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Flemington Racing Tips: Saturday, March 12th

Billy Bestford previews every race on Super Saturday at Flemington.

flemington racing tips

It’s Super Saturday at Flemington with two massive group 1’s on the card. The Newmarket Handicap and the Australian Cup headline a massive day of racing at headquarters.

The track is currently rated a good 4 with the rail out 5 metres. The forecast looks good so we should expect a dry track with every horse to get their chance.

Billy Bestford is back again to preview every race across the meeting so read on to find his best bets, value bets and betting strategies for each race.

Best Bet: Race 5 – (4) Argentia

Best Value: Race 8 – (4) Rock

 

211313

Race 1

Tbv Tbred Breeders Stakes (1200m)
12:35pm (AEDT)

Race 1

Tbv Tbred Breeders Stakes (1200m)
12:35pm (AEDT)

1. Kiki Express (9) J: Damian Lane (58kg) T: M J Ellerton
212117.4
2. Mumbai Jewel (3) J: Ben Melham (58kg) T: Annabel Neasham
191919.2
3. Va Via (4) J: Damien Oliver (56kg) T: James Cummings
6.56.56.3
4. Berry Bubbly (15) J: Jye Mcneil (56kg) T: R Griffiths & M De Kock
191816
5. Nanagui (11) J: James Mcdonald (56kg) T: P G Moody
3.23.33.1
6. Blonde Venture (1) J: Lachlan Neindorf (56kg) T: S P Nichols
918163
7. Kiko (10) J: Craig Williams (56kg) T: J T Conlan
111110.2
8. Ruthless Dame (13) J: Ms Jamie Kah (56kg) T: C Maher & D Eustace
5.55.55.6
9. Moko (12) J: Mark Zahra (56kg) T: A & S Freedman
9.599.6
10. La Gioia (6) J: Ethan Brown (56kg) T: J Warren & D Krongold
201921.5
11. She's Pretty Rich (8) J: Ben Allen (56kg) T: Matthew Brown
181617.6
12. Winnertakesitall (5) J: Kerrin Mcevoy (56kg) T: Peter & Paul Snowden
13. Habeebati (2) J: (56kg) T: Peter & Paul Snowden
14. Galeka (7) J: Michael Dee (56kg) T: J D Sadler
262627.5
15. La Danseuse Rouge (14) J: John Allen (56kg) T: C I Brown
202016.6

Odds Last Updated: March 12, 2022, 12:39pm (AEDT)

Think the midweek win for (3) Va Via will do her plenty of benefit and she really exploded when clear there. Prelude run before that was very good and I think she’s fine getting 1200m now and maps nicely from barrier 4. 

(5) Nanagui was good on debut when tight for room but then very strong to the line. Draws out here which looks like it will suit and Jmac takes over. Stable is flying!

(8) Ruthless Dame was exactly that on debut, winning by a length eased down well before the post. Cleary she is very talented but back in trip could be a slight knock? 

(10) La Gioia looks a big price if I’m giving Va Via a chance. Less than a length off her on debut and will improve off that run.

Tip: (3) Va Via - $6.50 at Moneyball

Betting Strategy: 0.5u WIN Va Via

211313

Race 2

Penfolds Maxs Rose Matron (1600m)
1:10pm (AEDT)

Race 2

Penfolds Maxs Rose Matron (1600m)
1:10pm (AEDT)

1. Turaath (8) J: Damian Lane (58kg) T: Maddie Raymond
3.63.63.5
2. Yes Baby Yes (1) J: Craig Williams (58kg) T: Leon & Troy Corstens
3. Rocha Clock (7) J: Hugh Bowman (57kg) T: J A O'shea
896.9
4. Flying Mascot (4) J: Blaike Mcdougall (57kg) T: Tom Dabernig
2.152.052.15
5. Invinciano (6) J: Kerrin Mcevoy (55kg) T: Joseph Pride
212120
6. Score (3) J: Fred Kersley (55kg) T: Annabel Neasham
161617.2
7. Promise Of Success (5) J: Ben Melham (55kg) T: John O'Shea
8. Bound To Win (9) J: Damien Oliver (55kg) T: P & P Snowden
262620
9. Groovy Kinda Love (2) J: James Mcdonald (55kg) T: M C Kent
666.1

Odds Last Updated: March 12, 2022, 1:14pm (AEDT)

(4) Flying Mascot is doing exactly that – he is airborne! Did absolutely no favours to himself last start when keen all the way but still pulled away from them for a cosy win. 3rd up last prep was an absolute demolition and I think he’s going better this time in! 

