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Randwick Racing Tips: Saturday, July 10th

Tim Geers previews Winter Stakes day at Randwick with his preview, tips and best bets below.

Randwick Racing

Sydney racing heads to Randwick on Saturday for a 10-race card, featuring the Listed Winter Stakes.

The track is currently a Soft 7 but there is more rain predicted on race day so I’d be expecting the track to end up in the heavy range. The rail is out 6m from the 1600m to the Winning Post, and 4m for the remainder of the course.

The feature comes up in Race 8 on the card, with Tim Geers tipping two horses at double figure odds as his best value bets of the day. His best bet comes up in Race 5.

Find his full preview, tips and betting strategy below!

Best Bet: Race 5 – (3) Harpo Marx

Best Value: Race 8 – (3) Countofmontecristo & (4) Riodini

PlayUp

192209

Race 1

Acy Securities Hcp (1100m)
11:00am (AEDT)

Race 1

Acy Securities Hcp (1100m)
11:00am (AEDT)

1. Darceandermill (5) J: Jean Van Overmeire (58.5kg) T: J Warren & D Krongold
8.58.5999.19
2. Baby Wong (7) J: Nash Rawiller (58kg) T: S C Jones
1516161717.216
3. Almighty Rising (16) J: Unknown (57kg) T: M, W & J Hawkes
4. Dragonstone (10) J: Joshua Parr (57kg) T: Mark Newnham
4.84.84.654.554.6
5. Sniper Legend (14) J: Kerrin Mcevoy (56.5kg) T: Matthew Vella
6. Mystic Gem (13) J: Tim Clark (56kg) T: K A Lees
7. Vianello (1) J: Ms Rachel King (56kg) T: James Cummings
8.59998.98.5
8. Governor (9) J: Tommy Berry (56kg) T: M, W & J Hawkes
9. Sir Crackle (12) J: Jason Collett (56kg) T: Bjorn Baker
3.83.83.8443.8
10. Sky Command (11) J: Brenton Avdulla (55kg) T: G Portelli
554.854.84.8
11. Forzanini (6) J: Regan Bayliss (55kg) T: P & P Snowden
121213131312
12. Paper Daisy (15) J: Tyler Schiller (54.5kg) T: Joseph Pride
13. Rubinocchi (4) J: Sam Clipperton (54.5kg) T: Joseph Pride
9999.58.69
14. Authentic Jewel (3) J: Jay Ford (54kg) T: Brad Widdup
15. Le Cygne Noir (8) J: Ms Louise Day (54kg) T: P M Farrell
151151201151151151
16. Magic Mia (2) J: Ms Ellen Hennessy (54kg) T: D S Smith
251301301251321251

Odds Last Updated: July 10, 2021, 11:01am (AEDT)

(9) Sir Crackle looks primed for his debut here on the back of three winning trials. The first of those was back in February before having a break and returning with two more. Both of those have been on heavy ground and he’s pulled away to win impressively. He’s also shown the ability to lead or sit off something, so he may have some versatility. Expect they’ll go forward from the wide gate and with any luck, he should be very hard to beat.

(10) Sky Command draws one to his inside in barrier 11. She comes off a good win on debut when heavily backed at big odds. Her winning time was slower than the boys on the same day but no surprise to see her run a good race again.

The winner of the boys’ division on that day was (4) Dragonstone and obviously has to be respected if you’re giving Sky Command a chance.

Interesting betting move for the Victorian (1) Darceandermill who won his first two this prep before finishing 3rd last start.

(8) Governor not hopeless.

Tip: (9) Sir Crackle $4.00 Bet365

Also Backing: (10) Sky Command $6.00 PlayUp

Betting Strategy: 1 unit WIN Sir Crackle, 0.5 units WIN Sky Command

192209

Race 2

Ranvet (Bm72) (1500m)
11:35am (AEDT)

Race 2

Ranvet (Bm72) (1500m)
11:35am (AEDT)

1. Kobe Rocks (2) J: Joshua Parr (60.5kg) T: Bjorn Baker
665.5665.5
2. Major Artie (8) J: Nash Rawiller (60.5kg) T: G Waterhouse & A Bott
1212141312.213
3. Go Troppo (4) J: Sam Clipperton (56.5kg) T: M J Dunn
8.58.58.58.58.39
4. Oakfield Prince (9) J: Tommy Berry (56.5kg) T: D Lane
998.59.58.48.5
5. Titanium Power (6) J: Tim Clark (55.5kg) T: Joseph Pride
8.587.587.98
6. Unrelenting (5) J: Ms Kathy O'hara (55kg) T: G Portelli
2021212119.223
7. Alvin The Bold (3) J: Kerrin Mcevoy (54.5kg) T: G K White
9999.59.69
8. Canadian Spice (1) J: Brenton Avdulla (54kg) T: C J Waller
101010119.110
9. Allinthistogether (7) J: Ms Rachel King (52kg) T: Mark Newnham
3.13.23.33.43.453.1

