Connect with us

Racing Tips

Belmont Racing Tips: Saturday, July 3rd

Tim Geers provides his best bets on the card for Belmont Oaks day in Perth.

belmont racing tips

Belmont hosts a nine-race card on Saturday afternoon in Perth, headlined by the Belmont Oaks and the Aquanita Stakes.

The track is currently rated a Soft 5 with the rail out 6m.

Tim Geers has provided his best bets on the card below.

BetDeluxe

 

191646

Race 1

Tabtouch-Westspeed (Rs0mw) (1600m)
1:59pm (AEDT)

Race 1

Tabtouch-Westspeed (Rs0mw) (1600m)
1:59pm (AEDT)

1. Speedy Miss (4) J: Ms Kristy Bennett (60.5kg) T: D & B Pearce
3.33.43.43.53.63.3
2. Bollinger Boy (6) J: Clint Johnston-Porter (59kg) T: A G Durrant
3.53.53.53.53.553.4
3. Brother Paddy (7) J: Laqdar Ramoly (58.5kg) T: Coreen Maynard
131211121212
4. Street Fair (8) J: Shaun Mcgruddy (58.5kg) T: Brett Pope
4.84.54.24.64.354.4
5. Run D'affaire Run (3) J: Ms Madi Derrick (58kg) T: G C Ballantyne
6. Hip Wiggle (2) J: Chris Parnham (56kg) T: Michael Grantham
7.576.577.27
7. Flying Target (5) J: Ms Holly Watson (54kg) T: Ms C Stelmach
1716141414.215
8. Paris Girl (1) J: Ms Beaux Banovic-Edwards (54kg) T: F R Kersley
109999.39

Odds Last Updated: July 3, 2021, 2:01pm (AEDT)

191646

Race 2

Breast Cancer Research Ctr-2Yo (1000m)
2:39pm (AEDT)

Race 2

Breast Cancer Research Ctr-2Yo (1000m)
2:39pm (AEDT)

1. Beads (11) J: Shaun Mcgruddy (58kg) T: S J Wolfe
3.83.73.93.73.73.7
2. Canny Jack (2) J: William Pike (57kg) T: Ms C Stelmach
6.5566.56.16
3. Storm Commander (12) J: Chris Parnham (56kg) T: N D Parnham
98.598.56.98.5
4. Nights Mystery (5) J: Ms Jade Mcnaught (56kg) T: Mitchell Pateman
6.56666.35.5
5. Mega Reward (3) J: Ms Kyra Yuill (56kg) T: A W Maley
616751516171
6. Forever Autumn (9) J: Clint Johnston-Porter (56kg) T: T M Andrews
2121202121.523
7. Getyourmoneyandrun (7) J: Paul Harvey (56kg) T: D R Harrison
2321212017.823
8. My Boy Chris (8) J: Joseph Azzopardi (56kg) T: Daniel O'connor
464141413851
9. Wuhan Warrior (6) J: Ms Lucy Warwick (56kg) T: Hayden Ballantyne
555.5555
10. Orchilla (1) J: Troy Turner (54kg) T: Ms R Lockwood
616761616971
11. State Of Power (10) J: Patrick Carbery (54kg) T: Simon Miller
1110111010.810
12. No Dice (4) J: Laqdar Ramoly (54kg) T: Ms S Evans
1110101112.211

Odds Last Updated: July 3, 2021, 2:41pm (AEDT)

191646

Race 3

The Walker Family (Rs1mw) (1200m)
3:18pm (AEDT)

Race 3

The Walker Family (Rs1mw) (1200m)
3:18pm (AEDT)

1. Agent Jay (2) J: Ms Holly Watson (62kg) T: S J Miller
6.565.566.26
2. London Miss (3) J: Ms Kristy Bennett (58.5kg) T: B V Watkins
1615151515.414
3. Bedouin Belle (8) J: Jason Whiting (57.5kg) T: L P Luciani
171617171617
4. Beau Zoom (10) J: Brad Parnham (56.5kg) T: N D Parnham
5. Dunbar (11) J: William Pike (56kg) T: G & A Williams
2.82.72.92.92.72.7
6. Fair Joy (9) J: Patrick Carbery (56kg) T: Jade Tangaroa
2019191717.419
7. Johnny Angel (4) J: Laqdar Ramoly (56kg) T: Michael Grantham
111011111010
8. Devine Beast (7) J: Ms Jade Mcnaught (55.5kg) T: Luke Fernie
98998.68.5
9. Jag The Joker (12) J: Shaun Mcgruddy (55.5kg) T: A W Maley
2019171719.221
10. Real Grace (5) J: Chris Parnham (55kg) T: G & A Williams
4.84.54.84.64.554.4
11. Horizon (1) J: Ms Kyra Yuill (54.5kg) T: G L Carige
3431262625.526
12. Wakan Tanka (6) J: Steven Parnham (54kg) T: N D Parnham
3534343428.534

