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Randwick Racing Tips: Saturday, August 21st

Tim Geers casts his eye over the 10-race card at Randwick on Saturday, headlined by the Group 1 Winx Stakes!

winx stakes randwick

Group 1 racing is back!

Royal Randwick hosts the first major of the 2021/22 Australian racing season, with the Group 1 Winx Stakes headlining the racing today.

The day’s feature sees a field of 14 set to line up over 1400m, including eight Group 1 winners, and is supported by the G2 Silver Shadow Stakes and the G3 Show County Quality.

We have 10 races in total at Randwick, where the track is rated a Good 4 and the rail is in the true position.

Tim Geers previews every race on the card below, complete with his tips, best bets and betting strategy.

Best Bet: Race 9 – (8) Written Beauty

Best Value: Race 10 – (1) Poetic Charmer

PlayUp

 

195592

Race 1

Tab Highway Hcp (C2) (1100m)
11:20am (AEDT)

Race 1

Tab Highway Hcp (C2) (1100m)
11:20am (AEDT)

1. Baby Wong (10) J: Nash Rawiller (60kg) T: S C Jones
77.57.587.57.5
2. Aytobe (17) J: Brenton Avdulla (59.5kg) T: Cody Morgan
121212121213
3. Surooj (1) J: Hugh Bowman (57kg) T: Mark Schmetzer
1010101010.810
4. Very Sharp (18) J: Tom Sherry (56.5kg) T: R P Northam
1817161815.218
5. Amicus Curiae (11) J: Jean Van Overmeire (56.5kg) T: M D Griffith
6. Without Shame (3) J: Andrew Adkins (56.5kg) T: Ms S Grills
121212131312
7. Dancing Dollar (12) J: Ms Rachel King (55.5kg) T: Sam Kavanagh
262621212426
8. Ten Bells (2) J: Jason Collett (55kg) T: Scott Collings
1615151514.615
9. Invincible Ninja (20) J: James Innes Jnr (54.5kg) T: Mark Schmetzer
2626212122.526
10. Newtown Braveheart (14) J: Ms Kathy O'hara (54.5kg) T: E & L Longmire
11. Baiyka (4) J: Jay Ford (54kg) T: S I Singleton
232126192526
12. Fantini (5) J: Tim Clark (54kg) T: Aiden St Vincent
1010998.910
13. Talihina (19) J: Ms Louise Day (54kg) T: D A Williams
126101919199101
14. Foxie La Belle (7) J: Brock Ryan (54kg) T: T J Robinson
313131342731
15. Skaifee (16) J: Unknown (54kg) T: Scott Collings
16. Sportsman (13) J: Unknown (54kg) T: J A Sylvester
91101919191101
17. Battleground (6) J: James Mcdonald (62kg) T: Matthew Dale
2.92.933.13.152.8
18. Starliv (15) J: Ms Ellen Hennessy (55kg) T: M D Kelley
19. Emma's Gift (8) J: Glen Boss (54kg) T: K R Dryden
1818191816.618
20. Mo More Chicken (9) J: Unknown (54kg) T: N J Osborne

Odds Last Updated: August 21, 2021, 11:21am (AEDT)

We start the day off with a Highway and despite tipping both the Highway and the Midway winners last week, I’ll be sticking to my ‘no bet’ strategy for those races today.

With that said, it does look a very good race for (17) Battleground, who has his third start for the Matt Dale camp today. First up he resumed in a race much harder than this, where he was narrowly edged out by Sixgun. His only career win came when he was second up, James McDonald is booked today and although he has to carry the grandstand in weight (62kg), it does look a nice race for him.

(7) Dancing Dollar looks to have been set for a first up tilt at this race. Won first up last prep and has had an extra trial this time in, which suggests they’ve got her pretty fit.

(8) Ten Bells is only lightly-raced and comes into this off a good first up win. Has scope to improve.

Chances don’t end there.

