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Happy Valley Racing Tips: Wednesday, February 10th

Racing continues at Happy Valley on Wednesday night and Tim Geers is looking to continue his hot form from recent weeks.

Happy Valley Racing Tips

Wednesday night horse racing continues at Happy Valley in Hong Kong and Tim Geers is looking to continue his hot form from recent weeks.

There are nine races on the B-course at The Valley tonight and he’s found three horses to back in some of the later races on the card.

His three best bets come up in Race 6, Race 7 and Race 8, with the latter being his most confident selection.

Scroll down (or click the links above) to find his full analysis and betting tips below!

Best Bet: Race 8 – (4) Kurpany

0

Race 1

Gladiolus Hcp (C4) (1000m)
9:45pm (AEDT)

Race 1

Gladiolus Hcp (C4) (1000m)
9:45pm (AEDT)

1. Nextmodel (9) J: K Chan (60kg) T: T P Yung
88.58.58.58.5
2. Tom's Style (5) J: C Ho (59.5kg) T: K W Lui
4.854.64.64.9
3. Capsule King (7) J: H Wong (57.5kg) T: C H Yip
819110110191
4. Farm Bumper (8) J: C Schofield (57.5kg) T: K L Man
1515151515
5. Flaming Passion (1) J: K Teetan (57.5kg) T: F C Lor
789.59.57.8
6. Goodmanship (6) J: C Chau (57.5kg) T: D Whyte
1516171715.8
7. Lotus Favorites (12) J: Z Purton (57.5kg) T: D J Hall
5151415149
8. Lucky One (2) J: T Piccone (57.5kg) T: W Y So
2121263121
9. Joyful Win (4) J: K Leung (56kg) T: P Yiu
1011141410.8
10. U W Brother (11) J: J Moreira (54.5kg) T: Y S Tsui
6.56.5666.4
11. Travel Datuk (3) J: A Badel (54kg) T: Richard Gibson
3.93.93.53.53.9
12. Star Superior (10) J: H Lai (53.5kg) T: C W Chang
5151414149

Odds Last Updated: February 11, 2021, 1:46am (AEDT)

0

Race 2

Primula Hcp (C5) (1650m)
10:15pm (AEDT)

Race 2

Primula Hcp (C5) (1650m)
10:15pm (AEDT)

1. Indigenous Star (1) J: Z Purton (60kg) T: C W Chang
66666
2. Treasure Chest (5) J: B Shinn (59.5kg) T: P Yiu
4.64.84.854.8
3. Baby Storm (7) J: J Moreira (59kg) T: L Ho
4.44.44.244.25
4. Glenealy Pals (3) J: C Soumillon (59kg) T: C H Yip
2021192121
5. Humble Steed (11) J: C Schofield (58.5kg) T: T P Yung
6771818171
6. Many Gains (4) J: N Callan (58.5kg) T: K L Man
5151415151
7. Virtus Star (6) J: A Badel (58kg) T: F C Lor
76.56.56.56.9
8. Lucky Turbo (9) J: C Chau (57kg) T: A S Cruz
5151515151
9. Wonderful Tiger (10) J: K Leung (56kg) T: W Y So
2121192121.5
10. Galaxy Racer (8) J: M Chadwick (55.5kg) T: Richard Gibson
1313121213
11. President Star (2) J: V Borges (54kg) T: C S Shum
6666.56.1
12. Enjoyable Success (12) J: H Lai (52.5kg) T: Y S Tsui
3431263131

Odds Last Updated: February 11, 2021, 1:46am (AEDT)

0

Race 3

Peony Hcp (C4) (1800m)
10:45pm (AEDT)

Race 3

Peony Hcp (C4) (1800m)
10:45pm (AEDT)

1. Legion Of Merit (10) J: H Mo (60.5kg) T: D J Hall
151151151151151
2. Hang's Decision (11) J: M Yeung (59.5kg) T: W Y So
7171717173
3. Full Power (2) J: C Chau (59kg) T: Richard Gibson
1314131313.4
4. Divine Unicorn (7) J: A Badel (58.5kg) T: W Y So
1514131314.4
5. Fearless Fire (6) J: B Shinn (57.5kg) T: D A Hayes
1818181818
6. Owners' Star (1) J: Z Purton (56.5kg) T: C S Shum
3.63.63.843.65
7. Light My Day (12) J: K Leung (55.5kg) T: C H Yip
4134313135
8. Dionysus Collin (8) J: C Ho (53.5kg) T: K W Lui
9.598.58.59.2
9. Perfect To Play (9) J: J Moreira (53.5kg) T: C Fownes
8.58.5888.6
10. Smart Cousin (5) J: K Teetan (53.5kg) T: C H Yip
4.54.54.64.64.65
11. Cheerful Star (3) J: M Chadwick (52.5kg) T: F C Lor
99.511119.7
12. Mister Monte (4) J: V Borges (51.5kg) T: C W Chang
8.58.58.58.58.6

Odds Last Updated: February 11, 2021, 1:46am (AEDT)

0

Race 4

Daffodil Hcp (C3) (1650m)
11:15pm (AEDT)

