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Flemington Racing Tips: Saturday, August 7th

The Group 3 Aurie’s Star Handicap headlines the new season at Flemington and Trent Crebbin has previewed every race.

flemington racing tips

The first Saturday meeting of the new season at Flemington, headlined by the Group 3 Aurie’s Star Handicap.

After getting his best bet home at $9 in the last race last week, Trent Crebbin‘s best bet is in the final event again.

The track is rated a soft 5 but could improve into the good 4 range, and the rail is out 10 metres.

Best Bet – Race 9 (7) Grinzinger Allee & (13) D’aguilar

Best Value – Race 8 (7) Tactical Advantage

PlayUp

194464

Race 1

2021 Ctry Achiever John Ledger (2530m)
12:05pm (AEDT)

Race 1

2021 Ctry Achiever John Ledger (2530m)
12:05pm (AEDT)

1. Dr Drill (8) J: Josh Richards (60kg) T: C Maher & D Eustace
65.55.5665
2. The Good Fight (7) J: Ben Melham (59kg) T: M D Moroney
66665.56.5
3. Schabau (6) J: Brett Prebble (57kg) T: Robert Hickmott
3.73.63.63.73.653.5
4. South Pacific (1) J: Ms Jamie Kah (56kg) T: C Maher & D Eustace
3.43.43.63.63.153.4
5. One More Try (4) J: Craig Williams (54kg) T: Matthew Cumani
6.56.55.577.16
6. Chouxting The Mob (2) J: Beau Mertens (54kg) T: S Morrish
67718110110181
7. Killourney (5) J: Dean Holland (54kg) T: P A Preusker
232626262426
8. Tolemac (3) J: Will Price (54kg) T: F G Finnegan
1921202121.521

Odds Last Updated: August 7, 2021, 12:06pm (AEDT)

Tricky race but I have to side with (3) Schabau given his class. He was clearly in need of the run first up, drifting in the market with Jack Hill aboard, going back in the field and he did have a chequered passage in the straight. His last 100m was very good and whilst he struggled to win last prep, the horses he was losing (narrowly) to were Persan, Lord Belvedere, Orderofthegarter and Steel Prince. It just looks stronger form, Prebble takes the ride, smaller field suits and he gets in well at the weights.

(1) Dr Drill ran 2nd last start where Schabau ran 8th, but the query with him is getting out to 2530m. He was at 2000m last start and I think that probably sees him out. Definitely classy enough to win and very tough to doubt Maher/Eustace in a staying race but he might struggle late.

(4) South Pacific was poor last start in my opinion. Perhaps a firmer deck and a slight drop back in trip can help. He was far too good two back at this T/D but that was against real off season horses.

(5) One More Try is only 3rd up which is some query but did hit the line well in the same race at Schabau last start.

Tip: (3) Schabau- $4.40 at TAB

Betting Strategy: 1 unit WIN Schabau

194464

Race 2

Vrc Mem. Stuart Pettigrew-Bm70 (1410m)
12:40pm (AEDT)

Race 2

Vrc Mem. Stuart Pettigrew-Bm70 (1410m)
12:40pm (AEDT)

1. Sharp Response (6) J: Beau Mertens (60kg) T: Julius Sandhu
5555.55.15
2. Sistrum (4) J: John Allen (56.5kg) T: T Busuttin & N Young
2731263426.531
3. Sunfall (11) J: Ms Jamie Kah (56.5kg) T: M Price & M Kent Jnr
5555.55.34.8
4. Shadow Hawk (12) J: Craig Newitt (56kg) T: T Busuttin & N Young
5. Forgot You (3) J: Daniel Moor (55.5kg) T: T Busuttin & N Young
9.59.59.5119.59.5
6. Bluejack (5) J: Dean Holland (55kg) T: L & T Corstens
7. Dar Legend (8) J: Matthew Cartwright (55kg) T: J D Sadler
2321212118.623
8. Star Spirit (7) J: Dean Yendall (55kg) T: Archie Alexander
555555
9. Strike Eagle (2) J: Craig Williams (55kg) T: T & C Mcevoy
109.59.5109.99.5
10. Italian Poet (9) J: Ms Alana Kelly (54.5kg) T: M Ellerton & S Zahra
1111101010.411
11. Stalking (1) J: Damien Oliver (54.5kg) T: James Cummings
5.55.555.55.55
12. Stark Raving (10) J: Will Price (54.5kg) T: L & T Corstens
313134312734