Tip: (17) Battleground $3.40 TopSport

Betting Strategy: No bet

195592

Race 2

Gold Coast Turf Club (Bm78) (2400m)
11:55am (AEDT)

Race 2

Gold Coast Turf Club (Bm78) (2400m)
11:55am (AEDT)

1. Spencer (2) J: Joshua Parr (59kg) T: Bjorn Baker
2. Shuffle Up (4) J: Jean Van Overmeire (58.5kg) T: R & M Freedman
44.24.24.24.254.2
3. Master Shuhood (7) J: Nash Rawiller (57kg) T: Richard Litt
1211101010.611
4. Montabot (8) J: Jason Collett (57kg) T: Matthew Smith
5. Torrens (1) J: Ms Ellen Hennessy (55.5kg) T: Lauri Parker
272626263031
6. Accountability (10) J: James Mcdonald (55kg) T: C J Waller
98.598.57.89.5
7. Red Santa (9) J: Kerrin Mcevoy (55kg) T: C Maher & D Eustace
3.33.23.43.53.053.2
8. Mr Bond (6) J: Jay Ford (54.5kg) T: Brad Widdup
4.854.855.64.8
9. Terwilliker (3) J: Tommy Berry (54kg) T: A J Cummings
7.577.576.77
10. Apache Belle (5) J: Ms Kathy O'hara (52kg) T: Wayne Seelin
2020202121.521

Odds Last Updated: August 21, 2021, 11:56am (AEDT)

(2) Shuffle Up relished stepping up to this distance and getting back onto a good track last start, winning on the Kenso track here at Randwick. He’s only had five runs this prep and is three weeks between runs, so should be fresh enough. The horse he beat last start was Terwilliker, who ran 3rd at his next start.

Interestingly, (3) Master Shuhood ran 2nd ahead of Terwilliker in that race, so he can be tied in here. He is another horse that appreciated getting back onto firm ground last start. The Harpo Marx form line looks pretty strong so I think he’s the clear value here at $17.

(7) Red Santa comes up from Melbourne and was a big run in defeat after sitting wide throughout last start. Some query on the strength of the form though.

JMac sticks with (6) Accountability despite a poor run last start. Blinkers on first time, watch the market.

Tip: (2) Shuffle Up $3.80 TAB

Value: (3) Master Shuhood $17 TAB

Betting Strategy: 1 unit WIN Shuffle Up, 0.5 units WIN Master Shuhood

195592

Race 3

Midway (Bm72) (1600m)
12:30pm (AEDT)

Race 3

Midway (Bm72) (1600m)
12:30pm (AEDT)

1. Monegal (5) J: Ms Ellen Hennessy (60.5kg) T: Ms T Bateup
1515151516.216
2. Amoretti (9) J: Tom Sherry (59.5kg) T: G Portelli
3. Foxborough (4) J: Hugh Bowman (59kg) T: J G Sargent
10109.5910.29.5
4. Arctic Thunder (3) J: Tommy Berry (58kg) T: G Portelli
5.5555.55.54.8
5. Metro Legend (11) J: Kerrin Mcevoy (57.5kg) T: Annabel Neasham
1212101210.411
6. Our Bambino (13) J: Joshua Parr (57.5kg) T: R & L Price
515151514951
7. Majella (1) J: Glen Boss (57kg) T: Matthew Smith
8888.58.68
8. Canyonero (15) J: Jason Collett (56.5kg) T: Richard Litt
1313111311.213
9. Tochi (8) J: Brock Ryan (55kg) T: R & L Price
88898.69
10. Altimeter (10) J: Ms Kathy O'hara (55kg) T: Richard Litt
465151514151
11. Tampering (7) J: Brenton Avdulla (55kg) T: K J Parker
54.844.64.655
12. Segrill (14) J: Jay Ford (54.5kg) T: C E Conners
13. Big Surprise (16) J: Unknown (54kg) T: Ms K Buchanan
14. Oakfield Target (2) J: Regan Bayliss (54kg) T: D Lane
2626263125.526
15. Chateaux Park (6) J: Ms Louise Day (52.5kg) T: J C Coyle
16. Enduring Night (17) J: Ms Rachel King (52kg) T: J C Coyle
887.587.78.5
17. Chief Kidder (12) J: James Innes Jnr (52kg) T: Mark De Montfort
91126101126111126

Odds Last Updated: August 21, 2021, 12:31pm (AEDT)

(1) Monegal was huge first up before a flat run last start, but he tends to do that second up. He’s only ever placed twice from seven attempts when second up, but does have a win and three placings from six starts when third up, so he can improve today. Loves this distance too.

