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Doomben Racing Tips: Thursday, February 4th

Its Thursday racing and we head north to Doomben. After a nice little top-up yesterday ‘the Horse’ has reviewed the card to find the winners!

Doomben

Its Thursday racing and we head north to Doomben. After a nice little top-up yesterday ‘the Horse’ has reviewed the card to find the winners! He has focused on Race 1, Race 3 and Race 6.

 

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Race 1

Tab Venue Mode Mdn Hcp (1110m)
2:34pm (AEDT)

Race 1

Tab Venue Mode Mdn Hcp (1110m)
2:34pm (AEDT)

1. Baronial (1) J: Mark Du Plessis (58kg) T: Kacy Fogden
2. Boughta Boom (8) J: Jim Byrne (58kg) T: Desleigh Forster
3. In'hinchable (11) J: Robbie Fradd (58kg) T: Billy Healey
1316161816.216
4. Release The Beans (7) J: Ben Thompson (58kg) T: R L Heathcote
5. Mishani Pharoah (6) J: Ms Tegan Harrison (57.5kg) T: L G Ross
71718110110181
6. Coco Rox (4) J: James Orman (56kg) T: M J Dunn
8.587.58.57.78
7. Crymenotears (9) J: Ms Alex Patis (56kg) T: R L Heathcote
131213131212
8. Dovetail Diva (10) J: Ron Stewart (56kg) T: J G Symons & S Laxon
1.351.351.41.351.361.35
9. Lemon Lover (2) J: Ms Kate Cowan (55.5kg) T: Gregory Cornish
413441414341
10. Whistling Loren (5) J: Michael Rodd (55.5kg) T: Paul Butterworth
8.58.591010.29
11. Real Divine (3) J: Ms Georgina Cartwright (55kg) T: J W Zielke
313441514131

Odds Last Updated: March 3, 2021, 9:36am (AEDT)

The track condition is the massive query here. At the time of writing we’re looking at a Heavy 9, with potentially a drying track into the Soft region. This race is really about one horse, (8) Dovetail Diva who trialed very well leading in. Admittedly I haven’t seen the trial, but the distance she put between herself and the rest of the field speaks quite loudly. The 4.5 length win was done in reasonable time and when looking at the raced competitors, this is not a strong field. There’s a few unknowns with the unraced, but happy to take favourite.

Tip: (8) Dovetail Diva - $2.20 at Sportsbet

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0

Race 2

Hellbent 1St Crop Inglis Mdn (1200m)
3:12pm (AEDT)

Race 2

Hellbent 1St Crop Inglis Mdn (1200m)
3:12pm (AEDT)

1. Danezel (5) J: Michael Rodd (59kg) T: R L Heathcote
2.62.62.62.52.62.7
2. Dominarcher (8) J: James Orman (59kg) T: Billy Healey
3. Loud Noise (12) J: Sean Cormack (58kg) T: G R Duncan
1517181616.813
4. Vaporizing (14) J: Jim Byrne (58kg) T: T J Gollan
5. Ready To Chase (3) J: Jim Byrne (57.5kg) T: Desleigh Forster
5554.64.64.8
6. Right Reason (7) J: Ben Thompson (57.5kg) T: S W Kendrick
555.555.85
7. Applications (6) J: Ryan Maloney (57kg) T: B & D Guy
77.5777.17
8. More Than Value (2) J: Allan Chau (57kg) T: Chris Munce
9. Isabella's Spring (4) J: Allan Chau (56.5kg) T: B J Lockwood
10. Bonne Vie (15) J: Josh Adams (56kg) T: Ms G Heinrich
11. Tayella (11) J: Robbie Fradd (56kg) T: A J & T Edmonds
12. My Adeline (13) J: Unknown (54.5kg) T: Ms G Heinrich
13. Angelic Archer (10) J: Ms Alex Patis (54kg) T: T B Thomas
676781818371
14. Beaueta (9) J: Nathan Thomas (54kg) T: T B Thomas
10110110191111101
15. Red Rubi (1) J: Ms Stephanie Thornton (54kg) T: S O'dea & M Hoysted
65.5565.16

Odds Last Updated: February 5, 2021, 1:21pm (AEDT)

