Connect with us

Racing Tips

Moonee Valley Racing Tips: Friday, February 26th

Friday night lights at The Valley and Trent Crebbin has you covered with his analysis of every race.

Moonee Valley Tips

Racing at Moonee Valley tonight with the Summer Series of racing continuing.

Trent Crebbin has done the form for the eight race card, which will take place on a good 4 track with the rail out 6 metres.

Best Bet- Race 5 (3) Savannah Cloud

Best Value- Race 4 (2) Ms Catherine

0

Race 1

E.J. Whitten Time To Test Hcp (1200m)
6:30pm (AEDT)

Race 1

E.J. Whitten Time To Test Hcp (1200m)
6:30pm (AEDT)

1. Treporti (5) J: Damian Lane (58.5kg) T: D T O'brien
1.851.851.751.91.861.85
2. Cheerful Legend (2) J: Michael Dee (58kg) T: J D Sadler
5.55.55.5555.5
3. Gobbled (3) J: Jye Mcneil (58kg) T: M Price & M Kent Jnr
10991010.28
4. Micro (6) J: Damien Oliver (58kg) T: James Cummings
4.24.244.44.154.2
5. Alegron (7) J: Ms Jamie Kah (57.5kg) T: James Cummings
6. Zuma (1) J: Zac Spain (56.5kg) T: Lloyd Kennewell
414141614341
7. Paris Shiraz (4) J: Damien Thornton (56kg) T: M Ellerton & S Zahra
1919192123.517

Odds Last Updated: February 27, 2021, 4:26am (AEDT)

(1) Treporti is the horse to beat in the opener. His run first up behind Ingratiating was very solid when running on late for 4th, beaten 4.75L. That horse nearly won a Blue Diamond, so the form is obviously very good. The 1200m should suit and the even money or thereabouts is probably fair enough.

 

(4) Micro has been running okay and was solid over 1300m last start at Sandown when racing keenly. The run prior down the straight was good but that Abseiler/Telluride form is suspect.

 

(3) Gobbled is on debut and has jumped out well. He draws well and can run a race on debut.

Tip: (1) Treporti- $2.00 at Sportsbet

Betting Strategy: 2 units WIN Treporti

0

Race 2

Sally Bruten Memorial Hcp (C1) (1200m)
7:00pm (AEDT)

Race 2

Sally Bruten Memorial Hcp (C1) (1200m)
7:00pm (AEDT)

1. O'reilly Mcluke (2) J: Beau Mertens (60kg) T: Symon Wilde
11119.51412.68.5
2. Make It Quick (3) J: Damien Oliver (59.5kg) T: D R Brideoake
3. Rhode Scholar (8) J: Michael Dee (59kg) T: T Busuttin & N Young
4. Squamanzer (1) J: Daniel Stackhouse (59kg) T: B J Mccarthy
1516191816.418
5. Frag (4) J: Damien Thornton (58.5kg) T: Shea Eden
415151615741
6. Frisson (7) J: Damian Lane (58.5kg) T: M Ellerton & S Zahra
151415141612
7. Marabi (6) J: Ben Allen (58.5kg) T: C Maher & D Eustace
1.141.161.21.151.111.2
8. Especial Courage (5) J: Luke Currie (58kg) T: Ms E Haworth
6171516110141
9. No Puzzle (9) J: Jack Hill (57kg) T: Charlotte Littlefield
343451514331

Odds Last Updated: February 27, 2021, 4:26am (AEDT)

(7) Marabi is a prohibitive $1.28 here coming off a 6L win on debut at Pakenham. She wasn’t far off the track record there and obviously looks very hard to beat but that is very short.

 

(6) Frisson has been racing well and drops back in trip for this. He won his maiden at Kilmore over this trip and wasn’t far off them in a similar race behind Ellis Park last start which is solid form.

 

(1) O’reilly Mcluke was backed off the map at his Aus debut and won impressively before a solid showing 2nd up when hard in the market again.

 

Marabi should be winning but no bet here with no third dividend for any place chances.

