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Mornington Racing Tips: Saturday, March 26th

Billy Bestford previews every race on Mornington Cup Day.

Mornington Racing tips

Saturday racing in Victoria heads to Mornington for their feature meeting of the year, headlined by the Mornington Cup over 2400m. It’s a solid field engaged this year so let’s hope we can find a few winners throughout the day.

The track is rated a good 4 with the rail in the true position. Fine weather is forecast so we should have perfect racing conditions today.

Billy Bestford is back once again to preview every race on the program including his best bet and value bet for the day.

Best Bet: Race 7 – (2) Signore Fox

Best Value: Race 3 – (7) Belsielle

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Race 1

Asset Painting Services (Bm70) (1200m)
12:30pm (AEDT)

Race 1

Asset Painting Services (Bm70) (1200m)
12:30pm (AEDT)

1. Brazen Song (4) J: Thomas Stockdale (63kg) T: S P Nichols
7.588.1
2. Merlin's Charm (2) J: Ben Allen (60.5kg) T: Ms W Kelly
3. Cirrina (8) J: Logan Mcneil (60kg) T: M D Moroney
2.82.62.45
4. Quintello (6) J: Teodore Nugent (58.5kg) T: C Maher & D Eustace
2.62.452.75
5. Teramia (3) J: Ethan Brown (58.5kg) T: M M Laurie
131310.6
6. Aminatu (1) J: Josh Richards (58kg) T: T Rogers
7. La Rocque (7) J: Jamie Mott (58kg) T: John Mcardle
55.54.85
8. Irascible Miss (5) J: Ms Alana Kelly (55.5kg) T: G A Osborne
191919

Odds Last Updated: March 26, 2022, 12:34pm (AEDT)

(4) Quintello is lightly raced and really came into her own last prep, winning two and running in the placings the other two. She’s better on the fresher side and was a dominant winner first up last time out.

(7) La Rocque was okay fresh off the back of some good trial work and she will be better for that run. Winner 2nd up in the past and if she can find her best form she isn’t out of this.

(2) Merlin’s Charm is flying and chasing her fourth straight win here. Was wide at The Valley but still to strong running down Cirrina.

(3) Cirrina was only grabbed late fresh by the horse above. Sure to take a stack of improvement out of that and likes racing here at Mornington.

Tip: (4) Quintello - $3.25 at BoomBet

Betting Strategy: 1u WIN Quintello

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Race 2

Cleanaway Sustainability Sires (1500m)
1:05pm (AEDT)

Race 2

Cleanaway Sustainability Sires (1500m)
1:05pm (AEDT)

1. Yaki Ishi (2) J: Craig Williams (58kg) T: R Griffiths & M De Kock
21.952
2. Belgian Black (6) J: Ben Allen (58kg) T: Jack Laing
191920.5
3. Highland Harley (5) J: Declan Bates (58kg) T: Liam Howley
313132
4. Virtuous Circle (8) J: Fred Kersley (58kg) T: Liam Howley
676745
5. Skyphios (7) J: Brett Prebble (58kg) T: R J Blacker
192015.6
6. Do It La (3) J: Blaike Mcdougall (56kg) T: P G Moody
2.12.151.98
7. Miss Cinnamoncider (1) J: Zac Spain (56kg) T: Nicholas Roe
101101111
8. New York Rose (4) J: Ethan Brown (56kg) T: M M Laurie
212023.5

Odds Last Updated: March 26, 2022, 1:09pm (AEDT)

(6) Do It La grinded away in the Sires last start and will enjoy rising the extra 100m here. Expect her to roll forward and I think she can turn the tables on the other favourite.

(1) Yaki Ishi was an enormous price last start in that same race but ran very well to finish 3rd. He’s still a maiden but clearly has upside and I’d be shocked if one of these two wasn’t winning.

The race really falls away here but (5) Skyphios and (8) New York Rose might the ones who can fill the minor money.

