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Belmont Racing Tips: Wednesday, September 22nd

Tim Geers previews Wednesday’s eight-race card at Belmont with his tips and best bets.

belmont racing tips

Midweek racing today heads to Belmont in WA for an eight-race card.

The track is rated a Good 4 and the rail is out 18m with a cutaway in the straight.

This will be the final midweek meeting of the current winter racing season at Belmont

Tim Geers has previewed every race on the card with his racing tips and best bets below!

Best Bet: Race 3 – (7) Justamiddy

Best Value: Race 7 – (11) Jadavi & (9) Holyoake

TAB Sky Racing

198311

Race 1

Free Entry To Belmont Park Mdn (1400m)
3:14pm (AEDT)

Race 1

Free Entry To Belmont Park Mdn (1400m)
3:14pm (AEDT)

1. Lindram Walter (9) J: Laqdar Ramoly (57kg) T: S & J Casey
6.56.56.56.56.66.5
2. Amelia's Belief (8) J: William Pike (57kg) T: Brian Rogers
2321262626.523
3. Pale Rider (1) J: Mitchell Pateman (57kg) T: E A Martinovich
2.72.72.72.82.62.7
4. Prince Imortall (5) J: Peter Knuckey (57kg) T: S J Rowe
353434414134
5. Blue Card (4) J: Ryan Hill (57kg) T: P H Jordan
516161616361
6. Shotgun Roca (3) J: Ms Kyra Yuill (57kg) T: R W Matthews
413434514134
7. Champagne Dame (2) J: Ms Chloe Azzopardi (55kg) T: D T Mcauliffe
2.352.32.22.42.352.2
8. Goldrush Girl (7) J: Jett Stanley (55kg) T: Tiarnna Robertson
9. English Bay (6) J: Chris Parnham (55kg) T: Martin Allan
7.57.576.57.27.5

Odds Last Updated: September 22, 2021, 3:16pm (AEDT)

Pretty keen on (3) Pale Rider here who is flying without winning. First up he settled last and was the only horse to break 11 seconds for his final furlong. He then backed up quickly the next week and was beaten less than a length, once again running home strongly. He now backs up for the third week in a row and gets up to 1400m. There was a tactics change last start that they wanted to settle more forward, but he ended up near last again. Expect him to settle forward today if he jumps with them.

(7) Champagne Dame led in the same race as Pale Rider on debut, where Pale Rider ran 4th. Should go forward and take it up here and will be hard to run down getting straight up to 1400m.

Tip: (3) Pale Rider $2.70 Ladbrokes

Betting Strategy: 1.5 units WIN Pale Rider

198311

Race 2

Quayclean Mdn (1400m)
3:49pm (AEDT)

Race 2

Quayclean Mdn (1400m)
3:49pm (AEDT)

1. Askance (2) J: Ms Lucy Warwick (58kg) T: N Parker
2021212618.821
2. Let The Dust Fly (5) J: Paul Harvey (56kg) T: P D Tapper
81811018183101
3. Enchanting Girl (3) J: Steven Parnham (56kg) T: Campbell Mccallum
615167515361
4. Star In Time (1) J: Ryan Hill (56kg) T: Fenella Martin
76766.96
5. Aztec Gold (9) J: Patrick Carbery (56kg) T: B A Miller
181920211719
6. I'm Believable (6) J: Clint Johnston-Porter (55.5kg) T: A G Durrant
202121212021
7. Be My Guide (7) J: Shaun O'donnell (55.5kg) T: Rhys Radford
2626342627.531
8. My Fury (8) J: William Pike (53.5kg) T: D T Mcauliffe
1.351.41.351.41.41.4
9. Reel Safe (4) J: Ms Jade Mcnaught (53.5kg) T: D & B Pearce
1010109.51010

Odds Last Updated: September 22, 2021, 3:51pm (AEDT)

There’s no world where I’d be taking $1.45 about (8) My Fury here, who has gone down at $2.00 and $1.95 in her past two starts. Pike goes on today and she finds a much easier race back to maiden grade, but I wouldn’t be launching in at that price.

(4) Star In Time resumed in a decent race first up at Northam behind River Rubicon, who then ran well in Saturday grade on the weekend. Draws the inside and can improve.