Race 4

Daffodil Hcp (C3) (1650m)
11:15pm (AEDT)

1. Parterre (2) J: C Schofield (60.5kg) T: A T Millard
1818192118.2
2. Royal Bomb (3) J: C Soumillon (60kg) T: C Fownes
3.43.743.73.6
3. Heavenly Thought (4) J: C Ho (58.5kg) T: F C Lor
3126191926
4. Harmony Spirit (1) J: C Chau (56kg) T: D Whyte
12119
5. Murray's Partners (7) J: K Teetan (55.5kg) T: C H Yip
131191011.2
6. Sunny Star (5) J: A Badel (55.5kg) T: K W Lui
3.93.944.23.9
7. Wealthy Delight (8) J: J Moreira (55.5kg) T: J J Size
3.13.23.13.13.2
8. Blazing Beat (6) J: M Yeung (52.5kg) T: K H Ting
91919110189

Odds Last Updated: February 11, 2021, 1:46am (AEDT)

0

Race 5

Orchid Hcp (C4) (1200m)
11:45pm (AEDT)

Race 5

Orchid Hcp (C4) (1200m)
11:45pm (AEDT)

1. Sprint Forward (2) J: C Chau (60.5kg) T: D A Hayes
2. Jolly Good Heart (9) J: Z Purton (60kg) T: T P Yung
3. Chikorita (11) J: N Callan (58kg) T: C W Chang
4. Street Scream (4) J: C Schofield (57kg) T: D J Hall
5. Forever (12) J: T Piccone (56.5kg) T: W Y So
6. Zacian (10) J: K Teetan (56.5kg) T: A T Millard
7. Daily Beauty (1) J: J Moreira (56kg) T: C Fownes
8. Sky Champion (8) J: H Wong (55kg) T: Y S Tsui
9. Focus (7) J: K Leung (54.5kg) T: P Yiu
10. Happily Friends (6) J: C Ho (53.5kg) T: K H Ting
11. Smiling Face (3) J: A Badel (53kg) T: D Whyte
12. Splendid Timing (5) J: V Borges (51.5kg) T: C H Yip

Odds Last Updated: February 11, 2021, 1:46am (AEDT)

0

Race 6

Peach Blossom Hcp (C4) (1650m)
12:15am (AEDT)

Race 6

Peach Blossom Hcp (C4) (1650m)
12:15am (AEDT)

1. Villa Fionn (1) J: Z Purton (60.5kg) T: P Yiu
4.85665.1
2. Zhan Jiang Rocks (7) J: C Soumillon (60.5kg) T: W Y So
5.5555.55.5
3. Glorious Lover (6) J: J Moreira (60kg) T: Y S Tsui
3.53.43.73.63.5
4. Ever Laugh (3) J: A Badel (59.5kg) T: K L Man
755.566.1
5. Gallant Crown (4) J: K Teetan (58.5kg) T: A T Millard
54.84.855
6. Right Honourable (5) J: C Schofield (58kg) T: Richard Gibson
1211101011.2
7. Top Score (12) J: K Leung (58kg) T: C W Chang
8171616171
8. Star Of Red (10) J: H Wong (56.5kg) T: K H Ting
151126151151141
9. Happy Warrior (8) J: N Callan (56kg) T: C Fownes
5151415151
10. Happy Fortune (9) J: H Mo (55.5kg) T: L Ho
1011019110195
11. California Legend (11) J: M Chadwick (53kg) T: A S Cruz
99879.1
12. Diamond Star (2) J: V Borges (51.5kg) T: J J Size
1314121213.2

Odds Last Updated: February 11, 2021, 1:46am (AEDT)

Like the look of (1) Villa Fion here, first up for Ricky Yiu and Zac Purton. We last saw him running 2nd over this track and distance about three months ago, and his form prior to that was better than it looks on paper. Purton was the last jockey to win on him, so the fact he’s booked first up tonight without a trial indicates the horse is ready to go. Barrier 1 is a huge advantage over the 1650m at Happy Valley so they should get the gun run throughout and be right in the finish.

Tip: (1) Villa Fion $4.20 Ladbrokes

Betting Strategy: 1 unit WIN Villa Fion

0

Race 7

Orchid Hcp (C4) (1200m)
12:45am (AEDT)

Race 7

Orchid Hcp (C4) (1200m)
12:45am (AEDT)

1. Stock Legend (12) J: J Moreira (60.5kg) T: K W Lui
2.12.22.252.252.2
2. Whiskey Neat (8) J: K Chan (59kg) T: C Fownes
54.84.44.44.8
3. Telecom Rocket (11) J: C Soumillon (58kg) T: Y S Tsui
1417181816.6
4. California Levee (10) J: M Chadwick (57.5kg) T: A S Cruz
1919191919
5. Cheeky Prawn (5) J: K Teetan (56.5kg) T: J J Size
2321191921
6. Inno Legend (9) J: A Badel (56.5kg) T: K L Man
1615141415
7. Silvery Warrior (4) J: N Callan (56.5kg) T: Richard Gibson
2726313126
8. Romantic Trove (6) J: C Schofield (55.5kg) T: W Y So
8.57.58.58.57.9
9. Apex Top (7) J: C Ho (54.5kg) T: A T Millard
2121171721
10. Spontaneous (2) J: V Borges (53.5kg) T: P D O'sullivan
1211131311.8
11. Athena (1) J: C Wong (51.5kg) T: C H Yip
2626212125.5
12. Universal Crown (3) J: M Yeung (51.5kg) T: D Whyte
4641414141

