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Mornington Racing Tips: Monday, October 19th

We’re racing at Mornington on Monday and “The Horse” makes his RacingBet debut with his best bets for the nine-race card.

We’re racing at Mornington on Monday and “The Horse” makes his RacingBet debut with his best bets for the nine-race card. He’s hoping to use a short-priced favourite in Race 3 as a multi-banker, before liking a couple of chances in Race 7 and Race 8. The day will hopefully finish on a high with his best bet coming in Race 9.

Sportsbet Sky Racing  TAB Sky Racing

0

Race 1

Tim Nagle Mdn Plate (2460m)
1:00pm (AEDT)

Race 1

Tim Nagle Mdn Plate (2460m)
1:00pm (AEDT)

1. Art Major (3) J: Ben Allen (59.5kg) T: Robert Kingston
2.252.32.152.15
2. My Buttons Bigger (7) J: Jordan Childs (59.5kg) T: Patrick Keane
31344334
3. Petrus (6) J: Jason Maskiell (59.5kg) T: Ms B Dunn
202118.421
4. Praise The Power (2) J: Chris Symons (59.5kg) T: Susie Wells
212623.523
5. Think Champayne (13) J: Ms Michelle Payne (59.5kg) T: Michelle Payne
13141214
6. Think Stars (12) J: Will Gordon (59.5kg) T: Steven Pateman
7. Twilight Zone (1) J: Michael Carson (59.5kg) T: B I Stanaway
8. Bloodwood (9) J: Jamie Mott (57.5kg) T: Scott Cameron
3.12.92.853.1
9. Classy One (8) J: Noel Callow (57.5kg) T: Wayne Walters
88.58.68
10. Co Host (10) J: Campbell Rawiller (57.5kg) T: D J Bourne
11. Masterkindu (11) J: Ms Lucinda Boyd (59.5kg) T: Henry Dwyer
13181314
12. Hard Squeeze (14) J: Craig Newitt (55kg) T: R D Griffiths
13. The Fettler (4) J: Zac Spain (59.5kg) T: Claire Patterson
81201131126
14. Doom Star (5) J: Jason Benbow (59.5kg) T: Jackson Pallot

Odds Last Updated: October 20, 2020, 12:52am (AEDT)

0

Race 2

Mercedes-Benz Mornington Mdn (1000m)
1:30pm (AEDT)

Race 2

Mercedes-Benz Mornington Mdn (1000m)
1:30pm (AEDT)

1. Digger Joe (2) J: Harry Grace (58kg) T: A W Noonan
111211.210
2. Liberalized (9) J: Campbell Rawiller (58kg) T: Logan Mcgill
3.53.33.33.2
3. Lovethewayyoulie (5) J: Liam Riordan (58kg) T: S V Brown
51815761
4. Mottram (11) J: Matthew Allen (58kg) T: R D Griffiths
5. Localchella (6) J: Jamie Kah (56kg) T: Levi Kavanagh
666.66
6. Pharaohsphere (4) J: Ethan Brown (56kg) T: D R Brideoake
2.72.72.652.9
7. Piccadilly Waltz (7) J: Daniel Moor (56kg) T: M Ellerton & S Zahra
7.587.18
8. Sotirio (1) J: Ms Michelle Payne (56kg) T: Michelle Payne
9. Ultra Instinct (3) J: Jordan Childs (56kg) T: M & L Cerchi
27414134
10. Abated (8) J: Ms Celine Gaudray (58kg) T: D R Brideoake
121310.211
11. Bond Girl (10) J: Unknown (56kg) T: R D Griffiths

Odds Last Updated: January 23, 2021, 7:16pm (AEDT)

0

Race 3

Modtech Mdn Plate (1200m)
2:00pm (AEDT)

Race 3

Modtech Mdn Plate (1200m)
2:00pm (AEDT)