Odds Last Updated: August 7, 2021, 12:41pm (AEDT)

Tough new season 3yo race. (1) Sharp Response has to carry 60kg but hasn’t done much wrong in three career starts, the only defeat coming to Jigsaw. Getting out to 1300m last start suited and it was a tough win out wide.

(3) Sunfall was unlucky last start at Caulfield and has the 1400m run under his belt now in a decent race. Going to get back in the field with Kah on but Flemington probably suits better than Caulfield.

(5) Forgot You can win off its performance in start number 2 when 3.8L off Saif and Lightsaber in the VRC Sires. He’s jumped out well and should get a nice run from barrier 3.

If I were to take one out of the Sharp Response lead up it’d be (10) Italian Poet. He got into an awful spot from barrier 1, last on the fence and held up until about the 250m mark. He’s a big striding horse with a slightly awkward gait (think Verry Elleegant) so I think Flemington, drawn wide will definitely suit. He also gets in with 51.5kg after Kelly’s claim, meeting Sharp Response 5kg better at the weights despite starting shorter at $7 in the market.

Tip: (10) Italian Poet- $21.00/4.33 at Bet365

Betting Strategy: 0.25/0.75 units E/W Italian Poet

194464

Race 3

Jockeys Celebration Day (Bm70) (1100m)
1:15pm (AEDT)

Race 3

Jockeys Celebration Day (Bm70) (1100m)
1:15pm (AEDT)

1. Overkill (11) J: Josh Richards (62kg) T: C Maher & D Eustace
9.59.59.5119.88.5
2. Rolling Moss (12) J: Unknown (61kg) T: Shawn Mathrick
9110110110199101
3. Zorro's Dream (2) J: Will Price (61kg) T: Mitchell Freedman
98.599.58.98.5
4. Lombardo (8) J: Ms Jamie Kah (60.5kg) T: M Price & M Kent Jnr
3.83.73.63.83.73.6
5. Modear (1) J: Ms Madison Lloyd (60.5kg) T: Patrick Payne
1717171817.217
6. Elite Legacy (16) J: Teodore Nugent (60kg) T: A W Noonan
616151614961
7. Kalashani Lad (6) J: Damien Oliver (60kg) T: T T Walsh
414141414541
8. Lady Pluck (10) J: Matthew Cartwright (60kg) T: C Maher & D Eustace
464151614551
9. Pioneer River (15) J: Mark Zahra (60kg) T: Ben & J D Hayes
776.57.56.67
10. Ashford Street (5) J: Ms Tatum Bull (59kg) T: Simon Ryan
9.59.510101010
11. High Risk (17) J: Lachlan Neindorf (59kg) T: Ms S Trolove
464141414041
12. Upper East Side (18) J: Craig Newitt (58.5kg) T: Nathan Hobson
464141414351
13. La Bella Costa (14) J: Beau Mertens (57.5kg) T: M M Laurie
1818161816.418
14. Zesty Belle (19) J: Damian Lane (57kg) T: M Ellerton & S Zahra
15. Teramia (3) J: Craig Williams (56.5kg) T: M M Laurie
998.59.59.69
16. Abseiler (13) J: Joe Bowditch (55.5kg) T: Lloyd Kennewell
1010111110.610
17. Messerschmitt (9) J: Unknown (58.5kg) T: Amy & Ash Yargi
616161614761
18. Toorak Warrior (20) J: Unknown (58.5kg) T: R Griffiths & M De Kock
19. Madame Bolli (7) J: Ms Alana Kelly (56kg) T: J T Conlan
20. Zoutons (4) J: Harry Coffey (58kg) T: B C Hearps

Odds Last Updated: August 7, 2021, 1:16pm (AEDT)

Always had an opinion of (4) Lombardo. He showed plenty of promise as a 3yo, running good late splits as a 3yo at this T/D when not far off the likes of Hi Stranger. He resumed off a long spell on a heavy track at Morphettville, had to carry 61.5kg and I much prefer him on a good track. Gets Kah on and has only had 5 starts so there’s plenty of upside.

