Randwick-Kensington Racing Tips: Wednesday, June 16th

Race 1 Vinery Stud Mdn Plate (1100m) 12:50pm (AEDT)
1. Construct (10) J: Hugh Bowman (56kg) T: P & P Snowden	2.7	2.7	2.5	2.8	2.55	2.6
2. Decisive Strike (2) J: Regan Bayliss (56kg) T: A J Cummings	51	51	51	51	53	51
3. Famous Pedrille (4) J: Andrew Adkins (56kg) T: R J Quinton	17	18	18	18	16.8	18
4. Huesca (9) J: Brenton Avdulla (56kg) T: G Waterhouse & A Bott	4.4	4.4	4.4	4.6	4.5	4.4
5. Khumbu (8) J: Jason Collett (56kg) T: J A Steinmetz	91	81	81	101	97	81
6. Lucky Sun (1) J: Joshua Parr (56kg) T: Mark Newnham	5	5	5	5.5	5.3	4.8
7. Retrieval (5) J: Kerrin Mcevoy (56kg) T: James Cummings	5	4.8	5	5.5	5	4.8
8. Rhythmboat (3) J: James Mcdonald (56kg) T: C J Waller	17	17	18	21	18.6	17
9. Stariks (6) J: Jay Ford (56kg) T: Lee & Cherie Curtis	81	71	51	81	83	71
10. War Eternal (7) J: Ms Rachel King (56kg) T: Bjorn Baker	20	19	20	21	21.5	19

Odds Last Updated: June 16, 2021, 12:51pm (AEDT)

(1) Construct is the one with runs on the board, having tackled black-type races in his career to date. This is by far his easiest test and has trialled well leading into this. Think he may have come back at a new level this prep and I think we will see him string together a few wins following today. Is a deserved favourite and will take plenty of beating. 

(6) Lucky Sun was very good when competing first up as a gelding last start. He went forward and stuck on well to run 2nd behind Verne, who has since gone on to win a strong Saturday race at Randwick. That form is good for a race like this and he will only improve here today. 

(4) Huesca has had two trials in the lead up to his debut, winning both of them in different styles. The first saw him camp in behind the speed and let down late to win before leading throughout in his most recent where he showed a good kick in the straight. Clearly has ability and will be right in this.

Tip: (1) Construct - $3.60 at Bet365

Betting Strategy: 1 unit WIN Construct

Race 2 The Agency Real Estate Mdn (1100m) 1:25pm (AEDT)
1. Commands Respect (13) J: Andrew Adkins (56kg) T: John Thompson	151	151	151	201	161	151
2. Compassionate (3) J: Hugh Bowman (56kg) T: T J Bartley	12	12	13	12	13.2	12
3. Duchy Of Savoy (7) J: Brenton Avdulla (56kg) T: M, W & J Hawkes	3.2	2.9	3.1	3.4	3.4	3
4. Falsetto (12) J: Tim Clark (56kg) T: G Waterhouse & A Bott	4	4.4	4.4	4.4	4.1	4.4
5. Firstluv (9) J: Jason Collett (56kg) T: Bjorn Baker	16	16	15	16	14.4	16
6. Forzanini (4) J: Sam Clipperton (56kg) T: P & P Snowden	9	10	9	9	8.1	9.5
7. Glittery (10) J: Ms Rachel King (56kg) T: James Cummings	23	21	19	21	23	23
8. Hollow Dollar (5) J: Ms Alysha Collett (56kg) T: J C Coyle
9. Marishiten (6) J: Jay Ford (56kg) T: John Thompson	23	21	21	21	21.5	23
10. Mura Mura (8) J: Kerrin Mcevoy (56kg) T: P & P Snowden	4.2	4.2	4.4	4.2	4.05	4.2
11. Mystic Flame (2) J: Michael Heagney (56kg) T: Ms M Hopkins	201	201	201	301	321	251
12. Tanzimat (1) J: James Mcdonald (56kg) T: James Cummings	19	19	21	21	20.5	21
13. Squiggles (11) J: Joshua Parr (56kg) T: Mark Newnham	101	101	101	151	101	126

Odds Last Updated: June 16, 2021, 1:26pm (AEDT)

(3) Duchy Of Savoy was last seen at Caulfield on Australia Day, finishing 4th in the G3 Blue Diamond Preview behind the likes of Dosh, Tayla’s Moment and Frost Flowers. That form is clearly outstanding on paper and she has recently trialled very well at Rosehill. The stable clearly have an opinion of her and I think she looks a massive chance and I am happy to bet at the price on offer. 

