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Belmont Racing Tips: Wednesday, November 24th

Tim Geers previews every race at Belmont on Wednesday as we build towards Winterbottom Stakes day.

belmont racing tips

Midweek racing continues at Belmont in Western Australia on Wednesday afternoon as we build towards the Group 1 Winterbottom Stakes on Saturday.

We’re racing on a Good 4 with the rail out 11m the entire circuit.

Tim Geers has previewed every race on the card below, with his best bet coming up in Race 6.

Best Bet: Race 6 – (2) English Heritage

Best Value: Race 3 – (10) Kiss Me More

TAB Play Central

203355

Race 1

Free Entry Belmont Park-Rs0ly (1200m)
4:24pm (AEDT)

Race 1

Free Entry Belmont Park-Rs0ly (1200m)
4:24pm (AEDT)

1. Advanced (5) J: William Pike (59kg) T: G & A Williams
2.452.452.42.252.4
2. Safety Fuse (2) J: Chris Parnham (58.5kg) T: D L Morton
2.82.82.82.652.8
3. Knot Secret (1) J: Shaun Mcgruddy (58kg) T: S J Wolfe
4.64.64.64.654.6
4. Momentious (3) J: Ms Holly Watson (58kg) T: Darren Taylor
26263121.531
5. Northern Ruler (6) J: Shaun O'donnell (58kg) T: Ms J Erkelens
5.55.566.16
6. Paris Dolce (4) J: Ms Jade Mcnaught (56kg) T: Ms J Mitchell
3131343434

(2) Safety Fuse has won two of her past three starts and sat three-wide the trip in the one she lost. The form from her last win is good, with Memorable Miss coming out and winning its next start. Draws well for Chris Parnham and will be hard to beat again.

(1) Advanced potentially wasn’t suited last start when sitting back in the field on a day where the rail was very hot early. Blinkers on for the first time today.

(3) Knot Secret was outclassed first up and was fair last start in that same race as Advanced, though did get the rails run in transit. McGruddy back on from the inside draw today are both positives and wouldn’t shock to see him run a good race.

(5) Northern Ruler trialled much better this time around and will go forward and take some catching.

The other two are no hope.

Tip: (2) Safety Fuse $3.00 Ladbrokes

Betting Strategy: No bet

203355

Race 2

Tabtouch Better Your Bet Mdn (1200m)
4:59pm (AEDT)

Race 2

Tabtouch Better Your Bet Mdn (1200m)
4:59pm (AEDT)

1. For Our Nic (2) J: Ms Victoria Corver (58kg) T: G A Crispin
26262623.526
2. Ampitup Black (7) J: Brad Rawiller (58kg) T: Ms L M Newman
23212123.523
3. Kutsanya (9) J: Ms Maddy Cornick (58kg) T: Roy Rogers
26262622.526
4. Lucie Manette (8) J: Ms Holly Watson (56kg) T: B H Hyde
6781815981
5. Valbani (5) J: Brad Parnham (56kg) T: Brian Kersley
19181816.218
6. Bell Lap (1) J: Ms Nicole Hopwood (56kg) T: S J Miller
9.511118.811
7. Bring The Bling (6) J: Jason Whiting (54kg) T: W J Bradshaw
1316191619
8. Uni Queen (3) J: Shaun O'donnell (54kg) T: Ms J Erkelens
3.23.12.83.252.8
9. The Velvet Queen (10) J: Chris Parnham (54kg) T: D T Mcauliffe
1.81.71.81.71.8
10. So In Love (4) J: Ms Lucy Warwick (54kg) T: Misty Bazeley
3131342534

(9) The Velvet Queen ran into the likes of It’sarayday and The Front Bar on debut last prep. Sat three-wide the trip and still ran 3rd. That form is elite, with It’sarayday winning the Fairetha Stakes and The Front Bar now having won four from seven. Tricky draw for Chris Parnham again today but looks a good race for her first up.

(6) Bell Lap gets an enormous jockey change today with Shaun McGruddy a late replacement for the indisposed Nicole Hopwood. Debut run was good, sitting three-wide the trip and battling on for 5th. Draws the inside barrier today and can give this a good shake.

(8) Uni Queen trialled well.

(3) Kutsanya will go forward and will run well.