(3) Zorro’s Dream is flying but just can’t seem to win a race. Like him down the straight at 1100m but barrier 2 isn’t ideal- he might be in the wrong part of the track and in traffic, which might mean another minor placing.

(10) Ashford Street comes out of a strong race behind Sacred Palace but did carry 51.5kg there and got a good run on speed. Goes up to 56kg after Bull’s claim but is flying this prep and can measure up.

(1) Overkill has been gelded since last prep and did run a narrow 3rd to Hi Stranger first up last prep in bm78 grade. His one go down the straight was very poor with no real excuse, so not sure what to do with him here.

Backing Lombardo but I wouldn’t be surprised if we get a slightly better price, even with Kah on and a strong SP profile.

Tip: (4) Lombardo- $3.40 at Ladbrokes

Betting Strategy: 1.5 units WIN Lombardo

194464

Race 4

Vrc Member Julie Purnell-Bm84 (1410m)
1:55pm (AEDT)

Race 4

Vrc Member Julie Purnell-Bm84 (1410m)
1:55pm (AEDT)

1. Don'ttelltheboss (1) J: Ms Alana Kelly (58kg) T: R Griffiths & M De Kock
1918181919.217
2. Ocean's Thirteen (10) J: Teodore Nugent (57.5kg) T: C Maher & D Eustace
1717161815.816
3. Melodeon (12) J: Ben Melham (57kg) T: Charlotte Littlefield
1313141313.213
4. Our Birdsong (2) J: Josh Richards (57kg) T: M D Moroney
1717171818.217
5. Aidensfield (9) J: Craig Williams (56.5kg) T: Ben & J D Hayes
4.244444
6. Faithful Diamond (14) J: Ms Madison Lloyd (56.5kg) T: J S Bull
353441413741
7. Lindhout (11) J: Craig Newitt (56.5kg) T: E Jusufovic
3.23.33.23.43.43.2
8. The Closer (8) J: Matthew Cartwright (56.5kg) T: C Maher & D Eustace
353431413634
9. Lady D'oro (6) J: Lachlan Neindorf (55kg) T: R Griffiths & M De Kock
10. Salt Bay (7) J: Will Price (54.5kg) T: M D Moroney
1919191919.419
11. Indiana Lilly (5) J: Daniel Moor (54kg) T: Shea Eden
716771818571
12. Island Joy (3) J: Damien Thornton (54kg) T: M Ellerton & S Zahra
1615161715.216
13. Turaath (13) J: Jye Mcneil (54kg) T: Maddie Raymond
7.577.57.56.27.5
14. Laffalong (4) J: Fred Kersley (54kg) T: N A Blackiston
1717181717.818

Odds Last Updated: August 7, 2021, 1:56pm (AEDT)

With Froggy back on, (7) Lindhout can bounce back in a big way. She wasn’t suited last start by how fast they went, meaning she got a mile back and had to chase a long way out. Even still I don’t love Hefel on this horse- she’s never really seemed to click with it and Froggy won on her at this T/D two back very impressively. They shouldn’t go as fast in front here meaning he can settle her down and nothing will be able to match her last 600m.

(3) Melodeon wasn’t suited last week behind Imperial Lad and will improve out to 1400m in mare’s grade on the quick back up. Melham replacing Hefel suits and the fresh run was good.

(13) Turaath comes out of the midweeks but we’ve seen plenty of times that the difference in class isn’t that great. The win last start was good and she’s on the up.

(6) Faithful Diamond can improve. No idea what happened last start because she was uncharacteristically awful, beaten nearly 13L over 1600m behind Chief Altony. She was airborne prior over 1400m and with a freshen up she can run a race at huge odds.