Odds Last Updated: July 10, 2021, 11:36am (AEDT)

Slightly trappy race this. (9) Allinthistogether goes on top. Ran within 0.2L of the winner on debut at Canterbury in a race which has so far proved pretty strong, and then went to Gosford for an easy kill last start. Bit of an awkward draw in barrier 7 of 9 but looks a winnable race and expect her to go close.

(1) Kobe Rocks won two back and then didn’t get the clearest of passages last time out. Can improve with the positive jockey change and has so far put in three good runs on heavy ground.

(5) Titanium Power comes here on the quick back up and Tim Clark goes on. Should lead and give a good sight.

(3) Go Troppo next best.

Tip: (9) Allinthistogether $5.00 Bet365

Betting Strategy: 1 unit WIN Allinthistogether

192209

Race 3

Tab Highway Hcp (C3) (1400m)
12:10pm (AEDT)

Race 3

Tab Highway Hcp (C3) (1400m)
12:10pm (AEDT)

1. Casino Kid (11) J: Ms Rachel King (57.5kg) T: Ms J Bowen
55555.55
2. From The Bush (7) J: Grant Buckley (57kg) T: Ms G Williams
777.57.56.87.5
3. Tags (12) J: Kerrin Mcevoy (57kg) T: Ms G Williams
7766.577
4. Charvet (5) J: Tim Clark (56.5kg) T: Paul Messara
1414141512.414
5. Lancer (4) J: Patrick Scorse (56.5kg) T: Darren Egan
313134343534
6. Birdonawinningpost (3) J: Tommy Berry (56kg) T: William Freedman
1110111111.211
7. A Fortunate Lass (1) J: Ms Ellen Hennessy (55kg) T: Mark Schmetzer
8. Underground Music (10) J: Sam Clipperton (55kg) T: Kurt Goldman
1717171717.217
9. Laughing Or Crying (9) J: James Innes Jnr (55kg) T: Richard Butler
1019191101111101
10. Zoo Station (17) J: Regan Bayliss (54.5kg) T: Ms G Williams
1111101112.211
11. Clearly Regal (6) J: Jean Van Overmeire (54.5kg) T: Kurt Goldman
2021212119.423
12. Orbital Express (18) J: Ms Louise Day (54kg) T: J R Gask
13. Just Business (20) J: Tyler Schiller (54kg) T: W G Carroll
14. Nowyunomi (14) J: Tyler Schiller (54kg) T: Darren Egan
202026212121
15. Saintly Sunrise (13) J: Jason Collett (54kg) T: W J Gavenlock
313134312834
16. Furphy (15) J: Andrew Adkins (54kg) T: W J Gavenlock
2626312626.526
17. So Say You (16) J: Unknown (54kg) T: T J Robinson
18. Dream Runner (2) J: Nash Rawiller (59kg) T: K R Dryden
5555.54.654.8
19. Cavalier Charles (8) J: James Mcdonald (55.5kg) T: Matthew Dale
20. Nuremburg Castle (19) J: Tommy Berry (54.5kg) T: Matthew Dale

Odds Last Updated: July 10, 2021, 12:11pm (AEDT)

Might as well close your eyes and throw a dart here for the Highway.

(1) Casino Kid bolted in to win a similar race last start but he goes up in weight and also cops a wide draw here so it will be a very different race to the one he won, where he got a dream run throughout.

(19) Cavalier Charles started $2.50 in a Highway last start over 1200m and was a big runin defeat. Up to 1400m now, JMac sticks and if he gets a run he’ll be right in it, but he needs a couple more scratchings.

(6) Birdonawinningpost might be one of the more progressive horses in the field. Last time we saw him he won a Highway over 1800m and was in great form in the country prior to that. Resumes over 1400m today which might be short of his best but Tommy Berry goes on, he gets a good draw and I think he’ll be hard to beat.

(10) Zoo Station has three wins from five starts, including a similar race at Rosehill last start, and has to be considered.

