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Moonee Valley Racing Tips: Friday, March 25th

Billy Bestford previews his best bets on William Reid Stakes night.

Moonee Valley tips

We’ve got group 1 racing this Friday night at Moonee Valley with the running of the William Reid Stakes highlighting the card.

There’s eight races across the night on what looks a really interesting meeting for the punters. Does track specialist Marabi make it eight straight or is there one at value who can spoil the party?

The track is rated a good 4 with the rail in the true position.

Billy Bestford highlights his best bets of the night, including a preview of the William Reid stakes in Race 7.

Moneyball

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Race 1

Carlton Draught Emma Boling (1200m)
6:15pm (AEDT)

Race 1

Carlton Draught Emma Boling (1200m)
6:15pm (AEDT)

1. He's Xceptional (5) J: Brett Prebble (58kg) T: T Busuttin & N Young
141414
2. Zarastro (4) J: Craig Williams (57.5kg) T: C J Waller
2.82.82.7
3. Able Willie (6) J: Ms Jamie Kah (56kg) T: C J Waller
3.33.32.85
4. Growl (2) J: John Allen (55kg) T: C Maher & D Eustace
4.54.24.5
5. Deprivation (7) J: Jye Mcneil (55kg) T: M Price & M Kent Jnr
141314.6
6. Ice Pick Nick (3) J: Ms Linda Meech (55kg) T: C Maher & D Eustace
76.56.9
7. Cesar Bessan (1) J: Bruno Neto (55kg) T: B M Cole
301201321

Odds Last Updated: March 25, 2022, 6:15pm (AEDT)

Very keen to start the night with (2) Zarastro who was a forgive run last start up the Flemington straight. Got a bit lost there and pulled up lame but had trialled up really strongly in the lead up to that. Started $2.40 there in what was a stronger race than this. Can hit back now!

I’ve never really been one to jump on the hype around (3) Able Willie and he’s been a tad disappointing this prep. Have to respect the SP profile and he is now 4th up and hard fit. Maps for a good run with Kah taking over.

(1) He’s Exceptional brings some strong form lines and will enjoy getting back to The Valley where his record is good.

Tip: (2) Zarastro - $2.88 at Moneyball

Betting Strategy: 2u WIN Zarastro

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Race 2

Ascend Sales Trophies (Bm64) (1200m)
6:45pm (AEDT)

Race 2

Ascend Sales Trophies (Bm64) (1200m)
6:45pm (AEDT)

1. Jucconi (11) J: Ms Madison Lloyd (61.5kg) T: T & C Mcevoy
2.92.82.7
2. Agrimony (5) J: Thomas Stockdale (61kg) T: C J Waller
101010
3. Point Blaze (7) J: Ms Laura Lafferty (61kg) T: Shayne Cahill
5.55.55.6
4. Maldestro (2) J: Josh Richards (60.5kg) T: A W Keenan
161517.2
5. My Boy Nick (8) J: John Robertson (60.5kg) T: Ms J Wicks
343134
6. Sweet Karolina (10) J: Damien Oliver (60.5kg) T: L & T Corstens
665.7
7. El Salto (3) J: Brenton Avdulla (60kg) T: Brent Stanley
212117.2
8. Aminatu (1) J: Ms Alana Kelly (59kg) T: T Rogers
4.84.64.6
9. Mister Monaro (6) J: Beau Mertens (59kg) T: Rod Grantley
161616.2
10. Skywolf (9) J: Jye Mcneil (59kg) T: M, W & J Hawkes
11. Tycoon Beau (4) J: Jamie Mott (59kg) T: Ben & J D Hayes

Odds Last Updated: March 25, 2022, 6:49pm (AEDT)

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Race 3

Pfd Food Services Valley Pearl (1200m)
7:15pm (AEDT)

Race 3

Pfd Food Services Valley Pearl (1200m)
7:15pm (AEDT)

