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Happy Valley Racing Tips: Wednesday, February 3rd

Wednesday nights are for Happy Valley racing and our expert Tim Geers has run his eye over tonight’s nine-race card.

Happy Valley Racing Tips

Wednesday nights are for Happy Valley racing in Hong Kong, and our expert Tim Geers has run his eye over tonight’s nine-race card!

He’s keen to get involved early, with selections in Race 1 and Race 2, before rounding out his best bets in Race 7.

Check out his detailed analysis and betting tips for those races below!

0

Race 1

Shek Kip Mei Hcp (C4) (1200m)
9:45pm (AEDT)

Race 1

Shek Kip Mei Hcp (C4) (1200m)
9:45pm (AEDT)

1. Cheerful Leader (11) J: V Borges (60.5kg) T: P Yiu
1819202019.2
2. Cantstopthefeeling (7) J: N Callan (58.5kg) T: K L Man
2018202019
3. A Smile Like Yours (10) J: J Moreira (56.5kg) T: J J Size
6.56.57.57.56.6
4. E Honey (3) J: A K Chan (56.5kg) T: C Fownes
6167515161
5. Shining On (9) J: C Y Ho (56.5kg) T: K W Lui
4.44.64.84.84.65
6. Goko (4) J: A Hamelin (56kg) T: C H Yip
1515161615.2
7. Happy Time (1) J: B Shinn (56kg) T: W Y So
2.92.82.82.82.85
8. Happy Profit (2) J: Z Purton (56kg) T: C S Shum
55.5665.5
9. Mister Arm (5) J: K Teetan (56kg) T: Y S Tsui
2721262622
10. Multimore (8) J: M Chadwick (55kg) T: A S Cruz
5141414141
11. Smart Hunter (6) J: Jerry Chau (54.5kg) T: D Whyte
8171616171
12. Mission Smart (12) J: M F Poon (53kg) T: F C Lor
10119.59.510.2

Odds Last Updated: February 4, 2021, 9:36pm (AEDT)

The favourite gets his chance from barrier 1 here but he’s short enough at the current quote so I’m playing a few others in the race.

(8) Happy Profit hasn’t had much go right in his first two career starts. On debut he drew barrier 11 and sat three-wide the trip, and then last start he pulled up with substantial mucus in his trachea after dropping out to run second last. He started $5.80 that night so was obviously expected to be competitive, and notably, Zac Purton sticks with him tonight. He draws well in barrier 2 and can bounce back.

(11) Smart Hunter ran close enough to last in all three starts in his first preparation, but his trials this time in haven’t been that bad. Sometimes these horses need some time to acclimatise before showing their best, and although his recent trials have only been at Conghua, he might be able to improve tonight at enormous odds.

(12) Mission Smart is another at double figure odds that I expect to run well. He ran 2nd last time we saw him, which was back in August, but he pulled up with a few issues out of that run. Three trials leading into his resumption tonight and down on the minimum he might be able to show something. Barrier 12 is the negative.

(1) Cheerful Leader gets a class drop and the blinkers go back on. 1200m might not be his best distance but no surprise to see a sharp turnaround in form.

(5) Shining On continues to race well and will be right in the finish.

Tip: (8) Happy Profit $5.50 Ladbrokes

Value: (11) Smart Hunter $81 Bet365 & (12) Mission Smart $12 Bet365

Betting strategy: 1 unit WIN Happy Profit, 0.25 units E/W Smart Hunter, 0.25 units WIN Mission Smart

0

Race 2

Shek Kip Mei Hcp (C4) (1200m)
10:15pm (AEDT)

Race 2

Shek Kip Mei Hcp (C4) (1200m)
10:15pm (AEDT)

1. Bright Kid (9) J: C Wong (60.5kg) T: W Y So
6.56.5776.6
2. Classic Posh (5) J: Z Purton (60kg) T: D J Hall
2.72.9332.9
3. Aerosonic (3) J: J Moreira (57kg) T: J J Size
1112111111.8
4. Happy Gathering (12) J: A Hamelin (57kg) T: K L Man
5141414141
5. Lucky Maryknoll (7) J: B Shinn (57kg) T: D A Hayes
1313151513
6. Mudita (10) J: N Callan (57kg) T: P D O'sullivan
101101151151101
7. Sea Elite (6) J: Jerry Chau (56kg) T: D Whyte
3126212126
8. Top Military (11) J: K Teetan (56kg) T: T P Yung
2018191918.8
9. Dragon In Field (1) J: T Piccone (54kg) T: C W Chang
4141313140
10. Scenic Sweetie (2) J: H N Wong (54kg) T: Y S Tsui
3126414130
11. Run The Table (8) J: C Y Ho (53kg) T: K W Lui
887.57.58
12. Fortune Hero (4) J: A Badel (52kg) T: Richard Gibson
3.43.53.43.43.45

