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Rosehill Racing Tips: Saturday, November 27th

Billy Bestford previews every race on the card today.

Saturday racing heads to a very wet Rosehill and we have a bumper ten race card to get stuck into. 

The track has copped a heap of rain and we are currently sitting at a heavy 10. The rail is in the true position. 

Billy Bestford is back again to preview every race and has found a few at nice odds for the afternoon. 

Best Bet: Race 7 – (2) Tambo’s Mate 

Best Value: Race 8 – (14) Mubariz

203514

Race 1

Elite Sand & Soil Hcp (1100m)
12:20pm (AEDT)

Race 1

Elite Sand & Soil Hcp (1100m)
12:20pm (AEDT)

1. Hard To Say (12) J: Christian Reith (58kg) T: J C Deamer
76667.16
2. Affidavit (6) J: James Mcdonald (57kg) T: James Cummings
76.56.56.55.76.5
3. Fine Vintage (17) J: Robbie Dolan (57kg) T: G Portelli
353434343134
4. Inequality (15) J: Jay Ford (57kg) T: Lee & Cherie Curtis
232019202019
5. Lady Laguna (2) J: Tommy Berry (57kg) T: Annabel Neasham
887.57.56.28
6. Malabar (14) J: Ms Alysha Collett (57kg) T: G Portelli
1917171716.817
7. Old Newmarket (16) J: Unknown (57kg) T: J M Cleary
8. Vinnie's Spirit (4) J: Tim Clark (57kg) T: G Waterhouse & A Bott
5.55555.45
9. Wealthy Investor (3) J: Regan Bayliss (57kg) T: D Lane
312626262726
10. Acappella Sun (9) J: Mathew Cahill (55kg) T: Bjorn Baker
2726262622.526
11. Controlocracy (5) J: Brock Ryan (55kg) T: Annabel Neasham
1514141411.214
12. Emilia Romagna (8) J: Jason Collett (55kg) T: Bjorn Baker
7.57.57.57.57.37.5
13. Mandalong Missile (13) J: Tyler Schiller (55kg) T: G R Nickson
716161614761
14. Victorine (10) J: Kerrin Mcevoy (55kg) T: James Cummings
98887.38
15. Gendarmerie (1) J: Unknown (55kg) T: Lee & Cherie Curtis
3531313123.531
16. Vancouver's Crown (11) J: Ms Kathy O'hara (56.5kg) T: J C Coyle
1513131314.213
17. Among Us (7) J: Ms Rachel King (56.5kg) T: G D Hickman
3426262620.526

(8) Vinnie’s Spirit looked smart at the trials and just due to the way he maps on a very wet track I think he can get away with this race. Should find the front pretty easily and the form out of his trials has been pretty strong. 

(12) Emilia Romagna was an expensive purchase and she’s also trialled very well. She looks a good winning chance off that work.

(5) Lady Laguna won on debut and can go on with today. 

Tip: (8) Vinnie's Spirit - $5.60 at Boombet

Betting Strategy: 1u WIN Vinnie's Spirit

203514

Race 2

Tab Highway Hcp (C2) (1200m)
12:55pm (AEDT)

Race 2

Tab Highway Hcp (C2) (1200m)
12:55pm (AEDT)

