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Belmont Racing Tips: Wednesday, June 16th

Tim Geers previews every race on the card at Belmont on Wednesday with his tips and betting strategy.

belmont racing tips

Racing heads to Belmont on Wednesday for a seven-race card in the West.

The rail moves out to the 18m position, with a cutaway in the straight, which I expect will favour those on speed as it has in recent meetings.

The track is currently rated a Soft 5.

Tim Geers has previewed every race on the card below, with his tips and betting strategy.

Best Bet: Race 6 – (1) Miss Maranta

Best Value: Race 5 – (6) Rebel Heart

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Race 1

Tabtouch Better Your Bet-Rs0ly (1000m)
3:14pm (AEDT)

Race 1

Tabtouch Better Your Bet-Rs0ly (1000m)
3:14pm (AEDT)

1. Mystical View (4) J: Jett Stanley (60.5kg) T: A G Durrant
8.5888.58.58
2. Time Scale (6) J: Patrick Carbery (58.5kg) T: Simon Miller
2.152.152.12.12.152.1
3. Bourbon Beau (2) J: Ms Natasha Faithfull (57kg) T: Simon Miller
4.64.854.64.75
4. Crypto Queen (3) J: Brad Parnham (56.5kg) T: Brian Kersley
3.83.83.943.93.7
5. Ian's Special (5) J: Ms Kyra Yuill (56kg) T: Ms S L Miller
111111111012
6. Double Rush (1) J: Ms Holly Watson (55.5kg) T: D & B Pearce
343441413641

Odds Last Updated: June 16, 2021, 3:16pm (AEDT)

(2) Time Scale is knocking on the door for another win. He drops out of a 3YO Handicap in Saturday grade back to a Wednesday race. The form in particular behind the likes of Hot Zed and Graceful Girl looks very good and with even luck from the draw, should be hard to beat.

(3) Bourbon Beau is the stablemate and returns from a spell today. Should lead from barrier 2 and will give a good sight, and with the rail out 18m can be hard to run down.

(4) Crypto Queen won well on debut and was good again in 2nd last start. Draws softly to stalk the leaders and will be thereabouts.

(1) Mystical View should find this easier.

At the prices, will be backing Bourbon Beau and saving Time Scale.

Tip: Bourbon Beau $6.00 Bet365

Saver: (2) Time Scale $2.20 TAB

Betting Strategy: 0.5 units WIN Bourbon Beau, 0.5 units WIN Time Scale

0

Race 2

Peninsula Dining Room Mdn (1200m)
3:49pm (AEDT)

Race 2

Peninsula Dining Room Mdn (1200m)
3:49pm (AEDT)

1. Tallinn (1) J: Laqdar Ramoly (58kg) T: Brett Pope
1615151715.615
2. The Fibonacci (7) J: Ben Paterson (58kg) T: C & M Gangemi
151515171614
3. Forty Niner (3) J: Mitchell Pateman (58kg) T: Felicity Forbes-Ives
66.56.566.36.5
4. Business At Five (4) J: Ms Lisa Staples (58kg) T: Ms K Farrell
91101101101111101
5. My Top Secret (9) J: Ms Kristy Bennett (56kg) T: Ms P Wagg
81919112611181
6. Somethingready (2) J: Paul Harvey (56kg) T: R W Price
4.54.44.44.44.454.2
7. Memorable Miss (5) J: William Pike (56kg) T: G & A Williams
2.152.12.052.22.12
8. Short Talk (8) J: Brad Parnham (56kg) T: S J Miller
5.555.5654.8
9. Vital Speedster (6) J: Ms Kyra Yuill (56kg) T: D E Skipworth
516161817161

Odds Last Updated: June 16, 2021, 3:51pm (AEDT)

(8) Short Talk led on debut at Pinjarra and faded into 3rd, but she did hang out badly on the turn, Should improve from that experience and with the rail out 18m today, might take some catching from the front.

(7) Memorable Miss was ordinary on debut at Northam but improved last start at Pinjarra. Should take some beating on the back of that.

(6) Somethingready ran 4th in the same race as Short Talk first up, but did sit three-wide for most of it. Might be looking for further than this, but draws softly today. Form behind Graceful Girl looks good.

