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Belmont Racing Tips: Wednesday, December 15th

Tim Geers previews Wednesday’s seven-race card at Belmont with his tips and best bets for every race.

belmont racing tips

Midweek racing in WA returns to Belmont for seven races on Wednesday afternoon.

The track is rated a Good 4 with the rail out 3m the entire circuit and Tim Geers has previewed every race with his tips and best bets below.

His best bet comes up in Race 3 with his best value in the last race, Race 7.

Find his full set of Belmont racing tips below!

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204957

Race 1

Tabtouch Better Your Bet-Rs0ly (1400m)
5:19pm (AEDT)

Race 1

Tabtouch Better Your Bet-Rs0ly (1400m)
5:19pm (AEDT)

1. Fatale Femme (3) J: Keshaw Dhurun (61kg) T: S & J Casey
2. Cold Shizzle (4) J: Chris Parnham (59.5kg) T: D T Mcauliffe
1.651.61.62
3. Cobbanco (1) J: Jason Whiting (58kg) T: B G Lucas
5.555.1
4. My Dilemma (2) J: Laqdar Ramoly (57.5kg) T: Brock Lewthwaite
66.56.6
5. Lady Tornado (5) J: Clint Johnston-Porter (56kg) T: A G Durrant
54.84.95

Odds Last Updated: December 15, 2021, 5:22pm (AEDT)

No need to get involved here with a four-horse field and a $1.55 favourite.

(2) Cold Shizzle has won two from two this prep and can continue on here up to 1400m. Will be interesting to see how the race plays out from a tactical point of view but he looks the best horse in the race.

(5) Lady Tornado probably ends up as the leader here. Was good on debut, making up plenty of ground from back in the field on a day that was hard to do so. Broke through last start when ridden more positively.

(3) Cobbanco broke his maiden last start and deserved to do so. He hadn’t done anything wrong in his first two starts. He’ll be ridden cold and will get the last shot at them.

(4) My Dilemma won in similar grade to this last start and beat a couple of decent horses.

Tip: (2) Cold Shizzle $1.55 Ladbrokes

Betting Strategy: No bet

204957

Race 2

Ascend Sales Trophies (Rs0ly) (1000m)
5:54pm (AEDT)

Race 2

Ascend Sales Trophies (Rs0ly) (1000m)
5:54pm (AEDT)

1. Union Jack (2) J: Craig Staples (57kg) T: P H Jordan
111111.2
2. De Zane Grey (4) J: Brad Parnham (57kg) T: V A Brockman
262626.5
3. Galaxy Affair (9) J: Clint Johnston-Porter (57kg) T: D & B Pearce
344138
4. Pazzo Cavallo (10) J: Ms Lucy Warwick (57kg) T: Jayce Buckley
616153
5. Swim Through (5) J: Ben Kennedy (57kg) T: A W Maley
7.577
6. Hotorio (8) J: Joseph Azzopardi (55kg) T: D R Harrison
161616.2
7. Laguna Miss (1) J: Ms Lisa Staples (55kg) T: P H Jordan
8. Mrs Kangaroo (11) J: Chris Parnham (55kg) T: D M Luciani
3.73.83.85
9. Ebony's Ace (6) J: Shaun Mcgruddy (55kg) T: A W Maley
6.565.8
10. Lucky Sue (3) J: Shaun O'donnell (55kg) T: D R Harrison
2.72.72.6
11. Vonsnip (7) J: Ms Kyra Yuill (55kg) T: D R Harrison

Odds Last Updated: December 15, 2021, 5:57pm (AEDT)

(10) Lucky Sue trialled very impressively last time out for the David Harrison yard and draws a lovely gate for her debut with Shaun O’Donnell in the saddle. Looks the horse to beat.

(9) Ebony’s Ace was in that same trial and hit the line well under limited pressure. Don’t see a whole lot of 2YO winners from this yard but certainly looks to have some ability.

(8) Mrs Kangaroo looks the only speed in the race. Failed on debut in Saturday grade but this stable is very good at producing 2YO’s and Chris Parnham is a notable booking.

Tip: (10) Lucky Sue $2.15 TAB

Betting Strategy: No bet

204957

Race 3

Mumm Champagne Hcp (C3) (1000m)
6:34pm (AEDT)

Race 3

Mumm Champagne Hcp (C3) (1000m)
6:34pm (AEDT)

1. Vadette De Star (5) J: Ms Holly Watson (60.5kg) T: Simon Miller
2.82.82.9
2. Divine Pair (7) J: Peter Knuckey (60kg) T: C H Webster
5.55.55.4
3. Go Forward (4) J: Laqdar Ramoly (60kg) T: C & M Gangemi
2.352.42.3
4. No Mean Feet (6) J: Shaun O'donnell (58.5kg) T: Ms J Kelly
313432
5. So Birikkino (1) J: Jason Brown (58kg) T: J P Taylor
9109.3
6. Cut The Cord (3) J: (57kg) T: Hayden Ballantyne
7. Nobelium (2) J: Ms Kyra Yuill (57kg) T: R J Lewis
172117.6
8. Melody's Secret (8) J: Ms Jade Mcnaught (56kg) T: Meryl Hayley
344140

Odds Last Updated: December 15, 2021, 6:37pm (AEDT)

(3) Go Forward gets another chance today. He bolted in three starts ago and since then he just hasn’t had things go right in two subsequent starts. Two starts ago he just got too far back from the gate and made up a stack of ground, running the fastest final 400m of the meeting. Then last start he was ridden more positively but had to sit three-wide the trip outside the leaders, and was run down late by Eeyore Wayz. That form was given a boost last weekend with Eeyore Wayz running a luckless 2nd in Saturday company.