1. Frazzled (13) J: Chris Symons (58kg) T: Logan Mcgill
2. Kookaburra (7) J: Matthew Cartwright (58kg) T: S P Nichols
41914541
3. Koscina (9) J: Lachlan Neindorf (58kg) T: J T Conlan
4. Ma'chanel (8) J: Joe Bowditch (58kg) T: Ms M Cid
126501321101
5. Miss Bellerente (1) J: Craig Newitt (58kg) T: G A Osborne
34814523
6. Shoot 'N' Run (3) J: Jake Noonan (58kg) T: J Warren & D Krongold
7. Speed Cube (5) J: Jason Benbow (58kg) T: Ms J E Taylor
6115110161
8. Transpolar (2) J: Jamie Kah (58kg) T: James Cummings
55.54.75
9. Treatz (11) J: Remi Tremsal (58kg) T: Ms R Waymouth
10. Gee Bee Ess (10) J: Ethan Brown (55.5kg) T: Richard Laming
11. Manaajim (4) J: Daniel Stackhouse (55.5kg) T: T Dabernig & B Hayes
3.83.73.453.5
12. Violinist (6) J: Michael Dee (55.5kg) T: T & C Mcevoy
1.61.61.561.65
13. Bolde Abby (12) J: Brian Higgins (58kg) T: S C Bottomley
611519771

Odds Last Updated: January 23, 2021, 7:16pm (AEDT)

There is a very short priced favourite here trained by Tony and Calvin McEvoy by the name of (12) Violinist. The Fastnet Rock filly raced in Group 3 company last preparation in South Australia which generally stacks-up reasonably well in Victoria—especially in Maiden grade on a Monday. She trialled really nicely coming into this race so there certainly is no doubt she has come along. The issue is clearly the price which was acceptable at $1.75 but has already dipped to $1.40. But in the interests of picking the best horse in the race—she goes on top.

There are a couple of other runners with some potential too with (11) Manaajim for Dabernig & Hayes coming off two previous second places. She didn’t beat a whole lot to be honest and she shouldn’t prove too much trouble for the favourite.

The other interesting one is (8) Transpolar who ran okay behind Sierra Sue first up—Sierra Sue went on to win a Group 2. It’s up to you if you want to take the short odds—but The Horse is playing her in multiples and exotics.

Tip: (12) Violinist – $1.40 at Sportsbet (for multis)

0

Race 4

Highview Accounting Mdn (1500m)
2:30pm (AEDT)

Race 4

Highview Accounting Mdn (1500m)
2:30pm (AEDT)

1. Magnetic Dash (12) J: Campbell Rawiller (59.5kg) T: M J Mehegan
4.54.64.254.6
2. Pacific Crest (4) J: Michael Carson (59.5kg) T: B I Stanaway
3. Moss Job (6) J: Brian Park (57.5kg) T: Sarah Zschoke
4. Pony Gram (1) J: Matthew Cartwright (57.5kg) T: Jerome Hunter
16171415
5. Solodka (17) J: Lewis German (57.5kg) T: R L Smith
711019781
6. Streets Of Suemori (3) J: Luke Nolen (57.5kg) T: J F Moloney
7. And Then (10) J: Noel Callow (57kg) T: E V Musgrove
101151141126
8. Argus (14) J: Ms Michelle Payne (57kg) T: Michelle Payne
111210.212
9. Bobsled (9) J: Jamie Mott (57kg) T: Richard Laming
2.32.32.252.4
10. Midnight Rambler (15) J: Daniel Moor (57kg) T: D T O'brien
54.64.654.4
11. Sarodec (11) J: Unknown (57kg) T: Richard Laming
12. Reliable Lovin' (13) J: Unknown (57kg) T: Richard Laming
13. Shamboozle (5) J: Will Gordon (59.5kg) T: Paul Rocke
46714771
14. Warphil (2) J: Lewis German (59.5kg) T: G Eurell
11119.910
15. Likiliku (7) J: Craig Newitt (57.5kg) T: E V Musgrove
23263223
16. Sarwatte (8) J: Unknown (59.5kg) T: S C Bottomley
126201161151
17. Fezforsure (16) J: Unknown (59.5kg) T: D J Cave