Going off the trials, (4) Falsetto looks the main danger. Showed good improvement from the first trial to the most recent one and Tim Clark sticks with her today after riding in both. Will go straight to the top and will be the one to catch.

Tip: (3) Duchy Of Savoy - $3.80 at Bet365

Betting Strategy: 2.5 unit WIN Duchy Of Savoy

Race 3 Microphone @ Darley (Bm64) (1000m) 2:00pm (AEDT)
1. Sixgun (5) J: Joshua Parr (62kg) T: Mark Newnham	3.2	3.3	3.1	3.2	2.9	3.4
2. Kinloch (7) J: James Mcdonald (60kg) T: K A Lees	6.5	6	7	6	6.4	6
3. Magic On Ice (3) J: Koby Jennings (59.5kg) T: Grant Allard	46	41	61	51	59	41
4. Skedaddle (4) J: Kerrin Mcevoy (59kg) T: L J Bridge	1.95	1.95	2.1	2.1	2	1.9
5. The Wayfarer (1) J: Grant Buckley (59kg) T: R P Northam	41	34	41	34	43	31
6. Embeller (2) J: Hugh Bowman (58.5kg) T: John Thompson	13	12	13	12	13.2	12
7. Dominant Lady (9) J: Tim Clark (56.5kg) T: J C Deamer	67	67	67	71	73	61
8. Heart Of Siena (6) J: Jay Ford (56.5kg) T: Lee & Cherie Curtis	151	126	151	151	161	126
9. Stormborn (8) J: Ms Rachel King (56.5kg) T: Mark Newnham	18	18	18	19	17.4	18
10. Tight Ropes (10) J: Unknown (54kg) T: C J Waller

Odds Last Updated: June 16, 2021, 2:01pm (AEDT)

Not much meat on the bone but (4) Skedaddle looks one of the more certain picks around the country today. Was a very good winner on debut when well supported as a short-priced favourite and has since trailed up nicely. The stable have taken their time with this horse and I think she will go on to win bigger and better races than this. Obviously very hard to beat but can’t dive into the red odds. Will be a bet if we can get $2+ late.

(1) Sixgun is an obvious threat having run well in much stronger races than this. Will only be fitter now 3rd up from a spell and just needs to carry the big weight to be a chance. 

(2) Kinloch was very good when finishing 2nd in this grade at this track a month ago. That was off the back of a very long spell and will only take improvement into this race today.

Tip: (4) Skedaddle - $1.70 at Bet365

Betting Strategy: No Bet

Race 4 Tab (Bm72) (1800m) 2:35pm (AEDT)
1. Decroux (8) J: Joshua Parr (60.5kg) T: J C Deamer	20	21	21	21	23	21
2. My Swashbuckler (2) J: Hugh Bowman (60.5kg) T: K A Lees	9.5	9	9	9.5	8.3	8.5
3. So Wicked (10) J: James Mcdonald (60kg) T: C J Waller	3.5	3.5	3.5	3.6	3.5	3.4
4. Time Raid (3) J: Ms Louise Day (60kg) T: J C Deamer	8	8	7.5	8.5	8.4	7.5
5. Jungle Book (5) J: Jason Collett (58.5kg) T: Clare Cunningham	3.4	3.4	3.4	3.4	3.5	3.3
6. Poulton Le Sands (1) J: Ms Rachel King (57kg) T: A J Denham	17	18	17	18	17.8	17
7. Devil Dan (7) J: Brock Ryan (54.5kg) T: Paul Murray	7	6.5	7	6.5	5.9	6
8. Roseirro (4) J: Mathew Cahill (54.5kg) T: T J Robinson	11	13	16	15	14.4	15
9. Hendo's Magic (6) J: Tyler Schiller (54kg) T: G L Frazer	31	26	26	21	31	26
10. Chief Kidder (9) J: Jay Ford (54kg) T: Mark De Montfort	41	34	34	34	40	34

Odds Last Updated: June 16, 2021, 2:36pm (AEDT)

Not a race I’m overly keen on but (7) Devil Dan looks as good a chance as any down in the weights. Won well in bm64 grade at Kembla last start, beating home Admit It (who won yesterday but was disqualified post race). Should get the gun run from gate 7 and with only 52.5kg after the claim, will be strong late. 