1. Bello Beau (3) J: Brendon Mccoull (58kg) T: Adam Trinder
43.94
2. Sir Bailey (7) J: Ben Allen (58kg) T: C Maher & D Eustace
141315.2
3. Psychiatrist (10) J: Brenton Avdulla (58kg) T: G Ryan & S Alexiou
77.57.6
4. Crosswinds (8) J: Mark Zahra (58kg) T: A & S Freedman
5.564.8
5. Sketched (5) J: Craig Newitt (58kg) T: M Price & M Kent Jnr
181819.2
6. Cannon (11) J: Jye Mcneil (58kg) T: M, W & J Hawkes
7. Nanagui (4) J: Ms Jamie Kah (56kg) T: P G Moody
3.13.13.15
8. All Sassed Up (6) J: Damien Oliver (56kg) T: M Price & M Kent Jnr
202016.6
9. Wicklow Lass (2) J: Blaike Mcdougall (56kg) T: Tom Dabernig
121310
10. Incorporation (1) J: Harry Coffey (56kg) T: S Fliedner
151101111
11. La Danseuse Rouge (9) J: John Allen (56kg) T: C I Brown
313422.5

Odds Last Updated: March 25, 2022, 7:19pm (AEDT)

(7) Nanagui is unlucky not to have won at least one of her two starts this prep. She’s clearly talented and 3rd up now with race fitness on side she is ready to win. She ran good late sectionals last start over this trip and there looks speed a planty again here so she should be suited and just needs the gaps at the right time.

(3) Psychiatrist is going to be much better suited back on top of the ground and this is easier than the Todman which he comes out of. Was dominant from the front fresh over this trip and I’d expect similar tactics tonight on a track which is usually advantageous to be on speed.

(1) Bello Beau is interesting coming up from Tasmania with an undefeated record. Usually goes forward and has run good time in those recent wins.

(4) Crosswinds is on the up following a dominant debut win when well supported.

Tip: (7) Nanagui - $3.40 at Bet365

Betting Strategy: 1u WIN Nanagui

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Race 4

Bmd Group Sunline Stakes (1600m)
7:45pm (AEDT)

Race 4

Bmd Group Sunline Stakes (1600m)
7:45pm (AEDT)

1. Shout The Bar (6) J: Mark Zahra (57kg) T: G Waterhouse & A Bott
151612.6
2. Quantum Mechanic (7) J: Ms Jamie Kah (57kg) T: M Price & M Kent Jnr
8.597.2
3. Flying Mascot (3) J: Blaike Mcdougall (57kg) T: Tom Dabernig
1.61.551.62
4. Bonvicini (1) J: Jye Mcneil (57kg) T: C Maher & D Eustace
212019.6
5. Bound To Win (2) J: Damien Oliver (57kg) T: P & P Snowden
313130
6. Groovy Kinda Love (5) J: Brett Prebble (57kg) T: M C Kent
192121.5
7. Barb Raider (4) J: Craig Williams (54kg) T: Jerome Hunter
4.24.44.1

Odds Last Updated: March 25, 2022, 7:50pm (AEDT)

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Race 5

Ladbrokes 55Sec Chall-Fnl-Bm90 (955m)
8:15pm (AEDT)

Race 5

Ladbrokes 55Sec Chall-Fnl-Bm90 (955m)
8:15pm (AEDT)

1. Yulong Command (1) J: Thomas Stockdale (60kg) T: A & S Freedman
3.13.23
2. Bless Her (5) J: Ms Jamie Kah (58.5kg) T: Clayton Douglas
555.4
3. Esta La Roca (4) J: Josh Richards (57.5kg) T: Lloyd Kennewell
4.24.23.9
4. Grandview Avenue (6) J: Teodore Nugent (57.5kg) T: K M Elford
614145
5. Spaceboy (8) J: Brenton Avdulla (57kg) T: G Portelli
10108.6
6. Lady Solly (7) J: Dean Holland (56.5kg) T: Adam Chambers
111011.2
7. Young Liam (3) J: Jordan Childs (55kg) T: M & L Cerchi
6.577
8. The Last Napoleon (2) J: Craig Williams (55kg) T: Kylie Vella
161712.8
9. Pravro (9) J: Ms Alana Kelly (55kg) T: Ms G Johnstone
313128.5