Tip: (6) Do It La - $2.15 at TopSport

Betting Strategy: No Bet

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Race 3

Ids Security (Bm78) (1000m)
1:40pm (AEDT)

Race 3

Ids Security (Bm78) (1000m)
1:40pm (AEDT)

1. Gold Spark (8) J: Rhys Mcleod (60kg) T: Nick Ryan
2. Midwest (10) J: Logan Mcneil (60kg) T: A & S Freedman
2.252.152.3
3. Destination (3) J: Damien Oliver (59.5kg) T: James Cummings
9.59.58.6
4. Lunar Hero (7) J: Josh Richards (59kg) T: D J Mccarthy
5. Starry Legend (6) J: Ms Carleen Hefel (59kg) T: J D Sadler
4.24.43.85
6. Yulong Knight (11) J: Adam Mccabe (58kg) T: R J Blacker
7. Belsielle (9) J: Brett Prebble (57kg) T: David & Coral Feek
111011.2
8. Little Stevie (4) J: Damien Thornton (57kg) T: Simon Zahra
141411.6
9. Forever Free (1) J: Michael Dee (56.5kg) T: M J Ellerton
9.5109.6
10. Yulong Defence (2) J: Zac Spain (56kg) T: P Stokes
7.57.57.3
11. The Cruiser (5) J: Ms Madison Lloyd (54kg) T: F Stockdale
819185

Odds Last Updated: March 26, 2022, 1:45pm (AEDT)

(2) Midwest is unbeaten through five starts since being gelded and has been running serious time at each outing. Goes to the lead and at such a high cruising speed he is incredibly tough to get past. Jockey knows the horse well and will rate him well once again.

(7) Belsielle has jumped out well and is usually a good fresh horse. Went to a new level last prep and off the back of a strong speed he can be the one who runs over the top of them.

(5) Starry Legend is smart and has jumped out in good order. Unbeaten from 2 goes fresh and loves 1000m. On best form he is hard to beat here.

I’ve liked the trials of (3) Destination and he’s a very good fresh horse. Stable is flying at the minute.

 

Tip: (7) Belsielle - $13 at Bet365

Betting Strategy: 0.5u WIN Belsielle

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Race 4

Catanachs Jewellers (Bm78) (1200m)
2:15pm (AEDT)

Race 4

Catanachs Jewellers (Bm78) (1200m)
2:15pm (AEDT)

1. Ashlor (10) J: Josh Richards (63kg) T: D J Mccarthy
2. Struck By (4) J: Logan Mcneil (61kg) T: Travis Doudle
3. Typhoon Harmony (8) J: Vlad Duric (60.5kg) T: Peter Gelagotis
99.57.4
4. Ginger Jones (6) J: Billy Egan (59.5kg) T: Andrew Noblet
262620.5
5. Rich Itch (7) J: Ms Madison Lloyd (59.5kg) T: Shawn Mathrick
677151
6. Can't Be Done (11) J: Damien Oliver (59kg) T: D T O'brien
9.599.4
7. Evening Glory (2) J: Damien Thornton (58kg) T: A & S Freedman
665.4
8. I Am Vinnie (13) J: Jake Noonan (58kg) T: David & Coral Feek
313129
9. Invincible Jet (9) J: Jordan Childs (57kg) T: G Waterhouse & A Bott
6.565.8
10. He's Xceptional (12) J: Brett Prebble (56.5kg) T: T Busuttin & N Young
151514.2
11. Jump The Broom (3) J: Jye Mcneil (56kg) T: M, W & J Hawkes
2.52.42.65
12. La Vina (5) J: Declan Bates (55.5kg) T: L Smith
131314.2
13. Vitruvius (1) J: Brett Prebble (54.5kg) T: P A Preusker
191920.5

Odds Last Updated: March 26, 2022, 2:20pm (AEDT)

Think (12) La Vina can run a race here at an EW price. Cracking fresh horse with three wins from four and a recent trial was very impressive. No doubt better on wet but in an open race I think she gets a nice run and can fill a hole.

