Racing Tips

Happy Valley Racing Tips: Wednesday, February 10th

Racing continues at Happy Valley on Wednesday night and Tim Geers is looking to continue his hot form from recent weeks.

by
Tim Geers
10 February 2021

Wednesday night horse racing continues at Happy Valley in Hong Kong and Tim Geers is looking to continue his hot form from recent weeks.

There are nine races on the B-course at The Valley tonight and he’s found three horses to back in some of the later races on the card.

His three best bets come up in Race 6, Race 7 and Race 8, with the latter being his most confident selection.

Scroll down (or click the links above) to find his full analysis and betting tips below!

Best Bet: Race 8 – (4) Kurpany

Race 1

Gladiolus Hcp (C4) (1000m)
9:45pm (AEDT)

Race 1 Gladiolus Hcp (C4) (1000m) 9:45pm (AEDT)
1. Nextmodel (9) J: K Chan (60kg) T: T P Yung	8	8.5	8.5	8.5	8.5
2. Tom's Style (5) J: C Ho (59.5kg) T: K W Lui	4.8	5	4.6	4.6	4.9
3. Capsule King (7) J: H Wong (57.5kg) T: C H Yip	81	91	101	101	91
4. Farm Bumper (8) J: C Schofield (57.5kg) T: K L Man	15	15	15	15	15
5. Flaming Passion (1) J: K Teetan (57.5kg) T: F C Lor	7	8	9.5	9.5	7.8
6. Goodmanship (6) J: C Chau (57.5kg) T: D Whyte	15	16	17	17	15.8
7. Lotus Favorites (12) J: Z Purton (57.5kg) T: D J Hall	51	51	41	51	49
8. Lucky One (2) J: T Piccone (57.5kg) T: W Y So	21	21	26	31	21
9. Joyful Win (4) J: K Leung (56kg) T: P Yiu	10	11	14	14	10.8
10. U W Brother (11) J: J Moreira (54.5kg) T: Y S Tsui	6.5	6.5	6	6	6.4
11. Travel Datuk (3) J: A Badel (54kg) T: Richard Gibson	3.9	3.9	3.5	3.5	3.9
12. Star Superior (10) J: H Lai (53.5kg) T: C W Chang	51	51	41	41	49

Odds Last Updated: February 11, 2021, 1:46am (AEDT)

Race 2

Primula Hcp (C5) (1650m)
10:15pm (AEDT)

Race 2 Primula Hcp (C5) (1650m) 10:15pm (AEDT)
1. Indigenous Star (1) J: Z Purton (60kg) T: C W Chang	6	6	6	6	6
2. Treasure Chest (5) J: B Shinn (59.5kg) T: P Yiu	4.6	4.8	4.8	5	4.8
3. Baby Storm (7) J: J Moreira (59kg) T: L Ho	4.4	4.4	4.2	4	4.25
4. Glenealy Pals (3) J: C Soumillon (59kg) T: C H Yip	20	21	19	21	21
5. Humble Steed (11) J: C Schofield (58.5kg) T: T P Yung	67	71	81	81	71
6. Many Gains (4) J: N Callan (58.5kg) T: K L Man	51	51	41	51	51
7. Virtus Star (6) J: A Badel (58kg) T: F C Lor	7	6.5	6.5	6.5	6.9
8. Lucky Turbo (9) J: C Chau (57kg) T: A S Cruz	51	51	51	51	51
9. Wonderful Tiger (10) J: K Leung (56kg) T: W Y So	21	21	19	21	21.5
10. Galaxy Racer (8) J: M Chadwick (55.5kg) T: Richard Gibson	13	13	12	12	13
11. President Star (2) J: V Borges (54kg) T: C S Shum	6	6	6	6.5	6.1
12. Enjoyable Success (12) J: H Lai (52.5kg) T: Y S Tsui	34	31	26	31	31

Odds Last Updated: February 11, 2021, 1:46am (AEDT)

Race 3

Peony Hcp (C4) (1800m)
10:45pm (AEDT)

