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Happy Valley Racing Tips: Wednesday, April 27th

Tim Geers previews four races he’s keen to bet into at Happy Valley on Wednesday night.

Happy Valley Racing Tips

Hong Kong racing returns to Happy Valley tonight for nine races on the C+3 course!

Tim Geers has previewed the meeting and picked out four races he’s keen to bet into.

Find his analysis of Race 2, Race 4, Race 5 and Race 9 below!

Moneyball

215058

Race 1

Hawthorn Hcp (C3) (1000m)
8:45pm (AEDT)

Race 1

Hawthorn Hcp (C3) (1000m)
8:45pm (AEDT)

1. Whizz Kid (3) J: J Moreira (60.5kg) T: A S Cruz
1.45
2. Harmony Fire (2) J: K Teetan (58kg) T: D Whyte
12
3. Special M (5) J: Z Purton (58kg) T: J J Size
3.6
4. Joyful Win (1) J: M Chadwick (57.5kg) T: P Yiu
9.5
5. Eight Trigrams (6) J: M Poon (52.5kg) T: D J Hall
21
6. Jumbo Goal (7) J: M Yeung (52.5kg) T: C Fownes
15
7. Triple Triple (4) J: A Badel (52kg) T: F C Lor
26

Odds Last Updated: April 27, 2022, 8:49pm (AEDT)

215058

Race 2

Yuen Yuen Hcp (C5) (1200m)
9:15pm (AEDT)

Race 2

Yuen Yuen Hcp (C5) (1200m)
9:15pm (AEDT)

1. Dassit (10) J: J Moreira (60.5kg) T: J J Size
13
2. Master Albert (1) J: H Bentley (59.5kg) T: W Y So
6.5
3. Moon Peaks (7) J: K Leung (59.5kg) T: Y S Tsui
9.5
4. Alloy King (11) J: A Hamelin (58.5kg) T: K H Ting
13
5. Casa Kingdom (3) J: C Chau (58.5kg) T: D A Hayes
8
6. Fortune Hero (6) J: B Shinn (58.5kg) T: Richard Gibson
11
7. Day Day Rich (5) J: L Hewitson (57.5kg) T: T P Yung
6
8. Sunny And Gold (9) J: M Chadwick (57kg) T: C H Yip
5
9. Zacian (12) J: C Ho (57kg) T: C S Shum
14
10. Red Brick Glory (4) J: L Ferraris (56kg) T: P Yiu
21
11. Mudita (2) J: K Chan (54kg) T: C Fownes
8
12. Vector (8) J: A Badel (51.5kg) T: A S Cruz
19

Odds Last Updated: April 27, 2022, 9:15pm (AEDT)

(2) Master Albert drops into Class 5 for the first time and comes into tonight fresh from a let up. No surprise if they’ve targeted this race for him as soon as he dropped enough points to be eligible for this class. Comes up with barrier 1 which over the 1200m on the C+3 course is premium (26% strike rate). Each way.

Tip: (2) Master Albert E/W $7.00/$2.75 Bet365

Betting Strategy: 0.5 units WIN/1 unit PLACE Master Albert

215058

Race 3

Tsun Yuen Hcp (C4) (2200m)
9:45pm (AEDT)

Race 3

Tsun Yuen Hcp (C4) (2200m)
9:45pm (AEDT)

1. Natural Storm (4) J: C Ho (60.5kg) T: P Yiu
7
2. God Of Dragon (5) J: K Teetan (59.5kg) T: D Whyte
8
3. Baron Zee (1) J: B Shinn (58.5kg) T: Richard Gibson
26
4. Golden Spectrum (3) J: M Poon (58kg) T: A S Cruz
13
5. Stimulation (10) J: L Ferraris (57.5kg) T: A S Cruz
34
6. Winning Volatility (9) J: Z Purton (54.5kg) T: K W Lui
4.2
7. Victorious Seeker (8) J: A Hamelin (54kg) T: P D O'sullivan
12
8. Telecom Cheetah (6) J: J Moreira (52kg) T: C H Yip
3.5
9. Super Elegance (12) J: A Badel (51.5kg) T: K H Ting
20
10. Wonder Years (7) J: M Chadwick (51.5kg) T: D Whyte
8
11. Flash Famous (11) J: C Wong (51.5kg) T: C H Yip
19
12. Passing Fashion (2) J: V Borges (51.5kg) T: C H Yip
19

Odds Last Updated: April 27, 2022, 9:45pm (AEDT)

215058

Race 4

Tsoi Tak Hcp (C4) (1650m)
10:15pm (AEDT)

Race 4

Tsoi Tak Hcp (C4) (1650m)
10:15pm (AEDT)