Tip: (8) Short Talk $4.00 TopSport

Betting Strategy: 1.5 units WIN Short Talk

0

Race 3

Crown Towers Hcp (C1) (1000m)
4:24pm (AEDT)

Race 3

Crown Towers Hcp (C1) (1000m)
4:24pm (AEDT)

1. Nobel Knight (1) J: Brad Parnham (60kg) T: D M Luciani
8.587.58.57.67.5
2. Paeroa Lad (6) J: Mitchell Pateman (60kg) T: M W Bairstow
76.56.57.56.46.5
3. Tapiconic (3) J: Ms Kyra Yuill (59.5kg) T: Steven Burton
1819171615.819
4. Parlare (2) J: Brad Rawiller (59kg) T: Russell Stewart
54.64.44.84.654.4
5. Playing Red (4) J: Chris Parnham (58.5kg) T: A G Durrant
65.55.5665.5
6. High Precision (10) J: Clint Johnston-Porter (58kg) T: Martin Allan
1414141413.214
7. Mind Tricks (7) J: Ms Jade Mcnaught (58kg) T: Tameeka Brown
161616161516
8. Schuhplatter (9) J: William Pike (58kg) T: G & A Williams
8.58898.38
9. Fish Hook (8) J: Jordan Turner (57.5kg) T: Martin Allan
1212121211.412
10. Sumusu (5) J: Paul Harvey (56.5kg) T: L Smith
4.855.55.555.5

Odds Last Updated: June 16, 2021, 4:26pm (AEDT)

(4) Parlare looks a decent bet here at $5.50. Showed good improvement from his first trial to his second trial when the blinkers went on. He showed much more pace out of the gates and was strong to the line, with the horse he beat then coming out and winning by 3.8L at Northam. Notable they choose to put him in a Class 1 in town rather than a maiden, so that signals that they think he’s pretty smart.

(5) Playing Red has been good in all three starts this prep but keeps coming up short. Draws well today and Parnham sticks so will be right in the finish again.

(7) Mind Tricks looks to be a horse that’s had some issues but also has some talent. Last prep she came from last and was held up until the final 100m behind He’s All Mighty, and followed it by running the fastest final 400m of the meeting at Bunbury behind Our Boy Dylan. Looks value at $15.

(10) Sumusu was luckless last start.

Tip: (4) Parlare $5.50 Ladbrokes

Value: (7) Mind Tricks $15 Ladbrokes

Betting Strategy: 1.5 unit WIN Parlare, 0.5 units WIN Mind Tricks

0

Race 4

Amelia Park Lodge Hcp (C3) (1200m)
5:00pm (AEDT)

Race 4

Amelia Park Lodge Hcp (C3) (1200m)
5:00pm (AEDT)

1. Excerpt (5) J: Clint Johnston-Porter (59kg) T: A G Durrant
3.23.23.23.33.153.2
2. Granrandell (10) J: Brad Rawiller (59kg) T: J N Pateman
1414151412.613
3. Powerful (1) J: Steven Parnham (59kg) T: N D Parnham
3.63.63.63.83.63.5
4. Count The Sessions (4) J: Chris Parnham (58.5kg) T: Roy Rogers
76.56.57.576
5. Sea War (7) J: Peter Knuckey (58.5kg) T: S J Wolfe
98.58.598.68.5
6. Carabinier (3) J: Craig Staples (57.5kg) T: P H Jordan
181818171618
7. Saving Memphis (2) J: Ryan Hill (57.5kg) T: P H Jordan
8191101101111101
8. Mcedith (6) J: Unknown (56.5kg) T: Ms S Bakranich
9. Rocky Path (12) J: Ms Kristy Bennett (56.5kg) T: Vaughn Sigley
109.59.599.19.5
10. Mims Win (13) J: Ms Holly Watson (56kg) T: G L Carige
2326211819.623
11. Magnuson Man (15) J: Ms Madi Derrick (55.5kg) T: Roy Rogers
12. Mambazo (11) J: Ms Natasha Faithfull (54kg) T: Tina Glasson
101126201101111126
13. Nodustonme (14) J: Unknown (54kg) T: P D Tapper
14. Our Pandemonium (8) J: Jason Whiting (54kg) T: S J Wolfe
1717171618.218
15. Cleve's Watching (9) J: Ms Sasha Starley (54kg) T: B P Graham
91101151101101101

Odds Last Updated: June 16, 2021, 5:01pm (AEDT)

Hardly inspired by York form but (1) Excerpt won well first up at his first start for the new stable and finds a winnable race in town to go on with it.