0

Race 3

Sky Racing Hcp (C3) (1200m)
3:50pm (AEDT)

Race 3

Sky Racing Hcp (C3) (1200m)
3:50pm (AEDT)

1. Euro Belle (3) J: Ms Kate Cowan (61.5kg) T: Ms G Heinrich
3.33.33.43.43.453.4
2. Xanthus (6) J: Ryan Maloney (61kg) T: M J Dunn
776.577.66.5
3. Emma's Jet (2) J: James Orman (59kg) T: M J Dunn
9.51010109.39.5
4. Smooth Move (1) J: Robbie Fradd (58.5kg) T: A J & T Edmonds
2.252.32.252.352.22.3
5. Sir Rocket (9) J: Ms Tegan Harrison (58kg) T: Michael Costa
6. Big Bad Bruce (4) J: Jim Byrne (57kg) T: Joseph Pride
121113101011
7. Desert Knight (8) J: Josh Adams (56kg) T: Ms G Heinrich
2626313129.523
8. Racing Paradise (7) J: Mark Du Plessis (55.5kg) T: Desleigh Forster
465161615151
9. Hallside Hot Stuff (5) J: Andrew Spinks (54kg) T: Matt Boland
2321212126.523

Odds Last Updated: February 5, 2021, 1:21pm (AEDT)

The top weight (1) Euro Belle drops in grade from a first-up BM75 where she won after coming from eighth in running. It was a pretty handy win considering the leader Chivago looked to have them well and truly licked. That was on Soft going, which she has no trouble with. She has also placed on Heavy in the past. Today she gets the 3kg claim and the friendly draw where she should be able to rest during the run and head towards the outside rail to get into the good going (assuming it’s there)—flashing late.

The one she needs to beat is clearly (5) Sir Rocket, the well-traveled son of Smart Missile. Only ever appearing on Good tracks, the wet conditions are the query. He has never finished outside of the money, but unlike Euro Belle he goes up in grade and gets arguably his toughest test.  For me, they are tough to split without a clear indication on the track. If we stay with Heavy, we stick with the top weight. A two bet strategy for me.

Tip: (1) Euro Belle - $6.10 at Sportsbetting

0

Race 4

Cascade Hcp (C4) (1615m)
4:27pm (AEDT)

Race 4

Cascade Hcp (C4) (1615m)
4:27pm (AEDT)

1. Foreign Territory (8) J: Ryan Maloney (60.5kg) T: S W Kendrick
2. Smiling Touch (4) J: Andrew Spinks (58.5kg) T: Darleen Duryea
232126212426
3. Terrius (3) J: Ben Thompson (58.5kg) T: Tony & Maddysen Sears
99999.68.5
4. Hail Manhattan (2) J: Michael Rodd (58kg) T: P & W Hulbert
2.12.12.052.152.052.1
5. Prinny's Success (6) J: James Orman (57.5kg) T: R L Heathcote
111213131212
6. Watch The Cat (9) J: Sean Cormack (56kg) T: B J Lockwood
3.33.33.53.33.33.3
7. Champagne Aunty (7) J: Mark Du Plessis (54kg) T: S P Tregea
8.5998.598.5
8. Biggie (5) J: Ron Stewart (54kg) T: A G Sawden
273131413326
9. Chiaki (1) J: Taylor Marshall (54kg) T: P Duff
71718110110181

Odds Last Updated: February 5, 2021, 1:21pm (AEDT)

0

Race 5

Xxxx Dry Mdn Plate (1110m)
5:04pm (AEDT)

Race 5

Xxxx Dry Mdn Plate (1110m)
5:04pm (AEDT)