(16) Enduring Night is going well, just keeps leaving itself with too much to do. Should find this easier than its past couple of starts but may just like the track with a bit more juice in it.

(4) Arctic Thunder comes off a strong win in midweek grade and should be hard to beat again, while (7) Majella may improve again third up and has a great record on good ground.

Tip: (1) Monegal $13 Bet365

Also Backing: (16) Enduring Night $14 BetDeluxe

Betting Strategy: 0.25 units WIN Monegal, 0.25 units WIN Enduring Night

195592

Race 4

Sajc Trophy (Bm78) (1600m)
1:10pm (AEDT)

Race 4

Sajc Trophy (Bm78) (1600m)
1:10pm (AEDT)

1. Dick Whittington (11) J: Jason Collett (60kg) T: Matthew Smith
2. Pesto (1) J: Brenton Avdulla (59.5kg) T: M, W & J Hawkes
101010111010
3. Papal Warrior (8) J: Tommy Berry (59kg) T: C J Waller
4. Re Edit (5) J: Hugh Bowman (58.5kg) T: C J Waller
98898.58
5. Badoosh (3) J: Nash Rawiller (58.5kg) T: M J Dunn
9.510101010.210
6. Cognac (12) J: Joshua Parr (58.5kg) T: R & M Freedman
1313131312.615
7. Wairere Falls (14) J: Brock Ryan (58.5kg) T: C J Waller
77676.17.5
8. Casino Mondial (7) J: Unknown (58kg) T: Ms K Buchanan
272621213226
9. Monegal (13) J: Unknown (57.5kg) T: Ms T Bateup
10. California Longbow (4) J: Kerrin Mcevoy (57.5kg) T: P & P Snowden
1313121310.813
11. Loveplanet (2) J: James Mcdonald (57.5kg) T: C J Waller
2.352.352.352.52.452.3
12. Seiners Express (6) J: Ms Louise Day (57.5kg) T: C Maher & D Eustace
13. La Grisa (10) J: Regan Bayliss (56.5kg) T: J A O'shea
3131263126.531
14. Always Sure (9) J: Tim Clark (53.5kg) T: G W Moore
1111111112.212

Odds Last Updated: August 21, 2021, 1:11pm (AEDT)

I’m hesitant to dive into (11) Loveplanet after making him my best bet last start, but I really don’t think there’s a great deal to this race. One of his main dangers looks to be (7) Wairere Falls who comes off a dominant win, but it was over 30/1 pop California Longbow and Cognac, who had previously done nothing of note. I think if McDonald gets a cozy run from barrier 2, he’ll be very hard to beat.

(2) Pesto draws the inside and has run 2nd in both starts last prep. First up at the mile with just one trial under the belt is some query but he’s clearly got class.

(4) Re Edit is a chance second up but is a costly horse to trust.

Tip: (11) Loveplanet $2.60 Ladbrokes

Betting Strategy: 1.5 units WIN Loveplanet

195592

Race 5

Gow Gates (Bm78) (1200m)
1:45pm (AEDT)

Race 5

Gow Gates (Bm78) (1200m)
1:45pm (AEDT)

