Racing Tips

Pakenham Racing Tips: Thursday, January 14th

The Pakenham twilight meeting commences at 6.00pm, with a very tough eight race card. The fields are not overly strong, but hopefully the tipping is! The Horse has taken a look to find you a couple of winners.

by
The Horse
13 January 2021

The Pakenham twilight meeting commences at 6.00pm, with a very tough eight race card. The fields are not overly strong, but hopefully the tipping is! The Horse has taken a look to find you a couple of winners. He has reviewed Race 4 and Race 5.

Race 1

Iron Jack Australian Lager Mdn (1200m)
6:00pm (AEDT)

Race 1 Iron Jack Australian Lager Mdn (1200m) 6:00pm (AEDT)
1. Addenda (8) J: Damien Thornton (57kg) T: G Eurell	5	6.5	4.9	4.8
2. Caught In A Trap (6) J: Jordan Childs (57kg) T: M D Moroney	9	10	8.5	9
3. Chavanne (7) J: Brian Higgins (57kg) T: Grant & Peter Dalziel	9	11	9.6	8.5
4. Djounie (4) J: Daniel Stackhouse (57kg) T: M Ellerton & S Zahra	5.5	5.5	5	4.6
5. Haveyouzeena (3) J: Michael Poy (57kg) T: Charlotte Littlefield	17	20	17.2	18
6. I Feel Fine (9) J: Daniel Moor (57kg) T: S Morrish
7. Let's Get Rowdy (10) J: Patrick Moloney (57kg) T: Tim Hughes	27	41	33	34
8. Miss Current (5) J: Matthew Cartwright (57kg) T: R Cluning	71	151	93	41
9. Ol' Dollor (2) J: Jamie Mott (57kg) T: Logan Mcgill	6	5.5	5.7	4.6
10. Wild Spree (1) J: Billy Egan (57kg) T: Patrick Payne	3.3	2.8	3.2	3.2

Odds Last Updated: January 15, 2021, 12:53am (AEDT)

Race 2

Sportsbet Same Race Multi Mdn (1200m)
6:30pm (AEDT)

Race 2 Sportsbet Same Race Multi Mdn (1200m) 6:30pm (AEDT)
1. Cop That (3) J: Arron Lynch (59.5kg) T: M Farrugia	15	16	17.2	13
2. Crafty Eyes (7) J: Joe Bowditch (59.5kg) T: B J Mccarthy	91	71	101	61
3. Bellinger (4) J: Jamie Mott (58kg) T: T Dabernig & B Hayes	3.3	3.2	3.1	3
4. Big Flash (8) J: Jye Mcneil (58kg) T: Ms C Alderson	3.7	3.9	3.5	3.8
5. Fields Of Aquada (1) J: Daniel Stackhouse (58kg) T: G B Andrews	2.7	2.8	2.65	2.9
6. Free To Act (5) J: Rhys Mcleod (58kg) T: N J Harnett	34	51	36	41
7. Turf Flyer (10) J: Brian Higgins (58kg) T: Ms L Shand	26	26	26.5	26
8. Dane Spirit (6) J: Jason Benbow (57.5kg) T: Ebony Tucker	71	101	93	71
9. Darra Linen (2) J: Beau Mertens (57.5kg) T: P E Kramer	34	51	43	41
10. I Am Beautiful (9) J: Daniel Moor (57.5kg) T: G Eurell	21	20	21.5	19

Odds Last Updated: January 15, 2021, 12:53am (AEDT)

Race 3

Superior Food Services Mdn (1600m)
7:00pm (AEDT)

Race 3 Superior Food Services Mdn (1600m) 7:00pm (AEDT)
1. Tak Ne (4) J: Clayton Douglas (59.5kg) T: Michelle Huddart
2. Angelic Amour (6) J: Jamie Mott (58kg) T: L Xuereb	14	15	13.2	13
3. Bonamassa (2) J: Jordan Childs (58kg) T: Archie Alexander	5	4.8	4.65	4.8
4. Calaveras (10) J: Jye Mcneil (58kg) T: James Cummings	26	26	22.5	26
5. Lucky Lad (1) J: Arron Lynch (58kg) T: Caroline Jennings	4	4.4	4.7	4.6
6. Omoide (9) J: Daniel Moor (58kg) T: D T O'brien	6.5	6	5.8	6.5
7. Pacific Rim (5) J: Ben Allen (58kg) T: P Stokes	5	4.6	5.3	4.4
8. Yuanno (7) J: Damien Thornton (58kg) T: T Rogers	21	21	19.6	23
9. Yulong Shout (8) J: Daniel Stackhouse (58kg) T: T Dabernig & B Hayes	5.5	6	5.5	5.5
10. Speed Cube (12) J: Matthew Cartwright (57.5kg) T: Ms J E Taylor	34	51	35	34
11. The Nella Maris (11) J: Ms Celine Gaudray (57.5kg) T: P G Carey	35	41	43	34
12. All Day Chardonnay (3) J: Lachlan King (56kg) T: T Busuttin & N Young

