Connect with us

Racing Tips

Pakenham Racing Tips: Thursday, January 28th

For those who like to knock-off, head home, crack a beer, and dabble on the races—our focus turns to the twilight meeting at Pakenham. Once again, ‘The Horse’ has done the homework for you.

pakenham racing tips

For those who like to knock-off, head home, crack a beer, and dabble on the races—our focus turns to the twilight meeting at Pakenham. Once again, ‘The Horse’ has done the homework for you in Race 2, Race 3, Race 4 and Race 8.

0

Race 1

Iron Jack Aust. Lagers Mdn (1200m)
6:00pm (AEDT)

Race 1

Iron Jack Aust. Lagers Mdn (1200m)
6:00pm (AEDT)

1. Camaguey (1) J: Damien Oliver (58kg) T: James Cummings
3.63.63.53.7
2. Daily Bugle (4) J: Lewis German (58kg) T: R Griffiths & M De Kock
272629.526
3. Danaustar (6) J: Jye Mcneil (58kg) T: C Maher & D Eustace
4. Race Against Time (3) J: Luke Currie (58kg) T: T & C Mcevoy
8.57.57.46.5
5. Rock Artist (7) J: Craig Williams (58kg) T: K & K Keys
131412.812
6. Tramontana (2) J: Mark Zahra (58kg) T: T Dabernig & B Hayes
1.651.71.71.7
7. Gracie Turf (5) J: Daniel Stackhouse (56kg) T: Ms D Clover
27263331

Odds Last Updated: February 19, 2021, 2:12pm (AEDT)

0

Race 2

Watch Live On Sportsbet Mdn (1200m)
6:30pm (AEDT)

Race 2

Watch Live On Sportsbet Mdn (1200m)
6:30pm (AEDT)

1. Crafty Eyes (7) J: Daniel Stackhouse (59.5kg) T: B J Mccarthy
101101161101
2. Suthebys (10) J: Ms Celine Gaudray (59.5kg) T: G T Jolly
201151261151
3. Babylon Warrior (3) J: Patrick Moloney (58kg) T: J F Moloney
211923.518
4. Deora (4) J: Daniel Moor (58kg) T: T Busuttin & N Young
232626.521
5. Grand Pope (2) J: Rhys Mcleod (58kg) T: Nick Ryan
8.588.99
6. I Am Mamwaazel (6) J: Thomas Stockdale (58kg) T: T Dabernig & B Hayes
3.843.64
7. Mr Vista (8) J: Michael Walker (58kg) T: M Price & M Kent Jnr
665.96
8. Yorker (1) J: Noel Callow (58kg) T: M, W & J Hawkes
10910.49
9. Zoutellus (9) J: Craig Williams (58kg) T: K & K Keys
2.62.62.552.6
10. High Rewards (5) J: Beau Mertens (56kg) T: Jerome Hunter
212124.523

Odds Last Updated: February 19, 2021, 2:12pm (AEDT)

Starting at double-figures last start, (6) I Am Mamwaazal will be starting shorter today. That first-up performance was solid, coming from 7th in running to arrive 3rd, letting down well and posting some handy closing times (34.06 final 600 metres). He’ll bring some additional race fitness into this one, maintains the rider Thomas Stockdale, and gets a favourable draw with the speed runners appearing to be on his outside. He looks to have improvement to come, but he will not have it all his way. There are a few other quality looking gallopers taking him on, (7) Mr Vista for the Price/Kent stable and (8) Yorker for the Hawkes yard are both right in contention. (9) Zoutellus rounds out the four.

Tip: (6) I Am Mamwaazal $3.80 Bet365

0

Race 3

Tas Magic Millions Voucher Mdn (1600m)
7:00pm (AEDT)

Race 3

Tas Magic Millions Voucher Mdn (1600m)
7:00pm (AEDT)

1. Buble Boy (9) J: Unknown (59.5kg) T: Ms C Alderson
2. Fighter (7) J: Luke Currie (59.5kg) T: T & C Mcevoy
1.9222
3. Gentleman Roy (3) J: Mark Zahra (59.5kg) T: T Dabernig & B Hayes
3.83.93.84
4. Herzl (4) J: Noel Callow (59.5kg) T: G R Mallinson
151151281151
5. Tak Ne (6) J: Michael Walker (59.5kg) T: Michelle Huddart
678110181
6. Metung Marvin (11) J: Jye Mcneil (58kg) T: Ms C Alderson
7. Omoide (5) J: Damien Oliver (58kg) T: D T O'brien
182017.619
8. Yuanno (2) J: Damien Thornton (58kg) T: T Rogers
121211.612
9. Save The Story (10) J: Ms Kate Walters (57.5kg) T: Wayne Walters
201151321151
10. Bring It Bella (1) J: Michael Dee (56kg) T: T Busuttin & N Young
171519.214
11. My Squeeze Louise (8) J: Lachlan King (56kg) T: Denis Pagan
5.5555

Odds Last Updated: January 29, 2021, 12:26pm (AEDT)

Do we take the $1.85 on offer for (2) Fighter after four consecutive second places? He was beaten comprehensively last start by Senor Toba, but the start prior he missed the maiden victory by a head. He isn’t a non-winner just yet, and he finds a race that he can take that next step. You can all but eliminate the field bar a few, so he should find himself somewhere mid-field in running. With even luck he’ll just need to get by a couple of the better horses. I cannot see Luke Currie and the McEvoy leaving it to chance, so expect him to come out a touch early to allow time to come over them. (11) My Squeeze Louise comes from the same lead-in race and can also run well, while (4) Gentleman Roy comes from a handy stable.