Odds Last Updated: July 3, 2021, 3:21pm (AEDT)

Thought the run of (5) Dunbar was good first up, where he recorded the fastest final 400m of the meeting over 1000m. Now steps up to 1200m and if he can overcome the wide draw, he should be hard to hold out in this.

The other Peters runner is (10) Real Grace, who started $3.00 favourite behind The Spruiker and Timely Outburst first up, but ran last. Has had six weeks between runs and draws well here – worth respecting that SP in such a hot form race.

Big watch on (2) London Miss first up here. She normally resumes with one trial under the belt, but she’s had two trials this prep so she may be more forward. Was in very good form last prep and can run a good race at each way odds here.

(3) Bedouin Belle is ready third up now.

Tip: (5) Dunbar $2.90 Sportsbet

Saver: (10) Real Grace $4.40 Sportsbet

Betting Strategy: 1.5 units WIN Dunbar, 0.5 units WIN Real Grace

191646

Race 4

Amelia Park (Bm72+) (1000m)
3:53pm (AEDT)

Race 4

Amelia Park (Bm72+) (1000m)
3:53pm (AEDT)

1. Don't Fuss (4) J: Chris Graham (60kg) T: D & B Pearce
466161614961
2. Jericho Missile (2) J: Ms Kristy Bennett (60kg) T: D R Harrison
1312121212.212
3. Amasenus (8) J: Chris Parnham (57kg) T: Simon Miller
444.44.84.754.2
4. Miss Frost (3) J: Ms Jade Mcnaught (57kg) T: Luke Fernie
9.599.598.59
5. We've Got Dreams (5) J: Laqdar Ramoly (57kg) T: M L Lane
131212111211
6. Mankind (7) J: Ms Holly Watson (56.5kg) T: Hayden Ballantyne
181717161518
7. Brooklyn Pier (9) J: Steven Parnham (55kg) T: N D Parnham
3.23.23.13.23.153.1
8. Lipstick Flickers (1) J: William Pike (55kg) T: T R Harvey
4.84.64.64.64.24.8
9. Silkinize (6) J: Ms Kyra Yuill (54kg) T: D R Harrison
11111110910

Odds Last Updated: July 3, 2021, 3:56pm (AEDT)

When the money comes from the Parnham stable, they generally win and that’s what’s happened with (7) Brooklyn Pier here. Won a 3YO handicap first up and then ran 4th in a 78+ race. Back to a 72+ today, has an awkward draw but on current form will be hard to beat.

I can’t see much wrong with the form of (3) Amasenus though, chasing her sixth straight win. She always drifts in the market too, but just keeps on winning. She’s up in grade unlike Brooklyn Pier who is down in grade, but she can win again. Never wins by much, but always does enough.

Tip: (3) Amasenus $4.50 Betfair (take SP)

Betting Strategy: 1 unit WIN Amasenus

191646

Race 5

Byron Bay Premium Lager-Bm62+ (1400m)
4:25pm (AEDT)

Race 5

Byron Bay Premium Lager-Bm62+ (1400m)
4:25pm (AEDT)

1. Timely Outburst (7) J: Ms Holly Watson (60kg) T: S J Miller
1.81.81.751.851.91.7
2. She's God To You (1) J: Ms Natasha Faithfull (58.5kg) T: Darren Taylor
1211111110.612
3. Jedi Mind (3) J: Chris Parnham (57.5kg) T: Brett Pope
7.57776.87
4. Captain Burglar (2) J: Laqdar Ramoly (57kg) T: N D Parnham
262626312326
5. Comealilbitcloser (5) J: Clint Johnston-Porter (56kg) T: L P Luciani
6. Real Charisma (8) J: William Pike (55.5kg) T: G & A Williams
4.44.54.64.24.654.6
7. Speed Dream (9) J: Jason Whiting (55.5kg) T: R J Piercey
1719191915.219
8. Alpha And Omega (4) J: Shaun Mcgruddy (55kg) T: S J Wolfe
1718171615.618
9. My Rani (10) J: Patrick Carbery (55kg) T: Brock Lewthwaite
7171817191101
10. Saturn Black (6) J: Ms Kristy Bennett (55kg) T: Deborah Murphy
313121212531