(5) Jungle Book was a surprise winner over the mile at Warwick Farm, and may have turned the corner in his prep. Looks suited getting up t0 1800m where he has a good record. Just can’t get him as short as he is given his recent SP profile. 

(4) Time Raid is on the quick backup from last week and should be more suited getting to the Kenso track. Was a winner at his only start this track/trip and will be rock hard fit now.

Tip: (7) Devil Dan - $6.00 at Sportsbet

Betting Strategy: No Bet

Race 5 Heineken (Bm72) (1550m) 3:10pm (AEDT)
1. Nyami (10) J: James Mcdonald (60.5kg) T: C J Waller	6	5.5	5.5	5.5	5.5	5.5
2. Spanish Point (4) J: Hugh Bowman (60.5kg) T: K A Lees	14	15	16	15	15	15
3. Bentley Magic (1) J: Ms Louise Day (60kg) T: Matthew Smith	20	20	21	21	21	21
4. Olympic Legend (6) J: Kerrin Mcevoy (60kg) T: L J Bridge	5	5	5	5	4.95	5
5. Picaro (5) J: Unknown (60kg) T: G Portelli	15	16	16	16	16.6	17
6. Reinvest (8) J: Brenton Avdulla (59.5kg) T: G Waterhouse & A Bott	5	5	4.8	5.5	5	5
7. Herzegovina (3) J: Andrew Adkins (57kg) T: S C Jones	31	31	31	31	32	31
8. Lisdoonvarna (7) J: Ms Kathy O'hara (57kg) T: Ms A Turner	10	10	11	10	10.8	10
9. Power Of Attorney (2) J: Sam Clipperton (57kg) T: Peter Robl	34	34	34	34	35	34
10. Maccomo (9) J: Tyler Schiller (56kg) T: Joseph Pride	3.4	3.4	3.3	3.4	3.2	3.4

Odds Last Updated: June 16, 2021, 3:11pm (AEDT)

I like the setup for (4) Olympic Legend today who looks well placed in this kind of race. Gets to 1550m now 3rd up from a spell and has been building all prep to a peak performance. Has won over this track/trip and is always strong 3rd up. Maps for a nice run with Mcevoy to ride and should be going close. 

(1) Nyami is as honest as they come and was a tough winner last start over this distance. Jmac has a good relationship with this horse and you’d imagine he is right in the finish. 

(6) Reinvest is still very lightly raced and was solid first up two weeks ago. Will only strip fitter from that and his debut prep showed he has talent.

Tip: (4) Olympic Legend - $4.80 at Bet365

Betting Strategy: 1 unit WIN Olympic Legend

Race 6 China Horse Club (Bm72) (1100m) 3:45pm (AEDT)
1. Broken Arrows (1) J: Hugh Bowman (62.5kg) T: M J Dunn	7.5	7.5	7.5	7.5	7.6	7.5
2. Americana Magic (6) J: Koby Jennings (61kg) T: Grant Allard	18	20	21	21	18.4	21
3. Accelerato (5) J: Tim Clark (59.5kg) T: Joseph Pride	5	5	4.8	4.8	4.9	5
4. Gin 'N' Bitters (3) J: James Mcdonald (59kg) T: Billy Healey	3.9	3.6	3.8	4.2	4.25	3.6
5. Hibiscus Lady (11) J: Ms Louise Day (58kg) T: R J Quinton	6	6	4.8	5.5	5.3	5.5
6. Sedition (2) J: Tyler Schiller (58kg) T: Richard Litt	16	17	17	18	17.6	17
7. Goldfinch (12) J: Jason Collett (57.5kg) T: R S Englebrecht	13	13	10	12	11.6	13
8. Leave Me Some (7) J: Brandon Griffiths (57kg) T: Grant Marshall	15	16	12	14	16	16
9. Lord Zoulander (9) J: Unknown (56kg) T: G Portelli
10. Kawaikini (4) J: Ms Rachel King (55kg) T: J C Coyle	13	13	13	14	14	13
11. Wicked Wench (8) J: Kerrin Mcevoy (54kg) T: Adam Duggan	21	21	21	21	21.5	23
12. Neretva (10) J: Brock Ryan (54kg) T: Grant Allard	18	21	21	21	18.8	23

