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Ascot Racing Tips: Saturday, October 30th

Tim Geers picks out his best bets on the 11-race card at Ascot on Saturday.

ascot-racecourse

Two features on the card at Ascot today with the Group 3 Asian Beau Stakes and Group 3 Prince Of Wales’ Stakes headlining the 11-race card.

After racing was called off due to the state of the track on Wednesday, the program has two extra races added to it as a result, but the track has improved to a Good 4 with the rail in the true position.

Tim Geers has picked out his best bets on today’s card below!

Best Bet: Race 5 – (9) God Has Chosen

TAB Play Central

201322

Race 1

Seacorp (Rs0ly) (1600m)
2:04pm (AEDT)

Race 1

Seacorp (Rs0ly) (1600m)
2:04pm (AEDT)

1. Twice Lucky (1) J: Mitchell Pateman (60kg) T: Rhys Radford
54.64.44.45.14.64.6
2. Mahaleo (7) J: Ms Beaux Banovic-Edwards (59kg) T: F R Kersley
33.133.22.8533.1
3. Prince Of Guelph (5) J: Patrick Carbery (59kg) T: Vaughn Sigley
1312111212.21112
4. Success Play (4) J: Chris Parnham (59kg) T: N D Parnham
221.951.951.8622
5. King Cohen (2) J: Laqdar Ramoly (58kg) T: Brock Lewthwaite
91101101101111101101
6. Dash Of Brandy (6) J: Jason Whiting (55kg) T: G C Ballantyne
31312631292629
7. Feels Danish (3) J: Troy Turner (55kg) T: Holly Taylor
1918171919.21718

Odds Last Updated: October 30, 2021, 2:04pm (AEDT)

201322

Race 2

Amelia Park Plate (1000m)
2:44pm (AEDT)

Race 2

Amelia Park Plate (1000m)
2:44pm (AEDT)

1. Ain't No Other Man (4) J: Laqdar Ramoly (59.5kg) T: S & J Casey
65.55.55.55.85.55.5
2. Flying Missile (5) J: Keshaw Dhurun (58.5kg) T: N D Parnham
3. The Front Bar (2) J: William Pike (57.5kg) T: A G Durrant
3.23.23.13.23.253.13.2
4. Ultimate Command (3) J: Brad Parnham (56kg) T: N D Parnham
4.24.24.24.23.94.24.2
5. Knot Secret (7) J: Shaun Mcgruddy (56kg) T: S J Wolfe
876.577.76.57
6. Ponyo (6) J: Jason Brown (55kg) T: T R Harvey
3.23.33.33.32.93.43.3
7. Dadirra (1) J: Ms Beaux Banovic-Edwards (54kg) T: F R Kersley
23262626222626

Odds Last Updated: October 30, 2021, 2:44pm (AEDT)

201322

Race 3

Tabtouch Wspeed Series-Rs0mw (1200m)
3:29pm (AEDT)

Race 3

Tabtouch Wspeed Series-Rs0mw (1200m)
3:29pm (AEDT)

1. Standout Rose (4) J: Jason Whiting (59kg) T: B V Watkins
3.83.83.63.53.953.83.7
2. Mini Winnie (3) J: Mitchell Pateman (58kg) T: Q R Jackson
1716161613.21616
3. Captain Burglar (7) J: Laqdar Ramoly (57kg) T: N D Parnham
1515141512.81415
4. Smashing (5) J: Chris Parnham (57kg) T: N D Parnham
7.57.57.57.56.87.57.5
5. Snippy Miss (2) J: Clint Johnston-Porter (57kg) T: A G Durrant
98.58.58.59.18.58.5
6. Nowhiteflag (1) J: Shaun Mcgruddy (56.5kg) T: T R Harvey
2.62.62.62.62.42.62.6
7. Classic Rogue (8) J: Troy Turner (55.5kg) T: S J Wolfe
41413441363434
8. Dais (6) J: Joseph Azzopardi (54.5kg) T: D & B Pearce
65.555.56.155.5

Odds Last Updated: October 30, 2021, 3:29pm (AEDT)

201322

Race 4

Glenroy Chaff (Rs0ly) (1400m)
4:14pm (AEDT)

Race 4

Glenroy Chaff (Rs0ly) (1400m)
4:14pm (AEDT)