Tip: (6) Bell Lap $8.00 TAB

Saver: (9) The Velvet Queen $2.00 TopSport

Betting Strategy: 1 unit WIN Bell Lap, 1 unit WIN The Velvet Queen

203355

Race 3

Amelia Park Mdn (1200m)
5:35pm (AEDT)

Race 3

Amelia Park Mdn (1200m)
5:35pm (AEDT)

1. Mr Fahrenheit (4) J: Shaun Mcgruddy (58kg) T: T M Andrews
12111110.211
2. Halatorion (2) J: Ms Maddy Cornick (58kg) T: Roy Rogers
9.5111011.212
3. Cut The Cord (1) J: Jarrad Noske (58kg) T: Hayden Ballantyne
4.64.54.43.954.4
4. Not A Word (5) J: Ms Jade Mcnaught (58kg) T: Roy Rogers
27262624.526
5. Hear Me Sing (3) J: Peter Knuckey (56kg) T: S J Wolfe
2326262026
6. Miss Intention (9) J: Ms Victoria Corver (56kg) T: G M Ayres
4141414341
7. Seeable (10) J: William Pike (56kg) T: Brock Lewthwaite
3.43.63.73.43.7
8. Dadirra (7) J: Steven Parnham (54kg) T: F R Kersley
4.64.44.24.654.2
9. Seduce Me (8) J: Brad Parnham (54kg) T: Simon Miller
4.54.64.84.84.8
10. Kiss Me More (6) J: Shaun O'donnell (54kg) T: Ms J Clements
35343426.534

Probably needs further than 1200m but (10) Kiss Me More looks way over the odds at $51 after a good recent trial behind subsequent winner Rockin’ Rupert. The winner put 6L on the rest of the field and this filly made good ground out wide. Likely to be well back again and as mentioned, in need of more ground, but she’s a huge price.

(7) Seeable and (8) Dadirra come out of the same race behind Frigid and that form has stacked up with Acefire bolting in last week.

(1) Mr Fahrenheit has placed in six of 10 starts and will be hitting the line hard first up. Nearly won fresh last prep over a similar distance.

Chances don’t end there in a wide-open race.

Tip: (10) Kiss Me More $51/$11 Sportsbet

Betting Strategy: 0.25 units E/W Kiss Me More

203355

Race 4

The Tabtouch Masters Hcp (C3) (1000m)
6:10pm (AEDT)

Race 4

The Tabtouch Masters Hcp (C3) (1000m)
6:10pm (AEDT)

1. Trevern (5) J: Keshaw Dhurun (60kg) T: J P Taylor
2.72.72.62.652.6
2. Ghost Who Walks (1) J: Brad Parnham (59kg) T: N D Parnham
4.2444.254
3. Kick A Goal Son (6) J: William Pike (59kg) T: J F Miller
5.55.55.55.65.5
4. So Sway (3) J: Jarrad Noske (58.5kg) T: Tiarnna Robertson
9.598.59.28.5
5. Llessur (4) J: Chris Parnham (58kg) T: M L Lane
888.56.88.5
6. My Blueboy (8) J: Brad Rawiller (58kg) T: P E Roberts
17161614.416
7. Shock Result (7) J: Ms Kate Southam (56.5kg) T: P H Jordan
14121512.615
8. Pure Dynamite (2) J: Steven Parnham (55kg) T: N D Parnham
1111129.212

Wide open race.

(2) Ghost Who Walks finds a very suitable race today with an inside draw to boot. He was held up until about the 200m mark last start and hit the line well. Form behind Treasured Star and God Has Chosen in particular looks very good.

Stablemate (8) Pure Dynamite was also good over track and distance last start behind Heavenly Waters, who was beaten narrowly on Sunday at its next start. Good draw and senior jockey on today.

(4) So Sway ran the quickest trial of the morning when winning its heat in 1:01.10 here a couple of weeks back. Bar plates are off first up today so maybe they’ve got its feet right and we will see the best of him.

(1) Trevern will take catching from the front.