Odds Last Updated: June 16, 2021, 3:46pm (AEDT)

Pretty keen on the QLD visitor in (4) Gin ‘n’ Bitters who has built a handy record up North and am interested to see how he measures up down here. Has plenty of speed and usually puts his best performances in when 1st up from a spell. So long as the track isn’t any worse than a soft 7 I think this horse looks very hard to beat today.

(5) Hibiscus Lady looks the other winning chance for mine. Looks suited dropping back in grade and slightly rising in trip from a solid first up run. Is a much better horse with a run under her belt and happy to have something on at the $8+.

Tip: (4) Gin ‘n’ Bitters - $3.20 at Bet365

Also Backing: (5) Hibiscus Lady - $8.00 at Sportsbet

Betting Strategy: 2 unit WIN Gin ‘n’ Bitters, 0.5 unit WIN Hibiscus Lady

Race 7 Sky Racing (Bm72) (1300m) 4:20pm (AEDT)
1. Juventus (3) J: Ms Louise Day (61kg) T: K A Lees
2. Night Of Power (11) J: Tim Clark (61kg) T: Bjorn Baker	11	11	11	11	11	12
3. El Buena (12) J: Joshua Parr (60kg) T: C J Waller
4. Mollycoddle (9) J: Jason Collett (59.5kg) T: James Cummings	8.5	8.5	9.5	9	9	9
5. Vitesse (10) J: James Mcdonald (59.5kg) T: C J Waller	3.5	3.6	3.4	3.4	3.55	3.6
6. Strawb (8) J: Koby Jennings (59kg) T: Nathan Doyle	17	18	19	18	19.2	19
7. Tamerlane (5) J: Hugh Bowman (58.5kg) T: James Cummings	6	6	6	6	5.7	5.5
8. Lennon (6) J: Kerrin Mcevoy (57.5kg) T: L J Bridge	3.4	3.4	3.5	3.8	3.25	3.3
9. Kaptive (7) J: Brenton Avdulla (57kg) T: M, W & J Hawkes	14	13	13	16	14.2	12
10. Bob's Your Uncle (1) J: Ms Kathy O'hara (56.5kg) T: Craig Carmody	13	14	12	14	14.2	15
11. Nicochet (4) J: Unknown (55kg) T: J C Coyle	61	51	61	61	49	61
12. Tri Nations (2) J: Unknown (54kg) T: Edward Cummings	46	51	51	51	49	51

Odds Last Updated: June 16, 2021, 4:21pm (AEDT)

(7) Tamerlane couldn’t have been more impressive when winning 1st up over 1200m. Hugh Bowman made a rare trip to Gosford for that and whe ill take the ride once again today. Was a winner last prep over this trip and maps for a perfect run throughout. Should be very strong late.

(4) Mollycoddle should give this a pretty good shake back to a race of this quality. Was outclassed in the Denise Joy Stakes at Rosehill after a very good first up win in this grade. Keen to see her out to 1300m 3rd up. 

(8) Lennon has started well in the market in every race this prep but things just haven’t panned out well for him. Will be ready to peak 4th up today but looks short enough. 

Happy to play both Godolphins to return a result on the race.

Tip: (7) Tamerlane - $6.00 at Ladbrokes

Also Backing: (4) Mollycoddle - $6.50 at bet365

Betting Strategy: 0.5 unit WIN Tamerlane, 0.5 unit WIN Mollycoddle