Canterbury Racing Tips: Wednesday, May 26th

Race 1 Acy Securities Mdn Hcp (1250m) 12:50pm (AEDT)
1. Decisive Move (1) J: Tim Clark (58kg) T: G Waterhouse & A Bott	3.6	3.5	3.5	3.7	3.5	3.4
2. Divina (2) J: James Mcdonald (58kg) T: C J Waller	2.8	2.8	2.8	3	2.8	2.7
3. Neoma (3) J: Hugh Bowman (58kg) T: R J Quinton	19	19	18	20	17.6	19
4. Santorini Sun (6) J: Jason Collett (58kg) T: C Maher & D Eustace	14	14	14	15	13.8	13
5. Smart Little Miss (7) J: Sam Clipperton (58kg) T: R J Quinton	18	17	16	17	17.6	17
6. Completion (5) J: Tommy Berry (57.5kg) T: Annabel Neasham	7	6.5	6.5	6.5	6.4	6.5
7. Forzanini (4) J: Joshua Parr (57.5kg) T: P & P Snowden	4.5	4.5	4.6	4.8	4.6	4.4
8. Abenaki (9) J: Ms Rachel King (57kg) T: James Cummings	71	67	81	81	61	61
9. Starstruck Barbie (8) J: Andrew Adkins (57kg) T: M C Conners	101	101	101	101	111	101

Odds Last Updated: May 26, 2021, 12:52pm (AEDT)

Think (2) Divina can return racing much improved after a solid 3rd on debut earlier in the year. Will only have improved from that and has trialled well since. That debut run was behind Hilal who we know went on to run well in some black type races. 

(1) Decisive Move will roll straight to the front from gate 1 and is another who should take big improvement from a placing on debut. Need to always be wary of Tim Clark on these front-running types.

Tip: Tip: (2) Divina - $3.60 at Sportsbet

Betting Strategy: No Bet

Race 2 Blue Point @ Darley Mdn Hcp (1250m) 1:25pm (AEDT)
1. Deficit (12) J: Tim Clark (58kg) T: G Ryan & S Alexiou
2. Cape Breton (5) J: James Mcdonald (57.5kg) T: C J Waller	4.5	4.4	4.2	4.6	4.5	4.2
3. Fenton (9) J: Keagan Latham (57.5kg) T: G D Hickman	23	21	21	21	21.5	21
4. I Am Good At This (8) J: Joshua Parr (57.5kg) T: M J Dunn	17	16	19	19	19.2	17
5. I Am Yours (14) J: Tommy Berry (57.5kg) T: M, W & J Hawkes
6. Island Press (11) J: Unknown (57.5kg) T: C J Waller	18	18	18	19	18.2	17
7. Montenegro (13) J: Lee Magorrian (57.5kg) T: C J Waller
8. Penciled (1) J: Andrew Adkins (57.5kg) T: P & P Snowden	3.9	3.8	3.9	4.2	3.8	3.7
9. Rebel Shadow (7) J: Jason Collett (57.5kg) T: G Portelli	20	19	21	21	21	19
10. Russian Ruble (4) J: Sam Clipperton (57.5kg) T: R J Quinton	23	21	21	21	20.5	23
11. Stick To Your Guns (3) J: Ms Rachel King (57.5kg) T: Mark Newnham	3.4	3.4	3.5	3.6	3.5	3.3
12. Tuhinga (2) J: Brenton Avdulla (57.5kg) T: C J Waller	8	8	8	8	6.8	8
13. Wasserman (6) J: Hugh Bowman (57.5kg) T: C J Waller	19	18	18	18	17	18
14. Accrue (10) J: Unknown (57kg) T: David Payne
15. Celtic Harp (15) J: Tommy Berry (57kg) T: C J Waller

Odds Last Updated: May 26, 2021, 1:27pm (AEDT)

(2) Cape Breton has been seen at the trials numerous times and now finally makes his debut. Has looked good there and looks a horse who can definitely make a winning start to his career. Jmac for Waller is always a big positive and should get the gun run in transit.