Odds Last Updated: October 20, 2020, 12:52am (AEDT)

0

Race 5

Neds - Rmbl Investments (Bm64) (1500m)
3:00pm (AEDT)

Race 5

Neds - Rmbl Investments (Bm64) (1500m)
3:00pm (AEDT)

1. Cape Victory (6) J: Campbell Rawiller (61.5kg) T: Michelle Payne
3.94.24.053.9
2. Mitrust (3) J: Ms Emily Brown (61.5kg) T: Richard Laming
8.57.58.37.5
3. Legenda (10) J: Michael Poy (60.5kg) T: Jim Cerchi Jnr
4. Blunakka (9) J: Will Price (59.5kg) T: Dan O'sullivan
5. My Bluewings (11) J: Lachlan King (59kg) T: J & C Meagher
77.577.5
6. Shoot For Coomaah (7) J: Ms Laura Lafferty (58.5kg) T: Richard Laming
4.64.64.354.6
7. Tour Down Under (1) J: Lachlan Neindorf (58.5kg) T: Robert Kingston
3.43.43.23.5
8. Delightful Forever (8) J: Teodore Nugent (56.5kg) T: Christine Sexton
13141214
9. Go Pro (5) J: Matthew Cartwright (56kg) T: Ms L Tolson & Ms L Proctor
161613.615
10. Thin Green Line (2) J: Ms Alexandra Bryan (56kg) T: N G Eades
51618161
11. Woman In Red (4) J: Harry Grace (56kg) T: Ms B Schreuder
7110110171

Odds Last Updated: October 20, 2020, 12:52am (AEDT)

0

Race 6

Thebigscreencompany.Com.Au-C1 (2050m)
3:30pm (AEDT)

Race 6

Thebigscreencompany.Com.Au-C1 (2050m)
3:30pm (AEDT)

1. O'mahlo (10) J: Jason Benbow (60kg) T: Tim Hughes
141415.210
2. Scriba (11) J: Tahlia Hope (59.5kg) T: Patrick Payne
161517.213
3. Alarah (9) J: Chris Symons (59kg) T: Catherine Hutchinson
131415.213
4. Alexander Hamilton (15) J: Remi Tremsal (59kg) T: Ms R Frost
5. Mr Roger (6) J: Teodore Nugent (58.5kg) T: Richard Laming
6. Warrior Woman (1) J: Luke Nolen (58.5kg) T: P Stokes
4.24.23.94.2
7. Wise Dragon (7) J: Jordan Childs (58kg) T: G M Begg
2.052.22.052.2
8. Chaba Charli (3) J: Noel Callow (56.5kg) T: Wayne Walters
141412.216
9. Lady Devereaux (14) J: Jye Mcneil (56.5kg) T: C W Mcdonald
9.51111.210
10. Le Chat Noir (12) J: Jake Noonan (56.5kg) T: David & Coral Feek
27343231
11. Baleka (4) J: Ms Kate Walters (56kg) T: Wayne Walters
9115191126
12. Fromista (5) J: Matthew Cartwright (56kg) T: R J Meunier
13. Haleakala (8) J: Craig Newitt (56kg) T: Wayne Walters
91151131151
14. Able Warrior (2) J: Brian Park (56kg) T: John Keane
34343034
15. Moorabool (13) J: Unknown (56kg) T: B I Stanaway

Odds Last Updated: October 20, 2020, 12:52am (AEDT)

0

Race 7

Racetrack Veterinary (Bm58) (1000m)
4:00pm (AEDT)

Race 7

Racetrack Veterinary (Bm58) (1000m)
4:00pm (AEDT)