Race 3 Peony Hcp (C4) (1800m) 10:45pm (AEDT)
1. Legion Of Merit (10) J: H Mo (60.5kg) T: D J Hall	151	151	151	151	151
2. Hang's Decision (11) J: M Yeung (59.5kg) T: W Y So	71	71	71	71	73
3. Full Power (2) J: C Chau (59kg) T: Richard Gibson	13	14	13	13	13.4
4. Divine Unicorn (7) J: A Badel (58.5kg) T: W Y So	15	14	13	13	14.4
5. Fearless Fire (6) J: B Shinn (57.5kg) T: D A Hayes	18	18	18	18	18
6. Owners' Star (1) J: Z Purton (56.5kg) T: C S Shum	3.6	3.6	3.8	4	3.65
7. Light My Day (12) J: K Leung (55.5kg) T: C H Yip	41	34	31	31	35
8. Dionysus Collin (8) J: C Ho (53.5kg) T: K W Lui	9.5	9	8.5	8.5	9.2
9. Perfect To Play (9) J: J Moreira (53.5kg) T: C Fownes	8.5	8.5	8	8	8.6
10. Smart Cousin (5) J: K Teetan (53.5kg) T: C H Yip	4.5	4.5	4.6	4.6	4.65
11. Cheerful Star (3) J: M Chadwick (52.5kg) T: F C Lor	9	9.5	11	11	9.7
12. Mister Monte (4) J: V Borges (51.5kg) T: C W Chang	8.5	8.5	8.5	8.5	8.6

Odds Last Updated: February 11, 2021, 1:46am (AEDT)

Race 4

Daffodil Hcp (C3) (1650m)
11:15pm (AEDT)

Race 4 Daffodil Hcp (C3) (1650m) 11:15pm (AEDT)
1. Parterre (2) J: C Schofield (60.5kg) T: A T Millard	18	18	19	21	18.2
2. Royal Bomb (3) J: C Soumillon (60kg) T: C Fownes	3.4	3.7	4	3.7	3.6
3. Heavenly Thought (4) J: C Ho (58.5kg) T: F C Lor	31	26	19	19	26
4. Harmony Spirit (1) J: C Chau (56kg) T: D Whyte	12	11		9
5. Murray's Partners (7) J: K Teetan (55.5kg) T: C H Yip	13	11	9	10	11.2
6. Sunny Star (5) J: A Badel (55.5kg) T: K W Lui	3.9	3.9	4	4.2	3.9
7. Wealthy Delight (8) J: J Moreira (55.5kg) T: J J Size	3.1	3.2	3.1	3.1	3.2
8. Blazing Beat (6) J: M Yeung (52.5kg) T: K H Ting	91	91	91	101	89

Odds Last Updated: February 11, 2021, 1:46am (AEDT)

Race 5

Orchid Hcp (C4) (1200m)
11:45pm (AEDT)

Race 5 Orchid Hcp (C4) (1200m) 11:45pm (AEDT)
1. Sprint Forward (2) J: C Chau (60.5kg) T: D A Hayes
2. Jolly Good Heart (9) J: Z Purton (60kg) T: T P Yung
3. Chikorita (11) J: N Callan (58kg) T: C W Chang
4. Street Scream (4) J: C Schofield (57kg) T: D J Hall
5. Forever (12) J: T Piccone (56.5kg) T: W Y So
6. Zacian (10) J: K Teetan (56.5kg) T: A T Millard
7. Daily Beauty (1) J: J Moreira (56kg) T: C Fownes
8. Sky Champion (8) J: H Wong (55kg) T: Y S Tsui
9. Focus (7) J: K Leung (54.5kg) T: P Yiu
10. Happily Friends (6) J: C Ho (53.5kg) T: K H Ting
11. Smiling Face (3) J: A Badel (53kg) T: D Whyte
12. Splendid Timing (5) J: V Borges (51.5kg) T: C H Yip

Odds Last Updated: February 11, 2021, 1:46am (AEDT)

Race 6

Peach Blossom Hcp (C4) (1650m)
12:15am (AEDT)

