Race 1
Tabtouch Better Your Bet Mdn (1200m)
4:24pm (AEDT)
Race 1Tabtouch Better Your Bet Mdn (1200m) |
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1. Great Fortune
J: William Pike (57kg)
T: Brock Lewthwaite |
2.8 | 2.9 | 2.9 | 2.95 | 2.9 | |
2. Master Buddha
J: Laqdar Ramoly (57kg)
T: Joshua Mcleod |
126 | 151 | 151 | 131 | 151 | |
3. Ciscojoe
J: Patrick Carbery (57kg)
T: B A Miller |
4.4 | 4.4 | 4.4 | 3.95 | 4.4 | |
4. Without Reg
J: Ms Jade Mcnaught (57kg)
T: Rhys Radford |
6.5 | 6 | 6 | 6.6 | 6 | |
5. Never Sober
J: Shaun O'donnell (57kg)
T: A W Maley |
20 | 19 | 19 | 20.5 | 19 | |
6. Magical Gem
J: Ryan Hill (57kg)
T: V A Brockman |
17 | 17 | 18 | 14.2 | 18 | |
7. Devil Girl
J: Steven Parnham (55kg)
T: N D Parnham |
13 | 12 | 12 | 13.2 | 12 | |
8. New Prediction
J: Joseph Azzopardi (55kg)
T: B W Owen |
67 | 71 | 71 | 49 | 71 | |
9. Seduce Me
J: Brad Parnham (55kg)
T: Simon Miller |
4.4 | 4.4 | 4.4 | 4.2 | 4.4 | |
10. Solder
J: Chris Parnham (55kg)
T: A G Durrant |
10 | 10 | 11 | 8.7 | 11 |
Odds Last Updated: November 10, 2021, 4:24pm (AEDT)
It’s always ominous when William Pike rides for Brock Lewthwaite and they team up today with (1) Great Fortune here, who resumes first up with no public trial. Everything about this set up rings alarm bells. He was beaten 0.4L on debut back in June and it looks like they’ve got him set to win fresh today.
(3) Ciscojoe has been sound in his first two career starts. Likely to get back from barrier 10 but should be competitive.
(1) Solder and (9) Seduce Me are debutants from two powerful stables; watch the market and keep safe.
Tip: (1) Great Fortune $2.50 TAB
Betting Strategy: 1.5 units WIN Great Fortune
Race 2
Glenroy Chaff Mdn (1500m)
4:59pm (AEDT)
Race 2Glenroy Chaff Mdn (1500m) |
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1. Thehuntsmen
J: Ms Kyra Yuill (58kg)
T: Ms S L Miller |
14 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 13 | |
2. Freedomofthepress
J: Mitchell Pateman (58kg)
T: Kieran Mcdonagh |
19 | 18 | 18 | 15.2 | 18 | |
3. Roch Legacy
J: William Pike (58kg)
T: D & B Pearce |
4.6 | 4.5 | 4.4 | 4.2 | 4.4 | |
4. Dannemora
J: Shaun O'donnell (58kg)
T: Ms J Clements |
10 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 10 | |
5. Art Warrior
J: Laqdar Ramoly (58kg)
T: Brock Lewthwaite |
3.8 | 3.9 | 4 | 4.05 | 4 | |
6. Bulls Eye Perfect
J: Joseph Azzopardi (58kg)
T: Kirsten Melis |
101 | 101 | 101 | 75 | 101 | |
7. Riding Hood Fame
J: Ms Lisa Staples (56kg)
T: Bill Spencer |
12 | 12 | 12 | 12.2 | 12 | |
8. Allegiance
J: Ms Jade Mcnaught (56kg)
T: Tiarnna Robertson |
11 | 10 | 10 | 11.2 | 10 | |
9. Galactic Storm
J: Clint Johnston-Porter (56kg)
T: A G Durrant |
3.6 | 3.7 | 3.8 | 3.85 | 3.8 | |
10. Paigey's Turn
J: Troy Turner (54kg)
T: Ms S L Miller |
12 | 12 | 12 | 10.2 | 12 | |
11. Raging Beauty
J: Craig Staples (54kg)
T: P H Jordan |
41 | 41 | 41 | 37 | 41 |
Odds Last Updated: November 10, 2021, 4:59pm (AEDT)
(9) Galactic Storm went to Geraldton for his debut and although he didn’t win, he put in a decent enough showing to suggest he’ll be hard to beat today. He ran the second-fastest final 400m of the meeting. Gets a big jockey change today with Clint Johnston-Porter taking over from apprentice Victoria Corver and draws the inside gate.