Tip: (4) Star In Time $6.10 BoomBet

Betting Strategy: No bet

198311

Race 3

Mrs Macs Mdn (1400m)
4:24pm (AEDT)

Race 3

Mrs Macs Mdn (1400m)
4:24pm (AEDT)

1. Pints And Prawns (4) J: Brad Rawiller (58kg) T: Brock Lewthwaite
413434414141
2. There's A Thought (9) J: Chris Parnham (56kg) T: D L Morton
443.943.74
3. Sembello (5) J: Ryan Hill (56kg) T: Jade Tangaroa
354151414141
4. Peppi Grove (6) J: Ms Jade Mcnaught (56kg) T: J E Grieve
414151515341
5. That'll Be Nice (10) J: Brad Parnham (56kg) T: G P Poletti
616171617371
6. Kandaka (2) J: Clint Johnston-Porter (56kg) T: A G Durrant
9998.59.69.5
7. Justamiddy (8) J: Laqdar Ramoly (55.5kg) T: N D Parnham
2.352.32.42.42.252.25
8. Zadar Rock (1) J: Jason Brown (55.5kg) T: J P Taylor
4.64.44.44.64.654.2
9. Hannele (3) J: Patrick Carbery (53.5kg) T: Simon Miller
1618191915.619
10. Jamaica Jeuney (7) J: Ms Chloe Azzopardi (53.5kg) T: D T Mcauliffe
171919191619

Odds Last Updated: September 22, 2021, 4:26pm (AEDT)

(7) Justamiddy looks extremely hard to beat here. He trialled well leading into his debut and ran well on race day behind the smart Red Fifty Three. He settled last and ran home strongly despite hanging in. He the lined up last Wednesday and was beaten a nostril by Miner Addiction, another horse which came out of that race behind Red Fifty Three. The form looks very good and we just need some good riding from barrier 8.

(8) Zadar Rock had trialled the house down leading into debut but went absolutely awfully. He did race wide throughout but his performance was too bad to be true. Drawn the rail today, I’d be surprised if he didn’t find the lead and from there he’ll be the one to run down.

Keeping (9) Hannele safe first up.

Tip: (7) Justamiddy $2.20 TAB

Betting Strategy: 3 units WIN Justamiddy

198311

Race 4

Tabtouch Better Your Bet (C1) (1000m)
4:59pm (AEDT)

Race 4

Tabtouch Better Your Bet (C1) (1000m)
4:59pm (AEDT)

1. Rain God (7) J: Clint Johnston-Porter (60.5kg) T: A G Durrant
332.93.12.92.9
2. The Republican (1) J: Brad Rawiller (60.5kg) T: D F Wilson
2.72.72.62.62.652.7
3. Ambergate Rose (4) J: Troy Turner (58kg) T: P E Roberts
1212131211.812
4. Fish Hook (8) J: Jordan Turner (58kg) T: Martin Allan
12119.59.512.210
5. Military Beat (5) J: Chris Parnham (57kg) T: N D Parnham
353434414334
6. Rock Hard Omaru (9) J: Paul Harvey (57kg) T: Kirsten Melis
1110111210.810
7. Jay Dee (2) J: Jason Whiting (56.5kg) T: G J Mcpherson
1212121210.612
8. Nobellity (6) J: Taj Dyson (55.5kg) T: M Santich
212121212121
9. Magnuson Man (3) J: Ms Rosie Mahony (55kg) T: C H Webster
1414141612.814

Odds Last Updated: September 22, 2021, 5:01pm (AEDT)

Not keen here.

(1) Rain God ran well first up behind Sumusu and can go on with the job here.

(2) The Republican was only just beaten last start and gets barrier 1 again today so should get his chance.

(3) Ambergate Rose won on debut last prep before failing at her second start. Resumes from a spell today and I’d keep her safe.

(4) Fish Hook had excuses first up and the stable think he’ll go well here.

Include (7) Jay Dee who can run a race first up.

Tip: (1) Rain God $2.60 TopSport

Betting Strategy: No bet

198311

Race 5

Furphy Hcp (C3) (1200m)
5:35pm (AEDT)

Race 5

Furphy Hcp (C3) (1200m)
5:35pm (AEDT)

1. Mantelli (3) J: Laqdar Ramoly (60kg) T: C & M Gangemi
1414131511.614
2. Cooking With Gas (10) J: Joseph Azzopardi (59kg) T: Ms S Childs
272626343231
3. Standout Rose (6) J: Jason Whiting (58.5kg) T: B V Watkins
54.84.44.84.654.6
4. Tovarich (2) J: Ms Jade Mcnaught (58.5kg) T: Ms R Lockwood
354134414141
5. Jarman (7) J: Ms Lucy Warwick (57.5kg) T: G P Jones
1515141715.415
6. Lord Augustus (4) J: Shaun O'donnell (57.5kg) T: Peter Lynch
98.5898.78.5
7. Testing Love (8) J: William Pike (57.5kg) T: A G Durrant
2.152.152.252.12.252.1
8. Type Won (5) J: Chris Parnham (57.5kg) T: Kieran Mcdonagh
5.55.55.55.55.45.5
9. Tradement (1) J: Paul Harvey (56.5kg) T: G C Ballantyne
464141514051
10. Reaction (9) J: Craig Staples (55kg) T: D J Waldock
616781816981