(11) Stick To Your Guns is another who has looked good at the trials and should roll forward and take some catching from the low draw. 

Thought (4) I Am Good At This could be the value runner in the race. Has shown ability in three trials leading up to this and would be the one I could back at an EW price.

Tip: Tip: (2) Cape Breton - $4.00 at Bet365

Betting Strategy: No Bet

Race 3 Ranvet (Bm72) (1550m) 2:00pm (AEDT)
1. Azarmin (8) J: James Mcdonald (59.5kg) T: K A Lees	4	3.7	3.6	4	4.05	3.5
2. Tochi (5) J: Joshua Parr (59.5kg) T: R & L Price	5	5	5.5	5	5.6	5
3. Macushla (3) J: Hugh Bowman (57kg) T: C J Waller	10	10	9.5	10	8.4	10
4. Off Her Roca (7) J: Keagan Latham (56kg) T: R & M Freedman	11	11	8.5	11	9.7	11
5. Duchess Adele (1) J: Ms Rachel King (55.5kg) T: M J Dunn	17	16	15	17	14.8	15
6. Canadian Spice (2) J: Tommy Berry (54.5kg) T: C J Waller	3.8	3.9	3.9	4	3.6	3.8
7. Girls Are Ready (4) J: Reece Jones (54.5kg) T: J M Cleary	8	8	7.5	8.5	8.6	8.5
8. Wild Irish (6) J: Tim Clark (54.5kg) T: David Payne	9	9	8.5	9.5	8.6	8.5

Odds Last Updated: May 26, 2021, 2:02pm (AEDT)

Pretty keen on (1) Azarmin here over 1550m. Has been flying recently and made up for a luckless placing two starts back with a very impressive win over this trip last start. Thought this race looked no harder and she should be ready to fire after a little freshen up leading into this. McDonald sticks for the ride and this horse only needs to hold her form to be another good winning chance. 

(8) Wild Irish should be ready to do something 4th up now following an encouraging 2nd last start over 1500m. Has done best career work when 4th up and looks well placed here at the weights.

Tip: (1) Azarmin - $2.95 at SportsBetting

Betting Strategy: 1.5 unit WIN Azarmin

Race 4 Vinery Stud (Bm64) (1250m) 2:35pm (AEDT)
1. Osamu (3) J: Ms Louise Day (63kg) T: Annabel Neasham	7.5	7	6.5	7	6.3	7
2. Fastconi (10) J: James Mcdonald (60.5kg) T: C J Waller	3.5	3.5	3.6	3.8	3.8	3.5
3. Centimental (4) J: Brenton Avdulla (59.5kg) T: C J Waller	16	15	14	17	13	14
4. Don Luigi (6) J: Tim Clark (59.5kg) T: K J Parker	9	9	9	9	9.6	9.5
5. Dynamic Impact (2) J: Jason Collett (59kg) T: Bjorn Baker	15	15	16	15	13	15
6. Hot Spring Gold (7) J: Hugh Bowman (58.5kg) T: C J Waller
7. Miss Jay Fox (8) J: Joshua Parr (58.5kg) T: Bjorn Baker	9	9	8.5	9	9.1	9
8. War General (9) J: Andrew Adkins (58.5kg) T: M, W & J Hawkes
9. Zou De Moon (5) J: Jean Van Overmeire (57.5kg) T: G Waterhouse & A Bott	4.2	4.4	4.6	4.4	4.55	4.4
10. Comporta (1) J: Tommy Berry (56.5kg) T: C J Waller	5	5	5	5	5	5

Odds Last Updated: May 26, 2021, 2:37pm (AEDT)

I really think (1) Osamu can bring up a 2nd straight win after finally breaking his maiden tag last start. This horse has been thrown in the deep end his whole career and run some good races against some of the better horses going around. Finally got the confidence boosting win he deserved and looks well placed back in these types of races. Stable flying and gets a nice 3kg claim to offset the big weight. 

