Canterbury Racing Tips: Friday, February 26th

Race 1 Paul Lahood Funeral Serv. Mdn (1100m) 6:15pm (AEDT)
1. Forbes (17) J: Jason Collett (59kg) T: A & S Freedman	1.8	1.85	1.85	1.9	1.92	1.95
2. Fox Fighter (9) J: Glen Boss (57kg) T: David Payne	13	13	14	13	12.4	13
3. Mazu (15) J: Tommy Berry (57kg) T: P & P Snowden	9.5	10	10	9.5	9.3	7.5
4. Transformation (5) J: Nash Rawiller (57kg) T: James Cummings
5. Vega Prince (16) J: Keagan Latham (57kg) T: John Thompson	81	91	91	101	93	81
6. Vila Tinto (1) J: Sam Clipperton (57kg) T: Ms K Waugh	51	61	71	71	61	71
7. Emerald Bay (8) J: Tim Clark (55.5kg) T: G Waterhouse & A Bott
8. Camino Real (13) J: Ms Rachel King (55kg) T: James Cummings	6.5	7	7	6.5	6.3	9
9. In The Blink (3) J: Andrew Adkins (55kg) T: K A Lees	26	26	34	26	26.5	19
10. Jal Lei (10) J: Brenton Avdulla (55kg) T: J A O'shea	16	16	16	16	14.6	26
11. Nymph (2) J: Jeff Penza (55kg) T: G R Nickson	71	67	71	101	91	31
12. Peaceful Affair (12) J: Ms Alysha Collett (55kg) T: A J Cummings	61	67	67	101	71	23
13. Conrad (4) J: James Mcdonald (57kg) T: Ms K Waugh	7.5	7	6.5	7	7	13
14. Leading Lady (6) J: Ms Jess Taylor (55kg) T: P M Perry
15. Asternishing (7) J: Pietro Romeo (57kg) T: M A Bell
16. Yatsumi (18) J: Unknown (55kg) T: P & P Snowden
17. Russian Standard (11) J: Unknown (57kg) T: Mark Newnham
18. Otelo (14) J: Unknown (56.5kg) T: David Payne

Odds Last Updated: February 27, 2021, 4:26am (AEDT)

There are many debutants here, but all eyes will be fixed on (1) Forbes here as they look to target bigger things. His debut at Sandown was very good as he was run down by Blue Diamond placed Anamoe after looking the winner 100m out. The son of Capitalist has since trialled at Goulburn where he was given a good hit out, winning the trial by 9.7 lengths after a couple of hits with the persuader. With targets like the Black Opal and Golden Slipper, he would want to be running well and or winning this despite the wide draw. He looks a cut above.

(3) Mazu has trialled up nicely and looks a nice type going forward. Much like his rival Forbes he is drawn off the track but will likely follow him into the race as I expect them both to be going forward.

(7) Emerald Bay looks the best of the rest and will likely be in a forward position from a decent draw.

Tip: (1) Forbes $1.85

Betting Strategy: No Bet

Race 2 Tab (Bm64) (1200m) 6:45pm (AEDT)
1. Dubai Star (4) J: Sam Clipperton (61kg) T: G Waterhouse & A Bott	9.5	9	9	9.5	9.6	9
2. Patrolling (11) J: Brenton Avdulla (60.5kg) T: Joseph Pride	4.4	4.4	4.4	4.6	4.4	4.4
3. Investor (2) J: Ms Rachel King (60kg) T: G D Hickman	13	14	14	14	13.2	17
4. Jenga (8) J: Tommy Berry (60kg) T: M, W & J Hawkes	2.9	2.8	2.8	2.9	2.9	3
5. Hinchbeast (6) J: Joshua Parr (59.5kg) T: Bjorn Baker	9	9	9	9.5	8.2	6.5
6. Long Weekend (10) J: Jason Collett (59kg) T: G Portelli	12	12	14	13	11.8	12
7. Orpheum (1) J: Andrew Adkins (59kg) T: R J Quinton	16	17	19	19	18	12
8. Sammy (3) J: Nash Rawiller (59kg) T: K A Lees	7.5	7.5	7.5	7.5	7.6	9
9. Seleque (9) J: James Mcdonald (59kg) T: C J Waller
10. Don Luigi (7) J: Glen Boss (58.5kg) T: K J Parker	34	41	61	41	41	81
11. Major Murphy (5) J: Ms Louise Day (58.5kg) T: C Maher & D Eustace

Odds Last Updated: February 27, 2021, 4:26am (AEDT)

With nominations down the track for the Group 1 Coolmore Legacy and the Group 2 Arrowfield Sprint, the daughter of All Too Hard will need to make light work of her opposition here. (4) Jenga was scratched from last Friday likely due to the barrier draw but it may have also been because of the predicted rain which never came. She is drawn much better here to either box seat or lead with her good gate speed and only stepping up to a benchmark 64 looks an ideal move. She cruised to a victory in her lone race start and is definitely capable of better.