1. Best Stone (16) J: Nash Rawiller (60kg) T: John Thompson
2. Cuban Royale (12) J: Brock Ryan (59kg) T: R & L Price
1818181818.218
3. Love Tap (10) J: Joshua Parr (59kg) T: R & M Freedman
4. Smart Image (11) J: Tommy Berry (59kg) T: P & P Snowden
1515161614.616
5. Misteed (9) J: Jay Ford (58kg) T: Ms K Waugh
313126263131
6. Turnstyle (8) J: Tim Clark (57.5kg) T: Bjorn Baker
161614141616
7. Fastconi (1) J: Brenton Avdulla (57.5kg) T: C J Waller
7.57.57.587.58
8. More Prophets (6) J: James Mcdonald (57kg) T: John Thompson
4.44.644.44.44.6
9. Kosciusko (13) J: Jean Van Overmeire (57kg) T: J & G Lee
678181917781
10. Tamerlane (3) J: Hugh Bowman (57kg) T: James Cummings
9.5998.59.68.5
11. Brazen Gem (4) J: Jason Collett (56kg) T: Bjorn Baker
1919181919.219
12. Geist (2) J: Kerrin Mcevoy (56kg) T: James Cummings
8.58887.88
13. Nags To Riches (7) J: Tom Sherry (55kg) T: Brad Widdup
4.84.84.64.84.755
14. Wander (15) J: Unknown (55kg) T: Richard Litt
7191919189101
15. Bright Rubick (5) J: Ms Rachel King (54.5kg) T: John W Ramsey
181818191818
16. Hellenism (14) J: Andrew Adkins (53.5kg) T: Aiden St Vincent
2626262626.526

Odds Last Updated: August 21, 2021, 1:46pm (AEDT)

Wide open race.

Nothing wrong with the form of (2) Cuban Royale who won two starts ago and then ran 3rd last start despite sitting wide without cover. Drawn awkward again but looks over the odds at $17.

(7) Fastconi won with a similar set up to this two starts back, and the horse she beat by 2L has since come out and won. That was on heavy ground so the firm ground poses a different test, but the inside draw gives her the chance to win again.

(1) Best Stone was plain first up but does drop in grade and can improve.

(8) More Prophets had no luck first up and gets JMac booked today.

Chances don’t end there.

Tip: (2) Cuban Royale E/W $17 Sportsbet

Betting Strategy: No bet

195592

Race 6

Darley Silver Shadow Stks (1200m)
2:25pm (AEDT)

Race 6

Darley Silver Shadow Stks (1200m)
2:25pm (AEDT)

1. Four Moves Ahead (8) J: Nash Rawiller (57kg) T: J G Sargent
2.352.352.32.42.42.3
2. Glistening (1) J: Jean Van Overmeire (57kg) T: R & M Freedman
1616161615.416
3. Jamaea (3) J: Tommy Berry (57kg) T: R & L Price
8.5887.58.68
4. Mallory (7) J: Jason Collett (56kg) T: G Ryan & S Alexiou
8.59.59.59.59.69.5
5. She's All Class (6) J: James Mcdonald (55kg) T: C J Waller
6. Swift Witness (10) J: Tim Clark (55kg) T: G Waterhouse & A Bott
87.5777.47.5
7. Tilianam (9) J: Regan Bayliss (55kg) T: G Waterhouse & A Bott
272620182323
8. Xtremetime (5) J: Brenton Avdulla (55kg) T: John Thompson
9.59.599.59.39.5
9. Latino Blend (4) J: Kerrin Mcevoy (55kg) T: P & P Snowden
232121212323
10. Picarones (2) J: Ms Kathy O'hara (55kg) T: James Cummings
11. Lovemetender (12) J: Glen Boss (55kg) T: A J Cummings
2731313127.531
12. Trifaccia (11) J: Ms Rachel King (55kg) T: James Cummings
10108.510910

Odds Last Updated: August 21, 2021, 2:26pm (AEDT)

(1) Four Moves Ahead is the class runner of the field but the glaring question in her form is whether she’s as good on firm ground. All of her career starts have come on rain-affected ground, so for mine she is short enough at the even-money quote given she still needs to check the good ground box.

(8) Xtremetime looks the value at $19 after two wins from as many starts last prep.

(6) Swift Witness looks the pick of the Waterhouse pair with Clark riding her.