Tip: (7) Lindhout- $2.50 at Sportsbet

Value: (6) Faithful Diamond- $101/18 at TAB

Betting Strategy: 3.5 units WIN Lindhout, 0.25 units E/W Faithful Diamond

194464

Race 5

Vrc Member Kate Crosby (Bm84) (1100m)
2:35pm (AEDT)

Race 5

Vrc Member Kate Crosby (Bm84) (1100m)
2:35pm (AEDT)

1. Simply Optimistic (3) J: Craig Williams (60.5kg) T: B W Hawtin
272621262523
2. Oxley Road (1) J: Luke Nolen (58.5kg) T: P G Moody
6.566766.5
3. Street Life (2) J: Ben Melham (58.5kg) T: Ms K Byrnes
616161616361
4. Street Tough (11) J: Dean Holland (58.5kg) T: Will Clarken
1414131314.214
5. Rainbow Thief (5) J: Jordan Childs (58kg) T: M D Moroney
343431343034
6. Ruban Bleu (4) J: Jamie Mott (58kg) T: Ben & J D Hayes
2626262625.526
7. Second Slip (6) J: Mark Zahra (58kg) T: Will Clarken
9999.59.79
8. Kalkarni Royale (14) J: Will Price (57.5kg) T: K L Corstens
887.57.57.38
9. Milton Park (7) J: Damien Oliver (56.5kg) T: J F Moloney
202121212019
10. Need New Friends (10) J: Damian Lane (56.5kg) T: D T O'brien
171919211518
11. Yulong Storm (8) J: Craig Newitt (56.5kg) T: Nathan Hobson
2121212121.521
12. Deep Speed (15) J: Ms Jamie Kah (56kg) T: T & C Mcevoy
4.84.84.64.84.754.8
13. Pinyin (13) J: Josh Richards (56kg) T: J T Conlan
1414151716.613
14. Housay (9) J: Jye Mcneil (55.5kg) T: Shea Eden
15. Miss Albania (12) J: Liam Riordan (54kg) T: E Jusufovic
66666.66

Odds Last Updated: August 7, 2021, 2:36pm (AEDT)

Cracking race with some very promising horses engaged. Going to follow up with (15) Miss Albania after running first up at Caulfield where she was heavily backed and not ridden to her strengths whatsoever. She went incredibly slow out in front, was headed by the chasers before Willo asked her for an effort and she couldn’t sprint with them. She’s shown her best asset is to go fast in front, so with that run under the belt I’m sure they’ll be more aggressive. I think she’s a handy mare and although Flemington is a query, the price is fair.

(12) Deep Speed was a good winner first up and is another interesting horse down the straight first time. He beat a good field there and will improve off that after running out of fitness the last 100m. Drawn out wide near Miss Albania which will be interesting.

(2) Oxley Road has won down the straight which will help. He won his first two starts last prep nicely, but he beat nothing on debut and I think he was flattered after that, beating It’sourtime who was coming back from an incredibly brutal 1400m run and was likely flat. Barrier one also not ideal so I’m risking here.

(11) Yulong Storm won for us at $41 last start and loves the straight. Comes up against some progressive horses here but is going very well.

Equal staking Miss Albania and Deep Speed. Either is a winning result but the mare would be ideal.

Tip: (15) Miss Albania- $7.00 at Sportsbet

Also Backing: (12) Deep Speed- $4.20 at Bet365

Betting Strategy: 1 unit WIN Miss Albania, 1 unit WIN Deep Speed

194464

Race 6

Hong Kong Jockey Club Hcp (1410m)
3:15pm (AEDT)

Race 6

Hong Kong Jockey Club Hcp (1410m)
3:15pm (AEDT)