Honestly think (3) Rocha Clock can run a race here 2nd up. She’s always better for a run under the belt and I think you can be a touch forgiving of that fresh run when caught in inferior ground. Gets pace on here and will be flying late. 2nd up lst prep was best run, splitting Icebath and Forbidden Love – A grade form now!

(1 Turaath brings the best form into this dropping out of the G1 Futurity. Back to her own sex here she is much better suited and is at peak fitness now. 1600m my only concern.

Tip: (4) Flying Mascot - $2.20 at Bet365

Betting Strategy: 2u WIN Flying Mascot

211313

Race 3

Moomba Plate (1100m)
1:45pm (AEDT)

Race 3

Moomba Plate (1100m)
1:45pm (AEDT)

1. General Beau (8) J: Damian Lane (61kg) T: M J Ellerton
6.56.55.6
2. Remarque (10) J: Jye Mcneil (58kg) T: Michael & Wayne & John Hawkes
3. Crystal Bound (12) J: John Allen (57.5kg) T: C Maher & D Eustace
121212.2
4. Flying Evelyn (11) J: Mark Zahra (56.5kg) T: A & S Freedman
121312.2
5. Mynumerouno (6) J: Rhys Mcleod (56kg) T: Nick Ryan
888.1
6. Gimmie Par (5) J: Ms Jamie Kah (55.5kg) T: P G Moody
3.83.83.6
7. Glistening (3) J: Hugh Bowman (55.5kg) T: R & M Freedman
191815.6
8. Zarastro (4) J: Craig Newitt (54kg) T: C J Waller
3.53.43.5
9. Lloyd's Crown (7) J: Ms Linda Meech (54kg) T: Ms R Waymouth
101010.2
10. Tycoon Humma (1) J: Harry Coffey (54kg) T: John Mcardle
262628
11. Hunnam (2) J: Craig Williams (54kg) T: Chris Waller
12. Picarones (9) J: Kerrin Mcevoy (54kg) T: James Cummings
343426

Odds Last Updated: March 12, 2022, 1:49pm (AEDT)

Dissapointed to see Remarque scratched here as I was super keen on him. 

(6) Gimme Par went super last prep when running 4th in the Danehill. She’s a horse best kept on the fresh side and will be ready to fire here again. With Remarque out she looks the toughest to beat. Loves 1100m. 

(1) Genereal Beau will appreciate being back to his own age group here after running in the Oakleigh Plate. Loves this track/trip and wouldn’t shock to see him regain some form. 

(8) Zarastro has been trialling really nicely and clearly has a stack of upside. Yet to see the best of him but his form stands out. Only horse which has knocked him off was Paulele on debut. Waller wouldn’t send him here if he wasn’t ready.

Tip: (6) Gimme Par - $3.90 at Moneyball

Betting Strategy: No Bet

211313

Race 4

Mss Security Sires Produce (1400m)
2:20pm (AEDT)

Race 4

Mss Security Sires Produce (1400m)
2:20pm (AEDT)