(1) Vadette De Star is very well placed back in a Class 3 on a Wednesday. She’s been racing against much better company than this in Saturday grade all prep, including the likes of Triple Missile and God Has Chosen. She’ll settle off the speed with apprentice Holly Watson taking over from Chris Parnham.

Tip: (3) Go Forward $2.70 Bet365

Betting Strategy: 2 units WIN Go Forward

204957

Race 4

Amelia Park Hcp (C1) (1200m)
7:10pm (AEDT)

Race 4

Amelia Park Hcp (C1) (1200m)
7:10pm (AEDT)

1. Magic To Exceed (4) J: Laqdar Ramoly (60kg) T: S & J Casey
2.252.12.4
2. Nobel Knight (9) J: Brad Parnham (59.5kg) T: M J Duffy
212617.2
3. Bourbon Beau (1) J: Ben Kennedy (59kg) T: Ms A King
44.23.9
4. Hot Blooded (5) J: Chris Parnham (58.5kg) T: L P Luciani
686.8
5. Imprudent (6) J: Keshaw Dhurun (58.5kg) T: B R Larsson
161613.6
6. Simple Logic (2) J: Steven Parnham (58.5kg) T: N D Parnham
54.84.65
7. Bring One Home (8) J: Clint Johnston-Porter (58kg) T: A G Durrant
8. Guarded (3) J: Ms Jade Mcnaught (58kg) T: N D Parnham
344135
9. Marlini (7) J: Ms Kristy Bennett (55.5kg) T: Ms D Baillie
344134

Odds Last Updated: December 15, 2021, 7:12pm (AEDT)

Looks a suitable race for (1) Magic To Exceed who had to do it the hard way in Listed company last start, sitting three-wide the trip in the Sir Ernest Lee-Steere Classic. Back to Class 1 company today will see him hard to beat.

(6) Simple Logic resumes from a spell. The form behind The Front Bar from last prep stands out and he should be able to get a gun run from barrier 2.

(4) Hot Blooded is racing very well this prep and was only run down the final part of the race last start. Will be the one to run down again here.

(3) Bourbon Beau is knocking on the door with consecutive placings, beaten 0.25L in his two most recent starts. Draws the inside gate for a nice run and will be fighting out the finish but think the others have a class edge.

Tip: (1) Magic To Exceed $2.40 TopSport

Betting Strategy: No bet

204957

Race 5

Free Entry To Belmont Park-C3 (1400m)
7:40pm (AEDT)

Race 5

Free Entry To Belmont Park-C3 (1400m)
7:40pm (AEDT)

1. Yuna Mailman (3) J: Ms Holly Watson (59.5kg) T: Ms P Kenney
5.565.5
2. Cheval De Vaga (2) J: Keshaw Dhurun (58.5kg) T: Meryl Hayley
444.25
3. Enticing (6) J: Laqdar Ramoly (58.5kg) T: J P Taylor
5.56.55.5
4. Airlie Queen (1) J: Patrick Carbery (58kg) T: G & A Williams
55.55.2
5. Captain Burglar (5) J: Chris Parnham (58kg) T: N D Parnham
5.54.85.4
6. Saturn Black (9) J: Shaun O'donnell (57.5kg) T: Deborah Murphy
109.58.6
7. Snippy Miss (7) J: Clint Johnston-Porter (57kg) T: A G Durrant
99.58.8
8. Yulong Earth (8) J: Troy Turner (57kg) T: M W Bairstow
414140
9. Datalka (4) J: Ms Victoria Corver (54.5kg) T: P H Jordan
413441

Odds Last Updated: December 15, 2021, 7:42pm (AEDT)

(2) Cheval De Vaga won impressively first up, defeating War Warrior and My Marlaina. I think that’s a decent form reference and a repeat performance would make him hard to beat again here.

(4) Airlie Queen gets barrier 1 here. Ran well at Pinjarra last start when ridden cold from the wide gate. Can be more positive here and feature in the finish.

(1) Yuna Mailman leads and will take running down, while (3) Enticing and (6) Saturn Black have claims.

(5) Captain Burglar finds himself in midweek grade again with Chris Parnham on. Bumped into a couple of smart ones last start in Nowhiteflag and Holy Enchantment. Can be in the finish.