Tip: (2) Fighter $1.92 Sportsbetting

0

Race 4

Wise Choice Catering Mdn (1400m)
7:30pm (AEDT)

Race 4

Wise Choice Catering Mdn (1400m)
7:30pm (AEDT)

1. Beast (11) J: Noel Callow (58kg) T: M, W & J Hawkes
8.59.58.27.5
2. Bellinger (7) J: Mark Zahra (58kg) T: T Dabernig & B Hayes
2.252.152.22.3
3. Imagine Howe (14) J: Michael Walker (58kg) T: R Griffiths & M De Kock
4. Magnus Bellagio (1) J: Damien Thornton (58kg) T: M Ellerton & S Zahra
172118.213
5. Notmyfirstrodeo (8) J: Jordan Childs (58kg) T: G M Begg
41414141
6. Penitentiary (2) J: Thomas Stockdale (58kg) T: T Busuttin & N Young
6.56.56.67
7. Djounie (4) J: Daniel Stackhouse (56kg) T: M Ellerton & S Zahra
20262614
8. Glitzy Girl (9) J: Luke Currie (56kg) T: T & C Mcevoy
44.44.054.2
9. Haveyouzeena (6) J: Jye Mcneil (56kg) T: Charlotte Littlefield
41675341
10. Street Glow (10) J: Daniel Moor (56kg) T: M Ellerton & S Zahra
51615171
11. Stylish Icon (5) J: Brian Park (56kg) T: Patrick Keane
12. Zoumatic (13) J: Michael Dee (56kg) T: M Price & M Kent Jnr
31212734
13. Picture Diss (3) J: Beau Mertens (58kg) T: Gavin Bedggood
14. Politicalinfluence (12) J: Ms Kiran Quilty (58kg) T: S P Nichols

Odds Last Updated: January 29, 2021, 12:26pm (AEDT)

A decent size field takes on the 1400 metre maiden here. (2) Bellinger ran well for 2nd behind Big Flash last start (who runs as favourite today in the final race – a BM64). That day he came from towards the back of the field to get the minor result, and the step up in distance is a positive decision by the stable. Admittedly, his form is not overly convincing, but it appears one of those races where you can draw a line through many others—and you’re only left with a couple. The other one of interest is (8) Glitzy Girl who placed behind I’m Thunderstruck (who looked to have some quality) and Palace Whisper. Palace Whisper went on to compete in a tougher maiden than this, but was a touch disappointing after starting favourite.  Keen to have something on her at the better value. And Bellinger as a saver.

Tip: (8) Glitzy Girl $4.20 TAB

Also backing: (2) Bellinger $3.30

0

Race 5

De Bortoli Wines Hcp (C1) (1400m)
8:00pm (AEDT)

Race 5

De Bortoli Wines Hcp (C1) (1400m)
8:00pm (AEDT)

1. Duke Of Neworleans (3) J: Ethan Brown (59kg) T: M M Laurie
1.851.851.91.95
2. Warlist (9) J: Michael Carson (59kg) T: G M Carson
718110161
3. Diamonds'n'stones (5) J: Noel Callow (58kg) T: M, W & J Hawkes
4.64.24.44
4. Redissent (1) J: Patrick Moloney (58kg) T: J F Moloney
14141511
5. Ruby Street (6) J: Jamie Mott (58kg) T: K L Corstens
3.23.43.253.5
6. Sebsilk (2) J: Beau Mertens (57.5kg) T: J Warren & D Krongold
7. Wild Spree (8) J: Billy Egan (56.5kg) T: Patrick Payne
8. Fast 'N' Forward (7) J: Ms Kate Walters (55.5kg) T: Wayne Walters
911018571
9. So Awesome (4) J: Michael Dee (55kg) T: B J Mccarthy
81151111126

Odds Last Updated: January 29, 2021, 12:26pm (AEDT)

0

Race 6

John Duff & Co (Bm64) (1400m)
8:30pm (AEDT)

Race 6

John Duff & Co (Bm64) (1400m)
8:30pm (AEDT)