1. Fearless Fire (6) J: C Chau (60.5kg) T: D A Hayes
6
2. World Famous (7) J: L Hewitson (60.5kg) T: P Yiu
12
3. More Than Enough (11) J: K Teetan (59.5kg) T: A S Cruz
31
4. Win Win Fighter (4) J: B Shinn (58kg) T: K W Lui
4.6
5. Charizard (1) J: L Ferraris (55.5kg) T: A T Millard
13
6. Bright Kid (9) J: K Leung (54.5kg) T: W Y So
41
7. Joyful Genius (5) J: Z Purton (54.5kg) T: D J Hall
3.6
8. King Dragon (8) J: A Badel (54.5kg) T: K L Man
12
9. On Excel Star (10) J: C Ho (54kg) T: K H Ting
19
10. Go For Tea (2) J: J Moreira (53.5kg) T: F C Lor
5.5
11. Sunny Delight (12) J: H Bentley (53kg) T: C S Shum
20
12. Royal Agility (3) J: M Chadwick (51.5kg) T: Y S Tsui
26

Odds Last Updated: April 27, 2022, 10:20pm (AEDT)

(7) Joyful Genius has had plenty of chances, with seven placings from 12 starts, but I think this is his race tonight. Finally they step him up to 1650m and he comes up with a low draw, so should get a charmed run throughout. Purton sticks with him and if he can’t get the job done here, he’ll struggle to win one any time soon.

Main danger looks to be (10) Go For Tea ($6.00) with Moreira riding for Frankie Lor. Draws barrier 2 which is a big plus.

Tip: (7) Joyful Genius $4.00 Moneyball

Saver: (10) Go For Tea $6.00 PlayUp

Betting Strategy: 1.25 units WIN Joyful Genius, 0.25 units WIN Go For Tea

215058

Race 5

Tsap Tseung Hcp (C4) (1200m)
10:45pm (AEDT)

Race 5

Tsap Tseung Hcp (C4) (1200m)
10:45pm (AEDT)

1. Hurry Hurry Gain (9) J: C Ho (60.5kg) T: F C Lor
21
2. Valiant Elegance (1) J: L Hewitson (59kg) T: D Whyte
5
3. Happy Forever (7) J: Z Purton (58.5kg) T: K L Man
4.2
4. Perfect Peach (12) J: K Teetan (58kg) T: A S Cruz
8
5. Winning Icey (8) J: L Ferraris (58kg) T: C Fownes
5.5
6. What A Legend (4) J: A Hamelin (57.5kg) T: K H Ting
7.5
7. United Endeavors (11) J: H Lai (56.5kg) T: L Ho
81
8. Jiangxi Stamina (10) J: M Chadwick (56kg) T: W Y So
8
9. Harrier Jet (5) J: K Leung (54.5kg) T: P D O'sullivan
10
10. Run The Table (2) J: M Yeung (53kg) T: K W Lui
21
11. Salutation (3) J: V Borges (53kg) T: J J Size
12
12. Ambitious Heart (6) J: H Mo (52kg) T: T P Yung
31

Odds Last Updated: April 27, 2022, 10:49pm (AEDT)

Unfortunately I missed the $7.50 they went up for (3) Happy Forever. Beaten a nose two starts ago and then disappointing when starting $3.20 last start. Sha Tin form normally holds up here so expecting he’ll be very hard to beat at his first start at Happy Valley with Purton sticking with him.

Tip: (3) Happy Forever $4.60 Bet365

Betting Strategy: 1 unit WIN Happy Forever

215058

Race 6

Tsap Tseung Hcp (C4) (1200m)
11:15pm (AEDT)

Race 6

Tsap Tseung Hcp (C4) (1200m)
11:15pm (AEDT)

1. Xponential (1) J: L Hewitson (60.5kg) T: D Whyte
5.5
2. Flaming Eagle (8) J: B Shinn (57kg) T: D A Hayes
16
3. Management Folks (7) J: L Ferraris (56.5kg) T: D J Hall
34
4. Singapore Spirit (6) J: M Chadwick (56.5kg) T: A S Cruz
9
5. Gang Of Brothers (4) J: Z Purton (56kg) T: P D O'sullivan
2.9
6. Loriz (12) J: K Leung (56kg) T: P Yiu
19
7. Happily Friends (9) J: C Ho (55.5kg) T: K H Ting
26
8. Hercules (2) J: K Teetan (55.5kg) T: C H Yip
4.5
9. Bella Baby (11) J: A Badel (54kg) T: W Y So
20
10. Above All (3) J: A Hamelin (52.5kg) T: A T Millard
7
11. Theta Hedge (10) J: H Bentley (52.5kg) T: K W Lui
51
12. Euromissile (5) J: M Yeung (51.5kg) T: C W Chang
26