Odds Last Updated: March 25, 2022, 8:20pm (AEDT)

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Race 6

Chandler Macleod (Bm64) (2040m)
8:45pm (AEDT)

Race 6

Chandler Macleod (Bm64) (2040m)
8:45pm (AEDT)

1. Inverell (2) J: Ms Jamie Kah (61kg) T: Clayton Douglas
22.051.94
2. Austrata (11) J: Thomas Stockdale (60.5kg) T: C J Waller
3. Frankenstar (10) J: John Allen (60.5kg) T: Ms K Durden
171419.2
4. Poleaxed (6) J: Ben Allen (60.5kg) T: K & K Keys
4.244
5. Cuffe's Grange (3) J: Jye Mcneil (60kg) T: G W Egan
87.58.6
6. French War (5) J: Mark Zahra (59.5kg) T: M Price & M Kent Jnr
7. Mischinka (1) J: Ms Madison Lloyd (59kg) T: Ben Brisbourne
141415.2
8. Look Sharpish (8) J: Robbie Downey (58.5kg) T: L & T Corstens
6.56.55.8
9. Pierro Rosso (9) J: Will Gordon (58.5kg) T: Logan Mcgill
343429
10. Asternishing (4) J: Beau Mertens (56kg) T: M A Bell
343127.5
11. Rockin' Zain (7) J: Jordan Childs (55.5kg) T: Jerome Hunter

Odds Last Updated: March 25, 2022, 8:49pm (AEDT)

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Race 7

3 Point Motors William Reid (1200m)
9:15pm (AEDT)

Race 7

3 Point Motors William Reid (1200m)
9:15pm (AEDT)

1. Trekking (4) J: Damien Oliver (58.5kg) T: James Cummings
212618.4
2. Jonker (14) J: Craig Newitt (58.5kg) T: T J Gollan
202020
3. The Inferno (7) J: Mark Zahra (58.5kg) T: C I Brown
4. Kemalpasa (12) J: Jake Toeroek (58.5kg) T: R & C Jolly
141215.2
5. The Astrologist (1) J: Fred Kersley (58.5kg) T: L & T Corstens
131213.2
6. Halvorsen (15) J: Andrew Mallyon (58.5kg) T: R Griffiths & M De Kock
343436
7. Standout (3) J: Brenton Avdulla (58.5kg) T: G Ryan & S Alexiou
262621.5
8. September Run (11) J: Craig Williams (56.5kg) T: C J Waller
121210
9. Marabi (8) J: Ben Allen (56.5kg) T: C Maher & D Eustace
1.81.851.82
10. Electric Girl (10) J: Jye Mcneil (56.5kg) T: M, W & J Hawkes
919163
11. General Beau (6) J: Damien Thornton (56kg) T: M J Ellerton
313127
12. Generation (2) J: Ms Jamie Kah (56kg) T: C Maher & D Eustace
76.56.6
13. Marine One (13) J: John Allen (56kg) T: C Maher & D Eustace
14. Zouzarella (9) J: Brett Prebble (54kg) T: A & S Freedman
414130
15. Snapper (5) J: Jordan Childs (58.5kg) T: M D Moroney
413430

Odds Last Updated: March 25, 2022, 9:19pm (AEDT)

The feature race of the night sees a good mix of sprinters go head to head with the exciting Marabi the one who everyone will be watching.

(9) Marabi is now unbeaten through seven career starts and absolutely loves racing here at The Valley. She ticked off the G1 box last start, leading throughout for a reasonably comfortable win in the Oakleigh Plate. Her last three wins here at this track have been by a combined 12L! Will go to the lead and she is nearly impossible to get past with such a high cruising speed and ability to rail around this tight track. Think she makes it 8/8.

