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Cranbourne Racing Tips: Friday, October 29th

Billy Bestford previews every race at Cranbourne and has found a few he is keen on throughout the night.

Cranbourne

We’ve got a good quality eight race card to get stuck into tonight at Cranbourne

The track is currently rated a soft 7 with the rail out 9 metres. There has been a bit of rain around so I’m not sure we will see a downgrade throughout the evening. 

Billy Bestford previews every race on the card tonight as we look to fill our pockets leading into the biggest week on the racing calendar!

Best Bet: Race 5 – (9) Pacific Ruby

201298

Race 1

R&C Asphalt & Paving Mdn (1200m)
5:15pm (AEDT)

Race 1

R&C Asphalt & Paving Mdn (1200m)
5:15pm (AEDT)

1. Dangellica (14) J: Unknown (58kg) T: Saab Hasan
2. Georgie's Princess (15) J: Michael Dee (58kg) T: Alexander Rae
3. Maggie Rocks (5) J: Beau Mertens (58kg) T: Julius Sandhu
13119.591011
4. Miss Melani (12) J: Jamie Mott (58kg) T: M Ellerton & S Zahra
463431312634
5. Rebellious Belle (13) J: Rhys Mcleod (58kg) T: Caroline Jennings
5.554.43.95.65.5
6. Andalusia (8) J: Teodore Nugent (55.5kg) T: James Cummings
6.56555.76
7. Antipodes (3) J: Fred Kersley (55.5kg) T: James Cummings
76.55.55.55.36.5
8. Avenge (17) J: Unknown (55.5kg) T: M Ellerton & S Zahra
9. Grey At The Ready (18) J: Unknown (55.5kg) T: John Mcardle
10. Juice Box (10) J: Patrick Moloney (55.5kg) T: Ms R Kelly
211917172019
11. Nicstar (9) J: Harry Coffey (55.5kg) T: C Maher & D Eustace
141211101013
12. Wind Dreamer (1) J: Blaike Mcdougall (55.5kg) T: Archie Alexander
4.64.23.633.554.8
13. Sussex Royal (2) J: Michael Poy (58kg) T: Daniel Williams
1261261019195126
14. Skipping Girl (7) J: Mrs Jackie Horner (55.5kg) T: M C Kent
2.92.92.82.63.053.1
15. Peri Peri Rich (16) J: Daniel Stackhouse (58kg) T: Michael Huglin
16. Stunna The Runna (4) J: Craig Newitt (58kg) T: Shea Eden
718167617981
17. Moose Jaw (11) J: Ms Sally Wynne (58kg) T: Sally Wynne
15115110110189151
18. Miss Amanap (6) J: Arron Lynch (58kg) T: Mark C Webb

Odds Last Updated: October 29, 2021, 5:19pm (AEDT)

With (12) Wind Dreamer here in the first who was impressive on debut earlier in the year. Was put away quickly by the stable and has been wound up with a nice recent trial. Barrier 1 should suit. 

(14) Skipping Girl has also had just the one career start but she was very good. Arguably goes very close to winning with any luck there and will take a heap of improvement from that run. 

(7) Antipodes is another who hasn’t had much luck recently. Caught wide last couple but still kept finding to the line. This looks her easiest task to date. 

 

Tip: (12) Wind Dreamer - $3.70 at TAB

Betting Strategy: 1u WIN Wind Dreamer

201298

Race 2

Designer Coolrooms Mdn Plate (1400m)
5:45pm (AEDT)

Race 2

Designer Coolrooms Mdn Plate (1400m)
5:45pm (AEDT)

1. King Lenny (4) J: Jamie Mott (59.5kg) T: G Eurell
141312121113
2. Our Tigersun (11) J: Michael Dee (59.5kg) T: N J Harnett
7.57777.67
3. Prebendal (7) J: Beau Mertens (59.5kg) T: Julius Sandhu
12612610110187126
4. Evening Out (1) J: Jason Maskiell (57.5kg) T: R J Besanko
616151615351
5. Little Ms Dreamer (2) J: Lewis German (57.5kg) T: M S Hibbs
131312141312
6. Admoni (10) J: Fred Kersley (57kg) T: N A Blackiston
1010101010.210
7. Astroflight (9) J: Patrick Moloney (57kg) T: M Price & M Kent Jnr
3.83.83.73.83.953.7
8. Judiciary (5) J: Craig Newitt (57kg) T: Patrick Keane
515151515351
9. Pharoahcity (3) J: Thomas Stockdale (57kg) T: T Busuttin & N Young
2326212626.523
10. Sino Witness (6) J: Daniel Stackhouse (57kg) T: Ben & J D Hayes
4.24.24.24.23.84.4
11. Inviva (8) J: Blaike Mcdougall (55kg) T: G Eurell
3.23.23.13.23.23.1

Odds Last Updated: October 29, 2021, 5:49pm (AEDT)

(7) Astroflight showed ability in first prep, running well in a decent race at Swan Hill before going for a spell. His lead on trial was good enough to think he can break through tonight. 