Odds Last Updated: January 15, 2021, 12:53am (AEDT)

Race 4

John Duff & Co Mdn Plate (1400m)
7:30pm (AEDT)

Race 4 John Duff & Co Mdn Plate (1400m) 7:30pm (AEDT)
1. Aristo Missile (1) J: Daniel Stackhouse (59.5kg) T: T Dabernig & B Hayes	2.5	2.35	2.65	2.3
2. Herzl (14) J: Arron Lynch (59.5kg) T: G R Mallinson	126	201	241	151
3. Victory Colours (13) J: Michael Walker (59.5kg) T: Ms L Shand	14	15	14.6	15
4. Amfissa (2) J: Damien Thornton (58kg) T: C J Waller	4.4	4.4	4	4
5. Argonauts (3) J: Fred W Kersley (58kg) T: D T O'brien	12	11	11.4	12
6. Bullarook Boy (5) J: Lewis German (58kg) T: Dale Short	101	151	161	151
7. Gold Vee Eye Pea (10) J: Ben Allen (58kg) T: D R Brideoake	27	26	27.5	26
8. Moon Dog (11) J: Lachlan King (58kg) T: Mark Sues	46	61	57	51
9. Politicalinfluence (7) J: Clayton Douglas (58kg) T: S P Nichols	27	26	29.5	34
10. Through Irish Eyes (6) J: Jye Mcneil (58kg) T: C Maher & D Eustace	12	15	12.4	15
11. Firecat (15) J: Jordan Childs (56kg) T: Mitchell Freedman	6.5	7	6	7
12. I Am Chickasaw (9) J: Joe Bowditch (56kg) T: Lloyd Kennewell	19	18	19.2	18
13. Yensir (8) J: Unknown (59.5kg) T: C Maher & D Eustace
14. Techno Awards (4) J: Michael Poy (58kg) T: K & K Keys
15. Lochend Rocky Roy (12) J: Unknown (59.5kg) T: Paul Worthington

Odds Last Updated: January 15, 2021, 12:53am (AEDT)

The Dabernig/Hayes trained (1) Aristo Missile appears to be the one to beat after some improving performances at Moonee Valley & Sandown. He has been competing against the best company, and his last two races have produced some quality horses—such as Sayumi and Rising Sphere. I am happy to continue following those lead-in races and have him on top here.

Outside of him it’s a difficult race to figure. (4) Amfissa looks the obvious danger, while there is some interest in the former UK runner (13) Yensir.

Tip: (1) Aristo Missile $2.10 Sportsbet

Race 5

Gippsland Premium Quarries-C1 (1400m)
8:00pm (AEDT)

Race 5 Gippsland Premium Quarries-C1 (1400m) 8:00pm (AEDT)
1. Aragon (2) J: Daniel Moor (60kg) T: T Busuttin & N Young	3.4	3.6	3.55	3.7
2. Big Acheeva (3) J: Michael Poy (59kg) T: Charlotte Littlefield	11	11	9.7	11
3. Crafty Effort (7) J: Brian Park (59kg) T: M Croston & G Gilmour	23	26	26.5	23
4. Vantastic (6) J: Lachlan King (59kg) T: M D Moroney	8	7.5	7.9	6.5
5. Fighting Whiskey (1) J: Beau Mertens (58kg) T: M C Kent	4	4.2	4.1	4.4
6. Judestar (5) J: Daniel Stackhouse (57.5kg) T: Ms W Kelly	2.7	2.7	2.8	2.6
7. One Little Kiss (4) J: Matthew Cartwright (56.5kg) T: Ms C Alderson

Odds Last Updated: January 15, 2021, 12:53am (AEDT)

The market is pretty tight with 4 of 6 runners under $5.00, the favourite is (6) Judestar who won by a length in a maiden last start. She has been racing well enough last preparation without winning, but this time in she managed to pull away nicely to win by over a length. I have a query on the company, and whether that maiden form stacks up against the others here … yet to be seen.

The runner who has competed in the best company is (4) Vantastic who won a maiden then jumped into BM64 grade—and proceeded to be pretty competitive placing second in his last start. His first up form is pretty solid, although there is a slight query in terms of doing his best work on Soft conditions. At the better odds, keen to have him on top.

