 11:21am (AEDT)

Buttering up again on (6) Born To Try, who I’ve been with in her past two starts, but surely today is the day! She was good two starts ago at Pinjarra when things didn’t quite go right, and she just found one a touch too strong at Bunbury last start. Chiclett was the horse that beat her and she goes pretty good, and they put 2.5L on the rest of the field. Third run now for the Lindsey Smiths table, Chris Parnham sticks with, and barrier 8 will likely see her go back and loop the field, which actually isn’t the worst thing with the rail so far out (momentum can be key).

(3) Hip Wiggle comes here on the three-day back up after racing at Pinjarra on Sunday. She didn’t really get the clearest run in the straight but finished off OK when she eventually got clear running and was put under pressure. She’s undefeated at this distance. A stronger jockey booking would have had me keener but in any case, she looks a good chance today.

The blinkers go on (1) Sheikh It for the first time and second up at the mile should suit. He started $4.40 first up behind Downforce and he has to be respected in this.

(8) Scintillating next best.

Tip: (6) Born To Try $3.00 Sportsbet

Saver: (3) Hip Wiggle $6.50 Sportsbet

Betting Strategy: 2 units WIN Born To Try, 0.5 units WIN Hip Wiggle

0

Race 5

Schweppes Hcp (C1) (1800m)
6:34pm (AEDT)

Race 5

Schweppes Hcp (C1) (1800m)
6:34pm (AEDT)

1. Indominus (3) J: Troy Turner (60kg) T: C H Webster
2.12.152.122.152.15
2. Final Chill (7) J: Mitchell Pateman (59.5kg) T: Kieran Mcdonagh
55.5565.85
3. Friar Tuck (11) J: Ryan Hill (59kg) T: T A Bettesworth
515141917941
4. Icarian (4) J: Ms Madi Derrick (58kg) T: G C Ballantyne
2121213123.523
5. Reveuse (12) J: Laqdar Ramoly (56.5kg) T: S V Vahala
55554.655
6. Malakhi (8) J: Ms Jade Mcnaught (56kg) T: Ms R Churchill
815151415151
7. Just Under (6) J: Ms Lucy Warwick (55.5kg) T: Brett Pope
121212111112
8. Stroud (2) J: Craig Staples (55kg) T: S J Rowe
251151201101261251
9. Tabella (10) J: Clint Johnston-Porter (55kg) T: A H Mortimer
1513151214.214
10. King Cabernet (9) J: Chris Graham (54.5kg) T: Brian Rogers
353131343026
11. Hard Too Cee (1) J: Ms Kristy Bennett (54kg) T: Matthew Scott
232121162021
12. Luc's Star (5) J: Ms Carleen Hefel (54kg) T: Tina Glasson
126126201101151151

Odds Last Updated: February 25, 2021, 11:21am (AEDT)

Gee this looks a good race for (1) Indominus, who drops back to a Class 1 after racing in Class 3, No Metro Wins and Graduation Handicaps for his past five starts. He has been running well in those races but this looks his easiest assignment for quite some time. He should get a decent run from barrier 3 and with even luck, I’m confident he’s the horse to beat.

(5) Reveuse should come across from barrier 12 to lead or sit outside the leader and he’ll take some running down.

Tip: (1) Indominus $2.50 Bet365

Betting Strategy: 2 units WIN Indominus

0

Race 6

Flags Signs & Banners (Rsomw) (1200m)
7:15pm (AEDT)

Race 6

Flags Signs & Banners (Rsomw) (1200m)
7:15pm (AEDT)

1. Mastering (8) J: Shaun Mcgruddy (59kg) T: C & M Gangemi
9.59.59.59.58.310
2. Super Teroitoa (10) J: Laqdar Ramoly (59kg) T: C H Webster
353431263226
3. Stable Secret (2) J: Ms Sasha Starley (57.5kg) T: B P Graham
4. Triple Missile (11) J: Paul Harvey (56.5kg) T: T R Harvey
1.351.351.281.31.331.33
5. Dam Ready (3) J: Jason Whiting (56kg) T: M W Bairstow
344134343941
6. Lock Her In (9) J: Ms Lucy Warwick (55.5kg) T: F R Kersley
1019161518981
7. Hot Technique (4) J: Joseph Azzopardi (54.5kg) T: D & B Pearce
1414141617.412
8. Katona (6) J: Clint Johnston-Porter (54kg) T: R G Turrell Jnr
414141343041
9. Kristella (7) J: Patrick Carbery (54kg) T: Ms A King
616761716771
10. Orange Strudel (5) J: Ms Kristy Bennett (54kg) T: Patrick Keating
131414141215
11. Reaction (1) J: Ms Carleen Hefel (54kg) T: D J Waldock
2119191619.216

Odds Last Updated: February 25, 2021, 11:21am (AEDT)

With even luck, (4) Triple Missile should be winning this. He was impressive on debut back in September and returned with another good effort when winning first up here over 1000m two weeks ago. He defeated Fish Hook and Secret Plan on that occasion, which might turn out to be decent form, despite Fish Hook failing at its next start. The step up to 1200m should suit this horse better than the 1000m and provided he gets a decent run from the wide gate, I suspect he’ll continue his winning run.

