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Happy Valley Racing Tips: Wednesday, May 19th

Tim Geers has highlighted five races he’s keen to bet in on tonight’s card at Happy Valley!

Happy Valley Racing Tips

Hong Kong racing hits the Happy Valley circuit on Wednesday night, with a nine-race card set to kick off at 6.45pm local time.

Tonight’s racing at the Valley is on the B-course.

Tim Geers has assessed the meeting and highlighted five races he’s keen to bet in, including Race 1, Race 4, Race 5, Race 7 and Race 9.

Find his preview, tips and best bets for tonight’s racing below!

Best Bet: Race 7 – (7) Spontaneous

0

Race 1

Tan Shan River Hcp (C5) (1650m)
8:45pm (AEDT)

Race 1

Tan Shan River Hcp (C5) (1650m)
8:45pm (AEDT)

1. California Legend (11) J: M L Yeung (60.5kg) T: A S Cruz
2320191920
2. Focus (6) J: C Wong (59.5kg) T: P Yiu
1514141413.8
3. Baby Storm (2) J: K C Leung (58.5kg) T: L Ho
1313131312.6
4. Red Majesty (8) J: Z Purton (58.5kg) T: D A Hayes
2.22.252.22.22.2
5. Wonder Express (5) J: C Y Ho (58.5kg) T: K H Ting
4.54.44.64.64.45
6. Virtus Star (10) J: C Schofield (57kg) T: F C Lor
2121212120
7. Diamond Star (4) J: J Moreira (56.5kg) T: J J Size
7.588.58.57.9
8. Centenary Ibis (7) J: V Borges (56kg) T: A T Millard
1818181817.6
9. Indigenous Star (9) J: R Maia (56kg) T: C W Chang
2120181820
10. Wonderful Tiger (1) J: A Hamelin (55.5kg) T: W Y So
1414141413.8
11. Strapping Bauhinia (3) J: M F Poon (52.5kg) T: Y S Tsui
1519171716.6
12. Fire And Gold (12) J: H N Wong (51.5kg) T: C H Yip
6767717163

Odds Last Updated: May 19, 2021, 8:56pm (AEDT)

Convinced there’s only three real chances to kick off the night.

(4) Red Majesty relished the step up to 1650m last start, following a good run prior to that over 1200m. He saluted over the track and distance last start and did so in a fashion which suggests he should be hard to beat again, despite a 2.5kg rise in the weights. It can be hard for horses to win back-to-back races with the handicapping system in Hong Kong, but he looks to find another winnable race.

(7) Diamond Star looks a complete set up job to my eye. He’s had three starts since he was given a let-up in February. On all three occasions, he’s drawn a wide gate and gone back to the rear of the field. He was also caught wide throughout last start. Suddenly, Moreira goes on tonight and he’s come up with barrier 4, so I really expect a sharp turnaround in his performance.

(10) Wonderful Tiger is capable. He’s first up tonight and he did run a place first up last prep. Barrier 1 helps and this is his pet track and distance, so include him in your numbers.

Tip: (4) Red Majesty $2.30 Bet365

Also Backing: (7) Diamond Star $8.00 TopSport

Betting Strategy: 2 units WIN Red Majesty, 1 unit WIN Diamond Star

0

Race 2

Tan Shan River Hcp (C5) (1650m)
9:15pm (AEDT)

Race 2

Tan Shan River Hcp (C5) (1650m)
9:15pm (AEDT)

1. E Honey (11) J: C Y Ho (60.5kg) T: C Fownes
111011119.9
2. President Star (7) J: K Teetan (58.5kg) T: C S Shum
5.55.56.56.55.4
3. Happy Ichiban (1) J: A Hamelin (58kg) T: D Whyte
55.55.55.55.1
4. Big Bang Bong (3) J: A Badel (56.5kg) T: C W Chang
665.55.55.4
5. Nitro Express (5) J: J Moreira (56kg) T: D Ferraris
3.43.63.33.63.25
6. Fox Cheunger (12) J: R Maia (55.5kg) T: K W Lui
6761515155
7. Galaxy Racer (8) J: C Schofield (55.5kg) T: Richard Gibson
1514131313.4
8. Smart Thinker (9) J: H Bentley (55kg) T: C H Yip
2121212119.8
9. Rosse Scarpe (6) J: K C Leung (54.5kg) T: K L Man
8181818173
10. Shinealot (4) J: V Borges (54.5kg) T: P D O'sullivan
1816151515.6
11. Enjoyable Success (2) J: Alex Lai (53.5kg) T: Y S Tsui
1517191916.8
12. Joy N Fun Legend (10) J: M Chadwick (51.5kg) T: T P Yung
1515141414.2