1. Cafe Tortoni (1) J: Billy Egan (61kg) T: Patrick Payne
54.85.14.8
2. Key To The Mak (2) J: Jamie Mott (60.5kg) T: Luke Oliver
111111.611
3. Bianconi Magic (7) J: Ethan Brown (60kg) T: Jerome Hunter
9108.69.5
4. Palacio Musico (3) J: Thomas Stockdale (60kg) T: T Dabernig & B Hayes
21182117
5. Gutsy (10) J: Daniel Moor (59kg) T: M Ellerton & S Zahra
6. Mrs Sippy (4) J: Beau Mertens (59kg) T: J Warren & D Krongold
151516.417
7. Tycoon Bella (8) J: Michael Walker (59kg) T: Ms C Alderson
8.58.58.28
8. Wise Counsel (6) J: Jye Mcneil (59kg) T: C Maher & D Eustace
7.587.97.5
9. Big Acheeva (9) J: Michael Poy (58.5kg) T: Charlotte Littlefield
10. Coup De Tonnerre (5) J: Craig Williams (57.5kg) T: Matthew Cumani
2.352.352.42.5

Odds Last Updated: February 19, 2021, 2:12pm (AEDT)

0

Race 7

Parklea (Bm64) (1600m)
9:00pm (AEDT)

Race 7

Parklea (Bm64) (1600m)
9:00pm (AEDT)

1. Schweinsteiger (8) J: Ms Celine Gaudray (62.5kg) T: D J Walkley
9109.910
2. Category Five (5) J: Jye Mcneil (62kg) T: C Maher & D Eustace
4.54.84.654.6
3. Sahar (7) J: Billy Egan (62kg) T: Patrick Payne
182019.219
4. Bag Raider (14) J: Jamie Mott (61.5kg) T: Scott Cameron
111210.612
5. Robe De Fete (3) J: Michael Walker (61kg) T: R Griffiths & M De Kock
10111011
6. Eluding (12) J: Luke Currie (60.5kg) T: T & C Mcevoy
7. Deelbraka (9) J: Jake Noonan (60kg) T: David & Coral Feek
8. Il Divo (4) J: Jordan Childs (60kg) T: G M Begg
5.565.66
9. Necessary (6) J: Michael Dee (60kg) T: E Jusufovic
4.63.84.653.9
10. Rebel Racer (2) J: Noel Callow (58kg) T: M A Kavanagh
11. Pacific Rim (13) J: Ms Alexandra Bryan (56.5kg) T: P Stokes
5.54.84.854.8
12. Rich Dane (11) J: Beau Mertens (56.5kg) T: Jerome Hunter
13. Victory Approach (10) J: Ms Michelle Payne (56kg) T: Michelle Payne
41514541
14. Rippa Choice (1) J: Harry Grace (58kg) T: Sarah Zschoke

Odds Last Updated: January 29, 2021, 12:26pm (AEDT)

0

Race 8

Sportsbet Same Race Multi-Bm64 (1200m)
9:30pm (AEDT)

Race 8

Sportsbet Same Race Multi-Bm64 (1200m)
9:30pm (AEDT)

1. Dothraki King (6) J: Jamie Mott (61kg) T: Luke Oliver
201921.519
2. Cowley's Creek (3) J: Billy Egan (60kg) T: Patrick Payne
131313.212
3. Altai Ranger (4) J: Matthew Cartwright (59.5kg) T: J D Sadler
766.26
4. Tycoon Thunder (1) J: Jake Noonan (58.5kg) T: S P Nichols
9109.410
5. Villa Villekulla (10) J: Michael Dee (58.5kg) T: Patrick Payne
3.13.13.23.2
6. Vancouver Lad (9) J: Michael Walker (58kg) T: R Griffiths & M De Kock
131414.214
7. Big Flash (5) J: Jye Mcneil (57.5kg) T: Ms C Alderson
3.73.83.653.7
8. Little Richie Turf (8) J: Daniel Stackhouse (57kg) T: Ms D Clover
31313031
9. Ellehcim (7) J: Will Gordon (56kg) T: Logan Mcgill
182019.621
10. Alluring Grace (2) J: Ms Celine Gaudray (55.5kg) T: Logan Mcgill
21212321
11. Ryan's Girl (11) J: Unknown (55kg) T: R Pecora

Odds Last Updated: February 19, 2021, 2:12pm (AEDT)

If Bellinger races well tonight than it brings the favourite (7) Big Flash into contention, but if he fails, then suddenly the form looks less appealing. Either way, his favourite status looks a little weak against this field. He is stepping up in grade straight to a BM64 but maintains the services of Jye McNeil.

You could make a case for several of the others, including (5) Villa Villekulla & (3) Altai Ranger. But it’s the price on offer for (2) Cowley’s Creek which grabs my attention. Proven first-up and already a place-getter in this grade, he gets a handy draw where he can drop in behind the leaders. If the track is playing towards the back-markers—or at least giving them an even chance—than this looks a winnable race. Happy to back the Payne & Eagan combination for an each-way value bet.

Tip: (2) Cowley’s Creek $10.00 Sportsbetting

The Horse found the thought of placing bets and drinking beers much more appealing once he was married, and that led to an interest in the many intricacies of The Great Game. He enjoys the challenge of predicting what will happen in any given race, but also loves horses themselves, none more so than the mighty mudlark Jungle Edge. His focus lies on metropolitan racing in Victoria and NSW, however isn’t afraid to find one out wide. Away from racing, The Horse is an avid drummer – quite a difficult task with a set of hooves.

Advertisement BoomBet
Advertisement Betfair

More in Racing Tips