Tip: (4) Triple Missile $1.55 Sportsbet

Betting Strategy: No bet

0

Race 7

Flying Colours (Rs0mw) (1200m)
7:45pm (AEDT)

Race 7

Flying Colours (Rs0mw) (1200m)
7:45pm (AEDT)

1. Thrilled (1) J: Troy Turner (59.5kg) T: Brock Lewthwaite
2. Mia Dolce (7) J: Paul Harvey (59kg) T: Jayce Buckley
1313121214.212
3. Pablo's Poem (5) J: Jordan Turner (59kg) T: S & J Casey
3.73.73.93.93.653.8
4. Prevailing Winds (10) J: Mitchell Pateman (58kg) T: C & M Gangemi
5554.64.75.5
5. Scooter's Machine (6) J: Ms Kristy Bennett (57.5kg) T: Ms C Gilbert
6.56.56.576.86.5
6. Star Glitter (9) J: Brad Parnham (57.5kg) T: N D Parnham
9910999.5
7. Fair Joy (4) J: Ryan Hill (55kg) T: Jade Tangaroa
614161414751
8. Noble Savage (8) J: Jason Whiting (55kg) T: M R Forder
514131415126
9. Regal Poyse (11) J: Chris Parnham (55kg) T: D L Morton
3.83.73.73.73.73.7
10. Daishio (2) J: Ms Beaux Banovic-Edwards (54kg) T: F R Kersley
1919161617.615
11. Scarlet Speedster (3) J: Peter Knuckey (54kg) T: Cynthia Larson-Robinson
251201201101261201

Odds Last Updated: February 25, 2021, 11:21am (AEDT)

(9) Regal Poyse looks ready to win and she should appreciate the drop back in grade to a No metro Wins race. She was only 2.4L off the winner in the Pearl Classic at Pinjarra last start, and prior to that was narrowly beaten in a Graduation Handicap over this track and distance. Barrier 11 is a bit tricky but Chris Parnham retains the ride and she should be fighting out the finish.

(3) Pablo’s Poem didn’t get a whole lot of luck first up in a 66+ race. He was well backed in that race and he will find this significantly easier. The query is he hasn’t won in a long time now (since September 2018) so you really have to take him on trust at that price.

Tip: Regal Poyse $5.00 Sportsbet

Betting Strategy: 1 unit WIN Regal Poyse

0

Race 8

Events At Ascot Hcp (C1) (1400m)
8:25pm (AEDT)

Race 8

Events At Ascot Hcp (C1) (1400m)
8:25pm (AEDT)

1. Chix Chatter (5) J: Ms Kristy Bennett (61kg) T: D R Harrison
1817181618.218
2. Lording (12) J: Ms Jerry Noske (61kg) T: B P Newnham
665.566.46
3. Ginger Mack (7) J: Troy Turner (60kg) T: Greg Cave
4. There's A Chance (15) J: Patrick Carbery (60kg) T: Darren Taylor
20115110191151101
5. Fiery Bay (1) J: Brad Parnham (59kg) T: Brian Kersley
1717171617.217
6. General Grant (8) J: Shaun Mcgruddy (59kg) T: S J Miller
55555.25
7. Lucky Heart (14) J: Ms Madi Derrick (59kg) T: Tracey Diederich
1516161614.416
8. I Hope You Dance (10) J: Mitchell Pateman (58kg) T: Brett Pope
614141344941
9. Calag (2) J: Ms Lucy Warwick (57.5kg) T: Steele Casey
4.64.64.84.64.855
10. Jay Dee (4) J: Laqdar Ramoly (57.5kg) T: G J Mcpherson
1111111110.411
11. Pure Dynamite (3) J: Steven Parnham (57kg) T: N D Parnham
1413121112.412
12. Daring Soleil (13) J: Clint Johnston-Porter (56kg) T: Brett Pope
8.58.5998.28.5
13. Merivale Magic (16) J: Joseph Azzopardi (55kg) T: R W Price
3126263124.521
14. Safety Bay (6) J: Ms Jade Mcnaught (55kg) T: F R Kersley
2326312624.523
15. Miss Nobelle (9) J: Shaun O'donnell (54kg) T: G P Poletti
2621262120.523
16. Rexford (11) J: Unknown (54kg) T: Ms R Lockwood

Odds Last Updated: February 25, 2021, 11:21am (AEDT)

(2) Lording was one of the bigger runs you’ll see in defeat last start. He was under the stick at about the 600m and looked gone, before flying home to be beaten the barest of margins on the line. He’s third up from a spell now and has the ability to win a race like this. The issue is where he gets to in the run from barrier 12, especially with the rail out 14m.

(6) General Grant won on debut at Bunbury, defeating Antique Jewel. There is some decent depth to this race so he’ll need to improve to win again, but can do so.

(9) Calag and (12) Daring Soleil come off good first up runs, while (11) Pure Dynamite started favourite last start and should be respected, even though he’s only won once from 21 starts now.

Tip: (2) Lording E/W $6.10 Sportsbetting

Betting Strategy: 1 unit E/W Lording

A trip to Hong Kong quickly had Tim hooked to the racing caper, maintaining the best place anywhere in the world on a Wednesday night is Happy Valley. He holds a strong interest in the Hong Kong form, along with the metropolitan racing in Sydney and Melbourne. He’s a fan of dry tracks, Zac Purton and takes particular interest in identifying patterns in the form. Tim wears many hats, juggling the roles of form analyst, jockey manager and racehorse owner.

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