(4) Dannemora is getting better with each run and will be suited by the step up in distance today. Likely to go back from the wide gate but will be hitting the line.
(7) Riding Hood Fame continues to run well and be in the finish, but remains a 40-start maiden.
(3) Roch Legacy was heavily backed first up and did nothing. Pike goes on today and no surprise to see a form turnaround.
(10) Paigey’s Turn next best.
Tip: (9) Galactic Storm $3.80 Bet365
Betting Strategy: 0.75 units WIN Galactic Storm
Race 3
Cool Ridge Hcp (C1) (1100m)
5:35pm (AEDT)
Race 3Cool Ridge Hcp (C1) (1100m) |
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1. Cross Statement
J: Ms Holly Watson (61kg)
T: J P Taylor |
3.3 | 3.3 | 3.2 | 3.3 | 3.2 | |
2. Rain God
J: Ms Victoria Corver (61kg)
T: A G Durrant |
11 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 10 | |
3. Hell Raider
J: Jason Whiting (60kg)
T: G C Ballantyne |
41 | 41 | 41 | 30 | 41 | |
4. Strike
J: Laqdar Ramoly (60kg)
T: C & M Gangemi |
9.5 | 9.5 | 9.5 | 8.3 | 9.5 | |
5. Paeroa Lad
J: Mitchell Pateman (59.5kg)
T: M W Bairstow |
17 | 16 | 16 | 14.4 | 16 | |
6. Ambergate Rose
J: Troy Turner (58kg)
T: P E Roberts |
9 | 8.5 | 8 | 9.1 | 8 | |
7. Let's Cut Loose
J: William Pike (58kg)
T: Simon Miller |
5.5 | 5.5 | 5.5 | 5.2 | 5.5 | |
8. Written Exceed
J: Brad Rawiller (57.5kg)
T: T M Andrews |
6 | 6 | 6.5 | 6.3 | 6.5 | |
9. The Haitian Poet
J: Ms Beaux Banovic-Edwards (57kg)
T: P J Naylor |
16 | 15 | 15 | 16.2 | 15 | |
10. Powerful
J: Keshaw Dhurun (56.5kg)
T: N D Parnham |
7 | 7 | 7 | 6.4 | 7 |
Odds Last Updated: November 10, 2021, 5:34pm (AEDT)
(6) Ambergate Rose comes up each way odds again today and I think she’s worth sticking with. She arguably should have won last start when she got cut in half at the top of the straight before charging home into 2nd. Prior to that she sat three-wide the trip behind subsequent Fairetha Stakes winner It’sarayday, and first up recorded the fastest final 400m of the meeting. With luck she goes close.
(1) Cross Statement was well-fancied first up and was only run down late by Mercanto, who then came out and won again. Form looks strong and he’ll be hard to run down again from the front. There is plenty of speed in this race though.