Race 6 Peach Blossom Hcp (C4) (1650m) 12:15am (AEDT)
1. Villa Fionn (1) J: Z Purton (60.5kg) T: P Yiu	4.8	5	6	6	5.1
2. Zhan Jiang Rocks (7) J: C Soumillon (60.5kg) T: W Y So	5.5	5	5	5.5	5.5
3. Glorious Lover (6) J: J Moreira (60kg) T: Y S Tsui	3.5	3.4	3.7	3.6	3.5
4. Ever Laugh (3) J: A Badel (59.5kg) T: K L Man	7	5	5.5	6	6.1
5. Gallant Crown (4) J: K Teetan (58.5kg) T: A T Millard	5	4.8	4.8	5	5
6. Right Honourable (5) J: C Schofield (58kg) T: Richard Gibson	12	11	10	10	11.2
7. Top Score (12) J: K Leung (58kg) T: C W Chang	81	71	61	61	71
8. Star Of Red (10) J: H Wong (56.5kg) T: K H Ting	151	126	151	151	141
9. Happy Warrior (8) J: N Callan (56kg) T: C Fownes	51	51	41	51	51
10. Happy Fortune (9) J: H Mo (55.5kg) T: L Ho	101	101	91	101	95
11. California Legend (11) J: M Chadwick (53kg) T: A S Cruz	9	9	8	7	9.1
12. Diamond Star (2) J: V Borges (51.5kg) T: J J Size	13	14	12	12	13.2

Odds Last Updated: February 11, 2021, 1:46am (AEDT)

Like the look of (1) Villa Fion here, first up for Ricky Yiu and Zac Purton. We last saw him running 2^nd over this track and distance about three months ago, and his form prior to that was better than it looks on paper. Purton was the last jockey to win on him, so the fact he’s booked first up tonight without a trial indicates the horse is ready to go. Barrier 1 is a huge advantage over the 1650m at Happy Valley so they should get the gun run throughout and be right in the finish.

Tip: (1) Villa Fion $4.20 Ladbrokes

Betting Strategy: 1 unit WIN Villa Fion

Race 7

Orchid Hcp (C4) (1200m)
12:45am (AEDT)

Race 7 Orchid Hcp (C4) (1200m) 12:45am (AEDT)
1. Stock Legend (12) J: J Moreira (60.5kg) T: K W Lui	2.1	2.2	2.25	2.25	2.2
2. Whiskey Neat (8) J: K Chan (59kg) T: C Fownes	5	4.8	4.4	4.4	4.8
3. Telecom Rocket (11) J: C Soumillon (58kg) T: Y S Tsui	14	17	18	18	16.6
4. California Levee (10) J: M Chadwick (57.5kg) T: A S Cruz	19	19	19	19	19
5. Cheeky Prawn (5) J: K Teetan (56.5kg) T: J J Size	23	21	19	19	21
6. Inno Legend (9) J: A Badel (56.5kg) T: K L Man	16	15	14	14	15
7. Silvery Warrior (4) J: N Callan (56.5kg) T: Richard Gibson	27	26	31	31	26
8. Romantic Trove (6) J: C Schofield (55.5kg) T: W Y So	8.5	7.5	8.5	8.5	7.9
9. Apex Top (7) J: C Ho (54.5kg) T: A T Millard	21	21	17	17	21
10. Spontaneous (2) J: V Borges (53.5kg) T: P D O'sullivan	12	11	13	13	11.8
11. Athena (1) J: C Wong (51.5kg) T: C H Yip	26	26	21	21	25.5
12. Universal Crown (3) J: M Yeung (51.5kg) T: D Whyte	46	41	41	41	41

Odds Last Updated: February 11, 2021, 1:46am (AEDT)

We get to see the exciting (1) Stock Legend again tonight. His win two starts back had to be seen to be believed! He made a complete mess of the start, giving away a huge start, before rocketing home to produce an amazing win. He then went for a break and returned with a comfortable first up win three weeks ago. He did enjoy the gun run from barrier 1 on that occasion, whereas tonight he will have to overcome a rise in weight along with barrier 12, but I think he’s good enough to do so.