Odds Last Updated: May 19, 2021, 9:17pm (AEDT)

0

Race 3

Nam Chung River Hcp (C4) (1000m)
9:45pm (AEDT)

Race 3

Nam Chung River Hcp (C4) (1000m)
9:45pm (AEDT)

1. Victory In Hand (7) J: K Teetan (60.5kg) T: K W Lui
5.555.55.55
2. Baltic Whisper (2) J: A K Chan (59.5kg) T: C S Shum
8.59.5998.4
3. Panzerschreck (1) J: J Moreira (57.5kg) T: J J Size
1312111112
4. Prince Of Bon Bon (8) J: M Chadwick (57.5kg) T: D Ferraris
5151515149
5. Win Win Star (4) J: R Maia (57.5kg) T: P Yiu
8.577.57.58
6. Master Of Fun (12) J: Z Purton (56.5kg) T: C H Yip
9.59.510109.4
7. Travel Datuk (6) J: M F Poon (56kg) T: Richard Gibson
7.575.55.56.3
8. Packing Champion (11) J: H N Wong (56kg) T: L Ho
3126313128
9. Oversubscribed (3) J: A Badel (55kg) T: D J Hall
655.55.55.2
10. Faribault (10) J: V Borges (54kg) T: P D O'sullivan
7167676763
11. Happily Friends (5) J: C Y Ho (52.5kg) T: K H Ting
3.944.44.43.95
12. Sea Monarch (9) J: M L Yeung (52kg) T: W Y So
9181818177

Odds Last Updated: May 19, 2021, 9:47pm (AEDT)

0

Race 4

Shan Pui River Hcp (C4) (1200m)
10:15pm (AEDT)

Race 4

Shan Pui River Hcp (C4) (1200m)
10:15pm (AEDT)

1. Island Shine (9) J: A K Chan (60.5kg) T: P Yiu
1716151614.6
2. Dragon Baby (6) J: C Schofield (60kg) T: J J Size
8.58.5998.3
3. Good Shot (12) J: Z Purton (58.5kg) T: D J Hall
3121181922
4. Just Not Listening (4) J: H Bentley (58.5kg) T: T P Yung
2019181917.6
5. Flaming Passion (8) J: K Teetan (57.5kg) T: F C Lor
2.93332.9
6. Ever Joy (2) J: M Chadwick (56.5kg) T: P D O'sullivan
5141343440
7. Inno Legend (5) J: K C Leung (56.5kg) T: K L Man
66665.4
8. Sight Hero (10) J: A Badel (55.5kg) T: D A Hayes
87.57.57.57.2
9. Universal Go Go (1) J: J Moreira (55.5kg) T: K W Lui
55.565.55.4
10. Fortune Carrier (11) J: C Y Ho (54kg) T: C S Shum
3434344134
11. Split Of A Second (3) J: A Hamelin (53kg) T: W Y So
10128.5119.8
12. Seventh Sea (7) J: Alex Lai (51.5kg) T: D Ferraris
918110110179

Odds Last Updated: May 19, 2021, 10:17pm (AEDT)

This is a really competitive Class 4 so I won’t be betting big here, but I think (6) Ever Joy is a blowout chance at $61. I backed him on debut when he had Zac Purton aboard, and he just raced so green. He showed several signs of being inexperienced, racing with his head on the side and then shifting in and out under pressure. I think his debut experience will bring him on plenty, and he hadn’t trialled all that bad leading into his debut. Barrier 2 is a positive tonight and at the huge odds, I’ll have a nickel each way.

Tip: (6) Ever Joy $61/$16 Sportsbet

Betting Strategy: 0.25 units E/W Ever Joy

0

Race 5

Shan Pui River Hcp (C4) (1200m)
10:45pm (AEDT)

Race 5

Shan Pui River Hcp (C4) (1200m)
10:45pm (AEDT)