1. Mandragorian (3) J: Ms Alexandra Bryan (62.5kg) T: Adam Mccabe
192123.523
2. Manhattan War (9) J: Ethan Brown (62.5kg) T: B J Mccarthy
131413.212
3. Mister Monaro (14) J: Harry Grace (61.5kg) T: Yvonne Harvey
171717.217
4. Our Foxwedge (10) J: Brian Werner (61.5kg) T: G W Mcgreal
12121214
5. Our Musketeer (4) J: Matthew Cartwright (61.5kg) T: Jerome Hunter
5.565.15.5
6. Hummalong (7) J: Jamie Mott (61kg) T: John Mcardle
2.72.82.652.9
7. Grey Detective (11) J: Campbell Rawiller (60kg) T: Lloyd Kennewell
9.5109.67
8. Zimowy (15) J: Ms Emily Brown (60kg) T: K & K Keys
9.5108.48.5
9. The Sisters (2) J: Ms Celine Gaudray (59kg) T: P G Carey
6.56.56.16.5
10. Celeritate Regem (8) J: Craig Newitt (61kg) T: G A Osborne
11. Rosalina (13) J: Unknown (59kg) T: D M Noonan
12. Olympic Lad (1) J: Ms Laura Lafferty (60kg) T: Ms R Waymouth
13. Ellehcim (5) J: Will Gordon (58kg) T: Logan Mcgill
14. Hello Sweetheart (6) J: Ben Allen (57.5kg) T: Daniel Williams
15. Queen's Authority (12) J: Daniel Moor (57.5kg) T: Levi Kavanagh

Odds Last Updated: October 20, 2020, 12:52am (AEDT)

 

This is a pretty wide open race with a number of leading chances. The fact there are a few in contention means there are some tempting odds on offer.

(6) Hummalong did not win my much in her maiden victory last race (albeit in a BM64) however the Hallowed Crown mare has been super consistent getting a prize in all six starts to date. She will no doubt be at peak fitness here while staying over the same distance.  The fact she won at this track and distance but in a higher grade has me placing her on top.

(7) Grey Detective won in his first appearance at Swan Hill and won by a handy 1.8 lengths – he is the danger. There would be some keen money for him if Hummalong was not in the race.

(5) Our Musketeer comes in with a similar record to my top pick and she is an understanding favourite while (4) Our Foxwedge is the one at odds which could sneak into the exotics.

Tip: (6) Hummalong – $4.20 at Sportsbet

 

0

Race 8

Total Animal Supplies (Bm58) (1200m)
4:30pm (AEDT)

Race 8

Total Animal Supplies (Bm58) (1200m)
4:30pm (AEDT)

1. Tall Lady (3) J: Ms Celine Gaudray (64kg) T: Jerome Hunter
151714.616
2. Peranto (7) J: Matthew Allen (61.5kg) T: Ms M Cid
3. My Little Oliver (14) J: Ben Allen (61kg) T: D M Noonan
131312.614
4. Count Of Carford (13) J: Daniel Stackhouse (60.5kg) T: B J Mccarthy
9108.38.5
5. Wild Choice (5) J: Ms Laura Lafferty (60.5kg) T: Richard Laming
4.54.44.14
6. Aristobeaux (6) J: Noel Callow (60kg) T: Rod Grantley
262623.531
7. Rushford (9) J: Matthew Cartwright (59.5kg) T: P E Kramer
43.93.754.2
8. Spears (10) J: Lachlan Neindorf (59kg) T: David & Coral Feek
233126.521
9. Chloe's Day (12) J: Brian Park (58.5kg) T: P G Carey
161615.418
10. Feeling Good (11) J: Jamie Mott (58.5kg) T: Paul Worthington
897.89
11. Piscean (8) J: Jason Benbow (58kg) T: Daniel Williams
12. Simkin (2) J: Randy Tan (58kg) T: Mark Sues
51716181
13. Meet The Missus (1) J: Campbell Rawiller (56kg) T: Peter Ioannou
678110181
14. Phyla Vell (4) J: Ms Emily Brown (60.5kg) T: J W Price
5.565.25.5