Tip: (8) Xtremetime $19 BetDeluxe

Betting Strategy: No bet

195592

Race 7

Mostyn Copper Show County Qlty (1200m)
3:05pm (AEDT)

Race 7

Mostyn Copper Show County Qlty (1200m)
3:05pm (AEDT)

1. Splintex (2) J: Joshua Parr (59kg) T: Mark Newnham
3.83.83.93.83.84
2. Viridine (11) J: James Mcdonald (58.5kg) T: James Cummings
3. Icebath (6) J: Kerrin Mcevoy (57.5kg) T: Brad Widdup
1414131514.813
4. Rock (12) J: Tommy Berry (57.5kg) T: M, W & J Hawkes
13119.5109.710
5. Chat (3) J: Nash Rawiller (56kg) T: John Thompson
4.854.655.35
6. Prime Star (10) J: Regan Bayliss (55.5kg) T: R & M Freedman
11119.59.510.610
7. Hilal (9) J: Jay Ford (54kg) T: M, W & J Hawkes
8. Private Eye (5) J: Brenton Avdulla (54kg) T: Joseph Pride
99999.38.5
9. Fender (8) J: Jason Collett (54kg) T: B F Cavanough
998.599.810
10. Embracer (4) J: Tim Clark (53.5kg) T: G Waterhouse & A Bott
7.57.57.57.56.87.5
11. Hightail (1) J: Andrew Adkins (53kg) T: P & P Snowden
1313121412.612
12. Le Lude (7) J: Ms Rachel King (53kg) T: John Thompson
343434343034

Odds Last Updated: August 21, 2021, 3:06pm (AEDT)

(6) Prime Star has been a trial star leading into today. He sailed down the outside to win his first trial easily and he was strangled to the line in his most recent one. He draws awkwardly but finds a race he can really stamp himself as a decent horse in.

(10) Embracer won first up at Hawkesbury last prep in his first outing as a gelding. Down in the weights he can give some cheek from on the speed.

JMac goes on (2) Viridine which has basically been given a bunch of barrier trials this prep.

(1) Splintex next best.

Tip: (6) Prime Star $5.00/$2.00 PlayUp

Betting Strategy: 0.5 units E/W Prime Star

195592

Race 8

Winx Stks (1400m)
3:45pm (AEDT)

Race 8

Winx Stks (1400m)
3:45pm (AEDT)

1. Kolding (10) J: Tim Clark (59kg) T: C J Waller
6.56.56.56.56.46.5
2. Think It Over (2) J: Brenton Avdulla (59kg) T: K J Parker
7.57.5777.67.5
3. Cascadian (7) J: Hugh Bowman (59kg) T: James Cummings
6.56.576.56.47
4. Dreamforce (11) J: Nash Rawiller (59kg) T: John Thompson
2321202021.521
5. Imaging (6) J: Ms Kathy O'hara (59kg) T: C J Waller
1514151513.814
6. Star Of The Seas (9) J: Jay Ford (59kg) T: C J Waller
262621212626
7. Keiai Nautique (4) J: Glen Boss (59kg) T: Matthew Smith
354134414341
8. Master Of Wine (8) J: Regan Bayliss (59kg) T: M, W & J Hawkes
616771715771
9. Brandenburg (13) J: Ms Rachel King (59kg) T: J G Sargent
2019212117.617
10. Mount Popa (1) J: Joshua Parr (59kg) T: M, W & J Hawkes
181919201819
11. Mo'unga (12) J: Tommy Berry (58.5kg) T: Annabel Neasham
11109.51010.410
12. Verry Elleegant (5) J: James Mcdonald (57kg) T: C J Waller
4.24.24.44.44.54.2
13. She's Ideel (14) J: Jason Collett (57kg) T: Bjorn Baker
414141414141
14. Hungry Heart (3) J: Kerrin Mcevoy (56.5kg) T: C J Waller
1212121212.413

Odds Last Updated: August 21, 2021, 3:46pm (AEDT)

The Group 1 Winx Stakes.

(2) Think It Over is my each way selection here with several of these likely to be suited first up at 1400m. This horse went to a new level last preparation, with a first up victory in the Liverpool City Cup, followed later in the prep by victory in the G1 George Ryder Stakes. He has a great first up record with three wins and two 2nds from six starts, he draws to enjoy a lovely run from barrier 2 and at $8.00, he looks an each way bet.