Tip: (1) Stock Legend $2.30 Ladbrokes

Betting Strategy: 1.5 units WIN Stock Legend

Race 8

Azalea Hcp (C3) (1000m)
1:15am (AEDT)

Race 8 Azalea Hcp (C3) (1000m) 1:15am (AEDT)
1. Flying Genius (1) J: C Soumillon (60.5kg) T: A S Cruz	3.2	3.3	3.1	3.1	3.3
2. Gentle Breeze (9) J: V Borges (60.5kg) T: P Yiu	31	31	34	34	31
3. Saul's Special (6) J: T Piccone (60.5kg) T: C W Chang	8.5	9	10	10	9.1
4. Kurpany (3) J: J Moreira (58kg) T: C Fownes	2.1	2	2	2	2
5. Strive For Glory (5) J: Z Purton (56.5kg) T: F C Lor	11	12	14	14	12
6. Most Welcome (9) J: B Shinn (56kg) T: D A Hayes
7. Nordic Wellstar (11) J: K Teetan (55kg) T: D Whyte	46	51	34	51	47
8. Happy Good Guys (7) J: C Ho (54.5kg) T: P Yiu	23	21	21	21	21.5
9. Orion Patch (8) J: M Yeung (54kg) T: K W Lui	91	101	101	101	99
10. Super Power Man (2) J: M Chadwick (54kg) T: K L Man	19	26	26	26	24.5
11. Momentum Galaxy (4) J: K Leung (53.5kg) T: K H Ting	19	18	18	18	18.2
12. Wild West Wing (10) J: A Badel (53kg) T: J J Size	15	15	15	15	15

Odds Last Updated: February 11, 2021, 1:46am (AEDT)

The best bet of the night without a doubt is (4) Kurpany. He bolted in by 3.5L two starts ago here at Happy Valley and his run in defeat last start was enormous. He made a mess of the start, giving them 3L at the jump, before storming home between runners to finish 4^th. He recorded the fastest 800m-400m split and then the second-fastest final 400m. That’s not easy to do over 1000m. If he jumped with them, there’s no doubt in my mind he would have won that race. Big jockey change tonight with Moreira replacing Alexis Badel, and the Moreira-Fownes combination continues to be lethal. Drawn well in barrier 3, and his biggest rival is drawn in barrier 1, which actually isn’t a great draw over the 1000m on the B-course. Super confident he wins this and betting accordingly.

Tip: (4) Kurpany $2.10 Bet365

Betting Strategy: 4 units WIN Kurpany

Race 9

Cineraria Hcp (C3) (1200m)
1:50am (AEDT)

Race 9 Cineraria Hcp (C3) (1200m) 1:50am (AEDT)
1. Loving A Boom (12) J: C Chau (60.5kg) T: Richard Gibson	7.5	7.5	6.5	6.5	7.5
2. Ka Ying Master (2) J: Z Purton (60kg) T: T P Yung	5.5	6	5	5	5.6
3. Sparkling Dragon (7) J: K Teetan (59.5kg) T: A T Millard	8.5	8.5	8.5	8.5	8.6
4. Tornado Twist (6) J: C Soumillon (59kg) T: F C Lor	5	5	6.5	6.5	5.2
5. Wind N Grass (1) J: C Schofield (57kg) T: J J Size	8	8	8.5	8.5	8.1
6. Circuit Seven (5) J: M Chadwick (56kg) T: A S Cruz	81	81	81	81	81
7. Equaletta Blitz (3) J: J Moreira (56kg) T: K H Ting	3.9	4	4	4	4.05
8. Beauty Kobe (8) J: V Borges (54kg) T: D A Hayes	14	14	13	13	14.2
9. Harmony N Home (4) J: H Mo (54kg) T: C S Shum	20	20	20	20	20
10. Green Reign (11) J: C Ho (53.5kg) T: C Fownes	26	31	31	31	30
11. Water Diviner (9) J: A Badel (60kg) T: C W Chang	15	15	17	17	15.2
12. Excellent Chariot (10) J: K Leung (52kg) T: P Yiu	23	21	21	21	21.5

Odds Last Updated: February 11, 2021, 1:46am (AEDT)

Tim Geers

A trip to Hong Kong quickly had Tim hooked to the racing caper, maintaining the best place anywhere in the world on a Wednesday night is Happy Valley. He holds a strong interest in the Hong Kong form, along with the metropolitan racing in Sydney and Melbourne. He’s a fan of dry tracks, Zac Purton and takes particular interest in identifying patterns in the form. Tim wears many hats, juggling the roles of form analyst, jockey manager and racehorse owner.