We were on (2) Fastconi last start when a strong 2nd to Cadenabbia who goes around an odds on fav in the last today. Will be nearing peak fitness now and looks hard to beat with any luck from out wide. 

(9) Zou De Moon was only narrowly beaten by Azarmin last start before going for a spell and that form is reasonably good for this kind of race. Has plenty of upside and will only improve into her 2nd career prep.

Tip: (1) Osamu - $4.00 at Sportsbet

Betting Strategy: 2 unit WIN Osamu

Race 5 Tab (Bm72) (1250m) 3:10pm (AEDT)
1. Willowheart (6) J: Jason Collett (59.5kg) T: C J Waller	10	10	9.5	10	10	10
2. O'mudgee (8) J: James Mcdonald (59kg) T: Bjorn Baker	6.5	6	6.5	7.5	6.5	5.5
3. Ranges (7) J: Ms Alysha Collett (58.5kg) T: P & P Snowden	8.5	8	8	7.5	7.2	7.5
4. Derbari (2) J: Brenton Avdulla (58kg) T: Joseph Pride	5	5	5	5	5	5
5. Key Largo (1) J: Hugh Bowman (58kg) T: Bryce Heys	5	5	5	5	5.1	5
6. Julian Rock (3) J: Jean Van Overmeire (57.5kg) T: Jean Dubois	10	9.5	9.5	10	9.9	10
7. Assault'n'bathory (9) J: Tyler Schiller (57kg) T: Danielle Seib	18	18	19	19	19.2	16
8. Maggie Miss (4) J: Tommy Berry (56.5kg) T: G Waterhouse & A Bott	12	12	12	13	10	11
9. Maccomo (10) J: Sam Clipperton (56kg) T: Joseph Pride	10	10	10	10	10	10
10. Chervil (5) J: Tim Clark (54.5kg) T: J C Coyle	10	9.5	9.5	9.5	10.2	10

Odds Last Updated: May 26, 2021, 3:12pm (AEDT)

(2) O’Mudgee looks a good chance dropping back in grade for this after a massive run for 2nd at Scone last start. Has been airborne this prep and deserves another win. Hoping Jmac can ride him a touch more positive dropping back in trip here and has the class to win. 

(3) Ranges was a good last start win and has been a winner 3rd up previously. Has to take the step up in grade now but looks a winning chance. 

(10) Chervil ran a good 4th in a strong bm72 last start behind Turnstyle and Tiny. Will only improve off the back of that and that form is good enough for this race today.

Tip: (2) O’Mudgee - $6.00 at TopSport

Betting Strategy: 1 unit WIN O’Mudgee

Race 6 Bowermans Furniture (Bm64) (1900m) 3:45pm (AEDT)
1. Montserrat (13) J: Tyler Schiller (64.5kg) T: Mark Newnham	7.5	7.5	7.5	7.5	7.2	7
2. Rules Don't Apply (4) J: Tommy Berry (61kg) T: C J Waller	15	16	17	16	14.4	17
3. Champagne Vega (1) J: Jason Collett (60.5kg) T: Joseph Ible	11	11	10	11	11.2	10
4. Raptures (7) J: Brenton Avdulla (60kg) T: K A Lees	14	13	14	15	14.4	14
5. Sir Aglovale (12) J: Hugh Bowman (59kg) T: C J Waller	5.5	5.5	5.5	6	5.8	5.5
6. Vigorous Flow (5) J: James Mcdonald (59kg) T: P & P Snowden	4.4	4.2	4.6	4.4	4	4.4
7. Dream Maiden (8) J: Ms Ellen Hennessy (58.5kg) T: J C Coyle	14	13	11	12	13.8	11
8. Ladies' Gem (9) J: Ms Louise Day (58.5kg) T: J & G Lee	21	21	26	21	19	19
9. Azaryah (10) J: Keagan Latham (58kg) T: Ms G Markwell	17	17	19	19	18.2	18
10. Squanto (6) J: Jean Van Overmeire (58kg) T: G Portelli	7	7	7	7.5	6.6	7
11. Lord Tropicana (11) J: Unknown (57kg) T: G Portelli
12. Notabadharada (2) J: Reece Jones (55.5kg) T: J & G Lee	11	11	9.5	10	10.2	11
13. Delude (3) J: Ms Robyn Freeman-Key (54kg) T: B M Lazzarini	71	71	71	81	63	81