(7) Evening Glory is flying, and very nearly won a tougher race than this fresh. Probably should have won last start at The Valley but racing pattern doesn’t help. The inside draw is a bit sticky here but with any luck he will go close.

(11) Jump The Broom is unbeaten from three career starts and clearly has the most upside in this. All three wins have come in the wet so we will see if she can do it on top of the ground now.

(10) He’s Exceptional is ready 3rd up and dropping significantly in grade. Wide draw is the query.

(3) Typhoon Harmony goes well first up and is ultra consistent. Sure to be right in this.

Tip: (12) La Vina - $15/$4 at Bet365

Betting Strategy: 0.25u/0.5u La Vina

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Race 5

Surdex Sheet And Coil (Bm84) (2000m)
2:55pm (AEDT)

Race 5

Surdex Sheet And Coil (Bm84) (2000m)
2:55pm (AEDT)

1. Beefeater (9) J: Billy Egan (60kg) T: Patrick Payne
919193
2. Wyclif (6) J: Jye Mcneil (60kg) T: D T O'brien
98.57.4
3. Rousseau (8) J: Damien Oliver (58kg) T: C J Waller
3.13.13
4. Eureka Street (11) J: John Allen (57kg) T: J Warren & D Krongold
171716.4
5. Constantinople (3) J: Declan Bates (56kg) T: Aaron Purcell
313123
6. Harmysian (1) J: Jake Noonan (56kg) T: Clayton Douglas
171715.4
7. Upswing (7) J: Michael Dee (55.5kg) T: Patrick Payne
8.59.59.6
8. Divine Diosa (10) J: Damien Thornton (54kg) T: Simon Zahra
887.2
9. Agnelli (4) J: Brett Prebble (54kg) T: C J Waller
555.3
10. Flossing (5) J: Craig Newitt (54kg) T: T Busuttin & N Young
9.58.59.2
11. Takumi (2) J: Blaike Mcdougall (54kg) T: Aaron Purcell
151413.6
12. Cetshwayo (12) J: Fred Kersley (54kg) T: P G Carey
716167

Odds Last Updated: March 26, 2022, 2:59pm (AEDT)

(3) Rousseau has been racing in great form and will enjoy getting up to 2000m here following a nice win last start over a shorter trip. The half length defeat to Crystal Pegasus two back looks strong enough form for this.

(2) Wycliff was a good winner in Adelaide two back and then solid enough in a stronger race at Caulfield. Looks well placed back in this grade.

(9) Agnelli has been in good form as well, starting in favourite in last two. Ran 2nd to Gentleman Roy three back and that form continues to stack up. He’s right in this.

(8) Divine Diosa is consistent and if there was any rain around would be right in the numbers.

Tip: (3) Rousseau - $3.30 at Ladbrokes

Betting Strategy: 1u WIN Rousseau

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Race 6

Neds Mornington Cup (2400m)
3:35pm (AEDT)

Race 6

Neds Mornington Cup (2400m)
3:35pm (AEDT)

1. Defibrillate (5) J: Billy Egan (59.5kg) T: Patrick Payne
87.57.9
2. Pondus (3) J: Michael Dee (59.5kg) T: Robert Hickmott
2.62.52.65
3. Sacramento (2) J: Damien Oliver (59kg) T: G Waterhouse & A Bott
66.55.2
4. Crystal Pegasus (7) J: Craig Williams (56kg) T: C J Waller
2.92.92.8
5. White Hawk (4) J: Declan Bates (54kg) T: Angela Brakey
262126.5
6. Dadoozdart (6) J: Jye Mcneil (54kg) T: M, W & J Hawkes
886.8
7. Corbulo (1) J: Damien Thornton (54kg) T: J Warren & D Krongold
126101131
8. Encosta Fiorente (8) J: Craig Newitt (54kg) T: J F Luttrell

Odds Last Updated: March 26, 2022, 3:39pm (AEDT)

(2) Pondus was dominant rising quickly to 2000m 2nd up and looks even better suited getting out to this trip now with two good runs under the belt. There looks to be enough tempo here to think he can be running on late again.