Tip: (6) Birdonawinningpost $6.60 Sportsbetting

Betting Strategy: No bet

192209

Race 4

Hyland Race Colours (Bm78) (1100m)
12:45pm (AEDT)

Race 4

Hyland Race Colours (Bm78) (1100m)
12:45pm (AEDT)

1. Dunbrody Power (3) J: Ms Ellen Hennessy (61kg) T: John Thompson
7.57.57.577.28
2. Maddi Rocks (8) J: Tom Sherry (60.5kg) T: J A O'shea
3. Misteed (1) J: Joshua Parr (60kg) T: Ms K Waugh
87.58.5888
4. De Grawin (7) J: Ms Louise Day (58.5kg) T: Joseph Pride
2.32.352.42.52.42.3
5. Brazen Gem (4) J: Tim Clark (58kg) T: Bjorn Baker
999999
6. Dame Kiri (2) J: Ms Rachel King (58kg) T: A J Denham
1313131313.213
7. Van Giz (6) J: Kerrin Mcevoy (57kg) T: Bjorn Baker
3.63.63.73.83.553.6
8. Koonunga (9) J: Ms Kathy O'hara (56kg) T: Matthew Smith
9. Zoumist (5) J: Jay Ford (55kg) T: G Ryan & S Alexiou

Odds Last Updated: July 10, 2021, 12:46pm (AEDT)

(4) De Grawin comes up near enough to favourite here coming out of a strong form race with the blinkers back on, but I can’t be confident after her first two runs back this prep, which have been ordinary.

(7) Van Giz is racing in great form but just leaves herself with too much to do after stepping away slowly. The barrier blanket goes on for the first time today in an attempt to get her to jump better.

(1) Dunbrody Power doesn’t have the best second up record but this is the kind of race she can be very competitive in.

(6) Dame Kiri has an outstanding first up record but this might just be short of her best distance.

Tip: (7) Van Giz $3.80 TAB

Betting Strategy: No bet

192209

Race 5

Schweppes (Bm78) (2000m)
1:20pm (AEDT)

Race 5

Schweppes (Bm78) (2000m)
1:20pm (AEDT)

1. Le Castile (6) J: Keagan Latham (60kg) T: J G Sargent
2. Criminal Code (7) J: Tommy Berry (59.5kg) T: C J Waller
3. Harpo Marx (12) J: Ms Rachel King (59.5kg) T: Bjorn Baker
2.352.32.42.42.452.3
4. Welsh Legend (4) J: Joshua Parr (59kg) T: C J Waller
6656.55.76
5. Zachaz (8) J: Jason Collett (59kg) T: C Maher & D Eustace
6. Monsieur Sisu (5) J: Ms Louise Day (58kg) T: W P Cave
9.51010109.310
7. Accountability (10) J: Tim Clark (57.5kg) T: C J Waller
8. Our Intrigue (14) J: James Mcdonald (57kg) T: C J Waller
76.56.56.56.56.5
9. Montabot (1) J: Ms Kathy O'hara (57kg) T: Matthew Smith
263131313031
10. Spanish Point (3) J: Nash Rawiller (57kg) T: K A Lees
1010101010.210
11. Mr Gee (9) J: Brenton Avdulla (55kg) T: J A O'shea
12. Karmazone (11) J: Brock Ryan (54.5kg) T: Daniel Robinson
171919191919
13. Savvy Legend (13) J: Kerrin Mcevoy (53.5kg) T: L J Bridge
9.599.598.89
14. Notabadharada (2) J: Andrew Adkins (52kg) T: J & G Lee
3134313129.534

Odds Last Updated: July 10, 2021, 1:21pm (AEDT)

Just looks a perfect set up for (3) Harpo Marx here. He went into my horses to follow list last start after recording the fastest final 400m and 200m of the race. I said on that occasion it might just be one run too short and this is when he’d be peaking. He comes here on the quick back up, up to 2000m and third up from a spell. He’s won two from three when third up in the past so with any luck from the wide gate, he looks the horse to beat and is my best of the day.

(8) Our Intrigue was OK at her first Australian start, finishing 4th. Up in distance and JMac takes over from Lee Magorrian, so she might be ready to show something.

(2) Criminal Code was good first up and had excuses last start.