1. Participator (5) J: Mathew Cahill (59kg) T: T P Donnelly
2.82.92.733.052.6
2. Optimo (19) J: Rory Hutchings (58.5kg) T: Mark Schmetzer
1312111111.613
3. The Drover (14) J: Jason Collett (58.5kg) T: Roy L Mccabe
413434344341
4. Costas (8) J: Ms Alysha Collett (58kg) T: Brett Thompson
616161616361
5. Testator Silens (9) J: Jean Van Overmeire (58kg) T: Luke Clarke
131313131313
6. Zoukina (7) J: Brock Ryan (57.5kg) T: S B Lee
1515141415.215
7. Banju (18) J: Unknown (57.5kg) T: Lyle Chandler
353426263634
8. King's Trust (1) J: Tommy Berry (57.5kg) T: T J Robinson
2726263120.526
9. Celestial Doll (6) J: Brandon Griffiths (57kg) T: William Freedman
464141413641
10. Lady Mofeed (21) J: Reece Jones (57kg) T: L C Morgan
1919171716.619
11. Elusive Babbz (15) J: Ms Mikayla Weir (57kg) T: Aleacia Bennett
12. Ranuncula (13) J: Ms Rachel King (57kg) T: S C Jones
353134343234
13. Still In Fashion (20) J: James Mcdonald (57kg) T: Paul Messara
9999.57.69
14. Limited Reality (3) J: Kerrin Mcevoy (56.5kg) T: Cameron Crockett
1213131310.814
15. Nicator (17) J: Matthew Palmer (56.5kg) T: S C Jones
616167674571
16. Pruscino (11) J: Ms Jenny Duggan (56kg) T: J M Cleary
1515131315.215
17. Furphy (10) J: Joshua Parr (55.5kg) T: W J Gavenlock
513441413341
18. Extravagent Lad (4) J: Jay Ford (54kg) T: Scott Collings
9.510101010.210
19. Mook's Sister (12) J: Unknown (54kg) T: Troy O'neile
1269110195126
20. Military Bay (2) J: Ms Kathy O'hara (54kg) T: Mark Schmetzer
515151513751
21. Shenandoah (16) J: Tyler Schiller (56.5kg) T: K R Dryden
515151513751

(18) Extravagant Lad was smashed in betting first up following some nice trials and ended up bolting in. That was on a wet Gundagai track and while it’s harder here I expect he can measure up. 

(1) Participator is unbeaten through two career starts and looks a horse with a bit of upside. Bolted in by 5 lengths fresh and ran good time. Looks a city class horse. 

 

Tip: (18) Extravagant Lad - $7.50 at Bet365

Betting Strategy: 0.5u WIN Extravagant Lad

203514

Race 3

Midway (Bm72) (2000m)
1:30pm (AEDT)

Race 3

Midway (Bm72) (2000m)
1:30pm (AEDT)

1. Jazzland (1) J: Joshua Parr (61.5kg) T: Ms K Buchanan
54.64.44.44.454.8
2. Jesse James (9) J: Brodie Loy (58.5kg) T: Annabel Neasham
4.84.84.84.84.254.8
3. Karmazone (7) J: Ms Alysha Collett (57.5kg) T: Daniel Robinson
1211111313.211
4. Rebel Rama (11) J: Tommy Berry (57kg) T: M C Conners
3.33.63.33.53.753.3
5. Cryptogram (13) J: Jason Collett (56.5kg) T: A J Cummings
1414141412.215
6. Our Bambino (5) J: Brock Ryan (56kg) T: R & L Price
212121211723
7. Unwavering Faith (6) J: Tim Clark (55kg) T: Nathan Doyle
8.587.588.67.5
8. Viren (2) J: Tom Sherry (55kg) T: David Payne
1917171714.618
9. Writing Unexpected (3) J: Regan Bayliss (55kg) T: J A Steinmetz
514151513451
10. Sepulchre (8) J: Ms Rachel King (53kg) T: Joseph Ible
516161616171
11. Dragon Dream (10) J: Ms Jenny Duggan (52.5kg) T: Allan Kehoe
343131313431
12. Dream Maiden (4) J: Ms Kathy O'hara (52kg) T: J C Coyle
464141413151
13. Foxtrot Bravo (12) J: Tyler Schiller (52kg) T: Ms T Bateup
1618191917.221

(7) Unwavering Faith is a swimmer and is beginning to build a handy record. Can’t knock her in this sort of form and at the price I think he looks the way to play this race. 