Tip: (6) Ambergate Rose E/W $9.00/$2.50 Sportsbet
Betting Strategy: 0.75 units WIN, 1.25 units PLACE Ambergate Rose
Race 4
Amelia Park Hcp (C3) (1400m)
6:10pm (AEDT)
Race 4Amelia Park Hcp (C3) (1400m) |
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1. New Amsterdam
J: Clint Johnston-Porter (60.5kg)
T: A G Durrant |
8.5 | 8.5 | 8.5 | 8.6 | 8.5 | |
2. Spookwood
J: Brad Rawiller (60kg)
T: C G Willis |
31 | 26 | 26 | 29 | 26 | |
3. Sentimental Friend
J: Shaun O'donnell (59kg)
T: Ms K Pisconeri |
18 | 18 | 18 | 18.2 | 18 | |
4. Safety Bay
J: Ms Beaux Banovic-Edwards (57.5kg)
T: F R Kersley |
3.5 | 3.6 | 3.6 | 3.3 | 3.6 | |
5. Stellar Vista
J: Patrick Carbery (57.5kg)
T: Simon Miller |
2.5 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 2.3 | 2.5 | |
6. Sun Chacen
J: Joseph Azzopardi (57.5kg)
T: B P Fitzgerald |
13 | 12 | 12 | 13.2 | 12 | |
7. Doowahdiddy
J: Jordan Turner (57kg)
T: Martin Allan |
5.5 | 5 | 5 | 5.6 | 5 | |
8. Yulong Earth
J: Steven Parnham (56kg)
T: M W Bairstow |
21 | 21 | 21 | 20 | 23 | |
9. Champagne Gal
J: Troy Turner (54kg)
T: Ms C Stelmach |
20 | 19 | 19 | 20 | 19 | |
10. Dalalah
J: Ms Jade Mcnaught (54kg)
T: Ms M J Midgley |
151 | 151 | 151 | 141 | 151 |
Odds Last Updated: November 10, 2021, 6:14pm (AEDT)
I was keen to be with (1) New Amsterdam at the early $9.00 quote and that was before the scratching of Stellar Vista. He’s undefeated at this track and distance, including a win first up last preparation. Has to carry top weight but he’s done that before and run well and he handles all surfaces. Looks hard to beat today.
(4) Safety Bay looks the obvious danger, coming off a 3rd placing in similar company last start. Before that ran midfield in a 66+ race on a Saturday after sitting three-wide the trip.
(7) Doowahdiddy next best.
Tip: (1) New Amsterdam $5.00 Bet365
Betting Strategy: 1 unit WIN New Amsterdam
Race 5
Byron Bay Premium Lager-Rs0ly (1500m)
6:50pm (AEDT)
Race 5Byron Bay Premium Lager-Rs0ly (1500m) |
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1. On Red Alert
J: Laqdar Ramoly (60kg)
T: Alanis O'hara |
3.5 | 3.5 | 3.4 | 3.4 | 3.4 | |
2. Uncle Lino
J: Ms Shelby Bowtell (58.5kg)
T: Raymond Vincent |
27 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 26 | |
3. Native Chimes
J: Ms Holly Watson (58kg)
T: Ms P Kenney |
7 | 6.5 | 6.5 | 6.9 | 6.5 | |
4. Friar Away
J: Keshaw Dhurun (57.5kg)
T: Ms J Erkelens |
21 | 21 | 21 | 22 | 23 | |
5. Beaucount
J: Ryan Hill (56kg)
T: B P Graham |
26 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 26 | |
6. Greatness Awaits
J: William Pike (56kg)
T: Mark Ford |
9 | 8.5 | 8.5 | 9.1 | 8.5 | |
7. Pat's Got Sass
J: Chris Parnham (56kg)
T: D R Harrison |
2.5 | 2.6 | 2.7 | 2.35 | 2.7 | |
8. He's All Mighty
J: Clint Johnston-Porter (55kg)
T: A G Durrant |
12 | 12 | 12 | 12.2 | 12 | |
9. Acermetric
J: Shaun O'donnell (54.5kg)
T: Ms J Erkelens |
23 | 21 | 21 | 20 | 23 | |
10. High Mist
J: Troy Turner (54kg)
T: David Catarino |
13 | 12 | 12 | 12.8 | 12 |
Odds Last Updated: November 10, 2021, 6:54pm (AEDT)
I’m convinced (10) High Mist is flying. His run in a 72+ Saturday race last start was very good – the apprentice just missed the boat when it was time to get into the race. Gets conditions to suit today with a slightly rain-affected track. The big negative is the drop back from 1800m to 1500m, but there just aren’t any suitable races around for him. Troy Turner goes on today and if he can get rolling at the half-mile, I think he’s at least a place chance.
(6) Greatness Awaits gets Pike booked first up with no public trial. This horse won first up over the mile last preparation on a soft track and with the wizard booked today, it would be no surprise to see him fire first up.