1. Red Can Man (12) J: Ms Madison Lloyd (60kg) T: D R Brideoake
3.93.93.943.853.9
2. Wolfe (4) J: Damien Oliver (59kg) T: G Waterhouse & A Bott
3. Groundswell (7) J: Damian Lane (58.5kg) T: A & S Freedman
4.54.44.24.644.2
4. Mosh Music (5) J: Jordan Childs (57kg) T: Archie Alexander
232126312623
5. Inn Keeper (11) J: Dean Yendall (55.5kg) T: Symon Wilde
201917212119
6. Biometric (2) J: Harry Coffey (54.5kg) T: Ben & J D Hayes
76.56.577.16.5
7. King Magnus (8) J: Ms Alana Kelly (54.5kg) T: R Griffiths & M De Kock
2.82.92.82.92.852.8
8. Winning Partner (1) J: Will Price (54kg) T: T & C Mcevoy
212021212221
9. Mr Money Bags (3) J: Declan Bates (54kg) T: L Smith
2626262625.526
10. Viral (10) J: Craig Williams (54kg) T: D T O'brien
11. Arty Lucas (9) J: Dean Holland (54kg) T: Ms S Ferchie
919110115111181
12. Easy Beast (6) J: Teodore Nugent (54kg) T: Richard Laming

Odds Last Updated: August 7, 2021, 3:16pm (AEDT)

Does really look 3 winning chances and the market reflects that. (1) Red Can Man looks suited up to 1400m and also on a drier track because he hasn’t let down on two soft track runs this prep, but won well on a good surface. Has to win with 3kg claimer Madi Lloyd on but should roll forward and sit just behind the speed.

(7) King Magnus is airborne having won his last two, the latest in open handicap grade when showing a very nice turn of foot. Stays right down in the weights with 51.5kg and will be hard to beat again.

(3) Groundswell has been freshened since a solid run in QLD behind Charleise. He’s got form around this listed level that should see him competitive again and will be in the first 2 in running.

(12) Easy Beast has had zero luck whatsoever in his last two. I’ve been with him at big prices and he’s been stopped dead in his tracks in the straight both times. Teo is a good booking and he might be able to control this race, but this might just be a bit too hard for him.

Can’t confidently steer us into anything here. I think one of Red Can Man or King Magnus likely wins, will be filthy if Easy Beast gets a result and might end up having a couple of sanity dollars on him, but at the current prices I don’t want to get involved.

Tip: (1) Red Can Man- $3.90 at Sportsbet

Betting Strategy: No Bet

194464

Race 7

Vrc Member J Hoy Trophy (Bm78) (2000m)
3:55pm (AEDT)

Race 7

Vrc Member J Hoy Trophy (Bm78) (2000m)
3:55pm (AEDT)

1. Durston (16) J: Josh Richards (62kg) T: C Maher & D Eustace
353134414026
2. Vegas Knight (15) J: Mark Zahra (60.5kg) T: C W Little
2019202119.418
3. Serenade The Stars (10) J: Liam Riordan (60kg) T: Peter Gelagotis
151151151151161126
4. Tooradin (12) J: Jye Mcneil (59kg) T: C Maher & D Eustace
181717191617
5. Blandford Lad (11) J: Jordan Childs (58.5kg) T: Peter Gelagotis
151151151201181151
6. Ghodeleine (2) J: Ms Madison Lloyd (58.5kg) T: Andrew Noblet
1514151515.214
7. Hosier (3) J: Ben Melham (58.5kg) T: Robert Hickmott
1.651.71.61.651.641.7
8. Zachaz (1) J: Ms Jamie Kah (58.5kg) T: C Maher & D Eustace
1716161717.215
9. Irish Butterfly (19) J: Will Price (58kg) T: Henry Dwyer
313434413134
10. Yulong Captain (14) J: Jamie Mott (58kg) T: Ben & J D Hayes
516767615181
11. Darlamax (9) J: Beau Mertens (57.5kg) T: Andrew Homann
12. Nerve Not Verve (7) J: Damien Oliver (57.5kg) T: M D Moroney
616167615361
13. Oh Mo (17) J: Ethan Brown (57.5kg) T: Ms C Alderson
313134312734
14. Orleans Rock (5) J: Damien Thornton (57.5kg) T: P A Preusker
1515161715.414
15. Toff Choice (20) J: Jake Noonan (57.5kg) T: A W Noonan
516161614961
16. Influential Girl (18) J: Lachlan Neindorf (57kg) T: R Griffiths & M De Kock
17. Perennial (8) J: Craig Williams (54.5kg) T: P G Moody
1514131514.612
18. Feuermond (6) J: Brett Prebble (56.5kg) T: L Smith
2119202119.819
19. Accountability (13) J: Damian Lane (56.5kg) T: C J Waller
20. Sleepless (4) J: Declan Bates (55.5kg) T: Archie Alexander