Tip: (2) Ghost Who Walks $5.50 BoomBet

Value: (8) Pure Dynamite $12 TAB

Betting Strategy: 0.5 units WIN Ghost Who Walks, 0.25 units WIN Pure Dynamite

203355

Race 5

Crown Perth (Rs0ly) (1300m)
6:50pm (AEDT)

Race 5

Crown Perth (Rs0ly) (1300m)
6:50pm (AEDT)

1. Spillinova (2) J: Ms Rosie Mahony (63kg) T: J P Taylor
4.53.54.43.954.4
2. State Attorney (6) J: Jett Stanley (62.5kg) T: Michael Grantham
5.55.565.76
3. Island Missile (8) J: Brad Rawiller (59.5kg) T: C & M Gangemi
3.53.73.83.63.8
4. Point Taken (7) J: Ms Holly Watson (58kg) T: J P Taylor
14141411.814
5. Great Charade (4) J: Taj Dyson (56.5kg) T: T M Andrews
15141315.213
6. Heart Of Coeur (1) J: Ms Natasha Faithfull (56.5kg) T: Steven Burton
1010109.210
7. Safety Bay (5) J: Ms Beaux Banovic-Edwards (56kg) T: F R Kersley
4.44.244.454
8. Katona (9) J: Patrick Carbery (54.5kg) T: R G Turrell Jnr
1313131113
9. Lock Her In (3) J: Ms Kristy Bennett (54kg) T: Kate Kersley
3534343434

Another wide-open race.

(8) Katona was a very good run with no luck two starts back behind Triple Missile but was a touch flat last time out. I think he’s worth giving another chance to at big odds today.

(6) Heart Of Couer wasn’t a bad run first up and then sat three-wide the trip on speed last start and still proved way too good. Going to need a good run from Tash Faithfull today from the inside gate.

(3) Island Missile has won two of his past three starts and you just about have to back anything the Gangemi’s saddle up at the moment.

(2) State Attorney drops out of 66+ grade back to a Wednesday with a claim and blinkers on for the first time. Points to a big run here.

Tip: (8) Katona $17 TopSport

Betting Strategy: 0.25 units WIN Katona

203355

Race 6

Schweppes Hcp (C1) (1400m)
7:25pm (AEDT)

Race 6

Schweppes Hcp (C1) (1400m)
7:25pm (AEDT)

1. Broadway Girl (10) J: Shaun O'donnell (60kg) T: Ms K Pisconeri
1212121012
2. English Heritage (5) J: William Pike (59.5kg) T: L Smith
3.23.12.92.752.9
3. Kardashian Klass (6) J: Jarrad Noske (59.5kg) T: Kieran Mcdonagh
4141414341
4. Miner Addiction (2) J: Ms Lucy Warwick (59kg) T: Darren Taylor
5151513851
5. Midnight Mystery (3) J: Patrick Carbery (58.5kg) T: A D Mathews
9.598.57.88.5
6. Izzy May (9) J: Brad Parnham (58kg) T: Jade Tangaroa
5161615161
7. Jay Dee (1) J: Jason Whiting (58kg) T: G J Mcpherson
5.55.555.65.5
8. Footsteps (11) J: Shaun Mcgruddy (57.5kg) T: A G Durrant
3541413041
9. Star Of Rosie (7) J: Clint Johnston-Porter (57kg) T: A G Durrant
3.94.24.44.454.4
10. Patchwork (8) J: Chris Parnham (56.5kg) T: Martin Allan
4.54.855.15
11. Tiny'n'tuff (4) J: Ms Jade Mcnaught (55kg) T: Matthew Scott
618110191101

(2) English Heritage gets Pike on today after three runs for Joe Azzopardi this prep. They throw the blinkers on for the first time so it signals she may be ready to win now.

(9) Star Of Rosie was a decent enough win on debut. Finds a harder race today but can be competitive.

(10) Patchwork drops out of Stakes company back to a midweek Class 1 for fillies and mares.

Tip: (2) English Heritage $2.90 BlueBet

Betting Strategy: 2 units WIN English Heritage

203355

Race 7

Furphy Hcp (C1) (1400m)
8:05pm (AEDT)

Race 7

Furphy Hcp (C1) (1400m)
8:05pm (AEDT)