(3) Powerful went close at Northam last start and raced in a much harder race prior to that. Draws the inside here so gets the gun run and should go close.

(5) Sea War gets his preferred soft ground and can be competitive.

(4) Count The Sessions next best.

Tip: (1) Excerpt $3.00 Bet365

Betting Strategy: No bet

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Race 5

Schweppes Hcp (C1) (2100m)
5:37pm (AEDT)

Race 5

Schweppes Hcp (C1) (2100m)
5:37pm (AEDT)

1. Hezapro (3) J: Laqdar Ramoly (60kg) T: M Santich
353441413234
2. Ima Sly Fox (1) J: Alan Kennedy (60kg) T: Ms S L Miller
273134342634
3. Savvy Dan (11) J: Brad Rawiller (60kg) T: D L Morton
55.5665.65.5
4. English Heritage (15) J: William Pike (59kg) T: L Smith
2.72.72.72.72.752.7
5. Crossaro (16) J: Ms Holly Watson (58.5kg) T: Patrick Keating
6.56.56.566.16.5
6. Rebel Heart (10) J: Chris Parnham (58.5kg) T: D T Mcauliffe
76.5777.16.5
7. Mightiness (8) J: Jett Stanley (58kg) T: A G Durrant
262626262226
8. Choose Freedom (14) J: Ryan Hill (57.5kg) T: Jade Tangaroa
618181815981
9. Inahappydaze (13) J: Clint Johnston-Porter (57kg) T: D & B Pearce
161616171515
10. Velvet Room (7) J: Ms Kristy Bennett (56.5kg) T: Ms R Elliott
1212131110.212
11. Float Our Boat (4) J: Peter Knuckey (56kg) T: Tina Glasson
2121212121.523
12. Sunset Cruise (6) J: Joseph Azzopardi (55.5kg) T: S J Miller
2020201817.821
13. Completed (9) J: Jason Whiting (56kg) T: J G Pike
14. Arrowswift (12) J: Troy Turner (55kg) T: Ms R Lockwood
15. Bring Euro (2) J: Unknown (54.5kg) T: Ms K Farrell
16. Taxi (5) J: Unknown (54kg) T: R C Mcpherson

Odds Last Updated: June 16, 2021, 5:41pm (AEDT)

(6) Rebel Heart is a decent price at $6.00 here. I thought her run last start was terrific on a day where on-speed, on-rails was the place to be. She came from back and wide and loomed at the 200m like she’d win, but then those on the inside kicked again to hold her off. She was beaten less than a length and given the pattern of the day, I thought that was a very good effort. Up to 2100m now third up, Parnham sticks and if the track plays fair, she should go close.

(4) English Heritage has gone close her past two starts and now steps up to 2100m, which shouldn’t be an issue with this stable. Pike sticks and with any luck from the gate, looks the horse to beat.

The sneaky run of (1) Velvet Room was good last start, when coming from last a Pinjarra before running onto heels late. Up in distance should suit here and did win at this stage last prep.

(3) Savvy Dan next best.

Tip: (6) Rebel Heart $6.10 Sportsbetting

Value: (10) Velvet Room $13 Bet365

Betting Strategy: 1.5 units WIN Rebel Heart, 0.5 units WIN Velvet Room

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Race 6

Salinger Hcp (C3) (1650m)
6:12pm (AEDT)

Race 6

Salinger Hcp (C3) (1650m)
6:12pm (AEDT)

1. Miss Maranta (9) J: Ms Kristy Bennett (59kg) T: Vaughn Sigley
5.55.5665.15.5
2. Speedbird (8) J: Ms Jade Mcnaught (58.5kg) T: D & B Pearce
3. Luke's Choice (4) J: Unknown (58kg) T: Jarrad Noske
8888.57.68
4. Smile For Me (10) J: Ryan Hill (58kg) T: V A Brockman
98.5998.38.5
5. Amerissa (3) J: Clint Johnston-Porter (57.5kg) T: B P Graham
212126212323
6. What About Moi (7) J: Laqdar Ramoly (57.5kg) T: S V Vahala
7. Ava Express (13) J: Paul Harvey (57kg) T: Kieran Regan
99997.89
8. Vital Flirt (5) J: Brad Parnham (56kg) T: Ms K Farrell
5.555.554.854.8
9. Datalka (1) J: Craig Staples (55.5kg) T: P H Jordan
1515161514.616
10. Golden Bonney (12) J: Ms Kyra Yuill (55.5kg) T: Ms J Mclaughlin
9.59.5109.510.210
11. Paris Girl (6) J: Ms Beaux Banovic-Edwards (55kg) T: F R Kersley
55554.94.8
12. Quintaro (2) J: Jordan Turner (54.5kg) T: Brett Pope
2121262120.521
13. Altamont (11) J: Steven Parnham (54kg) T: N D Parnham
232626212326

Odds Last Updated: June 16, 2021, 6:16pm (AEDT)

Keen on the two Vaughn Sigley runners here.