Odds Last Updated: February 11, 2021, 1:46am (AEDT)

We get to see the exciting (1) Stock Legend again tonight. His win two starts back had to be seen to be believed! He made a complete mess of the start, giving away a huge start, before rocketing home to produce an amazing win. He then went for a break and returned with a comfortable first up win three weeks ago. He did enjoy the gun run from barrier 1 on that occasion, whereas tonight he will have to overcome a rise in weight along with barrier 12, but I think he’s good enough to do so.

Tip: (1) Stock Legend $2.30 Ladbrokes

Betting Strategy: 1.5 units WIN Stock Legend

0

Race 8

Azalea Hcp (C3) (1000m)
1:15am (AEDT)

Race 8

Azalea Hcp (C3) (1000m)
1:15am (AEDT)

1. Flying Genius (1) J: C Soumillon (60.5kg) T: A S Cruz
3.23.33.13.13.3
2. Gentle Breeze (9) J: V Borges (60.5kg) T: P Yiu
3131343431
3. Saul's Special (6) J: T Piccone (60.5kg) T: C W Chang
8.5910109.1
4. Kurpany (3) J: J Moreira (58kg) T: C Fownes
2.12222
5. Strive For Glory (5) J: Z Purton (56.5kg) T: F C Lor
1112141412
6. Most Welcome (9) J: B Shinn (56kg) T: D A Hayes
7. Nordic Wellstar (11) J: K Teetan (55kg) T: D Whyte
4651345147
8. Happy Good Guys (7) J: C Ho (54.5kg) T: P Yiu
2321212121.5
9. Orion Patch (8) J: M Yeung (54kg) T: K W Lui
9110110110199
10. Super Power Man (2) J: M Chadwick (54kg) T: K L Man
1926262624.5
11. Momentum Galaxy (4) J: K Leung (53.5kg) T: K H Ting
1918181818.2
12. Wild West Wing (10) J: A Badel (53kg) T: J J Size
1515151515

Odds Last Updated: February 11, 2021, 1:46am (AEDT)

The best bet of the night without a doubt is (4) Kurpany. He bolted in by 3.5L two starts ago here at Happy Valley and his run in defeat last start was enormous. He made a mess of the start, giving them 3L at the jump, before storming home between runners to finish 4th. He recorded the fastest 800m-400m split and then the second-fastest final 400m. That’s not easy to do over 1000m. If he jumped with them, there’s no doubt in my mind he would have won that race. Big jockey change tonight with Moreira replacing Alexis Badel, and the Moreira-Fownes combination continues to be lethal. Drawn well in barrier 3, and his biggest rival is drawn in barrier 1, which actually isn’t a great draw over the 1000m on the B-course. Super confident he wins this and betting accordingly.

Tip: (4) Kurpany $2.10 Bet365

Betting Strategy: 4 units WIN Kurpany

0

Race 9

Cineraria Hcp (C3) (1200m)
1:50am (AEDT)

Race 9

Cineraria Hcp (C3) (1200m)
1:50am (AEDT)

1. Loving A Boom (12) J: C Chau (60.5kg) T: Richard Gibson
7.57.56.56.57.5
2. Ka Ying Master (2) J: Z Purton (60kg) T: T P Yung
5.56555.6
3. Sparkling Dragon (7) J: K Teetan (59.5kg) T: A T Millard
8.58.58.58.58.6
4. Tornado Twist (6) J: C Soumillon (59kg) T: F C Lor
556.56.55.2
5. Wind N Grass (1) J: C Schofield (57kg) T: J J Size
888.58.58.1
6. Circuit Seven (5) J: M Chadwick (56kg) T: A S Cruz
8181818181
7. Equaletta Blitz (3) J: J Moreira (56kg) T: K H Ting
3.94444.05
8. Beauty Kobe (8) J: V Borges (54kg) T: D A Hayes
1414131314.2
9. Harmony N Home (4) J: H Mo (54kg) T: C S Shum
2020202020
10. Green Reign (11) J: C Ho (53.5kg) T: C Fownes
2631313130
11. Water Diviner (9) J: A Badel (60kg) T: C W Chang
1515171715.2
12. Excellent Chariot (10) J: K Leung (52kg) T: P Yiu
2321212121.5

Odds Last Updated: February 11, 2021, 1:46am (AEDT)

A trip to Hong Kong quickly had Tim hooked to the racing caper, maintaining the best place anywhere in the world on a Wednesday night is Happy Valley. He holds a strong interest in the Hong Kong form, along with the metropolitan racing in Sydney and Melbourne. He’s a fan of dry tracks, Zac Purton and takes particular interest in identifying patterns in the form. Tim wears many hats, juggling the roles of form analyst, jockey manager and racehorse owner.

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