Odds Last Updated: August 7, 2021, 3:56pm (AEDT)

(7) Hosier looks very hard to beat but is about his right price at the odds-on quote. Has been ultra-impressive in 3 Australian runs, the latest over 1800m at $1.50 where he led, got an easy time and hardly got out of 2nd gear to win by nearly 4 lengths. This is obviously much harder and he won’t get it all his own way but he very likely wins. I’d bet at $2 and may look to update the strategy if he does get out, so stay tuned.

(4) Tooradin is going well, he looked like he needed one more run to top him off last start after just failing to reel in Falls. With the 2000m run under his belt he should be peaking although may have liked it a bit wetter.

(6) Ghodeleine had no luck whatsoever in a messy race last week at The Valley. Won nicely two back and with luck from barrier 2 can be in the finish, especially to run a place.

(2) Vegas Knight should ensure a good tempo drawn out wide, he has to come across and can run along out in front.

Tip: (7) Hosier- $1.85 at Bet365

Betting Strategy: No Bet

194464

Race 8

World Horse Auries Star (1200m)
4:30pm (AEDT)

Race 8

World Horse Auries Star (1200m)
4:30pm (AEDT)

1. Johnny Get Angry (11) J: Jamie Mott (59kg) T: Denis Pagan
9191811268381
2. Order Of Command (5) J: Craig Williams (58.5kg) T: D T O'brien
9.59.59109.59
3. Aysar (9) J: Ms Jamie Kah (57.5kg) T: Ben & J D Hayes
5555.55.15
4. Romancer (6) J: Jordan Childs (57kg) T: G M Begg
313131313134
5. The Astrologist (8) J: Damien Thornton (57kg) T: L & T Corstens
665.5665.5
6. Great Again (2) J: Declan Bates (56.5kg) T: L Smith
1615131615.214
7. Tactical Advantage (12) J: Craig Newitt (56.5kg) T: K A Lees
515151515351
8. Banquo (3) J: Damian Lane (55.5kg) T: D T O'brien
7.57.57.57.56.57.5
9. King Of Hastings (4) J: Brett Prebble (55.5kg) T: A & S Freedman
98.58988.5
10. Secret Blaze (7) J: Jye Mcneil (55.5kg) T: T & C Mcevoy
464141414141
11. Sirius Suspect (13) J: Damien Oliver (55.5kg) T: Saab Hasan
1112129.59.212
12. Regardsmaree (1) J: Fred Kersley (54kg) T: Nick Ryan
999.599.19
13. I Am Someone (14) J: Lachlan Neindorf (54kg) T: M M Laurie
616771715971
14. Too Good Too Hard (10) J: Will Price (54kg) T: P Stokes
111212121313
15. Irish Songs (15) J: Beau Mertens (54kg) T: Kurt Goldman
717181816981

Odds Last Updated: August 7, 2021, 4:31pm (AEDT)

Impossible race but I’m going to have something on (7) Tactical Advantage simply because he has an outstanding 3rd up record with 4 wins from 7 starts. Not sure he’s going as well as he was but he got into an awkward spot in the John Monash along the inside and can improve off that. He is also good down the straight with one win (3rd up) and a midfield effort in a group 2, crossing the line with Banquo who is well in the market here. Drawn perfectly, in form Froggy on, at $81 he’s worth a small nibble.

(5) The Astrologist is flying and just keeps running well. He loves the straight and beat a few of these over this T/D two back. Is a hard horse to get past.

No idea how (8) Banquo didn’t go past The Astrologist last start when Lane was swinging off it at the 200m mark. He needs another win but meets that horse 2.5kg better at the weights and also gets blinkers on for the first time in a while. He wore them in arguably his best career run to date in the Newmarket at this T/D won by Bivouac. He gets onto a good track here which I think will definitely aid his cause.