Tip: (7) Marabi- $1.35 at Bet365

Betting Strategy: No Bet

0

Race 3

The Drain Man (Bm70) (1600m)
7:30pm (AEDT)

Race 3

The Drain Man (Bm70) (1600m)
7:30pm (AEDT)

1. The Regiment (1) J: Jarrod Fry (60.5kg) T: J F Moloney
7.5878.58.16
2. Cassius (3) J: Thomas Stockdale (60kg) T: T Dabernig & B Hayes
2.52.62.62.62.552.7
3. Crimson Ace (6) J: Will Price (60kg) T: T Busuttin & N Young
666.566.16
4. Reserve Street (4) J: Teodore Nugent (60kg) T: C Maher & D Eustace
76.56.56.56.37
5. Cernan (7) J: Luke Nolen (59kg) T: P G Moody
1110101110.210
6. Surreal Image (8) J: Lachlan King (59kg) T: K L Corstens
7.5767.56.98
7. Tea Tales (2) J: Dean Yendall (57.5kg) T: P W Mckenna
1516141817.812
8. Rewarding Ruby (5) J: Jye Mcneil (55kg) T: Chris Calthorpe
313134343331

Odds Last Updated: February 27, 2021, 4:26am (AEDT)

Very thin race between a bunch of stayers and fairly average horses. (2) Cassius is the favourite and does like this track, having only finished out of the placings once here. Stockdale rode it perfectly last start from barrier 4 and draws 3 tonight.

 

(1) The Regiment is the other main hope and he’s absolutely flying after breaking a long run of outs. The form out of his races is stacking up nicely too- Just Stellar won impressively last start after finishing 2nd to The Regiment, and Il Divo was 5th in that race and won at Pakenham. Barrier one is the obvious knock because he could be stuck behind a few road- blocks, but he can settle close and with luck he’s a decent price.

 

(6) Surreal Image next best because she can go forward but this is a very weak race.

 

Tip: (1) The Regiment- $5.50 at Sportsbet

Betting Strategy: 1 unit WIN The Regiment

0

Race 4

Ladbrokes 55Sec Challenge-Bm78 (955m)
8:00pm (AEDT)

Race 4

Ladbrokes 55Sec Challenge-Bm78 (955m)
8:00pm (AEDT)

1. Sartorial Splendor (3) J: Matthew Cartwright (61kg) T: J D Sadler
2.62.52.62.52.552.5
2. Ms Catherine (8) J: Will Price (59.5kg) T: Henry Dwyer
6.56.56.577.16
3. Rock Tycoon (1) J: Ms Madison Lloyd (59kg) T: Nathan Hobson
272631213126
4. China Affair (5) J: Beau Mertens (57kg) T: J Warren & D Krongold
1112111212.211
5. Koonunga (2) J: Jye Mcneil (57kg) T: Matthew Smith
101110111110
6. Mount Horeb (10) J: John Allen (57kg) T: G A Osborne
7. Call It A Day (4) J: Damien Thornton (55.5kg) T: Will Clarken
8. Lesage (7) J: Damien Oliver (55.5kg) T: James Cummings
5.565.565.36
9. Esta La Roca (6) J: Zac Spain (55kg) T: Lloyd Kennewell
6.565.56.56.26
10. The Natural (9) J: Luke Currie (55kg) T: T & C Mcevoy
161818211918

Odds Last Updated: February 27, 2021, 4:26am (AEDT)

Strong 955m race and I’m siding with a very fast mare off a spell in (2) Ms Catherine. Completely forgiving last prep where she changed stables and was sent to Queensland. Her most recent first up run for Dwyer was on a soft 6 over 1000m here where she ran 3rd to Iconic Star and Sansom, and her other two starts here were very good all the way wins in fast time, on good tracks, including a group 3. Her jumpout with Ancestry was electric and I think she’s going to ping the lids and run these into the ground first up.

 

(1) Sartorial Splendor is no slouch and did win first up at this T/D last prep when able to lead on his own, which I don’t think he’ll be able to do here. Nevertheless, he’s a chance if Ms Catherine doesn’t show up.

 

(8) Lesage ran some good races last prep and generally performs well fresh. She’s trialled very well in Sydney and although the 955m might be just a touch short, she’ll be hitting the line strongly from the back.

 

(9) Esta La Roca has been freshened which looks the right move. She was outclassed in a stronger 3yo race last start but walked in when able to dictate here two back.

Tip: (2) Ms Catherine- $4.50 at Sportsbet

Betting Strategy: 1.5 units WIN Ms Catherine

0

Race 5

Midway Concrete Kingdom (Bm64) (1200m)
8:30pm (AEDT)

Race 5

Midway Concrete Kingdom (Bm64) (1200m)
8:30pm (AEDT)

1. Snapper (7) J: Jye Mcneil (60.5kg) T: M D Moroney
2.933.12.92.853.2
2. Ice Ice Baby (2) J: Ms Jamie Kah (60kg) T: Ms W Kelly
6.5657.56.64.8
3. Savannah Cloud (5) J: Luke Nolen (60kg) T: P Stokes
2.252.252.252.22.252.3
4. Frankie Two Angels (10) J: Lachlan King (59.5kg) T: Denis Pagan
344141414534
5. Ilovethegame (6) J: Will Price (59.5kg) T: G Eurell
1517151716.216
6. Viscacha (11) J: Damien Oliver (59kg) T: James Cummings
7. Panagsama (3) J: Teodore Nugent (58.5kg) T: Paul Worthington
81918115110181
8. Born To Succeed (8) J: Thomas Stockdale (58kg) T: Saab Hasan
151151151201201126
9. Circle Of Magic (1) J: Luke Currie (57kg) T: M A Kavanagh
10. Zelify (4) J: Damian Lane (57kg) T: C J Waller
9.59.58.5109.48.5
11. Future Force (9) J: Dean Yendall (56.5kg) T: P & P Snowden