Odds Last Updated: February 4, 2021, 9:36pm (AEDT)

This looks a very thin race and (2) Classic Posh won’t get a better chance to win than this. Zac Purton jumps back aboard to replace apprentice Jerry Chau, so although the horse carries more weight tonight, he gets the big jockey change. Drawn ideally in barrier 2, the only concern is that he’s failed in two prior starts at Happy Valley, but this is a golden opportunity for him to break through.

(12) Fortune Hero is the second favourite, coming off a class 5 win over track and distance last start. He carried 55.5kg in that race and now finds himself up to a class 4 with 52kg. Yes, he drops in weight, but I still find it hard to get him that short in the market given this is a much harder race.

Don’t be surprised to see sharp improvement from (3) Aerosonic with Moreira taking over from Chad Schofield for trainer John Size. When he goes on, it tends to mean they are ready.

(1) Bright Kid drops in class and finds a suitable race.

Tip: (2) Classic Posh $3.00 Ladbrokes

Betting strategy: 1.5 units WIN Classic Posh

0

Race 3

Tai Wo Ping Hcp (C4) (2200m)
10:45pm (AEDT)

Race 3

Tai Wo Ping Hcp (C4) (2200m)
10:45pm (AEDT)

1. Peach Blossoms (1) J: K C Leung (60.5kg) T: D J Hall
2120191920
2. Dynamic Eagle (7) J: A Badel (60kg) T: C S Shum
6.56.576.56.5
3. Crown Avenue (3) J: Z Purton (58.5kg) T: C H Yip
77.57.57.57.4
4. Victorious Seeker (8) J: C Schofield (58.5kg) T: P D O'sullivan
1212121312
5. Magnetism (5) J: N Callan (57kg) T: D Ferraris
1313121212.8
6. Bullish Glory (2) J: C Y Ho (56.5kg) T: C W Chang
2018212119.2
7. Exaltation (6) J: J Moreira (56kg) T: A S Cruz
2.92.82.82.82.9
8. Great Times (9) J: Jerry Chau (55kg) T: K L Man
819110110191
9. Good Days (11) J: V Borges (54.5kg) T: C S Shum
9109.5109.8
10. Pretty Bauhinia (10) J: K Teetan (54.5kg) T: Y S Tsui
1313121212
11. Hay Run (4) J: H T Mo (53.5kg) T: L Ho
5141414141
12. Sky Gem (12) J: M L Yeung (52kg) T: C Fownes
1613151514.8

Odds Last Updated: February 4, 2021, 9:36pm (AEDT)

0

Race 4

Shek Kip Mei Hcp (C4) (1200m)
11:15pm (AEDT)

Race 4

Shek Kip Mei Hcp (C4) (1200m)
11:15pm (AEDT)

1. Telecom Puma (5) J: A K Chan (60.5kg) T: C Fownes
7.56776.9
2. Hercules (4) J: J Moreira (59.5kg) T: C H Yip
6.565.55.56
3. Casa Kingdom (9) J: B Shinn (57kg) T: D A Hayes
5141515141
4. Forever City (11) J: K C Leung (57kg) T: P D O'sullivan
818110110181
5. Fortune Carrier (7) J: Z Purton (57kg) T: C S Shum
4.44.24.44.44.35
6. Superb Daddy (1) J: N Callan (57kg) T: D Ferraris
1011141412
7. Viva Popcorn (3) J: M Chadwick (57kg) T: A S Cruz
2121262621.5
8. Gracylove (10) J: C Y Ho (56kg) T: D J Hall
1414151414
9. Universal Go Go (8) J: M F Poon (56kg) T: K W Lui
6.56.56.56.56.4
10. Infinite Power (12) J: Jerry Chau (55.5kg) T: T P Yung
7171717171
11. Viva Chef (2) J: A Badel (55.5kg) T: L Ho
66.54.85.55.8
12. Supreme Plus (6) J: K Teetan (54.5kg) T: F C Lor
1415151514.8