1. Merchant Prince (10) J: Luke Nolen (57kg) T: P G Moody
76.57.1
2. Jamarra (2) J: John Allen (57kg) T: C Maher & D Eustace
151516.2
3. Nobel (12) J: Mark Zahra (57kg) T: Annabel Neasham
343135
4. Sir Bailey (1) J: Ms Jamie Kah (57kg) T: C Maher & D Eustace
555.1
5. Man In The Mirror (8) J: James Mcdonald (57kg) T: Annabel Neasham
888.1
6. Let'srollthedice (9) J: Damian Lane (57kg) T: D T O'brien
54.55
7. Brosnan (11) J: Ben Melham (57kg) T: G Ryan & S Alexiou
111211.8
8. Yaki Ishi (14) J: Craig Williams (57kg) T: R Griffiths & M De Kock
343430
9. Bessmati (5) J: Jye Mcneil (55kg) T: Annabel Neasham
343430
10. Sumatra (7) J: Damien Oliver (55kg) T: James Cummings
141311.6
11. Queen Latifa (4) J: Thomas Stockdale (55kg) T: G Eurell
615143
12. Do It La (13) J: Blaike Mcdougall (55kg) T: P G Moody
414130
13. Bonheur (15) J: Nash Rawiller (55kg) T: T Busuttin & N Young
6.566.6
14. Miss Faberge (6) J: Michael Dee (55kg) T: J G Sargent
15. Quang Tri (3) J: Kerrin Mcevoy (55kg) T: Patrick Payne
515138
16. Sirius Princess (16) J: Craig Newitt (55kg) T: T J Andrews
301151131

Odds Last Updated: March 12, 2022, 2:24pm (AEDT)

In an open race I’ll have a stab on the unknown horse. (6) Let’srollthedice debut win was enormous. Missed the start, snagged back on an absolute bog track, raced around in the straight as green as grass but still put 3.5L on them. If he can put it all together here he could be anything! Think he’s even better suited onto dry ground now. 

(4) Sir Bailey turned the tables on merchant prince at start 2 with that horse then running well in the Blue Diamond. He only got better the further that race went so I expect he will eat up this trip now. Can be very handy from the inside draw.

(1) Merchant Prince ran well as mentioned in the Blue Diamond. He was 1300 – 1200 there and I think he will enjoy getting out to 1400 now. Was a super win over Sir Bailey at 2nd start and he is good enough here.

Tip: (6) Let’srollthedice - $5.00 at Bet365

Betting Strategy: 1u WIN Let'srollthedice

211313

Race 5

Tab Kewney Stakes (1600m)
3:00pm (AEDT)

Race 5

Tab Kewney Stakes (1600m)
3:00pm (AEDT)

1. Yearning (4) J: Jye Mcneil (56kg) T: M, W & J Hawkes
4.84.84.7
2. Lavish Girl (8) J: Ben Melham (56kg) T: C Maher & D Eustace
8.588.1
3. Barb Raider (10) J: Craig Williams (56kg) T: Jerome Hunter
666.1
4. Argentia (6) J: Mark Zahra (56kg) T: A & S Freedman
32.92.95
5. Biscayne Bay (1) J: Ms Jamie Kah (56kg) T: C Maher & D Eustace
202018.4
6. Mokulua (7) J: Nash Rawiller (56kg) T: C E Conners
262624.5
7. Stray (3) J: Joshua Parr (56kg) T: A J Cummings
414129.5
8. Pretty Amazing (11) J: James Mcdonald (56kg) T: Chris Waller
9. Arktika (5) J: John Allen (56kg) T: C Maher & D Eustace
66.56.3
10. Hardly Sweet (2) J: Damian Lane (56kg) T: G Eurell
615145
11. So You See (9) J: Jamie Mott (56kg) T: M D Moroney
12129.6

Odds Last Updated: March 12, 2022, 3:04pm (AEDT)

Pretty keen on (4) Argentia who looks absolutely primed for the mile here 3rd up. Was beaten by the track bias last start but still ran very well. At set weights here I think she looks extremely hard to beat while getting back to the Flemington track is only a positive for her. 

(1) Yearning is the clear danger. He was huge in that same race, coming from well back to finish 3rd. Not many horses managed to do that on the day and he’s a G1 winner over this trip! 

