Racing Tips

Happy Valley Racing Tips: Wednesday, March 23rd

Tim Geers highlights his best bets on tonight’s card at Happy Valley in Hong Kong!

by
Tim Geers
23 March 2022

It’s another Wednesday night at Happy Valley to look forward to, with a nine-race card on the C+3 course!

Tim Geers has picked the eyes out of the card once again and brought you his best bets below, which all come up in the first four races.

Scroll down to find his Hong Kong racing tips for Race 1, Race 2, Race 3 and Race 4 below!

Best Bet: Race 3 – (4) Pretty Queen Prawn

Race 1

Ng Fong Hcp (C5) (2200m)
9:45pm (AEDT)

Race 1 Ng Fong Hcp (C5) (2200m) 9:45pm (AEDT)
1. Flash Famous (1) J: Z Purton (60.5kg) T: C H Yip		4.6
2. Wonder Years (10) J: K Teetan (60kg) T: D Whyte		12
3. All Best Friends (9) J: K Leung (59kg) T: K L Man		51
4. Travel Glory (3) J: B Shinn (58.5kg) T: Y S Tsui		11
5. Fortune Patrol (8) J: R Maia (58kg) T: A T Millard		8
6. Jolly Forever (4) J: M Chadwick (57kg) T: W Y So		7
7. Wah May Luck (5) J: A Badel (57kg) T: A S Cruz		12
8. Sky Gem (6) J: C Ho (56.5kg) T: C Fownes		13
9. Grand Power (11) J: J Moreira (54.5kg) T: C W Chang		5.5
10. Great Times (12) J: L Hewitson (54kg) T: D J Hall		17
11. Fortune Triple (7) J: D Moor (52kg) T: Y S Tsui		20
12. Wealthy Employee (2) J: M Yeung (51.5kg) T: K H Ting		7

Odds Last Updated: March 23, 2022, 9:49pm (AEDT)

Pretty keen to start the card here and surprised at the odds about (1) Flash Famous. He’s been whacking away in Class 4 company and hasn’t won in over two years, but that’s not unusual in Hong Kong. Finally drops down into Class 5, Purton goes straight on and he comes up with barrier 1. Six races over 2200m with the rail in C+3 position this season, 2 winners, a 3rd and a 4th from barrier 1. Zac rides it better than any, horse gets its chance big time tonight! Distance the only query.

Tip: (1) Flash Famous $5.00/$2.20 Bet365

Betting Strategy: 1 unit E/W Flash Famous

Race 2

Tseuk Luk Hcp (C4) (1650m)
10:15pm (AEDT)

Race 2 Tseuk Luk Hcp (C4) (1650m) 10:15pm (AEDT)
1. Ever Laugh (12) J: B Shinn (60.5kg) T: K L Man		21
2. Green Laser (8) J: C Ho (60kg) T: W Y So		51
3. Our Class Act (10) J: L Hewitson (58.5kg) T: Y S Tsui		126
4. Baby (1) J: A Hamelin (58kg) T: K H Ting		6.5
5. Island Shine (5) J: K Leung (57.5kg) T: P Yiu		26
6. Methane (6) J: L Ferraris (57.5kg) T: A S Cruz		14
7. Jade Phoenix (4) J: K Teetan (56.5kg) T: F C Lor		19
8. Happy Jai Jai (7) J: J Moreira (56kg) T: T P Yung		2.1
9. Red Impact (11) J: Z Purton (56kg) T: D A Hayes		6.5
10. Pride Of Dragon (9) J: H Bentley (55kg) T: C H Yip		26
11. Sun Of Makfi (2) J: M Chadwick (53kg) T: D J Hall		6
12. Foxhunter Way (3) J: A Badel (52.5kg) T: K W Lui		14

Odds Last Updated: March 23, 2022, 10:19pm (AEDT)

Inside barriers premium here! 36% of winners over 1650m with C+3 rail this season have been from barriers 1 and 2. (4) Baby has had legitimate excuses his past four starts, sitting wide without cover in three of them, and working home well into 4th from a wide gate in the other. Drops from 60kg to 58kg, gets barrier 1 and surely gets his chance.

(11) Sun Of Makfi‘s last two starts have been very good, albeit both have been on the all-weather track which is the main query. Has won over this track and distance previously though. Barrier 2 a plus.

Tip: (4) Baby $7.00 Bet365

Also Backing: (11) Sun Of Makfi $6.00 Ladbrokes

Betting Strategy: 0.5 units WIN Baby, 0.5 units WIN Sun Of Makfi

Race 3

Sze Mei Hcp (C4) (1000m)
10:45pm (AEDT)