(4) Rebel Rama no doubt is probably the class horse of this race and this is the easiest she’s been in for a while. Looks primed 4th up and gets conditions to suit today. 

(13) Foxtrot Bravo looks the value in the race and can give a good sight carrying no weight.

 

Tip: (7) Unwavering Faith - $7.00 at Sportsbet

Betting Strategy: 0.5u WIN Unwavering Faith

203514

Race 4

Atc Cup (2000m)
2:05pm (AEDT)

Race 4

Atc Cup (2000m)
2:05pm (AEDT)

1. Polly Grey (5) J: James Mcdonald (59kg) T: C J Waller
6.56.56.577.16.5
2. Blue Soldier (3) J: Tom Sherry (55.5kg) T: David Payne
101011118.911
3. Soldier Of Love (1) J: Ms Rachel King (55.5kg) T: Bjorn Baker
1614151512.215
4. Kiss The Bride (4) J: Jason Collett (54.5kg) T: Bjorn Baker
7.57776.17
5. Mightybeel (6) J: Tommy Berry (54kg) T: C J Waller
2.152.122.052.052
6. Bonvicini (2) J: Kerrin Mcevoy (53kg) T: C Maher & D Eustace
7. Grove Ferry (7) J: Tim Clark (53kg) T: G Waterhouse & A Bott
3.73.83.63.53.853.8

I’ll be with (1) Polly Grey here who should be a big improver onto a wet track. Should be much more suited out in trip now with race fitness on side. 

(5) Mightybeel is airborne and no doubt is probably the best horse in this race. I have a bit of a concern on a wet track. 

 

Tip: (1) Polly Grey - $6.10 at Boombet

Betting Strategy: 0.5u WIN Polly Grey

203514

Race 5

Elitegroup Sydney (Bm78) (1100m)
2:40pm (AEDT)

Race 5

Elitegroup Sydney (Bm78) (1100m)
2:40pm (AEDT)

1. Shadow Crush (8) J: Tom Sherry (61.5kg) T: Mark Newnham
76.56.577.16.5
2. Undeniable (1) J: Ms Jenny Duggan (58.5kg) T: Matthew Smith
66666.16
3. Liberty Sun (6) J: Nash Rawiller (58.5kg) T: G Mcfarlane
1413141414.214
4. Mr Mosaic (2) J: Reece Jones (58.5kg) T: G Ryan & S Alexiou
5.55.55.55.54.955.5
5. Sharpe Hussler (10) J: Tyler Schiller (58kg) T: Cameron Crockett
515151516361
6. Prince Invincible (9) J: Brock Ryan (57kg) T: G W Moore
1514151514.415
7. Sessions Road (3) J: Tim Clark (56.5kg) T: M, W & J Hawkes
8. Irish Angel (4) J: Jason Collett (55.5kg) T: C J Waller
6.576.56.56.57
9. Cloudy (5) J: Kerrin Mcevoy (54kg) T: James Cummings
141312121214
10. Najmaty (7) J: James Mcdonald (54kg) T: P & P Snowden
109.5101010.210
11. Bacchanalia (11) J: Ms Rachel King (52kg) T: James Cummings
4.24.44.24.43.94.2

(8) Irish Angel can win here fresh getting condition to suit. Loves wet tracks and loves 1100m and I think she can sprint well enough here to win. 

(2) Undeniable is in good form and can’t really knock his racing pattern. Never seen a heavy track however but should be suited with the claimer on. 

(6) Prince Invincible next best.