(3) Aysar is an interesting one first up. Clearly has the talent and gets Kah on first time. Might be better over a bit further but did run 2nd to Portland Sky at 1200m last prep who won an Oakleigh Plate.

Tip: (7) Tactical Advantage- $81.00/19.00 at Bet365

Also Backing: (8) Banquo- $7.50 at Sportsbet

Betting Strategy: 0.25/0.75 units E/W Tactical Advantage, 0.5 units WIN Banquo

194464

Race 9

Vrc Member M Kiely Trophy-Bm84 (1600m)
5:05pm (AEDT)

Race 9

Vrc Member M Kiely Trophy-Bm84 (1600m)
5:05pm (AEDT)

1. Shot Of Irish (1) J: Ms Tahlia Hope (62.5kg) T: Scott Brunton
1819192120.519
2. Stars Of Carrum (15) J: Campbell Rawiller (60.5kg) T: P G Moody
9191811017781
3. Scottish Dancer (16) J: Jack Hill (60kg) T: Andrew Bobbin
121213141212
4. Floating Artist (11) J: John Allen (58kg) T: C Maher & D Eustace
5. Kinane (10) J: Damian Lane (58kg) T: M C Kent
343451413341
6. Think 'N' Fly (2) J: Damien Oliver (58kg) T: Ben & J D Hayes
109.58109.79.5
7. Grinzinger Allee (4) J: Ms Jamie Kah (57kg) T: D T O'brien
54.84.8554.8
8. Kaplumpich (6) J: Teodore Nugent (56kg) T: K L Corstens
1615171714.816
9. Scantoon (5) J: Jordan Childs (56kg) T: G M Begg
9.599108.88.5
10. Liapari (3) J: Craig Newitt (55kg) T: Ms L Enright
126126101126111151
11. Mankayan (14) J: Matthew Cartwright (55kg) T: C Maher & D Eustace
1718181818.418
12. Coolth (12) J: Will Price (54.5kg) T: T & C Mcevoy
2018192121.519
13. D'aguilar (9) J: Jye Mcneil (54.5kg) T: Patrick Payne
3.53.63.43.23.43.6
14. Hasseltoff (7) J: Craig Williams (54.5kg) T: R Griffiths & M De Kock
1918192119.621
15. Tan Check (13) J: Dean Holland (54.5kg) T: J S Bull
1212101211.211
16. Jittery Jack (8) J: Ms Alana Kelly (54kg) T: J D Matheson

Odds Last Updated: August 7, 2021, 5:06pm (AEDT)

Does look a race in two and I think we can back both for a good result. (7) Grinzinger Allee was well backed first up and will come on nicely from that effort. He was running on very well, in the 2nd fastest 600-400, the fastest 400-200m before peaking late to finish 5th behind King Magnus who has won again since. He won 2nd up last prep in a very fast race, gets to Flemington and draws nicely. Would have nearly been a moral if it weren’t for another in the race.

I speak of (13) D’aguilar who returned first up off 78 weeks at just his 5th ever race start and was very good, getting a split and sprinting quickly to put 2.5L on King Magnus, which obviously ties in very well. If you go off that run alone he has to be a huge chance here and if he can stay sound he might be able to go through the grades impressively.

(3) Scottish Dancer is racing well having won three in a row, it was an odd race last start but he did it nicely and despite drawing the carpark should be running on again.

(14) Hasseltoff can improve off the first up run at 1200m which was just too short but might need one more.

Tip: (7) Grinzinger Allee- $5.00 at Bet365

Also Backing: (13) D’aguilar- $4.80 at Sportsbet

Betting Strategy: 2.5 units WIN Grinzinger Allee, 2.5 units WIN D’aguilar

Trent’s interest in the thoroughbred started out as a spark with Black Caviar, became a flame with Winx, and has now intensified into a burning obsession with Arcadia Queen. He started out throwing loose change on random trifectas at the pub, but it wasn’t long before he was watching replays and looking at sectionals, weights and markets. Trent specializes in Victorian racing and hopes his first winner as an owner is just around the corner.

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