1. Bailey Boo (10) J: Micheal Hellyer (57kg) T: J L Mott
2. Better Get Ready (8) J: Ben Thompson (57kg) T: R L Heathcote
4.24.25.54.25.55.5
3. Boom Ranga (19) J: Unknown (57kg) T: R L Heathcote
4. Broadwater (16) J: Matthew Gray (57kg) T: Ron Jackson
9191301101321201
5. Head Legislator (11) J: Luke Dittman (57kg) T: M J Dunn
4.84.66.54.476.5
6. Hey Big Splenda (1) J: Robbie Fradd (57kg) T: A J & T Edmonds
2.12.11.652.151.741.7
7. Kravitz (2) J: Ryan Maloney (57kg) T: T J Gollan
181821172323
8. Kudu (9) J: Mark Du Plessis (57kg) T: Melissa Taylor
1211111210.412
9. Macedon Flyer (6) J: Michael Rodd (57kg) T: B & D Guy
1110131114.612
10. More Than Value (20) J: Allan Chau (57kg) T: Chris Munce
514181616771
11. Ready To Chase (15) J: Unknown (57kg) T: Desleigh Forster
12. Dansant (14) J: Larry Cassidy (55kg) T: S P Tregea
273141343541
13. Jellishot (12) J: Ms Alex Patis (55kg) T: R L Heathcote
14. Lady Flora (17) J: Unknown (55kg) T: K M Schweida
15. Taormina Match (3) J: Ms Tegan Harrison (55kg) T: T N Miller
16. Purple Diamond (7) J: Luke Tarrant (55kg) T: S W Kendrick
35518151101101
17. Redheads Rock (5) J: Ron Stewart (55kg) T: K M Schweida
6781151101101101
18. Boom Fire (18) J: Unknown (55kg) T: L G Ross
19. Spressi (13) J: Unknown (55kg) T: B J Lockwood
20. A Good Chance (4) J: Ms Kate Cowan (57kg) T: Ms J Aitkenhead
201201201301421251

Odds Last Updated: February 12, 2021, 11:46am (AEDT)

0

Race 6

Mount Franklin (Bm70) (2020m)
5:40pm (AEDT)

Race 6

Mount Franklin (Bm70) (2020m)
5:40pm (AEDT)

1. Meteor Light (14) J: Ryan Maloney (58.5kg) T: Shawn Mathrick
2626181817.623
2. Nemingah (3) J: Jake Bayliss (57.5kg) T: Edward O'rourke
65.54.44.64.25
3. Watch The Cat (11) J: Unknown (57.5kg) T: B J Lockwood
4. Youngblood (9) J: Ms Tegan Harrison (57kg) T: T J Gollan
5577.56.95.5
5. Mishani Secret (10) J: Michael Cahill (56kg) T: L G Ross
6.56.54.44.64.656.5
6. Miss Penfold (1) J: Jim Byrne (56kg) T: K M Schweida
7. Zawadi (15) J: James Orman (56kg) T: P P Jenkins
8. Quotant (2) J: Sheriden Tomlinson (55.5kg) T: B Lineburg
1919161413.819
9. Mosshiki (6) J: Ben Thompson (55kg) T: R L Heathcote
10. Beckford (13) J: Ben Thompson (54.5kg) T: Kacy Fogden
1717111011.215
11. Craiglea Cetina (12) J: Mrs Hannah Richardson (54.5kg) T: Krystle Johnston
151151515153151
12. Missile Mania (4) J: Robbie Fradd (54.5kg) T: Gary Doughty
1414999.513
13. Aberlady (5) J: Ron Stewart (54kg) T: James Hepworth
1312111113.212
14. Flensburg (7) J: Ms Georgina Cartwright (54kg) T: T J Gollan
262626212026
15. The Dark (8) J: Mark Du Plessis (54kg) T: S J Morrisey
3.23.3444.553.4

Odds Last Updated: March 3, 2021, 9:36am (AEDT)

The best horse in the race appears to be (6) Miss Penfold who put a length on her competition last start at Eagle Farm. That was a BM70 over 1800 metres. Prior to that she was competing in BM78 class, and if looking at last preparation she was sixth in the Group 2 The Roses, finishing behind Vanna Girl—given, she was $101 that day. It was a pretty nice result. That run would win comfortably here. The conditions today are again the query, with no races on Heavy and only one crack on the Soft—and a pretty sticky inside gate. But it is hard to go against her, especially with Jim Byrne on board.

And yet, if the track is Heavy, I intend to also have something on another one. (1) Meteor Light is a genuine wet weather horse, with 14 starts for 2 wins and 9 places. At the current quote of $31, he suddenly comes into contention despite some average runs prior. He is going to find this might tough to win, but in the muck, an each-way play is worth a peanut.