(7) Pat’s Got Sass has been running in the good three-year-old races in her first two runs this prep and now drops all the way down to a No-Metro-Win race. Will be hard to beat if she brings her best.
Tip: (10) High Mist E/W $12.20/$3.55 BoomBet
Betting Strategy: 0.5 units WIN, 1 unit PLACE High Mist
Race 6
Happy 50Th Bday D Morton (C3) (1800m)
7:25pm (AEDT)
Race 6Happy 50Th Bday D Morton (C3) (1800m) |
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1. Jarman
J: Ms Victoria Corver (60kg)
T: G P Jones |
3.6 | 3.7 | 3.7 | 3.65 | 3.7 | |
2. Cape Reign
J: Jett Stanley (59kg)
T: Martin Allan |
12 | 11 | 11 | 12.2 | 11 | |
3. Alimentaria
J: William Pike (58.5kg)
T: Ms T Itzstein |
4.6 | 4.6 | 4.8 | 4.65 | 4.8 | |
4. Black Chips
J: Patrick Carbery (58.5kg)
T: Tony Giglietta |
19 | 19 | 19 | 15.8 | 19 | |
5. Regal City
J: Mitchell Pateman (58kg)
T: A W Maley |
6.5 | 6.5 | 6.5 | 6.6 | 6.5 | |
6. There's A Thought
J: Keshaw Dhurun (58kg)
T: D L Morton |
4.6 | 4.6 | 4.6 | 4.65 | 4.6 | |
7. Red Hot Hope
J: Steven Parnham (57.5kg)
T: N D Parnham |
16 | 15 | 15 | 15.2 | 15 | |
8. Casa Rosada
J: Ms Jade Mcnaught (56kg)
T: R W Williams |
19 | 19 | 19 | 17 | 19 | |
9. Choose Freedom
J: Brad Parnham (55kg)
T: Jade Tangaroa |
34 | 34 | 34 | 26.5 | 34 | |
10. Night Session
J: Clint Johnston-Porter (54.5kg)
T: R W Price |
14 | 14 | 14 | 12.2 | 14 | |
11. Taxi
J: Troy Turner (54kg)
T: R C Mcpherson |
17 | 17 | 17 | 13.8 | 17 |
Odds Last Updated: November 10, 2021, 7:29pm (AEDT)
This is just a bad race to bet into.
(3) Alimentaria was good in her first few starts this prep but was ordinary last start. Seemingly goes better on firm ground but she does get Pike on board today.
(6) There’s A Thought won two on the bounce before being outclassed last start. Is another one that probably prefers firm ground but gets a cheap run from barrier 1 and should go close.
(1) Cape Reign won first up last prep and tackles the 1800m first up today.
Couldn’t back anything here.
Tip: (6) There's A Thought $4.00 TopSport
Betting Strategy: No bet
Race 7
Crown Perth Hcp (C3) (1800m)
8:00pm (AEDT)
Race 7Crown Perth Hcp (C3) (1800m) |
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1. Meet Joe Black
J: Laqdar Ramoly (59.5kg)
T: David A Smith |
9.5 | 9 | 8.5 | 9.6 | 8.5 | |
2. Pambella
J: Steven Parnham (59kg)
T: N D Parnham |
4.8 | 4.8 | 5 | 5.1 | 5 | |
3. Beanie
J: Ms Beaux Banovic-Edwards (58.5kg)
T: F R Kersley |
6.5 | 6 | 6 | 5.3 | 6 | |
4. Dark Lass
J: Jett Stanley (58.5kg)
T: G & A Williams |
3.7 | 3.7 | 3.7 | 3.75 | 3.7 | |
5. The Roan Ranger
J: Chris Parnham (58.5kg)
T: P E Roberts |
6.5 | 6.5 | 6.5 | 6.6 | 6.5 | |
6. Cable Guy
J: Joseph Azzopardi (57kg)
T: M Knox |
9 | 9 | 9.5 | 9.6 | 9.5 | |
7. Smoking Barrel
J: Brad Parnham (57kg)
T: E S Wake |
15 | 15 | 15 | 12.8 | 15 | |
8. Gin 'N' Swanic
J: Keshaw Dhurun (56.5kg)
T: D L Morton |
20 | 20 | 21 | 17.4 | 21 | |
9. Talented Escape
J: Ms Holly Watson (56kg)
T: Holly Taylor |
14 | 14 | 14 | 12 | 14 | |
10. Datalka
J: Ms Victoria Corver (55kg)
T: P H Jordan |
18 | 18 | 18 | 18.2 | 18 | |
11. Texas Moon
J: Taj Dyson (54kg)
T: Ms K Kersley |
81 | 81 | 81 | 61 | 81 |
Odds Last Updated: November 10, 2021, 8:04pm (AEDT)
Another race where I couldn’t back anything.