Odds Last Updated: February 4, 2021, 9:36pm (AEDT)

0

Race 5

Stonecutters Island Hcp (C4) (1650m)
11:45pm (AEDT)

Race 5

Stonecutters Island Hcp (C4) (1650m)
11:45pm (AEDT)

1. Wind Glider (4) J: V Borges (60.5kg) T: P D O'sullivan
3534262634
2. Brave King (1) J: A K Chan (60kg) T: A S Cruz
64.6665.8
3. Chater Pins (6) J: N Callan (60kg) T: D A Hayes
88.5788.2
4. Maldives (8) J: Z Purton (59kg) T: D J Hall
3.73.9443.8
5. Superbella (10) J: M F Poon (57.5kg) T: F C Lor
126101101126121
6. Fortune Happiness (3) J: C Y Ho (57kg) T: K W Lui
3431313131
7. Lucky Diamond (12) J: A Badel (56kg) T: K H Ting
126126101126121
8. King Dragon (5) J: J Moreira (55kg) T: K L Man
3.83.7443.9
9. Kiram (2) J: T Piccone (54kg) T: D Ferraris
1719181818.2
10. Thunder Stomp (9) J: K Teetan (53.5kg) T: Y S Tsui
5.575.55.55.7
11. Speedy Optimist (11) J: M Chadwick (52kg) T: C H Yip
1918171718.2
12. Running Guy (7) J: Alex Lai (51.5kg) T: C W Chang
251201201201201

Odds Last Updated: February 4, 2021, 9:36pm (AEDT)

0

Race 6

Cheung Sha Wan Hcp (C2) (1000m)
12:15am (AEDT)

Race 6

Cheung Sha Wan Hcp (C2) (1000m)
12:15am (AEDT)

1. Explosive Witness (3) J: A Badel (60.5kg) T: C Fownes
4.44.4444.5
2. Winner Supreme (4) J: H T Mo (58kg) T: Y S Tsui
4141414141
3. Shining Ace (5) J: J Moreira (57.5kg) T: J J Size
118.510109.9
4. Hong Kong Bet (2) J: N Callan (56kg) T: K H Ting
6.56776.1
5. Grateful Heart (8) J: Z Purton (55.5kg) T: C S Shum
2.52.42.452.452.45
6. Massive Pocket (1) J: C Y Ho (54kg) T: K W Lui
7.56.57.57.57.3
7. Multimillion (7) J: K Teetan (53kg) T: A S Cruz
8.510101010
8. California Concord (6) J: M Chadwick (52kg) T: A S Cruz
2626212125
9. Larson (9) J: M F Poon (52kg) T: F C Lor
1110101010.8
10. Mega Heart (10) J: M L Yeung (52kg) T: C W Chang
6141515151

Odds Last Updated: February 4, 2021, 9:36pm (AEDT)

0

Race 7

Sham Shui Po Hcp (C3) (1650m)
12:45am (AEDT)

Race 7

Sham Shui Po Hcp (C3) (1650m)
12:45am (AEDT)

1. Namjong Plus (10) J: C Y Ho (60.5kg) T: Y S Tsui
1113141412.8
2. Kyrus Unicorn (11) J: Z Purton (59kg) T: C W Chang
899.59.58.8
3. Cheers Baby (2) J: Alex Lai (57.5kg) T: P D O'sullivan
7171676771
4. Gift Of Lifeline (6) J: K Teetan (57kg) T: A T Millard
5.556.56.55.4
5. Breeders' Ding (4) J: N Callan (56.5kg) T: C Fownes
4134414138
6. Smiling City (8) J: Jerry Chau (56kg) T: D Whyte
4.24.23.83.84.15
7. Incanto Prepared (3) J: J Moreira (55kg) T: J J Size
2.72.72.452.452.65
8. Smoothies (1) J: C Schofield (55kg) T: C S Shum
1718191917.8
9. Total Power (9) J: M F Poon (54kg) T: D J Hall
4134343434
10. Xiang Bai Qi (7) J: T Piccone (53.5kg) T: D Ferraris
2119191919
11. Sunny Lad (5) J: M Chadwick (53kg) T: A S Cruz
2621262622.5
12. Exceptional Nice (12) J: A Badel (51.5kg) T: W Y So
46415151

Odds Last Updated: February 4, 2021, 9:36pm (AEDT)

Pretty happy to take on (4) Gift Of Lifeline with Purton jumping off, and the race sets up really nicely for the other two at the head of the market.