1. Lordhelpmerun (4) J: Laqdar Ramoly (61.5kg) T: Michael Grantham
1010101110.41010
2. Ginger Flyer (12) J: Ms Holly Watson (60.5kg) T: Simon Miller
443.83.73.9544
3. Moet De Vega (8) J: Ms Bonnie Palise (59kg) T: S & J Casey
4. Uncle Lino (11) J: Ms Shelby Bowtell (58.5kg) T: Raymond Vincent
51514141395151
5. Standout Rose (1) J: Jason Whiting (57.5kg) T: B V Watkins
6. Starlift (3) J: Shaun O'donnell (57.5kg) T: Ms P Kenney
2321212117.42121
7. Zero Demerits (9) J: Clint Johnston-Porter (57.5kg) T: G A Crispin
6.56.56.56.56.66.56.5
8. Beaucount (7) J: Ryan Hill (56.5kg) T: B P Graham
46515151455151
9. Diamond Tonique (6) J: Brad Parnham (56.5kg) T: J Gangemi
35343434343434
10. Fashion Queen (2) J: William Pike (56.5kg) T: A G Durrant
1.91.91.851.91.81.851.9
11. Flicka's Chance (10) J: Chris Parnham (56.5kg) T: Ms S Bakranich
12. Jaguar Grey (5) J: Ms Kyra Yuill (55kg) T: B V Watkins
101010119.41010

Odds Last Updated: October 30, 2021, 4:14pm (AEDT)

201322

Race 5

Crown Perth (Rs1mw) (1400m)
4:54pm (AEDT)

Race 5

Crown Perth (Rs1mw) (1400m)
4:54pm (AEDT)

1. On Red Alert (3) J: Keshaw Dhurun (60kg) T: Alanis O'hara
8.598.58.59.199
2. Beret (1) J: Clint Johnston-Porter (59.5kg) T: A G Durrant
3.73.73.63.63.83.73.7
3. Little Flirt (5) J: Ms Kyra Yuill (59kg) T: R W Matthews
3126262627.52626
4. Kazkazi (6) J: Shaun O'donnell (58kg) T: Roy Rogers
41342626433129
5. Secret Statue (9) J: Laqdar Ramoly (58kg) T: G & A Williams
1212121210.81212
6. Marlize (4) J: Jordan Turner (57.5kg) T: G W Dupre
31262120312626
7. Eurasia (10) J: Shaun Mcgruddy (57kg) T: S J Wolfe
1212111110.21212
8. Cockyjoy (8) J: Steven Parnham (55.5kg) T: J E Grieve
51614141456151
9. God Has Chosen (7) J: William Pike (55.5kg) T: L Smith
222.052.152.122
10. Glamour Packed (2) J: Troy Turner (55kg) T: C H Webster
1818161514.41918

Odds Last Updated: October 30, 2021, 4:54pm (AEDT)

(9) God Has Chosen was a good thing beat on stable debut for Lindsey Smith at Northam last start. He won two of his first three starts in Albany before transferring to the new stable, and he should have made it a winning start this prep with any luck at all. He settled back in the field and ran into awful trouble in the concluding stages of the straight. Pike goes straight on today to replace Brad Rawiller and I think with even luck he just wins.

Tip: (9) God Has Chosen $2.15 Ladbrokes

Betting Strategy: 3 units WIN God Has Chosen

201322

Race 6

All Flags Signs&Banners-Rs1mw (1800m)
5:34pm (AEDT)

Race 6

All Flags Signs&Banners-Rs1mw (1800m)
5:34pm (AEDT)

1. Outback Jack (10) J: Shaun Mcgruddy (60kg) T: S J Miller
4444.44.3544
2. Secret Pearl (7) J: Laqdar Ramoly (59kg) T: Ricky Moss
8.598.58.59.69.59
3. Indominus (6) J: Troy Turner (57.5kg) T: C H Webster
1515151412.41515
4. Jarman (5) J: Ms Lucy Warwick (57kg) T: G P Jones
12121112101212
5. Savanik (2) J: Chris Parnham (57kg) T: Simon Miller
3.83.83.73.73.73.83.8
6. Brother Paddy (9) J: Patrick Carbery (56.5kg) T: Coreen Maynard
2321212624.52321
7. Real Passion (3) J: William Pike (55.5kg) T: A G Durrant
65.5665.75.55.5
8. Diplomat Express (11) J: Jason Whiting (54.5kg) T: D S Barker
67676171756167
9. Jadavi (4) J: Keshaw Dhurun (54.5kg) T: I F Shield
119111111.21110
10. Special Picture (1) J: Ms Shelby Bowtell (54.5kg) T: Raymond Vincent
998.58.58.68.59
11. War Class (8) J: Steven Parnham (54.5kg) T: C R Green
1261019191111101101

Odds Last Updated: October 30, 2021, 5:34pm (AEDT)

201322

Race 7

Mumm Champagne (Bm66+) (1600m)
6:14pm (AEDT)

Race 7

Mumm Champagne (Bm66+) (1600m)
6:14pm (AEDT)