(4) Dark Lass was well backed and got the money over 2200m last start. Drops back to 1800m now which isn’t ideal but is rock-hard fit now. Does lose Pike for the apprentice though.
(5) The Roan Ranger looks ready now third up form a spell after a good run last start, but he struggles to get his head in front, with just one win from 22 starts.
(2) Pambella is in a similar boat after going close last start. Struggles to win and also doesn’t appreciate wet ground.
(3) Beanie didn’t run out 2200m last start and is better suited back to this distance.
Tip: (4) Dark Lass $4.00 TopSport
Betting Strategy: No bet
Race 8
Mumm Champagne Hcp (C1) (1600m)
8:38pm (AEDT)
Race 8Mumm Champagne Hcp (C1) (1600m) |
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1. Ima Sly Fox
J: Ms Kyra Yuill (60kg)
T: Ms S L Miller |
21 | 21 | 21 | 18.8 | 23 | |
2. Tactical Ploy
J: Craig Staples (60kg)
T: Brian Rogers |
151 | 151 | 151 | 111 | 151 | |
3. My Squeeze Louise
J: William Pike (59.5kg)
T: P J Fernie |
3.3 | 3.4 | 3.4 | 3.15 | 3.4 | |
4. Brave Call
J: Ms Holly Watson (59kg)
T: Rhys Radford |
14 | 14 | 14 | 13.2 | 14 | |
5. Rag 'N' Boneman
J: Mitchell Pateman (59kg)
T: A F Beckett |
91 | 91 | 81 | 67 | 81 | |
6. Act Innocent
J: Ms Shelby Bowtell (58.5kg)
T: Raymond Vincent |
16 | 15 | 15 | 14.4 | 15 | |
7. Kentucky Blue
J: Steven Parnham (58.5kg)
T: N D Parnham |
6 | 6 | 6 | 6.1 | 6 | |
8. Red Cadillac
J: Ms Jade Mcnaught (57.5kg)
T: Fenella Martin |
4.6 | 4.5 | 4.4 | 4.65 | 4.4 | |
9. Master Moore
J: Shaun O'donnell (56.5kg)
T: Rhys Radford |
23 | 26 | 26 | 21 | 26 | |
10. My Dilemma
J: Laqdar Ramoly (56.5kg)
T: Brock Lewthwaite |
4 | 4 | 4.2 | 4.25 | 4.2 | |
11. Rock Hard Omaru
J: Joseph Azzopardi (56.5kg)
T: Kirsten Melis |
17 | 17 | 17 | 14.4 | 17 | |
12. Sunset Cruise
J: Troy Turner (56kg)
T: Holly Taylor |
26 | 26 | 26 | 21 | 26 |
Odds Last Updated: November 10, 2021, 8:39pm (AEDT)
(3) My Squeeze Louise didn’t do much at all in her first start in WA for new trainer Peter Fernie. Up in distance to the mile today should suit her better and the money is there to suggest she can bounce back.
(10) My Dilemma ran in a good race first up and then bolted in last start. Drawn awkwardly here but can go close in a race that lacks a bit of depth.
(6) Act Innocent can outrun her odds. She came out of a strong maiden two starts ago behind Mahaleo and Kolchino and then won over this distance last start.
Tip: (10) My Dilemma $4.25 BoomBet
Value: (6) Act Innocent $19.20 BoomBet
Betting Strategy: No bet