Odds Last Updated: July 3, 2021, 4:26pm (AEDT)

191646

Race 6

Peninsula Dining Room (Bm78+) (1400m)
5:05pm (AEDT)

Race 6

Peninsula Dining Room (Bm78+) (1400m)
5:05pm (AEDT)

1. Flow (2) J: Ms Kyra Yuill (60kg) T: Martin Allan
616767616781
2. Tuscan Queen (10) J: William Pike (59.5kg) T: G & A Williams
3. Excellent Dream (11) J: Brad Rawiller (58kg) T: L Smith
5.555555
4. The Big Show (1) J: Ms Chloe Azzopardi (57.5kg) T: D T Mcauliffe
313434343941
5. Not To Be Mist (5) J: Clint Johnston-Porter (56.5kg) T: A G Durrant
87.577.58.17
6. Tinsnip (8) J: Shaun Mcgruddy (56kg) T: A G Durrant
7. Comfort Me (9) J: Ms Jade Mcnaught (55kg) T: Rhys Radford
2.32.32.32.352.32.3
8. Moschard (4) J: Patrick Carbery (55kg) T: Luke Fernie
665.55.55.76
9. Red Publisher (3) J: Chris Parnham (55kg) T: A W Maley
2321202120.519
10. Eeyore Wayz (7) J: Craig Staples (54kg) T: Raquel Reid
7.577.577.27
11. Living The Dream (6) J: Joseph Azzopardi (54kg) T: L Smith
2321262119.226

Odds Last Updated: July 3, 2021, 5:06pm (AEDT)

Great little race but I just can’t jump off (7) Comfort Me who is absolutely airborne this prep. Sat three-wide the trip first up and as beaten a nose. Sat three-wide the trip second up and won by a nose, and then won comfortably last start after enjoying a much better run in transit. Undefeated at the track and distance, just needs some luck from the draw.

(3) Excellent Dream is ready now third up and up to 1400m. Was ridden dead cold by the apprentice first up and then sat three-wide the trip last start when beaten a length as favourite. Draws wide again today but will go forward and be right in the mix.

(8) Moschard is flying and didn’t get much luck last start. Prior to that ran 3rd behind Leading Girl and Naughty By Nature, who then back-to-back races including the Strickland Stakes.

Tip: (7) Comfort Me $2.50 Sportsbet

Saver: (8) Moschard $5.00 Sportsbet

Betting Strategy: 2 units WIN Comfort Me, 0.5 units WIN Moschard

191646

Race 7

Belmont Oaks (2000m)
5:35pm (AEDT)

Race 7

Belmont Oaks (2000m)
5:35pm (AEDT)

1. Sheza Chalmer (1) J: Patrick Carbery (55.5kg) T: B A Miller
1.61.61.551.61.561.5
2. Tri For Us (4) J: Chris Parnham (55.5kg) T: A G Durrant
4.64.8554.655
3. Chili Is Hot (8) J: Jason Whiting (55.5kg) T: G C Ballantyne
1718191817.821
4. Baronova (6) J: Ms Jade Mcnaught (55.5kg) T: J T Warwick
77777.17
5. Sunset Cruise (2) J: Joseph Azzopardi (55.5kg) T: S J Miller
515151515351
6. Piccola Signora (9) J: Brad Parnham (55.5kg) T: N D Parnham
272621213231
7. Rebel Heart (3) J: William Pike (55.5kg) T: D T Mcauliffe
1818181919.218
8. Vital Times (10) J: Ms Lucy Warwick (55.5kg) T: Fenella Martin
8191101101111101
9. Star Subject (5) J: Shaun Mcgruddy (55.5kg) T: Brett Pope
911018161111126
10. Kardashian Klass (7) J: Ms Chloe Azzopardi (55.5kg) T: Kieran Mcdonagh
126126101101151151

Odds Last Updated: July 3, 2021, 5:36pm (AEDT)

191646

Race 8

Aquanita Stakes (2000m)
6:05pm (AEDT)