(2) Our Tigersun was good in first run for new stable last start on a heavy track. Change of scenery might’ve been what he’s looking for and I expect him to run on well tonight. 

Tip: (7) Astroflight - $2.60 at TopSport

Betting Strategy: 1u WIN Astroflight

201298

Race 3

Settlers Run G&Cc Mdn (1600m)
6:15pm (AEDT)

Race 3

Settlers Run G&Cc Mdn (1600m)
6:15pm (AEDT)

1. Boy Big (9) J: Jamie Mott (59.5kg) T: K Hann
1718181817.218
2. Cheryl's Lad (10) J: Jason Maskiell (59.5kg) T: Ms Allison Sheehan
3.83.73.53.53.553.7
3. Cogent (1) J: Thomas Stockdale (59.5kg) T: G Eurell
55554.555
4. International Gem (2) J: Arron Lynch (59.5kg) T: Tetyana Furdetska
1211101111.810
5. Lunch In Biarritz (11) J: Michael Dee (59.5kg) T: N A Blackiston
141413141213
6. Mori Yoshinari (4) J: Nathan Punch (59.5kg) T: Ms A Bence
7. Ride The Sky (3) J: Ben Allen (59.5kg) T: Patrick Keane
515151515351
8. Romania (6) J: Beau Mertens (59.5kg) T: Julius Sandhu
101111139.711
9. Summerhill (8) J: Lewis German (59.5kg) T: A Rosolini
8.58888.68
10. My Brilliant Choix (5) J: Damien Thornton (57.5kg) T: L & T Corstens
2.92.92.833.052.8
11. The Sentinel (7) J: Craig Newitt (57.5kg) T: Ms R Mangan
515151514751

Odds Last Updated: October 29, 2021, 6:19pm (AEDT)

(9) Summerhill goes on top here. This is a weak maiden with a whole heap of non winners so I’m happy to have something on him who looks to have some upside still. Has improved with both career runs and I think he will be even better suited riding to the mile now. 

(10) My Brilliant Choix will be sure to have fans once again but he just manages to find one or two better each start. Hes probably the hardest to beat but for a horse of his profile the price looks short enough. 

(3) Cogent can definitely win. Ran very well first up off a 6 month break so has a stack of improvement to come you’d think. Rises from 1300 to the mile now and this is much more his kind of trip. 

I’d say this isnt a race they’ll be jumping out of trees to have a bet in. 

 

Tip: (9) Summerhill - $6.00 at Ladbrokes

Betting Strategy: No bet

201298

Race 4

Frankston Sand Soil & Mix (C1) (1600m)
6:45pm (AEDT)

Race 4

Frankston Sand Soil & Mix (C1) (1600m)
6:45pm (AEDT)

1. Sea Crossing (4) J: Blaike Mcdougall (60kg) T: Archie Alexander
5.56665.86.5
2. Rutherford (6) J: Luke Currie (57.5kg) T: Nick Ryan
1.551.61.61.651.561.6
3. Vibrant Angel (2) J: Beau Mertens (57kg) T: D P Blackshaw
1514141413.414
4. Royelle (1) J: Mrs Jackie Horner (56.5kg) T: M C Kent
5.554.855.64.8
5. Ladymane (5) J: Patrick Moloney (55kg) T: Saab Hasan
9.598.599.68.5
6. Ocean Blast (3) J: Craig Newitt (55kg) T: M Croston & G Gilmour
1616151613.615

Odds Last Updated: October 29, 2021, 6:49pm (AEDT)

She’s very short but  (2) Rutherford will be pretty hard to beat here. Both runs since coming to Aus have been very good and she won with a bit in hand last start. Up to 1600m now 3rd up from a perfect draw. 

(4) Royelle gets the blinkers first time tonight and she was a good winner two back. Pulled up with post race issues last start so best to be forgiving on that and can bounce back. 

Just at the difference in price I’m happy to have something small on Royelle. 