(4) Crystal Pegasus is a promising stayer and continues to just find a way to win. Looked even better when stepping up to 2600m last start but will just have to handle the slight drop in trip now.

(1) Defibrillate should be ready to peak now 3rd up and has been good this prep. If he runs 2400m he should be in the finish.

(3) Sacramento will lead these up and is next best.

Tip: (2) Pondus - $2.70 at Bet365

Betting Strategy: 1.5u WIN Pondus

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Race 7

Neds Hareeba Stakes (1200m)
4:15pm (AEDT)

Race 7

Neds Hareeba Stakes (1200m)
4:15pm (AEDT)

1. The Astrologist (2) J: Fred Kersley (60kg) T: L & T Corstens
4.44.64.6
2. Signore Fox (5) J: Damien Oliver (59kg) T: P & P Snowden
65.56
3. Sansom (12) J: Ben Allen (56.5kg) T: P Stokes
212019
4. Great Again (1) J: Declan Bates (55.5kg) T: L Smith
161518.2
5. Superium (10) J: Damien Thornton (54kg) T: M, W & J Hawkes
66.55.3
6. La Mexicana (11) J: Jye Mcneil (54kg) T: A & S Freedman
665.5
7. Hightail (4) J: Craig Williams (54kg) T: P & P Snowden
343427
8. Vainstream (8) J: Blaike Mcdougall (54kg) T: John Pascoe
262622.5
9. Chassis (3) J: Michael Dee (54kg) T: C Maher & D Eustace
6.577.1
10. Maritana (6) J: Ms Carleen Hefel (54kg) T: J R Welsh
161614.8
11. Not An Option (7) J: Patrick Moloney (54kg) T: M D Moroney
515138
12. Award Winner (9) J: Ms Linda Meech (54kg) T: A & S Freedman
121110.8

Odds Last Updated: March 26, 2022, 4:15pm (AEDT)

(2) Signore Fox looks a big price and very keen to see him resuming on a dry track. He can mix it with the top line sprinters on his day and has trialled up super for his return. He goes very well fresh and has been competitive in much stronger races than this.

(6) La Mexicana is a good 1200m horse and proved she’s up to this sort of grade last prep. She gets in nicely here down in the weights and will give a good sight.

Think (9) Chassis is a big watch having first start for Maher Eustace. If there’s money for her then take not.

(5) Superium won’t know himself down on 54kg and has been very good closing off in recent starts. Gets his chance here.

(7) Hightail is a big price and goes better with a run under the belt. Clearly not at best but could run a race from a nice draw.

Tip: (2) Signore Fox - $7.00 at TAB

Betting Strategy: 1u WIN Signore Fox

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Race 8

Quayclean Mornington Guineas (1600m)
4:55pm (AEDT)

Race 8

Quayclean Mornington Guineas (1600m)
4:55pm (AEDT)

1. Rhinoceros (4) J: Zac Spain (59kg) T: E & D Browne
181917
2. Daily Bugle (8) J: Damien Thornton (58kg) T: R Griffiths & M De Kock
192017.4
3. Blushing Tycoon (1) J: Craig Newitt (58kg) T: T Busuttin & N Young
111210.4
4. Zerelle (2) J: Brett Prebble (58kg) T: T Busuttin & N Young
121111.4
5. Sharp Response (10) J: Beau Mertens (57kg) T: Julius Sandhu
776.5
6. Jungle Magnate (6) J: Damien Oliver (57kg) T: M Price & M Kent Jnr
141511.6
7. Commander Harry (12) J: Ms Linda Meech (57kg) T: T Busuttin & N Young
131411.8
8. British Columbia (5) J: Jordan Childs (57kg) T: G M Begg
777.4
9. Reset The Jazz (13) J: Jamie Mott (57kg) T: Ben & J D Hayes
262620.5
10. Top Honours (3) J: Ben Allen (57kg) T: K & K Keys
343426.5
11. Kentahten (7) J: Jake Noonan (57kg) T: David & Coral Feek
343435
12. Ancient Girl (11) J: Jye Mcneil (56kg) T: C W Mcdonald
2.42.32.5
13. Saucey Horsey (9) J: John Allen (55kg) T: C Maher & D Eustace

Odds Last Updated: March 26, 2022, 4:59pm (AEDT)

I like (8) British Columbia getting to the mile now and is another who is lightly raced and progressive. Expect he will be up on the lead and could be tough to run past.