Tip: (3) Harpo Marx $3.00 TopSport

Betting Strategy: 3 units WIN Harpo Marx

192209

Race 6

Geohex Sprint (Bm78) (1100m)
1:55pm (AEDT)

Race 6

Geohex Sprint (Bm78) (1100m)
1:55pm (AEDT)

1. Lancaster Bomber (4) J: Tom Sherry (61kg) T: Richard Litt
3.53.53.53.63.653.5
2. The Bopper (7) J: Joshua Parr (59.5kg) T: K A Lees
3. Hulk (8) J: James Mcdonald (59.5kg) T: C J Waller
2.452.452.62.72.352.4
4. Perigord (11) J: Tyler Schiller (59kg) T: G Ryan & S Alexiou
161717181817
5. Ashman (10) J: Jean Van Overmeire (58.5kg) T: Ms K Waugh
6. Broken Arrows (5) J: Nash Rawiller (58.5kg) T: M J Dunn
1111121111.211
7. Accelerato (2) J: Tim Clark (57.5kg) T: Joseph Pride
101010101010
8. Invincible Gangsta (6) J: Brenton Avdulla (57.5kg) T: T S Howlett
9. Destination (1) J: Kerrin Mcevoy (57kg) T: James Cummings
5.565.55.55.35
10. Secretively (3) J: Andrew Adkins (52kg) T: A J Cummings
343434313034
11. Young Heart (9) J: Brock Ryan (52kg) T: R & L Price

Odds Last Updated: July 10, 2021, 1:56pm (AEDT)

(1) Lancaster Bomber ticks plenty of boxes here. Comes out of a very strong form race behind Malkovich, who has since come out and won again in Melbourne. Our Bellagio Miss has also come out of that race and won, while the runner-up Hulk ran a luckless 2nd at his next start. Lancaster Bomber ran 3rd and he comes into this with a terrific second up record, with three wins from five starts. He ran 3rd first up last prep before winning second up. Has a great record on wet tracks as well, so everything aligns for him to give this a huge shake.

(3) Hulk ran 2nd ahead of Lancaster Bomber two starts ago and then ran a luckless 2nd again last start. The query with him is exactly that – he’s now run 11 seconds in his career!

(2) The Bopper has talent and resumes from a spell. Wary of any market move.

Happy to have a good lash at Lancaster Bomber on an each way basis here, with $1.80 the place available.

Tip: (1) Lancaster Bomber $4.60/$1.80 Bet365

Betting Strategy: 2 units WIN, 3 units PLACE Lancaster Bomber

192209

Race 7

Midway (Bm72) (1300m)
2:35pm (AEDT)

Race 7

Midway (Bm72) (1300m)
2:35pm (AEDT)

1. Not Feint Hearted (14) J: Ms Ellen Hennessy (62.5kg) T: G Portelli
66666.16
2. Monegal (5) J: Ms Louise Day (60.5kg) T: Ms T Bateup
3. Mccormack (9) J: Sam Clipperton (60kg) T: T J Bartley
2121212123.523
4. Royal Banquet (12) J: Jean Van Overmeire (60kg) T: Nathan Doyle
6.56.56.56.56.66.5
5. Cuban Royale (8) J: Brock Ryan (59.5kg) T: R & L Price
6. Ashim (2) J: Brenton Avdulla (59kg) T: Matthew Smith
66675.86
7. Come Along (16) J: Keagan Latham (59kg) T: J G Sargent
819181915981
8. Gemmahra (13) J: Tommy Berry (58.5kg) T: Ms G Markwell
10109.59.51010
9. Altimeter (1) J: Jay Ford (57kg) T: Richard Litt
2626262624.526
10. Bluff 'N' Bluster (3) J: Ms Rachel King (57kg) T: J C Coyle
11109.59119.5
11. Lord Zoulander (17) J: Joshua Parr (57kg) T: G Portelli
192121211821
12. Zorocat (6) J: Regan Bayliss (54.5kg) T: D Lane
8.588.58.58.68.5
13. Bazooka (7) J: Jason Collett (56kg) T: David Payne
4.44.44.44.44.154.2
14. Canyonero (15) J: Ms Kathy O'hara (56kg) T: Richard Litt
126101101101101101
15. Kariba (4) J: Andrew Adkins (52kg) T: C E Conners
16. Zidane (11) J: James Innes Jnr (52kg) T: Lauri Parker
17. Heza Gentleman (10) J: Unknown (54kg) T: M & D Kearney

Odds Last Updated: July 10, 2021, 2:37pm (AEDT)

As it stands, there’s no run for the favourite (13) Bazooka who is first emergency. If he gains a run he’ll be giving this a big crack. He’s third up, comes out of a decent race and has a good record on heavy ground.

Without him, it’s very open (it’s open with him too). (5) Cuban Royale was sound first up and has a decent second up record, so at $15 he looks a bit of value.

