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Pakenham Racing Tips: Thursday, February 4th

Grab a drink and find a bum-groove on the lounge, we have another twilight meeting at Pakenham and ‘The Horse’ has done the homework for you!

pakenham racing tips

Grab a drink and find a bum-groove on the lounge, we have another twilight meeting at Pakenham and ‘The Horse’ has done the homework for you! He is interested in Race 1, Race 4, Race 5 and Race 7.

 

BetDeluxe

0

Race 1

Iron Jack Aust Lagers Mdn (1200m)
6:00pm (AEDT)

Race 1

Iron Jack Aust Lagers Mdn (1200m)
6:00pm (AEDT)

1. Adele Amour (5) J: Michael Dee (57kg) T: J D Sadler
2326152621.515
2. De La Fayette (8) J: Lewis German (57kg) T: R Griffiths & M De Kock
616126913126
3. Forbidden City (4) J: Luke Nolen (57kg) T: P G Moody
1313181217.618
4. La Rocque (7) J: Jamie Mott (57kg) T: John Mcardle
3.63.73.83.644
5. Little Schnitty (6) J: Daniel Stackhouse (57kg) T: L & T Corstens
6. Ruby Mockingbird (3) J: Craig Newitt (57kg) T: Lloyd Kennewell
5.55.53.85.54.054.2
7. Tiz My Bay (1) J: Michael Walker (57kg) T: R Griffiths & M De Kock
2631133114.212
8. Tranquil Bay (9) J: Jye Mcneil (57kg) T: A & S Freedman
2.352.352.72.52.452.7
9. Vancouver Magic (2) J: Damian Lane (57kg) T: D T O'brien
7.57.557.55.76

Odds Last Updated: February 5, 2021, 1:21pm (AEDT)

Very little exposed form here to make a confident play, however (4) La Rocque trailed well at Geelong a week ago, and has already gained some market support, which looks a good enough steer. We are getting a decent price thanks to the fact that (8) Tranquil Bay has already raced once prior (for a third place) and takes favouritism. Confident level is low, but keen to start the meeting with a winner, and the card doesn’t get a whole lot easier.

Tip: (4) La Rocque - $3.95 at Sportsbetting

0

Race 2

Watch Live On Sportsbet Mdn (2500m)
6:30pm (AEDT)

Race 2

Watch Live On Sportsbet Mdn (2500m)
6:30pm (AEDT)

1. Director's Cut (10) J: Ms Alana Kelly (59.5kg) T: Rodney Foster
12671717116171
2. Irish Pardon (3) J: Jamie Mott (59.5kg) T: R Griffiths & M De Kock
3.6333.23.43
3. Like You Look (4) J: Jordan Childs (59.5kg) T: Anthony Cosgriff
462631267326
4. Northeast Express (6) J: Daniel Stackhouse (59.5kg) T: K L Corstens
1.551.71.61.61.541.65
5. Prince Elvis (5) J: Craig Newitt (59.5kg) T: Kelvin Southey
86.56.56.58.66.5
6. Stephen's Green (9) J: Dean Holland (59.5kg) T: Anthony Cosgriff
15181918126181
7. Castanea (7) J: Arron Lynch (57.5kg) T: Ms B Simpson
1414131416.213
8. Denhill (8) J: Ms Jade Darose (57.5kg) T: Simone Walker
617171718371
9. Golovanova (2) J: Michael Poy (57.5kg) T: P D Graesser
313134344331
10. Dark Siren (1) J: Jason Benbow (57kg) T: Anthony Cosgriff

Odds Last Updated: February 19, 2021, 2:12pm (AEDT)

0

Race 3

Ultrasigns Mdn Plate (1400m)
7:00pm (AEDT)

Race 3

Ultrasigns Mdn Plate (1400m)
7:00pm (AEDT)

1. Aneed Forspeed (2) J: Daniel Moor (58kg) T: Claire Patterson
101201151251321151
2. Dubai Centre (7) J: Damian Lane (58kg) T: D T O'brien
54.84.64.64.55
3. Galactic Fury (6) J: Ethan Brown (58kg) T: C Maher & D Eustace
4.63333.253.2
4. Imagine Howe (13) J: Michael Walker (58kg) T: R Griffiths & M De Kock
5. Rousseau (4) J: Damien Thornton (58kg) T: C J Waller
4.25.5555.45.5
6. Schuhbeck (12) J: Jamie Mott (58kg) T: T Dabernig & B Hayes
7.598108.68
7. Sunny Snowflake (10) J: Zac Spain (58kg) T: M Price & M Kent Jnr
235161916551
8. Tobytoff (11) J: Jye Mcneil (58kg) T: K & K Keys
9. Yulong Status (3) J: Michael Poy (58kg) T: P & P Snowden
132626262021
10. Cubana (14) J: Jason Benbow (56kg) T: P G Moody
233141413334
11. Olivia's Game (1) J: Jordan Childs (56kg) T: G M Begg
174131413631
12. Write The Score (9) J: Michael Dee (56kg) T: M Price & M Kent Jnr
5.5766.56.46
13. Golden Fourth (8) J: Daniel Stackhouse (56kg) T: M M Laurie
1517181816.817
14. Media Statement (5) J: Unknown (56kg) T: C J Waller
314131313541