Tip: (2) Cheval De Vaga $4.45 BoomBet

Betting Strategy: 1 unit WIN Cheval De Vaga

204957

Race 6

Glenroy Chaff Hcp (C1) (1600m)
8:15pm (AEDT)

Race 6

Glenroy Chaff Hcp (C1) (1600m)
8:15pm (AEDT)

1. Count Grundy (11) J: Brad Rawiller (60kg) T: R W Price
6.566.3
2. Comealilbitcloser (5) J: Shaun Mcgruddy (59.5kg) T: L P Luciani
4.24.24.55
3. Kasonori (8) J: Ms Kyra Yuill (59.5kg) T: Ms S L Miller
9.59.58.5
4. Act Innocent (4) J: Ms Shelby Bowtell (58kg) T: Raymond Vincent
141716.8
5. Lady Of Babylon (3) J: Brad Parnham (57.5kg) T: V A Brockman
111110.2
6. Rogues Point (9) J: Troy Turner (57kg) T: M W Bairstow
313428
7. Constant Dreaming (10) J: Clint Johnston-Porter (56.5kg) T: A G Durrant
2.72.82.7
8. Apache Rabbit (7) J: Ms Lucy Warwick (54.5kg) T: John Doyle
615145
9. Dynamic Force (2) J: Laqdar Ramoly (54.5kg) T: Meryl Hayley
192618.4
10. Belafonte Boy (6) J: Ms Lisa Staples (54kg) T: D Miller
91101101
11. Global Ruler (1) J: Shaun O'donnell (54kg) T: Andrew Dickson
191616

Odds Last Updated: December 15, 2021, 8:17pm (AEDT)

Think this is basically a two-horse race.

(7) Constant Dreaming was good on debut at Northam behind Hot Blooded, and the rider CJP was questioned about his tactics given he ran up backsides the length of the straight. He atoned for that with victory aboard her last start at Pinjarra. Gets back from the gate here but the mile will definitely suit and she looks the one to beat.

(2) Comealilbitcloser is the main danger, coming off a good run for 2nd last start over 1400m. He looks to be crying out for the mile now and should enjoy a good run midfield once again. He’s a hard horse to trust given he’s won just one race and run 2nd seven times, but he’ll be right in the finish again.

Tip: (7) Constant Dreaming $2.80 PlayUp

Betting Strategy: No bet

204957

Race 7

Seacorp (Rs0ly) (1600m)
8:50pm (AEDT)

Race 7

Seacorp (Rs0ly) (1600m)
8:50pm (AEDT)

1. Our Idyll (12) J: Ms Jade Mcnaught (60kg) T: Tiarnna Robertson
263429
2. Downforce (6) J: Laqdar Ramoly (59.5kg) T: N D Parnham
3.63.83.75
3. Chief Archer (1) J: Brad Rawiller (58kg) T: Jesse Byrne
171617.6
4. Yangtze Rapids (11) J: Patrick Carbery (57.5kg) T: Tiarnna Robertson
314137
5. Fashion Queen (9) J: Clint Johnston-Porter (57kg) T: A G Durrant
2.252.12.2
6. Uncle Lino (8) J: Taj Dyson (57kg) T: Raymond Vincent
263126.5
7. Off Wego (7) J: Ben Kennedy (56.5kg) T: A G Durrant
9108.6
8. Summit Trail (10) J: Keshaw Dhurun (55kg) T: Meryl Hayley
192120.5
9. Sunday Gin (5) J: Ms Shelby Bowtell (54.5kg) T: Raymond Vincent
126101101
10. Trade Prize (3) J: Shaun O'donnell (54.5kg) T: Campbell Mccallum
343429.5
11. Golden Bonney (4) J: Peter Knuckey (54kg) T: Ms J Mclaughlin
9.5129.6
12. Praying With God (2) J: Troy Turner (54kg) T: Ms S L Miller
678175

Odds Last Updated: December 15, 2021, 8:52pm (AEDT)

(2) Downforce finds his race today. Surely this is his day. It’s been 13 starts since he last won but the majority of that has been in Saturday grade and Neville Parnham places him perfectly here back to a No-Metro-Win midweek race. He was beaten a nose in Saturday grade last time out so should find this easier.

(8) Summit Trail looks the value at double figure odds. His run first up was very good, beaten 0.5L at Northam. He’s never placed in seven goes when fresh, but has placed in four from six when second up. Has a good record at the distance and is a definite each way chance.

(5) Fashion Queen won first up in Geraldton and has run 2nd in two subsequent starts. Obvious claims.

(7) Off Wego and (11) Golden Bonney not hopeless.

Tip: (2) Downforce $3.10 Ladbrokes

Value: (8) Summit Trail $12 Sportsbet

Betting Strategy: 1 unit WIN Downforce, 0.5 units WIN Summit Trail

A trip to Hong Kong quickly had Tim hooked to the racing caper, maintaining the best place anywhere in the world on a Wednesday night is Happy Valley. He holds a strong interest in the Hong Kong form, along with the metropolitan racing in Sydney and Melbourne. He’s a fan of dry tracks, Zac Purton and takes particular interest in identifying patterns in the form. Tim wears many hats, juggling the roles of form analyst, jockey manager and racehorse owner.

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