 

Tip: $6.50 at Sportsbet

Betting Strategy: 0.5u WIN Royelle

201298

Race 5

Frankston Mazda Mdn (1600m)
7:15pm (AEDT)

Race 5

Frankston Mazda Mdn (1600m)
7:15pm (AEDT)

1. Consensio (9) J: Lewis German (58kg) T: G Waterhouse & A Bott
354141413141
2. Improvident (8) J: Daniel Stackhouse (58kg) T: M M Laurie
776.577.16.5
3. Invincible Crown (10) J: Jamie Mott (58kg) T: R Griffiths & M De Kock
55.55.565.95.5
4. Little Brother (5) J: Teodore Nugent (58kg) T: D P Blackshaw
2321212624.518
5. Silent Charge (4) J: Arron Lynch (58kg) T: Jack Laing
718171675381
6. Station One (6) J: Billy Egan (58kg) T: Liam Howley
2121202016.621
7. Top Honours (2) J: Ben Allen (58kg) T: K & K Keys
98776.87.5
8. Hollywood Siren (7) J: Harry Coffey (56kg) T: C Maher & D Eustace
2.452.52.42.42.252.5
9. Pacific Ruby (3) J: Craig Newitt (56kg) T: J P Salanitri
4.24.243.94.254.2
10. Toropeak (1) J: Randy Tan (56kg) T: S C Bottomley
1917161619.216

Odds Last Updated: October 29, 2021, 7:19pm (AEDT)

(9) Pacific Ruby comes out of a hot Saturday race at Caulfield last start where she was far from disgraced. Held her own there to finish 3L off Vianello. Looks much more suited back to maiden grade and she should be able to lead this field up and take some catching. 

(2) Improvident bumped into a smart one on debut but he showed plenty of ability himself. That was over 1500m so you’d expect he just gets better over further. 

(3) Invincible Crown was probably a certainty beat 2nd up and you’d think a win isn’t far away. 

 

Tip: (9) Pacific Ruby - $2.80 at TopSport

Betting Strategy: 2u WIN pacific Ruby

201298

Race 6

Hertz Cranbourne (Bm70) (2080m)
7:45pm (AEDT)

Race 6

Hertz Cranbourne (Bm70) (2080m)
7:45pm (AEDT)

1. Seawhatyouthink (9) J: Dean Yendall (60kg) T: M J Williams
2. Nudge Bar (7) J: Jamie Mott (59kg) T: Peter Gelagotis
131313151113
3. War Critic (3) J: Damien Thornton (59kg) T: M Ellerton & S Zahra
4.2444.43.653.7
4. Gravitelle (1) J: Michael Dee (57.5kg) T: N A Blackiston
554.84.85.15
5. Angelic Scent (6) J: Daniel Stackhouse (56kg) T: M M Laurie
3.53.73.73.73.93.9
6. Epsom Days (4) J: Patrick Moloney (55.5kg) T: P G Carey
2121192617.623
7. Kwoi Hoi (2) J: Unknown (55.5kg) T: C I Brown
8. Peace Process (5) J: Blaike Mcdougall (55.5kg) T: Archie Alexander
2.42.42.352.52.52.3
9. Rebel Typhoon (8) J: Ms Alexandra Bryan (55kg) T: R J Besanko
676761674561

Odds Last Updated: October 29, 2021, 7:49pm (AEDT)

(4) Gravitelle drops in grade here after a good run in the Pinker Pinker behind Mahashakti. She ran on well considering those on the speed were favoured while that was her first start in almost a year. She’ll be a much improved horse 2nd up and can win. 

Cant knock the form of (8) Peace Process who doesn’t know how to run a bad race. She’s got a heap of upside about her and should right in the finish once again. 

(3) War Critic drops in grade and looks better suited here tonight from a nice draw. 

 

Tip: (4) Gravitelle - $5.10 at Boombet

Betting Strategy: 1u WIN Gravitelle

201298

Race 7

Obrien Real Estate (Bm70) (2600m)
8:15pm (AEDT)

Race 7

Obrien Real Estate (Bm70) (2600m)
8:15pm (AEDT)