Tip: (4) Vantastic $4.00 Sportsbetting

Race 6

Ontoit (Bm64) (1400m)
8:30pm (AEDT)

Race 6 Ontoit (Bm64) (1400m) 8:30pm (AEDT)
1. Schweinsteiger (8) J: Arron Lynch (62.5kg) T: D J Walkley	41	41	51	41
2. Seafield Road (2) J: Ben Allen (61kg) T: N J Harnett	5	4.8	5.2	4.8
3. Iowa Hawkeye (7) J: Jye Mcneil (59.5kg) T: M D Moroney	7.5	8	7.2	7
4. Force (6) J: Daniel Stackhouse (58.5kg) T: T Dabernig & B Hayes	8	7.5	8	9.5
5. Summer Heat (4) J: Ms Celine Gaudray (58.5kg) T: D J Walkley	31	31	35	34
6. Ameliaranne (1) J: Matthew Cartwright (58kg) T: N J Harnett	3.8	3.9	3.85	4
7. Zee Hoarder (3) J: Billy Egan (57.5kg) T: Ms C Alderson	15	13	14.2	13
8. Hendrika (5) J: Fred W Kersley (57kg) T: Matthew Cumani	3	3	3	2.9

Odds Last Updated: February 19, 2021, 2:12pm (AEDT)

Race 7

Wise Choice Catering (Bm58) (1600m)
9:00pm (AEDT)

Race 7 Wise Choice Catering (Bm58) (1600m) 9:00pm (AEDT)
1. Oh So Skeptical (1) J: Ms Celine Gaudray (65kg) T: Matthew Brown	10	8	10.8	7
2. Little Phoenix (11) J: Michael Walker (63.5kg) T: E V Musgrove	23	18	26.5	17
3. Toorak Playboy (6) J: Ben Allen (63kg) T: John R Allen	6.5	7	6.9	7
4. Full Of Theories (4) J: Jamie Mott (62.5kg) T: Ebony Tucker	7.5	7	7.6	7.5
5. Kiptanui (10) J: Daniel Stackhouse (62kg) T: Ms W Kelly	4.2	4	4.15	4
6. So It Is (7) J: Dylan Dunn (61kg) T: Jackson Pallot	13	13	13	12
7. Rajpipla (2) J: Lachlan King (60.5kg) T: Brian Mcgrath	16	16	16.6	14
8. Billet Doux (12) J: Matthew Allen (60kg) T: D J Arnold	8	8	7.3	8.5
9. Give Me Ten (13) J: Jason Benbow (60kg) T: P G Moody	9	9.5	8.2	9.5
10. Victory In Paris (9) J: Beau Mertens (59.5kg) T: C J Mciver	10	12	11	11
11. Moshe Pit Gem (3) J: Remi Tremsal (57.5kg) T: D Binaisse	31	41	29	34
12. Atomic Charge (5) J: Lewis German (55kg) T: Ms H Stephens	46	51	41	51
13. Riley's Rocket (8) J: Ms Jade Darose (55.5kg) T: Tabitha Cunningham

Odds Last Updated: January 15, 2021, 12:53am (AEDT)

Race 8

Sportsbet - Three Wide Nc-Bm58 (1200m)
9:30pm (AEDT)

Race 8 Sportsbet - Three Wide Nc-Bm58 (1200m) 9:30pm (AEDT)
1. Fudging (13) J: Ms Celine Gaudray (65.5kg) T: Jerome Hunter
2. Laybuy (2) J: Jordan Childs (63.5kg) T: M D Moroney	3.7	3.5	3.6	4
3. Rushford (7) J: Ben Allen (63.5kg) T: P E Kramer	12	16	12.8	13
4. Rutherford (8) J: Jye Mcneil (63.5kg) T: R Griffiths & M De Kock	7	7	6.7	7
5. Unique Bambino (1) J: Arron Lynch (63kg) T: F Stockdale	18	19	19.2	18
6. Over There (5) J: Brian Higgins (62.5kg) T: Shane Stockdale	10	11	10.4	10
7. Pershing (10) J: Matthew Cartwright (62.5kg) T: Ms L Tolson & Ms L Proctor	11	13	11.4	10
8. Gambeson (12) J: Mrs Jackie Horner (62kg) T: Ms J Beriman	46	51	51	61
9. Real Reason (3) J: Jamie Mott (62kg) T: P Stokes	9	8	9.2	6.5
10. Count Of Carford (9) J: Daniel Stackhouse (61.5kg) T: B J Mccarthy	15	16	15.6	16
11. Reward (15) J: Ethan Brown (61.5kg) T: M C Kent	26	26	23.5	26
12. Ryan's Girl (6) J: Matthew Allen (59.5kg) T: R Pecora	6.5	6.5	6.6	6.5
13. Mischievous Lad (4) J: Jason Benbow (61.5kg) T: G B Andrews
14. Storm Boss (14) J: Michael Poy (61.5kg) T: R J Besanko	16	18	15.8	17
15. Ultimate Shock (11) J: Ms Jade Darose (60kg) T: Simone Walker

Odds Last Updated: January 15, 2021, 12:53am (AEDT)

The Horse

The Horse found the thought of placing bets and drinking beers much more appealing once he was married, and that led to an interest in the many intricacies of The Great Game. He enjoys the challenge of predicting what will happen in any given race, but also loves horses themselves, none more so than the mighty mudlark Jungle Edge. His focus lies on metropolitan racing in Victoria and NSW, however isn’t afraid to find one out wide. Away from racing, The Horse is an avid drummer – quite a difficult task with a set of hooves.