Tip: (8) Irish Angel - $3.30 at Ladbrokes

Betting Strategy: 1u WIN Irish Angel

203514

Race 6

Elite Haulage (Bm78) (1800m)
3:20pm (AEDT)

Race 6

Elite Haulage (Bm78) (1800m)
3:20pm (AEDT)

1. Cisco Bay (12) J: Joshua Parr (60.5kg) T: G Ryan & S Alexiou
9.59.59.59.59.69.5
2. Lord Ardmore (5) J: Tom Sherry (60.5kg) T: C J Waller
66.56.575.86.5
3. Jazzland (4) J: Unknown (58.5kg) T: Ms K Buchanan
4. Welsh Legend (2) J: James Mcdonald (58kg) T: C J Waller
76.56.5766.5
5. New King (6) J: Kerrin Mcevoy (58kg) T: Matthew Dale
554.84.85.15
6. Prince Of Arragon (3) J: Brock Ryan (58kg) T: John Thompson
1919192121.519
7. Born A King (1) J: Tommy Berry (57.5kg) T: C J Waller
4.24.24.24.23.954.2
8. So United (8) J: Jean Van Overmeire (57.5kg) T: G Waterhouse & A Bott
776.56.57.17
9. Media Starguest (7) J: Andrew Adkins (55.5kg) T: R J Quinton
887.588.17.5
10. Monsieur Sisu (9) J: Ms Kathy O'hara (55kg) T: P & M Cave
3134343427.541
11. Caesars Palace (10) J: Ms Alysha Collett (54kg) T: A J Cummings
12. Grand Rock (11) J: Glyn Schofield (54kg) T: C J Waller
414141413141

Keen to back (9) Media Starguest who looks suited now out in trip 3rd up. Think he looks ready to peak and should be more suited in these conditions. Maps well from gate 7 and I think he is still on the up. 

(5) New King is a smart horse and is on the up this prep. Been building to a peak run and looks ready 4th up. 

(8) So United looks the likely leader and is airborne this prep. I think he will be tough to run down in these conditions. 

Tip: (9) Media Starguest - $5.50 at Bet365

Betting Strategy: 1u WIN Media Starguest

203514

Race 7

Chandon Starlight Stakes (1100m)
4:00pm (AEDT)

Race 7

Chandon Starlight Stakes (1100m)
4:00pm (AEDT)

1. Southern Lad (5) J: Nash Rawiller (59kg) T: J A O'shea
76.56.56.56.77
2. Tambo's Mate (3) J: James Mcdonald (59kg) T: T J Gollan
4.24.24.24.24.254.2
3. Edison (12) J: Joshua Parr (55.5kg) T: Bjorn Baker
1413131313.613
4. Surreal Step (7) J: Tommy Berry (54kg) T: M, W & J Hawkes
263131312334
5. Dream Circle (1) J: Tom Sherry (54kg) T: David Payne
2626262620.526
6. Mamaragan (9) J: Jason Collett (54kg) T: John Thompson
1917181917.818
7. Written Beauty (4) J: Tim Clark (53kg) T: C J Waller
7.5888.57.48
8. Vulpine (10) J: Jay Ford (53kg) T: Brad Widdup
131211111313
9. Snapdancer (8) J: Kerrin Mcevoy (53kg) T: C Maher & D Eustace
4.554.44.454.4
10. Spaceboy (2) J: Ms Kathy O'hara (53kg) T: G Portelli
1514141413.415
11. Juan Diva (11) J: Ms Rachel King (53kg) T: R & M Freedman
131314151114
12. Petronius (6) J: Brock Ryan (53kg) T: G W Moore
262626262126

(2) Tambo’s Mate is flying for Gollan and comes to Queensland in super form. I’m pretty keen that the stable has him right for today and no doubt is better with his toe in the ground. 

(1) Southern Lad is a swimmer and probably the class horse of the race. Was a good winner fresh and no doubt Nash will give him the gun run from gate 5. 

(10) Spaceboy will give a good sight up on speed and should lead these for fun. Stuck on well in The Warra last start and this is arguably easier.