Tip: (1) Meteor Light E/W $31 Bet365

0

Race 7

Brc Girls Day Out 20 March-C1 (1200m)
6:15pm (AEDT)

Race 7

Brc Girls Day Out 20 March-C1 (1200m)
6:15pm (AEDT)

1. Mint Strip (4) J: Unknown (59kg) T: A P Williamson
2. Morgan's Smile (1) J: Ms Tegan Harrison (59kg) T: M J Mair
516167919361
3. Shame Job (11) J: Nozi Tomizawa (59kg) T: K J Sims
232626213223
4. Skilord (18) J: Jag Guthmann-Chester (59kg) T: Bruce Hill
5. The Chosen One (7) J: Larry Cassidy (59kg) T: N G Mcburney
121721211718
6. Ourconi (9) J: Robbie Fradd (58kg) T: A J & T Edmonds
8.588788
7. Tramonto (5) J: Michael Cahill (58kg) T: Kacy Fogden
2.152.12.252.152.152.25
8. Wolf Moon (6) J: James Orman (58kg) T: Billy Healey
9. Cotton Fields (8) J: Ryan Maloney (57kg) T: David Vandyke
4.84.644.84.54.2
10. Daring Belle (15) J: Unknown (57kg) T: P Duff
11. Gaelic Puzzle (2) J: Michael Rodd (57kg) T: R L Heathcote
4.84.64.64.64.554.2
12. Perfect Impression (17) J: Unknown (57kg) T: Chris Anderson
13. Zoukina (14) J: Jim Byrne (57kg) T: S B Lee
14. Expresso Love (13) J: Unknown (56kg) T: D J Bougoure
15. Hairdo (12) J: Unknown (56kg) T: Chris Munce
16. Violation (10) J: Ms Georgina Cartwright (56kg) T: T J Gollan
263451313134
17. Sakura Star (3) J: Unknown (56kg) T: Chris Munce
18. Who Said So (16) J: Nathan Thomas (57kg) T: Rob Davidson
126201301151261251

Odds Last Updated: February 5, 2021, 1:21pm (AEDT)

0

Race 8

Gallopers Sports Club (Bm70) (1350m)
6:45pm (AEDT)

Race 8

Gallopers Sports Club (Bm70) (1350m)
6:45pm (AEDT)

1. Dio D'oro (2) J: Ryan Maloney (60.5kg) T: M J Dunn
6.576.574.556.5
2. Getyourgreyon (4) J: Jag Guthmann-Chester (60kg) T: Michael Costa
4.244.24.23.74.2
3. Unconditional (9) J: Nathan Fazackerley (60kg) T: A J & T Edmonds
1413141611.213
4. Conquer The Stars (3) J: Ms Leah Kilner (59.5kg) T: C A Cousins
5. Go Deep (6) J: Jake Bayliss (57.5kg) T: D J Hansen
6. Rebel Salute (11) J: Michael Rodd (57.5kg) T: B & D Guy
2.152.152.152.22.52.2
7. Royal Sheen (10) J: Mark Du Plessis (57.5kg) T: Chris Munce
2019172113.217
8. Rinviata (14) J: Micheal Hellyer (57kg) T: S J Morrisey
12610191101101126
9. Standing Ovation (7) J: Sean Cormack (57kg) T: M J Lakey
192120192421
10. Versetto (13) J: James Orman (57kg) T: Billy Healey
1313131510.212
11. Abb Roy (1) J: Jason Taylor (56.5kg) T: M F Hemmings
12. Zoulou Dancer (5) J: Scott Galloway (56.5kg) T: Gary Doughty
2326212616.223
13. Parangas (12) J: Ms Stephanie Thornton (55kg) T: S O'dea & M Hoysted
14. Yu Long Sheng Hui (8) J: Ms Wendy Peel (54.5kg) T: Jon Walk
6771711015371

Odds Last Updated: February 26, 2021, 1:27pm (AEDT)

The Horse found the thought of placing bets and drinking beers much more appealing once he was married, and that led to an interest in the many intricacies of The Great Game. He enjoys the challenge of predicting what will happen in any given race, but also loves horses themselves, none more so than the mighty mudlark Jungle Edge. His focus lies on metropolitan racing in Victoria and NSW, however isn’t afraid to find one out wide. Away from racing, The Horse is an avid drummer – quite a difficult task with a set of hooves.

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