Odds Last Updated: December 28, 2020, 12:51am (AEDT)

(14) Phyla Bell ($3.10) and (5) Wild Choice ($2.10) met last time out at Echuca. They jumped to the one-two and ran that way at the finish. Phyla Bell had the wider draw and did more work early to get the leading position, but seemed to have enough gas to draw away slightly over the concluding stages. They jump alongside each other today and Phyla Bell will likely get the lead again. There is a weight swing in Wild Choice’s favour this time around, but I am not a huge believer in weight making a difference over 1200 metres. When looking at the price differential the decision is made easy.

(7) Rushford can be expected to be in the mix while (1) Tall Lady is the one at generous odds.

Tip: (14) Phyla Bell – $3.10 at Unibet

Also backing: Quinella (14) Phyla Bell & (5) Wild Choice

Unibet Racing

0

Race 9

Musk Creek Farm (Bm58) (1200m)
5:00pm (AEDT)

Race 9

Musk Creek Farm (Bm58) (1200m)
5:00pm (AEDT)

1. Flying Banjo (14) J: Jamie Mott (61.5kg) T: John Mcardle
2. Rockin' Sonny (8) J: Campbell Rawiller (61.5kg) T: Logan Mcgill
13141314
3. Rebel Typhoon (2) J: Daniel Moor (61kg) T: M Ellerton & S Zahra
31343531
4. Ping Ping (6) J: Ms Sally Wynne (60.5kg) T: Sally Wynne
232126.526
5. Adki (13) J: Jordan Childs (60kg) T: M & L Cerchi
6. Mutual Respect (11) J: Jake Noonan (60kg) T: A W Noonan
212019.423
7. Sleek Acheeva (9) J: Lachlan Neindorf (59kg) T: Amy & Ash Yargi
111011.210
8. The Great Bratski (1) J: Teodore Nugent (59kg) T: Christine Sexton
4.24.24.054.6
9. Leggero (5) J: Daniel Stackhouse (58.5kg) T: P L Caboche
9.5108.99.5
10. Mr Canford Man (10) J: Rhys Mcleod (58.5kg) T: C Vidotto & C Beasy
61819781
11. Prussian Dream (3) J: Brad Rawiller (58kg) T: P J White
34314341
12. Pride Of Jenni (7) J: Jamie Kah (57.5kg) T: D R Brideoake
221.91.85
13. I'm Peter (12) J: Unknown (56kg) T: Ms M Cid
151201221151
14. Moss And Me (4) J: Jacques Luxe (56kg) T: M M Moser

Odds Last Updated: January 2, 2021, 12:51am (AEDT)

Hoping that it’s not a case of the ‘get out stakes’ to close the day, because the favourite looks very likely and she is not paying a lot.

(12) Pride of Jenni is the top selection after winning at this track and distance last time by over two lengths. There is not a lot of competition despite the large field. The question mark here for Jenni is she is going from a solid win on Heavy to a Soft track. Assuming she pulled up okay (can’t imagine them running her if she didn’t) then there is every chance she can do it again. Jamie Kah is riding in fantastic form and she should take luck out of the equation jumping from the middle and either leading or just sitting on the speed. She is the clear selection in the last and arguably the best bet on the tough program.

With Jenni short in the market we are getting good odds for (7) Sleek Acheeva & (1) Flying Banjo. They are both capable of running well here.

Tip: (12) Pride of Jenni – $1.85 at Sportsbet (BEST BET)

The Horse found the thought of placing bets and drinking beers much more appealing once he was married, and that led to an interest in the many intricacies of The Great Game. He enjoys the challenge of predicting what will happen in any given race, but also loves horses themselves, none more so than the mighty mudlark Jungle Edge. His focus lies on metropolitan racing in Victoria and NSW, however isn’t afraid to find one out wide. Away from racing, The Horse is an avid drummer – quite a difficult task with a set of hooves.

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