(9) Seleque is coming off a nice win at Warwick Farm which has seen the form stand up nicely. She won’t be leading here but will get a nice run should she choose to follow Jenga across. It is likely she will come on nicely from that run and is good each-way odds for the exotics.

(2) Patrolling is another who should be in the front group but will likely settle just off them. He has had two nice trials in the lead up to this and should be forward enough to be competitive.

Tip: (4) Jenga $3.00

Betting Strategy: 1 unit WIN Jenga FIXED

Race 3 Iron Jack (Bm64) (1900m) 7:15pm (AEDT)
1. Mightybeel (9) J: James Mcdonald (60kg) T: C J Waller	2.6	2.6	2.7	2.7	2.7	3
2. Duty (12) J: Joshua Parr (59.5kg) T: J A O'shea	6	6	6.5	6	5.7	7.5
3. Macleay (8) J: Tim Clark (58.5kg) T: G Ryan & S Alexiou
4. Van Gogh (4) J: Brenton Avdulla (58.5kg) T: G Waterhouse & A Bott	11	10	9.5	10	10	8.5
5. Enduring Night (5) J: Ms Jess Taylor (57.5kg) T: J C Coyle	11	11	13	11	11.8	10
6. Yiyi (2) J: Jason Collett (57.5kg) T: C J Waller	3.8	3.6	3.7	3.7	3.6	7
7. Avion Fury (10) J: Sam Clipperton (56.5kg) T: Glen Thompson	35	41	41	41	40	31
8. Private Detective (6) J: Ms Rachel King (56.5kg) T: G D Hickman	35	41	41	41	39	21
9. Ossabuco (1) J: Nash Rawiller (56kg) T: C J Waller	17	18	19	19	16.8	19
10. Mandalong Beyond (3) J: Andrew Banks (55.5kg) T: G R Nickson	51	51	51	61	59	21
11. Big Angel (11) J: Tommy Berry (54kg) T: C J Waller
12. Boom And Zoom (7) J: Ms Louise Day (54kg) T: Natalie Jarvis	23	26	26	26	29	14

Odds Last Updated: February 27, 2021, 4:26am (AEDT)

(1) Mightybeel does look the one here after an impressive 4.75 lengths win here a fortnight ago to break his maiden status. It was a well-timed ride by James McDonald, starting his run at the 600m mark and he had put the race to bed as they entered the straight. I am expecting something similar here despite an awkward draw. I have him settling sixth off the fence which will be perfect to replicate his last start performance and he gives every indication that 1900m will suit him down to the ground.

(4) Van Gogh will likely lead this race from a favourable draw and if it is hard to make ground, he will look the one. He has been running around in the country/provincials and needs to take the next step to be competitive.

(2) Duty isn’t well off at the weights, but he proved last start that this sort of distance range won’t worry him. Josh Parr is aboard which is a master move and will likely head forward also from the wide draw.

Tip: (1) Mightybeel $3.05

Betting Strategy: 2 units WIN Mightybeel FIXED

Race 4 The Agency Real Estate (Bm72) (1250m) 7:45pm (AEDT)
1. Exceltic (1) J: Tom Sherry (60.5kg) T: G Portelli	4.6	4.6	4.2	4	4.55	4.4
2. Nindamos (11) J: Brandon Griffiths (59.5kg) T: Anthony Mountney	41	51	51	51	45	26
3. What Could Be (2) J: Chris Williams (59kg) T: D I Atkins	16	16	17	17	17.2	11
4. Jailbreak (10) J: Anthony Cavallo (58kg) T: Kody Nestor	6	6	5.5	6.5	6.6	6
5. Phemonoe (9) J: James Mcdonald (57.5kg) T: James Cummings	7	7	7	7	6.6	6
6. Born A Warrior (7) J: Tommy Berry (56.5kg) T: M, W & J Hawkes	3.2	3.2	3.3	3.4	3.15	4.4
7. Nordicus (8) J: Nash Rawiller (56.5kg) T: A J Cummings
8. Budhwar (5) J: Ms Louise Day (55.5kg) T: Brooke Somers	17	17	20	19	18.8	26
9. Grenado (4) J: Jason Collett (55.5kg) T: C J Waller	21	21	26	21	21	8
10. Noble Soldier (3) J: Brock Ryan (55.5kg) T: R & L Price	6.5	6.5	8	8	6.7	15
11. Newtown Is Coming (6) J: Unknown (54kg) T: E & L Longmire