Race 3 Sze Mei Hcp (C4) (1000m) 10:45pm (AEDT)
1. Circuit Seven (5) J: M Poon (60.5kg) T: A S Cruz		6
2. Savvy Delight (7) J: J Moreira (58.5kg) T: J J Size		4.8
3. Super Axiom (9) J: M Chadwick (58.5kg) T: Y S Tsui		17
4. Pretty Queen Prawn (10) J: Z Purton (56.5kg) T: D Whyte		3.1
5. Tsuen Wan Glory (12) J: A Badel (56kg) T: K L Man		34
6. Oversubscribed (2) J: B Shinn (56kg) T: D J Hall		8
7. Gorgeous Vitality (3) J: C Ho (55.5kg) T: F C Lor		10
8. Super Class (6) J: L Hewitson (55.5kg) T: A T Millard		31
9. Vamos (4) J: A Hamelin (55.5kg) T: D A Hayes		19
10. Strive For Glory (8) J: V Borges (53kg) T: W Y So		26
11. Multimore (1) J: K Teetan (52.5kg) T: T P Yung		6
12. Travel Datuk (11) J: M Yeung (51.5kg) T: Richard Gibson		126

Odds Last Updated: March 23, 2022, 10:49pm (AEDT)

Pretty keen on the Pretty Queen. (4) Pretty Queen Prawn‘s last three starts have all been very good. He’s sat wide without cover in two of them and hasn’t been beaten far at all. Big jockey change tonight with Purton going on. Wide draws aren’t the worst over the short course of 1000m so hopefully he gets a nice trail into it and if that’s the case, I think he wins.

Tip: (4) Pretty Queen Prawn $3.50 Bet365

Betting Strategy: 2 units WIN Pretty Queen Prawn

Race 4

Tai Yau Hcp (C4) (1200m)
11:15pm (AEDT)

Race 4 Tai Yau Hcp (C4) (1200m) 11:15pm (AEDT)
1. Colonel (4) J: Z Purton (60.5kg) T: P Yiu		3.1
2. Wild West Wing (1) J: V Borges (59.5kg) T: J J Size		8.5
3. Happy Tango (5) J: J Moreira (56kg) T: Y S Tsui		7
4. Encore (12) J: C Ho (56kg) T: C S Shum		67
5. Quorum (8) J: R Maia (56kg) T: Richard Gibson		67
6. Harrier Jet (11) J: K Leung (55.5kg) T: P D O'sullivan		26
7. Joyful Genius (10) J: L Ferraris (55kg) T: D J Hall		7.5
8. Ahead A Head (6) J: D Moor (54.5kg) T: T P Yung		15
9. Happy Gathering (2) J: M Chadwick (54.5kg) T: K L Man		8
10. Hercules (9) J: K Teetan (54.5kg) T: C H Yip		5.5
11. Take What You Need (3) J: L Hewitson (53kg) T: D Whyte		7.5
12. Euromissile (7) J: M Yeung (51.5kg) T: C W Chang		91

Odds Last Updated: March 23, 2022, 11:19pm (AEDT)

(1) Colonel is very well placed tonight. He’s finished in the top five in four of his past five starts, which have all been in Class 3 company. Was beaten 0.4L three starts ago, and 1L over track and distance back in January. Now drops to Class 4, Purton goes straight on and draws a low gate. Very hard to beat.

(2) Wild West Wing is a danger from the inside gate.

Tip: (1) Colonel $3.10 Neds

Also Backing: (2) Wild West Wing $10 Bet365

Betting Strategy: 1.5 units WIN Colonel, 0.25 units WIN Wild West Wing

Race 5

Tseuk Luk Hcp (C4) (1650m)
11:45pm (AEDT)

Race 5 Tseuk Luk Hcp (C4) (1650m) 11:45pm (AEDT)
1. Fearless Fire (12) J: B Shinn (60.5kg) T: D A Hayes		11
2. Viva Popcorn (5) J: Z Purton (59.5kg) T: A S Cruz		4.8
3. Farshad (9) J: C Ho (59kg) T: Y S Tsui		26
4. Ice Legend (7) J: H Bentley (59kg) T: T P Yung		14
5. Nimble Nimbus (6) J: M Poon (59kg) T: P Yiu		6
6. Glorious Lover (8) J: K Leung (56kg) T: C H Yip		9.5
7. Our Creed (4) J: L Ferraris (56kg) T: K H Ting		18
8. Win Charm (2) J: A Badel (56kg) T: K W Lui		7.5
9. E Legend (3) J: M Yeung (54.5kg) T: K L Man		15
10. Faithful Trinity (1) J: K Teetan (54.5kg) T: W Y So		11
11. Courageous Knight (10) J: M Chadwick (54kg) T: C S Shum		20
12. Lucky Missile (11) J: J Moreira (52kg) T: D J Hall		4.6

Odds Last Updated: March 23, 2022, 11:45pm (AEDT)

Race 6

Tai Yau Hcp (C4) (1200m)
12:15am (AEDT)