Odds Last Updated: September 22, 2021, 5:36pm (AEDT)

(7) Testing Love returns to the races today with two wins and two placings from five starts. She’s just had the one trial leading into her first up run here and she’s drawn out awkwardly in barrier 8. Think she’s the horse to beat but she’ll need to be good.

(3) Standout Rose was my best of the day first up but that was before the track was cooked. You needed to be on speed and on rails all day and it was just a horror show for her the entire race. Forget she even went around. She’s good enough to win this.

(5) Jarman is in the same boat as Standout Rose, caught out wide in the quicksand. Has been running really well so the $10 looks a bit over the odds today.

Tip: (3) Standout Rose $5.50 Sportsbet

Value: (5) Jarman $10 Sportsbet

Betting Strategy: 0.5 units WIN Standout Rose, 0.5 units WIN Jarman

198311

Race 6

Amelia Park Lodge Hcp (C1) (1300m)
6:10pm (AEDT)

Race 6

Amelia Park Lodge Hcp (C1) (1300m)
6:10pm (AEDT)

1. Balderdash (1) J: Clint Johnston-Porter (60kg) T: P E Roberts
2321262626.526
2. Flicka's Chance (5) J: Jason Whiting (60kg) T: Ms S Bakranich
2.92.92.932.752.9
3. Hoover (6) J: Brad Parnham (60kg) T: S J Miller
4. King Cruzer (3) J: Shaun O'donnell (60kg) T: Ms J Erkelens
3.63.73.73.63.83.7
5. Double Demerits (9) J: Brad Rawiller (59kg) T: S W Barrass
6. My Hidden Journey (11) J: Ms Lucy Warwick (59kg) T: John Doyle
1920211919.621
7. Ginger Mack (2) J: Troy Turner (58.5kg) T: Greg Cave
1918191919.217
8. Antique Jewel (4) J: William Pike (58kg) T: A G Durrant
3.63.63.63.63.553.4
9. Precautionary (8) J: Ms Beaux Banovic-Edwards (58kg) T: F R Kersley
9.59.59.510109.5
10. Seminyak (7) J: Paul Harvey (57kg) T: Ms S L Miller
2626312626.526
11. Global Ruler (10) J: Peter Knuckey (54.5kg) T: Andrew Dickson
464167514351

Odds Last Updated: September 22, 2021, 6:11pm (AEDT)

(2) Flicka’s Chance did a good job to win first up at Northam. Not sure how good the form out of the race is but I think he finds a really winnable race here.

(8) Antique Jewel will be really popular given the Pike/Peters factor but I just don’t know how good she actually is as a horse. Some of her form is good and some of it isn’t so good. Interesting to see how she returns today.

 

Tip: (2) Flicka's Chance $3.20 Bet365

Betting Strategy: 1 unit WIN Flicka's Chance

198311

Race 7

All Flags Signs&Banners-Rsoly (1700m)
6:45pm (AEDT)

Race 7

All Flags Signs&Banners-Rsoly (1700m)
6:45pm (AEDT)

1. Salon Du Cheval (10) J: Jett Stanley (60.5kg) T: N Parker
1010109.511.210
2. Alimentaria (8) J: Chris Parnham (56.5kg) T: Ms T Itzstein
5.55.55.55.55.25.5
3. He's All Mighty (6) J: Clint Johnston-Porter (56.5kg) T: A G Durrant
5.566.565.76
4. Next Stop The Moon (14) J: Joseph Azzopardi (55.5kg) T: D & B Pearce
5. Brother Paddy (5) J: Patrick Carbery (55kg) T: Coreen Maynard
1818192119.819
6. Celebrity Witness (7) J: William Pike (54kg) T: D & B Pearce
3.43.33.23.23.453.2
7. Differentiator (11) J: Ms Jade Mcnaught (54kg) T: Greg Cave
2626262626.523
8. Golden Bonney (4) J: Peter Knuckey (54kg) T: Ms J Mclaughlin
414151515141
9. Holyoake (12) J: Shaun Mcgruddy (54kg) T: Brett Pope
1212121312.412
10. Hyperspace (2) J: Ms Lucy Warwick (54kg) T: D T Mcauliffe
1616171613.616
11. Jadavi (1) J: Ms Beaux Banovic-Edwards (54kg) T: I F Shield
665.56.55.66
12. Rock'n'ruler (13) J: Jordan Turner (54kg) T: G P Poletti
9110115112699101
13. Family Discussion (9) J: Steven Parnham (54kg) T: Summer Dickson
14. Wild Galah (3) J: Unknown (54kg) T: Ms C Stelmach
313134413734

Odds Last Updated: September 22, 2021, 6:46pm (AEDT)

Going to play two at odds here in what is a really tricky race.