(5) Sharp Response comes out of the Aus Guineas and was solid enough there. Made good ground from the back and had been building nicely before that. Can hit back here.

If (12) Ancient Girl is here she goes very close. Found her groove this prep, winning twice and finishing 3rd to Barb Raider and Cardigan Queen. That form is very good for this and she’s well on the up.

(2) Daily Bugle can win if he finds his best. His early career form was very good and might be ready to show something again.

Tip: (8) British Columbia - $7.00 at TAB

Betting Strategy: 0.5u WIN British Columbia

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Race 9

No Fuss Event Hire (Bm78) (1600m)
5:35pm (AEDT)

Race 9

No Fuss Event Hire (Bm78) (1600m)
5:35pm (AEDT)

1. Trosettee (14) J: Billy Egan (61kg) T: Patrick Payne
121313.2
2. Barry The Baptist (15) J: Jamie Mott (60kg) T: P A Jones
1019195
3. Heavenly Emperor (10) J: Ben Allen (60kg) T: S V Brown
343426
4. Think 'N' Fly (12) J: Josh Richards (60kg) T: Tom Dabernig
109.58.6
5. Midships (9) J: Beau Mertens (59kg) T: D R Brideoake
615143
6. Rudimental (1) J: Damien Thornton (59kg) T: Simon Zahra
818157
7. Basarwa (6) J: Damien Oliver (58.5kg) T: D T O'brien
665.2
8. Major Artie (13) J: Jordan Childs (58.5kg) T: G Waterhouse & A Bott
7.578.1
9. Bee Tee Junior (4) J: Thomas Stockdale (58kg) T: Rachael Cunningham
151101161
10. Savannah Cloud (8) J: Zac Spain (58kg) T: P Stokes
3.63.63.75
11. Threeandfourpence (2) J: Jye Mcneil (58kg) T: C I Brown
131410.8
12. Jaffastock (5) J: Brett Prebble (57kg) T: T Busuttin & N Young
6.56.57.1
13. New Choice (7) J: Fred Kersley (56.5kg) T: C Vidotto & C Beasy
109.58.9
14. Confrontational (3) J: Ethan Brown (55.5kg) T: J Warren & D Krongold
15. It's Tornado Storm (11) J: Jake Noonan (55kg) T: A W Noonan
151416.2

Odds Last Updated: March 26, 2022, 5:40pm (AEDT)

Hard to ignore the form around (10) Savannah Cloud, finishing 3rd last start to Yonce and Gentleman Roy. They both won again last weekend. Savannah has only missed the placings once in 13 starts so he rarely runs a poor one. Will be up on speed and is rock hard fit now.

(7) Basarwa has to be in with a chance only finish 1L off SC last start. Maps for a lovely run here and sure to be a big threat.

(1) Trosette is an interesting runner having first start in Aus. Strung together four straight wins at end of last prep – How good? Any rain helps.

(12) Jaffastock is airborne and proven over the mile.

Tip: (10) Savannah Cloud - $3.90 at TAB

Betting Strategy: 1u WIN Savannah Cloud

Billy has been an avid racing fan ever since he and a few mates started a punters club once they turned 18. Following the initial punters clubs, he was properly hooked after landing a nice collect on Admire Rakti in the 2014 Caulfield Cup and has had a soft spot for Japanese horses ever since. Is a massive fan of 'blinkers first time' and has been known to enjoy a 'Hail Mary' multi. Loves punting across metro Sydney and Melbourne every Saturday but isn't scared to venture West late in the day to find a Pikey special.

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