1. Natural Spice (9) J: Troy Turner (59.5kg) T: P E Roberts
34343425.534
2. Soviet Spy (10) J: Clint Johnston-Porter (59.5kg) T: A G Durrant
26262623.526
3. Tapiconic (13) J: Ms Fiona Bell (59.5kg) T: Steven Burton
27262627.526
4. Mascherano (2) J: Ms Natasha Faithfull (59kg) T: Emma Aldersea
3126262926
5. Acefire (7) J: William Pike (58.5kg) T: Roy Rogers
1.951.951.951.961.95
6. Let's Galahvant (1) J: Joseph Azzopardi (58.5kg) T: D & B Pearce
8.58.597.29
7. Magnificent Andy (4) J: Brad Parnham (58.5kg) T: S J Miller
6.56.56.56.66.5
8. Man Of The Hour (11) J: Keshaw Dhurun (58.5kg) T: D L Morton
6161616161
9. Music Machine (3) J: Ms Mollie Clark (58.5kg) T: Raquel Reid
101126101131126
10. North Lane (8) J: Taj Dyson (58.5kg) T: F R Kersley
7171717371
11. Without Reg (6) J: Ms Jade Mcnaught (58.5kg) T: Rhys Radford
19191919.219
12. Hilton (5) J: Chris Parnham (57.5kg) T: D T Mcauliffe
444.23.554.2
13. Rain Card (12) J: Jason Whiting (57kg) T: G A Crispin
6171818381

(5) Acefire was a big run two starts back when three-wide the trip and still hitting the line for 3rd. They threw Pike on last week and went straight to the front and bolted in. Quick back-up again today for the third straight week but if he runs like he did last week, he’ll win again.

(6) Let’s Galahvant was backed off the map last start and duly saluted. Harder race today but gets the inside draw.

(12) Hilton broke the maiden at Narrogin on debut and did it easily. Again, this is harder but couldn’t do much more than what he did last start.

Tip: (5) Acefire $1.85 Bet365

Betting Strategy: No bet

203355

Race 8

Mumm Champagne Hcp (C3) (2100m)
8:40pm (AEDT)

Race 8

Mumm Champagne Hcp (C3) (2100m)
8:40pm (AEDT)

1. Lady Duckworth (7) J: Brad Rawiller (60kg) T: Darren Taylor
6.56.557.17
2. Alimentaria (8) J: Chris Graham (59kg) T: Ms T Itzstein
6.56.56.57.16.5
3. Black Chips (12) J: Ms Lucy Warwick (59kg) T: Tony Giglietta
17161512.815
4. Phenomenal Anomaly (5) J: Clint Johnston-Porter (58.5kg) T: A G Durrant
8.587.56.77.5
5. Vanman (2) J: William Pike (58.5kg) T: G & A Williams
777.567.5
6. Sunday Gin (1) J: Keshaw Dhurun (58kg) T: Raymond Vincent
3534343234
7. Admired (13) J: Jason Whiting (57.5kg) T: G A Crispin
1112131113
8. Red Hot Hope (14) J: Steven Parnham (57.5kg) T: N D Parnham
12111112.211
9. Choose Freedom (6) J: Brad Parnham (56.5kg) T: Jade Tangaroa
5.566.56.66.5
10. Rogues Point (4) J: Laqdar Ramoly (56.5kg) T: M W Bairstow
1616171317
11. Red Cadillac (15) J: Ms Jade Mcnaught (55.5kg) T: Fenella Martin
12111111.611
12. Bryce Road (9) J: Ms Natasha Faithfull (54.5kg) T: K J Reeves
8181816381
13. Fairdelicious (11) J: Patrick Carbery (54.5kg) T: B M Smithall
3534343634
14. Taxi (3) J: Shaun O'donnell (54.5kg) T: R C Mcpherson
17161613.616
15. Wild Galah (10) J: Troy Turner (54.5kg) T: Ms C Stelmach
2321212023

You couldn’t tempt me to back anything in this.

(1) Lady Duckworth might be ready now third up from a spell but does have to carry all the weight. Has had two runs back now to get fit and it was when she got to this distance last prep that she was effective.

(4) Phenomenal Anomaly was well backed last start when getting up in distance and got the job done. Huge concerns over the strength of that race though.

(8) Red Hot Hope was good from the back of the field last start, particularly through the line. Will be right back there again from barrier 13 though and will have plenty to do.

Plenty of other chances.

Tip: (1) Lady Duckworth $6.50 Bet365

Value: (8) Red Hot Hope $15 BetDeluxe

Betting Strategy: No bet

A trip to Hong Kong quickly had Tim hooked to the racing caper, maintaining the best place anywhere in the world on a Wednesday night is Happy Valley. He holds a strong interest in the Hong Kong form, along with the metropolitan racing in Sydney and Melbourne. He’s a fan of dry tracks, Zac Purton and takes particular interest in identifying patterns in the form. Tim wears many hats, juggling the roles of form analyst, jockey manager and racehorse owner.

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