1. Playing Marika (2) J: Ms Lucy Warwick (60.5kg) T: Ms S Bakranich
1412131313.61513
2. Big Bada Boom (4) J: Brad Rawiller (59kg) T: Roy Rogers
7.57776.977
3. Em Tee Aye (5) J: Brad Parnham (58kg) T: T M Andrews
6.565.55.565.56
4. Stafford's Lad (7) J: Chris Parnham (57kg) T: D L Morton
2626212126.52323
5. Avalon Bay (11) J: Shaun Mcgruddy (56.5kg) T: T R Harvey
2326212021.52323
6. Downforce (6) J: Steven Parnham (56.5kg) T: N D Parnham
2626212124.52626
7. Costa Del Santo (1) J: Jason Whiting (56kg) T: Ms J Panizza
18181717151918
8. Real Charisma (9) J: William Pike (56kg) T: G & A Williams
1.95222.052.122
9. Brave Angel (3) J: Patrick Carbery (55.5kg) T: Simon Miller
99997.89.59
10. Power Of St George (10) J: Ms Kyra Yuill (55.5kg) T: D R Harrison
2726212123.52626
11. My Fair Balentine (8) J: Joseph Azzopardi (54.5kg) T: Daniel O'connor
67911011019310191

Odds Last Updated: October 30, 2021, 6:14pm (AEDT)

201322

Race 8

Quayclean (Bm72+) (1000m)
6:52pm (AEDT)

Race 8

Quayclean (Bm72+) (1000m)
6:52pm (AEDT)

1. Don't Fuss (6) J: Ms Kristy Bennett (60kg) T: D & B Pearce
9191811011018191
2. Plutocracy (8) J: Ms Holly Watson (59.5kg) T: Simon Miller
31313131333129
3. Ziebell (10) J: Keshaw Dhurun (59kg) T: Luke Fernie
46413434474141
4. Graceful Girl (1) J: William Pike (58.5kg) T: G & A Williams
4.54.44.454.94.24.4
5. Agent Jay (9) J: Shaun Mcgruddy (57.5kg) T: S J Miller
818181101878181
6. Platinum Bullet (3) J: Joseph Azzopardi (57.5kg) T: Simon Miller
34312626342629
7. Wilchino (4) J: Chris Parnham (57.5kg) T: D L Morton
2.22.22.152.152.12.22.2
8. This'll Testya (2) J: Mitchell Pateman (57kg) T: A G Durrant
14131316141213
9. Triple Missile (5) J: Brad Rawiller (56.5kg) T: L Smith
3.23.33.133.153.33.2
10. Sheza Chalmer (7) J: Patrick Carbery (55kg) T: B A Miller
46515151475151

Odds Last Updated: October 30, 2021, 6:54pm (AEDT)

Incredibly good race here with an incredible amount of speed on paper! For that reason I’ll be trying to get the favourite (7) Wilchino beat, as she’s sure to have no shortage of company up in the lead.

I was hugely impressed with the stable debut of (9) Triple Missile for Lindsey Smith, powering home over the top to win very softly. He’s destined for bigger and better races, potentially over East, and I think he will relish the hot speed up top.

The other one to relish the hot speed will be (4) Graceful Girl. Some query with her being 1200m back to 1000m, and she’s very likely to be buried back in the field, but she has a big finish on her.

Tip: (9) Triple Missile $3.15 BoomBet

Saver: (4) Graceful Girl $4.20 TopSport

Betting Strategy: 2 units WIN Triple Missile, 0.5 units WIN Graceful Girl

201322

Race 9

Tabtouch-Prince Of Wales Stks (1000m)
7:30pm (AEDT)

Race 9

Tabtouch-Prince Of Wales Stks (1000m)
7:30pm (AEDT)

1. Rock Magic (2) J: Clint Johnston-Porter (58.5kg) T: C & M Gangemi
2017181716.41717
2. Elite Street (3) J: Brad Rawiller (58.5kg) T: D L Morton
1.71.71.71.71.71.71.7
3. Money Matters (5) J: Shaun O'donnell (58.5kg) T: C & M Gangemi
2320211919.62120
4. Indian Pacific (1) J: Brad Parnham (58.5kg) T: N D Parnham
4.44.24.44.24.24.24.2
5. Stageman (8) J: William Pike (58.5kg) T: A G Durrant
777.57.57.377
6. Mervyn (9) J: Ms Lucy Warwick (58.5kg) T: Luke Fernie
31262626302626
7. River Beau (7) J: Jason Whiting (58.5kg) T: B V Watkins
8. Flirtini (6) J: Joseph Azzopardi (56.5kg) T: Simon Miller
1515161615.61615
9. Miss Conteki (4) J: Chris Parnham (56.5kg) T: Simon Miller

Odds Last Updated: October 30, 2021, 7:34pm (AEDT)

The Prince Of Wales’ Stakes looks another good race for (2) Elite Street, who was back to his best in the Crawford Stakes first up. There were whispers that his work had been very strong leading into the race, and he backed that up by coming from back in the field to run down his rivals. I struggle to see any of them turning the tables on him today so if he turns up in similar form, he’ll win again.