Race 6 Tai Yau Hcp (C4) (1200m) 12:15am (AEDT)
1. Miracle Victory (7) J: K Leung (60.5kg) T: D A Hayes		11
2. Stormtrouper (2) J: M Poon (60.5kg) T: C H Yip		8.5
3. Lucky Quality (10) J: A Badel (59.5kg) T: C Fownes		26
4. Triple Triple (1) J: B Shinn (58.5kg) T: F C Lor		7
5. Wind Speeder (4) J: V Borges (58.5kg) T: Y S Tsui		15
6. See U Again (6) J: J Moreira (57.5kg) T: C S Shum		6
7. Street Scream (11) J: K Teetan (57.5kg) T: A S Cruz		10
8. Concerto (3) J: A Hamelin (56.5kg) T: K H Ting		91
9. Excellent Peers (5) J: Z Purton (56kg) T: P Yiu		2
10. Shadow Runner (9) J: M Chadwick (55kg) T: P D O'sullivan		19
11. Super Kingdom (8) J: R Maia (55kg) T: A T Millard		81
12. Wins All (12) J: H Bentley (53.5kg) T: W Y So		71

Odds Last Updated: March 24, 2022, 12:19am (AEDT)

Race 7

Sheung Hei Hcp (C3) (1200m)
12:45am (AEDT)

Race 7 Sheung Hei Hcp (C3) (1200m) 12:45am (AEDT)
1. Decisive Twelve (5) J: C Ho (60.5kg) T: W Y So		21
2. Family Folks (4) J: A Hamelin (60kg) T: C W Chang		12
3. Magic Phoenix (2) J: L Hewitson (57kg) T: K H Ting		4.2
4. Lockheed (10) J: Z Purton (56kg) T: C S Shum		13
5. Super Dobbin (8) J: R Maia (56kg) T: A T Millard		26
6. Seizing The Moment (7) J: J Moreira (55.5kg) T: J J Size		2.8
7. Mr Colourful (9) J: M Poon (54.5kg) T: A S Cruz		13
8. Nothing New (12) J: A Badel (54.5kg) T: D Whyte		14
9. Prance Dragon (11) J: K Leung (54kg) T: T P Yung		21
10. Faulds (6) J: K Teetan (52.5kg) T: C H Yip		41
11. Happy Sharing (1) J: M Chadwick (52.5kg) T: K L Man		10
12. Smart Idea (3) J: H Bentley (52kg) T: F C Lor		8

Odds Last Updated: March 24, 2022, 12:45am (AEDT)

Race 8

Sheung Hei Hcp (C3) (1200m)
1:15am (AEDT)

Race 8 Sheung Hei Hcp (C3) (1200m) 1:15am (AEDT)
1. Roman Turbo (10) J: B Shinn (60.5kg) T: C S Shum		31
2. Toronado Phantom (12) J: J Moreira (59.5kg) T: J J Size		5.5
3. Diamond Brilliant (7) J: K Leung (58.5kg) T: T P Yung		21
4. Glorious Starlight (5) J: L Hewitson (58.5kg) T: Y S Tsui		51
5. Lucky Sweynesse (8) J: Z Purton (57.5kg) T: K L Man		1.3
6. High Rise Soldier (9) J: C Ho (56kg) T: K W Lui		41
7. Meridian Genius (2) J: R Maia (56kg) T: A T Millard		16
8. Pride Of Eight (3) J: M Poon (54.5kg) T: D J Hall		91
9. Sunset Watch (1) J: M Yeung (54.5kg) T: D A Hayes		91
10. California Redwood (4) J: D Moor (53.5kg) T: A S Cruz		41
11. Flaming Passion (6) J: M Chadwick (52.5kg) T: F C Lor		9.5
12. Dublin Star (11) J: H Bentley (52kg) T: K L Man		71

Odds Last Updated: March 24, 2022, 12:55am (AEDT)

Race 9

Sam Chuk Hcp (C3) (1650m)
1:50am (AEDT)

Race 9 Sam Chuk Hcp (C3) (1650m) 1:50am (AEDT)
1. Amazing One Plus (1) J: Z Purton (60.5kg) T: T P Yung		7
2. Zone D (7) J: B Shinn (59kg) T: J J Size		8.5
3. Beauty Glory (6) J: L Ferraris (56kg) T: A S Cruz		26
4. Gift Of Lifeline (9) J: A Badel (56kg) T: A T Millard		17
5. Copartner Fionn (2) J: V Borges (55kg) T: W Y So		8
6. Total Power (10) J: M Poon (55kg) T: D J Hall		34
7. Villa Fionn (3) J: A Hamelin (55kg) T: P Yiu		9
8. Killer Instinct (12) J: C Ho (54.5kg) T: C Fownes		15
9. Packing Award (8) J: K Teetan (54kg) T: L Ho		4.2
10. Surrealism (11) J: R Maia (54kg) T: Richard Gibson		20
11. Viva Hunter (5) J: J Moreira (54kg) T: K L Man		3.7
12. Chevalier Prince (4) J: M Chadwick (53.5kg) T: F C Lor		21

Odds Last Updated: March 24, 2022, 12:55am (AEDT)

Tim Geers

A trip to Hong Kong quickly had Tim hooked to the racing caper, maintaining the best place anywhere in the world on a Wednesday night is Happy Valley. He holds a strong interest in the Hong Kong form, along with the metropolitan racing in Sydney and Melbourne. He’s a fan of dry tracks, Zac Purton and takes particular interest in identifying patterns in the form. Tim wears many hats, juggling the roles of form analyst, jockey manager and racehorse owner.