1. Falcon Turbo (4) J: H Bentley (60.5kg) T: A T Millard
88888
2. Jazz Steed (12) J: A K Chan (60.5kg) T: C Fownes
3431262629.5
3. Ares (3) J: Z Purton (59.5kg) T: F C Lor
109.510109.5
4. Loriz (2) J: R Maia (59.5kg) T: P Yiu
1213111012
5. What A Legend (1) J: C Schofield (59.5kg) T: K H Ting
4.44.64.24.24.35
6. Telecom Rocket (5) J: M F Poon (58.5kg) T: Y S Tsui
6.56.566.56.5
7. Rhapsody (8) J: J Moreira (58kg) T: J J Size
2.92.83.53.52.95
8. Master Albert (9) J: A Hamelin (56kg) T: W Y So
1817181817.4
9. Little Bird (7) J: Alex Lai (55.5kg) T: K L Man
7161717161
10. Chikorita (10) J: K Teetan (55kg) T: C W Chang
2018212118.6
11. Voyage Star (11) J: M L Yeung (51.5kg) T: T P Yung
5141616145
12. Ourgoldenrules (6) J: M Chadwick (51.5kg) T: D Whyte
1919191918.6

Odds Last Updated: May 19, 2021, 10:47pm (AEDT)

(7) Rhapsody surely wins tonight. He’s run well in both starts back from a spell, finishing 3rd first up and 2nd last start. The draw tonight is tricky but third up, he looks clearly the horse to beat.

(5) What A Legend gets a drop in class and barrier 1. His past six starts have been in Class 3, and he’s drawn wide in his past two, but his last victory came at this track and distance with Chad Schofield aboard from barrier 1, which is an identical set up to tonight.

(2) Ares gets Purton back aboard and this is his second start back in class, so expect some improvement there.

Tip: (7) Rhapsody $3.40 Bet365

Also Backing: (5) What A Legend $6.00 Ladbrokes

Betting Strategy: 1.5 units WIN Rhapsody, 0.5 units WIN What A Legend

0

Race 6

Tai Shing Stream Hcp (C4) (1650m)
11:15pm (AEDT)

Race 6

Tai Shing Stream Hcp (C4) (1650m)
11:15pm (AEDT)

1. More Than Enough (4) J: K Teetan (60.5kg) T: A S Cruz
54.6554.8
2. Sincere Boy (6) J: K C Leung (60.5kg) T: P D O'sullivan
126101101101111
3. Royal Racer (5) J: A K Chan (59.5kg) T: C Fownes
1614131314
4. Ming Warrior (1) J: C Schofield (59kg) T: D Ferraris
76.5776.9
5. Seaweed Fortune (11) J: C Y Ho (59kg) T: K W Lui
777.57.56.8
6. Chater Pins (10) J: Z Purton (58.5kg) T: D A Hayes
9.58998.6
7. Savvy Kingman (7) J: J Moreira (56kg) T: F C Lor
2.42.452.62.62.35
8. Super Bullet (3) J: M L Yeung (54.5kg) T: K H Ting
7167717163
9. Super Hong Kong (8) J: M F Poon (53.5kg) T: A T Millard
1816171716.6
10. Thunder Stomp (9) J: C Wong (53kg) T: Y S Tsui
1413131312.4
11. All Best Friends (12) J: Alex Lai (52.5kg) T: K L Man
4634343434
12. Light My Day (2) J: H N Wong (52kg) T: C H Yip
7161818163

Odds Last Updated: May 19, 2021, 11:17pm (AEDT)

0

Race 7

Kam Tin River Hcp (C3) (1200m)
11:45pm (AEDT)

Race 7

Kam Tin River Hcp (C3) (1200m)
11:45pm (AEDT)

1. Joyful Union (7) J: R Maia (60.5kg) T: T P Yung
2019182118.6
2. Be Ready (1) J: M F Poon (60kg) T: F C Lor
6.56.56.566.3
3. Yoo Yoo King (5) J: C Schofield (60kg) T: K H Ting
91918110185
4. High Rise Soldier (10) J: A Badel (59.5kg) T: K W Lui
1412101412.4
5. Lincoln Bright (2) J: K C Leung (59.5kg) T: Richard Gibson
8181517173
6. Shouson (8) J: K Teetan (57kg) T: A T Millard
1716151816.4
7. Spontaneous (4) J: Z Purton (56.5kg) T: P D O'sullivan
22.11.91.91.92
8. Amazing News (11) J: C Y Ho (56kg) T: C Fownes
1717141816.4
9. Ping Hai Galaxy (9) J: A Hamelin (55.5kg) T: J J Size
2321262622.5
10. Simply Fluke (6) J: M Chadwick (55kg) T: D Whyte
1111121411.4
11. Here Comes Ted (3) J: J Moreira (53.5kg) T: D Ferraris
4.24.24.84.44.1

Odds Last Updated: May 19, 2021, 11:47pm (AEDT)

(7) Spontaneous steps up in grade tonight after back-to-back wins in Class 4. He’s not exactly been done many favours either, having to carry 56.5kg at his first go in this class. I think he’s good enough to overcome that though. He’s a horse on the up, gets a great draw in barrier 4 and his weight at least allows Purton to keep the ride on him.