(11) Jadavi draws barrier 1 and could be buried back in the field but the 3kg apprentice does get the cutaway rail to help. The horse comes off a good run behind Smashing and Ginger Flyer, and third up last prep ran super. Carries just 51kg here so can go close with luck.

Another that can go close with luck is (9) Holyoake, who actually ran home OK first up before being caught three-wide the trip last start. Third up, up in trip, and Shaun McGruddy takes the ride. He’s operating at nearly 40% for the month of September so if anyone can get it home from barrier 12, he can.

(2) Alimentaria goes from Keshaw Dhurun to Chris Parnham and should improve second up.

(1) Salon Du Cheval has the ability.

Tip: (11) Jadavi $9.00 Ladbrokes

Also Backing: (9) Holyoake $10 Ladbrokes

Betting Strategy: 0.5 units WIN Jadavi, 0.5 units WIN Holyoake

198311

Race 8

Crown Perth Hcp (C3) (1400m)
7:25pm (AEDT)

Race 8

Crown Perth Hcp (C3) (1400m)
7:25pm (AEDT)

1. Scorpion Stormz (3) J: Shaun Mcgruddy (60kg) T: Joshua Krispyn
2. Castillo Del Lago (2) J: Chris Parnham (59.5kg) T: M L Lane
33.12.82.72.853.1
3. Big Screen (14) J: Shaun O'donnell (59kg) T: Ms J Erkelens
44444.053.9
4. Igarashi (9) J: Ms Lucy Warwick (58kg) T: D T Mcauliffe
171918191818
5. Real Passion (15) J: William Pike (58kg) T: A G Durrant
7667.575.5
6. Special Picture (13) J: Ms Shelby Bowtell (57.5kg) T: Raymond Vincent
2021212121.521
7. Yulong Earth (1) J: Mitchell Pateman (57kg) T: M W Bairstow
101111111011
8. Beanie (4) J: Ms Beaux Banovic-Edwards (56.5kg) T: F R Kersley
111212129.911
9. Richardson (6) J: Ms Fiona Bell (56kg) T: G L Carige
9191101101101101
10. Blue Horse (10) J: Steven Parnham (55.5kg) T: A W Maley
1819151919.214
11. Cable Guy (12) J: Chris Graham (55kg) T: M Knox
262626262626
12. Texas Moon (8) J: Taj Dyson (54.5kg) T: Ms K Kersley
81101818189101
13. Fair Justice (7) J: Patrick Carbery (54kg) T: G J Yuill
313434343334
14. Yeah Bravo (5) J: Jett Stanley (54kg) T: Ms J Mclaughlin
414141514541
15. Rexford (11) J: Peter Knuckey (54kg) T: Ms R Lockwood
616151616351

Odds Last Updated: September 22, 2021, 7:26pm (AEDT)

(2) Castillo Del Lago gets the right set up today. First up he covered plenty of ground and pulled up with a slow recovery. Last start they rode him cold from the wide draw, but from barrier 2 today he’ll go forward and be hard to beat.

(3) Big Screen won the race Castillo Del Lago ran in last start and he will definitely go forward from barrier 14.

(5) Real Passion might find this a bit sharp first up 1400m with just one trial? Wide draw likely to see her well back in running.

And the biggest nutter in WA racing, (7) Yulong Earth gets a run. He’s a hard horse to trust as he finds ways to throw races away, but he actually finds a good race to resume in today from the inside draw. May well look the winner at some stage.

Tip: (7) Yulong Earth E/W $12 PlayUp

Betting Strategy: No bet

A trip to Hong Kong quickly had Tim hooked to the racing caper, maintaining the best place anywhere in the world on a Wednesday night is Happy Valley. He holds a strong interest in the Hong Kong form, along with the metropolitan racing in Sydney and Melbourne. He’s a fan of dry tracks, Zac Purton and takes particular interest in identifying patterns in the form. Tim wears many hats, juggling the roles of form analyst, jockey manager and racehorse owner.

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