Odds Last Updated: February 27, 2021, 4:26am (AEDT)

It’s sick but I can’t go past (3) Savannah Cloud again. I’m convinced he should be 2/2 this prep, having covered a stack of ground first up at $1.40 behind one who was a moral beaten here. 2nd up he again racing wide but hit the line strongly behind a leader who got the perfect run on speed and has since raced 3 wide on speed in a group 3 and performed well all things considered. He’s wearing thin but with a good run in transit I just think he’s bursting to put a race away.

 

(1) Snapper led all the way at this T/D to break his maiden in dominant fashion. He did get every favour on a good night to lead but the win was very good, and he’ll go forward again.

 

(10) Zelify should appreciate the 1200m after starting hard in the market over 1000m here last start. Her only win was at 1200m where she won by 2L as an odds on chance when 2nd up. With Lane on she’s a chance.

 

(2) Ice Ice Baby gets Kah on and should appreciate the 1200m here 2nd up.

Tip: (3) Savannah Cloud- $2.30 at Sportsbet

Betting Strategy: 2.5 units WIN Savannah Cloud

0

Race 6

E.J. Whitten Foundation (Bm70) (2040m)
9:00pm (AEDT)

Race 6

E.J. Whitten Foundation (Bm70) (2040m)
9:00pm (AEDT)

1. Mr Reckless (3) J: Ms Madison Lloyd (62.5kg) T: R D Daniel
353441413634
2. Under Oath (7) J: Ms Alana Kelly (62.5kg) T: Henry Dwyer
1515161614.814
3. The Statesman (2) J: Campbell Rawiller (61kg) T: Brett Scott
313141343534
4. Larrikin (4) J: Will Price (59.5kg) T: Brian Mcgrath
1515171616.215
5. Sahar (10) J: Michael Dee (58.5kg) T: Patrick Payne
313441343834
6. Beau Balmain (8) J: Matthew Cartwright (58kg) T: J T Conlan
313441343134
7. Lorenzetti (11) J: Damien Oliver (57kg) T: Jamie Edwards
4.24.44.24.24.554.4
8. Snoano (6) J: Teodore Nugent (57kg) T: Aaron Purcell
2321212623.523
9. Comanche Brave (1) J: Beau Mertens (56kg) T: Julius Sandhu
2.72.72.62.72.452.7
10. Holster (5) J: Ms Jamie Kah (56kg) T: Amy & Ash Yargi
4.24.24.24.24.254
11. Kenzee River (9) J: Damien Thornton (55kg) T: Alan Hanrahan
353441414034

Odds Last Updated: February 27, 2021, 4:26am (AEDT)

(10) Holster has been racing consistently and boxed on well after leading over this trip last start. Kah keeps the ride and he can settle in a good spot from barrier 5, but he hasn’t exactly proven himself at this trip.

 

(9) Comanche Brave has ticked that box and led all the way at Sandown over 1800m last start. He raced against Holster and finished alongside that horse two back over 1600m after sitting OSL. Holster endured a tougher run back and wide against the bias and was the better run in my opinion, but Comanche Brave has further scope to improve and has run the distance.

 

(7) Lorenzetti will be the one finishing hard. He was off a year’s break but charged into 3rd over 1600m here first up. A bit wary of him 2nd up off that break but he’s certainly talented enough to win this.

 

(4) Larrikin next best off a good Sandown win.

Tip: (9) Comanche Brave- $3.60 at Bet365

Betting Strategy: No Bet

0

Race 7

Ranvet Summer Series (Bm78) (2500m)
9:30pm (AEDT)

Race 7

Ranvet Summer Series (Bm78) (2500m)
9:30pm (AEDT)