Logical danger looks to be (11) Here Comes Ted at the bottom of the weights resuming with Joao Moreira aboard. He won twice in Class 4 earlier this season before failing at his first attempt in this class. He was sent for a break straight after it though. In his break he had throat surgery, so there’s every chance he can return a better horse. Drawn inside Spontaneous and no surprise to see him go very close.

Tip: (7) Spontaneous $3.30 Sportsbet

Also Backing: (11) Here Comes Ted $5.50 Bet365

Betting Strategy: 2 units WIN Spontaneous, 0.5 units WIN Here Comes Ted

0

Race 8

Kam Tin River Hcp (C3) (1200m)
12:15am (AEDT)

Race 8

Kam Tin River Hcp (C3) (1200m)
12:15am (AEDT)

1. Stock Legend (8) J: Z Purton (60.5kg) T: K W Lui
6.55.5665.1
2. Mega Heart (7) J: M L Yeung (59.5kg) T: C W Chang
6751616147
3. Special M (4) J: C Schofield (57.5kg) T: J J Size
8.5810107.8
4. The Runner (10) J: M F Poon (56.5kg) T: F C Lor
76.5776
5. Transcendent (3) J: J Moreira (56kg) T: A S Cruz
3.53.33.63.63.15
6. Alcari (9) J: H Bentley (55.5kg) T: P Yiu
2320212120.5
7. Stoicism (2) J: K Teetan (55.5kg) T: D Ferraris
3.64.24.24.24.1
8. Aurora Pegasus (6) J: C Y Ho (54.5kg) T: C Fownes
1514161612
9. Eight Trigrams (11) J: H N Wong (53.5kg) T: D J Hall
7161616153
10. Momentum Galaxy (1) J: A Hamelin (53.5kg) T: K H Ting
1513131312.4
11. Mehboob (5) J: M Chadwick (53kg) T: P D O'sullivan
3531313130

Odds Last Updated: May 20, 2021, 10:02am (AEDT)

0

Race 9

Lam Tsuen River Hcp (C3) (1800m)
12:50am (AEDT)

Race 9

Lam Tsuen River Hcp (C3) (1800m)
12:50am (AEDT)

1. Cinquante Cinq (10) J: M F Poon (60.5kg) T: T P Yung
2726212120.5
2. Golden Spectrum (5) J: Z Purton (60kg) T: A S Cruz
8.567.57.55.3
3. World Famous (2) J: C Y Ho (58kg) T: P Yiu
88888
4. Xiang Bai Qi (12) J: K Teetan (57.5kg) T: D Ferraris
109.510108.7
5. Star Of Glory (7) J: H T Mo (56.5kg) T: C W Chang
201126151151121
6. Dynamic Eagle (11) J: A Hamelin (55.5kg) T: C S Shum
4134414130
7. Entrusted (1) J: H Bentley (55.5kg) T: W Y So
1719151516.6
8. Bundle Of Delight (3) J: K C Leung (55kg) T: D J Hall
2117191917.4
9. Cheerful Days (4) J: A Badel (54kg) T: K W Lui
7.57.5887.7
10. Superbella (6) J: J Moreira (54kg) T: F C Lor
2.42.52.52.52.45
11. Fast Pace (8) J: M Chadwick (53.5kg) T: C Fownes
101010109.7
12. Murray's Partners (9) J: C Wong (53kg) T: C H Yip
1019110110183

Odds Last Updated: May 20, 2021, 10:02am (AEDT)

Very small bet on (3) World Famous at double figure odds to end the night. He’s returning from a break tonight and has won over this track and distance in this class with a similar weight in the past, though it was well over a year ago. His trials have been good leading to his return and if he’s anywhere near his best, he’ll be competitive. Gets the right draw.

Tip: (3) World Famous $10/$3.20 Ladbrokes

Betting Strategy: 0.5 units E/W World Famous

A trip to Hong Kong quickly had Tim hooked to the racing caper, maintaining the best place anywhere in the world on a Wednesday night is Happy Valley. He holds a strong interest in the Hong Kong form, along with the metropolitan racing in Sydney and Melbourne. He’s a fan of dry tracks, Zac Purton and takes particular interest in identifying patterns in the form. Tim wears many hats, juggling the roles of form analyst, jockey manager and racehorse owner.

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