Tip: (2) Elite Street $2.05 Sportsbet

Betting Strategy: 2 units WIN Elite Street

201322

Race 10

Hosemasters - Asian Beau Stks (1400m)
8:07pm (AEDT)

Race 10

Hosemasters - Asian Beau Stks (1400m)
8:07pm (AEDT)

1. Uni Time (9) J: Ms Kyra Yuill (60kg) T: Ms S L Miller
2626212124.52323
2. Platoon (8) J: Steven Parnham (57kg) T: N D Parnham
2626212125.52623
3. Naughty By Nature (5) J: Shaun Mcgruddy (56kg) T: J F Miller
2117191921.52119
4. Bam's On Fire (6) J: Chris Parnham (54.5kg) T: N D Parnham
34262626262626
5. Kissonallforcheeks (7) J: Clint Johnston-Porter (54kg) T: D L Morton
2.0522.052.052.152.12.05
6. Luke's Gold (1) J: Shaun O'donnell (54kg) T: Roy Rogers
1111111111.21111
7. Media Baron (4) J: Ms Kristy Bennett (54kg) T: D R Harrison
91816761918167
8. Notorious One (3) J: Brad Parnham (54kg) T: C & M Gangemi
7.57.5886.887.5
9. Western Empire (2) J: William Pike (54kg) T: G & A Williams
3.43.33.43.73.23.23.4

Odds Last Updated: October 30, 2021, 8:09pm (AEDT)

The other feature on the day is the Asian Beau Stakes.

There is some query over the favourite (9) Western Empire here after he was scratched from the Northerly Stakes. Word around town was that he had hurt a leg after an incident involving a fence. He’s the best horse in the race at 100% but is he 100%?

(5) Kissonallforcheeks was very good last start, beating Kaptain Kaos who then went on to win the Northam Cup very impressively. She’s a very good mare and if there are any chinks in the armour of the favourite, she’ll be the one to beat.

(8) Notorious One might find it hard with his racing pattern but he’s a very good horse and at $7.00 he’s a bet.

Tip: (5) Kissonallforcheeks $2.75 BoomBet

Also Backing: (8) Notorious One $7.00 Ladbrokes

Betting Strategy: 1.5 units WIN Kissonallforcheeks, 0.5 units WIN Notorious One

201322

Race 11

Byron Bay Premium Lager-Bm72+ (1800m)
8:45pm (AEDT)

Race 11

Byron Bay Premium Lager-Bm72+ (1800m)
8:45pm (AEDT)

1. Utgard Loki (9) J: Ms Holly Watson (62.5kg) T: A G Durrant
2621212624.52323
2. Midnight Blue (5) J: Laqdar Ramoly (60.5kg) T: G & A Williams
8.587.577.88.58
3. Son Of Bacchus (8) J: Shaun O'donnell (58.5kg) T: Rhys Radford
3.53.63.53.53.53.73.6
4. Roman Flirt (7) J: William Pike (57.5kg) T: D & B Pearce
32.833.23.2533
5. Juicing Carrots (12) J: Ms Lisa Staples (57kg) T: Raquel Reid
35343434383434
6. Miracle Man (6) J: Clint Johnston-Porter (56kg) T: Jordan Rolfe
46414141534141
7. Temptacion (11) J: Chris Parnham (54.5kg) T: D L Morton
776.576.76.57
8. Baramagic (2) J: Brad Parnham (54kg) T: Brian Kersley
1111111110.21111
9. Final Chill (3) J: Joseph Azzopardi (54kg) T: Kieran Mcdonagh
34313441373434
10. High Mist (10) J: Keshaw Dhurun (54kg) T: David Catarino
1019181718710191
11. Miss Marietta (1) J: Ms Lucy Warwick (54kg) T: Brett Pope
109.510109.11010
12. Yadreamin' (4) J: Steven Parnham (54kg) T: C R Green

Odds Last Updated: October 30, 2021, 8:49pm (AEDT)

A trip to Hong Kong quickly had Tim hooked to the racing caper, maintaining the best place anywhere in the world on a Wednesday night is Happy Valley. He holds a strong interest in the Hong Kong form, along with the metropolitan racing in Sydney and Melbourne. He’s a fan of dry tracks, Zac Purton and takes particular interest in identifying patterns in the form. Tim wears many hats, juggling the roles of form analyst, jockey manager and racehorse owner.

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