(7) Incanto Prepared is racing well and the key to tonight is Moreira jumping back aboard. He put together consecutive victories in Class 4 before rising to Class 3 last start with Alexis Badel in the saddle. He was OK when finishing 4th in the same race that Smiling City won. But Moreira is off Smiling City tonight and back aboard Incanto Prepared, with a luxury draw in barrier 3. Looks the horse to beat.

(6) Smiling City ran 2nd to Gift Of Lifeline two starts ago and then won with Moreira on board last start. He carries the same weight tonight with apprentice Jerry Chau taking the claim and he should be very competitive once again.

Happy to back Incanto Prepared and save on Smiling City.

Tip: (7) Incanto Prepared $2.75 Bet365

Saver: (6) Smiling City $4.60 Bet365

Betting strategy: 1.5 units WIN Incanto Prepared, 0.5 units WIN Smiling City

0

Race 8

Lai Chi Kok Hcp (C3) (1200m)
1:15am (AEDT)

Race 8

Lai Chi Kok Hcp (C3) (1200m)
1:15am (AEDT)

1. Inner Flame (4) J: Jerry Chau (60.5kg) T: D Whyte
9101010
2. Joyful Union (5) J: Z Purton (60.5kg) T: T P Yung
6666
3. Mig Energy (3) J: M Chadwick (60kg) T: A S Cruz
9899
4. Alcari (11) J: K C Leung (56.5kg) T: P Yiu
89.59.59.5
5. Metro Warrior (10) J: N Callan (57.5kg) T: D A Hayes
131312
6. Prince Of Bon Bon (2) J: B Shinn (56kg) T: D Ferraris
81818181
7. Winston's Lad (12) J: K Teetan (54.5kg) T: K W Lui
31313131
8. Aurora Pegasus (9) J: J Moreira (54kg) T: C Fownes
991010
9. Hall Of Champ (7) J: Alex Lai (54kg) T: D J Hall
991010
10. Harrier Jet (8) J: V Borges (54kg) T: P D O'sullivan
121199
11. Triple Triple (1) J: M F Poon (52.5kg) T: F C Lor
33.12.82.8
12. Baltic Whisper (6) J: H T Mo (51.5kg) T: C S Shum
41415151

Odds Last Updated: February 4, 2021, 9:36pm (AEDT)

0

Race 9

Lai Chi Kok Hcp (C3) (1200m)
1:50am (AEDT)

Race 9

Lai Chi Kok Hcp (C3) (1200m)
1:50am (AEDT)

1. Scores Of Fun (4) J: A Badel (60.5kg) T: J J Size
55.54.44.45.1
2. Helena Baby (2) J: Jerry Chau (59.5kg) T: D Whyte
3431313131
3. Igniting (5) J: Z Purton (57.5kg) T: K W Lui
2.252.22.22.22.2
4. Stoicism (9) J: B Shinn (56.5kg) T: D Ferraris
6110110110195
5. Happy Alumni (3) J: V Borges (56kg) T: D A Hayes
5.564.84.85.6
6. Capital Star (10) J: J Moreira (55.5kg) T: C Fownes
6.56.57.57.56.6
7. The Runner (6) J: M F Poon (54kg) T: F C Lor
1111121211.2
8. Hardly Swears (12) J: M L Yeung (53.5kg) T: K H Ting
2726262626.5
9. Shouson (11) J: A Hamelin (53.5kg) T: A T Millard
2726313126.5
10. Little Bird (8) J: Alex Lai (52.5kg) T: K L Man
6761676763
11. Aca Power (1) J: H T Mo (51.5kg) T: Y S Tsui
1011019191101
12. Nordic Warrior (7) J: M Chadwick (51.5kg) T: Richard Gibson
1816161616.4

Odds Last Updated: February 4, 2021, 9:36pm (AEDT)

A trip to Hong Kong quickly had Tim hooked to the racing caper, maintaining the best place anywhere in the world on a Wednesday night is Happy Valley. He holds a strong interest in the Hong Kong form, along with the metropolitan racing in Sydney and Melbourne. He’s a fan of dry tracks, Zac Purton and takes particular interest in identifying patterns in the form. Tim wears many hats, juggling the roles of form analyst, jockey manager and racehorse owner.

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