Odds Last Updated: February 5, 2021, 1:21pm (AEDT)

0

Race 4

Seize Oppor. At Spendrift Mdn (1600m)
7:30pm (AEDT)

Race 4

Seize Oppor. At Spendrift Mdn (1600m)
7:30pm (AEDT)

1. Bucks (6) J: Luke Nolen (59.5kg) T: D M Noonan
464161414951
2. Hampz (5) J: Jason Benbow (59.5kg) T: Anthony Cranston
201201201251301151
3. Chompers (8) J: Damian Lane (59kg) T: C J Waller
2.152.32.32.32.152.3
4. Cogent (1) J: Jye Mcneil (59kg) T: G Eurell
2321262123.526
5. Mariinsky (10) J: Dean Holland (59kg) T: A & S Freedman
108.59.599.38.5
6. Milliondollarbill (2) J: Michael Poy (59kg) T: P & P Snowden
2731312628.526
7. Suppression (4) J: Damien Thornton (59kg) T: C J Waller
5.555.555.25
8. Twiggy Pop (9) J: Michael Walker (59kg) T: Colin Scott
5.55.55.555.35.5
9. Northern Reign (7) J: Michael Dee (57.5kg) T: R Griffiths & M De Kock
2018201919.818
10. Stella De La Realm (11) J: Daniel Moor (57.5kg) T: D Binaisse
1917191919.218
11. Surangani (3) J: Beau Mertens (57kg) T: J W Bridgman
2321182126.521

Odds Last Updated: February 5, 2021, 1:21pm (AEDT)

Chris Waller horses … to bet or not to bet, that is the question? Both runners from the stable are right in the market with (3) Chompers the preferred horse over (7) Suppression. Chompers has put together two consecutive second places, both runs he was categorically beaten, however he did come from back in the field to overcome the bulk of the fields.  His last start over 1400 metres was the better of the two runs. He does look to have improvement over the 1600 metres now, and his natural get-back style will come to the fore. Waller’s preferred jockey Damian Lane takes the ride from Damian Thornton.

Thornton on the other hand stays on Suppression, and we can only assume Lane was given the option not Thornton. Suppression’s better run this preparation was first-up over a shorter distance, so don’t be surprised to see Suppression do the donkey work for the stable mate.

Tip: (3) Chompers - $3.10 at Topsport

0

Race 5

The Bill Shuck (Bm64) (1600m)
8:00pm (AEDT)

Race 5

The Bill Shuck (Bm64) (1600m)
8:00pm (AEDT)

1. Schweinsteiger (6) J: Arron Lynch (62kg) T: D J Walkley
2. Sir Edwin Landseer (4) J: Harry Grace (61.5kg) T: A Rosolini
232626212626
3. Red Light Roxanne (7) J: Arthur Robertson (60.5kg) T: Shawn Mathrick
353467514731
4. Office Jim (3) J: Dean Holland (60kg) T: A & S Freedman
3.53.63.93.73.43.3
5. Honour Me (8) J: Damien Thornton (58.5kg) T: G Eurell
313441313134
6. Wardy Boy (9) J: Daniel Stackhouse (58.5kg) T: Lesia Masnyj
415171514926
7. Jungle Jane (2) J: Luke Nolen (58kg) T: Ms L Tolson & Ms L Proctor
10109.51011.210
8. Leveraged (1) J: Damian Lane (57.5kg) T: Luke Oliver
3.43.33.43.33.453.3
9. Give Me Ten (5) J: Jason Benbow (57kg) T: P G Moody
2.62.72.62.72.553

Odds Last Updated: February 5, 2021, 1:21pm (AEDT)

Pretty happy to take the ever consistent favourite (4) Office Jim who comes in with a record of 14 starts for 2 wins and 8 places. He hasn’t yet won in this class, but does go well on this track, although likes some sting out of the track. He has landed two consecutive seconds in this grade prior, both by the thinnest of margins. If he maintains that form he will be tough to beat.

The Moody runner (9) Give Me Ten is getting support, and will be right in the mix after winning a BM58 by a couple lengths last start. He will attempt to pressure Office Jim, so tactics will be of great importance in this one. Saver!