(6) Ashim was also sound first up, which was his first start on Australian soil. I’d rather he step up in distance but he comes out of a decent race and should improve off that run.

Tip: (6) Ashim $11 Bet365

Also Backing: (6) Ashim $11 Bet365

Betting Strategy: 0.5 units WIN Ashim

192209

Race 8

Drinkwise Winter Stakes (1400m)
3:15pm (AEDT)

Race 8

Drinkwise Winter Stakes (1400m)
3:15pm (AEDT)

1. Bandersnatch (8) J: Brenton Avdulla (59kg) T: M, W & J Hawkes
7.5777.56.87
2. Chief Ironside (12) J: Jason Collett (59kg) T: K A Lees
3. Countofmontecristo (9) J: James Mcdonald (59kg) T: K A Lees
1414141415.215
4. Riodini (4) J: Tim Clark (59kg) T: G Waterhouse & A Bott
1111111110.411
5. Order Again (3) J: Sam Clipperton (58kg) T: C J Waller
9.59.59.59.59.810
6. Rubisaki (11) J: Nash Rawiller (56kg) T: Patrick Payne
33.13.13.33.353
7. Tricky Gal (6) J: Regan Bayliss (56kg) T: Matthew Smith
9.59.59.59.59.69.5
8. A Shin Rook (5) J: Keagan Latham (56kg) T: William Freedman
9. Ziegfeld (13) J: Joshua Parr (56kg) T: James Cummings
1112101110.610
10. Charleise (1) J: Unknown (54kg) T: C Maher & D Eustace
11. Threeood (10) J: Ms Rachel King (53kg) T: Joseph Pride
262621212426
12. Sambro (14) J: Jay Ford (53kg) T: C J Waller
13. Military Zone (15) J: Andrew Adkins (53kg) T: P & P Snowden
14. True Detective (2) J: Kerrin Mcevoy (53kg) T: C J Waller
7777.56.37
15. Le Gai Soleil (7) J: Tommy Berry (54kg) T: J A O'shea
1414141413.414

Odds Last Updated: July 10, 2021, 3:16pm (AEDT)

The Listed Winter Stakes is the feature of the day and I found it a very difficult race to work out. Small bets on two at good odds here.

(3) Countofmontecristo is a former Singapore galloper who ran 4th on Australian debut first up. That was over 1100m and he steps up to 1400m now, with James McDonald going on. Yet to run on heavy ground so that’s some query, but he’s placed six times at Group 1 level and is a three-time Group 2 winner, so his best form would win this. Goes well second up.

(4) Riodini comes into this first up from a spell with two trials under the belt and the blinkers back on. He placed in the G2 Shannon Stakes and the G1 Epsom Handicap last preparation. Still chasing his first win since arriving in Australia but he may well improve in his second preparation this time around.

(6) Rubisaki loves wet tracks and has run well in Melbourne her past two. It’s been a while since she’s won though and this is a decent field.

(17) Le Gai Soleil ahs been freshened back to 1400m and goes well in the wet. Was disappointing last start but forgive her one bad run.

Tip: (3) Countofmontecristo $10 Bet365

Also Backing: (4) Riodini $10 BlueBet

Betting Strategy: 0.5 units WIN Countofmontecristo, 0.5 units WIN Riodini

192209

Race 9

Heineken (Bm88) (1200m)
3:55pm (AEDT)

Race 9

Heineken (Bm88) (1200m)
3:55pm (AEDT)

1. Noble Boy (11) J: Ms Ellen Hennessy (62kg) T: Ms T Bateup
344151514541
2. Frosty Rocks (8) J: Joshua Parr (60kg) T: Bjorn Baker
2.62.62.52.52.652.6
3. Chat (10) J: Nash Rawiller (59.5kg) T: John Thompson
4. Al Mah Haha (2) J: Regan Bayliss (58kg) T: Tash Burleigh
414141414341
5. I Am Power (6) J: Tom Sherry (58kg) T: Mark Newnham
54.64.64.64.454.2
6. Midships (15) J: Tim Clark (58kg) T: D R Brideoake
7. Ventura Ocean (3) J: James Mcdonald (57kg) T: K A Lees
8. Dream Circle (13) J: Tyler Schiller (56.5kg) T: David Payne
2321202018.223
9. Impasse (4) J: Jason Collett (56.5kg) T: M J Dunn
818171716581
10. Barbaric (7) J: Tommy Berry (55.5kg) T: P & P Snowden
11. Zakat (14) J: Ms Rachel King (55.5kg) T: James Cummings
89786.47.5
12. Madam Legend (12) J: Brock Ryan (55kg) T: L J Bridge
3.53.53.23.23.553.4
13. Handspun (5) J: Kerrin Mcevoy (54.5kg) T: James Cummings
1415151514.214
14. Hasstobegood (9) J: Jay Ford (52kg) T: Joseph Pride
15. Dunbrody Power (1) J: Brenton Avdulla (54kg) T: John Thompson