Odds Last Updated: February 27, 2021, 4:26am (AEDT)

Taking the risk a bit here with (10) Noble Soldier up in grade but he comes out of a nice 1000m race at Goulburn and ran some terrific figures late to miss out by around half a length in second. They have drawn well here so it wouldn’t surprise me to see them in a more prominent position, especially with the massive weight drop from 59.5kg to 53.5kg with the claim of Brock Ryan. He enters his third run this preparation and the step up in distance is probably the right move. He is worth an each-way bet.

(4) Jailbreak is returning after two solid trials at Dubbo and should be ready to go first-up. His run at Kensington before his break is one to forget for punters after being backed in and should find this an easier race. He will run a credible race and I am eager to see him return.

(6) Born A Warrior comes into the mix if the track plays fairly.

Tip: (10) Noble Soldier $7.10/$2.40 E/W

Betting Strategy: 0.5 unit WIN Noble Soldier FIXED, 1 unit WIN Noble Soldier FIXED

Race 5 M&G Seafood (Bm72) (1900m) 8:15pm (AEDT)
1. Selica (14) J: Ms Louise Day (60.5kg) T: Annabel Neasham
2. Major Artie (10) J: Nash Rawiller (60kg) T: G Waterhouse & A Bott	4.2	4.5	4.4	4.4	4.6	4.4
3. Dalmatia Prince (12) J: Ms Mikayla Weir (59.5kg) T: T S Howlett	16	16	16	17	17.2	10
4. Fill Of Fun (4) J: Tommy Berry (56.5kg) T: A J Cummings	3.8	3.8	4	3.8	3.95	5
5. Lamu (3) J: Jay Ford (56.5kg) T: Ms G Englebrecht	35	41	34	41	41	26
6. Main Stage (13) J: Joshua Parr (56.5kg) T: Ms G Markwell	15	14	15	16	14.2	34
7. Mars (5) J: Chris Williams (56.5kg) T: L J Bridge	5.5	5	5	5.5	5.1	6
8. He's A Given (7) J: Keagan Latham (56kg) T: C E Conners	18	19	19	21	19.4	17
9. Impactful (9) J: James Mcdonald (56kg) T: C J Waller	10	9.5	10	10	9.3	8.5
10. Newtown Bluebag (11) J: Sam Clipperton (56kg) T: E & L Longmire	19	18	19	19	19.2	18
11. Undoubted (2) J: Ms Alysha Collett (55.5kg) T: J C Coyle	8.5	8.5	7.5	9	8.5	8
12. Landstrasse (6) J: Brock Ryan (54kg) T: G Mcfarlane	71	81	81	101	75	101
13. Enduring Night (8) J: Unknown (54kg) T: J C Coyle
14. Duty (1) J: Brenton Avdulla (55.5kg) T: J A O'shea

Odds Last Updated: February 27, 2021, 4:26am (AEDT)

(4) Fill of Fun is coming off a nice run 9 days ago where he took Toscanini all the way to the line, going down by just over half a length in third. The run before I put a line through as he isn’t a back marker and was ridden upside down due to his barrier draw. He gets a nice barrier to sit prominently once again and will likely hold the rails throughout whether that be in the lead or just behind the leader. He has come up nice odds once again and with Tommy Berry aboard, does look a bet once again.

(2) Major Artie just keeps stepping up and fighting like a bulldog. He goes up 1.5kg from his win here over 1550m last time out and will be looking for a hat-trick of wins. 1900m shouldn’t be an issue for his toughness and should be thereabouts again.

(3) Dalmatia Prince goes into the numbers at good each-way odds based on his likely map and the weight he will have to carry after the claim. Good selection for the exotics.