(12) Verry Elleegant won this race last year and was brave in doing so, but that race was run at a fast tempo and it was on soft ground. Whether she will be as suited first up on firm ground this time around is the query, especially as she’s likely going to the Cox Plate and Melbourne Cup.

(3) Cascadian is a tough horse to catch but he did win at Group 1 level last prep, albeit under handicap conditions. He nearly should have won the All Aged over this track and distance at the end of last prep, which was at weight-for-age. Right in this with Bowman aboard.

(5) Imaging is another at big odds that can definitely win without surprising. He’s gone enormous in his past two proper first up runs, the first of those in the Missile Stakes last year, and then the CF Orr Stakes at the start of his next campaign. He almost should have won this race last year, albeit it was second up and on wet ground, but he draws well enough to be a chance.

Tip: (2) Think It Over $8.00 Bet365

Also Backing: (3) Cascadian $9.50 PlayUp

Value: (5) Imaging $18 TAB

Betting Strategy: 0.5 units WIN Think It Over, 0.5 units WIN Cascadian, 0.5 units WIN Imaging

195592

Race 9

Bowermans Furniture Toy Show (1100m)
4:25pm (AEDT)

Race 9

Bowermans Furniture Toy Show (1100m)
4:25pm (AEDT)

1. Entriviere (19) J: James Mcdonald (59kg) T: J W Richards
2. Forbidden Love (17) J: Nash Rawiller (56.5kg) T: R & M Freedman
8.59.59.59.58.910
3. Tailleur (5) J: Joshua Parr (55.5kg) T: James Cummings
4.84.84.64.84.854.8
4. Seasons (9) J: Kerrin Mcevoy (54.5kg) T: L J Bridge
1918191916.419
5. Ballistic Lover (1) J: Regan Bayliss (54kg) T: Joseph Pride
6. Every Rose (11) J: Tom Sherry (54kg) T: Mark Newnham
202121211721
7. Great News (14) J: Brenton Avdulla (54kg) T: Ms K Waugh
9.59.5101010.210
8. Written Beauty (2) J: Tommy Berry (54kg) T: M, W & J Hawkes
554.85.55.65
9. Zaniah (3) J: Jason Collett (54kg) T: K A Lees
465141515351
10. Villami (4) J: Tim Clark (53.5kg) T: G Ryan & S Alexiou
887.57.57.97
11. Fituese (18) J: Ms Rachel King (53kg) T: John Thompson
1311101210.811
12. Lillemor (10) J: Ms Louise Day (53kg) T: J A O'shea
2326262018.223
13. Vulpine (7) J: Jay Ford (53kg) T: Brad Widdup
272626262531
14. Emanate (8) J: Brock Ryan (53kg) T: James Cummings
2626262622.526
15. Matchmaker (6) J: Ms Kathy O'hara (53kg) T: C J Waller
2321262622.526
16. Never Talk (16) J: Glen Boss (53kg) T: K A Lees
2121212126.526
17. Best Stone (12) J: Unknown (53kg) T: John Thompson
911269110197126
18. Elizabeel (15) J: Andrew Adkins (53kg) T: J G Sargent
413434343141
19. Dunbrody Power (13) J: Unknown (53kg) T: John Thompson

Odds Last Updated: August 21, 2021, 4:26pm (AEDT)

I’m banking on the fact (8) Written Beauty is the best horse on her way to bigger races. She won first up last prep in workmanlike fashion, but she wasn’t at her best in her two subsequent starts. I don’t think she’s learned to settle yet judging by her trials, but perhaps the stable are just going to let her run fast. She’s zoomed along in her trials and posted big margins, hopefully they let her roll here and she can prove how good she is.

(2) Forbidden Love is a Group 1 winner over 1400m. Maybe this is a bit sharp for her but she’s been trialling well and goes well fresh.