1. Fanciful Toff (3) J: Jye Mcneil (58kg) T: C Maher & D Eustace
3.93.93.943.854
2. Playoffs (9) J: John Allen (58kg) T: C Maher & D Eustace
6.56.566.56.66
3. Outlandos (10) J: Luke Currie (57kg) T: T & C Mcevoy
5.55554.955
4. Guns Ablazing (7) J: Ms Jamie Kah (56kg) T: Amy & Ash Yargi
4.54.64.44.84.74.6
5. Jukila (4) J: Ms Michelle Payne (55.5kg) T: Michelle Payne
2626312627.531
6. Horse For Higher (6) J: Will Price (55kg) T: Dan O'sullivan
273134343534
7. Perfect Illusion (2) J: Damian Lane (55kg) T: Mitchell Beer
8.58.5898.67
8. Kiptanui (5) J: Jarrod Fry (55kg) T: Ms W Kelly
111213121111
9. Double Bluff (1) J: Dean Yendall (55kg) T: Aaron Purcell
516171818361
10. Eaton (8) J: Teodore Nugent (55kg) T: M & L Cerchi
1819212019.621

Odds Last Updated: February 27, 2021, 4:26am (AEDT)

(3) Outlandos has won two in a row, both by big margins. He got every favour last start but did it easily. Can’t see the 2500m being a huge issue off that run, although he draws much wider tonight and might be forced to go back.

 

(7) Perfect Illusion was 4.8L off Outlandos when they met but definitely stays the trip and was again solid last start behind Shepard. Struggles to win but Lane sticks from barrier 2.

 

(2) Playoffs is coming off a solid 3rd at this T/D which might be the key. He boxed on well behind Starcaster, who won the Torney Night Cup at his next start.

 

(1) Fanciful Toff was only 2nd up when chasing Outlandos last start. 3rd up last prep he ran 2nd to Too Close The Sun in the Terang Cup which is very good form for a race like this. The 2500m will suit because he lacks a turn of foot.

Tip: (1) Fanciful Toff- $5.00 at Sportsbet

Betting Strategy: No Bet

0

Race 8

Adapt Aust. Summer Series-Bm78 (1200m)
10:00pm (AEDT)

Race 8

Adapt Aust. Summer Series-Bm78 (1200m)
10:00pm (AEDT)

1. Open Minded (9) J: Damien Thornton (60.5kg) T: A & S Freedman
4.24.24.24.44.354.2
2. Leiter (7) J: Lachlan King (59.5kg) T: M D Moroney
999.5109.69.5
3. Mystery Love (12) J: Jack Hill (59kg) T: Charlotte Littlefield
4. Magnajet (13) J: Thomas Stockdale (58kg) T: T Busuttin & N Young
5. Second Slip (4) J: Ms Jamie Kah (58kg) T: Will Clarken
6. Zoushack (5) J: Damian Lane (57.5kg) T: T Dabernig & B Hayes
2.252.152.22.22.12.15
7. Scottish Rogue (6) J: Luke Currie (57kg) T: T Busuttin & N Young
2331312629.531
8. Vongole (1) J: Michael Dee (57kg) T: E Jusufovic
8.58.5898.68
9. Queen Annabel (10) J: Ms Kate Walters (55kg) T: Ms R Kelly
313134343531
10. Madam Superior (3) J: Damien Oliver (55kg) T: M Cornish & Ms D Gaskin
8.5109.59.59.410
11. Ping Ping (2) J: Ms Sally Wynne (55kg) T: Sally Wynne
91101151151131126
12. Onslaught (8) J: Will Price (57kg) T: Shawn Mathrick
344141343834
13. Lucifer's Reward (11) J: Unknown (56kg) T: B J Mccarthy
2726262627.526

Odds Last Updated: February 27, 2021, 4:26am (AEDT)

Does look a race in two, with (6) Zoushack holding favouritism. He couldn’t reel in the leader at Caulfield two back when starting favourite but atoned with a gritty win down the straight last start. Gets Lane on from a good gate and is an obvious chance.

 

(1) Open Minded was the one to deny Zoushack at Caulfield after leading all the way, with Zoushack having every chance outside him. He backed up that effort with a dominant win in the Sale sprint, beating a fairly handy field. I know he started much longer than Zoushack when they met but the win since has swayed me his way. Thornton has ridden him perfectly at his last two and should be able to show the same urgency out of the gates to try and lead from barrier 9.

 

(2) Leiter has jumped out well after being freshened. He’s got a good first up record and whilst he can be very hit and miss, his best is good enough.

 

(10) Madam Superior next best coming off a win at this T/D last start in easier grade and chasing the smart Absolute Flirt the start prior.

 

Tip: (1) Open Minded- $3.20 at Sportsbet

Betting Strategy: 1 unit WIN Open Minded

Trent’s interest in the thoroughbred started out as a spark with Black Caviar, became a flame with Winx, and has now intensified into a burning obsession with Arcadia Queen. He started out throwing loose change on random trifectas at the pub, but it wasn’t long before he was watching replays and looking at sectionals, weights and markets. Trent specializes in Victorian racing and hopes his first winner as an owner is just around the corner.

Advertisement BoomBet
Advertisement Betfair

More in Racing Tips