Odds Last Updated: July 10, 2021, 3:56pm (AEDT)

(2) Frosty Rocks relishes wet ground which he’ll get today and he typically goes well first up from a spell. Has a good record here at Randwick, both trials have been good, carries the full weight with the senior rider on and he looks set to go very close.

(12) Madam Legend won first up and beat Hulk, who brought some good form into that race. Goes well second up, loves the wet and returns to her home track, so she can win again without surprising.

(7) Ventura Ocean is undefeated from two starts in Australia. They were both in Brisbane and he has his first Sydney start here after a four-month break. JMac booked fresh is a good lead but notably his two runs on soft ground have both been failures.

(8) Dream Circle was too bad to be true last start. He started $3.40 there and he’s $26 on the back of one bad run, but there’s no jockey listed so every chance he gets scratched in the morning.

(11) Zakat can fill a place first up.

Tip: (2) Frosty Rocks $5.00 Bet365

Also Backing: (12) Madam Legend $5.50 Bet365

Saver: (12) Madam Legend $5.50 Bet365

Betting Strategy: 1.5 units WIN Frosty Rocks, 0.5 units WIN Madam Legend

192209

Race 10

The Agency Real Estate (Bm78) (1400m)
4:30pm (AEDT)

Race 10

The Agency Real Estate (Bm78) (1400m)
4:30pm (AEDT)

1. Yabadabadoo (15) J: Ms Louise Day (59.5kg) T: K A Lees
676771717361
2. Ulysses (1) J: Regan Bayliss (59kg) T: R & M Freedman
98.510108.78.5
3. Smart Image (8) J: Keagan Latham (58.5kg) T: P & P Snowden
4. Blondeau (7) J: Tommy Berry (58kg) T: C J Waller
3.73.63.83.83.53.5
5. Matowatakpe (11) J: Joshua Parr (58kg) T: Bjorn Baker
5.55.5665.45.5
6. Monegal (14) J: Unknown (57.5kg) T: Ms T Bateup
7. Katalin (5) J: James Mcdonald (57kg) T: James Cummings
8. Charretera (2) J: Sam Clipperton (57kg) T: P & P Snowden
5.55.54.85.555.5
9. Off Shaw (13) J: Tim Clark (57kg) T: Bjorn Baker
2.52.62.252.252.652.7
10. Gemmahra (12) J: Unknown (55.5kg) T: Ms G Markwell
11. Bombasay (4) J: Jason Collett (55.5kg) T: D Lane
2621212117.818
12. Olympic Legend (3) J: Kerrin Mcevoy (55.5kg) T: L J Bridge
13. Tim's Principal (9) J: Ms Rachel King (54.5kg) T: J R Gask
14. Napoleon Solo (6) J: Jay Ford (54kg) T: Natalie Jarvis
464151513941
15. Bluff 'N' Bluster (10) J: Unknown (54kg) T: J C Coyle

Odds Last Updated: July 10, 2021, 4:31pm (AEDT)

(9) Off Shaw should be ready to win now. He improved nicely from his first up run to his second up run, going down narrowly to stablemate (5) Matowatakpe. Meets that horse better at the weights today and is third up so should be peaking. Matowatakpe can definitely go well again as well.

(2) Ulysees was disappointing last start but can be forgiven for that. On best form would go close to winning this so double figure odds appeals.

The two Snowden runners (3) Smart Image and (8) Charretera are both place hopes.

Tip: (9) Off Shaw $5.00 Bet365

Value: (2) Ulysees $11 Bet365

Betting Strategy: 1 unit WIN Off Shaw, 0.5 units WIN Ulysees

A trip to Hong Kong quickly had Tim hooked to the racing caper, maintaining the best place anywhere in the world on a Wednesday night is Happy Valley. He holds a strong interest in the Hong Kong form, along with the metropolitan racing in Sydney and Melbourne. He’s a fan of dry tracks, Zac Purton and takes particular interest in identifying patterns in the form. Tim wears many hats, juggling the roles of form analyst, jockey manager and racehorse owner.

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