Tip: (2) Tambo's Mate - $2.65 at Boombet

Betting Strategy: 2.5u WIN Tambo's Mate

203514

Race 8

Petaluma Festival Stakes (1500m)
4:40pm (AEDT)

Race 8

Petaluma Festival Stakes (1500m)
4:40pm (AEDT)

1. Gem Song (8) J: Nash Rawiller (59kg) T: K A Lees
2021212118.823
2. Bandersnatch (3) J: Joshua Parr (58.5kg) T: M, W & J Hawkes
9.59.59.51089.5
3. Order Again (13) J: James Mcdonald (56kg) T: C J Waller
10109.59.510.210
4. Purple Sector (2) J: Tom Sherry (54.5kg) T: John Thompson
1019110110171101
5. Stockman (16) J: Jay Ford (54.5kg) T: Joseph Pride
2321212123.523
6. Prime Candidate (4) J: Regan Bayliss (54kg) T: Bjorn Baker
272631312131
7. Countofmontecristo (9) J: Jason Collett (54kg) T: K A Lees
716767676171
8. Art Cadeau (10) J: Tommy Berry (54kg) T: T J Robinson
109.510109.910
9. Kubrick (11) J: Glyn Schofield (54kg) T: C J Waller
10. Ellsberg (5) J: Ms Rachel King (53kg) T: G Ryan & S Alexiou
2.82.92.82.82.852.8
11. Lina's Hero (1) J: Kerrin Mcevoy (53kg) T: C J Waller
121111139.411
12. Looks Like Elvis (18) J: Andrew Adkins (53kg) T: J M Austin
464141414741
13. Brutality (7) J: Ms Kathy O'hara (53kg) T: Joseph Pride
67667.16.5
14. Mubariz (12) J: Ms Alysha Collett (53kg) T: C J Waller
615161614961
15. Al Mah Haha (6) J: Jordan Mallyon (53kg) T: Tash Burleigh
2321212626.523
16. Kirwan's Lane (17) J: Tim Clark (53kg) T: J A O'shea
1615141415.216
17. Pandano (15) J: Brock Ryan (53kg) T: P M Perry
676771714971
18. Blesk (14) J: Regan Bayliss (53kg) T: J A O'shea

Could be well off the mark here but (14) Mubariz looks overs to me. He is better over further but on a heavy track this is probably suitable first up. Loves it here at Rosehill and will get through the conditions. 

(13) Brutality is a swimmer and will be ready to peak 3rd up. Should be better out to 1500m now and likes it here. 

(10) Ellsberg looks the likely leader and only finished 3L off I’m Thunderstruck and Count De Rupee. That form looks the best in this race and should be hard to beat.

(2) Bandersnatch had every chance first up but should improve off that and will be thereabouts again.

Tip: (14) Mubariz - $41/$8.50 at Ladbrokes

Also Backing: (13) Brutality - $5.50 at Ladbrokes

Betting Strategy: 1u WIN Brutality, 0.25u EACH WAY Mubariz

203514

Race 9

Elite Turf Projects (Bm78) (1300m)
5:20pm (AEDT)

Race 9

Elite Turf Projects (Bm78) (1300m)
5:20pm (AEDT)

1. Holyfield (4) J: Brock Ryan (61.5kg) T: Annabel Neasham
2121212616.821
2. Expat (14) J: Tom Sherry (59.5kg) T: Mark Newnham
6.56.5676.36
3. Blaze A Trail (8) J: Tommy Berry (59.5kg) T: C Maher & D Eustace
66666.56.5
4. Brookspire (12) J: Nash Rawiller (58kg) T: C J Waller
55554.85
5. Kobe Rocks (2) J: Joshua Parr (58kg) T: Bjorn Baker
1313131310.413
6. Rubamos (13) J: Kerrin Mcevoy (55.5kg) T: C J Waller
7. Air To Air (5) J: Ms Alysha Collett (55kg) T: J C Coyle
1615151515.815
8. Mollycoddle (10) J: Jason Collett (54.5kg) T: James Cummings
181717191417
9. Budhwar (7) J: Ms Jenny Duggan (54.5kg) T: D Lane
1111121313.212
10. Loch Lomond (11) J: James Mcdonald (54.5kg) T: K A Lees
1010101010.210
11. Lady Of Luxury (9) J: Ms Rachel King (54kg) T: Bjorn Baker
1212121212.212
12. Jump The Broom (6) J: Jay Ford (54kg) T: M, W & J Hawkes
6.56.56.56.566.5
13. Twice As Special (3) J: Ms Kathy O'hara (52kg) T: J C Coyle
343434343334
14. Ficheur (1) J: Tyler Schiller (52kg) T: P M Perry
919110110169101