Odds Last Updated: May 26, 2021, 3:47pm (AEDT)

Going to side with (5) Sir Aglovale in this very open affair. Was pretty unlucky in his first Australian start when 5th behind Azarmin and you could argue if he saw clear air at the top of the straight, could have made a race of it. Looks well suited getting up in trip and providing Bowman can find a spot early, looks a strong chance. 

(9) Raptures will appreciate getting back on top of the ground and loves this 1900m trip. Has been in good form this prep and looks well placed here.  

Blinkers go on for (6) Vigorous Flow 4th up following a good prep so far. You’d think he looks ready to run a big race and is still only lightly raced. Jmac should give him the perfect steer from barrier 5. 

Don’t think the chances end there and you could make a case for almost all of them.

Tip: (5) Sir Aglovale - $6.00 at Bet365

Betting Strategy: 0.5 unit WIN Sir Aglovale

Race 7 Xxxx (Bm72) (1550m) 4:20pm (AEDT)
1. A Magic Zariz (5) J: Ms Casey Waddell (61.5kg) T: Brett Robb	11	10	9.5	11	11.2	9
2. Time Raid (2) J: Hugh Bowman (60kg) T: J C Deamer	5.5	5.5	5	6	5.5	5
3. Cadenabbia (8) J: Tommy Berry (59kg) T: Annabel Neasham
4. Upper House (10) J: Jean Van Overmeire (59kg) T: N F Gardner	9.5	9	9	9	9.1	9
5. Nyami (7) J: James Mcdonald (58.5kg) T: C J Waller	2.5	2.6	2.8	2.8	2.6	2.5
6. Canyonero (12) J: Jason Collett (58kg) T: Richard Litt	13	12	13	13	12	13
7. Champagne Vega (1) J: Unknown (56.5kg) T: Joseph Ible
8. Tim's Principal (11) J: Reece Jones (56.5kg) T: J R Gask
9. The Cartoonist (6) J: Keagan Latham (56kg) T: W P Cave	21	20	21	21	19.6	21
10. Bezos (3) J: Ms Ellen Hennessy (55kg) T: Mitchell Beer
11. Karmazone (9) J: Ms Louise Day (55kg) T: Daniel Robinson	6	6	5	6	6	6
12. Sea Echo (4) J: Tim Clark (54.5kg) T: Joseph Pride	7.5	7.5	7.5	8.5	6.4	7

Odds Last Updated: May 26, 2021, 4:22pm (AEDT)

(3) Cadenabbia returned to racing with an impressive win in the wet over 1300m. Will only have to improve off that run to be a very strong chance today. Like the rise in trip and has won over this distance before. Looks to have a horse with fair share of ability and can handle the step up to this grade. 

(1) A Magic Zariz has been flying at country level and comes to town in some career best form. The 8 year old isn;t getting any younger but is consistent and as tough as they come. The 3kg claim is a plus. 

(6) Canyonero looks to be the big improver at odds after a forgive run last start where he pulled up with some issues. Had been in good form before that and his 3rd behind Steely and Mensa Missile two starts ago looks very good now.

Tip: (3) Cadenabbia - $2.10 at TopSport

Value: (6) Canyonero - $19 at Sportsbet

Betting Strategy: 2 unit WIN Cadenabbia, 0.5 unit EW Canyonero