(8) September Run is a tough horse to assess because we haven’t seen her at her best for a while. The first up run in the Newmarket was good and I get the sense we could see her return to form here. Will get back from the wide gate and sure to be charging late.

(5) The Astrologist ran 2nd in that Newmarket and usually gives himself every chance up near the speed. No doubt he’ll be trying to keep Marabi in his sights and I just think he’s super genuine.

(12) Generation has bene very well backed and is another very honest horse. Hasn’t missed the trifecta in all seven career runs and loves The Valley. 3rd up now he’s ready to peak.

(2) Jonker is worth forgiving out of the Oakleigh Plate when pulling up with post race issues. Won the Manikato here last prep.

I do think Marabi is extremely hard to beat but probably want $2 for her. With that in mind I’m happy to have something on September run each way.

Tip: (8) September Run - $12/$3.20 at Ladbrokes

Betting Strategy: 0.25u/0.5u EACH WAY September Run

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Race 8

Dynamic Print Alexandra Stakes (1600m)
9:45pm (AEDT)

Race 8

Dynamic Print Alexandra Stakes (1600m)
9:45pm (AEDT)

1. Bon's A Pearla (10) J: Brett Prebble (59kg) T: K L Corstens
8.58.58.5
2. Daisies (1) J: Mark Zahra (58kg) T: M Price & M Kent Jnr
6.576.5
3. Ancient Girl (9) J: Ben Allen (57kg) T: C W Mcdonald
4.64.64.65
4. Tilianam (8) J: Damien Oliver (57kg) T: G Waterhouse & A Bott
313129
5. Douceur (3) J: Michael Dee (56kg) T: Patrick Payne
141412.6
6. Fortunate Kiss (7) J: Harry Coffey (56kg) T: Daniel Bowman
998.9
7. Maracana (6) J: Ms Jamie Kah (56kg) T: D T O'brien
98.57.5
8. So You See (5) J: Jamie Mott (56kg) T: M D Moroney
3.63.53.55
9. Quite The Lass (4) J: Patrick Moloney (56kg) T: D R Brideoake
818183
10. Always On My Mind (2) J: Jye Mcneil (56kg) T: Ben & J D Hayes
11109.3
11. Extreme Emotion (11) J: Craig Newitt (56kg) T: K Hann

Odds Last Updated: March 25, 2022, 9:49pm (AEDT)

(8) So You See looks a great way to close out the night off the back of an unlucky 4th in the Kewney Stakes. That was just her 2nd career start and clearly she is very good. Debut win was huge and from a good barrier today I think she can win again.

(10) Always On My Mind is flying and I wish she’d drawn a wider gate here because she can let rip from the back of the pack. If she can get lucky from the law draw then I think she’s in with a huge chance.

If (3) Ancient Girl is here then she’s a big winning hope. Dominant in the Morphetville Guineas last start and split Barb Raider and Cardigan Queen two back. Goes forward and could be suited by the way this track can play.

(2) Daises was hard to miss flashing home for 4th on return. Gets a little drop in the weights for this and she’s one of the class horses in this field.

 

Tip: (8) So You See - $3.80 at Bet365

Also Backing: (10) Always On My Mind - $11 at Ladbrokes

Betting Strategy: 2u WIN So You See, 0.5u WIN Always On My Mind

Billy has been an avid racing fan ever since he and a few mates started a punters club once they turned 18. Following the initial punters clubs, he was properly hooked after landing a nice collect on Admire Rakti in the 2014 Caulfield Cup and has had a soft spot for Japanese horses ever since. Is a massive fan of 'blinkers first time' and has been known to enjoy a 'Hail Mary' multi. Loves punting across metro Sydney and Melbourne every Saturday but isn't scared to venture West late in the day to find a Pikey special.

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