(4) Brookspire should be winning this first up. Goes well fresh and has shown a bit of ability in her career. Last first up run was a cracker and reeled off some very quick sectionals. A repeat of that would be winning this. 

(2) Expat gets through the wet and will take some catching from the wide draw and an apprentice claim. Knows how to find the line and will be the one that the fav has to run down. 

Tip: (4) Brookspire - $2.80 at Ladbrokes

Betting Strategy: 2u WIN Brookspire

203514

Race 10

Elite Quarry Products (Bm78) (1500m)
6:00pm (AEDT)

Race 10

Elite Quarry Products (Bm78) (1500m)
6:00pm (AEDT)

1. Blaze A Trail (5) J: Unknown (59.5kg) T: C Maher & D Eustace
2. Mayfair Spirit (14) J: Joshua Parr (59.5kg) T: C Maher & D Eustace
1312111111.813
3. Amica (15) J: Nash Rawiller (58kg) T: G Ryan & S Alexiou
2121212117.621
4. Bergen (6) J: Tim Clark (58kg) T: G W Moore
2326262621.526
5. Blesk (8) J: Tommy Berry (58kg) T: J A O'shea
7.57776.47
6. Kaapfever (3) J: Tyler Schiller (57kg) T: Joseph Pride
615151614151
7. Grande Rumore (10) J: Jason Collett (56kg) T: K A Lees
77.577.57.17
8. Formentera (7) J: Regan Bayliss (56kg) T: G Waterhouse & A Bott
1311111112.411
9. Francesco Guardi (2) J: James Mcdonald (56kg) T: C J Waller
555.55.54.655.5
10. Too Much Caviar (1) J: Jean Van Overmeire (55kg) T: G Waterhouse & A Bott
6.5777.56.37
11. Artero (13) J: Reece Jones (54kg) T: M J Dunn
1518171721.521
12. Lease (9) J: Glyn Schofield (54kg) T: A J Cummings
109.59910.210
13. Caesars Palace (4) J: Ms Alysha Collett (54kg) T: A J Cummings
272626262226
14. Majella (12) J: Ms Kathy O'hara (54kg) T: Matthew Smith
716161616761
15. Bluff 'N' Bluster (11) J: Ms Rachel King (54kg) T: J C Coyle
1818171719.218
16. Sacred Command (16) J: Kerrin Mcevoy (53.5kg) T: C J Waller
1111111111.210

Uninspiring way to round out the card and looks a real dart board job. 

(8) Formentera looks close to a win and I think much better suited back in trip. Don’t think he ran out 1900m last start and gets conditions to suit today. 

(16) Sacred Command will run well down in the weights and was very unlucky last start. Deserves a win on the back of some unlucky runs.

(11) Artero is lightly raced and on the up. Can measure up here and ran some slick sectionals last start.

Tip: (8) Formentera - $6.00 at Sportsbet

Betting Strategy: No Bet

Billy has been an avid racing fan ever since he and a few mates started a punters club once they turned 18. Following the initial punters clubs, he was properly hooked after landing a nice collect on Admire Rakti in the 2014 Caulfield Cup and has had a soft spot for Japanese horses ever since. Is a massive fan of 'blinkers first time' and has been known to enjoy a 'Hail Mary' multi. Loves punting across metro Sydney and Melbourne every Saturday but isn't scared to venture West late in the day to find a Pikey special.

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