Race 8

Aquanita Stakes (2000m)
6:05pm (AEDT)

1. Kerman Rock (6) J: Ms Lucy Warwick (55.5kg) T: C G Willis
3.63.43.43.43.43.6
2. Albukhturi (5) J: Shaun Mcgruddy (55.5kg) T: C & M Gangemi
2326212118.826
3. Crescent City (7) J: William Pike (55.5kg) T: G & A Williams
3.33.23.53.73.353.2
4. Tradem' In (10) J: Paul Harvey (55.5kg) T: T R Harvey
666.55.56.26
5. Greatness Awaits (2) J: Chris Parnham (55.5kg) T: Mark Ford
313431263334
6. What About Moi (8) J: Laqdar Ramoly (55.5kg) T: S V Vahala
262626262526
7. Tena Koutou (12) J: Clint Johnston-Porter (55.5kg) T: A G Durrant
6.566.566.16
8. Truly Reliable (4) J: Ms Shelby Bowtell (55.5kg) T: Raymond Vincent
2121212019.821
9. Free Solo (3) J: Brad Parnham (55.5kg) T: S J Miller
2120212021.523
10. Ima Sly Fox (9) J: Ms Kyra Yuill (55.5kg) T: Ms S L Miller
101126101101131151
11. Fletcher Road (11) J: Troy Turner (55.5kg) T: R C Mcpherson
151126101101111126
12. Art Warrior (1) J: Patrick Carbery (55.5kg) T: Brock Lewthwaite
1515161515.216

Odds Last Updated: July 3, 2021, 6:07pm (AEDT)

191646

Race 9

Crown Towers (Bm66+) (1600m)
6:40pm (AEDT)

Race 9

Crown Towers (Bm66+) (1600m)
6:40pm (AEDT)

1. Gates Of Babylon (6) J: Brad Rawiller (59kg) T: Brett Pope
151516171515
2. I'm Pretty (3) J: William Pike (58.5kg) T: A G Durrant
2.82.82.72.92.92.8
3. Playing Marika (9) J: Ms Lucy Warwick (58.5kg) T: Ms S Bakranich
1212121112.413
4. Fred Dag (12) J: Jason Whiting (57kg) T: B V Watkins
343434312941
5. Sowar (14) J: Peter Knuckey (57kg) T: S J Wolfe
272631263126
6. Zackariah Beau (15) J: Paul Harvey (57kg) T: D R Harrison
1516151513.616
7. Zero Demerits (13) J: Shaun O'donnell (57kg) T: G A Crispin
354151414141
8. Kallaroo (4) J: Brad Parnham (56.5kg) T: D L Morton
121212121211
9. Tiff Has Spoken (7) J: Ms Kyra Yuill (56.5kg) T: Ms S L Miller
54.84.84.64.754.6
10. Megazone (5) J: Shaun Mcgruddy (56kg) T: A W Maley
616161515761
11. Kelvin (10) J: Joseph Azzopardi (55kg) T: F R Kersley
232126262123
12. Magic Will Reign (8) J: Clint Johnston-Porter (55kg) T: A G Durrant
13. Holy Ghost (11) J: Steven Parnham (54kg) T: N D Parnham
1414151414.214
14. Melarab (1) J: Ms Beaux Banovic-Edwards (54kg) T: F R Kersley
1714161513.815
15. Sluice Box (2) J: Ms Jade Mcnaught (54kg) T: A W Maley
1616171616.216

Odds Last Updated: July 3, 2021, 6:41pm (AEDT)

(2) I’m Pretty can keep her winning run going here. She’s won both starts this prep in good style and although she steps up in grade today, she can win again. Some query on her poor third up record but she gets a good draw, Pike sticks and Durrant made this his best chance of the day.

Tip: (2) I'm Pretty $2.70 Sportsbet

Betting Strategy: 1.5 units WIN I'm Pretty

A trip to Hong Kong quickly had Tim hooked to the racing caper, maintaining the best place anywhere in the world on a Wednesday night is Happy Valley. He holds a strong interest in the Hong Kong form, along with the metropolitan racing in Sydney and Melbourne. He’s a fan of dry tracks, Zac Purton and takes particular interest in identifying patterns in the form. Tim wears many hats, juggling the roles of form analyst, jockey manager and racehorse owner.

Advertisement Moneyball
Advertisement WinnersBet
Advertisement BetDeluxe

More in Racing Tips