Odds Last Updated: April 27, 2022, 11:19pm (AEDT)

215058

Race 7

Min Fat Hcp (C3) (1200m)
11:45pm (AEDT)

Race 7

Min Fat Hcp (C3) (1200m)
11:45pm (AEDT)

1. Rewarding Together (2) J: M Chadwick (60.5kg) T: F C Lor
2.8
2. Toronado Phantom (11) J: A Badel (60.5kg) T: J J Size
14
3. Wind N Grass (5) J: A Hamelin (59.5kg) T: C W Chang
13
4. Jolly Good Heart (3) J: L Currie (58.5kg) T: T P Yung
18
5. Star Brite (8) J: Z Purton (56kg) T: K W Lui
5.5
6. California Redwood (7) J: J Moreira (55.5kg) T: A S Cruz
6
7. Call Me Teddy (6) J: C Ho (55kg) T: C W Chang
26
8. Sky Forever (4) J: K Leung (54kg) T: K L Man
7
9. Forte (9) J: V Borges (53kg) T: D A Hayes
21
10. Lyrical Motion (1) J: K Teetan (52kg) T: W Y So
7.5
11. Righteous Doctrine (10) J: M Yeung (52kg) T: C W Chang
41

Odds Last Updated: April 27, 2022, 11:49pm (AEDT)

215058

Race 8

Shing Ping Hcp (C3) (1650m)
12:15am (AEDT)

Race 8

Shing Ping Hcp (C3) (1650m)
12:15am (AEDT)

1. Amazing One Plus (1) J: C Chau (60.5kg) T: T P Yung
6
2. Prime Minister (2) J: K Leung (60.5kg) T: P Yiu
8.5
3. Invincible Missile (10) J: H Bentley (59.5kg) T: C Fownes
10
4. Crossford (9) J: Z Purton (59kg) T: J J Size
7
5. King's Capital (4) J: A Hamelin (58.5kg) T: D A Hayes
20
6. Beauty Glory (6) J: L Ferraris (56.5kg) T: A S Cruz
8.5
7. Copartner Fionn (7) J: C Ho (55kg) T: W Y So
7.5
8. Viva Hunter (11) J: J Moreira (54.5kg) T: K L Man
3.6
9. Gameplayer Times (3) J: L Hewitson (53.5kg) T: D Whyte
9
10. Kowloon Great (8) J: M Poon (53kg) T: C S Shum
21
11. Happy Daily (5) J: K Teetan (52.5kg) T: L Ho
21

Odds Last Updated: April 28, 2022, 12:19am (AEDT)

215058

Race 9

Cheong Ming Hcp (C2) (1000m)
12:50am (AEDT)

Race 9

Cheong Ming Hcp (C2) (1000m)
12:50am (AEDT)

1. Nervous Witness (3) J: B Shinn (60.5kg) T: D A Hayes
3
2. Voyage Warrior (11) J: K Chan (59.5kg) T: P Yiu
14
3. Grateful Heart (1) J: H Bentley (59kg) T: C S Shum
11
4. Handsome Bo Bo (7) J: M Poon (57kg) T: C S Shum
19
5. We The South (10) J: K Leung (57kg) T: F C Lor
31
6. Scores Of Fun (8) J: V Borges (56.5kg) T: J J Size
26
7. Explosive Witness (6) J: A Badel (56kg) T: C Fownes
16
8. Stoltz (4) J: Z Purton (55.5kg) T: K W Lui
2.7
9. Mclucky (12) J: K Teetan (54kg) T: D Whyte
21
10. Atomic Force (9) J: M Chadwick (53kg) T: C Fownes
11
11. Hong Kong Win (2) J: J Moreira (53kg) T: J J Size
10
12. Classic Unicorn (5) J: H Lai (51.5kg) T: W Y So
67

Odds Last Updated: April 28, 2022, 12:54am (AEDT)

Thought Nervous Witness might be favourite here but getting to the top of Class 2 with top weight can find him out. He meets (8) Stoltz again who drew inside him down the straight at Sha Tin last start and was brave in defeat. Gets a weight swing for that meeting and if he’s quick enough out of the gates he might force Nervous Witness to box seat?

Tip: (8) Stoltz $2.80 Bet365

Betting Strategy: 1 unit WIN Stoltz

A trip to Hong Kong quickly had Tim hooked to the racing caper, maintaining the best place anywhere in the world on a Wednesday night is Happy Valley. He holds a strong interest in the Hong Kong form, along with the metropolitan racing in Sydney and Melbourne. He’s a fan of dry tracks, Zac Purton and takes particular interest in identifying patterns in the form. Tim wears many hats, juggling the roles of form analyst, jockey manager and racehorse owner.

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