(1) Miss Maranta is flying and broke through for a well-deserved win last start. We were on her there at big odds and there’s no reason to drop off today. She’s flying this prep. Surged late to run 2nd first up, ran hoem strongly second and third up, was held up horribly fourth up, and won last start. Up a couple of kilos from last start but with any luck from the draw, can win again.

(4) Smile For Me won four starts ago, the sat wide the trip three back, struck a heavy track two back and was beat a nose last start. Tricky draw to overcome but is racing well and looks a chance again today.

(11) Paris Girl next best.

Tip: (1) Miss Maranta $4.45 Sportsbetting

Saver: (4) Smile For Me $8.00 Sportsbet

Betting Strategy: 1.5 units WIN Miss Maranta, 0.25 units WIN Smile For Me

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Race 7

Mrs Macs Hcp (C3) (1650m)
6:47pm (AEDT)

Race 7

Mrs Macs Hcp (C3) (1650m)
6:47pm (AEDT)

1. Allez Allez (3) J: Ryan Hill (59.5kg) T: V A Brockman
54.85.5555
2. Said No One Ever (5) J: Chris Parnham (59.5kg) T: D L Morton
4.44.43.94.24.14.4
3. Albukhturi (12) J: Brad Parnham (59kg) T: C & M Gangemi
4. Miss Dominican (11) J: Ms Beaux Banovic-Edwards (58kg) T: F R Kersley
1514151413.815
5. Piccola Signora (7) J: Laqdar Ramoly (57kg) T: N D Parnham
3.53.43.63.53.653.3
6. Pretty Friar (2) J: Peter Knuckey (57kg) T: Ms J Erkelens
1513181615.816
7. Richardson (10) J: Jason Whiting (57kg) T: G L Carige
515151514751
8. Safe To Makeup (4) J: Ms Jade Mcnaught (56.5kg) T: J T Warwick
9. Shake The Bloom (13) J: Troy Turner (56kg) T: Jeremy Easthope
2120202120.521
10. Treasured Prize (6) J: William Pike (56kg) T: G & A Williams
87.58.58.57.67.5
11. Yeah Bravo (9) J: Ms Kyra Yuill (56kg) T: Ms J Mclaughlin
313431263534
12. Peri Peri Para (14) J: Joseph Azzopardi (55.5kg) T: K J Mifflin
1919192119.619
13. Flying Target (1) J: Ms Holly Watson (54.5kg) T: Ms C Stelmach
2326262123.531
14. Power And Passion (8) J: Craig Staples (54kg) T: P H Jordan
3434313426.534

Odds Last Updated: June 16, 2021, 6:52pm (AEDT)

(1) Allez Allez was sound first up, finishing less than a length off Brother Paddy over 1400m here. Won second up last prep, should appreciate the step up in trip today and gets a gun un from the draw. Looks hard to beat.

(2) Said No One Ever won two starts back before copping an awful run last start when caught wide throughout. Chris Parnham on today and a good barrier draw, will go close.

(5) Piccola Signora was beaten a nose over this track and distance two starts ago and was beaten less than a length in a Saturday race last start. Back in grade today and gets a nice claim, but query ahs to be where she gets to from the gate with the rail out 18m.

Tip: (1) Allez Allez $5.00 TAB

Betting Strategy: 1.5 units WIN Allez Allez

A trip to Hong Kong quickly had Tim hooked to the racing caper, maintaining the best place anywhere in the world on a Wednesday night is Happy Valley. He holds a strong interest in the Hong Kong form, along with the metropolitan racing in Sydney and Melbourne. He’s a fan of dry tracks, Zac Purton and takes particular interest in identifying patterns in the form. Tim wears many hats, juggling the roles of form analyst, jockey manager and racehorse owner.

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