1. Yulong Rising (8) J: Tom Ryan (63kg) T: Amy Mcdonald
616771715971
2. Heir To The Throne (1) J: Ben Allen (62.5kg) T: Andrea Leek
76.5676.46
3. Monmouth (9) J: Teodore Nugent (61.5kg) T: Ms A Bennett
1616151616.215
4. Blandford Lad (10) J: Jamie Mott (59.5kg) T: Peter Gelagotis
665.566.15.5
5. Into Rio (4) J: Beau Mertens (59.5kg) T: C F Hyland
1515151512.816
6. Rebel Racer (7) J: Michael Dee (59kg) T: Mark & Levi Kavanagh
98.5797.68
7. Brilliant Venture (2) J: Damien Thornton (58kg) T: M Ellerton & S Zahra
2.62.62.62.62.42.6
8. Cracksman (5) J: Will Gordon (57.5kg) T: L Smith
8.59999.19
9. Outlook (3) J: Fred Kersley (55kg) T: Brad Widdup
4.8555.55.65
10. Ruzaton (6) J: Ms Jade Darose (55kg) T: Tetyana Furdetska
151151101101121151

Odds Last Updated: October 29, 2021, 8:19pm (AEDT)

(9) Outlook is an interesting runner who comes up from NSW in good form. She put the writing on the wall two back before winning easily last start over 2300m. She takes on a field of horses here who have plenty of experience but this is probably their ceiling whereas I think she can progress. She’ll be forward in the run and could just have more upside than these. 

(7) Brilliant Venture broke through for a well deserved win last start following a stack of placings. He absolutely bolted in by 4L in a bm64 so he should be well placed rising to this grade now. That was a confidence booster for him and he may just be able to go on with it now. The rise to 2600m looks ideal. 

If you can forgive (2) Heir To The Throne last start then his form before that was very good for a race like this. Finished half a length off Tooradin three starts back in a hot Saturday race and he loves racing here at Cranbourne. 

 

Tip: (9) Outlook - $4.80 at TopSport

Betting Strategy: 1u WIN Outlook

201298

Race 8

Tab Long May We Play (Bm70) (1000m)
8:45pm (AEDT)

Race 8

Tab Long May We Play (Bm70) (1000m)
8:45pm (AEDT)

1. Foxy Lady (1) J: Unknown (61kg) T: M M Laurie
1313131313.213
2. Fast 'N' Deep (10) J: Lewis German (60kg) T: Mark Sues
5.55.5565.65
3. La Bella Costa (6) J: Damien Thornton (59kg) T: M M Laurie
886.57.57.68
4. Real Feeling (2) J: Beau Mertens (58.5kg) T: J Warren & D Krongold
3.63.63.53.73.753.4
5. Maddox (8) J: Jarrod Fry (58kg) T: J F Moloney
101010108.510
6. Donna Natalina (5) J: Craig Newitt (57.5kg) T: J P Salanitri
9.5999.59.19
7. Estoril Park (9) J: Ben Allen (57.5kg) T: L & T Corstens
4.24.244.23.954
8. The Sisters (4) J: Rhys Mcleod (57kg) T: P G Carey
1515151512.415
9. Ling Ling (3) J: Ms Sally Wynne (56kg) T: Sally Wynne
232121202123
10. Piscatorial (7) J: Ms Melissa Julius (56kg) T: Joshua Julius
1618181817.219

Odds Last Updated: October 29, 2021, 8:49pm (AEDT)

This looks a pretty hot Bm70 to round out the card. 

I’m with the resuming  (7) Estoril Park who has some elite form around her last prep. Finish behind the likes of I’m Thunderstruck and All Of Brighton. She started $6 that day against Thunderstruck which tells you enough about her talent. She looks a good winning chance especially with some rain around. 

(4) Real Feeling has flashed ability in her short career. She looked very good at a recent jumpout and to my eye I think she may come back a much better horse this prep. From the low draw she can lead or sit just off the speed and I’m hoping she can go on with it now. 

(2) Fast And Deep rarely runs a poor race and loves this track/trip. Will be up on speed and could get away with this if she has it all her own way. 

(8) The Sisters will be the one smoking the pipe out the back and laucnhing late. There looks to be plenty of speed on and she could finish over the top if they go hard up front. 

 

Tip: (7) Estoril Park - $3.30 at TopSport

Betting Strategy: 1.5u WIN Estoril Park

Billy has been an avid racing fan ever since he and a few mates started a punters club once they turned 18. Following the initial punters clubs, he was properly hooked after landing a nice collect on Admire Rakti in the 2014 Caulfield Cup and has had a soft spot for Japanese horses ever since. Is a massive fan of 'blinkers first time' and has been known to enjoy a 'Hail Mary' multi. Loves punting across metro Sydney and Melbourne every Saturday but isn't scared to venture West late in the day to find a Pikey special.

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