(11) So You See is the new horse on the scene with an emphatic debut win at Pakenham two weeks ago. Pakenham maidens don’t often scream of quality but this was a serious win. The stable and jockey have big wraps and she could easily go on with it. 

(3) Barb Raider next best.

Tip: (4) Argentia - $3.20 at Bet365

Betting Strategy: 2.5u WIN at Argentia

211313

Race 6

Yulong Stud Newmarket Hcp (1200m)
3:40pm (AEDT)

Race 6

Yulong Stud Newmarket Hcp (1200m)
3:40pm (AEDT)

1. Masked Crusader (13) J: Jye Mcneil (57kg) T: M, W & J Hawkes
111110.2
2. Home Affairs (16) J: James Mcdonald (56kg) T: C J Waller
43.93.75
3. Lost And Running (9) J: Hugh Bowman (56kg) T: J A O'shea
3.93.93.95
4. Zoutori (1) J: Damian Lane (55.5kg) T: M J Ellerton
414131
5. Count De Rupee (7) J: Brock Ryan (54kg) T: R & L Price
212123.5
6. Levante (10) J: Michael Dee (53.5kg) T: K & B Kelso
262626.5
7. Halvorsen (11) J: Dean Holland (52.5kg) T: R Griffiths & M De Kock
414145
8. Oxley Road (15) J: Blaike Mcdougall (52.5kg) T: P G Moody
191918.2
9. Poland (14) J: Michael Poy (52.5kg) T: M D Moroney
818159
10. Quantico (12) J: Kerrin Mcevoy (52.5kg) T: J A O'shea
141412
11. Roch 'N' Horse (3) J: Patrick Moloney (52.5kg) T: M D Moroney
6767
12. September Run (8) J: Ms Jamie Kah (52.5kg) T: C J Waller
262622
13. Snapdancer (17) J: Harry Coffey (52.5kg) T: C Maher & D Eustace
191916.8
14. Swats That (6) J: Craig Williams (52.5kg) T: L & T Corstens
161616.2
15. The Astrologist (4) J: Fred Kersley (52.5kg) T: L & T Corstens
616145
16. Artorius (2) J: Craig Newitt (51kg) T: A & S Freedman
111111.2
17. Finance Tycoon (5) J: Josh Richards (50.5kg) T: D T O'brien
262126.5

Odds Last Updated: March 12, 2022, 3:44pm (AEDT)

(3) Lost And Running thrashed Overpass with a big weight fresh with that form continuing to stack up. This horse is just a genuine winner and has proven himself against the best sprinters with that Everest run last prep. I think he’s come back in even better order and will give this a huge shake. 

(16) Artorius is a much maligned horse but his racing pattern just doesn’t do him any favours. Clearly has all the ability in the world and I’m hoping he can run well here. He looks to get in so well at the weights and if he can be a touch closer in running, he’s got the late speed to run past all of these. Coolmore run here was very good. 

Don’t need to tell you how good (2) Home Affairs is and if he brings his best this race could be all over. Was a very tough win fresh and is much better suited now at 1200m. Loves the straight and he’s knocking down the door as the best sprinter in the country. 

(14) Swats That can run a cheeky race here down in the weights. Was a really nice return when charging late to run 4th in the Lightning. 2nd up and the 1200m straight is her go. Back to handicap conditions is a positive and she can run a hole. 

(1) Masked Crusader will probably enjoy getting to 1200m more than any other horse here. We know his flashing light run in the Everest and we know how strong he is late. Won’t be shocked to see him flying over the top of them but can;t have them all in the numbers!