Tip: (4) Fill of Fun $5.50

Betting Strategy: 1 unit WIN Fill of Fun FIXED

Race 6 Kia Cbury Sprint Final-Bm78 (1100m) 8:45pm (AEDT)
1. All Cylinders (12) J: Ms Rachel King (61kg) T: Peter Robl	21	21	20	21	23.5	12
2. Perigord (14) J: Tim Clark (60kg) T: G Ryan & S Alexiou	26	31	31	31	35	17
3. Broken Arrows (8) J: James Mcdonald (59.5kg) T: David Pfieffer	17	17	18	19	18.8	17
4. He's A Hotshot (2) J: Joshua Parr (59.5kg) T: Bjorn Baker
5. Cardiff (9) J: James Innes Jnr (58.5kg) T: Kody Nestor	7	7.5	7.5	8	7.8	8.5
6. Liberty Sun (10) J: Nash Rawiller (57.5kg) T: G Mcfarlane
7. Partners (6) J: Brock Ryan (56.5kg) T: S I Singleton	18	17	19	18	19.2	12
8. Stellar Pauline (4) J: Sam Clipperton (56kg) T: P & P Snowden	17	16	17	19	18.8	9
9. Lunar Tramp (3) J: Ms Louise Day (54.5kg) T: J C Coyle	15	15	15	15	15	14
10. Crafty Tycoon (7) J: Jason Collett (54.5kg) T: David Pfieffer	31	34	41	41	41	31
11. Najmah (1) J: Tommy Berry (54kg) T: M, W & J Hawkes	1.5	1.5	1.55	1.5	1.45	2.7
12. Rustic Steel (11) J: Brenton Avdulla (54kg) T: K A Lees
13. Tessera (5) J: Unknown (54kg) T: Richard Litt	71	101	101	101	101	81
14. What Could Be (13) J: Chris Williams (56kg) T: D I Atkins

Odds Last Updated: February 27, 2021, 4:26am (AEDT)

This is a cracking race and looks like one where you should go wide in the quaddie.

(11) Najmah goes on top purely from a talent standpoint. She looks a nice type though she has come up too short to touch. She showed her talent last preparation with big wins at Kembla Grange and then in town here at Canterbury, stamping herself as one to watch. This does look a danger race if she runs (nominated for other races) as there is plenty of speed and she will likely get buried on the rail. I have no doubt with the right run, she wins, but will she get that run?

(12) Rustic Steel is another who is destined for better than this and the stable have nominated him for the Arrowfield Sprint down the track. His debut at Randwick was brilliant beating home a couple who have performed well in town since. When you see the draw you automatically think negatively but with the amount of speed, but he should be able to slot in somewhere and come home nicely.

(9) Lunar Tramp is one who will love the speed on and be coming home well providing the track plays fair. She is a nice each-way chance.

Tip: (11) Najmah $2.20

Betting Strategy: No Bet

Race 7 Pfd Food Services (Bm72) (1550m) 9:15pm (AEDT)
1. Above And Beyond (7) J: Ms Louise Day (61kg) T: G Portelli	6	6	6	5.5	6.1	5
2. Saffiano (6) J: Tom Sherry (60kg) T: Annabel Neasham	6.5	6.5	6.5	6.5	6.3	8
3. Knowitall Jack (12) J: Unknown (59.5kg) T: Mark Newnham
4. Strange Charm (9) J: Nash Rawiller (59.5kg) T: A J Cummings	2.7	2.8	2.9	2.7	2.75	5
5. Napoleon Solo (8) J: Unknown (59kg) T: P & P Snowden
6. Foxborough (1) J: Tommy Berry (58.5kg) T: J G Sargent	4.4	4.2	4.4	4.2	4.35	5
7. Glamour Fox (5) J: Jason Collett (57kg) T: Clare Cunningham
8. Renalot (2) J: Clayton Gallagher (56kg) T: Roy L Mccabe	18	21	20	21	21.5	15
9. Grace Augusta (10) J: Ms Alysha Collett (54kg) T: David Pfieffer	35	34	34	51	36	31
10. Hercules Mo (3) J: Brock Ryan (54kg) T: G Mcfarlane	23	26	34	26	23.5	41
11. Weekend Affair (4) J: Ms Rachel King (54kg) T: J C Coyle	8	8	8	8	7.6	17
12. Charlie's Law (11) J: Jeff Penza (54kg) T: G Mcfarlane	81	91	91	151	111	81

Odds Last Updated: February 27, 2021, 4:26am (AEDT)

(4) Strange Charm goes on top in the last race of the night after failing in Saturday grade about a month ago. The daughter of Casino Prince had the run of the race behind eventual winner Invinciano but when asked to produce, she produced very little and drifted back to finish ninth. Back in grade here with the sting out of the ground suits and she looks the likely leader without any issues. Nash should be able to cuddle her throughout before accelerating on the bend and putting this race to bed.

(1) Above and Beyond got close last start but missed out by under half a length in a brilliant effort. He looks to get a good run here and with the 2kg claim, he comes in nicely though the soft ground and potential rain may work against her.

(2) Saffiano is the best of the rest in a pretty thin end to the night.

Tip: (4) Strange Charm $4.20

Betting Strategy: No Bet