(1) Entriviere has five wins from seven starts and her only start in Australia was a 2nd palcing to Fasika, beaten 0.2L. JMac goes on for the Kiwi connections but the concern has to be the lameness issue during the week.

(3) Tailleur has six wins from nine starts and was last seen starting $3.80 in the G1 The Galaxy.

Plenty of other chances in an open race but hopefully this is Written Beauty showing her class.

Tip: (8) Written Beauty $5.50/$2.20 Bet365

Betting Strategy: 1 unit E/W Written Beauty

195592

Race 10

Darwin Turf Club Trophy (Bm88) (1400m)
5:00pm (AEDT)

Race 10

Darwin Turf Club Trophy (Bm88) (1400m)
5:00pm (AEDT)

1. Poetic Charmer (8) J: Hugh Bowman (60kg) T: P & P Snowden
1817171714.817
2. New Arrangement (11) J: Nash Rawiller (59.5kg) T: C J Waller
1816161816.616
3. Alakahan (15) J: Jean Van Overmeire (59kg) T: R & M Freedman
151126151151161151
4. Soldier Of Love (13) J: Tim Clark (58.5kg) T: Bjorn Baker
343434343634
5. Academy (7) J: Tom Sherry (58kg) T: Mark Newnham
87.57.58.56.97
6. Matowatakpe (5) J: Joshua Parr (58kg) T: Bjorn Baker
55555.15
7. Al Mah Haha (17) J: Regan Bayliss (57.5kg) T: Tash Burleigh
466161616161
8. Bigboyroy (4) J: James Mcdonald (57kg) T: C J Waller
4.24.23.744.34.2
9. Ventura Ocean (12) J: Brenton Avdulla (57kg) T: K A Lees
10. Outback Diva (16) J: Jean Van Overmeire (56.5kg) T: R & M Freedman
11. Cisco Bay (6) J: Jason Collett (56kg) T: G Ryan & S Alexiou
131212131513
12. Atishu (9) J: Kerrin Mcevoy (55kg) T: C J Waller
5.55.555.55.55.5
13. Bullfinch (3) J: Tommy Berry (55kg) T: C J Waller
14. Handspun (1) J: Ms Rachel King (54kg) T: James Cummings
2321212120.526
15. Above And Beyond (2) J: Ms Kathy O'hara (54kg) T: G Portelli
16. Taksu (10) J: Jay Ford (53kg) T: Joseph Pride
232621212023
17. Love Tap (14) J: Glen Boss (54kg) T: R & M Freedman
10109.59.59.611

Odds Last Updated: August 21, 2021, 5:01pm (AEDT)

(8) Bigboyroy was very brave in defeat first up behind Frosty Rocks, who has since come out and won again. Roy won second up last prep, retains JMac and draws well, so he’s quite clearly the horse to beat.

(1) Poetic Charmer is way over the odds at $17, especially if you consider Bigboyroy is $4.00. Poetic Charmer finished 3rd behind Frosty Rocks and Bigboyroy last start. He got the gun run from barrier 1, but he was only 0.1L behind Roy and he meets him 0.5kg better at the weights. He has three wins from six starts when third up, gets Bowman on and did win over a similar distance here last preparation.

(6) Matowatakpe has won three of his past four and draws for a good run once again so must be included.

(11) Atishu has won her past four in New Zealand and makes her stable debut for Chris Waller today. Wouldn’t surprise me if she was well backed and won.

Throw in (14) Handspun who is ready third up now.

Tip: (8) Bigboyroy $4.00 Sportsbet

Value: (1) Poetic Charmer $17 TopSport

Betting Strategy: 0.5 units WIN Bigboyroy, 0.5 units WIN Poetic Charmer

A trip to Hong Kong quickly had Tim hooked to the racing caper, maintaining the best place anywhere in the world on a Wednesday night is Happy Valley. He holds a strong interest in the Hong Kong form, along with the metropolitan racing in Sydney and Melbourne. He’s a fan of dry tracks, Zac Purton and takes particular interest in identifying patterns in the form. Tim wears many hats, juggling the roles of form analyst, jockey manager and racehorse owner.

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