Tip: (3) Lost And Running - $4.00 at Bet365

Value: (16) Artorius - $12 at Bet365

Betting Strategy: 1u WIN Lost And Running, 0.5u WIN Artorius

211313

Race 7

Tab Australian Cup (2000m)
4:20pm (AEDT)

Race 7

Tab Australian Cup (2000m)
4:20pm (AEDT)

1. Cascadian (2) J: Damien Oliver (59kg) T: James Cummings
887.1
2. Think It Over (4) J: Nash Rawiller (59kg) T: K J Parker
3.13.13.1
3. Spanish Mission (10) J: James Mcdonald (59kg) T: P G Moody
4.64.64.4
4. Ho Ho Khan (12) J: Ms Tahlia Hope (59kg) T: Mitchell Freedman
415145
5. Steel Prince (7) J: Jye Mcneil (59kg) T: A & S Freedman
676147
6. Surprise Baby (6) J: Dean Holland (59kg) T: Gavin Bedggood
343431
7. Yonkers (5) J: Kerrin Mcevoy (59kg) T: C J Waller
263121.5
8. Callsign Mav (11) J: Jamie Mott (59kg) T: D T O'brien
111210.6
9. Delphi (1) J: Mark Zahra (59kg) T: A & S Freedman
212117.8
10. Maximal (3) J: Hugh Bowman (58.5kg) T: J A O'shea
171714.4
11. She's Ideel (9) J: Ms Jamie Kah (57kg) T: Bjorn Baker
109.5
12. Duais (8) J: Joshua Parr (57kg) T: Edward Cummings
7.56.58.1

Odds Last Updated: March 12, 2022, 4:24pm (AEDT)

Looking forward to seeing (3) Spanish Mission getting to 2000m following a very good fresh run. Looks like he has come back in top order, his form worldwide is proper elite level and he is ready to win. 

(2) Think it Over is a star and just doesn’t run a bad race. He’s much better suited onto dry ground and his record over this trip is outstanding. If he handles Flemington then he will be right in the finish. 

(11) She’s Ideel is ready for this now 3rd up following two good runs this prep. Flashed home in good sectionals fresh and then nearly beat VE last start. Absolutely loves this trip and is 3 wins from 5 runs when third up. 

(8) Callsign Mav was good fresh and if he runs 2000m I think he can run into the placings.

Tip: (3) Spanish Mission - $4.80 at Bet365

Betting Strategy: 1.5u WIN Spanish Mission

211313

Race 8

Furphy Shaftesbury Avenue Hcp (1400m)
5:00pm (AEDT)

Race 8

Furphy Shaftesbury Avenue Hcp (1400m)
5:00pm (AEDT)

1. Junipal (7) J: John Allen (59kg) T: C Maher & D Eustace
131311.6
2. Groundswell (9) J: Craig Newitt (57.5kg) T: A & S Freedman
141512.6
3. Kissonallforcheeks (8) J: Mark Zahra (57.5kg) T: D L Morton
3.93.64.05
4. Rock (11) J: Jye Mcneil (57.5kg) T: M, W & J Hawkes
212118.8
5. Crosshaven (12) J: Luke Nolen (57kg) T: Ben & J D Hayes
171715.2
6. Milton Park (4) J: Jarrod Fry (56.5kg) T: J F Moloney
414133
7. Rich Hips (15) J: Nash Rawiller (56.5kg) T: T Busuttin & N Young
212018.6
8. Aim (6) J: Damien Oliver (56kg) T: Peter & Paul Snowden
9. Chaillot (5) J: Declan Bates (55.5kg) T: Archie Alexander
6.56.56.6
10. Cherry Tortoni (14) J: Michael Dee (55kg) T: Patrick Payne
161616.2
11. Fourhometwo (10) J: James Mcdonald (55kg) T: Annabel Neasham
899.1
12. Our Playboy (1) J: Ms Jamie Kah (55kg) T: M Price & M Kent Jnr
111110
13. Holbien (3) J: Robbie Downey (54.5kg) T: S J Richards
676747
14. Morvada (2) J: Ms Linda Meech (54.5kg) T: P W Jolly
109.59.4
15. Ain'tnodeeldun (13) J: Damian Lane (54kg) T: A & S Freedman
121211

Odds Last Updated: March 12, 2022, 5:04pm (AEDT)

(4) Rock is my best value chance all day and in a wide open affair I think he can run a drum. No doubt there’s question marks on how good he is going but his form through last prep is proper WFA form. He is a 2nd up horse and his record shows that, while getting to a bigger and dry track will only do him favours. There looks to be plenty of speed on and hoping he can be flying late.