Tip: (4) Office Jim - $2.70 at TopSport

Saver: (9) Give Me Ten - $4.00 at TopSport

0

Race 6

Oconnor Premium Beef Hcp (C1) (1600m)
8:30pm (AEDT)

Race 6

Oconnor Premium Beef Hcp (C1) (1600m)
8:30pm (AEDT)

1. Aragon (5) J: Daniel Moor (59.5kg) T: T Busuttin & N Young
1818172121.517
2. Knife's Edge (9) J: Jye Mcneil (58.5kg) T: Ms C Alderson
4.84.854.64.84.4
3. Dina's Boy (2) J: Ben Allen (58kg) T: T Busuttin & N Young
2626212126.526
4. Rippa Choice (7) J: Daniel Stackhouse (58kg) T: Sarah Zschoke
77677.26
5. Fighting Whiskey (1) J: Damien Thornton (57.5kg) T: M C Kent
1717171816.215
6. Alternate (6) J: Teodore Nugent (57kg) T: C Maher & D Eustace
6.576.56.57.17
7. Gracias Amigo (3) J: Jordan Childs (57kg) T: G M Begg
3.53.63.53.63.34.4
8. Unconquered Sun (10) J: Lewis German (57kg) T: B & J Purcell
616167916961
9. Floreat Pica (8) J: Michael Walker (56.5kg) T: Gavin Bedggood
1514151515.215
10. Limbering (4) J: Zac Spain (56kg) T: Lloyd Kennewell
66665.95.5

Odds Last Updated: February 5, 2021, 1:21pm (AEDT)

0

Race 7

Apm Group (Bm64) (1400m)
9:00pm (AEDT)

Race 7

Apm Group (Bm64) (1400m)
9:00pm (AEDT)

1. Anirishman (4) J: Ethan Brown (61kg) T: C Maher & D Eustace
888887.5
2. Rossman (5) J: Ben Allen (61kg) T: D R Brideoake
3. The Moors (1) J: Ms Alana Kelly (60kg) T: P A Haythorpe
1617161916.819
4. Iowa Hawkeye (7) J: Jye Mcneil (59.5kg) T: M D Moroney
111011111010
5. Jay Gatsby (2) J: Daniel Stackhouse (59.5kg) T: T Dabernig & B Hayes
1414151514.814
6. Thunder Pace (3) J: Brian Higgins (59kg) T: Simone Walker
344141313541
7. Via Capo (12) J: Jordan Childs (59kg) T: G M Begg
8. Angaston (10) J: Damian Lane (58.5kg) T: Jon O'connor
2.933.13.23.053.2
9. Clinched (8) J: Michael Dee (58kg) T: T Busuttin & N Young
1010910107.5
10. Orphan's Trust (11) J: Beau Mertens (57kg) T: Jerome Hunter
3.53.43.33.33.453.6
11. Deep Mirror (9) J: Jake Noonan (56.5kg) T: S P Nichols
6791911019181
12. Ocean Dew (6) J: Damien Thornton (56kg) T: A & S Freedman
1617151613.816

Odds Last Updated: February 5, 2021, 1:21pm (AEDT)

Just a small caveat—‘this is impossible’. That said, I am keen to have something small on (8) Angaston who has been racing well at Murray Bridge in a lower grade, albeit in races that look no stronger than this. Two second places firstly in BM64 and then BM72 indicate that he is well placed here, and he now gets the services of Damian Lane. It’s his preferred distance and the race and booking just looks to have some nice timing to it. The gate is a pretty big deficit however, and he is going to need to have plenty of luck.

Tip: (8) Angaston - $5.10 at Sportsbet

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0

Race 8

Sportsbet Same Race Multi-Bm64 (1200m)
9:30pm (AEDT)

Race 8

Sportsbet Same Race Multi-Bm64 (1200m)
9:30pm (AEDT)

1. Magnetism (9) J: Luke Nolen (61.5kg) T: T Dabernig & B Hayes
181515161615
2. Ferus (6) J: Ms Alana Kelly (60.5kg) T: C Maher & D Eustace
443.944.053.9
3. Milord (7) J: Ben Allen (60.5kg) T: J Warren & D Krongold
171819192018
4. Kurnell (3) J: Jye Mcneil (60kg) T: B J Mccarthy
171717181817
5. Zaidin (2) J: Michael Walker (60kg) T: Logan Mcgill
232120192223
6. Chevalier D'eon (1) J: Jamie Mott (59.5kg) T: John Mcardle
1111111210.811
7. French Bishop (11) J: Lewis German (59kg) T: Shawn Mathrick
1213131213.614
8. Gutsy (4) J: Damian Lane (59kg) T: M Ellerton & S Zahra
32.92.72.92.72.9
9. Mr Pickwick (10) J: Michael Dee (59kg) T: Patrick Payne
1521262621.521
10. Arlark Mofeed (5) J: Daniel Stackhouse (56kg) T: P Stokes
1111121211.611
11. Vionetta (12) J: Beau Mertens (55kg) T: P G Carey
1621212121.526
12. Ultimate Shock (8) J: Ms Jade Darose (55kg) T: Simone Walker
251151151201261151

Odds Last Updated: February 19, 2021, 2:12pm (AEDT)

The Horse found the thought of placing bets and drinking beers much more appealing once he was married, and that led to an interest in the many intricacies of The Great Game. He enjoys the challenge of predicting what will happen in any given race, but also loves horses themselves, none more so than the mighty mudlark Jungle Edge. His focus lies on metropolitan racing in Victoria and NSW, however isn’t afraid to find one out wide. Away from racing, The Horse is an avid drummer – quite a difficult task with a set of hooves.

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