(9) Chaillot is a gun fresh horse, unbeaten from four first up runs. Loves Flemington and loves the 1400m, gets a perfect run in transit and I have no doubt she will be right in the finish.

(3) Kissonallfourcheeks has some good form around her and is a winning machine over in WA. The stable wouldn’t have brought her over here for a haircut and I think she is going to love Flemington.

(11) Fourhometwo could be one of the more interesting runners here today. A grade form overseas, trialled up nice enough and Jmac booked for the ride. Watch the market.

(14) Morvada is flying, races up on speed and is tough as nails. Next best.

 

Tip: (4) Rock - $23/$6 at Sportsbet

Betting Strategy: 0.5u/1u EACH WAY Rock

211313

Race 9

Cirka Plate (1400m)
5:35pm (AEDT)

Race 9

Cirka Plate (1400m)
5:35pm (AEDT)

1. Daisies (9) J: Mark Zahra (60kg) T: M Price & M Kent Jnr
515138
2. Douceur (5) J: Michael Dee (60kg) T: Patrick Payne
262627
3. Commander Harry (10) J: Ben Melham (58.5kg) T: T Busuttin & N Young
676751
4. Blushing Tycoon (8) J: Nash Rawiller (55kg) T: T Busuttin & N Young
212118.4
5. Cardigan Queen (6) J: John Allen (55kg) T: C Maher & D Eustace
3.33.33.35
6. Chartres (7) J: Ethan Brown (55kg) T: M M Laurie
7.577.7
7. Socialist (13) J: Ms Jamie Kah (54.5kg) T: C Maher & D Eustace
7.57.58
8. Linas Legend (11) J: Jye Mcneil (54kg) T: D T O'brien
997.8
9. He's The Ultimate (1) J: Blaike Mcdougall (54kg) T: P G Moody
212117.4
10. Corona Lad (16) J: Thomas Stockdale (54kg) T: Nathan Dunn
111212.2
11. Fortunate Kiss (3) J: Harry Coffey (54kg) T: Daniel Bowman
111111.2
12. Hesket (12) J: Craig Williams (54kg) T: M J Ellerton
7.576.9
13. Perceptive (2) J: Patrick Moloney (54kg) T: M Price & M Kent Jnr
414134
14. Set The Sails (14) J: Damian Lane (54kg) T: Mick Price & Michael Kent Jnr
15. Immortal Spirit (15) J: Ms Linda Meech (54kg) T: G Eurell
817153
16. Top Honours (4) J: Craig Newitt (54kg) T: K & K Keys
1019171

Odds Last Updated: March 12, 2022, 5:40pm (AEDT)

(5) Cardigan Queen looks a good way to round out the day for us. She is flying and flew home last start in the Vanity behind Barb Raider. Rarely puts in a poor run and l really like her dropping in weight for this today. Looks well placed and with any luck from the back she’ll be winning.

(12) Hesket has found his mojo now winning two on the bounce following a string of runner-up finishes. The form keeps stacking up around him and he’s been running time. Still on the up.

(6) Chartres was good fresh and unlucky behind Finance Tycoon and Generation. That’s strong form for this and is unbeaten 2nd up. Won’t be losing on him.

 

Tip: (5) Cardigan Queen - $3.40 at Bet365

Also Backing: (6) Chartres - $8.00 at Sportsbet

Betting Strategy: 1.5u WIN Cardigan Queen

Billy has been an avid racing fan ever since he and a few mates started a punters club once they turned 18. Following the initial punters clubs, he was properly hooked after landing a nice collect on Admire Rakti in the 2014 Caulfield Cup and has had a soft spot for Japanese horses ever since. Is a massive fan of 'blinkers first time' and has been known to enjoy a 'Hail Mary' multi. Loves punting across metro Sydney and Melbourne every Saturday but isn't scared to venture West late in the day to find a Pikey special.

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